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Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
During May, 2025– July, 2026, we have published a series of analytical MMA fight previews and betting articles for FightMatrix, covering UFC main events, co-main events, and selected featured bouts.
Performance Summary
Articles analyzed: 13
Total fight predictions verified: 22
Correct predictions: 17
Incorrect predictions: 5
Prediction accuracy: 77.3%
| Saturday, August 22nd 2026: PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira | |||
 [#1 W145] Cristiane Justino | [#4 W135] Ketlen Vieira | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#2 W145] Sara Collins Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 5/16/2026 [UFC] Last Opponent: [#10 W135] Jacqueline Cavalcanti Last 5: W L W L W | ||
| Thursday, September 10th 2026: Rizin FF - Super Rizin 5 | |||
 [#5 FW] A.J. McKee |  [#6 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL] Last Opponent: [#19 FW] Salamat Isbulaev Last 5: W L W W W | Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#248 FW] Yuta Kubo Last 5: W W W W W | ||
| Thursday, September 10th 2026: Rizin FF - Super Rizin 5 | |||
 [#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina |  [#16 W105] Rena Kubota | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#9 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki Last 5: W W W W W | Last Fight Date: 12/31/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#2 W105] Seika Izawa Last 5: W L W W L | ||
| [#1 WW] | Islam Makhachev | [#8 LW] |  Quillan Salkilld | |
| [#4 WW] |  Ian Garry | [#2 LW] |  Ilia Topuria | |
| [#159 WW] | Conor McGregor | [NR] | Khabib Nurmagomedov | |
| [#13 LW] |  Mateusz Gamrot | [#45 LW] |  Fares Ziam | |
| [#85 LW] | Axel Sola | [#12 MW] |  Israel Adesanya |
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1P4P][#1][#1UFC] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0, -357) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Ian Garry (17-1-0, +279)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ian Garry is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#7WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#12LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#10WW] Belal Muhammad (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-04-26: W vs. [#3WW] Carlos Prates (24-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-12-07: L vs. [*] Shavkat Rakhmonov (19-0-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -357 | 74.74% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2597.15 | +328.45 | 86.88% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2519.16 | +315.48 | 86.01% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2649.55 | +393.66 | 90.60% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2442.81 | +350.33 | 88.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Islam Makhachev 34.8, Ian Garry 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 273, Ian Garry 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#5DD][#5P4P][#2][#2UFC] Mackenzie Dern (16-5-0, -263) vs. [#11P4P][#5][#5UFC] Gillian Robertson (17-8-0, +207)
Mackenzie Dern is the All-Time #50 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#18SW] Amanda Ribas (12-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:56 of round 3
2024-08-03: W vs. [#12SW] Lupita Godinez (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#10SW] Amanda Lemos (15-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-03: W vs. [*] Marina Rodriguez (17-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#72SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -263 | 68.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Mackenzie Dern | 1840.66 | +80.73 | 61.41% |
| Elo Modified | Mackenzie Dern | 1809.16 | +46.00 | 56.58% |
| Glicko-1 | Mackenzie Dern | 1825.60 | +30.04 | 54.31% |
| WHR | Mackenzie Dern | 1688.65 | +29.06 | 54.17% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mackenzie Dern 33.4, Gillian Robertson 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 294, Gillian Robertson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gillian Robertson leads 3-1
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Flyweight (125)
[#26][#19UFC] Charles Johnson (19-9-0, +280) vs. [#39][#24UFC] Jose Ochoa (9-2-0, -380)
Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (1-2-0)
2026-06-27: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via NC in 3:33 of round 3
2026-03-14: W vs. [#44FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#19FLY] Alex Perez (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:16 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jose Ochoa (2-1-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#97FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-07-26: L vs. [#12FLY] Asu Almabayev (24-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: W vs. [#132FLY] Cody Durden (18-11-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:11 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jose Ochoa | -380 | 75.04% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Johnson | 1678.72 | +123.75 | 67.09% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Johnson | 1643.52 | +61.20 | 58.72% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Johnson | 1643.95 | +41.64 | 55.96% |
| WHR | Jose Ochoa | 1620.89 | +16.48 | 52.37% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Johnson 35.6, Jose Ochoa 25.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 49, Jose Ochoa 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
Check out the new page: Winless Streak Breakers
This page lists fighters who broke 5+ fight winless streaks in the 90 days preceding the data update. This data will be updated along with the weekly rankings.
Every UFC champion has an origin story, and almost none of them start in the Octagon. Long before Conor McGregor was headlining pay-per-views, he was a 24-year-old plumber’s apprentice from Dublin fighting for pocket change on Cage Warriors cards. Before Michael Bisping became the UK’s first UFC champion, he was doing the exact same thing. Islam Makhachev, Khabib Nurmagomedov, Charles Oliveira — strip away the UFC highlight reels and you’ll find every one of them cutting their teeth on a regional circuit most casual fans have never heard of.
I think that’s the part of the sport people miss the most. The UFC doesn’t really develop fighters. It signs them. The actual development — the learning how to lose, learning how to sell a fight, learning how to take a real beating and-get-back-up part — happens somewhere else entirely, in a network of regional promotions scattered across nearly every continent. These organizations operate as the sport’s true minor leagues, and honestly, without them, the UFC roster as we know it wouldn’t exist.
Check out the new page: Undefeated Losers
This page includes previously undefeated fighters with 10+ wins, who lost in the 90 days prior to the data update. This data will be updated along with the weekly rankings.
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Hosted by Salita Promotions
Undisputed heavyweight champion Claressa Shields (18-0, 3 KOs) headlines the first women’s main event in State Farm Arena history. Shields is moving down to middleweight to challenge unified WBC/WBA champion Kaye Scott. It will be streamed on DAZN.
Image: Ellis Yates
The card drops a few weeks out, and if you follow the sport closely the reading starts immediately. You check the main event, look at the styles, weigh reach against wrestling, and try to work out where the fight actually gets decided. For a South African fan planning to bet a UFC card, that homework is the fun part. Turning it into a placed bet is the step that trips people up.
Digital technology has changed how people spend their free time, bringing gaming and sports closer to everyday online experiences. Platforms such as qqmacan are part of a growing digital environment where users can access entertainment through computers and mobile devices. Alongside online gaming, sports content has also moved strongly into the digital space, giving fans more convenient ways to follow competitions and stay connected with their interests.
Can a Fight Night card without a numbered pay-per-view banner still generate the kind of buzz usually reserved for a title night? The answer arrives on August 29, 2026, when Umar Nurmagomedov meets Song Yadong in a bantamweight main event that ranking-watchers have already circled. On paper it’s a Fight Night. In practice, it carries the weight of a division realignment, with two top-ten fighters colliding just as the 135-pound picture gets crowded again. The storylines run deep, the stat sheets are fascinating, and the anticipation is climbing well before fight week even opens.
Can a fighter step into a title rematch, having already tasted defeat, and walk out with the belt? That question hangs over Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on September 19, when UFC 331 delivers a flyweight main event built on unfinished business. Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van are set to run it back, and for the ranking-obsessed corner of the MMA world, this is the kind of matchup that reshapes a division’s entire top ten in a single night. The 125-pound weight class has been one of the sport’s most quietly compelling stories all year, and the rematch angle only sharpens the stakes.
For anyone who tracks MMA by the numbers, the back half of summer is a gift. The calendar is stacked, the storylines are ripe, and the divisions are shifting fast enough that the rankings genuinely matter again. UFC 330 lands in Philadelphia on August 15 with Islam Makhachev meeting Ian Machado Garry, and from there the schedule barely pauses for breath. A card in Sacramento follows on August 22, then Shanghai on August 29, then Paris on September 5. For the kind of fan who reads a fighter’s takedown accuracy the way others read box scores, this is prime season — and the weeks between events fill up with previews, interviews, and long dives into the data.
UFC 330 lands at Xfinity Mobile Arena on August 15, and the headline says it all: Islam Makhachev meets Ian Machado Garry in a matchup that has the ranking-obsessed corner of the MMA world buzzing. It is the kind of card that sends fans straight to the divisional standings, arguing over pound-for-pound placements and poring over control-time splits and takedown accuracy. For anyone who tracks a fighter’s win-loss column with the same care others reserve for their fantasy rosters, this is the main event of the late summer — a clash of a grappling technician against an undefeated welterweight who swears the rankings have him pegged too low.
Why does one September fight card feel less like a sporting event and more like a citywide celebration? The answer arrives September 12, 2026, when Noche UFC: Rodriguez vs. Silva touches down at Desert Diamond Arena in Glendale, Arizona. This is the promotion’s annual salute to Mexican Independence Day weekend, and it carries a different kind of charge than a standard Fight Night. The walkouts hit harder, the crowd sings louder, and the fighter journeys behind each name feel personal in a way that keeps hardcore followers glued to their seats. For fans who track divisional rankings and dissect matchup metrics all year, Noche is where the numbers meet the noise. And when a card like this rolls around, plenty of viewers start mapping out how they’ll follow every second of the action.
If you place a bet on a boxing match, UFC bout or another major fight, winning can feel refreshingly simple. You picked a fighter, watched the result go your way, then saw the balance in your betting account rise. Taxation can make the picture more complicated, however, because your winnings are treated differently across the world.
Your country of tax residence generally matters first, while the type of gambling activity and the operator’s jurisdiction can also affect the outcome. A $1,000 fight betting win can therefore leave you with very different tax obligations depending on where you live.
Photo: shutterstock
Boxing is a physical sport known for its thrill, and that effect has grown beyond the rings. Online slot developers have taken it upon themselves to create games with almost the same excitement level. Even better, some of these games have a high return to player rate. So, if you enjoy boxing and spinning the reels, choosing these games can make your experience more enjoyable over time.
https://unsplash.com/photos/shallow-focus-photo-of-green-poker-table-1HzR5z1y75U
Spend enough time reading articles about responsible gaming, and you start noticing a pattern.
Most of them contain the same advice.
Set limits. Take breaks. Stay in control.
The advice itself isn’t wrong. In fact, most people would probably agree with every word of it. The problem is that agreement and behaviour are not always the same thing.
Every sports fan makes a call before the outcome is known. What’s changing is the mechanism behind that call. Instead of locking in a fixed line, a growing number of fans are turning to markets where sports predictions are priced by traders rather than set by a bookmaker.
Mixed martial arts invites prediction.
Before almost every significant fight, fans compare records, recent performances, knockout percentages, takedown numbers, opponent quality and rankings in an attempt to answer one apparently simple question: who is more likely to win?
Modern MMA data makes that analysis much more sophisticated than it was a decade ago. Fight databases, advanced statistics and rating systems can help identify meaningful differences between two competitors before they enter the cage.
