Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 (06-20-2026)

Posted on June 16, 2026 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#3][#3UFC] Kyoji Horiguchi (36-5-0, +135) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Manel Kape (22-7-0, -163)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Manel Kape is the All-Time #22 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (3-0-0)
2026-02-07: W vs. [#21FLY] Amir Albazi (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#15FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (18-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 3
2024-12-31: W vs. [#113FLY] Nkazimulo Zulu (16-9-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#11FLY] Asu Almabayev (23-3-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:16 of round 3
2024-12-14: W vs. [#41FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-163		59.29%
Elo K170	Kyoji Horiguchi	2154.68	+150.19	70.36%
Elo Modified	Kyoji Horiguchi	2113.33	+156.13	71.07%
Glicko-1	Kyoji Horiguchi	2173.03	+142.34	69.41%
WHR	Kyoji Horiguchi	2041.43	+98.05	63.75%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kyoji Horiguchi 35.7, Manel Kape 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 133, Manel Kape 189
Previous Match-up Record: Kyoji Horiguchi leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#26][#17UFC] Ion Cutelaba (20-11-1, +258) vs. [#36][#22UFC] Navajo Stirling (9-0-0, -331)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#40LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:24 of round 1
2025-05-10: L vs. [#28LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (20-7-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#125LHW] Ibo Aslan (14-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Navajo Stirling (3-0-0)
2026-03-28: W vs. [#82LHW] Bruno Lopes (14-3-0) via NC in 4:05 of round 2
2025-09-27: W vs. [#51LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#55LHW] Ivan Erslan (15-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Navajo Stirling	-331		73.33%
Elo K170	Navajo Stirling	1738.31	+22.51	53.24%
Elo Modified	Navajo Stirling	1764.96	+6.16	50.89%
Glicko-1	Ion Cutelaba	1831.65	+26.53	53.81%
WHR	Ion Cutelaba	1706.25	+19.13	52.75%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ion Cutelaba 32.5, Navajo Stirling 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ion Cutelaba 98, Navajo Stirling 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#88][#46UFC] Hyder Amil (11-2-0, +131) vs. [#119][#55UFC] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0, -159)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (1-2-0)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#70FW] Jamall Emmers (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-27)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#52FW] Jose Delgado (11-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#41FW] William Gomis (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#64FW] Andre Fili (25-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#21FW] Melquizael Costa (26-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#154FW] Austin Bashi (14-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Christian Rodriguez	-159		58.64%
Elo K170	Hyder Amil	1562.95	+16.08	52.31%
Elo Modified	Christian Rodriguez	1574.23	+60.24	58.58%
Glicko-1	Christian Rodriguez	1582.84	+54.32	57.75%
WHR	Christian Rodriguez	1553.45	+65.38	59.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Hyder Amil 36.0, Christian Rodriguez 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyder Amil 224, Christian Rodriguez 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
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Posted on June 16, 2026 by Jason

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UFC Fight Night 279 – Kape vs. Horiguchi 2

Posted on June 15, 2026 by Vitaliy Vovk

Jun 20, 2026 | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, United States

[#5 FW | #2 UFC] Manel Kape (22-7-0) vs [#3 FW | #5 UFC] Kyoji Horiguchi (36-5-0)

Preview and Prediction

The main event of UFC Fight Night 279 features one of the most intriguing flyweight rematches in recent MMA history as Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi meet nearly nine years after their first encounter.

The two fighters originally faced each other on December 31, 2017, at RIZIN World Grand Prix 2017. On that night, Horiguchi showcased his championship-level versatility by defeating Kape via third-round arm-triangle choke. Since then, both athletes have continued to evolve and establish themselves among the world’s elite flyweights.

Today, the rematch arrives under very different circumstances. Kape enters as one of the UFC’s leading title contenders, while Horiguchi returns to the Octagon carrying the experience of a legendary career that includes championships in both Bellator and RIZIN.

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Posted on June 12, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Image generated by Gemini

The UFC routinely sells out arenas across five continents, yet watching a live fight card remains a deeply territorial experience. A dedicated fan in the United States, Canada, the UK, India, or the Middle East has to navigate completely different apps, subscription tiers, and payment gateways just to watch the exact same broadcast.

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