Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen (03-25-2023)

Mar 20, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Cory Sandhagen (15-4-0, -163) vs. [#5] Marlon Vera (21-7-1, +132)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #17 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #47 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (1-2-0)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#13BW] Yadong Song (19-8-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2021-10-30: L vs. [#6BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-07-24: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (17-5-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (3-0-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#9BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:17 of round 4
2022-04-30: W vs. [#7BW] Rob Font (19-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Front Kick) in 3:50 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory Sandhagen -163 58.98%
Elo K170 Marlon Vera 2114.84 +92.93 60.46%
Elo Modified Marlon Vera 2066.36 +32.59 53.56%
Glicko-1 Marlon Vera 2129.19 +18.67 52.68%
WHR Marlon Vera 1929.87 +46.48 55.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 189, Marlon Vera 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cory Sandhagen leads 3-1
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Holly Holm (14-6-0, -215) vs. [*] Yana Santos (14-6-0, +152)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (14-6-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#3BW] Raquel Pennington (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yana Santos (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 1
2021-02-20: W vs. [#5BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#24BW] Julija Stoliarenko (10-7-2) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Holly Holm -215 63.23%
Elo K170 Holly Holm 1601.04 +69.59 57.88%
Elo Modified Holly Holm 1664.93 +112.98 62.12%
Glicko-1 Holly Holm 1667.64 +162.89 71.86%
WHR Holly Holm 1710.30 +229.37 74.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 308, Yana Santos 623
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#40] Nate Landwehr (16-4-0, -282) vs. [*] Austin Lingo (9-1-0, +223)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#105FW] David Onama (10-2-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#94LW] Ludovit Klein (19-4-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:22 of round 3
2021-02-20: L vs. [#57FW] Julian Erosa (28-10-0) via TKO (Flying Knee) in 0:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (2-1-0)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#143FW] Luis Saldana (16-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#869FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#146FW] Youssef Zalal (11-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nate Landwehr -282 70.45%
Elo K170 Nate Landwehr 1771.26 +266.81 77.19%
Elo Modified Nate Landwehr 1736.52 +205.92 71.12%
Glicko-1 Nate Landwehr 1748.27 +208.50 76.86%
WHR Nate Landwehr 1652.39 +176.16 69.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 224, Austin Lingo 581
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 (03-18-2023)

Mar 13, 2023
Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#6DD/#6P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0, +191) vs. [#2/#10DD/#8P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-2-0, -243)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#2WW/#10DD/#8P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
2021-06-12: W vs. [#14WW] Nate Diaz (21-13-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (22-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#6P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
2021-11-06: W vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#15WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kamaru Usman -243 67.34%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2394.09 +16.45 51.88%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2338.38 +18.48 52.02%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2404.14 +2.11 50.30%
WHR Leon Edwards 2199.99 +42.35 54.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 210, Kamaru Usman 210
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 1-1-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#4] Justin Gaethje (23-4-0, +187) vs. [#7] Rafael Fiziev (12-1-0, -239)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (1-2-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#2LW/#5DD] Charles Oliveira (33-9-0) via NC in 3:22 of round 1
2021-11-06: W vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-10-24: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (3-0-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#16WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-14-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2021-12-04: W vs. [#69LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2021-08-07: W vs. [#27LW] Bobby Green (29-14-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -239 66.92%
Elo K170 Justin Gaethje 2234.46 +220.11 73.22%
Elo Modified Justin Gaethje 2172.27 +188.97 69.57%
Glicko-1 Justin Gaethje 2257.91 +225.73 78.57%
WHR Justin Gaethje 1975.27 +11.11 51.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 315, Rafael Fiziev 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#44] Bryan Barberena (18-9-0, +288) vs. [#46] Gunnar Nelson (18-5-1, -392)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#16WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-14-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:20 of round 2
2022-07-02: W vs. [#76WW] Robbie Lawler (29-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2022-03-26: W vs. [#63WW] Matt Brown (23-19-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (1-2-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#130WW] Takashi Sato (16-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#5WW] Gilbert Burns (21-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#6P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gunnar Nelson -392 75.55%
Elo K170 Gunnar Nelson 1863.00 +103.65 61.62%
Elo Modified Gunnar Nelson 1903.82 +177.23 68.48%
Glicko-1 Gunnar Nelson 1969.01 +202.00 76.18%
WHR Gunnar Nelson 1893.95 +288.90 78.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Barberena 105, Gunnar Nelson 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili (03-11-2023)

Mar 6, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Merab Dvalishvili (15-4-0, +178) vs. [#4] Petr Yan (16-4-0, -226)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Petr Yan is the All-Time #11 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#90FW] Marlon Moraes (23-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2021-05-01: W vs. [#29BW] Cody Stamann (21-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (1-2-0)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (16-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#1BW/#4DD/#5P4P] Aljamain Sterling (22-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (15-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -226 65.84%
Elo K170 Merab Dvalishvili 2126.39 +192.10 70.63%
Elo Modified Merab Dvalishvili 2104.43 +44.51 54.85%
Glicko-1 Merab Dvalishvili 2147.43 +1.46 50.21%
WHR Petr Yan 2016.88 +41.90 54.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 203, Petr Yan 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0, -106) vs. [#36] Alexander Romanov (16-1-0, -117)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #30 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#8HW+] Tom Aspinall (12-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1
2021-10-30: W vs. [#13HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Romanov (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#13HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#72HW+] Chase Sherman (16-11-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 2:11 of round 1
2021-10-09: W vs. [#94HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Romanov -117 51.16%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 1936.95 +207.36 72.06%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 1957.05 +193.63 70.01%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2015.88 +161.17 71.66%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1884.26 +72.61 58.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 280, Alexander Romanov 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Volkov leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Jonathan Martinez (17-4-0, +156) vs. [#17] Said Nurmagomedov (17-2-0, -196)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#32BW] Cub Swanson (28-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#171BW] Vince Morales (11-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#298FW] Alejandro Perez (22-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55BW] Saidyokub Kakhramonov (10-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:50 of round 2
2022-07-09: W vs. [#61BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#29BW] Cody Stamann (21-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Said Nurmagomedov -196 62.89%
Elo K170 Said Nurmagomedov 1938.71 +86.11 59.71%
Elo Modified Said Nurmagomedov 1927.40 +61.18 56.65%
Glicko-1 Said Nurmagomedov 1983.51 +93.44 63.13%
WHR Said Nurmagomedov 1926.97 +197.64 71.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 147, Said Nurmagomedov 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current & All-Time Rankings Updated (03-05-2023)

Mar 5, 2023
Jason

Notable Info

After last night’s UFC, I decided to regenerate this month’s all-time rankings update.  GSP still holds the #1 All-Time position, but Jones is marching toward the top spot.  His win last night has propelled him to #44 in the All-Time Heavyweight rankings.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane (03-04-2023)

Feb 27, 2023
Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#2/#7P4P] Ciryl Gane (11-1-0, +134) vs. [*] Jon Jones (26-1-0, -164)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #23 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jon Jones is the All-Time #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#6HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3
2022-01-22: L vs. [#1HW+/#6DD/#1P4P] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#22LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#12LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-17-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jon Jones -164 59.24%
Elo K170 Jon Jones 2438.73 +311.93 80.61%
Elo Modified Jon Jones 2386.21 +260.59 75.78%
Glicko-1 Jon Jones 2448.68 +226.20 78.62%
WHR Jon Jones 2144.14 +129.00 64.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 182, Jon Jones 1120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#1P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-3-0, -632) vs. [#8] Alexa Grasso (15-3-0, +427)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#7FLY] Taila Santos (19-2-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#10FLY] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:00 of round 4
2021-04-24: W vs. [#4FLY] Jessica Andrade (24-10-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (3-0-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#13FLY] Viviane Araujo (11-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#25FLY] Joanne Wood (15-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2021-02-13: W vs. [#12FLY] Maycee Barber (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -632 81.97%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 2041.26 +307.69 80.31%
Elo Modified Valentina Shevchenko 1981.35 +231.67 73.38%
Glicko-1 Valentina Shevchenko 1998.06 +268.69 82.45%
WHR Valentina Shevchenko 1953.98 +253.50 76.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 266, Alexa Grasso 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#6] Geoff Neal (15-4-0, +369) vs. [#8] Shavkat Rakhmonov (16-0-0, -531)

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#10WW] Vicente Luque (21-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2021-12-11: W vs. [#22WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#12WW] Neil Magny (27-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#12WW] Neil Magny (27-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2022-02-05: W vs. [#93WW] Carlston Harris (17-5-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2021-06-26: W vs. [#103WW] Michel Prazeres (27-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shavkat Rakhmonov -531 79.78%
Elo K170 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2103.01 +50.16 55.70%
Elo Modified Shavkat Rakhmonov 2073.94 +85.50 59.25%
Glicko-1 Shavkat Rakhmonov 2167.30 +129.29 67.79%
WHR Shavkat Rakhmonov 2117.49 +238.21 74.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Geoff Neal 210, Shavkat Rakhmonov 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Shavkat Rakhmonov leads 1-0
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