Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 1: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw (01-13-2019)

18 Jan , 2019,
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1BW/#3DD/#5P4P] T.J. Dillashaw (16-3-0, 124.6lb, -219) vs. [#1/#5DD/#6P4P] Henry Cejudo (13-2-0, 124.4lb, +177)
T.J. Dillashaw is the All-Time #35 ranked Absolute fighter.
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Dillashaw (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#3BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-2-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-11-04: W vs. [#3BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 2
2016-12-30: W vs. [#5BW] John Lineker (31-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#2FLY/#6DD/#7P4P] Demetrious Johnson (27-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#55BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#10FLY] Wilson Reis (23-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): T.J. Dillashaw – Win%: 65.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): T.J. Dillashaw (2184.33) [+139.97] – Win%: 65.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): T.J. Dillashaw (2170.38) [+210.59] – Win%: 71.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: T.J. Dillashaw 168, Henry Cejudo 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (264)
[#162] Greg Hardy (3-0-0, 264.0lb, -535) vs. [#169] Allen Crowder (9-3-0, 252.6lb, +386)

Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (3-0-0)
2018-09-29: W vs. [NA] Ray Jones (0-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-08-07: W vs. [#375HW+] Tebaris Gordon (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 1
2018-06-12: W vs. [#367HW+] Austen Lane (4-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Allen Crowder (2-1-0)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#11HW+] Justin Willis (8-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 1
2017-08-29: W vs. [#133HW+] Dontale Mayes (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:12 of round 3
2017-05-20: W vs. [*] Robert Neal (4-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Greg Hardy – Win%: 80.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Allen Crowder (1295.04) [+10.69] – Win%: 51.22
Elo Favorite (Modified): Greg Hardy (1455.17) [+108.54] – Win%: 61.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Greg Hardy 112, Allen Crowder 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#19] Yancy Medeiros (15-5-0, 155.4lb, +384) vs. [#43] Gregor Gillespie (12-0-0, 155.2lb, -531)

Last 3 Fights: Yancy Medeiros (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#14WW] Donald Cerrone (34-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1
2017-12-02: W vs. [#20WW] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#91WW] Erick Silva (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Gregor Gillespie (3-0-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#100LW] Vinc Pichel (11-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:06 of round 2
2018-01-27: W vs. [#42FW] Jordan Rinaldi (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2017-09-16: W vs. [*] Jason Gonzalez (11-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:11 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gregor Gillespie – Win%: 80.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Gregor Gillespie (1837.96) [+7.26] – Win%: 50.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gregor Gillespie (1830.40) [+16.73] – Win%: 51.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yancy Medeiros 335, Gregor Gillespie 232
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (124)
[#4] Joseph Benavidez (26-5-0, 124.4lb, -232) vs. [#6] Dustin Ortiz (19-7-0, 123.8lb, +185)
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #5 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Dustin Ortiz is the All-Time #22 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (2-1-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#13FLY] Alex Perez (21-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#55BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-12-03: W vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#6P4P] Henry Cejudo (13-2-0) via SD (29-27, 27-29, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Ortiz (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#23FLY] Matheus Nicolau Pereira (13-2-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#7FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-08-05: W vs. [*] Hector Sandoval (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:15 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Benavidez – Win%: 66.57
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (1925.01) [+105.56] – Win%: 61.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (1920.73) [+164.11] – Win%: 67.23
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Benavidez 50, Dustin Ortiz 175
Previous Match-up Record: Joseph Benavidez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 4-1
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#63] Paige VanZant (7-4-0, 125.8lb, -159) vs. [#103] Rachael Ostovich (4-4-0, 125.8lb, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Paige VanZant (1-2-0)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#39FLY] Jessica-Rose Clark (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-12-17: L vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (16-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:21 of round 1
2016-08-27: W vs. [#87FLY] Bec Rawlings (7-8-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rachael Ostovich (1-2-0)
2018-07-06: L vs. [#37FLY] Montana De La Rosa (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 3
2017-12-01: W vs. [#99BW] Karine Gevorgyan (3-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:40 of round 1
2017-01-14: L vs. [#216FLY] Christine Ferea (1-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:29 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Paige VanZant – Win%: 58.64
Elo Favorite (Standard): Paige VanZant (1231.39) [+145.08] – Win%: 65.99
Elo Favorite (Modified): Paige VanZant (1227.86) [+135.16] – Win%: 64.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paige VanZant 370, Rachael Ostovich 197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#8] Glover Teixeira (27-7-0, 205.6lb, -124) vs. [#58] Karl Roberson (7-1-0, 203.8lb, -101)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (1-2-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#6LHW] Corey Anderson (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#24LHW] Misha Cirkunov (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-05-28: L vs. [#4LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Karl Roberson (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#89MW] Jack Marshman (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#42MW] Cezar Ferreira (13-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:45 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#54MW] Darren Stewart (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Glover Teixeira – Win%: 52.41
Elo Favorite (Standard): Glover Teixeira (1820.48) [+232.61] – Win%: 74.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Glover Teixeira (1855.25) [+200.58] – Win%: 70.64
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 181, Karl Roberson 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#14WW] Donald Cerrone (34-11-0, 155.8lb, +157) vs. [#15] Alexander Hernandez (10-1-0, 155.4lb, -190)
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (2-1-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#29WW] Mike Perry (12-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-06-23: L vs. [#13WW] Leon Edwards (16-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#19LW] Yancy Medeiros (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#35LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#18LW] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1
2017-11-10: W vs. [#603WW] Derrick Adkins (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexander Hernandez – Win%: 62.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Donald Cerrone (1942.16) [+190.36] – Win%: 70.47
Elo Favorite (Modified): Donald Cerrone (1919.26) [+173.52] – Win%: 68.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 70, Alexander Hernandez 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#11] Ariane Lipski (11-3-0, 125.2lb, -196) vs. [#22] Joanne Calderwood (12-3-0, 125.8lb, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Lipski (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#91FLY] Silvana Gomez Juarez (6-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-10-22: W vs. [#66BW] Mariana Morais (13-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-05-27: W vs. [#127FLY] Diana Belbita (11-4-0) via SUB in 4:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#69FLY] Kalindra Faria (18-8-1) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:57 of round 1
2017-07-16: L vs. [#12SW] Cynthia Calvillo (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-09-10: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#3P4P] Jessica Andrade (19-6-0) via SUB in 4:38 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ariane Lipski – Win%: 63.25
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ariane Lipski (1521.58) [+117.05] – Win%: 63.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ariane Lipski (1568.28) [+101.17] – Win%: 60.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ariane Lipski 322, Joanne Calderwood 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#85] Vinicius Alves Moreira (9-1-0, 205.6lb, +216) vs. [#115] Alonzo Menifield (7-0-0, 204.6lb, -269)

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Alves Moreira (3-0-0)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#163LHW] John Allan Arte (12-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:40 of round 2
2018-03-11: W vs. [#453MW] Jason Radcliffe (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:07 of round 1
2018-03-02: W vs. [NA] Sachin Kumar (0-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (3-0-0)
2018-06-12: W vs. [#554LHW] Dashawn Boatwright (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:08 of round 1
2018-02-16: W vs. [#380LHW] Brice Ritani-Coe (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:41 of round 1
2017-12-08: W vs. [#326LHW] Jose Otavio dos Santos La (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alonzo Menifield – Win%: 69.72
Elo Favorite (Standard): Vinicius Alves Moreira (1545.97) [+73.98] – Win%: 58.37
Elo Favorite (Modified): Vinicius Alves Moreira (1589.06) [+36.41] – Win%: 53.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vinicius Alves Moreira 161, Alonzo Menifield 221
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Cory Sandhagen (9-1-0, 135.6lb, -528) vs. [#343] Mario Bautista (6-0-0, 135.2lb, +387)

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#29BW] Iuri Alcantara (35-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 2
2018-01-27: W vs. [#156FW] Austin Arnett (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 2
2018-01-19: W vs. [#1944FW] Jose Aguayo (2-2-0) via TKO (Knee & Punches) in 1:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (3-0-0)
2018-10-13: W vs. [#736BW] Juan Pablo Gonzalez (7-2-2) via UD ()
2018-06-29: W vs. [#1656BW] A.J. Robb (1-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:30 of round 2
2018-01-19: W vs. [#1155BW] Raphael Montini de Lima (5-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cory Sandhagen – Win%: 80.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cory Sandhagen (1650.03) [+289.19] – Win%: 78.94
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cory Sandhagen (1670.05) [+263.08] – Win%: 75.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 147, Mario Bautista 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#37FW] Dennis Bermudez (16-9-0, 155.8lb, +105) vs. [#454] Te Edwards (6-2-0, 155.0lb, -131)

Last 3 Fights: Dennis Bermudez (0-3-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#48FW] Rick Glenn (21-6-1) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#30FW] Andre Fili (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-07-22: L vs. [#16FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Te Edwards (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#169LW] Don Madge (8-3-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:14 of round 2
2018-06-26: W vs. [#803LW] Austin Tweedy (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:28 of round 1
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Brandon Trujillo (1-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Te Edwards – Win%: 53.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dennis Bermudez (1547.34) [+212.78] – Win%: 72.55
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dennis Bermudez (1667.99) [+285.95] – Win%: 77.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dennis Bermudez 189, Te Edwards 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#36] Belal Muhammad (14-2-0, 170.2lb, +146) vs. [#108] Geoff Neal (10-2-0, 170.4lb, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (3-0-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#124WW] Chance Rencountre (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#52WW] Tim Means (28-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-07-08: W vs. [#38WW] Jordan Mein (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (3-0-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#262WW] Frank Camacho (22-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [#391WW] Brian Camozzi (7-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:48 of round 1
2017-07-25: W vs. [*] Chase Waldon (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:56 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Geoff Neal – Win%: 61.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Belal Muhammad (1870.82) [+260.68] – Win%: 76.69
Elo Favorite (Modified): Belal Muhammad (1820.46) [+211.58] – Win%: 71.63
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 232, Geoff Neal 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#115] Kyle Stewart (11-1-0, 170.4lb, -169) vs. [#124] Chance Rencountre (13-3-0, 170.4lb, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Stewart (2-1-0)
2018-11-09: W vs. [#452WW] Braden Smith (8-3-0) via UD ()
2018-07-27: L vs. [#45MW] James Nakashima (10-0-0) via UD ()
2018-05-19: W vs. [#561WW] Chauncey Foxworth (9-7-0) via SUB in 1:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chance Rencountre (2-1-0)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#36WW] Belal Muhammad (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#175MW] Chris Harris (11-3-0) via Submission in 2:42 of round 1
2017-10-06: W vs. [#182WW] Justin Patterson (11-4-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:58 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kyle Stewart – Win%: 60.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kyle Stewart (1592.45) [+49.99] – Win%: 55.69
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kyle Stewart (1604.37) [+49.17] – Win%: 55.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Stewart 71, Chance Rencountre 232
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: T.J. Dillashaw
Highest Stored DD Rating: T.J. Dillashaw
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: T.J. Dillashaw vs. Henry Cejudo
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: T.J. Dillashaw vs. Henry Cejudo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2019-1-18


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