Category Archives: Event Previews

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Dillashaw (07-24-2021)

19 Jul , 2021,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Cory Sandhagen (14-2-0) vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
T.J. Dillashaw is the All-Time #2 ranked Bantamweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#6BW] Frankie Edgar (24-9-1) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:28 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 2
2020-06-06: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD/#9P4P] Aljamain Sterling (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Dillashaw (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#11BW] Cody Garbrandt (12-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-11-04: W vs. [#11BW] Cody Garbrandt (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Cory Sandhagen 2113.16 +43.74 54.98%
Elo Modified T.J. Dillashaw 2053.08 +18.25 52.00%
Glicko-1 T.J. Dillashaw 2109.86 +7.89 51.14%
WHR T.J. Dillashaw 1964.81 +69.22 57.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 168, T.J. Dillashaw 917
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0) vs. [#9] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#10BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [#3BW/#8DD] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#13BW] Sijara Eubanks (6-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [*] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Aspen Ladd 1637.04 +118.19 63.18%
Elo Modified Aspen Ladd 1658.71 +35.64 53.89%
Glicko-1 Aspen Ladd 1662.59 +107.64 65.02%
WHR Aspen Ladd 1658.66 +152.24 66.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aspen Ladd 595, Macy Chiasson 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aspen Ladd leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#23] Kyler Phillips (9-1-0) vs. [#83] Raulian Paiva (20-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#31BW] Yadong Song (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#228BW] Cameron Else (10-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:44 of round 2
2020-02-29: W vs. [*] Gabriel Silva (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Raulian Paiva (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#28FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#210BW] Mark De La Rosa (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2019-08-10: L vs. [#18FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (17-3-0) via TKO (Cut) in 2:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Raulian Paiva 1718.77 +37.09 54.23%
Elo Modified Kyler Phillips 1754.82 +52.60 55.73%
Glicko-1 Kyler Phillips 1779.88 +73.71 60.45%
WHR Kyler Phillips 1700.27 +130.00 64.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyler Phillips 140, Raulian Paiva 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs Moises (07-17-2021)

12 Jul , 2021,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Islam Makhachev (19-1-0, -614) vs. [#14] Thiago Moises (15-4-0, +429)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#25LW] Drew Dober (23-11-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:37 of round 3
2019-09-07: W vs. [#90LW] Davi Ramos (10-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#29LW] Arman Tsarukyan (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (3-0-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#26LW] Alexander Hernandez (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#33LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#120LW] Michael Johnson (19-17-0) via Submission (Achilles Lock) in 0:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -614 81.98%
Elo K170 Islam Makhachev 2085.28 +193.56 70.77%
Elo Modified Islam Makhachev 2054.15 +171.21 67.91%
Glicko-1 Islam Makhachev 2112.19 +195.07 75.45%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2030.60 +244.86 75.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 133, Thiago Moises 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#20] Marion Reneau (9-7-1, +105) vs. [*] Miesha Tate (18-7-0, -129)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (0-3-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#8BW] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#7BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (1-2-0)
2016-11-12: L vs. [#7BW] Raquel Pennington (11-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2016-03-05: W vs. [#2BW/#6DD] Holly Holm (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miesha Tate -129 53.59%
Elo K170 Miesha Tate 1559.88 +312.23 80.63%
Elo Modified Miesha Tate 1576.52 +273.00 76.76%
Glicko-1 Miesha Tate 1567.31 +257.31 81.47%
WHR Miesha Tate 1573.26 +221.00 73.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marion Reneau 119, Miesha Tate 1708
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Miesha Tate leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#15] Mateusz Gamrot (18-1-0, -240) vs. [#62] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#41LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2020-10-17: L vs. [#24LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#70LW] Marian Ziolkowski (23-8-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#5FW] Calvin Kattar (22-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2019-10-18: L vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-21: NC vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -240 67.26%
Elo K170 Mateusz Gamrot 1948.77 +263.21 76.90%
Elo Modified Mateusz Gamrot 1989.22 +286.87 77.83%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Gamrot 2057.38 +321.34 86.41%
WHR Mateusz Gamrot 2023.09 +345.07 82.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 98, Jeremy Stephens 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 264: Poirier vs McGregor (07-10-2021)

5 Jul , 2021,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#1/#6DD] Dustin Poirier (27-6-0, -125) vs. [#12] Conor McGregor (22-5-0, +103)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #42 ranked Absolute fighter.
Conor McGregor is the All-Time #23 ranked Lightweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#12LW] Conor McGregor (22-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2020-06-27: W vs. [#9LW] Dan Hooker (20-10-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-46)
2019-09-07: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Conor McGregor (1-2-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#1LW/#6DD] Dustin Poirier (27-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2020-01-18: W vs. [#32WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2018-10-06: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Poirier -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Dustin Poirier 2364.98 +213.97 72.66%
Elo Modified Dustin Poirier 2298.68 +205.09 71.05%
Glicko-1 Dustin Poirier 2365.85 +232.35 79.21%
WHR Dustin Poirier 2121.72 +190.46 70.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 168, Conor McGregor 168
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 1-1-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dustin Poirier leads 5-3
.

Welterweight (170)
[#4] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0, +135) vs. [#6] Stephen Thompson (16-4-1, -164)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #14 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (2-1-0)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (19-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3
2020-05-30: W vs. [#11WW] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#22WW] Demian Maia (28-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (2-1-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#30WW] Geoff Neal (13-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#7WW] Vicente Luque (20-7-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#44LW] Anthony Pettis (24-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Stephen Thompson -164 59.34%
Elo K170 Gilbert Burns 2201.72 +138.34 65.30%
Elo Modified Gilbert Burns 2161.45 +105.53 61.35%
Glicko-1 Gilbert Burns 2219.14 +117.01 66.23%
WHR Stephen Thompson 1975.80 +10.79 51.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 147, Stephen Thompson 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gilbert Burns leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#26] Tai Tuivasa (12-4-0, -140) vs. [#40] Greg Hardy (7-3-0, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#155HW+] Harry Hunsucker (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2020-10-24: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2019-10-05: L vs. [#20HW+] Sergey Spivak (13-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (2-1-0)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#10HW+] Marcin Tybura (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2020-10-31: W vs. [#57HW+] Maurice Greene (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#169HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tai Tuivasa -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Tai Tuivasa 1620.64 +62.31 57.07%
Elo Modified Greg Hardy 1650.18 +6.03 50.66%
Glicko-1 Tai Tuivasa 1712.76 +95.25 63.38%
WHR Tai Tuivasa 1602.88 +115.41 62.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tai Tuivasa 112, Greg Hardy 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Volkov (06-26-2021)

21 Jun , 2021,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Ciryl Gane (8-0-0, -165) vs. [#6] Alexander Volkov (33-8-0, +136)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #38 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#7HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Elbow) in 2:34 of round 2
2019-12-21: W vs. [#35HW+] Tanner Boser (19-8-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 2
2020-10-24: W vs. [#23HW+] Walt Harris (13-10-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-06-20: L vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (14-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -165 59.50%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 2026.72 +153.47 66.84%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 2040.26 +112.61 62.08%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2134.75 +194.61 75.40%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1943.52 +53.59 56.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 119, Alexander Volkov 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0, +123) vs. [#35] Tanner Boser (19-8-1, -152)

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#22LHW] Jamahal Hill (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2020-09-05: W vs. [#51LHW] Alonzo Menifield (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-05-13: L vs. [#25HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (1-2-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#27HW+] Ilir Latifi (15-8-0) via SD (27-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#32HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#75HW+] Raphael Pessoa (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tanner Boser -152 57.36%
Elo K170 Ovince St. Preux 1602.07 +106.72 61.95%
Elo Modified Ovince St. Preux 1673.95 +75.35 58.17%
Glicko-1 Ovince St. Preux 1725.02 +61.52 58.76%
WHR Ovince St. Preux 1657.97 +41.24 54.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 203, Tanner Boser 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#60] Danilo Marques (11-2-0, -120) vs. [#70] Kennedy Nzechukwu (8-1-0, -103)

Last 3 Fights: Danilo Marques (3-0-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#88LHW] Mike Rodriguez (11-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:52 of round 2
2020-09-26: W vs. [#82LHW] Khadis Ibragimov (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [*] Cleiton Caetano (5-5-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#148LHW] Carlos Ulberg (3-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 2
2019-08-03: W vs. [#59HW+] Darko Stosic (15-4-0) via UD (29-26, 28-27, 28-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#14LHW] Paul Craig (15-4-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:20 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Danilo Marques -120 51.80%
Elo K170 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1507.66 +88.69 59.99%
Elo Modified Kennedy Nzechukwu 1577.91 +105.21 61.32%
Glicko-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1527.34 +44.13 56.32%
WHR Kennedy Nzechukwu 1520.08 +46.09 55.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Danilo Marques 140, Kennedy Nzechukwu 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Rematches The Order Of The Day On Recent UFC Cards

15 Jun , 2021,
A. J. Riot

When it comes to UFC competition, the promotion loves itself some rematch action.

That was certainly the case with UFC 263. Israel Adesanya easily handled Marvin Vettori in their second bout, defending his UFC world middleweight title with a one-sided unanimous decision over Marvin Vettori. That wasn’t the outcome in the in the world flyweight title bout, though. Champion Deiveson Figueiredo was submitted by challenger Brandon Moreno in their second meeting inside the octagon.

It’s not difficult to understand this love affair with rematches. They’re easy to promote, after all. There’s already an established storyline. If the previous bouts were seesaw affairs, it also makes for lucrative opportunities when it comes to the UFC betting lines on these fights.

UFC 264 on July 10th from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas will also see a rematch as its main event bout. Dustin Poirier takes on Conor McGregor in what will be the third leg of a trilogy of fights between the two men. That the winner will likely be in line for a shot at middleweight champion Charles Oliveira’s world title belt only adds further intrigue to this rematch.

“McGregor vs Poirier” by Getty is licensed under CC BY 3.0

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 (06-12-2021)

7 Jun , 2021,
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#7P4P] Israel Adesanya (20-1-0, -252) vs. [#4] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1, +201)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #3 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#5MW] Paulo Costa (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2020-03-07: W vs. [*] Yoel Romero (13-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#9MW] Jack Hermansson (22-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#66MW] Karl Roberson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -252 68.30%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2226.52 +188.17 70.26%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2200.59 +157.45 66.58%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2300.65 +200.17 75.99%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2050.24 +50.39 55.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 98, Marvin Vettori 63
Previous Match-up Record: Israel Adesanya leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#5P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1, -250) vs. [#2] Brandon Moreno (18-5-2, +200)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #10 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-0-1)
2020-12-12: D vs. [#2FLY] Brandon Moreno (18-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2020-11-21: W vs. [#6FLY] Alex Perez (24-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [#5FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-0-1)
2020-12-12: D vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#5P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5
2020-11-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Brandon Royval (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -250 68.18%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2105.92 +130.96 64.53%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2070.65 +139.96 64.86%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2151.08 +164.30 72.03%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1956.30 +115.56 62.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 182, Brandon Moreno 182
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 0-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16] Jamahal Hill (9-0-0, -303) vs. [#21] Paul Craig (14-4-1, +237)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2020-05-30: W vs. [#42LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:51 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#59HW+] Darko Stosic (15-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (2-0-1)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#39LHW] Mauricio Rua (27-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 2
2020-07-25: W vs. [#130LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:06 of round 1
2019-11-16: D vs. [#39LHW] Mauricio Rua (27-12-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -303 71.70%
Elo K170 Paul Craig 1786.58 +50.54 55.75%
Elo Modified Paul Craig 1795.38 +21.70 52.37%
Glicko-1 Paul Craig 1845.51 +35.00 55.02%
WHR Jamahal Hill 1723.44 +57.08 56.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 189, Paul Craig 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor Odds

Jun , 2021,
A. J. Riot

It looks set to be a summer of trilogies in the world of combat sports, with one of the UFC’s headline acts being the third meeting of Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor.

The pair are set to meet for the third time with one victory apiece to their names respectively after two meetings in their professional careers.   McGregor won the first meeting between the pair back in 2014, winning via TKO in an explosive first round victory in Las Vegas, while Poirier was victorious in the second round of their meeting in January of this year.

With the pair locked at one win each after two meetings, it’s clear the bookmakers are having a tough time picking a favourite between the two.  If you are interested in betting on this fight, be sure to check out Max Free Bets first. They are your one-stop shop for all of the best betting offers and free bets that are available with the best bookmakers in the industry. Whatever your betting interest is, Max Free Bets will have a site that fits your criteria.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai (06-05-2021)

31 May , 2021,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2-0, -121) vs. [#17] Augusto Sakai (15-2-1, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2021-02-27: L vs. [#4HW+] Ciryl Gane (8-0-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#3P4P] Francis Ngannou (16-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:26 of round 5
2020-05-30: W vs. [#18HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jairzinho Rozenstruik -121 52.01%
Elo K170 Augusto Sakai 1788.95 +3.91 50.45%
Elo Modified Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1809.89 +45.82 55.00%
Glicko-1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1879.67 +88.58 62.48%
WHR Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1791.77 +73.72 58.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 98, Augusto Sakai 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jairzinho Rozenstruik leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0, -169) vs. [#22] Walt Harris (13-9-0, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#38HW+] Greg Hardy (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#24HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-13-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#36LHW] Maxim Grishin (31-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#6HW+] Alexander Volkov (33-8-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2019-07-20: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-15-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcin Tybura -169 60.02%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1897.38 +270.39 77.48%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1906.46 +205.12 71.05%
Glicko-1 Marcin Tybura 1934.68 +185.25 74.39%
WHR Marcin Tybura 1789.80 +118.18 63.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 168, Walt Harris 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Muslim Salikhov (17-2-0, -259) vs. [#14LW] Francisco Trinaldo (26-7-0, +208)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#31WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#91WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Nordine Taleb (15-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#83LW] Jai Herbert (10-2-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 3
2020-03-14: W vs. [#64LW] John Makdessi (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#29LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Muslim Salikhov -259 68.96%
Elo K170 Francisco Trinaldo 1941.75 +24.38 52.78%
Elo Modified Francisco Trinaldo 1920.68 +65.35 57.10%
Glicko-1 Francisco Trinaldo 1983.46 +95.07 63.35%
WHR Francisco Trinaldo 1821.31 +39.02 54.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 329, Francisco Trinaldo 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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McGregor v Poirier: does Notorious still have the will to win?

28 May , 2021,
A. J. Riot

Conor McGregor v Dustin Poirier headlines UFC 254 in Las Vegas on 10 July, with a packed T-Mobile Arena providing the backdrop. This will be the third and, likely, the final match-up between the Irishman and his long-term American rival. It’s one fight fans, pundits, the media, and bettors are all looking forward to but are struggling to call at this stage.

The leading trading teams covering UFC betting offer odds on the winner of this bout, but you can also make your predictions on several specials. How will the fight be won, points, KO or submission? Will the slugfest go the distance? Will there be a winner in the opening round? There’s something to satisfy all types of gamblers looking to wager on the latest comeback of the world-famous UFC star Notorious.

“McGregor vs Poirier” by Getty is licensed under CC BY 3.0

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs Garbrandt (05-22-2021)

17 May , 2021,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Rob Font (18-4-0, -124) vs. [#9] Cody Garbrandt (12-3-0, +100)
Rob Font is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#29FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#13BW] Sergio Pettis (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#26BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-03-02: L vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -124 52.54%
Elo K170 Rob Font 2003.06 +103.05 61.56%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1948.96 +62.84 56.83%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1998.89 +59.80 58.52%
WHR Rob Font 1886.07 +117.44 63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 154, Cody Garbrandt 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Garbrandt leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -159) vs. [#27] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +129)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#23MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Hermansson -159 58.43%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1908.02 +137.66 65.22%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1931.73 +183.36 69.06%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2013.37 +249.32 80.77%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1870.17 +234.08 74.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Edmen Shahbazyan 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Carla Esparza (17-6-0, +128) vs. [#6] Xiaonan Yan (13-1-0, -156)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #39 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#4SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#46SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Xiaonan Yan -156 58.14%
Elo K170 Carla Esparza 1791.53 +87.21 59.83%
Elo Modified Carla Esparza 1702.21 +27.82 53.04%
Glicko-1 Xiaonan Yan 1647.61 +28.55 54.10%
WHR Xiaonan Yan 1630.58 +36.65 54.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 301, Xiaonan Yan 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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