Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori (2020-12-05)

3 Dec , 2020,
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4] Jack Hermansson (21-5-0) vs. [#22] Marvin Vettori (14-4-1)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #42 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#10MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-6-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
2019-04-27: W vs. [#9MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#49MW] Karl Roberson (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#46MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [*] Cezar Ferreira (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 2032.91 +177.75 69.26%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 2041.13 +152.75 66.12%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2131.19 +195.94 75.55%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1935.76 +45.09 55.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 140, Marvin Vettori 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Ovince St. Preux (25-14-0, +147) vs. [#33] Jamahal Hill (8-0-0, -177)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#64LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-05-13: L vs. [#26HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#52LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#44LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:51 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#102LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-23: W vs. [*] Alexander Poppeck (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -177 61.21%
Elo K170 Ovince St. Preux 1704.03 +70.27 57.96%
Elo Modified Ovince St. Preux 1777.82 +123.17 63.16%
Glicko-1 Ovince St. Preux 1865.52 +176.44 73.41%
WHR Ovince St. Preux 1747.99 +175.61 69.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 91, Jamahal Hill 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Taila Santos (16-1-0, -215) vs. [#34] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#33FLY] Molly McCann (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#62FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-11: W vs. [*] Estefani Almeida (8-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#10FLY] Viviane Araujo (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#62FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#22FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Taila Santos -215 65.15%
Elo K170 Taila Santos 1513.09 +184.25 69.89%
Elo Modified Taila Santos 1557.92 +210.21 71.51%
Glicko-1 Taila Santos 1599.35 +266.37 82.25%
WHR Taila Santos 1518.89 +252.41 76.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 143, Montana De La Rosa 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Montana De La Rosa leads 1-0
.

Read More…

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Thursday, December 10th 2020: Bellator 254: Macfarlane vs. Velasquez
 [#8 W125] Ilima-Lei Macfarlane [#15 W125] Juliana Velasquez
Last Fight Date: 12/21/2019 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#64 W125] Kate Jackson
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 12/21/2019 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#68 W125] Bruna Ellen
Last 5: W W W W W
Saturday, December 19th 2020: Deep - Jewels 31
 [#11 W105] Si Woo Park [#14 W105] Saori Oshima
Last Fight Date: 12/15/2019 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [NR] Hikaru Aono
Last 5: L L W W W
Last Fight Date: 9/20/2020 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [NR] Mizuki Oshiro
Last 5: - W L W W
Sunday, December 13th 2020: ACA 115
 [#25 MW] Magomed Ismailov [#40 LHW] Ivan Shtyrkov
Last Fight Date: 7/24/2020 [Absolute Championship Akhmat]
Last Opponent: [#60 HW] Aleksander Emelianenko
Last 5: W D W W W
Last Fight Date: 2/22/2020 [Russian Cagefighting Championship]
Last Opponent: [#140 LHW] Michal Pasternak
Last 5: W W W L W

Tip Us!

30 Nov , 2020,
Jason

It’s been a long time coming, but you can now OFFICIALLY show support via PayPal (by way of Ko-Fi) for your favorite MMA ranking source!  See the “Support Fight Matrix – Tip Us!” button below.

We don’t make much on traffic or ads and servers aren’t free.  It’s mostly been a labor of love all this time.  Being able to open up another revenue channel will help secure our placement on the Internet for more years to come.

Right now, the “tipping” service is pretty limited.  It defaults to $3, but you can raise this amount.  If this takes off, we may change it up.. start offering Patreon-type perks… who knows?

 

The engine at work has been producing “current” ranking sets since January 2008.

Some stats that I ran about 10 days ago:

  • 732 (now 734) official current ranking updates.  12,323 unique fighters ranked.
  • 396 official all-time historical ranking updates.
  • Average time between ranking updates: 6.5 days.
  • Longest time between ranking updates: 14 days
  • Highest All-Time Current Ranking Point Total (#1 – 20pts, #2 – 10pts, #3 – 5pts, #4 – 4pts, #5 – 3.5pts… else – (18/Rank# = pts)
    • 13,769 – Cris Cyborg
    • 12,611 – Jon Jones
    • 11,357 – Georges St. Pierre
    • 11,261 – Anderson Silva
    • 10,948 – Jose Aldo

As you likely know by now, we’ve got tons of other stuff as well.  Alternate ranking systems, record pages, occasional statistical posts, event programs, etc.

Show us you care!

Current MMA Rankings Updated (11-29-2020)

29 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Other Info

  • We will likely have a “tip jar” displayed on the site in December to allow fans to toss us some coin for the 12+ years of being the best MMA ranking source on the Internet.  Look for that!

How Bookmakers are Taking MMA Betting Seriously

28 Nov , 2020,
A. J. Riot

For anyone who wants to place a bet on the sport they follow, the good news is that you can place a bet on almost any sport out there. The service on offer from bookmakers has never been as strong, and part of that service allows people to bet on MMA fights. This isn’t the biggest betting sport that bookmakers deal with, but it is certainly one that they are taking seriously and one the rise and what helps this is that betting on MMA is very easy. Will we ever see MMA betting alongside other traditional betting sports such as football and horse racing? That is highly unlikely, but as things improve and more fans get involved, the bookmakers will only take this sport more seriously.

Read More…

How to Win Online: Casino Canada – a Quick Guide for Beginners

25 Nov , 2020,
A. J. Riot

How to Win at Online Casinos: All You Needed to Know About Modern Gambling

Many novice gamblers believe that there are ways to consistently outplay online casinos. Unfortunately, this is not actually true. You will never cheat a real casino online. Moreover, you will lose most of the time. Despite that, there are methods that might increase your win rate. Not a single strategy allows you to win constantly because every Canada online casino has an advantage. Nevertheless, our tips can help you to enhance your chances of success. Read this article if you are willing to learn more about casino advantage and the basic gambling strategy.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis (2020-11-28)

23 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0, -334) vs. [#4] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0, +259)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #33 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#7HW+] Alexander Volkov (32-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [#22HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (3-0-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2020-02-08: W vs. [#42HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#17HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -334 73.42%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2113.49 +15.74 51.80%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2101.48 +61.24 56.66%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2189.51 +68.81 59.78%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 2021.03 +114.89 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 161, Derrick Lewis 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 5-4
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15] Anthony Smith (33-16-0, -119) vs. [#42] Devin Clark (12-4-0, -105)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#12LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#4LHW] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-06-01: W vs. [#19LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#64LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#210MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#27LHW] Ryan Spann (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Smith -119 51.47%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1827.66 +140.26 65.49%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1845.49 +142.93 65.15%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1921.91 +220.14 78.03%
WHR Anthony Smith 1786.59 +211.83 72.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 91, Devin Clark 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#92] Josh Parisian (13-3-0, -215) vs. [#178] Parker Porter (9-6-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (3-0-0)
2020-08-18: W vs. [#222HW+] Chad Johnson (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:43 of round 1
2020-01-29: W vs. [#378MW] Marcus Maulding (8-11-0) via TKO in 3:57 of round 1
2019-12-14: W vs. [#452HW+] Matunga Djikasa (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Parker Porter (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#74HW+] Chris Daukaus (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [#209HW+] Dirlei Broenstrup (16-8-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2019-05-31: W vs. [*] Kevin Ray Sears (8-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:29 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josh Parisian -215 65.15%
Elo K170 Josh Parisian 1442.09 +197.81 71.17%
Elo Modified Josh Parisian 1457.67 +137.86 64.65%
Glicko-1 Josh Parisian 1514.71 +199.29 75.90%
WHR Josh Parisian 1399.85 +106.77 61.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Parisian 102, Parker Porter 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Read More…

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Perez (2020-11-21)

19 Nov , 2020,
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (19-1-0, -306) vs. [#4] Alex Perez (24-5-0, +241)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alex Perez is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [#27FLY] Tim Elliott (16-11-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#32FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-8-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:33 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#189BW] Mark De La Rosa (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -306 71.98%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2120.37 +236.24 74.64%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2080.48 +213.05 71.76%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2167.01 +275.51 83.00%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1962.32 +211.11 72.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 126, Alex Perez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Deiveson Figueiredo leads 2-1
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0, -1569) vs. [#4] Jennifer Maia (18-6-1, +860)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#6FLY] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#9FLY] Jessica Eye (15-8-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#16FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 1
2019-11-02: L vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#12FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-17-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -1569 90.02%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1908.70 +247.43 75.59%
Elo Modified Valentina Shevchenko 1914.24 +265.70 76.19%
Glicko-1 Valentina Shevchenko 1931.58 +285.00 83.76%
WHR Valentina Shevchenko 1913.37 +326.67 81.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 287, Jennifer Maia 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
.

Welterweight (170)
[#27] Mike Perry (14-6-0, -153) vs. [#61] Tim Means (30-12-1, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#151WW] Mickey Gall (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#16WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2019-08-10: L vs. [#12WW] Vicente Luque (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#93WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#44WW] Daniel Rodriguez (13-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-12-07: W vs. [#89WW] Thiago Alves (23-15-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Perry -153 57.85%
Elo K170 Mike Perry 1737.38 +96.22 60.82%
Elo Modified Mike Perry 1763.09 +87.32 59.44%
Glicko-1 Mike Perry 1814.22 +106.02 64.80%
WHR Mike Perry 1665.05 +37.37 54.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 147, Tim Means 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mike Perry leads 1-0
.

Read More…

XFL Delivers on Fan Favorites

Nov , 2020,
A. J. Riot

In 2001, Vince McMahon’s first XFL attempt didn’t last long. Though billing the league as a faster and less controversial version of the NFL with more entertainment value, the league floundered and then flopped.

In 2018, McMahon announced his revitalization of the XFL with his Alpha Entertainment group. Fans of the original buckled up, while pro wrestling and football fans alike saw their interest piqued by intriguing ads for the league that highlighted its offerings.

Slowly but surely, the XFL managed to contract talented players who were released by NFL and CFL teams or who were free agents. At the moment, sites that offer NFL picks have yet to take an analytical dive into the XFL.

However, that may be due to the lack of stats available rather than disinterest. The league’s second kickoff in February 2020 came to a screeching halt only weeks later in March, then eventually folded for bankruptcy by mid-April.

This means the XFL is lean on player stats and other information that helps drive predictions by sportsbooks. However, since the latest start-then-stop of the XFL, the league has changed ownership with a new relaunch date set for 2022.

RedBird Capital bought out the XFL with ex-couple Dwayne Johnson and Dany Garcia leading the charge. Since the XFL has shifted hands, fans will have to wait another two years before sinking their teeth into the next Spring League. However, RedBird Capital seems on track to deliver on the main selling points better than McMahon’s Alpha Entertainment could.

Let’s take a look at what fans hope to see the most in the renewed XFL.

Read More…

Felder/dos Anjos – Split Decision?!

15 Nov , 2020,
Jason

50-45, 50-45, 47-48

The odd decision of Felder/dos Anjos surfaced some questions on how to handle split decisions where there is one super obvious outlier.  Do you respect that all judges have an equal say?  Do you take the one in the middle (median)?  Something else?

Let’s take a look at the effects of Felder’s rating in the various systems — dos Anjos switched divisions, while Felder remained at 155, which makes him a better subject for this within the standard system.

 

System Win Weights Pre-Fight Post-Fight Diff
Fight Matrix “Standard” 72 (90,97) 427 427 =
ELO “K170” 100 (100,100) 1909 1828 -81
ELO “Modified” 67 (100,100) 1929 1894 -35
Glicko-1 55 (91,91) 1985 1967 -18
WHR 69 (88,99) 1839 1819 -20

The win weights list three weights (the “power” of a win out of 100) for:

  1. The actual fight.
  2. The fight if it were scored 49-46 x3 UD (average).
  3. The fight if it were scored 50-45 x3 UD (majority & median).

In all systems but the standard, Felder lost points.  OK, if we are to get technical, Felder lost 0.0051 points in the standard system, but that had nothing to do with the fight itself.  The standard and the WHR systems were the least affected by this egregious error.