Category Archives: Upcoming Events

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan (10-01-2022)

26 Sep , 2022,
Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Mackenzie Dern (12-2-0, -226) vs. [#11] Xiaonan Yan (15-3-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#8SW] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-10-09: L vs. [#5SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (16-1-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-04-10: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (1-2-0)
2022-03-05: L vs. [#5SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (16-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#3P4P] Carla Esparza (19-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [*] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -226 66.07%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1699.79 +103.42 61.60%
Elo Modified Mackenzie Dern 1659.07 +35.74 53.90%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1651.15 +53.76 57.68%
WHR Xiaonan Yan 1580.46 +11.74 51.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 175, Xiaonan Yan 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Randy Brown (15-4-0, -273) vs. [#40] Francisco Trinaldo (28-8-0, +223)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (3-0-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#51WW] Kalinn Williams (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#155MW] Jared Gooden (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#95WW] Alex Oliveira (23-13-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (2-1-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#59WW] Danny Roberts (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#176MW] Dwight Grant (11-6-0) via SD (29-27, 27-29, 29-27)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#39WW] Muslim Salikhov (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -273 70.27%
Elo K170 Francisco Trinaldo 1939.22 +61.54 56.98%
Elo Modified Francisco Trinaldo 1859.06 +33.03 53.61%
Glicko-1 Francisco Trinaldo 1879.57 +28.47 54.09%
WHR Randy Brown 1739.64 +20.90 52.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 147, Francisco Trinaldo 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#61] John Castaneda (19-5-0, -216) vs. [#287] Daniel Gustavo Santos (9-2-0, +173)

Last 3 Fights: John Castaneda (2-1-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#141BW] Miles Johns (12-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:38 of round 3
2021-02-20: W vs. [*] Eddie Wineland (24-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2020-07-25: L vs. [#35FW] Nathaniel Wood (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Gustavo Santos (2-1-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#67BW] Julio Arce (18-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#502BW] Zhunus Nizambek (9-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:00 of round 1
2019-06-28: W vs. [*] Henrique Fantini (7-2-1) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick) in 02:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds John Castaneda -216 65.10%
Elo K170 John Castaneda 1665.67 +186.31 70.08%
Elo Modified John Castaneda 1689.69 +180.40 68.78%
Glicko-1 John Castaneda 1735.32 +210.85 77.10%
WHR John Castaneda 1632.28 +163.30 67.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Castaneda 238, Daniel Gustavo Santos 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song (09-17-2022)

12 Sep , 2022,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Cory Sandhagen (14-4-0, -208) vs. [#13] Yadong Song (19-7-1, +168)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #26 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (1-2-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#2BW] Petr Yan (16-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-07-24: L vs. [#6BW] T.J. Dillashaw (17-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#9BW] Frankie Edgar (24-10-1) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (3-0-0)
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 1
2021-11-13: W vs. [#67BW] Julio Arce (18-5-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:35 of round 2
2021-08-07: W vs. [#36BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory Sandhagen -208 64.41%
Elo K170 Cory Sandhagen 1941.04 +16.69 51.90%
Elo Modified Cory Sandhagen 1974.40 +81.74 58.85%
Glicko-1 Cory Sandhagen 2036.52 +103.00 64.40%
WHR Cory Sandhagen 1849.85 +35.77 54.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 322, Yadong Song 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#35] Chidi Njokuani (22-7-0, -107) vs. [#40] Gregory Rodrigues (12-4-0, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (3-0-0)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#100MW] Dusko Todorovic (11-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:48 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#58MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2021-09-07: W vs. [#160MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (15-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (2-1-0)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#68MW] Julian Marquez (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2022-02-26: L vs. [#83MW] Armen Petrosyan (7-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#45MW] Jun Yong Park (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gregory Rodrigues -115 50.85%
Elo K170 Chidi Njokuani 1822.66 +158.65 67.37%
Elo Modified Chidi Njokuani 1846.60 +95.97 60.35%
Glicko-1 Chidi Njokuani 1912.51 +124.64 67.20%
WHR Chidi Njokuani 1839.04 +159.25 67.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chidi Njokuani 119, Gregory Rodrigues 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#31] Tanner Boser (20-8-1, -205) vs. [#119] Rodrigo Nascimento (9-1-0, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (1-2-0)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#29LHW] Ovince St. Preux (26-16-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [*] Ilir Latifi (15-8-0) via SD (27-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-20-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento (2-1-0)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#279HW+] Alan Baudot (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 2
2020-10-10: L vs. [#14HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2020-05-16: W vs. [#103HW+] Dontale Mayes (9-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tanner Boser -205 64.13%
Elo K170 Tanner Boser 1605.21 +132.01 64.64%
Elo Modified Tanner Boser 1708.16 +181.01 68.83%
Glicko-1 Tanner Boser 1773.93 +232.49 79.22%
WHR Tanner Boser 1679.87 +104.32 61.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tanner Boser 448, Rodrigo Nascimento 427
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ferguson vs. Diaz (09-10-2022)

5 Sep , 2022,
Jason

Welterweight (171)
[#16LW] Tony Ferguson (25-7-0, 171.0lb) vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-13-0, 171.0lb)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#4LW] Michael Chandler (23-7-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-05-15: L vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Charles Oliveira (33-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#7WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#89LW] Anthony Pettis (25-14-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Nate Diaz 1967.53 +25.62 52.92%
Elo Modified Nate Diaz 1951.57 +47.68 55.20%
Glicko-1 Nate Diaz 2040.26 +70.78 60.05%
WHR Nate Diaz 1850.60 +80.89 59.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 126, Nate Diaz 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 4-3
.

Middleweight (179)
[#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0, 178.5lb) vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0, 179.5lb)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#22MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (32-13-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#98WW] Alex Oliveira (23-13-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:38 of round 2
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Khamzat Chimaev 2010.81 +90.93 60.24%
Elo Modified Khamzat Chimaev 2035.68 +123.42 63.19%
Glicko-1 Khamzat Chimaev 2125.94 +130.44 67.93%
WHR Khamzat Chimaev 1986.34 +179.45 69.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 154, Kevin Holland 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (179)
[#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0, 170.5lb) vs. [#29WW] Daniel Rodriguez (16-2-0, 179.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#41WW] Muslim Salikhov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2
2021-10-30: L vs. [#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#40WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#39WW] Kevin Lee (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#167WW] Preston Parsons (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [*] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jingliang Li 1946.08 +55.14 56.27%
Elo Modified Jingliang Li 1931.65 +28.20 53.08%
Glicko-1 Jingliang Li 2012.11 +53.62 57.66%
WHR Jingliang Li 1880.74 +74.78 58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jingliang Li 56, Daniel Rodriguez 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa (09-03-2022)

29 Aug , 2022,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#2] Ciryl Gane (10-1-0, -574) vs. [#4] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0, +418)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-06-26: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (3-0-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-11: W vs. [#26HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2021-07-10: W vs. [#55HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ciryl Gane -574 81.51%
Elo K170 Ciryl Gane 2077.14 +154.09 66.91%
Elo Modified Ciryl Gane 2098.59 +173.95 68.17%
Glicko-1 Ciryl Gane 2153.37 +130.05 67.89%
WHR Ciryl Gane 1980.97 +164.48 67.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 224, Tai Tuivasa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#2] Robert Whittaker (23-6-0, -236) vs. [#5] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1, +191)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #7 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#3MW] Jared Cannonier (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#9MW] Paulo Costa (14-2-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -236 67.15%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2204.74 +126.51 64.06%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2163.56 +72.23 57.84%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2233.00 +83.12 61.74%
WHR Robert Whittaker 2002.15 +16.33 51.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 203, Marvin Vettori 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#87] Alessio Di Chirico (13-6-0, -121) vs. [#252] Roman Kopylov (8-2-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (1-2-0)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#75MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#41MW] Joaquin Buckley (15-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:12 of round 1
2020-08-29: L vs. [*] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (1-2-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#62MW] Albert Duraev (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#113LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2018-12-27: W vs. [#89WW] Yasubey Enomoto (22-14-0) via KO (Punch to the body) in 3:42 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alessio Di Chirico -121 52.14%
Elo K170 Roman Kopylov 1578.78 +116.78 63.03%
Elo Modified Roman Kopylov 1635.31 +164.45 67.26%
Glicko-1 Roman Kopylov 1657.61 +179.37 73.74%
WHR Roman Kopylov 1528.30 +27.95 53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alessio Di Chirico 371, Roman Kopylov 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 (08-20-2022)

15 Aug , 2022,
Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#3DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0, -349) vs. [#11] Leon Edwards (19-3-0, +270)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#6WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#5WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#51WW] Nate Diaz (20-13-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (21-3-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#8LW] Rafael dos Anjos (31-14-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kamaru Usman -349 74.19%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2539.23 +306.82 80.24%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2486.62 +315.03 79.89%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2585.92 +365.55 89.13%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2278.39 +267.08 77.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 287, Leon Edwards 434
Previous Match-up Record: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#14] Paulo Costa (13-2-0, -283) vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0, +226)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #30 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Luke Rockhold is the All-Time #6 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#5MW] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2019-08-17: W vs. [#9LHW] Yoel Romero (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Rockhold (1-2-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2018-02-10: L vs. [#9LHW] Yoel Romero (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3
2017-09-16: W vs. [*] David Branch (22-7-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 4:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Paulo Costa -283 70.66%
Elo K170 Luke Rockhold 1962.34 +62.03 57.04%
Elo Modified Luke Rockhold 1958.04 +41.27 54.50%
Glicko-1 Paulo Costa 2006.96 +10.25 51.47%
WHR Paulo Costa 1858.17 +47.56 55.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paulo Costa 301, Luke Rockhold 1141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Paulo Costa leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#10DD] Jose Aldo (31-7-0, -103) vs. [#7] Merab Dvalishvili (14-4-0, -120)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #30 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (3-0-0)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#8BW] Rob Font (19-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#5BW] Marlon Vera (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2021-05-01: W vs. [#35BW] Cody Stamann (20-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#39BW] John Dodson (22-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Merab Dvalishvili -120 51.80%
Elo K170 Jose Aldo 2139.62 +128.31 64.25%
Elo Modified Jose Aldo 2139.73 +143.08 65.16%
Glicko-1 Jose Aldo 2196.10 +165.88 72.21%
WHR Jose Aldo 1995.31 +106.15 61.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 259, Merab Dvalishvili 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Merab Dvalishvili leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz (08-13-2022)

8 Aug , 2022,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Marlon Vera (20-7-1, -188) vs. [#8] Dominick Cruz (24-3-0, +156)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Dominick Cruz is the All-Time #1 ranked Bantamweight and #30 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (3-0-0)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#9BW] Rob Font (19-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#10BW] Frankie Edgar (24-10-1) via KO (Front Kick) in 3:50 of round 3
2021-06-19: W vs. [#72BW] Davey Grant (14-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Cruz (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#31BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: L vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marlon Vera -188 62.56%
Elo K170 Dominick Cruz 2081.84 +68.66 57.78%
Elo Modified Dominick Cruz 2011.49 +29.20 53.19%
Glicko-1 Marlon Vera 2037.15 +21.94 53.15%
WHR Marlon Vera 1877.36 +25.83 52.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 105, Dominick Cruz 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#44] Nate Landwehr (15-4-0, +180) vs. [#103] David Onama (10-1-0, -213)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#98LW] Ludovit Klein (19-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:22 of round 3
2021-02-20: L vs. [#42FW] Julian Erosa (27-9-0) via TKO (Flying Knee) in 0:56 of round 1
2020-05-16: W vs. [#36FW] Darren Elkins (27-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#466FW] Garrett Armfield (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#330LW] Gabriel Benitez (22-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1
2021-10-23: L vs. [#156LW] Mason Jones (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds David Onama -213 65.58%
Elo K170 Nate Landwehr 1724.55 +159.83 67.49%
Elo Modified Nate Landwehr 1714.33 +131.20 63.98%
Glicko-1 Nate Landwehr 1754.39 +115.82 66.08%
WHR Nate Landwehr 1662.81 +132.86 64.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 301, David Onama 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#32] Gerald Meerschaert (34-15-0, +220) vs. [#33] Bruno Silva (22-7-0, -263)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (2-1-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#20MW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#98MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 3
2021-08-28: W vs. [#55MW] Makhmud Muradov (25-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (2-1-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#7MW] Alex Pereira (6-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#135MW] Jordan Wright (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2021-10-16: W vs. [#53LHW] Andrew Sanchez (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:35 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruno Silva -263 69.86%
Elo K170 Bruno Silva 1733.44 +21.98 52.51%
Elo Modified Bruno Silva 1773.02 +29.06 53.17%
Glicko-1 Bruno Silva 1838.69 +36.69 55.26%
WHR Bruno Silva 1817.32 +126.74 64.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 105, Bruno Silva 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill (08-06-2022)

1 Aug , 2022,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Thiago Santos (22-10-0, +219) vs. [#12] Jamahal Hill (11-1-0, -276)
Thiago Santos is the All-Time #43 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (1-2-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#7LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-10-02: W vs. [#19LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#9LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#19LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 1
2021-12-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#14LHW] Paul Craig (16-5-1) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -276 70.07%
Elo K170 Thiago Santos 1853.14 +22.34 52.55%
Elo Modified Thiago Santos 1888.41 +37.73 54.12%
Glicko-1 Thiago Santos 1975.24 +60.59 58.63%
WHR Thiago Santos 1844.95 +68.07 57.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 147, Jamahal Hill 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#6] Vicente Luque (21-8-1, -175) vs. [#25] Geoff Neal (14-4-0, +145)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (21-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#13WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#44WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#16WW] Neil Magny (26-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#15WW] Stephen Thompson (16-6-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vicente Luque -175 60.92%
Elo K170 Vicente Luque 2090.51 +159.13 67.41%
Elo Modified Vicente Luque 2057.09 +183.77 69.09%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 2151.03 +245.50 80.42%
WHR Vicente Luque 1952.47 +212.07 72.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 112, Geoff Neal 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 4-3
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#99] Zac Pauga (5-0-0, -239) vs. [#189] Mohammed Usman (7-2-0, +199)

Last 3 Fights: Zac Pauga (3-0-0)
2021-10-17: W vs. [#127MW] Markus Perez (13-6-0) via UD ()
2021-08-01: W vs. [#107HW+] Terrance Jean-Jacques (8-3-0) via UD ()
2021-04-23: W vs. [#295LHW] Logan Nail (3-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mohammed Usman (2-1-0)
2021-05-06: L vs. [#136HW+] Brandon Sayles (6-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
2020-08-28: W vs. [NA] Terrance Hodges (2-7-0) via UD ()
2019-12-20: W vs. [*] Reggie Cato (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Zac Pauga -239 67.82%
Elo K170 Zac Pauga 1552.34 +165.33 68.03%
Elo Modified Zac Pauga 1619.14 +246.67 74.64%
Glicko-1 Zac Pauga 1570.55 +248.46 80.70%
WHR Zac Pauga 1490.45 +187.02 70.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zac Pauga 293, Mohammed Usman 457
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes (07-30-2022)

25 Jul , 2022,
Jason

Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#1DD/#4P4P] Julianna Pena (11-4-0, +230) vs. [#2/#3DD/#5P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-5-0, -289)
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #29 ranked Women’s fighter.
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#2BW/#3DD/#5P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#9BW] Sara McMann (13-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3
2020-10-03: L vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#4P4P] Julianna Pena (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-03-06: W vs. [*] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) in 2:03 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [*] Felicia Spencer (9-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Nunes -289 71.02%
Elo K170 Amanda Nunes 1886.31 +93.39 60.51%
Elo Modified Amanda Nunes 1874.27 +70.14 57.62%
Glicko-1 Amanda Nunes 1879.69 +35.54 55.10%
WHR Amanda Nunes 1882.07 +51.12 55.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julianna Pena 231, Amanda Nunes 231
Previous Match-up Record: Julianna Pena leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 5-2
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (19-6-2, -205) vs. [#3] Kai Kara France (24-9-0, +169)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #9 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Kai Kara France is the All-Time #27 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-1-1)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#7P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#7P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-12-12: D vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#7P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara France (3-0-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#5FLY] Askar Askarov (14-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#10FLY] Cody Garbrandt (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 1
2021-03-06: W vs. [#22FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -205 64.38%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 1982.58 +49.28 55.61%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 1944.86 +56.92 56.20%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 2019.63 +62.36 58.88%
WHR Brandon Moreno 1895.59 +91.30 60.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 189, Kai Kara France 126
Previous Match-up Record: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Derrick Lewis (26-9-0, -120) vs. [#25] Sergei Pavlovich (15-1-0, -103)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#4HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#13HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1
2021-08-07: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Ciryl Gane (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#83HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 1
2019-10-26: W vs. [#79HW+] Maurice Greene (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2019-04-20: W vs. [#59HW+] Marcelo Golm (10-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:06 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Derrick Lewis -120 51.80%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 1939.29 +109.93 62.30%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 1942.22 +108.22 61.63%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 1997.84 +99.11 63.89%
WHR Derrick Lewis 1842.92 +49.47 55.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 168, Sergei Pavlovich 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Upcoming UFC Fights Feature Revenge, Opportunity as a Motivator

22 Jul , 2022,
A. J. Riot

When it comes to upcoming UFC battles that fans want to see, there are plenty of matches — scheduled and yet-to-be-made — that will provide excitement for fans hungry for combat sports. While there have already been plenty of big title fights during the summer of 2022, there are still events left this year that have the potential to create lasting memories. While many fans are eagerly awaiting Charlies Oliveira’s next opponent to be announced, some fights are already on the schedule.

When it comes to MMA, things are often as uncertain as MLB odds, results can have a high variance due to the number of different skill sets fighters have. There is always a chance a fighter can spring a surprise result on any opponent who isn’t prepared. When it comes to the UFC, they usually don’t book easy fights for people looking to climb the ranks.

With that in mind, let’s look at some events on the horizon that will draw big interest.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 3: Blaydes vs. Aspinall (07-23-2022)

18 Jul , 2022,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Curtis Blaydes (16-3-0, +110) vs. [#7] Tom Aspinall (12-2-0, -134)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#13HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-09-25: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#22HW+] Sergey Spivak (14-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2021-02-20: W vs. [#34HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-20-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -134 54.59%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2095.25 +199.82 71.36%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2077.66 +167.75 67.58%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2161.78 +200.63 76.04%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 1952.40 +17.51 52.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 119, Tom Aspinall 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Jack Hermansson (22-7-0, -103) vs. [#25] Chris Curtis (29-8-0, -119)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#12MW] Sean Strickland (25-4-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#30MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#5MW] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (3-0-0)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#73MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#29MW] Brendan Allen (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 1:58 of round 2
2021-11-06: W vs. [#66MW] Phil Hawes (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chris Curtis -119 51.71%
Elo K170 Chris Curtis 1937.91 +33.25 53.79%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1979.87 +29.30 53.20%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2042.43 +16.00 52.30%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1854.11 +0.82 50.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Chris Curtis 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#76] Paddy Pimblett (18-3-0, -257) vs. [#168] Jordan Leavitt (10-1-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#203LW] Rodrigo Vargas (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#340LW] Luigi Vendramini (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Davide Martinez (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#172LW] Trey Ogden (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#607LW] Matt Sayles (8-4-0) via Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [#38LW] Claudio Puelles (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Paddy Pimblett -257 68.77%
Elo K170 Paddy Pimblett 1692.72 +36.24 54.13%
Elo Modified Paddy Pimblett 1736.53 +99.20 60.69%
Glicko-1 Paddy Pimblett 1813.27 +183.02 74.15%
WHR Paddy Pimblett 1748.76 +175.36 69.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paddy Pimblett 126, Jordan Leavitt 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

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