Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria (02-16-2024)

Feb 12, 2024
Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-3-0, -115) vs. [#4] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0, -106)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #7 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time #45 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (1-2-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#128LW] Jai Herbert (12-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -115 50.96%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2321.36 +256.15 76.32%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2262.80 +222.64 72.61%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2350.37 +251.14 80.93%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2221.72 +172.17 68.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 119, Ilia Topuria 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#7] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0, -217) vs. [*] Paulo Costa (14-2-0, +174)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD ()
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -217 65.22%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2141.38 +140.79 65.55%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2118.40 +114.65 62.29%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2177.03 +93.48 63.14%
WHR Robert Whittaker 1951.77 +57.07 56.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 224, Paulo Costa 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Robert Whittaker leads 4-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#11] Ian Garry (13-0-0, -231) vs. [#13] Geoff Neal (15-5-0, +184)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#38WW] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#166WW] Kenan Song (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-08-06: W vs. [#9WW] Vicente Luque (22-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2021-12-11: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ian Garry -231 66.46%
Elo K170 Geoff Neal 1980.69 +1.27 50.15%
Elo Modified Ian Garry 1970.17 +39.99 54.37%
Glicko-1 Ian Garry 2004.00 +34.99 55.02%
WHR Ian Garry 1918.30 +74.75 58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ian Garry 182, Geoff Neal 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ian Garry leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer (02-10-2024)

Feb 5, 2024
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#15] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0, +178) vs. [#29] Joseph Pyfer (12-2-0, -223)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #40 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#14MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-07-23: W vs. [#20MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#3MW/#10DD] Sean Strickland (28-6-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#79MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#53MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [*] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -223 65.74%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1864.46 +187.12 70.16%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1909.80 +200.20 70.61%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 1965.84 +178.50 73.64%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1805.63 +127.58 64.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 434, Joseph Pyfer 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Dan Ige (17-7-0, -176) vs. [#52] Andre Fili (23-10-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#42FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#36FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#178FW] Lucas Almeida (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 1
2023-07-22: L vs. [#35FW] Nathaniel Wood (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#18FW] Bill Algeo (18-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dan Ige -176 60.97%
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1830.30 +109.34 62.24%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1795.55 +117.13 62.55%
Glicko-1 Dan Ige 1834.04 +124.33 67.17%
WHR Dan Ige 1724.77 +83.67 59.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 140, Andre Fili 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#83] Robert Bryczek (17-5-0) vs. [#185] Ihor Potieria (24-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Bryczek (3-0-0)
2023-07-28: W vs. [#102LHW] Samuel Kristofic (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1
2023-05-20: W vs. [#276MW] Lee Chadwick (28-19-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:41 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#331MW] Abdel Rahmane Driai (8-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ihor Potieria (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#61LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-05-13: L vs. [#31LHW] Carlos Ulberg (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Robert Bryczek 1645.42 +199.96 71.37%
Elo Modified Robert Bryczek 1661.97 +191.74 69.83%
Glicko-1 Robert Bryczek 1741.82 +261.39 81.83%
WHR Robert Bryczek 1670.09 +241.68 75.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Bryczek 197, Ihor Potieria 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov (02-03-2024)

Jan 29, 2024
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Roman Dolidze (12-2-0, +137) vs. [#16] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0, -166)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#14MW] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-10-29: W vs. [#101MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#20MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#3MW/#10DD] Sean Strickland (28-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#24WW] Joaquin Buckley (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nassourdine Imavov -166 59.66%
Elo K170 Roman Dolidze 1847.82 +85.04 59.59%
Elo Modified Roman Dolidze 1852.88 +78.54 58.51%
Glicko-1 Roman Dolidze 1913.44 +72.56 60.29%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1786.42 +24.46 52.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 322, Nassourdine Imavov 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Roman Dolidze leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#27] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1, -145) vs. [#29] Drew Dober (27-12-0, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#93LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#10LW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-15-0) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#74FW] Alexander Hernandez (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#132LW] Ricky Glenn (22-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
2023-05-06: L vs. [#37LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1
2022-12-17: W vs. [#18LW] Bobby Green (31-15-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Renato Carneiro -145 56.44%
Elo K170 Drew Dober 1846.41 +1.48 50.17%
Elo Modified Drew Dober 1838.24 +12.80 51.40%
Glicko-1 Drew Dober 1882.69 +13.02 51.87%
WHR Drew Dober 1807.30 +20.07 52.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 448, Drew Dober 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Renato Carneiro leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#32] Randy Brown (17-5-0, -241) vs. [#44] Muslim Salikhov (19-4-0, +192)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#134WW] Wellington Turman (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#12WW] Jack Della Maddalena (16-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-10-01: W vs. [#46WW] Francisco Trinaldo (29-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#29WW] Nicolas Dalby (23-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#81WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [*] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Randy Brown -241 67.35%
Elo K170 Randy Brown 1877.87 +74.15 58.39%
Elo Modified Randy Brown 1844.86 +61.88 56.73%
Glicko-1 Randy Brown 1852.55 +32.15 54.62%
WHR Muslim Salikhov 1713.57 +22.59 52.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 224, Muslim Salikhov 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (01-21-2024)

Jan 21, 2024
Jason

Notable Info

A bit of a strange situation at Middleweight, as Du Plessis eeked past Strickland in a draw-ish fight.  Due to the weakness of Strickland’s recent performances (aside from the win over Adesanya), combined with the pre-fight ratings gap between Du Plessis and Strickland, Adesanya finds himself back in the top spot.

The Elo and Glicko systems all saw Du Plessis as the #1 fighter at Middleweight even before this fight.  This did not change.  The edgier WHR system had Du Plessis at #1 before the fight, which Chimaev now holds as the system saw Du Plessis’s narrow win as a reason to deduct some points.  It expected Du Plessis to win by a wider margin.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis (01-20-2024)

Jan 15, 2024
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#8P4P] Sean Strickland (28-5-0, -138) vs. [#5] Dricus Du Plessis (20-2-0, +113)
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#2MW/#9DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#67MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-6-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#16MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#10MW] Derek Brunson (24-9-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 4:59 of round 2
2022-12-10: W vs. [#25MW] Darren Till (18-5-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:43 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Strickland -138 55.25%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2232.01 +79.61 58.99%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2192.23 +47.49 55.18%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2294.37 +101.78 64.24%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2113.40 +79.66 59.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 133, Dricus Du Plessis 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD] Raquel Pennington (15-8-0, +138) vs. [#5] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1, -167)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#3BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#10FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [*] Macy Chiasson (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-15: NC vs. [#4BW] Holly Holm (15-6-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-8-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:45 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#33BW] Stephanie Egger (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mayra Bueno Silva -167 59.81%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1822.71 +285.41 78.65%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1766.56 +199.65 70.56%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1715.38 +120.52 66.68%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1649.09 +119.86 63.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 371, Mayra Bueno Silva 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#18] Neil Magny (28-11-0, +248) vs. [#81] Mike Malott (10-1-1, -329)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #39 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#11WW] Ian Garry (13-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#46WW] Philip Rowe (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (3-0-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#217WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#197WW] Yohan Lainesse (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -329 72.74%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 1898.42 +200.92 71.46%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 1834.21 +124.04 63.25%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 1861.26 +121.85 66.85%
WHR Mike Malott 1809.52 +67.08 57.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 154, Mike Malott 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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