Fight Matrix Program – UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg (05-04-2024)

Apr 29, 2024
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0, -253) vs. [#14] Steve Erceg (12-1-0, +201)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #9 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#10FLY] Alex Perez (25-8-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (3-0-0)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#58FLY] Matt Schnell (16-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#75FLY] Alessandro Costa (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#53FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -253 68.32%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 2123.73 +359.15 88.77%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 2042.85 +292.38 84.33%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 2089.73 +313.03 85.84%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 2001.52 +287.60 83.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 140, Steve Erceg 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[*] Jose Aldo (31-8-0, +109) vs. [#12] Jonathan Martinez (19-4-0, -134)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #32 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#2BW/#9DD/#8P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (17-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#14BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#60BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:26 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#21BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#32FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -134 54.47%
Elo K170 Jose Aldo 2024.35 +34.67 54.97%
Elo Modified Jose Aldo 2047.09 +79.84 61.29%
Glicko-1 Jose Aldo 2078.63 +54.67 57.80%
WHR Jose Aldo 1934.46 +63.60 59.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 623, Jonathan Martinez 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#17] Anthony Smith (37-19-0, +356) vs. [#28] Vitor Petrino (11-0-0, -491)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#10LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-26: W vs. [#25LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#11LHW] Johnny Walker (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2024-03-02: W vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#56LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#43LHW] Marcin Prachnio (17-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vitor Petrino -491 79.11%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1792.60 +12.33 51.77%
Elo Modified Vitor Petrino 1813.82 +61.88 58.81%
Glicko-1 Vitor Petrino 1828.30 +23.22 53.34%
WHR Vitor Petrino 1842.17 +179.93 73.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 147, Vitor Petrino 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Sunday, May 26th 2024: Deep - Tokyo Impact 2024 3rd Round
 [#2 SW] Namiki Kawahara [#6 SW] Haruo Ochi
Last Fight Date: 3/29/2024 [Urijah Fabers A1 Combat]
Last Opponent: [#23 SW] Anthony Do
Last 5: W W L L W
Last Fight Date: 12/10/2023 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [NR] Yusuke Uehara
Last 5: L L W W W
Sunday, May 26th 2024: Deep - Jewels 45
 [#3 W105] Saori Oshima [#9 W105] Aya Murakami
Last Fight Date: 2/24/2024 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#11 W105] Claire Lopez
Last 5: W W W L W
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Last Opponent: [NR] Suwanan Boonsorn
Last 5: W L W W W
Friday, May 17th 2024: Bellator Champions Series: Paris
 [#7 W145] Aspen Ladd [#13 W145] Katerina Shakalova
Last Fight Date: 11/24/2023 [Professional Fighters League]
Last Opponent: [#1 W135] Kayla Harrison
Last 5: L W L W L
Last Fight Date: 8/11/2023 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#19 W145] Dayana Silva
Last 5: W W W W W

Featured Fighters

[#114 WW] Jaleel Willis [#133 WW] Baissangour Chamsoudinov
[#531 WW] Cedric Doumbe [NR] Conor McGregor
[#1 LW] Islam Makhachev [#69 MW] Bo Nickal
[NR] Mike Perry [#4 LW] Max Holloway
[#1 HW] Jon Jones [NR] Michael Chandler
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What Does Tyson Fury’s Fight Plan Look Like?

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After Tyson Fury’s lackluster and indecisive exhibition fight with Francis Ngannou, many in the boxing press began to question Fury’s passion for the sport. Fury came into the Ngannou fight significantly heavier than previous fights and looked jaded and slow throughout. That’s despite it being one of the most talked about exhibition fights in history. The fact he won despite being knocked down by Ngannou suggests his boxing skills remained, but the consensus was that the “Gypsy King” was on borrowed time.

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MMA athletes who invest in crypto

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The iGaming industry offers a variety of slot machines featuring all sorts of different themes. If you’re a fan of ancient times and Greek mythology, we present to you the Gates of Olympus. This slot has many interesting features that have earned it a spot on the main list of all slot siteleri Xslot. You’ll get a close look at the game’s features, including RTP, volatility, and the range of winnings.

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Apr 24, 2024
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Well, it was a bad week for the parlays… and the “smart” option has been looking pretty stupid.  I’m adding a new requirement for the bets — I must have odds from at least three books to consider a fight.  I noticed last week, that a fight only had odds from one book, and it had incredibly wild swings — probably due to a limited amount of betters taking interest in that fight and/or one rich guy spiking the punch bowl.  This will limit the parlays tremendously, so I will now start posting individual bets if there is only one viable option.  In addition, I’m also going to limit the “smart” parlays to 3 fighters (was 4).

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  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.

 

Now for the options…

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