Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez (12-09-2023)

Dec 4, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#11] Yadong Song (20-8-1, -364) vs. [#18] Chris Gutierrez (20-5-2, +275)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#25BW] Ricky Simon (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5
2022-09-17: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#72BW] Heili Alateng (16-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -364 74.62%
Elo K170 Yadong Song 1965.20 +108.42 62.14%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1936.41 +126.63 63.51%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 1985.53 +146.44 69.91%
WHR Yadong Song 1842.05 +136.13 65.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 224, Chris Gutierrez 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12] Khalil Rountree (12-6-0, -236) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (37-18-0, +188)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #30 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#16LHW] Ryan Spann (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -236 66.92%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1904.80 +115.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1848.88 +89.78 59.70%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1923.01 +113.14 65.73%
WHR Anthony Smith 1765.30 +18.37 52.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 119, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 1-0
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Flyweight (125)
[#30] Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, -255) vs. [*] Su Mudaerji (16-5-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#129FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#65FLY] Jake Hadley (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#16FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#123FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Allan Nascimento -255 68.37%
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1648.13 +228.47 73.96%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1698.60 +265.11 76.14%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1762.65 +323.38 86.55%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1740.02 +345.78 82.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 329, Su Mudaerji 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan (12-02-2023)

Nov 27, 2023
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#5] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1, +220) vs. [#15] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0, -282)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#111LW] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -282 70.25%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2196.34 +147.43 66.23%
Elo Modified Beneil Dariush 2149.24 +122.66 63.11%
Glicko-1 Beneil Dariush 2173.64 +80.54 61.39%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 2017.67 +2.17 50.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 175, Arman Tsarukyan 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Beneil Dariush leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#12] Bobby Green (31-14-1, +196) vs. [#28] Jalin Turner (13-7-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (20-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-29: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#41LW] Jared Gordon (20-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#82LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jalin Turner -247 67.81%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1987.99 +276.38 77.95%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1945.00 +160.29 66.86%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 2031.98 +149.20 70.24%
WHR Bobby Green 1868.54 +59.88 56.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 56, Jalin Turner 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#3FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1, +118) vs. [#11] Rob Font (20-7-0, -144)
Rob Font is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#59BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2004.69 +113.57 62.69%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1963.69 +96.69 60.43%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2029.42 +90.54 62.74%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1876.76 +97.00 60.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 315, Rob Font 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig (11-18-2023)

Nov 13, 2023
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Brendan Allen (22-5-0, -289) vs. [#17] Paul Craig (17-6-1, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#37MW] Bruno Silva (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3
2022-10-01: W vs. [#41LHW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2
2023-01-21: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -289 70.77%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2060.02 +235.76 74.59%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2066.88 +226.93 72.98%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2141.48 +237.48 79.69%
WHR Brendan Allen 1930.45 +98.55 61.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Paul Craig 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#31] Michael Morales (15-0-0, -263) vs. [#52] Jake Matthews (19-6-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#33WW] Max Griffin (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#226WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#114WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#148WW] Darrius Flowers (12-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-12-17: L vs. [#67WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#76WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Morales -263 68.98%
Elo K170 Michael Morales 1826.39 +78.16 58.83%
Elo Modified Michael Morales 1826.35 +73.40 57.96%
Glicko-1 Michael Morales 1887.61 +88.90 62.52%
WHR Michael Morales 1798.42 +140.05 65.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Morales 140, Jake Matthews 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#140] Jordan Leavitt (11-2-0, +196) vs. [#240] Chase Hooper (12-3-1, -249)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#332LW] Victor Martinez (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Knees) in 2:33 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#44LW] Paddy Pimblett (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#173LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#556LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#59FW] Steve Garcia (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-05-21: W vs. [#169FW] Felipe Dias Colares (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -249 67.86%
Elo K170 Jordan Leavitt 1680.43 +224.96 73.65%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1660.58 +156.05 66.45%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1673.48 +144.39 69.66%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1600.17 +105.77 61.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 266, Chase Hooper 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira (11-11-2023)

Nov 6, 2023
Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1] Alex Pereira (8-2-0, -144) vs. [*] Jiri Prochazka (29-3-1, +119)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #24 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5
2021-05-01: W vs. [#24LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -144 56.38%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2199.88 +157.24 67.22%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 2166.26 +150.40 65.89%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2308.96 +242.64 80.17%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2146.51 +162.22 67.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 105, Jiri Prochazka 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0, -106) vs. [#7] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0, -116)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#10HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-07-30: W vs. [#13HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-8-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -116 51.06%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 2123.87 +158.88 67.39%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 2107.56 +144.90 65.35%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2218.63 +191.51 75.07%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 2054.35 +129.48 64.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Tom Aspinall 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 1-0
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Mackenzie Dern (13-3-0, -200) vs. [#8] Jessica Andrade (24-12-0, +162)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (0-3-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-05-06: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#4FLY/#10DD/#6P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -200 63.59%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1668.75 +52.63 55.98%
Elo Modified Mackenzie Dern 1685.20 +49.40 55.39%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1693.06 +103.43 64.46%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1652.99 +35.31 54.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 175, Jessica Andrade 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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