Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev (12-10-2022)

Dec 5, 2022
Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#2] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-0, +226) vs. [#6] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-0, -292)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#10LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3
2021-10-30: L vs. [#3LHW] Glover Teixeira (33-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2
2021-03-06: W vs. [#2MW] Israel Adesanya (23-2-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2022-03-12: W vs. [#13LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -292 70.83%
Elo K170 Jan Blachowicz 2220.08 +78.45 58.87%
Elo Modified Jan Blachowicz 2191.26 +50.75 55.53%
Glicko-1 Jan Blachowicz 2298.43 +59.09 58.42%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2038.11 +7.48 50.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 210, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#55] Jared Gordon (19-5-0, +204) vs. [#62] Paddy Pimblett (19-3-0, -258)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#98LW] Leonardo Santos (18-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#12LW] Grant Dawson (19-1-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-10-02: W vs. [#79LW] Joe Solecki (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#205LW] Jordan Leavitt (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#210LW] Rodrigo Vargas (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [*] Luigi Vendramini (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Paddy Pimblett -258 68.66%
Elo K170 Jared Gordon 1831.54 +62.66 57.11%
Elo Modified Jared Gordon 1799.27 +21.54 52.36%
Glicko-1 Paddy Pimblett 1865.38 +97.78 63.71%
WHR Paddy Pimblett 1812.26 +93.20 60.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 112, Paddy Pimblett 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (180)
[#25WW] Alex Morono (22-7-0, +154) vs. [#40WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#117WW] Matthew Semelsberger (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#140WW] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via UD ()
2021-09-04: W vs. [#110WW] David Zawada (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32WW] Michel Pereira (29-11-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#6WW] Geoff Neal (15-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#75WW] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Santiago Ponzinibbio -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1872.69 +90.59 60.20%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1893.96 +3.26 50.36%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1955.72 +21.43 53.08%
WHR Alex Morono 1777.46 +19.41 52.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 133, Santiago Ponzinibbio 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland (12-03-2022)

Nov 28, 2022
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Kevin Holland (23-8-0, -137) vs. [#15] Stephen Thompson (16-6-1, +111)
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #14 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#5MW] Khamzat Chimaev (12-0-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [#39WW] Tim Means (32-14-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#113WW] Alex Oliveira (23-13-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-2-0)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (22-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#5WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#6WW] Geoff Neal (15-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -137 54.95%
Elo K170 Stephen Thompson 1946.31 +89.75 60.11%
Elo Modified Stephen Thompson 1921.75 +75.62 58.20%
Glicko-1 Stephen Thompson 1979.71 +52.45 57.49%
WHR Stephen Thompson 1855.24 +82.45 59.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 84, Stephen Thompson 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#34] Rafael dos Anjos (31-14-0, -525) vs. [#35] Bryan Barberena (18-8-0, +376)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #27 ranked Welterweight and #29 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#7LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2022-03-05: W vs. [#17LW] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)
2020-11-14: W vs. [*] Paul Felder (17-6-0) via SD (50-45, 50-45, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#78WW] Robbie Lawler (29-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2022-03-26: W vs. [#68WW] Matt Brown (23-19-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#348WW] Darian Weeks (5-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael dos Anjos -525 79.99%
Elo K170 Rafael dos Anjos 1932.39 +115.33 62.88%
Elo Modified Rafael dos Anjos 1891.34 +92.59 60.00%
Glicko-1 Rafael dos Anjos 1902.58 +57.32 58.17%
WHR Rafael dos Anjos 1864.67 +227.34 73.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 147, Bryan Barberena 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#6] Matheus Nicolau (18-2-1, -334) vs. [#25] Matt Schnell (16-7-0, +255)
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #37 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (3-0-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#24FLY] David Dvorak (20-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#13FLY] Tim Elliott (18-12-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#7FLY] Manel Kape (17-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#79FLY] Su Mudaerji (16-5-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2022-05-07: L vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Royval (14-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2021-05-15: L vs. [#94BW] Rogerio Bontorin (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matheus Nicolau -334 73.20%
Elo K170 Matheus Nicolau 1888.32 +277.58 78.05%
Elo Modified Matheus Nicolau 1834.89 +264.01 76.06%
Glicko-1 Matheus Nicolau 1855.65 +266.78 82.28%
WHR Matheus Nicolau 1764.48 +233.67 74.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matheus Nicolau 252, Matt Schnell 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak (11-19-2022)

Nov 14, 2022
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0, +149) vs. [#19] Sergey Spivak (15-3-0, -182)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1
2022-02-12: L vs. [#5HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-4-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#14HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#28HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#59HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2021-09-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Tom Aspinall (12-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergey Spivak -182 61.64%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 1828.30 +79.81 59.01%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 1841.44 +74.66 58.10%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 1888.94 +87.72 62.36%
WHR Derrick Lewis 1773.27 +68.37 57.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 112, Sergey Spivak 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41] Muslim Salikhov (18-3-0, -132) vs. [#72] Andre Fialho (16-5-0, +106)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#28WW] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2
2021-06-05: W vs. [#42WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#54WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fialho (2-1-0)
2022-06-11: L vs. [#45WW] Jake Matthews (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2022-05-07: W vs. [#481LW] Cameron VanCamp (15-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:35 of round 1
2022-04-16: W vs. [#76WW] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Muslim Salikhov -132 53.96%
Elo K170 Muslim Salikhov 1882.90 +223.34 73.50%
Elo Modified Muslim Salikhov 1847.39 +174.19 68.19%
Glicko-1 Muslim Salikhov 1873.52 +162.22 71.78%
WHR Muslim Salikhov 1752.70 +123.99 63.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 126, Andre Fialho 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#35] Ion Cutelaba (16-8-1, +144) vs. [#54] Kennedy Nzechukwu (10-3-0, -173)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#17LHW] Johnny Walker (19-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2022-05-14: L vs. [#11LHW] Ryan Spann (21-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2021-09-18: W vs. [#45LHW] Devin Clark (13-7-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (1-2-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#112LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:19 of round 3
2022-03-05: L vs. [#76LHW] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via SD (29-27, 27-29, 29-27)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#37LHW] Da Un Jung (15-3-1) via KO (Elbows) in 3:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kennedy Nzechukwu -173 60.72%
Elo K170 Ion Cutelaba 1544.46 +21.33 52.44%
Elo Modified Kennedy Nzechukwu 1607.31 +32.29 53.53%
Glicko-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1616.89 +50.69 57.24%
WHR Kennedy Nzechukwu 1598.77 +17.79 52.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ion Cutelaba 70, Kennedy Nzechukwu 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 281 (11-12-2022)

Nov 7, 2022
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#9DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0, -195) vs. [#7] Alex Pereira (6-1-0, +155)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#3MW] Jared Cannonier (15-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#2MW] Robert Whittaker (24-6-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#6MW] Marvin Vettori (18-6-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#11MW] Sean Strickland (25-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#45MW] Bruno Silva (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#346WW] Andreas Michailidis (13-6-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -195 62.76%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2393.62 +637.48 94.85%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2354.18 +526.15 90.92%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2440.24 +579.76 96.57%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2167.98 +286.21 78.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 133, Alex Pereira 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Carla Esparza (19-6-0, +289) vs. [#3/#6P4P] Weili Zhang (22-3-0, -394)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #21 ranked Women’s fighter.
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #15 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via SD ()
2021-05-22: W vs. [#6SW] Xiaonan Yan (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2020-07-25: W vs. [#5SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-2-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (1-2-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 2:28 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -394 75.62%
Elo K170 Carla Esparza 1976.75 +145.67 66.05%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1829.16 +4.49 50.49%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 1862.70 +98.81 63.85%
WHR Weili Zhang 1762.72 +51.63 55.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 189, Weili Zhang 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 3-2
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Lightweight (155)
[#3] Dustin Poirier (28-7-0, -219) vs. [#6] Michael Chandler (23-7-0, +170)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #37 ranked Absolute fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#2LW/#4DD] Charles Oliveira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 3
2021-07-10: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (22-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2021-01-23: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (22-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (1-2-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#50WW] Tony Ferguson (25-8-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [#4LW] Justin Gaethje (23-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#2LW/#4DD] Charles Oliveira (33-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Poirier -219 64.95%
Elo K170 Dustin Poirier 2294.20 +177.35 69.22%
Elo Modified Dustin Poirier 2225.30 +163.68 67.18%
Glicko-1 Dustin Poirier 2306.79 +148.51 70.16%
WHR Dustin Poirier 2055.59 +102.16 61.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 336, Michael Chandler 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dustin Poirier leads 3-2
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