Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 (2021-01-23)

20 Jan , 2021,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#2/#8DD] Dustin Poirier (26-6-0, +243) vs. [#8] Conor McGregor (22-4-0, -311)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #11 ranked Lightweight and #50 ranked Absolute fighter.
Conor McGregor is the All-Time #24 ranked Lightweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (20-9-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-46)
2019-09-07: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#2FW/#5DD] Max Holloway (22-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Conor McGregor (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#19WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2018-10-06: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4
2016-11-12: W vs. [*] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Conor McGregor -311 72.19%
Elo K170 Dustin Poirier 2300.20 +84.60 59.55%
Elo Modified Dustin Poirier 2219.99 +62.89 56.84%
Glicko-1 Dustin Poirier 2286.08 +72.99 60.35%
WHR Dustin Poirier 2086.52 +19.08 52.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 210, Conor McGregor 371
Previous Match-up Record: Conor McGregor leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dustin Poirier leads 5-3
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Lightweight (155)
[#7] Dan Hooker (20-9-0, -128) vs. [#9] Michael Chandler (21-5-0, +104)
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #49 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #19 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (2-1-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#2LW/#8DD] Dustin Poirier (26-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-46)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#12LW] Paul Felder (17-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2019-10-05: W vs. [*] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (2-1-0)
2020-08-07: W vs. [#87WW] Ben Henderson (28-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2019-12-29: W vs. [#44LW] Sidney Outlaw (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2019-05-11: L vs. [#4FW] Patricio Freire (31-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dan Hooker -128 53.38%
Elo K170 Michael Chandler 2069.96 +41.31 54.70%
Elo Modified Michael Chandler 2029.58 +86.42 59.35%
Glicko-1 Michael Chandler 2095.22 +108.85 65.17%
WHR Michael Chandler 1973.74 +111.59 62.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 210, Michael Chandler 169
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jessica Eye (15-8-0, -103) vs. [#18] Joanne Calderwood (14-5-0, -121)
Jessica Eye is the All-Time #43 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Eye (1-2-0)
2020-06-13: L vs. [#7FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#10FLY] Viviane Araujo (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (1-2-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [#23FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanne Calderwood -121 51.90%
Elo K170 Jessica Eye 1546.86 +76.55 58.65%
Elo Modified Jessica Eye 1532.37 +66.82 57.26%
Glicko-1 Jessica Eye 1497.87 +76.55 60.84%
WHR Jessica Eye 1451.24 +36.13 54.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Eye 224, Joanne Calderwood 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Eye leads 2-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny (2021-01-20)

18 Jan , 2021,
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#7] Neil Magny (24-7-0, -140) vs. [#9] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0, +114)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #38 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (3-0-0)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#41WW] Robbie Lawler (28-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#14WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#16WW] Jingliang Li (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#5LW] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#74WW] Diego Sanchez (30-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#28WW] Carlos Condit (32-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Neil Magny -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 2163.12 +116.38 62.99%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 2127.23 +122.98 63.14%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 2180.84 +126.11 67.39%
WHR Neil Magny 1968.83 +51.68 55.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 144, Michael Chiesa 361
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Chiesa leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#73] Warlley Alves (13-4-0, +182) vs. [#98] Mounir Lazzez (10-1-0, -227)

Last 3 Fights: Warlley Alves (1-2-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#51WW] Randy Brown (12-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2
2019-05-11: W vs. [#99MW] Sergio Moraes (14-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 3
2018-08-25: L vs. [#26WW] James Krause (28-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mounir Lazzez (3-0-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#121WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-07: W vs. [#611WW] Arber Murati (10-9-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-10-18: W vs. [#270WW] Sasha Palatnikov (6-2-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mounir Lazzez -227 66.18%
Elo K170 Warlley Alves 1672.54 +50.12 55.70%
Elo Modified Warlley Alves 1671.03 +7.29 50.80%
Glicko-1 Warlley Alves 1694.58 +1.16 50.17%
WHR Mounir Lazzez 1653.77 +2.60 50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Warlley Alves 431, Mounir Lazzez 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#145] Isaac Villanueva (17-11-0, -139) vs. [*] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Isaac Villanueva (1-2-0)
2020-08-22: L vs. [#133MW] Jordan Wright (11-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:31 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#61HW+] Chase Sherman (15-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbow) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-12-13: W vs. [#256LHW] Rashad Coulter (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Moreira Castro (0-3-0)
2019-09-21: L vs. [#25LHW] Paul Craig (14-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:19 of round 1
2019-06-29: L vs. [#33MW] Eryk Anders (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-01-19: L vs. [#66LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Isaac Villanueva -139 55.44%
Elo K170 Vinicius Moreira Castro 1303.55 +15.98 51.82%
Elo Modified Vinicius Moreira Castro 1387.44 +52.18 55.69%
Glicko-1 Vinicius Moreira Castro 1361.30 +30.40 54.36%
WHR Vinicius Moreira Castro 1363.02 +67.13 57.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Isaac Villanueva 151, Vinicius Moreira Castro 487
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar (2021-01-16)

10 Jan , 2021,
Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2/#5DD] Max Holloway (21-6-0, -166) vs. [#5] Calvin Kattar (22-4-0, +137)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (1-2-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (22-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (22-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#5BW] Frankie Edgar (24-8-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#12FW] Dan Ige (14-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#18FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2019-11-09: L vs. [#8FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (18-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -166 59.66%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2132.00 +123.39 63.73%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2153.01 +188.83 69.57%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2258.75 +234.27 79.39%
WHR Max Holloway 2061.61 +176.56 69.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 189, Calvin Kattar 185
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#17] Omari Akhmedov (20-5-1, +124) vs. [#40] Tom Breese (12-2-0, -150)

Last 3 Fights: Omari Akhmedov (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#13MW] Chris Weidman (15-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#18MW] Ian Heinisch (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#32MW] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: W vs. [#113MW] K.B. Bhullar (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#56LHW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Breese -150 57.33%
Elo K170 Omari Akhmedov 1841.39 +131.46 64.58%
Elo Modified Omari Akhmedov 1843.73 +77.49 58.40%
Glicko-1 Omari Akhmedov 1866.98 +41.48 55.94%
WHR Omari Akhmedov 1780.45 +50.79 55.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Omari Akhmedov 161, Tom Breese 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[*] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0, -285) vs. [#34] Jingliang Li (17-6-0, +228)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#7WW] Neil Magny (24-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:36 of round 4
2017-12-16: W vs. [#33WW] Mike Perry (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-16: W vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#7WW] Neil Magny (24-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#26WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2018-11-24: W vs. [#99WW] David Zawada (17-5-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:07 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Santiago Ponzinibbio -285 70.82%
Elo K170 Santiago Ponzinibbio 2127.97 +322.60 81.37%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 2104.35 +279.65 77.28%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 2169.99 +299.35 84.85%
WHR Santiago Ponzinibbio 2005.98 +225.72 73.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 791, Jingliang Li 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Santiago Ponzinibbio leads 2-0
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