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Fight Matrix

Dustin Poirier Says One Bad Day Nearly Destroyed Everything He Built

Posted on July 23, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

One year after laying down his gloves, Poirier opens up about the airport arrest that threatened his future, the drinking problem he could no longer deny, the painful family cycle he intends to break, and the daily work required to rebuild his life.

Dustin Poirier had every reason to cancel the interview. His flight home from Florida had been delayed, an airline change sent him through Dallas, and a missed connection forced him to rent a car and drive more than six hours through the night to Lafayette, Louisiana. He finally reached home around six in the morning, but only hours later, tired and searching for the wireless headphones he had misplaced during the trip, Poirier still appeared for his scheduled conversation with Ariel Helwani.

That small decision captured much of what followed. Poirier was exhausted, uncomfortable, and discussing the most embarrassing public moment of his life, but he showed up anyway.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#22)

Posted on July 23, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, August 22nd 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
 [#1 W145] Cristiane Justino [#4 W135] Ketlen Vieira
Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#2 W145] Sara Collins
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 5/16/2026 [UFC]
Last Opponent: [#10 W135] Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Last 5: W L W L W
Thursday, September 10th 2026: Rizin FF - Super Rizin 5
 [#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina [#16 W105] Rena Kubota
Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#8 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 12/31/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#2 W105] Seika Izawa
Last 5: W L W W L
Saturday, July 25th 2026: Pancrase 364 / Pancrase Blood 11
 [#11 SW] Kanji Funada [#13 SW] Shunma Sasaki
Last Fight Date: 3/14/2026 [Pancrase]
Last Opponent: [#4 SW] Yuta Miyazawa
Last 5: W W W W L
Last Fight Date: 3/14/2026 [Pancrase]
Last Opponent: [#52 SW] Takafumi Ato
Last 5: L W W W W
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Featured Fighters

[NR]  Matt Hughes [#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev
[#1 LW]  Justin Gaethje [#279 LW]  Johnny Case
[#164 WW]  Conor McGregor [#6 WW]  Kamaru Usman
[#2 LW]  Ilia Topuria [#3 MW]  Dricus Du Plessis
[NR]  Juan Antonio Cabrera [#22 MW]  Sharabutdin Magomedov
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Inactivity – Does Age Matter?

Posted on July 22, 2026 by Jason

Recently, I thought about the effects of inactivity and wondered if age is a compounding factor. Does an older fighter suffer more from inactivity than a younger fighter?

Below, are the statistics for win % by the amount of inactivity prior to a fight.

Win% By Inactivity
Once we get past the slight improvement seen in the 91-180d segment, it is a pretty gradual decline in win %.

 

Let’s look at some age-specific data.  The age ranges themselves were driven by my desire to split the fight data (by count) as evenly as possible.

Win% Difference from Avg

It seems that all age groups benefit from staying active, especially the “Under 23” group.  They see a win percentage improvement at inactivity periods of slightly beyond one year!  I would not take the large dip at the higher inactivity periods for the “Under 23” group very seriously.  The data is thin — how many fighters will be in this age group and have that many years of inactivity since their last fight?  Not many.

All in all, the age groups track pretty similarly, but the older groups seem to handle extended inactivity a little better than the younger groups.

Win Diff 2

Interesting.  Perhaps maturity plays a role here?  I would’ve expected the opposite…

Taking the sport as a whole, it is easy to say that staying active matters, but how much impact do other factors have, like matchmaking?  Is a fighter returning from 4 years of inactivity more likely to have a favorable match-up or a terrible one?  Does this impact fighters of different ages in a similar manner?

Note: The data that drives the line charts is a subset of the data used for the win percentages in the first image as we do not have birth dates for all fighters. The win rate for fighters with birth dates is much higher than those without.  Hardly anyone records the birth date of a 0-2 fighter.

I welcome discussion in the comments section…

 

 

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov (07-25-2026)

Posted on July 20, 2026 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2][#2UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1, -534) vs. [#11][#10UFC] Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1, +389)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #19 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-1-0)
2025-10-04: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:20 of round 1
2025-03-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#34LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Guskov (2-0-1)
2025-12-06: D vs. [#9LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2025-07-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Nikita Krylov (31-12-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2025-01-18: W vs. [#65LHW] Billy Elekana (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:33 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -534 80.46%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2209.49 +335.13 87.31%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2195.27 +286.65 83.89%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2293.96 +304.82 85.25%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 1995.69 +128.49 67.69%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Ankalaev 34.1, Bogdan Guskov 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 294, Bogdan Guskov 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 2-1
.

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#10UFC] Steve Erceg (14-4-0, -122) vs. [*] Ramazonbek Temirov (19-3-0, +100)
Steve Erceg is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#14FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#65FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Ramazonbek Temirov (3-0-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#24FLY] Charles Johnson (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-10-12: W vs. [*] C.J. Vergara (12-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:50 of round 1
2023-09-24: W vs. [#224FLY] Takaki Soya (13-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Steve Erceg -122 52.35%
Elo K170 Steve Erceg 1819.41 +23.69 53.40%
Elo Modified Ramazonbek Temirov 1803.60 +8.34 51.20%
Glicko-1 Ramazonbek Temirov 1857.01 +24.71 53.55%
WHR Ramazonbek Temirov 1696.92 +4.01 50.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Steve Erceg 31.0, Ramazonbek Temirov 29.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Erceg 84, Ramazonbek Temirov 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#117][#57UFC] Islam Dulatov (12-1-0, -734) vs. [*] Wellington Turman (18-8-0, +519)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Dulatov (3-0-0)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#459WW] Adam Fugitt (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2024-10-08: W vs. [#339MW] Vanilton Antunes (16-9-0) via KO (Elbow) in 2:44 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#735MW] Ioannis Palaiologos (20-15-1) via TKO (Knee to the Body) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (0-3-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#217MW] Jared Gooden (23-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-06-24: L vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#93MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Dulatov -734 84.48%
Elo K170 Islam Dulatov 1667.86 +228.68 78.86%
Elo Modified Islam Dulatov 1650.34 +187.98 74.69%
Glicko-1 Islam Dulatov 1745.79 +291.68 84.27%
WHR Islam Dulatov 1592.21 +239.28 79.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Dulatov 28.0, Wellington Turman 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Dulatov 371, Wellington Turman 966
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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“It’s not a joke” – Anthony Joshua believes Ilia Topuria got too caught up in the fame before the Justin Gaethje Fight

Posted on July 20, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Anthony Joshua references Ilia Topuria’s shocking defeat to Justin Gaethje on the UFC White House card when discussing his own mindset in the build-up to his highly anticipated return.

The UFC Freedom event held at the White House in Washington, DC, was headlined by a lightweight title clash between two all-time greats in mixed martial arts (MMA), Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje.

Many believed Topuria would be too much for Gaethje, given that he was undefeated at the time and had knocked out huge names such as Alexander Volkanovski, Max Holloway, and Charles Oliveira.

Gaethje was coming into the fight as the much older man at 37 years old, and he had also suffered losses to the likes of Dustin Poirier and Charles Oliveira.

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Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-19-2026)

Posted on July 19, 2026 by Jason
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Former WBC Africa Champion Javan Buyu Headlines International Boxing Card in Nairobi on July 25

Posted on July 12, 2026 by Heather

SportPesa Boxing presents a stacked night featuring title contention, experienced international talent, and Moroccan fighters proudly representing their city.

Event Information

Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026

Venue: The Edge Convention Center, Nairobi

Gates: 4:00 PM | First Fight: 5:00 PM

Tickets: Available at TICKETSASA.COM Keep Reading

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Why Competitive Athletes Appreciate Well-Designed Slot Games

Posted on July 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Professional athletes spend much of their lives chasing improvement. Training sessions are important. Competitions are key. Performances count. All need good prep. They need focus and consistency, too. When it’s time to relax, many people want entertainment that requires less focus. One reason slot machine online games attract players is simple. They are fun and exciting. People enjoy them all over the world. They provide quick, easy entertainment. Their modern visuals and fun features stand out. This makes them a perfect choice for relaxing after a competition. Keep Reading

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Stablecoins Are Changing the Speed and Feel of Online Casino Payments in 2026

Posted on July 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Image by Devon Ashcroft

The word doing the most work in online casino marketing this year is “instant.” It gets stamped on deposits, on withdrawals, and above all on anything involving stablecoins. The pitch is simple: dollars pegged tokens move in seconds, so your money should too. Some of that is true. A lot of it depends on which clock you are actually reading, and on whether the operator quoting the number is licensed to take your call when something goes wrong.

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The Evolution of MMA Training Camps: Smarter, Faster, Tougher

Posted on July 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

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Mixed martial arts has transformed from a chaotic spectacle into a discipline governed by science, strategy, and precision. Nowhere is this shift more visible than in the training camp, the intensive preparation phase that separates contenders from champions. What once relied on brute repetition and instinct now integrates data analytics, sports medicine, and psychological conditioning. The modern camp is a laboratory as much as a gym, where every variable is measured, tested, and optimized for peak performance on fight night.

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Why MMA’s Most Dangerous Finishers Still Rewrite the Sport’s History

Posted on July 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

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Mixed martial arts occupies a distinctive position among combat sports because its outcomes remain perpetually contingent. A single strike, submission, or scramble can invert an entire narrative within seconds. This structural volatility distinguishes MMA from disciplines where cumulative scoring dominates. The fighters capable of producing decisive finishes therefore exert influence far beyond their individual records, reshaping how observers interpret hierarchy, legacy, and the very metrics used to evaluate excellence.

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How Much Do UFC Fighters Get Paid? Salaries, Bonuses, and PPV Earnings Explained

Posted on July 23, 2026 by A. J. Riot

A packed arena makes the UFC look like a money machine. For a few stars, it is. Yet how much do UFC fighters make is hard to answer because contracts are private, commissions disclose only part of the purse, and headline figures ignore expenses. After eight years freelancing around sports, I’ve learned to distrust neat numbers attached to messy businesses.

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Reasons the Fireball Casino Website Remains a Top Choice in Poland

Posted on July 22, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Polish players have more options than ever when it comes to online casinos, yet some platforms keep showing up in conversations year after year. Fireball Casino is one of them, and the reasons are specific enough to be worth looking at closely.

This is not about flashy design or vague promises. The platform has built a reputation among Polish users based on concrete details: payment options that actually work in Poland, a game library with numbers behind it, and bonus terms that do not require a law degree to understand.

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How to Download the Bison Casino App on Android and iOS

Posted on July 22, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Mobile gaming has changed how players interact with online casinos, and Bison Casino is no exception. The app brings the full casino experience to your phone, with no quality loss compared to the desktop version.

Everything works the same way on a 6-inch screen as it does on a monitor: slots, live dealer tables, sportsbook. One account, one login, all sections available.

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If you as a Swedish player are interested in playing at a casino utan Spelpaus, it's important to read about the risks before proceeding.
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Lemon Casino Official Website Advantages

Posted on July 22, 2026 by A. J. Riot

When players choose where to spend time and money online, they are not simply selecting a game catalogue. They are deciding which brand they trust enough to hand over personal data, payment details, and real money. That decision begins the moment they land on a website, and the official platform is where trust either forms or collapses.

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Why Goldenbet Is Becoming a Top Real Money Casino Choice in 2026

Posted on July 22, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The online casino industry has changed significantly over the last few years, giving players more choices than ever before. Whether someone enjoys spinning slot reels, playing live Blackjack, or placing bets on major sporting events, modern real money casinos offer entertainment that can be accessed from almost anywhere. With so many platforms competing for attention, players now expect much more than attractive welcome bonuses. They look for secure payments, reliable customer support, smooth mobile performance, and a wide selection of games.

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The Ability of International Tournaments to Bring Strangers Together

Posted on July 21, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Tournaments are events that unite millions of people by their common emotions. Fans leave their work and spend days watching a series of matches. The atmosphere that emerges is impossible to describe with words; this feeling is just something to experience personally. Tune in to one of the most expected tournaments and feel the spirit of unity among fans.

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