Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Costa (10-23-2021)

18 Oct , 2021,
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#6] Marvin Vettori (16-5-1, -122) vs. [#7] Paulo Costa (13-1-0, +101)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1MW/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (21-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#8MW] Jack Hermansson (22-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (2-1-0)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (21-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2019-08-17: W vs. [#9LHW] Yoel Romero (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#15MW] Uriah Hall (17-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marvin Vettori -122 52.48%
Elo K170 Marvin Vettori 1995.53 +14.01 51.60%
Elo Modified Marvin Vettori 1998.81 +6.38 50.70%
Glicko-1 Paulo Costa 2081.27 +15.95 52.29%
WHR Marvin Vettori 1928.97 +20.49 52.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 133, Paulo Costa 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#20] Grant Dawson (17-1-0, -316) vs. [#84] Ricky Glenn (22-6-1, +245)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#40LW] Leonardo Santos (18-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2020-07-18: W vs. [*] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#70FW] Darrick Minner (26-12-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Glenn (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#215LW] Joaquim Silva (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 1
2018-11-30: L vs. [#96FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-14: W vs. [*] Dennis Bermudez (17-9-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -316 72.37%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 1957.04 +218.34 73.06%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 1931.81 +257.40 75.52%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 1994.10 +298.05 84.76%
WHR Grant Dawson 1932.01 +314.20 80.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 217, Ricky Glenn 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Jessica-Rose Clark (10-6-0, -176) vs. [#33] Joselyne Edwards (10-3-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica-Rose Clark (1-2-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#91FLY] Sarah Alpar (9-6-0) via TKO (Punch and Knee) in 4:21 of round 3
2019-11-09: L vs. [#8BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: L vs. [#18FLY] Jessica Eye (15-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#9BW] Karol Rosa (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#59BW] Yanan Wu (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-03: W vs. [NA] Pamela Gonzalez (2-6-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jessica-Rose Clark -176 60.97%
Elo K170 Jessica-Rose Clark 1355.65 +43.63 54.97%
Elo Modified Joselyne Edwards 1363.99 +10.47 51.15%
Glicko-1 Joselyne Edwards 1387.16 +45.41 56.50%
WHR Joselyne Edwards 1350.15 +68.97 57.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica-Rose Clark 399, Joselyne Edwards 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica-Rose Clark leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs Dumont (10-16-2021)

11 Oct , 2021,
Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Norma Dumont (6-1-0, +121) vs. [*] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0, -144)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#8FW] Felicia Spencer (8-3-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#54BW] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [#3BW] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#15FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aspen Ladd -144 56.60%
Elo K170 Aspen Ladd 1637.05 +194.44 70.85%
Elo Modified Aspen Ladd 1673.73 +242.62 74.31%
Glicko-1 Aspen Ladd 1662.62 +316.68 86.10%
WHR Aspen Ladd 1658.98 +305.44 80.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 147, Aspen Ladd 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#35] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0, -119) vs. [#72] Carlos Felipe (11-1-0, -104)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #20 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (2-1-0)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#81HW+] Chase Sherman (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#18HW+] Tom Aspinall (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [#31HW+] Tanner Boser (20-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Felipe (3-0-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#73HW+] Jake Collier (12-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#156HW+] Justin Tafa (4-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#187HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andrei Arlovski -119 51.59%
Elo K170 Andrei Arlovski 1677.14 +93.59 60.53%
Elo Modified Andrei Arlovski 1724.59 +179.98 68.74%
Glicko-1 Andrei Arlovski 1739.58 +226.36 78.63%
WHR Andrei Arlovski 1667.29 +212.91 72.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 182, Carlos Felipe 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#70] Jim Miller (32-16-0, -199) vs. [#199] Erick Gonzalez (14-5-0, +164)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #41 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (1-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#67LW] Joe Solecki (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#35LW] Vinc Pichel (14-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#133LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Erick Gonzalez (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#661LW] Samuel Alvarez (5-4-0) via UD ()
2021-03-19: W vs. [#897LW] Oziel Rodriguez Lopez (4-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:37 of round 3
2019-12-20: L vs. [*] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jim Miller -199 63.73%
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1593.48 +106.60 61.94%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1595.18 +110.01 61.81%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1639.39 +130.30 67.92%
WHR Jim Miller 1589.07 +138.53 65.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 189, Erick Gonzalez 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Dern (10-09-2021)

4 Oct , 2021,
Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#4] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2, +126) vs. [#6] Mackenzie Dern (11-1-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#14SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-25: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD/#8P4P] Carla Esparza (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#18SW] Nina Nunes (10-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-12-12: W vs. [#11SW] Virna Jandiroba (17-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#36SW] Randa Markos (10-11-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -154 57.80%
Elo K170 Marina Rodriguez 1721.65 +27.68 53.16%
Elo Modified Marina Rodriguez 1744.07 +46.33 55.05%
Glicko-1 Marina Rodriguez 1749.51 +43.69 56.26%
WHR Marina Rodriguez 1663.51 +78.48 58.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 154, Mackenzie Dern 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#44] Randy Brown (13-4-0, -251) vs. [#188] Jared Gooden (18-6-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#79WW] Alex Oliveira (22-11-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2020-08-01: L vs. [#5WW] Vicente Luque (21-7-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2019-11-16: W vs. [#86WW] Warlley Alves (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (1-2-0)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#277WW] Niklas Stolze (12-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:08 of round 1
2021-03-27: L vs. [#143WW] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (16-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#77WW] Alan Jouban (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -251 68.28%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1779.59 +335.84 82.26%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1771.77 +293.80 78.35%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1827.27 +287.32 83.94%
WHR Randy Brown 1740.90 +318.67 81.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 168, Jared Gooden 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#6] Matheus Nicolau (16-2-1, -172) vs. [#15] Tim Elliott (17-11-1, +142)
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (3-0-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#7FLY] Manel Kape (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-30: W vs. [*] Felipe Efrain (14-6-0) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [#645BW] Alan Gabriel dos Santos (12-6-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 01:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#44FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#151FLY] Ryan Benoit (10-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#11FLY] Brandon Royval (12-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matheus Nicolau -172 60.48%
Elo K170 Matheus Nicolau 1765.66 +118.96 63.26%
Elo Modified Matheus Nicolau 1691.96 +29.97 53.27%
Glicko-1 Matheus Nicolau 1702.54 +37.91 55.44%
WHR Matheus Nicolau 1653.93 +83.95 59.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matheus Nicolau 210, Tim Elliott 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tim Elliott leads 3-2
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Walker (10-02-2021)

27 Sep , 2021,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Thiago Santos (21-9-0, -173) vs. [#16] Johnny Walker (18-5-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (0-3-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#7LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#3LHW] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2019-07-06: L vs. [*] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (1-2-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#20LHW] Ryan Spann (19-7-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:43 of round 1
2020-03-14: L vs. [#18LHW] Nikita Krylov (27-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#12LHW] Corey Anderson (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Thiago Santos -173 60.62%
Elo K170 Thiago Santos 1845.08 +67.72 57.67%
Elo Modified Thiago Santos 1897.72 +110.04 61.82%
Glicko-1 Thiago Santos 1990.18 +133.61 68.33%
WHR Thiago Santos 1878.79 +139.27 65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 210, Johnny Walker 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0, -204) vs. [#9] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0, +167)

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#10BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [#3BW/#9DD] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#14FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [*] Shanna Young (7-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aspen Ladd -204 64.18%
Elo K170 Aspen Ladd 1637.05 +118.20 63.18%
Elo Modified Aspen Ladd 1658.73 +35.65 53.89%
Glicko-1 Aspen Ladd 1662.62 +107.67 65.02%
WHR Aspen Ladd 1661.22 +154.22 66.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aspen Ladd 665, Macy Chiasson 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aspen Ladd leads 1-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#12] Kevin Holland (21-7-0, -152) vs. [#74] Kyle Daukaus (10-2-0, +125)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#6MW] Marvin Vettori (16-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#4MW] Derek Brunson (23-7-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-12-12: W vs. [*] Ronaldo Souza (26-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (1-2-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#64MW] Phil Hawes (11-2-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 30-26)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#134MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#24MW] Brendan Allen (17-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -152 57.57%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1808.05 +240.31 74.99%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1783.36 +178.44 68.59%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 1868.74 +241.55 80.06%
WHR Kevin Holland 1727.81 +179.99 69.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 175, Kyle Daukaus 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 266: Volkanovski vs Ortega (09-25-2021)

20 Sep , 2021,
Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#4DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (22-1-0, -176) vs. [#4] Brian Ortega (15-1-0, +146)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #4 ranked Featherweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #13 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (22-6-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (22-6-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#5BW] Jose Aldo (30-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (2-1-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#6FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (22-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2018-03-03: W vs. [#7BW] Frankie Edgar (24-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -176 61.07%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2365.63 +210.68 72.36%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2271.49 +153.57 66.20%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2330.22 +156.22 71.08%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2112.93 +64.61 57.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 441, Brian Ortega 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Volkanovski leads 2-0
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (21-3-0, -1572) vs. [#6] Lauren Murphy (15-4-0, +831)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#2FLY/#10DD/#9P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-9-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:19 of round 2
2020-11-21: W vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (19-7-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#10P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (16-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Murphy (3-0-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#10FLY] Joanne Calderwood (15-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#65FLY] Liliya Shakirova (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 2
2020-06-20: W vs. [#21FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-18-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -1572 89.74%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1990.85 +296.58 79.49%
Elo Modified Valentina Shevchenko 1992.83 +377.26 83.91%
Glicko-1 Valentina Shevchenko 2027.25 +451.79 93.09%
WHR Valentina Shevchenko 2000.98 +463.56 89.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 154, Lauren Murphy 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#52WW] Robbie Lawler (28-15-0, -146) vs. [*] Nick Diaz (26-9-0, +121)
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #28 ranked Middleweight and #29 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (0-3-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#9WW] Neil Magny (25-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2019-03-02: L vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke) in 3:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nick Diaz (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2015-01-31: NC vs. [#45MW] Anderson Silva (34-11-0)
2013-03-16: L vs. [*] Georges St. Pierre (26-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2012-02-04: L vs. [*] Carlos Condit (32-14-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robbie Lawler -146 56.73%
Elo K170 Nick Diaz 1941.28 +10.03 51.15%
Elo Modified Nick Diaz 1931.21 +41.56 54.54%
Glicko-1 Nick Diaz 2011.49 +76.87 60.89%
WHR Nick Diaz 1805.62 +173.58 68.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robbie Lawler 392, Nick Diaz 2429
Previous Match-up Record: Nick Diaz leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Robbie Lawler leads 3-2
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