Category Archives: Event Previews

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson (05-08-2021)

3 May , 2021,
Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2, -175) vs. [#10] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0, +150)
Michelle Waterson is the All-Time #32 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-1-1)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-25: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#9FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#3SW/#7P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marina Rodriguez -175 61.40%
Elo K170 Marina Rodriguez 1654.55 +74.96 58.48%
Elo Modified Marina Rodriguez 1692.05 +119.79 62.82%
Glicko-1 Marina Rodriguez 1705.01 +165.47 72.16%
WHR Marina Rodriguez 1635.94 +147.45 66.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 105, Michelle Waterson 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#24] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0, -111) vs. [#42] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, -112)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#34HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#31HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Philipe Lins -112 50.10%
Elo K170 Ben Rothwell 1706.22 +211.47 72.43%
Elo Modified Ben Rothwell 1711.40 +145.70 65.43%
Glicko-1 Ben Rothwell 1755.28 +199.51 75.92%
WHR Ben Rothwell 1638.07 +92.14 60.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 210, Philipe Lins 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (13-9-0, +145) vs. [#15] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#27SW] Ashley Yoder (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#75FLY] Paige VanZant (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:21 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#35SW] Randa Markos (10-11-1) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-25)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Ribas -177 61.01%
Elo K170 Amanda Ribas 1502.41 +34.55 53.94%
Elo Modified Angela Hill 1567.54 +32.35 53.53%
Glicko-1 Angela Hill 1573.92 +65.20 59.27%
WHR Amanda Ribas 1533.76 +33.10 53.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 56, Amanda Ribas 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Ribas leads 2-1
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazcka (05-01-2021)

26 Apr , 2021,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#7] Dominick Reyes (12-2-0, +118) vs. [#10] Jiri Prochazka (27-3-1, -143)
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (1-2-0)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
2020-02-08: L vs. [#2LHW/#5P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#15MW] Chris Weidman (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-12-31: W vs. [*] C.B. Dollaway (17-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#85HW+] Fabio Maldonado (27-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jiri Prochazka -143 56.19%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2006.71 +81.37 59.19%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 1996.68 +99.00 60.67%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2103.47 +163.93 71.98%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2007.65 +166.04 68.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dominick Reyes 217, Jiri Prochazka 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#14] Cub Swanson (27-11-0, +163) vs. [#39] Giga Chikadze (13-2-0, -200)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #19 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (2-1-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#47FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Kron Gracie (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#19FW] Shane Burgos (13-2-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#279FW] James Krause-Simmons (7-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#66FW] Omar Morales (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#110BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Giga Chikadze -200 63.68%
Elo K170 Cub Swanson 1824.74 +149.92 66.48%
Elo Modified Cub Swanson 1869.47 +248.53 74.80%
Glicko-1 Cub Swanson 1902.64 +246.44 80.52%
WHR Cub Swanson 1817.23 +236.84 74.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 140, Giga Chikadze 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#32] Dustin Jacoby (14-5-0, +108) vs. [#38] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (3-0-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#36LHW] Maxim Grishin (31-9-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#122LHW] Justin Ledet (9-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:38 of round 1
2020-08-04: W vs. [#127LHW] Ty Flores (7-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#13LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#13LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#58LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -132 54.20%
Elo K170 Dustin Jacoby 1694.24 +112.68 62.59%
Elo Modified Dustin Jacoby 1717.29 +110.56 61.87%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1710.60 +74.96 60.62%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1692.06 +115.54 62.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 63, Ion Cutelaba 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal II (04-24-2021)

19 Apr , 2021,
Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0, -414) vs. [#3] Jorge Masvidal (35-14-0, +313)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #22 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3
2020-07-11: W vs. [#3WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-14-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-11-02: W vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kamaru Usman -414 76.88%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2482.67 +307.83 80.32%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2412.54 +251.86 75.08%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2517.63 +232.41 79.21%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2265.98 +230.27 74.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 70, Jorge Masvidal 287
Previous Match-up Record: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0, -194) vs. [#2/#5DD/#5P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0, +160)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #15 ranked Women’s fighter.
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #14 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#9SW] Tecia Torres (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via KO (Slam) in 2:58 of round 2
2018-04-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -194 63.17%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 1925.02 +80.15 59.05%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1847.91 +53.39 55.82%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 1881.59 +131.21 68.03%
WHR Weili Zhang 1794.96 +120.85 63.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 413, Rose Namajunas 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 4-3
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0, -418) vs. [#2/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0, +315)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#5FLY] Liz Carmouche (15-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (1-2-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via KO (Punches to the Body) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#5P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -418 77.00%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1941.72 +157.10 67.21%
Elo Modified Valentina Shevchenko 1941.84 +124.77 63.32%
Glicko-1 Valentina Shevchenko 1954.85 +114.97 65.97%
WHR Valentina Shevchenko 1939.97 +200.06 71.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 154, Jessica Andrade 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 4-1
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 2: Vettori vs. Holland (2021-04-10)

8 Apr , 2021,
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#7] Marvin Vettori (15-4-1, -326) vs. [#13] Kevin Holland (21-6-0, +250)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#10MW] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#48MW] Karl Roberson (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#62MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2020-10-31: W vs. [#259MW] Charlie Ontiveros (11-7-0) via TKO (Submission to Slam) in 2:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -326 72.81%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 1980.25 +114.21 62.75%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1997.93 +154.71 66.31%
Glicko-1 Marvin Vettori 2053.35 +139.22 69.03%
WHR Marvin Vettori 1958.84 +189.44 70.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 126, Kevin Holland 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#15] Arnold Allen (16-1-0, +109) vs. [#18] Sodiq Yusuff (11-1-0, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [*] Nik Lentz (30-12-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (3-0-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#27FW] Andre Fili (21-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#60FW] Gabriel Benitez (22-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [*] Sheymon Moraes (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sodiq Yusuff -134 54.47%
Elo K170 Arnold Allen 1917.33 +70.81 58.02%
Elo Modified Arnold Allen 1903.97 +41.16 54.49%
Glicko-1 Arnold Allen 1938.37 +79.23 61.21%
WHR Arnold Allen 1883.56 +243.89 75.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 441, Sodiq Yusuff 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#38] Aliaskhab Khizriev (13-0-0, -124) vs. [#52] Kyle Daukaus (10-1-0, +100)

Last 3 Fights: Aliaskhab Khizriev (3-0-0)
2020-09-08: W vs. [#128MW] Henrique Shiguemoto (13-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-03-30: W vs. [*] Rousimar Palhares (19-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-09-29: W vs. [#28MW] Yasubey Enomoto (21-12-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#98MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#33MW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#177MW] Nolan Norwood (12-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aliaskhab Khizriev -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Aliaskhab Khizriev 1736.03 +65.00 57.37%
Elo Modified Aliaskhab Khizriev 1758.09 +40.41 54.41%
Glicko-1 Aliaskhab Khizriev 1805.45 +83.73 61.82%
WHR Aliaskhab Khizriev 1777.50 +147.56 66.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aliaskhab Khizriev 214, Kyle Daukaus 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2 (2021-04-09)

6 Apr , 2021,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Lyoto Machida (26-10-0, +233) vs. [#11] Ryan Bader (27-6-0, -304)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #7 ranked Light Heavyweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #17 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (1-2-0)
2020-09-11: L vs. [#5LHW] Phil Davis (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#3MW/#10P4P] Gegard Mousasi (47-7-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-14: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (31-17-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2020-08-21: L vs. [#3LHW] Vadim Nemkov (13-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:02 of round 2
2019-09-07: NC vs. [#18HW+] Cheick Kongo (30-11-2)
2019-01-26: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (39-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Bader -304 71.47%
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2133.85 +226.68 73.80%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2107.76 +118.54 62.69%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2140.41 +56.85 58.11%
WHR Ryan Bader 1952.72 +57.17 56.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 210, Ryan Bader 231
Previous Match-up Record: Lyoto Machida leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-2
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#6] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0, -182) vs. [*] Vanessa Porto (22-8-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#48BW] DeAnna Bennett (10-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-08-10: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#12FW] Lucie Pudilova (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Porto (3-0-0)
2019-11-01: W vs. [*] Karina Rodriguez (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#37FLY] Pearl Gonzalez (10-5-0) via TUD (39-37, 40-36, 39-37)
2018-01-13: W vs. [#11FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Liz Carmouche -182 61.54%
Elo K170 Liz Carmouche 1596.15 +33.76 53.85%
Elo Modified Liz Carmouche 1634.42 +50.05 55.46%
Glicko-1 Liz Carmouche 1630.93 +49.28 57.05%
WHR Liz Carmouche 1595.68 +49.63 55.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liz Carmouche 209, Vanessa Porto 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#30] Jeremy Kennedy (16-2-0, -119) vs. [#48] Adam Borics (16-1-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Kennedy (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2020-11-19: W vs. [#109FW] Matt Bessette (24-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-10-17: NC vs. [#43FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [*] Luis Rafael Laurentino (34-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Adam Borics (2-1-0)
2020-10-29: W vs. [#486LW] Erick Sanchez (9-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-07: W vs. [#246LW] Mike Hamel (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#16FW] Darrion Caldwell (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jeremy Kennedy -119 51.13%
Elo K170 Jeremy Kennedy 1801.92 +23.26 52.65%
Elo Modified Jeremy Kennedy 1822.40 +83.03 58.99%
Glicko-1 Jeremy Kennedy 1861.84 +137.07 68.76%
WHR Jeremy Kennedy 1748.51 +109.29 62.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeremy Kennedy 141, Adam Borics 162
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – One on TNT 1 (2021-04-07)

5 Apr , 2021,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1, -766) vs. [*] Adriano Moraes (18-3-0, +476)
Demetrious Johnson is the All-Time #50 ranked Bantamweight and #7 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demetrious Johnson (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#54BW] Danny Kingad (14-2-0) via UD ()
2019-08-02: W vs. [#105BW] Tatsumitsu Wada (22-12-2) via UD ()
2019-03-31: W vs. [#61BW] Yuya Wakamatsu (13-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Adriano Moraes (2-1-0)
2019-01-25: W vs. [#102FW] Geje Eustaquio (14-8-0) via UD ()
2018-06-23: L vs. [#102FW] Geje Eustaquio (14-8-0) via SD ()
2017-11-10: W vs. [#54BW] Danny Kingad (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Demetrious Johnson -766 83.59%
Elo K170 Demetrious Johnson 2112.88 +417.41 87.07%
Elo Modified Demetrious Johnson 2128.37 +373.87 83.71%
Glicko-1 Demetrious Johnson 2186.39 +373.37 89.56%
WHR Demetrious Johnson 2082.53 +352.73 83.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demetrious Johnson 543, Adriano Moraes 803
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[*] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0, -241) vs. [#117] Iuri Lapicus (14-1-0, +183)
Eddie Alvarez is the All-Time #24 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Alvarez (1-2-0)
2019-08-02: W vs. [#130WW] Eduard Folayang (22-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:16 of round 1
2019-03-31: L vs. [#15WW] Timofey Nastyukhin (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2018-07-28: L vs. [#1LW/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (27-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Iuri Lapicus (2-1-0)
2020-10-30: L vs. [#39WW] Christian Lee (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1
2020-02-07: W vs. [#124WW] Marat Gafurov (18-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 1
2019-05-17: W vs. [#547LW] Shannon Wiratchai (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:10 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Eddie Alvarez -241 66.66%
Elo K170 Eddie Alvarez 1986.31 +415.22 86.96%
Elo Modified Eddie Alvarez 1930.15 +322.79 80.42%
Glicko-1 Eddie Alvarez 1950.65 +295.03 84.53%
WHR Eddie Alvarez 1814.84 +225.35 73.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eddie Alvarez 614, Iuri Lapicus 159
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#79] Raimond Magomedaliev (7-1-0, -150) vs. [#95] Tyler McGuire (12-1-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Raimond Magomedaliev (2-1-0)
2020-12-25: W vs. [#268MW] Edson Marques (9-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:52 of round 1
2020-01-10: W vs. [*] Joey Pierotti (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2018-11-23: L vs. [#87WW] James Nakashima (12-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Tyler McGuire (2-1-0)
2020-12-11: W vs. [#176MW] Agilan Thani (11-5-0) via UD ()
2018-11-17: L vs. [#87MW] Zebaztian Kadestam (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:32 of round 5
2018-07-13: W vs. [*] Luis Santos (65-12-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raimond Magomedaliev -150 56.67%
Elo K170 Raimond Magomedaliev 1624.09 +35.65 54.06%
Elo Modified Raimond Magomedaliev 1655.82 +39.28 54.29%
Glicko-1 Raimond Magomedaliev 1673.96 +50.49 57.21%
WHR Raimond Magomedaliev 1687.52 +140.89 65.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raimond Magomedaliev 103, Tyler McGuire 117
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

State of the UFC’s Lightweight Division

4 Apr , 2021,
oleg

Happy Easter! With a rare off-week for the UFC, it seems like a good time to take a look at the state of the lightweight Top 10 – a division where the title belt was recently vacated by Khabib Nurmagomedov, who is apparently retired for good despite Dana White’s best efforts to bring him back for one more fight. A matchup between Michael Chandler and Charles Oliveira has been scheduled for the vacant title, and a few other exciting matches are pending in the division. Let’s take a look at these upcoming fights, as well as a couple others that aren’t scheduled but make perfect sense in my opinion. And if you want to put a few bucks on your favorite lightweight, you can get a piece of the action at 22Bet.

[#1] Dustin Poirier vs [#13]  Conor McGregor 

Coming off a TKO win over McGregor, the #1 ranked Dustin Poirier should really be fighting for the vacant title. Alas – money talks, the UFC loves ‘rubber matches’, and with Poirier and McGregor both holding a stoppage win over the other, how could they resist a trilogy bout? I would have preferred to see these two in other bouts before a rematch, but the figurative ink on this bout agreement was dry before the official result of the second fight was announced.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou 2 (2021-03-27)

22 Mar , 2021,
Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Stipe Miocic (20-3-0, +107) vs. [#2] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0, -131)
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-08-17: W vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2018-07-07: L vs. [*] Daniel Cormier (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [*] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francis Ngannou -131 53.99%
Elo K170 Stipe Miocic 2402.41 +231.63 74.23%
Elo Modified Stipe Miocic 2381.36 +226.19 72.91%
Glicko-1 Stipe Miocic 2494.16 +203.54 76.35%
WHR Stipe Miocic 2270.90 +224.05 73.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stipe Miocic 224, Francis Ngannou 322
Previous Match-up Record: Stipe Miocic leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Tyron Woodley (19-6-1, +212) vs. [#12] Vicente Luque (19-7-1, -267)
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #27 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (0-3-0)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5
2020-05-30: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#45WW] Randy Brown (12-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#44WW] Niko Price (14-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3
2019-11-02: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (16-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -267 69.41%
Elo K170 Tyron Woodley 2060.55 +92.96 60.46%
Elo Modified Tyron Woodley 2024.03 +75.56 58.19%
Glicko-1 Tyron Woodley 2067.76 +33.10 54.75%
WHR Vicente Luque 1892.32 +55.58 56.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyron Woodley 189, Vicente Luque 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tyron Woodley leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#35] Sean OMalley (12-1-0, -311) vs. [#282] Thomas Almeida (22-4-0, +243)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#16BW] Marlon Vera (17-7-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [#75BW] Eddie Wineland (24-15-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:54 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#117BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Thomas Almeida (0-3-0)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#79BW] Jonathan Martinez (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#5BW] Rob Font (18-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2017-07-22: L vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean OMalley -311 72.19%
Elo K170 Sean OMalley 1664.20 +175.96 69.08%
Elo Modified Sean OMalley 1697.20 +155.50 66.39%
Glicko-1 Sean OMalley 1736.05 +152.94 70.69%
WHR Sean OMalley 1586.30 +168.33 68.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 224, Thomas Almeida 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 259: Błachowicz vs Adesanya (2021-03-06)

1 Mar , 2021,
Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1MW/#7DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (20-0-0, -253) vs. [#2] Jan Blachowicz (27-8-0, +203)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #22 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#5MW] Paulo Costa (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2020-03-07: W vs. [#4MW] Yoel Romero (13-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#2MW/#7P4P] Robert Whittaker (22-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (3-0-0)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#6LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
2020-02-15: W vs. [#11LHW] Corey Anderson (14-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:08 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-9-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -253 68.47%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2349.59 +167.00 68.20%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2314.69 +177.96 68.54%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2416.50 +177.72 73.56%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2142.24 +161.15 67.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 161, Jan Blachowicz 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (20-4-0, -1207) vs. [#7] Megan Anderson (11-4-0, +708)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#5FW] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2BW/#8DD] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-44)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#1BW/#6DD/#10P4P] Holly Holm (14-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Megan Anderson (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#37BW] Norma Dumont (5-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1
2019-10-05: W vs. [#21FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2019-05-18: L vs. [#5FW] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Nunes -1207 88.17%
Elo K170 Amanda Nunes 2033.81 +534.42 92.00%
Elo Modified Amanda Nunes 2000.24 +464.89 88.44%
Glicko-1 Amanda Nunes 2051.58 +503.21 94.77%
WHR Amanda Nunes 2067.48 +558.30 92.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 273, Megan Anderson 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD] Petr Yan (15-1-0, -135) vs. [#3] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0, +109)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #13 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #16 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#4BW] Jose Aldo (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 5
2019-12-14: W vs. [#21BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:43 of round 3
2019-06-08: W vs. [#13BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#2BW] Cory Sandhagen (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-06-08: W vs. [#8BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#13BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -135 54.55%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2166.47 +37.83 54.31%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2138.05 +15.41 51.68%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2197.13 +4.00 50.58%
WHR Petr Yan 2056.13 +27.04 53.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 238, Aljamain Sterling 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Read More…