Fight Matrix Program – UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis (01-20-2024)

Jan 15, 2024
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#8P4P] Sean Strickland (28-5-0, -138) vs. [#5] Dricus Du Plessis (20-2-0, +113)
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#2MW/#9DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#67MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-6-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#16MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2023-03-04: W vs. [#10MW] Derek Brunson (24-9-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 4:59 of round 2
2022-12-10: W vs. [#25MW] Darren Till (18-5-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:43 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Strickland -138 55.25%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2232.01 +79.61 58.99%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2192.23 +47.49 55.18%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2294.37 +101.78 64.24%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2113.40 +79.66 59.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Strickland 133, Dricus Du Plessis 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD] Raquel Pennington (15-8-0, +138) vs. [#5] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1, -167)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#3BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#10FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [*] Macy Chiasson (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-15: NC vs. [#4BW] Holly Holm (15-6-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-8-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:45 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#33BW] Stephanie Egger (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mayra Bueno Silva -167 59.81%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1822.71 +285.41 78.65%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1766.56 +199.65 70.56%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1715.38 +120.52 66.68%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1649.09 +119.86 63.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 371, Mayra Bueno Silva 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#18] Neil Magny (28-11-0, +248) vs. [#81] Mike Malott (10-1-1, -329)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #39 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (1-2-0)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#11WW] Ian Garry (13-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#46WW] Philip Rowe (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Malott (3-0-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#217WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#197WW] Yohan Lainesse (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mike Malott -329 72.74%
Elo K170 Neil Magny 1898.42 +200.92 71.46%
Elo Modified Neil Magny 1834.21 +124.04 63.25%
Glicko-1 Neil Magny 1861.26 +121.85 66.85%
WHR Mike Malott 1809.52 +67.08 57.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 154, Mike Malott 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#20] Chris Curtis (30-10-0, -176) vs. [#38] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-6-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#16MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#25WW] Kelvin Gastelum (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#24WW] Joaquin Buckley (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#58MW] Eryk Anders (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#101MW] Julian Marquez (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-09-17: L vs. [#30MW] Anthony Hernandez (11-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:53 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chris Curtis -176 60.97%
Elo K170 Chris Curtis 1791.59 +62.78 57.12%
Elo Modified Chris Curtis 1820.82 +59.31 56.46%
Glicko-1 Chris Curtis 1905.66 +88.89 62.52%
WHR Chris Curtis 1790.39 +111.86 62.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Curtis 224, Marc-Andre Barriault 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#5] Arnold Allen (19-2-0, +148) vs. [#12] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0, -182)
Arnold Allen is the All-Time #31 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (25-7-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#11FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#15LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Movsar Evloev (3-0-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#41FW] Diego Lopes (23-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#16FW] Dan Ige (17-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#65FW] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Movsar Evloev -182 61.54%
Elo K170 Arnold Allen 2050.37 +0.49 50.06%
Elo Modified Arnold Allen 2037.33 +48.92 55.33%
Glicko-1 Arnold Allen 2097.85 +101.39 64.19%
WHR Arnold Allen 2018.52 +74.71 58.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 280, Movsar Evloev 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#33] Brad Katona (13-2-0, -181) vs. [#192] Garrett Armfield (9-3-0, +149)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Katona (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#53BW] Cody Gibson (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-10-19: W vs. [*] Gamzat Magomedov (8-2-0) via UD ()
2022-03-11: W vs. [#303FW] Hamza Kooheji (12-3-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Garrett Armfield (2-1-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#294BW] Toshiomi Kazama (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2022-07-09: L vs. [#66FW] David Onama (11-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2022-05-06: W vs. [#782BW] Steven Graham (12-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brad Katona -181 61.59%
Elo K170 Brad Katona 1918.16 +487.12 90.25%
Elo Modified Brad Katona 1857.51 +430.67 86.82%
Glicko-1 Brad Katona 1841.65 +378.93 89.86%
WHR Brad Katona 1761.24 +365.05 84.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Katona 154, Garrett Armfield 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#36] Charles Jourdain (15-6-1, -178) vs. [#100] Sean Woodson (10-1-1, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#118FW] Ricardo Ramos (16-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:12 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#370FW] Kron Gracie (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#37FW] Nathaniel Wood (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Woodson (2-0-1)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#334FW] Dennis Buzukja (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-20: D vs. [*] Luis Saldana (16-7-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2021-11-13: W vs. [*] Collin Anglin (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches to the Body) in 4:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Jourdain -178 61.06%
Elo K170 Charles Jourdain 1717.00 +109.41 62.24%
Elo Modified Charles Jourdain 1740.18 +134.45 64.30%
Glicko-1 Charles Jourdain 1803.34 +202.57 76.24%
WHR Charles Jourdain 1689.93 +130.74 64.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 119, Sean Woodson 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#175] Serhiy Sidey (10-1-0, -177) vs. [#241] Ramon Taveras (9-2-0, +144)

Last 3 Fights: Serhiy Sidey (3-0-0)
2023-09-05: W vs. [#241BW] Ramon Taveras (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 1
2023-06-09: W vs. [#536BW] Ali Wasuk (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [#1059BW] Walel Watson (15-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ramon Taveras (2-1-0)
2023-10-10: W vs. [#445BW] Cortavious Romious (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 1
2023-09-05: L vs. [#175BW] Serhiy Sidey (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#989BW] James Dunn (5-6-0) via TKO in 2:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Serhiy Sidey -177 60.92%
Elo K170 Serhiy Sidey 1518.69 +137.35 65.19%
Elo Modified Serhiy Sidey 1554.80 +121.08 62.95%
Glicko-1 Serhiy Sidey 1568.80 +137.20 68.78%
WHR Serhiy Sidey 1554.66 +201.10 71.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Serhiy Sidey 137, Ramon Taveras 102
Previous Match-up Record: Serhiy Sidey leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#15] Gillian Robertson (12-8-0, -222) vs. [#56] Polyana Viana (13-6-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#14SW] Tabatha Ricci (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#33SW] Piera Rodriguez (9-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-09-17: W vs. [*] Mariya Agapova (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Polyana Viana (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: L vs. [#22SW] Iasmin Lucindo (15-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
2022-11-05: W vs. [#91SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1
2022-05-21: L vs. [#14SW] Tabatha Ricci (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gillian Robertson -222 65.71%
Elo K170 Gillian Robertson 1465.05 +188.84 70.32%
Elo Modified Gillian Robertson 1503.17 +166.34 67.44%
Glicko-1 Gillian Robertson 1513.45 +198.32 75.80%
WHR Gillian Robertson 1467.20 +177.59 69.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gillian Robertson 210, Polyana Viana 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gillian Robertson leads 3-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#227LW] Sam Patterson (10-2-1, +120) vs. [#197] Yohan Lainesse (9-2-0, -145)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Patterson (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#218LW] Yanal Ashmoz (8-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2022-09-27: W vs. [#896LW] Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:18 of round 2
2022-03-11: W vs. [*] Khunkar-Pasha Osmaev (11-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:53 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yohan Lainesse (1-2-0)
2023-02-25: L vs. [#81WW] Mike Malott (10-1-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-09-10: W vs. [#210MW] Darian Weeks (6-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#190WW] Gabriel Green (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yohan Lainesse -145 56.56%
Elo K170 Sam Patterson 1537.38 +88.66 59.99%
Elo Modified Sam Patterson 1585.30 +91.73 59.91%
Glicko-1 Sam Patterson 1606.05 +179.86 73.80%
WHR Sam Patterson 1553.24 +118.46 63.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Patterson 308, Yohan Lainesse 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#20] Jasmine Jasudavicius (9-3-0, -400) vs. [#44] Priscila Cachoeira (12-5-0, +297)

Last 3 Fights: Jasmine Jasudavicius (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#14FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#21FLY] Miranda Maverick (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#72FLY] Gabriella Fernandes (8-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#21FLY] Miranda Maverick (12-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 3
2022-08-13: W vs. [#16FLY] Ariane Lipski (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2022-02-26: W vs. [#120FLY] Ji Yeon Kim (9-7-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jasmine Jasudavicius -400 76.05%
Elo K170 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1495.46 +151.28 66.62%
Elo Modified Jasmine Jasudavicius 1537.93 +141.11 64.97%
Glicko-1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 1511.88 +131.87 68.12%
WHR Jasmine Jasudavicius 1482.34 +130.78 64.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jasmine Jasudavicius 126, Priscila Cachoeira 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jasmine Jasudavicius leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#124] Malcolm Gordon (14-7-0, -130) vs. [#230] Jimmy Flick (16-7-0, +106)

Last 3 Fights: Malcolm Gordon (1-2-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#63FLY] Jake Hadley (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1
2022-10-22: L vs. [#9FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (11-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:26 of round 3
2022-02-05: W vs. [#382FLY] Denys Bondar (19-4-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 1:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Flick (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#76FLY] Alessandro Costa (13-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-01-14: L vs. [#59FLY] Charles Johnson (13-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2020-12-19: W vs. [#31FLY] Cody Durden (16-5-1) via Submission (Flying Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Malcolm Gordon -130 53.79%
Elo K170 Jimmy Flick 1453.44 +39.14 54.46%
Elo Modified Malcolm Gordon 1453.95 +2.44 50.27%
Glicko-1 Jimmy Flick 1467.33 +5.61 50.81%
WHR Malcolm Gordon 1390.70 +18.22 52.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Malcolm Gordon 308, Jimmy Flick 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Sean Strickland
Highest Stored DD Rating: Sean Strickland
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Sean Strickland vs. Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Sean Strickland vs. Dricus Du Plessis
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2024-1-14

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