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Fight Matrix
Predict UFC & MMA Fights on WahooPredict!
Predict UFC & MMA Fights on WahooPredict!

Conor McGregor’s Comeback Has Everything: Money, Mystery, And Max Holloway

Posted on May 26, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

 Las Vegas, Nevada – Conor McGregor is still the biggest name in mixed martial arts. He is also, somehow, the long shot.

That is what makes his return so fascinating. The most famous fighter in UFC history is coming back to the Octagon on July 11th at UFC 329 in Las Vegas against Max Holloway, a familiar opponent from another era of his career. The matchup is loaded with nostalgia, money, risk, and uncertainty. It is not just McGregor returning after nearly five years away from competition. It is McGregor returning with a new deal, a dangerous opponent, and something he rarely carried during his rise to superstardom: genuine underdog status.

Keep Reading

Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo (05-30-2026)

Posted on May 25, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#7][#7UFC] Yadong Song (22-10-1, -565) vs. [#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1, +410)
Yadong Song is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#2DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Petr Yan (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#23BW] Montel Jackson (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -565 81.24%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 1992.72 +25.09 53.60%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1972.69 +44.81 56.41%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 2018.13 +45.62 56.53%
WHR Yadong Song 1863.96 +37.64 55.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadong Song 28.5, Deiveson Figueiredo 38.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 126, Deiveson Figueiredo 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27][#17UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-7-0, -250) vs. [#28][#18UFC] Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1, +202)

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Johnny Walker (22-10-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2025-04-26: W vs. [#38HW+] Anthony Smith (39-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#154MW] Osman Diaz (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (21-8-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#42LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#72LHW] Julius Walker (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mingyang Zhang -250 68.32%
Elo K170 Alonzo Menifield 1702.61 +34.91 55.01%
Elo Modified Alonzo Menifield 1697.03 +21.32 53.06%
Glicko-1 Mingyang Zhang 1731.69 +27.92 54.01%
WHR Mingyang Zhang 1681.68 +22.95 53.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mingyang Zhang 27.8, Alonzo Menifield 38.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mingyang Zhang 280, Alonzo Menifield 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alonzo Menifield leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0, -552) vs. [#21][#13UFC] Tallison Teixeira (9-1-0, +398)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #31 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#8HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-01: W vs. [*] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (40-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (2-1-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#26HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#18HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [*] Justin Tafa (7-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -552 80.82%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 2056.67 +455.33 93.22%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 2046.36 +416.92 91.68%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2110.26 +444.78 92.82%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 1991.70 +511.85 95.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 34.0, Tallison Teixeira 26.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 280, Tallison Teixeira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 2-1
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#15)

Posted on May 21, 2026 by Jason

Two small wins last week!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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UFC Freedom 250

Posted on May 20, 2026 by A. J. Riot

UFC Freedom 250 is slated to go down next month, and with it, some of the most exciting and much-anticipated matchups fans have been clamoring for. Headlining this historic event, which is set to take place on the South Lawn of the White House, lightweight champion Ilia Topuria tries to defend his strap for the first time when he meets interim kingpin Justin Gaethje. Considered by some to be the best fighter in the world, Topuria returns after nearly a year off to showcase his abilities in his first bout of 2026. On the other end of the contest, Gaethje is endeavoring to have undisputed gold wrapped around his waist for the first time after almost ten years in the promotion.

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UFC Fight Night 277 – Song vs. Figueiredo

Posted on May 19, 2026 by Vitaliy Vovk

May 30, 2026 | Galaxy Arena, Macau, China

[#7 FW | #5 UFC] Yadong Song (22-9-1) vs [#9 FW | #7 UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1)

At UFC Fight Night 277, rising Chinese contender Song Yadong faces former UFC flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo in a high-level featherweight clash with major ranking implications.

Song enters the bout as the younger, faster, and more volume-oriented striker. Fighting in China gives him a significant psychological and crowd advantage. Over the last several years, Song has developed into one of the UFC’s most dangerous pressure boxers at lighter weights, combining sharp combinations, strong takedown defense, and improving fight IQ. His ability to maintain pace over five rounds could become a major factor.

Figueiredo remains one of the most explosive and dangerous finishers in MMA. Despite moving up from flyweight, his counter-striking, power, guillotine threat, and veteran experience make him extremely dangerous early. However, durability and speed disadvantages against naturally larger featherweights may become visible as the fight progresses.

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Rousey, Carano, Ngannou, Diaz: Netflix’s MMA Debut Arrives With Star Power and Swagger

Posted on May 15, 2026 by Andrew Carswell


Inglewood, California – Most Valuable Promotions did not treat its first MMA press conference like a standard fight-week obligation. It treated it like a declaration.

Inside the Intuit Dome on Thursday night in Inglewood, California, MVP gathered 22 fighters, three headline attractions, and enough combat-sports history to make Saturday night feel less like a debut and more like an industry challenge. The message was clear from the opening moments: this is not just another fight card.

It is MVP’s first MMA event, Netflix’s first live MMA broadcast, and a direct attempt to place mixed martial arts in front of one of the largest entertainment audiences in the world. The event will stream globally on Netflix at no additional cost to the platform’s 325 million-plus members, a detail that gives this card a reach few combat sports events can match.

Keep Reading

Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

Song vs Figueiredo: A Title Shot on the Line in Macau?

Posted on May 14, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The Galaxy Arena in Macau will burst with action on May 30, 2026. UFC returns to China after two years of silence with UFC Fight Night 277: a bout between Song Yadong (#7) and Deiveson Figueiredo (#9). For Song, it’s a way to return to the bantamweight title queue after the loss to O’Malley. Figueiredo, the former two-time Flyweight champion, still aims to prove he’s worthy of the championship belt chase in a new division.

In this post, we’ll try to analyse the upcoming clash between Song and Figueiredo, considering their key stats and fighting style.

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Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Preview

Posted on May 14, 2026 by Jack Latham

An intriguing encounter awaits at the Meta APEX this weekend as ‘Almighty’ Arnold Allen faces off against ‘The Dalmatian’ Melquizael Costa in the featherweight division.

BACKGROUND

After over a year out of the octagon, Arnold Allen returned in January on UFC 324, suffering a close decision loss at the hands of top contender Jean Silva.

He now makes a quick return at the Meta APEX, against the dangerous Melquizael Costa, who has won his last six fights.

Allen has been on the UFC roster since 2015, registering wins against Dan Hooker and Giga Chikadze along the way, making him a danger to anyone in the featherweight division.

A fight against Max Holloway and a close decision loss to Movsar Evloev gave Allen valuable experience that he hoped could take him to the next level.

As for Costa, the Brazilian has caught the attention of UFC fans with his high-pressure, high-volume style, which has led to him knocking out Morgan Charriere and submitting Andre Fili.

The Dalmatian’s most impressive victory came in February, though, as he finished Dan Ige with an eye-catching spinning back kick followed by some ground and pound.

With Allen looking to reignite his status as a featherweight contender, and Costa aiming to increase his winning streak, a great fight awaits.

But only one man can come out on top… Keep Reading

Jack Latham

My name is Jack Latham.

I am 20 years old and am currently studying Sports Journalism at the University of Chester.

I became interested in combat sports, particularly MMA, in the lockdown period and have followed it closely ever since.

I have previously created my own website titled ‘Combat Corner,’ where I produce MMA content.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa (05-16-2026)

Posted on May 11, 2026 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#16][#13UFC] Arnold Allen (20-4-0, -180) vs. [#17][#14UFC] Melquizael Costa (26-7-0, +149)
Arnold Allen is the All-Time #29 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#11FW] Jean Silva (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#35FW] Giga Chikadze (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#2FW] Movsar Evloev (20-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (3-0-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#27FW] Dan Ige (19-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 4:56 of round 1
2025-12-13: W vs. [#66FW] Morgan Charriere (21-12-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:14 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#98FW] Julian Erosa (31-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arnold Allen -180 61.55%
Elo K170 Melquizael Costa 1996.99 +80.28 61.35%
Elo Modified Melquizael Costa 1972.87 +69.24 59.83%
Glicko-1 Melquizael Costa 2034.05 +67.88 59.64%
WHR Arnold Allen 1847.39 +14.19 52.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Arnold Allen 32.3, Melquizael Costa 29.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 112, Melquizael Costa 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Doo Ho Choi (16-4-1, +105) vs. [#62][#34UFC] Daniel Santos (15-2-0, -126)

Last 3 Fights: Doo Ho Choi (2-0-1)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#85FW] Nate Landwehr (18-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:21 of round 3
2024-07-20: W vs. [*] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Submission to Punch) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-02-04: D vs. [#86LW] Kyle Nelson (17-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Santos (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#458LW] Joo Sang Yoo (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2025-05-10: W vs. [#216FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#197BW] Johnny Munoz Jr. (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Santos -126 53.33%
Elo K170 Daniel Santos 1803.57 +30.84 54.43%
Elo Modified Daniel Santos 1800.60 +25.73 53.69%
Glicko-1 Daniel Santos 1847.49 +20.07 52.88%
WHR Daniel Santos 1806.93 +45.04 56.45%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Doo Ho Choi 35.1, Daniel Santos 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Doo Ho Choi 525, Daniel Santos 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#29][#19UFC] Modestas Bukauskas (19-7-0, -138) vs. [#52][#25UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1, +102)

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#21LHW] Nikita Krylov (31-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 3
2025-09-06: W vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1) via KO (Elbow) in 5:00 of round 1
2025-05-10: W vs. [#27LHW] Ion Cutelaba (20-11-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#112LHW] Luke Fernandez (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 1
2025-09-27: L vs. [#36LHW] Navajo Stirling (9-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: NC vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Modestas Bukauskas -138 53.94%
Elo K170 Modestas Bukauskas 1731.69 +135.45 68.56%
Elo Modified Modestas Bukauskas 1731.52 +81.43 61.51%
Glicko-1 Modestas Bukauskas 1748.44 +74.05 60.50%
WHR Modestas Bukauskas 1663.80 +43.06 56.16%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Modestas Bukauskas 32.2, Rodolfo Bellato 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Modestas Bukauskas 112, Rodolfo Bellato 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – MVP MMA 1: Rousey vs Carano (05-16-2026)

Posted on May 10, 2026 by Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Ronda Rousey (12-2-0, -500) vs. [*] Gina Carano (7-1-0, +353)
Ronda Rousey is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ronda Rousey (1-2-0)
2016-12-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2015-11-14: L vs. [*] Holly Holm (15-7-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:59 of round 2
2015-08-01: W vs. [NA] Bethe Correia (11-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gina Carano (2-1-0)
2009-08-15: L vs. [#1DD][#3P4P][#1FW] Cristiane Justino (29-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2008-10-04: W vs. [NA] Kelly Kobold-Schmitz (20-3-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2008-05-31: W vs. [NA] Kaitlin Young (12-13-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ronda Rousey -500 79.05%
Elo K170 Ronda Rousey 1651.67 +247.63 80.62%
Elo Modified Ronda Rousey 1676.59 +210.56 77.07%
Glicko-1 Ronda Rousey 1705.99 +272.46 82.75%
WHR Ronda Rousey 1668.84 +214.92 77.51%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ronda Rousey 39.3, Gina Carano 44.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronda Rousey 3424, Gina Carano 6118
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Francis Ngannou (18-3-0, -1354) vs. [*] Philipe Lins (18-5-0, +720)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #8 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#18HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 1
2022-01-22: W vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Stipe Miocic (20-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27LHW] Ion Cutelaba (20-11-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#58LHW] Maxim Grishin (35-12-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Ovince St. Preux (27-18-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francis Ngannou -1354 88.41%
Elo K170 Francis Ngannou 2363.07 +551.98 96.00%
Elo Modified Francis Ngannou 2339.57 +498.10 94.62%
Glicko-1 Francis Ngannou 2491.53 +629.08 97.40%
WHR Francis Ngannou 2203.75 +441.31 92.70%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Francis Ngannou 39.7, Philipe Lins 40.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 574, Philipe Lins 798
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Francis Ngannou leads 1-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[*] Nate Diaz (21-13-0, +163) vs. [*] Mike Perry (14-8-0, -202)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [*] Tony Ferguson (25-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:52 of round 4
2021-06-12: L vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-11-02: L vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#17WW] Daniel Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-11-21: L vs. [*] Tim Means (33-17-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-06-27: W vs. [*] Mickey Gall (7-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Perry -202 63.75%
Elo K170 Nate Diaz 2046.32 +494.89 94.53%
Elo Modified Nate Diaz 2018.49 +426.09 92.07%
Glicko-1 Nate Diaz 2115.79 +464.42 93.55%
WHR Nate Diaz 1852.03 +335.74 87.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nate Diaz 41.1, Mike Perry 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Diaz 1344, Mike Perry 1862
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Nate Diaz leads 1-0
.
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Stake Sizing for the Casual UFC Bettor: Why Discipline Beats Picks in UFC Betting

Posted on May 8, 2026 by A. J. Riot

source

When Chimaev and Strickland were announced as the headline for UFC 328, thousands of casual fans logged into a sportsbook for the first time all year.

Many of them will end up on the losing side sooner or later.

The 96% Problem

Here’s the number that should set the tone for every wager you place: a 2025 UCSD/SMU/Maryland study of 717,724 US gamblers found 96% lost money over a five-year window from 2019 to 2023. Only 4% withdrew more than they deposited. That sample isn’t degens or whales – it’s regular bettors. Casuals.

Tools like ClearCasinos’ responsible gambling calculator exist for exactly this reason – to model what your bankroll actually survives at different stake sizes before you fire on a card.

For MMA fans, this hits harder than it does for NFL bettors. Fight cards run weekly. Each card has 10–13 fights. The temptation to fire on every prelim, fire a main-card parlay, and chase a bad start with a live bet on the co-main is enormous. The volume alone grinds most bankrolls into dust.

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Chaos, Threats, and Near Violence: UFC 328 Press Conference Goes Off The Rails

Posted on May 8, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

The UFC has promoted heated rivalries before. It has built entire pay-per-views around personal hatred, emotional instability, and the promise that two men genuinely want to hurt one another.

But, the UFC 328 press conference in Newark felt different, from the very moment it began.

At the center of the chaos stood Sean Strickland (30-7-0) and Khamzat Chimaev (15-0-0), two fighters who spent nearly the entire press conference interrupting, insulting, and daring one another to escalate things further. At the conclusion, the event eventually turned physical when Chimaev kicked Strickland during the final faceoff, forcing security to intervene as the stage descended into disorder.

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Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#13)

Posted on May 7, 2026 by Jason

We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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UFC’s White House Card Moves From Spectacle to Reality

Posted on May 7, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

 By Zach Rudisin – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, Link

The UFC’s long-awaited White House event, called “Freedom Fights 250,” no longer feels like a wild promotional idea. It now feels real.

On Wednesday, President Donald Trump welcomed UFC stars Ilia Topuria, Justin Gaethje, Alex Pereira, and Ciryl Gane to the Oval Office to preview the upcoming UFC Freedom 250 card, an event scheduled for June 14 on the White House grounds. The date carries obvious symbolism: Flag Day, Trump’s birthday, and the build-up to America’s 250th anniversary celebration. OutKick reported that Trump described the event as something that has “never happened before” and called it “the greatest show on Earth.”

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Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland (05-09-2026)

Posted on May 6, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#3P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (15-0-0, -564) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Sean Strickland (30-7-0, +414)
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-02-08: L vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LHW] Paulo Costa (16-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -564 81.36%
Elo K170 Khamzat Chimaev 2400.67 +201.21 76.10%
Elo Modified Khamzat Chimaev 2339.86 +172.16 72.93%
Glicko-1 Khamzat Chimaev 2443.19 +188.84 74.78%
WHR Khamzat Chimaev 2250.51 +166.82 72.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Khamzat Chimaev 32.0, Sean Strickland 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 266, Sean Strickland 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khamzat Chimaev leads 2-0
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#3DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Joshua Van (16-2-0, +147) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0, -176)
Joshua Van is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #17 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#10DD][#10P4P][#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#30FLY] Bruno Silva (15-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-08-02: W vs. [#75FLY] Hyun Sung Park (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:06 of round 2
2024-10-12: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -176 61.16%
Elo K170 Joshua Van 2116.14 +118.65 66.44%
Elo Modified Joshua Van 2043.32 +41.04 55.88%
Glicko-1 Joshua Van 2124.85 +15.97 52.30%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1936.96 +98.88 63.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joshua Van 24.5, Tatsuro Taira 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 154, Tatsuro Taira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joshua Van leads 2-1
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#3][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (39-11-0, -179) vs. [#7][#6UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-2-0, +150)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#17HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 2
2025-11-22: W vs. [#44HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 1
2025-11-01: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkov -179 61.59%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 2113.59 +83.77 61.83%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 2101.16 +63.56 59.05%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2191.29 +74.86 60.61%
WHR Alexander Volkov 2004.06 +101.67 64.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.5, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 196, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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