MMA Statistics – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje (06-13-2026)

Posted on June 8, 2026 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#2P4P][#7DD][#1][#1UFC] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0, -604) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Justin Gaethje (27-5-0, +434)
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time #30 ranked Lightweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #45 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#8DD][#2LW] Charles Oliveira (37-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [#5LW] Max Holloway (27-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-02-17: W vs. [#4DD][#9P4P][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (28-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#10LW] Paddy Pimblett (23-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#14LW] Rafael Fiziev (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#5LW] Max Holloway (27-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ilia Topuria	-604		82.08%
Elo K170	Ilia Topuria	2409.33	+79.59	61.26%
Elo Modified	Ilia Topuria	2359.09	+81.96	61.58%
Glicko-1	Ilia Topuria	2486.92	+150.97	70.46%
WHR	Ilia Topuria	2373.04	+324.65	86.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ilia Topuria 29.4, Justin Gaethje 37.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 351, Justin Gaethje 141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 2-0
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Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#7P4P][#9DD][#1LHW][#1LHWUFC] Alex Pereira (13-3-0, -107) vs. [#1][#1UFC] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0, -113)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #22 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #18 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#2LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:20 of round 1
2025-03-08: L vs. [#2LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#7LHW] Khalil Rountree (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2025-10-25: NC vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (40-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#12HW+] Serghei Spivac (18-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ciryl Gane	-113		50.64%
Elo K170	Alex Pereira	2312.00	+100.08	64.02%
Elo Modified	Alex Pereira	2278.87	+128.91	67.75%
Glicko-1	Alex Pereira	2423.69	+199.43	75.91%
WHR	Alex Pereira	2143.73	+111.73	65.55%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alex Pereira 38.9, Ciryl Gane 36.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 253, Ciryl Gane 232
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#3][#3UFC] Sean OMalley (19-3-0, -406) vs. [#8][#8UFC] Aiemann Zahabi (14-2-0, +307)
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#6BW] Yadong Song (23-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#3DD][#8P4P][#2BW] Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) via Submission (North-South Choke) in 4:42 of round 3
2024-09-14: L vs. [#3DD][#8P4P][#2BW] Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Aiemann Zahabi (3-0-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#14BW] Marlon Vera (24-12-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-05-10: W vs. [*] Jose Aldo (32-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-02: W vs. [*] Pedro Munhoz (20-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean OMalley	-406		76.55%
Elo K170	Sean OMalley	2165.82	+139.66	69.08%
Elo Modified	Sean OMalley	2114.74	+167.39	72.39%
Glicko-1	Sean OMalley	2187.99	+187.37	74.62%
WHR	Sean OMalley	1997.97	+175.52	73.31%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sean OMalley 31.6, Aiemann Zahabi 38.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 141, Aiemann Zahabi 239
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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The Psychology of the Streak: What the Longest UFC Win Streak Teaches Us About Competitive Gaming

Posted on June 6, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Maintaining a winning streak is one of the rarest feats in human performance. Whether inside a locked steel cage or behind a high-refresh-rate monitor, stacking consecutive victories requires an extraordinary alignment of physical skill, tactical adaptation, and psychological resilience. In combat sports, achieving the longest ufc win streak positions a fighter among the absolute elite, serving as the ultimate showcase of the psychology of dominance.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#16)

Posted on June 4, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfin (06-06-2026)

Posted on June 1, 2026 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#7][#7UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-5-0, -128) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (19-1-0, +107)
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (1-2-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#8WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#61WW] Kalinn Williams (16-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Belal Muhammad	-128		53.74%
Elo K170	Belal Muhammad	2208.12	+150.81	70.44%
Elo Modified	Belal Muhammad	2168.06	+169.49	72.63%
Glicko-1	Belal Muhammad	2195.70	+123.41	67.05%
WHR	Belal Muhammad	1940.31	+50.05	57.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Belal Muhammad 37.9, Gabriel Bonfim 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 196, Gabriel Bonfim 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#7][#6UFC] Brendan Allen (26-7-0, -228) vs. [#29][#22UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (16-5-0, +187)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#15MW] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-19: W vs. [#35MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#53MW] Andre Muniz (24-8-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#95MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#224WW] Dylan Budka (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brendan Allen	-228		66.61%
Elo K170	Brendan Allen	2114.41	+311.72	85.75%
Elo Modified	Brendan Allen	2062.96	+256.87	81.44%
Glicko-1	Brendan Allen	2148.49	+307.96	85.48%
WHR	Brendan Allen	1966.67	+270.29	82.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brendan Allen 30.4, Edmen Shahbazyan 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 231, Edmen Shahbazyan 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#27][#19UFC] Fares Ziam (18-4-0, -303) vs. [#119][#56UFC] Tom Nolan (10-1-0, +243)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#79LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2025-02-01: W vs. [#120LW] Mike Davis (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#148LW] Matt Frevola (11-6-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (3-0-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#362LW] Charlie Campbell (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [#349LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-08-17: W vs. [*] Alex Reyes (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Fares Ziam	-303		72.06%
Elo K170	Fares Ziam	1971.32	+238.57	79.79%
Elo Modified	Fares Ziam	1929.39	+205.58	76.56%
Glicko-1	Fares Ziam	1971.67	+213.61	77.38%
WHR	Fares Ziam	1877.43	+276.04	83.05%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Fares Ziam 29.2, Tom Nolan 26.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 182, Tom Nolan 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Why MMA Fans Closely Follow Fighter Rankings and Performance Trends

Posted on May 31, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) fans closely follow fighter rankings and performance trends because rankings provide the clearest framework for evaluating title contention, matchmaking logic, and career progression within a sport built on weight classes and divisional hierarchies. MMA fans closely follow fighter rankings and performance trends because rankings help compare fighters across different eras, analyze winning streaks, assess the strength of competition, and predict future championship opportunities within organizations such as the Ultimate Fighting Championship and the Professional Fighters League.

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Who Has the Most Bonuses in UFC History?

Posted on May 28, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Charles Oliveira currently holds the record in that category with a total of 21 post-fight bonuses in his career to date. CasinoHEX UK prepared a material looking at how he arrived at that figure – and also at the other fighters who could give him a run for his money in this interesting statistic.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo (05-30-2026)

Posted on May 25, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#7][#7UFC] Yadong Song (22-10-1, -565) vs. [#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1, +410)
Yadong Song is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#2DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Petr Yan (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#23BW] Montel Jackson (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Yadong Song	-565		81.24%
Elo K170	Deiveson Figueiredo	1992.72	+25.09	53.60%
Elo Modified	Yadong Song	1972.69	+44.81	56.41%
Glicko-1	Yadong Song	2018.13	+45.62	56.53%
WHR	Yadong Song	1863.96	+37.64	55.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadong Song 28.5, Deiveson Figueiredo 38.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 126, Deiveson Figueiredo 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27][#17UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-7-0, -250) vs. [#28][#18UFC] Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1, +202)

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Johnny Walker (22-10-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2025-04-26: W vs. [#38HW+] Anthony Smith (39-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#154MW] Osman Diaz (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (21-8-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#42LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#72LHW] Julius Walker (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mingyang Zhang	-250		68.32%
Elo K170	Alonzo Menifield	1702.61	+34.91	55.01%
Elo Modified	Alonzo Menifield	1697.03	+21.32	53.06%
Glicko-1	Mingyang Zhang	1731.69	+27.92	54.01%
WHR	Mingyang Zhang	1681.68	+22.95	53.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mingyang Zhang 27.8, Alonzo Menifield 38.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mingyang Zhang 280, Alonzo Menifield 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alonzo Menifield leads 1-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0, -552) vs. [#21][#13UFC] Tallison Teixeira (9-1-0, +398)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #31 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#8HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-01: W vs. [*] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (40-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (2-1-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#26HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#18HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [*] Justin Tafa (7-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows) in 0:35 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sergei Pavlovich	-552		80.82%
Elo K170	Sergei Pavlovich	2056.67	+455.33	93.22%
Elo Modified	Sergei Pavlovich	2046.36	+416.92	91.68%
Glicko-1	Sergei Pavlovich	2110.26	+444.78	92.82%
WHR	Sergei Pavlovich	1991.70	+511.85	95.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 34.0, Tallison Teixeira 26.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 280, Tallison Teixeira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 2-1
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#15)

Posted on May 21, 2026 by Jason

Two small wins last week!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#14)

Posted on May 14, 2026 by Jason

We’ve been struggling as of late…… need to get back on track!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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UFC’s Polymarket Deal Adds a New Layer to Fight Analysis

Posted on May 12, 2026 by A. J. Riot

UFC’s partnership with Polymarket is not just another sponsorship deal. It signals that prediction markets are moving closer to the live fight experience, where fan sentiment, probability shifts and real-time market reactions may become part of how bouts are discussed.

TKO announced Polymarket as the official and exclusive prediction market partner of UFC and Zuffa Boxing, describing the deal as the first integration of prediction market technology directly into the live fan experience. The partnership is expected to include activations across live events, broadcasts and digital content.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#13)

Posted on May 7, 2026 by Jason

We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland (05-09-2026)

Posted on May 6, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#3P4P][#4DD][#1][#1UFC] Khamzat Chimaev (15-0-0, -564) vs. [#4][#4UFC] Sean Strickland (30-7-0, +414)
Khamzat Chimaev is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#10MW] Robert Whittaker (26-9-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:34 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#4WW] Kamaru Usman (21-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-02-08: L vs. [#9DD][#9P4P][#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LHW] Paulo Costa (16-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Khamzat Chimaev	-564		81.36%
Elo K170	Khamzat Chimaev	2400.67	+201.21	76.10%
Elo Modified	Khamzat Chimaev	2339.86	+172.16	72.93%
Glicko-1	Khamzat Chimaev	2443.19	+188.84	74.78%
WHR	Khamzat Chimaev	2250.51	+166.82	72.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Khamzat Chimaev 32.0, Sean Strickland 35.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 266, Sean Strickland 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khamzat Chimaev leads 2-0
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#3DD][#4P4P][#1][#1UFC] Joshua Van (16-2-0, +147) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Tatsuro Taira (18-1-0, -176)
Joshua Van is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #17 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#10DD][#10P4P][#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#30FLY] Bruno Silva (15-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-08-02: W vs. [#75FLY] Hyun Sung Park (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:06 of round 2
2024-10-12: L vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tatsuro Taira	-176		61.16%
Elo K170	Joshua Van	2116.14	+118.65	66.44%
Elo Modified	Joshua Van	2043.32	+41.04	55.88%
Glicko-1	Joshua Van	2124.85	+15.97	52.30%
WHR	Tatsuro Taira	1936.96	+98.88	63.86%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joshua Van 24.5, Tatsuro Taira 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 154, Tatsuro Taira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joshua Van leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3][#3UFC] Alexander Volkov (39-11-0, -179) vs. [#7][#6UFC] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-2-0, +150)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-12-07: L vs. [#1HW+] Ciryl Gane (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (3-0-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#17HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 2
2025-11-22: W vs. [#44HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:22 of round 1
2025-11-01: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:59 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexander Volkov	-179		61.59%
Elo K170	Alexander Volkov	2113.59	+83.77	61.83%
Elo Modified	Alexander Volkov	2101.16	+63.56	59.05%
Glicko-1	Alexander Volkov	2191.29	+74.86	60.61%
WHR	Alexander Volkov	2004.06	+101.67	64.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexander Volkov 37.5, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 34.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 196, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#12)

Posted on April 30, 2026 by Jason

We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates (05-02-2026)

Posted on April 27, 2026 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#3][#3UFC] Jack Della Maddalena (18-3-0, -101) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Carlos Prates (23-7-0, -120)
Jack Della Maddalena is the All-Time #19 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (2-1-0)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#1P4P][#1WW] Islam Makhachev (28-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#6WW] Belal Muhammad (24-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#35WW] Gilbert Burns (22-10-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Prates (2-1-0)
2025-11-15: W vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 2
2025-08-16: W vs. [#25WW] Geoff Neal (16-8-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:59 of round 1
2025-04-26: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Carlos Prates	-120		52.05%
Elo K170	Jack Della Maddalena	2272.75	+124.74	67.22%
Elo Modified	Jack Della Maddalena	2171.14	+57.80	58.24%
Glicko-1	Jack Della Maddalena	2256.95	+29.96	54.30%
WHR	Carlos Prates	2051.80	+93.12	63.09%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jack Della Maddalena 29.6, Carlos Prates 32.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Della Maddalena 168, Carlos Prates 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#12][#11UFC] Beneil Dariush (23-7-1, +348) vs. [#30][#20UFC] Quillan Salkilld (11-1-0, -464)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (1-2-0)
2025-11-15: L vs. [#7LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#10LW] Renato Carneiro (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#3LW] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#148LW] Jamie Mullarkey (18-9-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:02 of round 1
2025-10-25: W vs. [#63LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
2025-06-07: W vs. [#214LW] Yanal Ashmouz (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Quillan Salkilld	-464		78.65%
Elo K170	Beneil Dariush	2029.90	+191.41	75.06%
Elo Modified	Beneil Dariush	1993.24	+149.16	70.23%
Glicko-1	Beneil Dariush	2036.51	+179.09	73.71%
WHR	Beneil Dariush	1908.57	+150.33	70.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Beneil Dariush 37.0, Quillan Salkilld 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 168, Quillan Salkilld 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#11][#10UFC] Tim Elliott (21-13-1, +316) vs. [#12][#11UFC] Steve Erceg (13-4-0, -412)
Tim Elliott is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#27FLY] Kai Asakura (21-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#33FLY] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
2023-10-21: L vs. [#10FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (16-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:03 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (1-2-0)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#59FLY] Ode Osbourne (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#8FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#9FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Steve Erceg	-412		76.99%
Elo K170	Tim Elliott	1848.77	+148.68	70.18%
Elo Modified	Tim Elliott	1814.63	+104.54	64.61%
Glicko-1	Tim Elliott	1875.34	+158.84	71.39%
WHR	Tim Elliott	1799.09	+191.08	75.02%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tim Elliott 39.3, Steve Erceg 30.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Elliott 259, Steve Erceg 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#11)

Posted on April 23, 2026 by Jason

We’ll hit a dog parlay one of these days….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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