Upcoming Events – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 10, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1LW][#1LWUFC] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0, -268) vs. [#9DD][#10P4P][#1][#1UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0, +216)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #16 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jack Della Maddalena is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#16WW] Gilbert Burns (22-9-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-09-16: W vs. [#32WW] Kevin Holland (28-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-268		69.70%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2566.47	+263.13	81.97%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2497.98	+320.87	86.38%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2635.51	+364.77	89.09%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2426.71	+422.60	91.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.0, Jack Della Maddalena 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 301, Jack Della Maddalena 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1, -125) vs. [#1DD][#1P4P][#1SW][#1SWUFC] Weili Zhang (26-3-0, +103)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-0-1)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#6P4P][#7DD][#2FLY] Manon Fiorot (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#6FLY] Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2025-02-08: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (11-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-45, 49-46)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Valentina Shevchenko	-125		53.00%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	2086.40	+25.06	53.60%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	2045.83	+23.24	53.34%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	2068.42	+38.72	55.55%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1954.66	+47.56	56.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Valentina Shevchenko 37.7, Weili Zhang 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 189, Weili Zhang 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 3-2
.

Welterweight (170)
[#5][#5UFC] Leon Edwards (22-5-0, +170) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Carlos Prates (22-7-0, -207)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (1-2-0)
2025-03-22: L vs. [#10DD][#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:39 of round 4
2024-07-27: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#12WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#18WW] Geoff Neal (16-7-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2025-04-26: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#21WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:50 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Carlos Prates	-207		64.54%
Elo K170	Leon Edwards	2257.47	+246.31	80.50%
Elo Modified	Leon Edwards	2190.21	+193.58	75.30%
Glicko-1	Leon Edwards	2231.63	+132.64	68.21%
WHR	Carlos Prates	2005.14	+21.43	53.08%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 34.2, Carlos Prates 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Carlos Prates 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on November 6, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Brown vs. Bonfim (11-08-2025)

Posted on November 3, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#21][#18UFC] Randy Brown (20-6-0, +127) vs. [#24][#21UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0, -157)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#43WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#28WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#67WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#75WW] Kalinn Williams (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2
2024-07-13: W vs. [#141WW] Ange Loosa (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gabriel Bonfim	-157		58.10%
Elo K170	Gabriel Bonfim	1975.70	+13.93	52.00%
Elo Modified	Randy Brown	1989.30	+87.25	62.30%
Glicko-1	Randy Brown	2065.36	+117.96	66.35%
WHR	Randy Brown	1865.24	+42.94	56.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Randy Brown 35.3, Gabriel Bonfim 28.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 196, Gabriel Bonfim 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Randy Brown leads 2-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#27][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (13-2-0, -242) vs. [#66][#30UFC] Matt Schnell (17-10-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#85FLY] Alibi Idiris (10-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [#596FLY] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3
2022-03-04: W vs. [*] Sidemar Honorio (13-8-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (1-2-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#138FLY] Jimmy Flick (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#165BW] Cody Durden (17-9-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:29 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joseph Morales	-242		67.31%
Elo K170	Joseph Morales	1817.04	+277.84	83.19%
Elo Modified	Joseph Morales	1772.78	+258.87	81.61%
Glicko-1	Joseph Morales	1805.68	+288.52	84.03%
WHR	Joseph Morales	1774.54	+375.43	89.67%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joseph Morales 31.2, Matt Schnell 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Morales 84, Matt Schnell 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Muslim Salikhov (22-5-0, +149) vs. [#64][#44UFC] Uros Medic (11-3-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#37WW] Carlos Leal (22-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#132WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 3:49 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#53WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#580WW] Gilbert Urbina (7-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1
2025-01-11: L vs. [#47WW] Punahele Soriano (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:31 of round 1
2024-04-27: W vs. [#76WW] Tim Means (33-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Uros Medic	-186		61.82%
Elo K170	Muslim Salikhov	1946.97	+379.87	89.90%
Elo Modified	Muslim Salikhov	1906.75	+286.63	83.89%
Glicko-1	Muslim Salikhov	1953.35	+309.43	85.59%
WHR	Muslim Salikhov	1795.88	+210.00	77.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Muslim Salikhov 41.4, Uros Medic 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 105, Uros Medic 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Sponsorship Opportunity for Pro-Boxer, Stanley “Kid Muscle” Johnson

Posted on November 1, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Introducing Stanley “KiD Muscle” Johnson, @k1dmuscle the newest member of Team LI, the esports division of Long Island Gaming League (LIGL) — in collaboration with Eruption Boxing & MMA Management / @eruptionboxing and Muscle Syndicate. He dominates in the ring, while leveling up in the game. Stanley is a fighter, a gamer, and a creator. As a boxer, his record is 7 – 1 (5 KOs), is ranked #12 in the US Cruiserweight division, and #108 worldwide. Stanley brings the same discipline that fuels his boxing career into esports and digital media.

Next Fight: Nov 8 | WBC Australian Title | Stanley Johnson vs Karim Maatalla (10–2, 8-win streak) | Melbourne, Australia

Gaming Debut: Now streaming, competing, and creating as part of Team LI — including highlights from his EVO 2025 appearance and exclusive behind-the-scenes content from both the ring and the arena.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama (11-01-2025)

Posted on October 27, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#15][#10UFC] Steve Garcia (18-5-0, -121) vs. [#19][#14UFC] David Onama (14-2-0, -100)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2025-07-12: W vs. [#46FW] Calvin Kattar (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#54LW] Kyle Nelson (17-6-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:59 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#182FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (3-0-0)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#20FW] Giga Chikadze (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#574FW] Roberto Romero (8-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#86FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Steve Garcia	-121		52.26%
Elo K170	Steve Garcia	1915.52	+52.52	57.50%
Elo Modified	Steve Garcia	1904.40	+46.37	56.63%
Glicko-1	Steve Garcia	1970.38	+48.69	56.96%
WHR	Steve Garcia	1875.46	+76.21	60.79%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Garcia 33.4, David Onama 31.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 112, David Onama 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#10][#7UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (14-2-0, -140) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Ante Delija (26-6-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#38HW+] Ryan Spann (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ante Delija (2-1-0)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 1
2025-04-12: W vs. [#79HW+] Yorgan De Castro (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1
2024-04-04: L vs. [#17HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (14-4-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 2:17 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	-140		55.63%
Elo K170	Ante Delija	1872.44	+43.48	56.22%
Elo Modified	Ante Delija	1883.77	+24.77	53.56%
Glicko-1	Ante Delija	1949.56	+68.28	59.70%
WHR	Ante Delija	1869.92	+96.40	63.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.1, Ante Delija 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70, Ante Delija 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#62][#42UFC] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0, -139) vs. [*] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#35WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-10-12: W vs. [#88WW] Niko Price (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#104WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#41WW] Max Griffin (20-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#77WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#125WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-8-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Themba Gorimbo	-139		55.79%
Elo K170	Themba Gorimbo	1652.70	+19.55	52.81%
Elo Modified	Jeremiah Wells	1687.53	+13.30	51.91%
Glicko-1	Jeremiah Wells	1727.12	+66.42	59.44%
WHR	Jeremiah Wells	1591.08	+35.73	55.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Themba Gorimbo 34.8, Jeremiah Wells 39.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Themba Gorimbo 329, Jeremiah Wells 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fightmatrix Focus: Analyzing the Canadian Contenders at UFC Vancouver, Including Jasudavicius’s Title Shot Aspirations

Posted on October 27, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Image source: AI

With the UFC returning to Vancouver, British Columbia, the focus is on Canadian athletes aiming to advance in the global rankings. The Fightmatrix MMA Rankings, which are based on objective data from the CIRRS engine, show that these fights on home soil are very important. They are a crucial period where performance metrics, especially the strength of the opponent and the kind of victory, can change a fighter’s path in a big way. Both Canadian fans and experts want to know which member of the “Maple Leaf Militia” is most likely to make the biggest leap in the weight classes. The rankings method gives us the solution by looking at the forthcoming encounters in a strict way.

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UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane Preview

Posted on October 24, 2025 by Jack Latham

Tom Aspinall (C) vs Ciryl Gane

Background

A blockbuster encounter headlines UFC 321 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi as the heavyweight champion, Tom Aspinall, defends his belt for the first time against Ciryl Gane.

This will be Aspinall’s first defence after claiming the title in June, following Jon Jones’ retirement. He had previously won eight of his nine fights in the UFC, with each victory coming via either submission or KO.

Aspinall’s only loss was also in contentious fashion, as he injured his medial collateral ligament after just 15 seconds of his first fight with Curtis Blaydes.

As for Gane, this will be his second shot at UFC gold after his submission loss to Jon Jones in March 2023. A controversial victory over Aleksandar Volkov last year has given him another opportunity, one that ‘Bon Gamin’ will be desperate to take.

Gane has showcased his knockout power in the past with victories over Tai Tuivasa and Serghei Spivac but is also very efficient in the clinch, something that may put the champion on notice…

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Jack Latham

My name is Jack Latham.

I am 20 years old and am currently studying Sports Journalism at the University of Chester.

I became interested in combat sports, particularly MMA, in the lockdown period and have followed it closely ever since.

I have previously created my own website titled ‘Combat Corner,’ where I produce MMA content.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 23, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane (10-25-2025)

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1][#1UFC] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0, +310) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0, -398)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #18 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Tom Aspinall is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-03-04: L vs. [*] Jon Jones (28-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#19HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-10-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tom Aspinall	-398		76.61%
Elo K170	Ciryl Gane	2212.11	+38.61	55.53%
Elo Modified	Ciryl Gane	2150.21	+4.70	50.68%
Glicko-1	Tom Aspinall	2252.71	+28.21	54.05%
WHR	Tom Aspinall	2112.27	+57.81	58.24%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ciryl Gane 35.5, Tom Aspinall 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 322, Tom Aspinall 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 3-2
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Virna Jandiroba (22-3-0, +117) vs. [#15P4P][#5][#5UFC] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0, -140)
Virna Jandiroba is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#9DD][#4SW] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-03-30: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11SW] Lupita Godinez (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#6SW] Amanda Lemos (15-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mackenzie Dern	-140		55.86%
Elo K170	Virna Jandiroba	1936.57	+230.23	79.01%
Elo Modified	Virna Jandiroba	1909.80	+221.84	78.19%
Glicko-1	Virna Jandiroba	1896.93	+195.39	75.49%
WHR	Virna Jandiroba	1837.61	+215.10	77.53%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Virna Jandiroba 37.4, Mackenzie Dern 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 196, Mackenzie Dern 287
Previous Match-up Record: Mackenzie Dern leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Virna Jandiroba leads 5-3
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0, +144) vs. [#6][#5UFC] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0, -174)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#20HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#11HW+] Serghei Spivac (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (19-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-03-09: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (19-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jailton Almeida	-174		60.77%
Elo K170	Jailton Almeida	2039.56	+14.32	52.06%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkov	2086.54	+49.66	57.10%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkov	2197.94	+72.56	60.29%
WHR	Alexander Volkov	2061.88	+83.61	61.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.0, Jailton Almeida 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 322, Jailton Almeida 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jailton Almeida leads 3-2
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Upcoming Events: Real Fight Promotion (RFP) Continues Its 2025 Season with Two Shows in Western Ukraine

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Real Fight Promotion (RFP) — Ukraine’s leading MMA organization — is set to close out the 2025 season with two events this November. Both cards promise high-level competition, regional pride, and a mix of professional MMA and combat sambo action.

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Brief Fight Analysis: Volkov vs. Almeida (UFC 321 – Aspinall vs. Gane)

Posted on October 21, 2025 by Vitaliy Vovk

Oct 25, 2025 / Etihad Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Current Fighter Status

Alexander Volkov (#4 HW per FightMatrix / #2 UFC):

Record: 38–11–0
Experience: 49 professional bouts; moderate activity level; last fight in 2024
Strengths: Powerful striking, height (201 cm), 203 cm reach, extensive top-10 UFC experience
Weaknesses: Occasional takedown defense issues; reduced footwork speed compared to younger opponents

Jailton “Malhadinho” Almeida (#6 HW per FightMatrix / #5 UFC):

Record: 22–3–0
Experience: 25 professional bouts; highly active; recent fights in 2024–2025
Strengths: Elite grappling (BJJ black belt), high takedown accuracy, excellent cardio
Weaknesses: Less experience against elite-tier opposition; striking less destructive than Volkov’s

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Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Della Maddalena vs Makhachev: Who’s more likely to come out on top?

Posted on October 16, 2025 by A. J. Riot

All eyes are turning towards the much-anticipated fight for the UFC Welterweight title that will take place between Jack Della Maddalena and Islam Makhachev. We wait with bated breath for the bout on November 15^th when the Aussie and Russian will face off in Madison Square Garden.

It’s sure to be a close one between Della Maddalena, the current UFC Welterweight Champion, and Makhachev, the former Lightweight Champion. Both have the skills needed to take the title, but Makhachev will enter the contest as many people’s favorite, especially given his current all-round form. There’s more to look forward to with the Women’s Flyweight title between Shevchenko and Weili also on the cards!

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 16, 2025 by Jason

Both parlays still in the green!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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WBU World Championship Title in Master Boxing – Event Preview

Posted on October 15, 2025 by Heather

Master Boxing: Germany vs. England – November 15, 2025, in Markt Erlbach, Germany

VENUE:

Rangauhalle

Zennhäuser Weg 6

91459 Markt Erlbach, Germany

Rafał Kwiatkowski (Saarbrücken, Germany) and Loris Baldacci (Italy) are competing for the WBU Masters Boxing World Title

The main event consists of two exceptional technical boxers. Therefore, this will make for a competitive matchup and what is likely to be an interesting fight. The boxers will be competing for a WBU World Championship title in Master Boxing.

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Heather

MMA & Boxing Writer | Business Development Consultant
I have been an avid viewer of Boxing and MMA for decades. Judo is the martial art that I most admire. As a teenager I practiced for a bit. This piqued my interest in MMA since 2001. Now I am on a new journey, to hit the dojo when possible. Learning how to methodically adapt to Judo as a current white belt.For 25 years I’ve worked in healthcare, and now am trying to make something that was a hobby, into a full-time endeavor.

www.fightmatrix.com

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen (10-18-2025)

Posted on October 13, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#8][#7UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-2-0, -196) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Brendan Allen (25-7-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-07-26: W vs. [#9MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 1:53 of round 2
2025-01-18: W vs. [#23WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (1-2-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#19MW] Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#6MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#9P4P][#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Reinier de Ridder	-196		63.43%
Elo K170	Reinier de Ridder	2095.33	+86.75	62.23%
Elo Modified	Reinier de Ridder	2051.28	+65.22	59.28%
Glicko-1	Reinier de Ridder	2107.48	+66.11	59.40%
WHR	Reinier de Ridder	1974.39	+54.36	57.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 35.1, Brendan Allen 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 84, Brendan Allen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23][#20UFC] Kevin Holland (28-14-0, +110) vs. [#60][#41UFC] Mike Malott (12-2-1, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2025-07-19: L vs. [#16WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#34WW] Vicente Luque (23-12-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2025-03-22: W vs. [#48WW] Gunnar Nelson (19-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#118WW] Charlie Radtke (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2024-11-02: W vs. [#168WW] Trevin Giles (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#20WW] Neil Magny (31-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mike Malott	-132		54.43%
Elo K170	Kevin Holland	1859.21	+96.31	63.52%
Elo Modified	Kevin Holland	1855.48	+96.96	63.60%
Glicko-1	Kevin Holland	1948.80	+158.52	71.35%
WHR	Kevin Holland	1815.83	+55.68	57.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.9, Mike Malott 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 91, Mike Malott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#7P4P][#8DD][#2][#2UFC] Manon Fiorot (12-2-0, -237) vs. [#14P4P][#9][#7UFC] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0, +192)
Manon Fiorot is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (2-1-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1FLY] Valentina Shevchenko (25-4-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#10P4P][#4FLY] Erin Blanchfield (13-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#9P4P][#5FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (3-0-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#13SW] Jessica Andrade (26-15-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 1
2025-02-01: W vs. [#20BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#32BW] Ariane Lipski da Silva (17-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:28 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manon Fiorot	-237		67.24%
Elo K170	Manon Fiorot	1894.95	+109.13	65.21%
Elo Modified	Manon Fiorot	1876.91	+80.52	61.38%
Glicko-1	Manon Fiorot	1880.81	+81.29	61.49%
WHR	Manon Fiorot	1833.98	+106.55	64.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Manon Fiorot 35.6, Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 161, Jasmine Jasudavicius 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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