Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hernandes vs Rodriguez (08-22-2026)

Posted on August 17, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#8UFC] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0, -176) vs. [#13][#11UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (19-6-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#3P4P][#7DD][#1MW] Sean Strickland (31-7-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-08-09: W vs. [#13LHW] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-02-22: W vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#23MW] Brunno Ferreira (15-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2025-11-15: W vs. [#24MW] Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#108WW] Jack Hermansson (24-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:21 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Anthony Hernandez	-176		61.26%
Elo K170	Anthony Hernandez	2061.77	+47.85	56.84%
Elo Modified	Anthony Hernandez	2051.56	+27.58	53.96%
Glicko-1	Anthony Hernandez	2111.38	+11.89	51.71%
WHR	Anthony Hernandez	1991.33	+60.71	58.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Anthony Hernandez 32.8, Gregory Rodrigues 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Hernandez 182, Gregory Rodrigues 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#12][#10UFC] Serghei Spivac (18-6-0, +143) vs. [#44][#23UFC] Vitor Petrino (14-2-0, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Serghei Spivac (1-2-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#9HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#10HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#108HW+] Steven Asplund (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#84HW+] Thomas Petersen (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2025-07-12: W vs. [#167LHW] Austen Lane (13-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vitor Petrino	-171		60.52%
Elo K170	Serghei Spivac	1842.58	+128.17	67.65%
Elo Modified	Serghei Spivac	1859.96	+109.49	65.26%
Glicko-1	Serghei Spivac	1894.51	+133.75	68.35%
WHR	Serghei Spivac	1776.70	+110.89	65.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Serghei Spivac 31.6, Vitor Petrino 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Serghei Spivac 182, Vitor Petrino 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#13][#12UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0, +287) vs. [#21][#16UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0, -367)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#11MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#10MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-03-15: W vs. [#29MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (1-2-0)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-26: W vs. [#8LHW] Robert Whittaker (27-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Reinier de Ridder	-367		75.25%
Elo K170	Reinier de Ridder	1915.96	+60.77	58.66%
Elo Modified	Reinier de Ridder	1894.31	+18.84	52.71%
Glicko-1	Roman Dolidze	1949.19	+4.39	50.63%
WHR	Reinier de Ridder	1860.39	+38.22	55.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 38.1, Reinier de Ridder 35.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 154, Reinier de Ridder 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Sweepstakes Casino

Current MMA Rankings Updated (08-16-2026)

Posted on August 16, 2026 by Jason

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, August 22nd 2026: PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira

[#1 W145] Cristiane Justino

[#4 W135] Ketlen Vieira

Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#2 W145] Sara Collins
Last 5: W W W W W

Last Fight Date: 5/16/2026 [UFC]
Last Opponent: [#10 W135] Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Last 5: W L W L W

Thursday, September 10th 2026: Super RIZIN 5: Naniwa No Chou Fukkatsu Matsuri

[#5 FW] A.J. McKee

[#6 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev

Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#20 FW] Salamat Isbulaev
Last 5: W L W W W

Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#249 FW] Yuta Kubo
Last 5: W W W W W

Thursday, September 10th 2026: Super RIZIN 5: Naniwa No Chou Fukkatsu Matsuri

[#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina

[#16 W105] Rena Kubota

Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#9 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki
Last 5: W W W W W

Last Fight Date: 12/31/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#2 W105] Seika Izawa
Last 5: W L W W L

Featured Fighters

[#1 WW]	Islam Makhachev	[#5 WW]	Ian Garry
[NR]	Khabib Nurmagomedov	[#29 WW]	Myktybek Orolbai
[#2 LW]	Ilia Topuria	[#178 WW]	Namo Fazil
[#25 WW]	Neil Magny	[#2 W115]	Mackenzie Dern
[#1 FW]	Alexander Volkanovski	[#161 WW]	Conor McGregor

Interview with Tommy Gantt, Undefeated UFC Lightweight

Posted on August 13, 2026 by Heather

Introduction

Tommy Gantt doesn’t fit the typical UFC timeline – and he’s not trying to. The undefeated lightweight didn’t step into MMA until age 30, already carrying an All-American wrestling pedigree. He also holds a Master’s Degree in Social Work. Rather than ease in, he attacked the clock: over ten fights in a single year, a run through the Carolinas regional circuit and Dana White’s Contender Series. Then, a UFC debut capped by a 2nd round TKO.

Now 1-0 in the Octagon, Gantt returns September 12th against Drakkar Klose – his toughest test yet, and his first UFC fight outside the APEX. In this interview, Gantt talks about the risk he took leaving a coaching job at NC State to chase this full-time, the influence of mentors like Daniel Cormier, and what life at 30-plus looks like in a sport built for younger people.

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FightMatrix Prediction Performance Report

Posted on August 12, 2026 by Vitaliy Vovk

During May, 2025– July, 2026, we have published a series of analytical MMA fight previews and betting articles for FightMatrix, covering UFC main events, co-main events, and selected featured bouts.

Performance Summary

Articles analyzed: 13

Total fight predictions verified: 22

Correct predictions: 17

Incorrect predictions: 5

Prediction accuracy: 77.3%

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UFC Schedule 2026: How Paramount+ Changed Fighter Activity

Posted on August 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The biggest change to the UFC schedule in 2026 is not simply that there are more fights available under one subscription. It is that the calendar now gives ranked fighters fewer reasons to sit out.

The promotion has 12 numbered events, 30 Fight Nights and the White House card on its 2026 calendar. None requires fans to buy a separate traditional pay-per-view. For viewers following the sport across both broadcasts and betting markets, offers such as a bet365 bonus code sit alongside a much broader year-round UFC schedule than under the old PPV-heavy model.

At almost the same time, UFC introduced a new rankings system built with Meta that gives weight to recent competition and penalizes prolonged inactivity. Those two changes matter more together than they do separately.

A fighter who takes three meaningful bouts in a year is no longer just building a better résumé in the eyes of voters. Activity can affect the number that appears next to his or her name.

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Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues: What The Betting Says

Posted on August 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

UFC Fight Night makes its return to Sacramento on August 22, and the promotion has handed the city a main event that carries real title eliminator implications. Anthony Hernandez, the No. 7-ranked middleweight, takes on No. 10-ranked Gregory Rodrigues at Golden 1 Center in what will be the UFC’s first visit to the city since 2019. Both men come into this one with a point to prove.

Hernandez arrives with a 15-3 record that has been built on relentless wrestling and suffocating top pressure, though he’s coming off a setback rather than a win streak. His last outing ended in a TKO defeat at the hands of middleweight champion Sean Strickland, ending an eight-fight winning run that included six finishes. Rodrigues, at 19-6, brings quite the opposite skill set. He’s got heavy hands and a reputation for being one of the division’s most dangerous finishers.

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UFC Fighters With Casino and Betting Sponsorships

Posted on August 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Casino and sportsbook brands have become closely linked with mixed martial arts. For fighters, sponsorships can add income outside fight purses. For betting companies, a recognizable UFC name offers direct access to a large sports audience and strong social-media reach.

That relationship has produced a growing list of UFC gambling sponsorships involving champions, contenders, and former titleholders. Alex Pereira, Alexandre Pantoja, Merab Dvalishvili, and other fighters have appeared in campaigns for betting or casino companies, while brands such as Stake and bet365 have also signed broader agreements with the UFC.

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What Happens to Your Testosterone Levels During an MMA Training Camp?

Posted on August 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Photo by Franco Monsalvo from Pexels on Canva.

Participating in an MMA training camp can change your testosterone levels, but the change isn’t necessarily immediate or steady. During the earlier stages of camp, testosterone may remain relatively stable even as training becomes demanding. Levels can start to fall later if the fighter is losing weight and consuming too little energy for the amount of training they’re doing. The steepest declines documented in combat-sport research have occurred close to the weigh-in, when food restriction and weight-cutting practices become particularly aggressive.

Testosterone can then begin to increase again after the fighter eats and restores energy following the weigh-in. So, rather than a straight decline throughout camp, the pattern can range from little change to a pronounced late-camp drop followed by recovery.

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How PicksDb is Revolutionizing Combat Sports Handicapping and Creator Economy

Posted on August 14, 2026 by A. J. Riot

In the fast-moving world of mixed martial arts and sports betting, credibility is everything. Between social media “gurus” hiding bad losses and cappers selling unverified fight picks via direct messages, fight fans have long needed a transparent, centralized home to track records and share fight insights.

Enter PicksDb—a sports prediction and creator platform engineered to bring absolute transparency, real-time odds, and creator monetization under one roof.

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What Happens to Your UFC Bet When a Fighter Misses Weight?

Posted on August 14, 2026 by A. J. Riot

MMA fighter at a weigh-in beside a scale showing 156.5 pounds and a betting slip asking whether the wager remains active — A missed UFC weigh-in does not automatically void a bet. The outcome depends on whether the fight continues, changes to a catchweight, is cancelled, or gets a replacement fighter.

You placed the bet before the weigh-in. One fighter comes in heavy. Does the ticket still count? A missed weight does not automatically cancel a UFC wager — but catchweights, cancellations, replacement fighters and sportsbook house rules can all change what happens next.

You place a UFC bet on Thursday.

The matchup looks good. You get the price you wanted. Then Friday morning arrives and one fighter steps onto the scale over the contracted limit.

Now the questions start.

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Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson: Preview

Posted on August 14, 2026 by Heather

[#2 W115] Mackenzie Dern (C) defends her strawweight title against [#5 W115] Gillian Robertson this Saturday, Aug 15, at UFC 330. Here’s the case for Robertson, based on how analysts and Robertson herself have broken down the matchup:

Dern’s Vulnerabilities

Weak takedown defense: one analyst pegs it at just 38%, meaning Robertson doesn’t need elite wrestling to get this fight to the mat.

Inconsistent takedowns of her own – Robertson has pointed out Dern “doesn’t have a great ability to take it to the ground,” saying Dern’s shot is just okay and she relies mainly on a lateral hip throw.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#25)

Posted on August 13, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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How to Bet on UFC Fights in South Africa: A Virgin Bet Walkthrough

Posted on August 13, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Image: Ellis Yates

The card drops a few weeks out, and if you follow the sport closely the reading starts immediately. You check the main event, look at the styles, weigh reach against wrestling, and try to work out where the fight actually gets decided. For a South African fan planning to bet a UFC card, that homework is the fun part. Turning it into a placed bet is the step that trips people up.

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Exploring the Connection Between Online Gaming and Sports

Posted on August 12, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Digital technology has changed how people spend their free time, bringing gaming and sports closer to everyday online experiences. Platforms such as qqmacan are part of a growing digital environment where users can access entertainment through computers and mobile devices. Alongside online gaming, sports content has also moved strongly into the digital space, giving fans more convenient ways to follow competitions and stay connected with their interests.

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Nurmagomedov vs. Song Headlines a Loaded Late August

Posted on August 12, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Can a Fight Night card without a numbered pay-per-view banner still generate the kind of buzz usually reserved for a title night? The answer arrives on August 29, 2026, when Umar Nurmagomedov meets Song Yadong in a bantamweight main event that ranking-watchers have already circled. On paper it’s a Fight Night. In practice, it carries the weight of a division realignment, with two top-ten fighters colliding just as the 135-pound picture gets crowded again. The storylines run deep, the stat sheets are fascinating, and the anticipation is climbing well before fight week even opens.

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UFC 331 Rematch Puts Flyweight on the Line

Posted on August 12, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Can a fighter step into a title rematch, having already tasted defeat, and walk out with the belt? That question hangs over Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on September 19, when UFC 331 delivers a flyweight main event built on unfinished business. Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van are set to run it back, and for the ranking-obsessed corner of the MMA world, this is the kind of matchup that reshapes a division’s entire top ten in a single night. The 125-pound weight class has been one of the sport’s most quietly compelling stories all year, and the rematch angle only sharpens the stakes.

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