Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 4: Lewis vs. dos Santos (03-09-2019)

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Derrick Lewis (21-6-0, +172) vs. [#7] Junior dos Santos (20-5-0, -214)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #38 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#9HW+] Alexander Volkov (30-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 3
2018-07-07: W vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#19HW+] Tai Tuivasa (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-07-14: W vs. [#21HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (16-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#2HW+/#10P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Junior dos Santos – Win%: 64.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Derrick Lewis (2056.90) [+29.31] – Win%: 53.34
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2050.78) [+4.51] – Win%: 50.49
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 126, Junior dos Santos 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Junior dos Santos leads 3-2
.

Welterweight (170)
[#20] Curtis Millender (17-3-0, -121) vs. [#32] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (20-5-0, -104)

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Millender (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#56WW] Siyar Bahadurzada (24-7-1) via UD ()
2018-07-07: W vs. [#51WW] Max Griffin (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#46WW] Thiago Alves (23-13-0) via KO (Knee) in 4:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (3-0-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#713WW] Luigi Vendramini (8-1-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2018-05-12: W vs. [#44WW] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:40 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#51WW] Max Griffin (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Millender – Win%: 51.78
Elo Favorite (Standard): Curtis Millender (1937.95) [+6.67] – Win%: 50.76
Elo Favorite (Modified): Curtis Millender (1935.90) [+37.49] – Win%: 54.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Millender 70, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#49] Tim Means (28-10-1, -198) vs. [#72] Niko Price (12-2-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (1-2-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#131WW] Ricky Rainey (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1
2018-02-03: L vs. [#33WW] Sergio Moraes (14-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-11-18: L vs. [#53WW] Belal Muhammad (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#55WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#143WW] Randy Brown (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 2
2018-01-27: W vs. [#480WW] George Sullivan (17-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tim Means – Win%: 63.51
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tim Means (1707.71) [+92.71] – Win%: 60.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tim Means (1783.85) [+127.22] – Win%: 63.57
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Means 99, Niko Price 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Blagoy Ivanov (16-2-0, -132) vs. [*] Ben Rothwell (36-10-0, +106)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#7HW+] Junior dos Santos (20-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-11-02: W vs. [#51HW+] Caio Alencar (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2017-03-18: W vs. [#77HW+] Shawn Jordan (19-9-0) via TKO in 1:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2016-04-10: L vs. [#7HW+] Junior dos Santos (20-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2016-01-30: W vs. [*] Josh Barnett (35-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 2
2015-06-06: W vs. [#15HW+] Matt Mitrione (13-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:54 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Blagoy Ivanov – Win%: 53.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Rothwell (1835.08) [+29.16] – Win%: 53.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ben Rothwell (1883.41) [+41.87] – Win%: 54.57
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Blagoy Ivanov 238, Ben Rothwell 1063
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#20] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1, -192) vs. [#47] Drew Dober (20-8-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (1-1-1)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#116LW] Thiago Moises (11-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-26)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#18LW] Alexander Hernandez (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2017-10-07: D vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-8-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (3-0-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#147LW] Jon Tuck (10-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#265WW] Frank Camacho (22-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#220WW] Joshua Burkman (28-17-0) via TKO in 3:04 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Beneil Dariush – Win%: 62.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Beneil Dariush (1824.30) [+126.18] – Win%: 64.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Beneil Dariush (1805.85) [+90.30] – Win%: 59.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 119, Drew Dober 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#21] Tim Boetsch (21-12-0, +112) vs. [#77] Omari Akhmedov (17-4-1, -138)
Tim Boetsch is the All-Time #48 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tim Boetsch (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#13MW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1
2017-06-25: W vs. [*] Johny Hendricks (18-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:46 of round 2
2017-02-11: L vs. [#5MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Omari Akhmedov (2-0-1)
2017-12-30: D vs. [#71MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2017-05-28: W vs. [#55WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2016-11-26: W vs. [*] Kyle Noke (22-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Omari Akhmedov – Win%: 55.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tim Boetsch (1780.25) [+125.20] – Win%: 63.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tim Boetsch (1790.49) [+151.12] – Win%: 65.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Boetsch 329, Omari Akhmedov 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#21] Anthony Rocco Martin (15-4-0, -202) vs. [#33] Sergio Moraes (14-3-1, +165)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Rocco Martin (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#65WW] Jake Matthews (14-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:19 of round 3
2018-10-06: W vs. [#40WW] Ryan LaFlare (14-3-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:59 of round 3
2018-04-21: W vs. [#103WW] Keita Nakamura (34-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sergio Moraes (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#75WW] Ben Saunders (22-11-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:35 of round 2
2018-02-03: W vs. [#49WW] Tim Means (28-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-09-16: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Rocco Martin – Win%: 63.93
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Rocco Martin (1922.04) [+26.33] – Win%: 53.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Rocco Martin (1943.03) [+115.21] – Win%: 62.35
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Rocco Martin 98, Sergio Moraes 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Marion Reneau (9-4-1, +149) vs. [#9] Yana Kunitskaya (11-4-0, -181)

Last 3 Fights: Marion Reneau (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#8FW] Cat Zingano (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#10BW] Sara McMann (11-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2
2017-09-02: W vs. [#14BW] Talita Bernardo (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Yana Kunitskaya (2-1-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#21BW] Lina Lansberg (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-08-31: W vs. [*] Raquel Paaluhi (6-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yana Kunitskaya – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yana Kunitskaya (1465.21) [+48.49] – Win%: 55.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marion Reneau (1490.85) [+20.32] – Win%: 52.22
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marion Reneau 238, Yana Kunitskaya 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#89] Julian Erosa (22-6-0, +147) vs. [*] Grant Dawson (12-1-0, -178)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (2-1-0)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#55LW] Devonte Smith (10-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1
2018-06-26: W vs. [#166FW] Jamall Emmers (14-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:10 of round 2
2017-12-16: W vs. [#328LW] Bryan Nuro (10-3-0) via UD (50-42, 50-44, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2017-08-15: W vs. [#219FW] Adrian Diaz (11-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 2
2016-10-01: W vs. [#910LW] Mike Plazola (14-10-0) via SUB in 3:49 of round 1
2016-07-16: W vs. [*] Christian Camp (5-8-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:43 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Grant Dawson – Win%: 61.26
Elo Favorite (Standard): Julian Erosa (1589.87) [+29.39] – Win%: 53.35
Elo Favorite (Modified): Julian Erosa (1594.98) [+7.96] – Win%: 50.87
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 119, Grant Dawson 571
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#55] Jeff Hughes (10-1-0, -216) vs. [#95] Maurice Greene (6-2-0, +175)

Last 3 Fights: Jeff Hughes (3-0-0)
2018-07-24: W vs. [#143HW+] Josh Appelt (15-7-0) via TKO (Punch) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-04-27: W vs. [#95HW+] Maurice Greene (6-2-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-11-03: W vs. [*] Richard Odoms (13-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Maurice Greene (2-1-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#192HW+] Michel Batista (4-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2018-04-27: L vs. [#55HW+] Jeff Hughes (10-1-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-09-30: W vs. [NA] Parnell Davis (8-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:20 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jeff Hughes – Win%: 65.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jeff Hughes (1621.56) [+195.37] – Win%: 70.94
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jeff Hughes (1642.99) [+192.45] – Win%: 69.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeff Hughes 228, Maurice Greene 99
Previous Match-up Record: Jeff Hughes leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#107] Louis Smolka (15-5-0, -119) vs. [#219] Matt Schnell (12-4-0, -106)

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (3-0-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#600BW] Su Mudaerji (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:07 of round 2
2018-10-20: W vs. [#264FLY] Kyle Estrada (8-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-06-23: W vs. [#336FLY] Tycen Lynn (5-3-0) via SUB in of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Matt Schnell (2-1-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#95FLY] Naoki Inoue (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-10-07: W vs. [*] Marco Beltran (9-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-04-22: L vs. [*] Hector Sandoval (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Louis Smolka – Win%: 51.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Matt Schnell (1565.04) [+15.68] – Win%: 51.79
Elo Favorite (Modified): Louis Smolka (1556.86) [+61.21] – Win%: 56.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Louis Smolka 105, Matt Schnell 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#62] Alex Morono (15-5-0, -197) vs. [#113] Zak Ottow (17-6-0, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#238WW] Kenan Song (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#37WW] Jordan Mein (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#220WW] Joshua Burkman (28-17-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Zak Ottow (2-1-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#124WW] Dwight Grant (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#95WW] Sage Northcutt (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 2
2018-03-03: W vs. [*] Mike Pyle (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Morono – Win%: 63.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Zak Ottow (1608.44) [+15.23] – Win%: 51.74
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Morono (1631.16) [+81.00] – Win%: 58.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 105, Zak Ottow 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#122] Alex White (13-5-0, -158) vs. [#227] Dan Moret (13-4-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Alex White (1-2-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#39LW] Jim Miller (29-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:29 of round 1
2018-01-14: L vs. [#41WW] James Krause (26-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-09: W vs. [*] Mitch Clarke (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dan Moret (2-1-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#28LW] Gilbert Burns (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 2
2017-12-16: W vs. [#337LW] Alonzo Martinez (45-22-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:39 of round 1
2017-06-30: W vs. [#629WW] Derrick Adkins (10-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex White – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dan Moret (1509.19) [+66.30] – Win%: 57.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dan Moret (1510.84) [+52.96] – Win%: 55.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex White 182, Dan Moret 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Junior dos Santos
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Junior dos Santos
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-3-6