Fight Matrix Program – UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier (09-07-2019)

2 Sep , 2019,
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Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#3DD/#7P4P] Dustin Poirier (25-5-0, +313) vs. [#3/#7DD] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0, -411)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #11 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Khabib Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (3-0-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#5P4P] Max Holloway (21-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#27WW] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
2018-04-14: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Khabib Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4
2018-04-07: W vs. [#7LW] Al Iaquinta (15-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#11LW] Edson Barboza (20-7-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Khabib Nurmagomedov – Win%: 76.86
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dustin Poirier (2341.89) [+4.39] – Win%: 50.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Khabib Nurmagomedov (2283.16) [+24.95] – Win%: 52.73
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 147, Khabib Nurmagomedov 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khabib Nurmagomedov leads 2-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#9] Paul Felder (16-4-0, +148) vs. [#11] Edson Barboza (20-7-0, -178)
Paul Felder is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #28 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#35LW] James Vick (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#26WW] Mike Perry (13-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#6LW] Charles Oliveira (27-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#15LW] Dan Hooker (18-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3
2018-04-21: L vs. [#34WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 61.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Edson Barboza (1925.38) [+18.77] – Win%: 52.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Paul Felder (1927.84) [+18.80] – Win%: 52.06
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Felder 202, Edson Barboza 161
Previous Match-up Record: Edson Barboza leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Edson Barboza leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#20] Islam Makhachev (17-1-0, -303) vs. [#61] Davi Ramos (10-2-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#41LW] Arman Tsarukyan (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#54LW] Kajan Johnson (23-13-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#26LW] Gleison Tibau (34-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Davi Ramos (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#149LW] Austin Hubbard (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#262LW] John Gunther (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [*] Nick Hein (14-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:15 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Islam Makhachev – Win%: 71.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Islam Makhachev (1988.98) [+199.29] – Win%: 71.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Islam Makhachev (1950.59) [+145.50] – Win%: 65.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 140, Davi Ramos 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0, -356) vs. [#13] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-5-0, +275)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#15HW+] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-17-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Shamil Abdurakhimov (3-0-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#25HW+] Marcin Tybura (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2018-09-15: W vs. [#32HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-18-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#79HW+] Chase Sherman (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 74.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Curtis Blaydes (1876.99) [+58.65] – Win%: 56.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Curtis Blaydes (1888.11) [+79.19] – Win%: 58.58
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 168, Shamil Abdurakhimov 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#17] Diego Ferreira (15-2-0, +210) vs. [#27] Mairbek Taisumov (27-5-0, -263)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#33LW] Rustam Khabilov (23-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#357FW] Kyle Nelson (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [#104LW] Jared Gordon (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mairbek Taisumov (3-0-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#42LW] Desmond Green (23-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-02: W vs. [*] Felipe Silva (8-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:24 of round 1
2016-04-10: W vs. [#71LW] Damir Hadzovic (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:44 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mairbek Taisumov – Win%: 69.19
Elo Favorite (Standard): Diego Ferreira (1953.14) [+30.89] – Win%: 53.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Diego Ferreira (1942.82) [+30.24] – Win%: 53.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 196, Mairbek Taisumov 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#7] Andrea Lee (11-2-0, -221) vs. [#11] Joanne Calderwood (13-4-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: Andrea Lee (3-0-0)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#49FLY] Montana De La Rosa (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#71FLY] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#72FLY] Veronica Macedo (6-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (2-1-0)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#2FLY/#9P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#54FLY] Ariane Lipski (11-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#84FLY] Kalindra Faria (18-8-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:57 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Andrea Lee – Win%: 65.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andrea Lee (1532.19) [+94.28] – Win%: 60.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andrea Lee (1531.45) [+32.66] – Win%: 53.57
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrea Lee 77, Joanne Calderwood 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#316] Lerone Murphy (7-0-0, +411) vs. [*] Zubaira Tukhugov (18-4-0, -568)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#843WW] Ayton De Paepe (9-3-0) via UD ()
2018-09-01: W vs. [#812FW] James McErlean (7-5-0) via UD ()
2018-04-14: W vs. [NA] Terry Doyle (5-7-0) via TKO in 0:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Zubaira Tukhugov (2-1-0)
2016-05-14: L vs. [#18FW] Renato Carneiro (13-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2015-12-10: W vs. [*] Phillipe Nover (10-8-1) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-10-04: W vs. [*] Ernest Chavez (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Zubaira Tukhugov – Win%: 81.29
Elo Favorite (Standard): Zubaira Tukhugov (1630.01) [+214.14] – Win%: 72.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Zubaira Tukhugov (1638.36) [+168.50] – Win%: 67.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerone Murphy 281, Zubaira Tukhugov 1211
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Liana Jojua (7-2-0, -144) vs. [#31] Sarah Moras (5-5-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Liana Jojua (3-0-0)
2018-02-22: W vs. [#29FW] Marina Mokhnatkina (4-2-0) via MD ()
2017-12-29: W vs. [*] Viktoriya Shalimova (4-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 0:28 of round 1
2017-07-29: W vs. [NA] Karina Vasilenko (3-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Moras (0-3-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#8BW] Macy Chiasson (5-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2
2018-10-27: L vs. [#30BW] Talita Bernardo (6-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#48FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Liana Jojua – Win%: 56.26
Elo Favorite (Standard): Liana Jojua (1327.81) [+185.58] – Win%: 70.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Liana Jojua (1350.35) [+158.46] – Win%: 66.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liana Jojua 562, Sarah Moras 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#143] Ottman Azaitar (11-0-0, -233) vs. [*] Teemu Packalen (8-2-0, +187)

Last 3 Fights: Ottman Azaitar (3-0-0)
2018-08-18: W vs. [#1988LW] Danijel Kokora (18-16-0) via TKO in 0:32 of round 1
2017-11-17: W vs. [#394FW] Alejandro Martinez (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:16 of round 3
2017-03-31: W vs. [#169LW] Charlie Leary (16-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Teemu Packalen (1-2-0)
2017-03-18: L vs. [#101LW] Marc Diakiese (13-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:30 of round 1
2016-02-27: W vs. [#208LW] Thibault Gouti (12-5-0) via SUB in 0:24 of round 1
2015-07-18: L vs. [#191LW] Mickael Lebout (19-10-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ottman Azaitar – Win%: 66.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ottman Azaitar (1608.36) [+150.51] – Win%: 66.54
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ottman Azaitar (1638.36) [+123.47] – Win%: 63.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ottman Azaitar 385, Teemu Packalen 903
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#33] Belal Muhammad (15-3-0, -353) vs. [#88] Takashi Sato (15-2-0, +273)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#44WW] Curtis Millender (17-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#32WW] Geoff Neal (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#45WW] Chance Rencountre (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Takashi Sato (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#100WW] Ben Saunders (22-12-2) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:18 of round 2
2018-10-21: W vs. [#304WW] Matt Vaile (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2018-07-01: L vs. [#72WW] Glaico Franca (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Belal Muhammad – Win%: 74.40
Elo Favorite (Standard): Belal Muhammad (1844.24) [+138.83] – Win%: 65.35
Elo Favorite (Modified): Belal Muhammad (1806.19) [+107.19] – Win%: 61.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 147, Takashi Sato 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#91] Nordine Taleb (15-6-0, -129) vs. [*] Muslim Salikhov (14-2-0, +104)

Last 3 Fights: Nordine Taleb (1-2-0)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#182LW] Kyle Prepolec (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#57WW] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 2
2018-05-27: L vs. [#40WW] Claudio Henrique Da Silva (14-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (2-1-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#149WW] Ricky Rainey (13-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2017-11-25: L vs. [#101WW] Alex Garcia (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-06-01: W vs. [#499LW] Melvin Guillard (32-21-2) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick) in 1:33 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nordine Taleb – Win%: 53.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Muslim Salikhov (1661.26) [+1.69] – Win%: 50.19
Elo Favorite (Modified): Muslim Salikhov (1678.83) [+6.13] – Win%: 50.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nordine Taleb 126, Muslim Salikhov 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#24] Omari Akhmedov (18-4-1, -110) vs. [#33] Zak Cummings (23-6-0, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Omari Akhmedov (2-0-1)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#30MW] Tim Boetsch (21-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-30: D vs. [#44MW] Marvin Vettori (13-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2017-05-28: W vs. [#66WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Zak Cummings (2-1-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#125MW] Trevin Giles (11-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2018-12-15: W vs. [#54MW] Trevor Smith (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#41WW] Michel Prazeres (26-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Zak Cummings – Win%: 50.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Zak Cummings (1848.76) [+82.69] – Win%: 59.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Zak Cummings (1880.86) [+134.55] – Win%: 64.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Omari Akhmedov 182, Zak Cummings 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#153] Fares Ziam (10-2-0, +151) vs. [#157] Don Madge (8-3-1, -181)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (3-0-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#522LW] Yassine Belhadj (6-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:05 of round 3
2018-10-13: W vs. [#1915LW] Julio Matos (4-2-0) via UD ()
2018-03-10: W vs. [#434WW] Abner Lloveras (22-11-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:24 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Don Madge (3-0-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#448LW] Te Edwards (6-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:14 of round 2
2017-04-08: W vs. [#180LW] Dave Mazany (17-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 2
2016-08-05: W vs. [*] Jadyson Costa (10-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Don Madge – Win%: 61.78
Elo Favorite (Standard): Fares Ziam (1530.28) [+25.21] – Win%: 52.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Fares Ziam (1575.45) [+43.98] – Win%: 54.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 217, Don Madge 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Dustin Poirier
Highest Stored DD Rating: Dustin Poirier
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Dustin Poirier vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Dustin Poirier vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2019-9-2