Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen (2020-10-10)

5 Oct , 2020,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1, +111) vs. [#10] Cory Sandhagen (12-2-0, -136)
Marlon Moraes is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Moraes (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#5BW] Jose Aldo (28-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-06-08: L vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2019-02-02: W vs. [#25BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-08-17: W vs. [#25BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#28FW] John Lineker (32-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory Sandhagen -136 54.87%
Elo K170 Marlon Moraes 2161.65 +262.85 76.87%
Elo Modified Marlon Moraes 2067.79 +225.07 72.81%
Glicko-1 Marlon Moraes 2111.68 +241.90 80.10%
WHR Marlon Moraes 1937.07 +210.61 72.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Moraes 301, Cory Sandhagen 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marlon Moraes leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#18] Edson Barboza (20-9-0, -256) vs. [#45] Makwan Amirkhani (16-4-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (0-3-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#8P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Makwan Amirkhani (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#175FW] Danny Henry (12-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2019-11-02: L vs. [#19FW] Shane Burgos (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2019-06-01: W vs. [#150FW] Chris Fishgold (18-4-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edson Barboza -256 68.75%
Elo K170 Edson Barboza 1774.93 +43.31 54.93%
Elo Modified Edson Barboza 1859.82 +131.36 63.99%
Glicko-1 Edson Barboza 1917.99 +153.90 70.81%
WHR Edson Barboza 1794.13 +148.90 66.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 147, Makwan Amirkhani 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#17] Marcin Tybura (19-6-0, +145) vs. [#25] Ben Rothwell (38-12-0, -174)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#29LHW] Maxim Grishin (30-8-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#38HW+] Sergey Spivak (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#15HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#35HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#27HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ben Rothwell -174 60.87%
Elo K170 Ben Rothwell 1794.30 +14.09 51.61%
Elo Modified Marcin Tybura 1791.19 +22.62 52.47%
Glicko-1 Ben Rothwell 1836.16 +28.87 54.14%
WHR Ben Rothwell 1719.24 +11.80 51.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 91, Ben Rothwell 150
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marcin Tybura leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#56] Dricus Du Plessis (14-2-0, -156) vs. [#98] Markus Perez (12-3-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#230MW] Brendan Lesar (3-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2019-09-14: W vs. [#115WW] Joilton Lutterbach (34-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#65WW] Roberto Soldic (17-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Markus Perez (1-2-0)
2019-11-16: L vs. [#87MW] Wellington Turman (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#119MW] Anthony Hernandez (7-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2018-08-25: L vs. [#45MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dricus Du Plessis -156 58.25%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 1726.98 +275.09 77.85%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 1762.64 +256.73 75.47%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 1807.48 +272.94 82.80%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 1768.22 +248.36 75.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 301, Markus Perez 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#111] Tom Aspinall (8-2-0) vs. [*] Alan Baudot (8-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#187HW+] Jake Collier (11-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#506HW+] Michael Ben Hamouda (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 1
2019-02-16: W vs. [#283HW+] Sofiane Boukichou (6-4-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 1:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alan Baudot (2-1-0)
2019-04-11: W vs. [#198LHW] Todd Stoute (11-6-0) via DQ (Overturned by Promoter) in 3:54 of round 3
2018-05-06: W vs. [NA] Yuto Nakajima (0-5-0) via TKO in 4:16 of round 1
2017-07-08: L vs. [#68LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Tom Aspinall 1456.42 +52.18 55.93%
Elo Modified Tom Aspinall 1503.85 +104.53 61.24%
Glicko-1 Tom Aspinall 1531.28 +167.40 72.39%
WHR Alan Baudot 1459.00 +13.51 51.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Aspinall 77, Alan Baudot 548
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#97] Youssef Zalal (10-2-0) vs. [#245] Ilia Topuria (8-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#406FW] Peter Barrett (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#122FW] Jordan Griffin (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#635FW] Austin Lingo (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#924FW] Stephen Goncalves (5-2-0) via TKO in 3:42 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Luis Gomez (0-1-0) via SUB in of round 1
2018-06-16: W vs. [#303BW] Brian Bouland (9-3-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Youssef Zalal 1545.31 +54.15 56.15%
Elo Modified Youssef Zalal 1612.39 +74.02 58.03%
Glicko-1 Youssef Zalal 1618.68 +52.97 57.56%
WHR Ilia Topuria 1565.69 +83.63 59.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Youssef Zalal 63, Ilia Topuria 330
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#52] Tom Breese (11-2-0) vs. [#83] K.B. Bhullar (8-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (1-2-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#24MW] Brendan Allen (15-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1
2016-06-04: L vs. [*] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: K.B. Bhullar (3-0-0)
2019-09-27: W vs. [#108MW] Matt Dwyer (11-7-0) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [*] Cody Krahn (16-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2019-03-01: W vs. [#533WW] Derek Boyle (14-13-0) via Anaconda Choke in 4:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Tom Breese 1670.86 +209.81 72.28%
Elo Modified Tom Breese 1735.92 +246.98 74.67%
Glicko-1 Tom Breese 1776.99 +257.35 81.48%
WHR Tom Breese 1667.54 +115.62 62.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Breese 224, K.B. Bhullar 379
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#89] Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (8-0-0, -282) vs. [#112] Chris Daukaus (9-3-0, +224)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (3-0-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#148HW+] Dontale Mayes (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2019-07-30: W vs. [#63HW+] Michal Martinek (8-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2017-10-07: W vs. [*] Everton dos Anjos (4-2-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#183HW+] Parker Porter (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 1
2019-08-16: W vs. [NA] Danny Holmes (4-5-0) via TKO in 1:30 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#96HW+] Azunna Anyanwu (15-6-0) via TKO in of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira -282 70.51%
Elo K170 Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1518.96 +123.81 63.78%
Elo Modified Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1587.68 +143.90 65.25%
Glicko-1 Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1597.73 +128.09 67.64%
WHR Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 1647.67 +253.32 76.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 147, Chris Daukaus 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#104] Impa Kasanganay (8-0-0, -250) vs. [#135] Joaquin Buckley (10-3-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Impa Kasanganay (3-0-0)
2020-08-29: W vs. [#154MW] Maki Pitolo (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-11: W vs. [#207MW] Anthony Adams (8-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-08-27: W vs. [#379MW] Kailan Hill (4-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#38MW] Kevin Holland (19-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 3
2020-07-31: W vs. [#360MW] Jackie Gosh (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:47 of round 2
2019-09-13: W vs. [#241MW] Chris Harris (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Impa Kasanganay -250 68.18%
Elo K170 Impa Kasanganay 1566.53 +105.39 61.81%
Elo Modified Impa Kasanganay 1578.57 +110.59 61.87%
Glicko-1 Impa Kasanganay 1522.07 +70.07 59.95%
WHR Joaquin Buckley 1433.59 +37.46 54.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Impa Kasanganay 42, Joaquin Buckley 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#195] Ali AlQaisi (8-4-0, +179) vs. [#837FW] Tony Kelley (5-2-0, -223)

Last 3 Fights: Ali AlQaisi (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#124BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#172BW] Jeremy Pacatiw (10-4-0) via UD ()
2019-04-19: W vs. [*] Georges Bardawil (6-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Tony Kelley (1-2-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#343FW] Kai Kamaka III (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-17: W vs. [NA] Andy Brossett (2-7-0) via SUB in 2:33 of round 1
2016-07-01: L vs. [#110LW] Kevin Aguilar (17-4-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tony Kelley -223 65.82%
Elo K170 Ali AlQaisi 1339.16 +116.96 63.05%
Elo Modified Ali AlQaisi 1428.52 +102.35 61.02%
Glicko-1 Ali AlQaisi 1441.17 +185.52 74.42%
WHR Ali AlQaisi 1407.63 +143.43 65.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ali AlQaisi 63, Tony Kelley 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#64LW] Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer (9-0-0, -149) vs. [#79] Giga Chikadze (11-2-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer (3-0-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#213LW] Gabriel Benitez (21-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#234LW] Dong Hyun Ma (17-11-3) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2019-08-06: W vs. [#173LW] Harvey Park (12-3-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 1:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#124BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#88FW] Jamall Emmers (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#193FW] Brandon Davis (11-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer -149 57.16%
Elo K170 Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer 1643.19 +96.34 60.83%
Elo Modified Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer 1662.39 +171.08 67.89%
Glicko-1 Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer 1656.80 +160.89 71.63%
WHR Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer 1669.24 +244.92 75.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer 150, Giga Chikadze 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#19] Tracy Cortez (7-1-0) vs. [#20] Stephanie Egger (5-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tracy Cortez (3-0-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#38BW] Vanessa Melo (10-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-30: W vs. [#47FLY] Mariya Agapova (9-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#31FLY] Erin Blanchfield (6-1-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Egger (3-0-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#101BW] Cinja Kiefer (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 1
2019-07-28: W vs. [#38FW] Reina Miura (12-3-0) via UD ()
2018-03-31: W vs. [NA] Eeva Siiskonen (5-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Tracy Cortez 1476.98 +172.80 68.77%
Elo Modified Tracy Cortez 1462.11 +114.80 62.31%
Glicko-1 Tracy Cortez 1423.72 +53.70 57.67%
WHR Stephanie Egger 1394.23 +17.63 52.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tracy Cortez 329, Stephanie Egger 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#22] Tagir Ulanbekov (12-1-0, -388) vs. [#115] Bruno Silva (10-5-2, +301)

Last 3 Fights: Tagir Ulanbekov (3-0-0)
2019-12-13: W vs. [#238FLY] Denilson Matos (13-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:18 of round 2
2019-09-27: W vs. [#113FLY] Denis Oliveira Fontes Ara (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked choke) in 3:19 of round 2
2019-05-03: W vs. [#238BW] Alexander Podlesniy (16-7-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (1-2-0)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#16FLY] David Dvorak (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#85BW] Khalid Taha (14-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:00 of round 3
2018-10-27: W vs. [*] Ralph Acosta (17-14-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tagir Ulanbekov -388 76.12%
Elo K170 Tagir Ulanbekov 1677.02 +336.91 82.34%
Elo Modified Tagir Ulanbekov 1707.05 +364.12 83.12%
Glicko-1 Tagir Ulanbekov 1760.16 +421.05 91.86%
WHR Tagir Ulanbekov 1670.43 +329.91 81.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tagir Ulanbekov 302, Bruno Silva 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Marlon Moraes
Highest Stored DD Rating: Marlon Moraes
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Marlon Moraes vs. Cory Sandhagen
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Marlon Moraes vs. Cory Sandhagen
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2020-10-6