Fight Matrix Program – UFC 248: Adesanya vs Romero (03-07-2020)

2 Mar , 2020,
Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#10P4P] Israel Adesanya (18-0-0, -272) vs. [#5] Yoel Romero (13-4-0, +217)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #13 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Yoel Romero is the All-Time #10 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (20-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 2
2019-04-13: W vs. [#9MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-5-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#31MW] Anderson Silva (34-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Yoel Romero (1-2-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#2MW] Paulo Henrique Costa (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (20-5-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#12LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 69.85
Elo Favorite (Standard): Israel Adesanya (2300.34) [+296.60] – Win%: 79.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Israel Adesanya (2251.89) [+211.23] – Win%: 71.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Israel Adesanya (2225.31) [+159.88] – Win%: 76.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Yoel Romero 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 3-2
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Weili Zhang (20-1-0, -181) vs. [#3/#7DD/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-3-0, +150)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #21 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#7P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#20SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#38SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (17-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#20SW] Tecia Torres (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Weili Zhang – Win%: 61.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Weili Zhang (1874.18) [+154.26] – Win%: 66.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Weili Zhang (1848.41) [+128.90] – Win%: 63.74
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Weili Zhang (1874.48) [+168.06] – Win%: 77.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 189, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#18] Beneil Dariush (17-4-1, -164) vs. [#33] Drakkar Klose (11-1-1, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#143LW] Frank Camacho (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#36LW] Drew Dober (22-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2
2018-11-10: W vs. [#115LW] Thiago Moises (12-4-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Drakkar Klose (3-0-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#55LW] Christos Giagos (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#75LW] Bobby Green (24-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#34LW] Lando Vannata (11-4-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Beneil Dariush – Win%: 59.45
Elo Favorite (Standard): Beneil Dariush (1895.67) [+62.04] – Win%: 57.04
Elo Favorite (Modified): Beneil Dariush (1878.97) [+70.20] – Win%: 57.62
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Beneil Dariush (1894.69) [+80.73] – Win%: 64.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 133, Drakkar Klose 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[*] Neil Magny (21-7-0, +146) vs. [#26] Jingliang Li (17-5-0, -175)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #47 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [*] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:36 of round 4
2018-05-27: W vs. [#245WW] Craig White (14-11-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:32 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#76WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (3-0-0)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#36WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2018-11-24: W vs. [#106WW] David Zawada (17-5-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 4:07 of round 3
2018-06-23: W vs. [#291WW] Daichi Abe (6-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jingliang Li – Win%: 61.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Neil Magny (1956.21) [+86.83] – Win%: 59.79
Elo Favorite (Modified): Neil Magny (1954.94) [+86.96] – Win%: 59.40
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Neil Magny (1918.25) [+19.72] – Win%: 53.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 476, Jingliang Li 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41] Alex Oliveira (20-8-1, -148) vs. [#73] Max Griffin (15-7-0, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (0-3-0)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#34WW] Nicolas Dalby (18-3-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#28WW] Mike Perry (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#21WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-5-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Max Griffin (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#72WW] Alex Morono (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#370WW] Zelim Imadaev (8-2-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#86WW] Thiago Alves (23-15-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Oliveira – Win%: 57.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Oliveira (1633.22) [+87.98] – Win%: 59.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Oliveira (1665.18) [+73.15] – Win%: 57.94
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alex Oliveira (1644.47) [+78.59] – Win%: 64.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 161, Max Griffin 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Griffin leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#68] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-3-0, +251) vs. [*] Sean OMalley (10-0-0, -320)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Alberto Quinonez (2-1-0)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#284BW] Carlos Huachin (11-5-3) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#32BW] Nathaniel Wood (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2018-02-10: W vs. [#323BW] Teruto Ishihara (10-7-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#110BW] Andre Soukhamthath (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#263BW] Terrion Ware (17-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-18: W vs. [#131BW] Alfred Khashakyan (11-5-0) via TKO in 4:14 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Sean OMalley – Win%: 72.78
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sean OMalley (1617.75) [+55.97] – Win%: 56.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sean OMalley (1661.39) [+75.38] – Win%: 58.18
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Sean OMalley (1654.69) [+95.88] – Win%: 67.51
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Alberto Quinonez 168, Sean OMalley 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#80] Rodolfo Vieira (6-0-0, -774) vs. [#96LHW] Saparbek Safarov (9-2-0, +516)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (3-0-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#156MW] Oskar Piechota (11-3-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:26 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [#245MW] Vitaliy Nemchinov (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2018-06-16: W vs. [*] Jacob Holyman-Tague (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Saparbek Safarov (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#199LHW] Nicolae Negumereanu (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-26)
2018-02-10: L vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:54 of round 1
2016-12-09: L vs. [#49LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rodolfo Vieira – Win%: 84.51
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rodolfo Vieira (1548.89) [+80.94] – Win%: 59.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rodolfo Vieira (1631.05) [+109.93] – Win%: 61.80
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rodolfo Vieira (1580.24) [+76.00] – Win%: 64.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodolfo Vieira 210, Saparbek Safarov 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#120] Austin Hubbard (11-3-0, +182) vs. [#140] Mark O. Madsen (9-0-0, -224)

Last 3 Fights: Austin Hubbard (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#225LW] Kyle Prepolec (12-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-18: L vs. [#71LW] Davi Ramos (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-07: W vs. [#185LW] Killys Mota (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Mark O. Madsen (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#487LW] Danilo Belluardo (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 1
2019-06-08: W vs. [NA] Patrick Nielsen (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#366WW] Thibaud Larchet (12-5-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mark O. Madsen – Win%: 66.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Austin Hubbard (1614.74) [+37.80] – Win%: 54.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Austin Hubbard (1647.62) [+47.25] – Win%: 55.15
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Austin Hubbard (1618.80) [+25.23] – Win%: 54.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Austin Hubbard 175, Mark O. Madsen 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#70] Emily Whitmire (4-3-0, -120) vs. [#76] Polyana Viana (10-4-0, -104)

Last 3 Fights: Emily Whitmire (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#22SW] Amanda Ribas (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2019-02-17: W vs. [#130SW] Aleksandra Albu (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#128FLY] Jamie Moyle (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Polyana Viana (0-3-0)
2019-08-10: L vs. [#71FLY] Veronica Macedo (6-3-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:09 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#44SW] Hannah Cifers (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#45FLY] J.J. Aldrich (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Emily Whitmire – Win%: 51.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Emily Whitmire (1188.91) [+64.85] – Win%: 57.35
Elo Favorite (Modified): Emily Whitmire (1250.21) [+17.01] – Win%: 51.86
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Polyana Viana (1207.32) [+23.98] – Win%: 54.93
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Emily Whitmire 252, Polyana Viana 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Polyana Viana leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Guido Cannetti (8-4-0, +119) vs. [#771] Danaa Batgerel (7-2-0, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Guido Cannetti (1-2-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#19BW] Marlon Vera (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2018-05-19: W vs. [*] Diego Rivas (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#52BW] Kyung Ho Kang (17-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Danaa Batgerel (2-1-0)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#144BW] Heili Alateng (14-7-1) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2019-06-22: W vs. [NA] Haitao Ti (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2018-06-30: W vs. [NA] Sukhbold Sodnomdorj (1-3-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 1:40 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Danaa Batgerel – Win%: 56.51
Elo Favorite (Standard): Guido Cannetti (1392.12) [+128.25] – Win%: 64.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Guido Cannetti (1424.09) [+114.70] – Win%: 62.30
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Guido Cannetti (1385.59) [+76.49] – Win%: 64.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Guido Cannetti 476, Danaa Batgerel 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#87] Jamall Emmers (17-4-0) vs. [#202] Giga Chikadze (9-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jamall Emmers (3-0-0)
2020-01-31: W vs. [#197FW] Rafael Barbosa (12-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:39 of round 3
2019-06-20: W vs. [#284FW] Jay Cucciniello (8-2-0) via TKO in 4:53 of round 1
2019-04-04: W vs. [#947FW] Caio Machado (11-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#207FW] Brandon Davis (10-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-03-23: W vs. [NA] Damien Manzanares (0-3-0) via Submission (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1
2019-03-23: W vs. [NA] Damien Manzanares (0-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:45 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Jamall Emmers (1678.30) [+351.33] – Win%: 83.27
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jamall Emmers (1710.15) [+417.14] – Win%: 86.13
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jamall Emmers (1656.05) [+315.37] – Win%: 92.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamall Emmers 36, Giga Chikadze 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#47] Gerald Meerschaert (30-12-0, +120) vs. [#72] Deron Winn (6-1-0, -146)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#33MW] Eryk Anders (13-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#37MW] Trevin Giles (12-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2019-03-30: L vs. [#54MW] Kevin Holland (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Deron Winn (2-1-0)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#48MW] Darren Stewart (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#83MW] Eric Spicely (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-24: W vs. [*] Tom Lawlor (10-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Deron Winn – Win%: 56.63
Elo Favorite (Standard): Gerald Meerschaert (1575.57) [+165.57] – Win%: 68.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gerald Meerschaert (1699.83) [+178.71] – Win%: 68.62
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Gerald Meerschaert (1643.37) [+183.44] – Win%: 81.39
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 147, Deron Winn 141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored DD Rating: Weili Zhang
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Yoel Romero
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Weili Zhang vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2020-3-2