Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 274: Holm vs. Vieira (05-21-2022)

16 May , 2022,
Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Holly Holm (14-5-0) vs. [#5] Ketlen Vieira (12-2-0)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#4BW] Irene Aldana (13-6-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#3BW/#10DD] Raquel Pennington (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#2BW/#3DD/#5P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Vieira (2-1-0)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#7BW] Miesha Tate (19-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#28FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Holly Holm 1709.53 +99.34 61.15%
Elo Modified Holly Holm 1711.62 +96.69 60.43%
Glicko-1 Holly Holm 1703.81 +120.74 66.71%
WHR Holly Holm 1785.35 +277.23 78.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 595, Ketlen Vieira 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-5-0) vs. [#48] Michel Pereira (28-11-0)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#24WW] Geoff Neal (14-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#77WW] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#43WW] Jingliang Li (18-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (3-0-0)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#58WW] Andre Fialho (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#56WW] Niko Price (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#52WW] Kalinn Williams (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1885.03 +72.34 58.19%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 1940.28 +105.85 61.38%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1988.11 +118.47 66.42%
WHR Santiago Ponzinibbio 1762.44 +19.82 52.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 161, Michel Pereira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#42] Chidi Njokuani (21-7-0) vs. [#98] Dusko Todorovic (11-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (3-0-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#55MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2021-09-07: W vs. [#161MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (14-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 3
2020-09-11: W vs. [#190LHW] Cristhian Torres (15-12-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dusko Todorovic (1-2-0)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#143MW] Maki Pitolo (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 1
2021-06-05: L vs. [#59MW] Gregory Rodrigues (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#75MW] Punahele Soriano (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Chidi Njokuani 1796.92 +282.83 78.45%
Elo Modified Chidi Njokuani 1816.94 +246.87 74.66%
Glicko-1 Chidi Njokuani 1873.83 +284.76 83.75%
WHR Chidi Njokuani 1804.01 +253.71 76.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chidi Njokuani 105, Dusko Todorovic 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 274: Blachowicz vs. Rakic (05-14-2022)

12 May , 2022,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2] Jan Blachowicz (28-9-0, +135) vs. [#8] Aleksandar Rakic (14-2-0, -160)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #19 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#1LHW/#8P4P] Glover Teixeira (33-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2
2021-03-06: W vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#5P4P] Israel Adesanya (22-1-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#10LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (22-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#12LHW] Anthony Smith (36-16-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aleksandar Rakic -160 59.12%
Elo K170 Jan Blachowicz 2183.81 +226.74 73.81%
Elo Modified Jan Blachowicz 2146.89 +158.83 66.72%
Glicko-1 Jan Blachowicz 2236.46 +167.98 72.45%
WHR Jan Blachowicz 2004.74 +13.79 51.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 196, Aleksandar Rakic 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aleksandar Rakic leads 3-2
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#19] Ryan Spann (19-7-0, +182) vs. [#27] Ion Cutelaba (16-6-1, -224)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (1-2-0)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#12LHW] Anthony Smith (36-16-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-03-13: W vs. [#51MW] Misha Cirkunov (15-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2020-09-19: L vs. [#17LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via KO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-1-1)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#40HW+] Devin Clark (13-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 30-26)
2021-05-01: D vs. [#21LHW] Dustin Jacoby (17-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-10-24: L vs. [#7LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -224 66.09%
Elo K170 Ryan Spann 1751.65 +52.04 55.92%
Elo Modified Ryan Spann 1754.37 +37.16 54.06%
Glicko-1 Ryan Spann 1782.60 +52.24 57.46%
WHR Ion Cutelaba 1722.65 +70.44 57.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 238, Ion Cutelaba 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Spann leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#86] Davey Grant (13-6-0, -305) vs. [#167] Louis Smolka (17-8-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (1-2-0)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#60BW] Adrian Yanez (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (20-7-1) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#59BW] Jonathan Martinez (15-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:03 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (1-2-0)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#102BW] Vince Morales (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1
2020-12-05: W vs. [#100BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 2
2020-05-30: L vs. [#35BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Davey Grant -305 71.85%
Elo K170 Davey Grant 1507.17 +60.28 56.84%
Elo Modified Davey Grant 1552.68 +73.34 57.96%
Glicko-1 Davey Grant 1609.80 +150.06 70.34%
WHR Davey Grant 1579.20 +143.67 65.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Davey Grant 175, Louis Smolka 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje (05-08-2022)

2 May , 2022,
Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#2DD/#5P4P] Charles Oliveira (32-8-0, -159) vs. [#2/#10DD] Justin Gaethje (23-3-0, +133)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #12 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #15 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#3LW] Dustin Poirier (28-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 3
2021-05-15: W vs. [#7LW] Michael Chandler (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 2
2020-12-12: W vs. [#8LW] Tony Ferguson (25-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#7LW] Michael Chandler (22-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-10-24: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:34 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#8LW] Tony Ferguson (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Oliveira -159 58.85%
Elo K170 Charles Oliveira 2410.82 +119.34 63.30%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2350.52 +109.30 61.74%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2465.69 +149.92 70.33%
WHR Charles Oliveira 2215.18 +164.31 67.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 147, Justin Gaethje 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-4-0, -198) vs. [#5] Carla Esparza (18-6-0, +163)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #9 ranked Women’s fighter.
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #38 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (3-0-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#3SW/#10P4P] Weili Zhang (21-3-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#3SW/#10P4P] Weili Zhang (21-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (23-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#10SW] Xiaonan Yan (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2020-07-25: W vs. [#4SW/#9DD/#9P4P] Marina Rodriguez (16-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rose Namajunas -198 63.60%
Elo K170 Rose Namajunas 2005.84 +148.10 66.30%
Elo Modified Rose Namajunas 1870.19 +109.60 61.77%
Glicko-1 Rose Namajunas 1861.30 +137.24 68.79%
WHR Rose Namajunas 1786.36 +102.08 61.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 182, Carla Esparza 350
Previous Match-up Record: Carla Esparza leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 3-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#7] Michael Chandler (22-7-0, -409) vs. [#8] Tony Ferguson (25-6-0, +309)
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #18 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #45 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (1-2-0)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#2LW/#10DD] Justin Gaethje (23-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#5P4P] Charles Oliveira (32-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#20FW] Dan Hooker (21-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#4LW] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#5P4P] Charles Oliveira (32-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2LW/#10DD] Justin Gaethje (23-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Chandler -409 76.66%
Elo K170 Michael Chandler 2034.20 +9.60 51.10%
Elo Modified Michael Chandler 1985.21 +4.91 50.54%
Glicko-1 Tony Ferguson 2066.45 +5.06 50.73%
WHR Michael Chandler 1922.02 +68.01 57.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chandler 182, Tony Ferguson 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera (04-30-2022)

25 Apr , 2022,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Rob Font (19-5-0) vs. [#8] Marlon Vera (19-7-1)
Rob Font is the All-Time #42 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (2-1-0)
2021-12-04: L vs. [#2BW] Jose Aldo (31-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#9FLY] Cody Garbrandt (12-5-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-12-19: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-10-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (2-1-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#10BW] Frankie Edgar (24-10-1) via KO (Front Kick) in 3:50 of round 3
2021-06-19: W vs. [#85BW] Davey Grant (13-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#2BW] Jose Aldo (31-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Rob Font 1975.38 +64.20 57.28%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1959.79 +72.34 57.85%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 2007.37 +51.16 57.31%
WHR Marlon Vera 1829.31 +0.95 50.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 147, Marlon Vera 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rob Font leads 1-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#34] Andrei Arlovski (33-20-0, -163) vs. [#58] Jake Collier (13-6-0, +143)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #19 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (3-0-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#79HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#76HW+] Carlos Felipe (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#98HW+] Chase Sherman (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Collier (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#98HW+] Chase Sherman (15-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#76HW+] Carlos Felipe (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-12-05: W vs. [*] Gian Villante (17-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andrei Arlovski -163 60.09%
Elo K170 Andrei Arlovski 1763.39 +276.57 77.96%
Elo Modified Andrei Arlovski 1739.30 +172.01 67.98%
Glicko-1 Andrei Arlovski 1722.18 +151.86 70.56%
WHR Andrei Arlovski 1635.83 +76.72 58.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 77, Jake Collier 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andrei Arlovski leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#41] Darren Elkins (26-10-0) vs. [#186] Tristan Connelly (14-7-0)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#17FW] Cub Swanson (28-12-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2021-07-24: W vs. [#80FW] Darrick Minner (26-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [*] Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (13-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tristan Connelly (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#39FW] Pat Sabatini (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#47WW] Michel Pereira (28-11-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-07-27: W vs. [*] DJuan Owens (18-16-1) via TKO in 1:56 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Darren Elkins 1651.44 +106.82 61.97%
Elo Modified Darren Elkins 1658.81 +95.53 60.31%
Glicko-1 Darren Elkins 1700.73 +92.49 63.00%
WHR Darren Elkins 1628.80 +31.62 53.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Elkins 133, Tristan Connelly 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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