Event Previews – Page 17

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ferguson vs. Diaz (09-10-2022)

Posted on September 5, 2022 by Jason

Welterweight (171)
[#16LW] Tony Ferguson (25-7-0, 171.0lb) vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-13-0, 171.0lb)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#4LW] Michael Chandler (23-7-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-05-15: L vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Charles Oliveira (33-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1WW/#6DD/#5P4P] Leon Edwards (20-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#7WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-08-17: W vs. [#89LW] Anthony Pettis (25-14-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Nate Diaz	1967.53	+25.62	52.92%
Elo Modified	Nate Diaz	1951.57	+47.68	55.20%
Glicko-1	Nate Diaz	2040.26	+70.78	60.05%
WHR	Nate Diaz	1850.60	+80.89	59.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 126, Nate Diaz 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 4-3
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Middleweight (179)
[#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0, 178.5lb) vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0, 179.5lb)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#6WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#22MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (32-13-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:28 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#98WW] Alex Oliveira (23-13-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:38 of round 2
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#70MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-3-0)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Khamzat Chimaev	2010.81	+90.93	60.24%
Elo Modified	Khamzat Chimaev	2035.68	+123.42	63.19%
Glicko-1	Khamzat Chimaev	2125.94	+130.44	67.93%
WHR	Khamzat Chimaev	1986.34	+179.45	69.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 154, Kevin Holland 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (179)
[#21WW] Jingliang Li (19-7-0, 170.5lb) vs. [#29WW] Daniel Rodriguez (16-2-0, 179.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#41WW] Muslim Salikhov (18-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:38 of round 2
2021-10-30: L vs. [#4WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#40WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (3-0-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#39WW] Kevin Lee (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#167WW] Preston Parsons (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [*] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Jingliang Li	1946.08	+55.14	56.27%
Elo Modified	Jingliang Li	1931.65	+28.20	53.08%
Glicko-1	Jingliang Li	2012.11	+53.62	57.66%
WHR	Jingliang Li	1880.74	+74.78	58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jingliang Li 56, Daniel Rodriguez 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Upcoming MMA preview

Posted on September 1, 2022 by A. J. Riot

Take a look at UFC predictions for UFC Paris on September 3.

The MMA world leader returns after a week and makes their debut at the home of democracy. This card features Ciryl Gane (the nation’s most significant export in MMA) as he takes on Tai Tuivasa, a matchup that has significant implications for the top heavyweight.

Co-main event: Former middleweight king Robert Whittaker takes on Marvin Vettori, a challenger to the division title.

It also features the return of Octagon veterans Joaquin Buckley and Nassourdine Imavov. Let’s take a look and predict the winners of four essential bouts on this card from Neds.

UFC predictions: UFC Paris fighters will get W’s on Sept. 3

Ciryl Gane (10-1) vs. Tai Tuivasa (14-3)

Gane vs. Tuivasa will clash between two top-five UFC heavyweight ranking competitors. This matchup also showcases the youth movement at the top of the division. This matchup is unique because it features two highly skilled strikers who have achieved great success in different ways.

This booking will ask if Tuivasa can use his brawling style effectively enough to avoid surgically dismantled and resuscitated by “Bon Gamin.” Many have tried, but none have succeeded. Tuivasa will be joining that group.

Robert Whittaker (23-6) vs. Marvin Vettori (18-5-1)

Robert Whittaker is in a difficult spot. After two losses to the current division king Israel Adesanya, Whittaker is an elite fighter of 185 pounds. He will not be able to win another title in the next few years. He still hopes Adesanya will fall from grace, but he is fighting the best in the division.

Whittaker will be facing Vettori in a grappling match that will test his skills and will be a tough challenge for “Bobby Knuckles.” But Whittaker is a well-rounded fighter and will be ready for any challenge the Italians may throw him.

Joaquin Buckley (15-4) vs. Nassourdine Iavov (11-3).

Imavov will be able to receive loud applause from his fellow countrymen and women at fight night. After a solid 3-1 start in his UFC career, Imavov is now the favorite sentimentally. Buckley will not be able to win. As he tries to win a decision, Buckley will likely use a full MMA attack to counter his opponent’s explosive strikes and keep him off balance.

Charles Jourdain (13-5-1) vs. Nathaniel Wood (18-5)

Charles Jourdain against Nathaniel Wood is an excellent fight that most people will overlook. These two 20-somethings have won finishes in well over 75% of their wins, and they are both solid prospects at featherweight.

It is now a question of who is better. Jourdain is currently coming off a loss but still managed a strong performance in a majority loss to Shane Burgos. Wood won a crucial victory over Charles Rosa in July in the United Kingdom. Although it’s a pick-em match, Jourdain appears to have become a more formidable prospect in the past two years.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa (09-03-2022)

Posted on August 29, 2022 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#2] Ciryl Gane (10-1-0, -574) vs. [#4] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0, +418)
Ciryl Gane is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (2-1-0)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-06-26: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (3-0-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-11: W vs. [#26HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2021-07-10: W vs. [#55HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ciryl Gane	-574		81.51%
Elo K170	Ciryl Gane	2077.14	+154.09	66.91%
Elo Modified	Ciryl Gane	2098.59	+173.95	68.17%
Glicko-1	Ciryl Gane	2153.37	+130.05	67.89%
WHR	Ciryl Gane	1980.97	+164.48	67.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 224, Tai Tuivasa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ciryl Gane leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#2] Robert Whittaker (23-6-0, -236) vs. [#5] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1, +191)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #7 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#3MW] Jared Cannonier (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#9MW] Paulo Costa (14-2-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#3P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12WW] Kevin Holland (23-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Robert Whittaker	-236		67.15%
Elo K170	Robert Whittaker	2204.74	+126.51	64.06%
Elo Modified	Robert Whittaker	2163.56	+72.23	57.84%
Glicko-1	Robert Whittaker	2233.00	+83.12	61.74%
WHR	Robert Whittaker	2002.15	+16.33	51.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 203, Marvin Vettori 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#87] Alessio Di Chirico (13-6-0, -121) vs. [#252] Roman Kopylov (8-2-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Alessio Di Chirico (1-2-0)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#75MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#41MW] Joaquin Buckley (15-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:12 of round 1
2020-08-29: L vs. [*] Zak Cummings (24-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (1-2-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#62MW] Albert Duraev (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)
2019-11-09: L vs. [#113LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 3
2018-12-27: W vs. [#89WW] Yasubey Enomoto (22-14-0) via KO (Punch to the body) in 3:42 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alessio Di Chirico	-121		52.14%
Elo K170	Roman Kopylov	1578.78	+116.78	63.03%
Elo Modified	Roman Kopylov	1635.31	+164.45	67.26%
Glicko-1	Roman Kopylov	1657.61	+179.37	73.74%
WHR	Roman Kopylov	1528.30	+27.95	53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alessio Di Chirico 371, Roman Kopylov 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 (08-20-2022)

Posted on August 15, 2022 by Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#3DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-1-0, -349) vs. [#11] Leon Edwards (19-3-0, +270)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#6WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#5WW] Gilbert Burns (20-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#51WW] Nate Diaz (20-13-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (21-3-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#8LW] Rafael dos Anjos (31-14-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kamaru Usman	-349		74.19%
Elo K170	Kamaru Usman	2539.23	+306.82	80.24%
Elo Modified	Kamaru Usman	2486.62	+315.03	79.89%
Glicko-1	Kamaru Usman	2585.92	+365.55	89.13%
WHR	Kamaru Usman	2278.39	+267.08	77.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 287, Leon Edwards 434
Previous Match-up Record: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#14] Paulo Costa (13-2-0, -283) vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0, +226)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #30 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Luke Rockhold is the All-Time #6 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#5MW] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (23-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2019-08-17: W vs. [#9LHW] Yoel Romero (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Rockhold (1-2-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2018-02-10: L vs. [#9LHW] Yoel Romero (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3
2017-09-16: W vs. [*] David Branch (22-7-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 4:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Paulo Costa	-283		70.66%
Elo K170	Luke Rockhold	1962.34	+62.03	57.04%
Elo Modified	Luke Rockhold	1958.04	+41.27	54.50%
Glicko-1	Paulo Costa	2006.96	+10.25	51.47%
WHR	Paulo Costa	1858.17	+47.56	55.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paulo Costa 301, Luke Rockhold 1141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Paulo Costa leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#10DD] Jose Aldo (31-7-0, -103) vs. [#7] Merab Dvalishvili (14-4-0, -120)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #30 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (3-0-0)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#8BW] Rob Font (19-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#5BW] Marlon Vera (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2021-05-01: W vs. [#35BW] Cody Stamann (20-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#39BW] John Dodson (22-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Merab Dvalishvili	-120		51.80%
Elo K170	Jose Aldo	2139.62	+128.31	64.25%
Elo Modified	Jose Aldo	2139.73	+143.08	65.16%
Glicko-1	Jose Aldo	2196.10	+165.88	72.21%
WHR	Jose Aldo	1995.31	+106.15	61.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 259, Merab Dvalishvili 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Merab Dvalishvili leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz (08-13-2022)

Posted on August 8, 2022 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Marlon Vera (20-7-1, -188) vs. [#8] Dominick Cruz (24-3-0, +156)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Dominick Cruz is the All-Time #1 ranked Bantamweight and #30 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (3-0-0)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#9BW] Rob Font (19-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#10BW] Frankie Edgar (24-10-1) via KO (Front Kick) in 3:50 of round 3
2021-06-19: W vs. [#72BW] Davey Grant (14-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Cruz (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#31BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: L vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marlon Vera	-188		62.56%
Elo K170	Dominick Cruz	2081.84	+68.66	57.78%
Elo Modified	Dominick Cruz	2011.49	+29.20	53.19%
Glicko-1	Marlon Vera	2037.15	+21.94	53.15%
WHR	Marlon Vera	1877.36	+25.83	52.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 105, Dominick Cruz 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#44] Nate Landwehr (15-4-0, +180) vs. [#103] David Onama (10-1-0, -213)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#98LW] Ludovit Klein (19-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:22 of round 3
2021-02-20: L vs. [#42FW] Julian Erosa (27-9-0) via TKO (Flying Knee) in 0:56 of round 1
2020-05-16: W vs. [#36FW] Darren Elkins (27-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: David Onama (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#466FW] Garrett Armfield (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#330LW] Gabriel Benitez (22-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 1
2021-10-23: L vs. [#156LW] Mason Jones (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	David Onama	-213		65.58%
Elo K170	Nate Landwehr	1724.55	+159.83	67.49%
Elo Modified	Nate Landwehr	1714.33	+131.20	63.98%
Glicko-1	Nate Landwehr	1754.39	+115.82	66.08%
WHR	Nate Landwehr	1662.81	+132.86	64.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 301, David Onama 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#32] Gerald Meerschaert (34-15-0, +220) vs. [#33] Bruno Silva (22-7-0, -263)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (2-1-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#20MW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#98MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 3
2021-08-28: W vs. [#55MW] Makhmud Muradov (25-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (2-1-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#7MW] Alex Pereira (6-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#135MW] Jordan Wright (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2021-10-16: W vs. [#53LHW] Andrew Sanchez (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:35 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Bruno Silva	-263		69.86%
Elo K170	Bruno Silva	1733.44	+21.98	52.51%
Elo Modified	Bruno Silva	1773.02	+29.06	53.17%
Glicko-1	Bruno Silva	1838.69	+36.69	55.26%
WHR	Bruno Silva	1817.32	+126.74	64.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 105, Bruno Silva 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill (08-06-2022)

Posted on August 1, 2022 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Thiago Santos (22-10-0, +219) vs. [#12] Jamahal Hill (11-1-0, -276)
Thiago Santos is the All-Time #43 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (1-2-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#7LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-10-02: W vs. [#19LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#9LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#19LHW] Johnny Walker (18-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:55 of round 1
2021-12-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#14LHW] Paul Craig (16-5-1) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:59 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jamahal Hill	-276		70.07%
Elo K170	Thiago Santos	1853.14	+22.34	52.55%
Elo Modified	Thiago Santos	1888.41	+37.73	54.12%
Glicko-1	Thiago Santos	1975.24	+60.59	58.63%
WHR	Thiago Santos	1844.95	+68.07	57.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 147, Jamahal Hill 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#6] Vicente Luque (21-8-1, -175) vs. [#25] Geoff Neal (14-4-0, +145)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (2-1-0)
2022-04-16: L vs. [#4WW] Belal Muhammad (21-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#13WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (1-2-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#44WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#16WW] Neil Magny (26-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#15WW] Stephen Thompson (16-6-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vicente Luque	-175		60.92%
Elo K170	Vicente Luque	2090.51	+159.13	67.41%
Elo Modified	Vicente Luque	2057.09	+183.77	69.09%
Glicko-1	Vicente Luque	2151.03	+245.50	80.42%
WHR	Vicente Luque	1952.47	+212.07	72.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 112, Geoff Neal 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 4-3
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Heavyweight (265)
[#99] Zac Pauga (5-0-0, -239) vs. [#189] Mohammed Usman (7-2-0, +199)

Last 3 Fights: Zac Pauga (3-0-0)
2021-10-17: W vs. [#127MW] Markus Perez (13-6-0) via UD ()
2021-08-01: W vs. [#107HW+] Terrance Jean-Jacques (8-3-0) via UD ()
2021-04-23: W vs. [#295LHW] Logan Nail (3-2-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mohammed Usman (2-1-0)
2021-05-06: L vs. [#136HW+] Brandon Sayles (6-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:42 of round 2
2020-08-28: W vs. [NA] Terrance Hodges (2-7-0) via UD ()
2019-12-20: W vs. [*] Reggie Cato (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Zac Pauga	-239		67.82%
Elo K170	Zac Pauga	1552.34	+165.33	68.03%
Elo Modified	Zac Pauga	1619.14	+246.67	74.64%
Glicko-1	Zac Pauga	1570.55	+248.46	80.70%
WHR	Zac Pauga	1490.45	+187.02	70.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zac Pauga 293, Mohammed Usman 457
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes (07-30-2022)

Posted on July 25, 2022 by Jason

Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#1DD/#4P4P] Julianna Pena (11-4-0, +230) vs. [#2/#3DD/#5P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-5-0, -289)
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #29 ranked Women’s fighter.
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#2BW/#3DD/#5P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#9BW] Sara McMann (13-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3
2020-10-03: L vs. [*] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (2-1-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#4P4P] Julianna Pena (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-03-06: W vs. [*] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) in 2:03 of round 1
2020-06-06: W vs. [*] Felicia Spencer (9-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Amanda Nunes	-289		71.02%
Elo K170	Amanda Nunes	1886.31	+93.39	60.51%
Elo Modified	Amanda Nunes	1874.27	+70.14	57.62%
Glicko-1	Amanda Nunes	1879.69	+35.54	55.10%
WHR	Amanda Nunes	1882.07	+51.12	55.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julianna Pena 231, Amanda Nunes 231
Previous Match-up Record: Julianna Pena leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 5-2
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Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Moreno (19-6-2, -205) vs. [#3] Kai Kara France (24-9-0, +169)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #9 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Kai Kara France is the All-Time #27 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-1-1)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#7P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#7P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3
2020-12-12: D vs. [#1FLY/#5DD/#7P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara France (3-0-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#5FLY] Askar Askarov (14-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#10FLY] Cody Garbrandt (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 1
2021-03-06: W vs. [#22FLY] Rogerio Bontorin (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:55 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Moreno	-205		64.38%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	1982.58	+49.28	55.61%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	1944.86	+56.92	56.20%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2019.63	+62.36	58.88%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	1895.59	+91.30	60.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 189, Kai Kara France 126
Previous Match-up Record: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Derrick Lewis (26-9-0, -120) vs. [#25] Sergei Pavlovich (15-1-0, -103)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#4HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#13HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1
2021-08-07: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Ciryl Gane (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#83HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:03 of round 1
2019-10-26: W vs. [#79HW+] Maurice Greene (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2019-04-20: W vs. [#59HW+] Marcelo Golm (10-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:06 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Derrick Lewis	-120		51.80%
Elo K170	Derrick Lewis	1939.29	+109.93	62.30%
Elo Modified	Derrick Lewis	1942.22	+108.22	61.63%
Glicko-1	Derrick Lewis	1997.84	+99.11	63.89%
WHR	Derrick Lewis	1842.92	+49.47	55.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 168, Sergei Pavlovich 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 3: Blaydes vs. Aspinall (07-23-2022)

Posted on July 18, 2022 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Curtis Blaydes (16-3-0, +110) vs. [#7] Tom Aspinall (12-2-0, -134)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#13HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-09-25: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:26 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#22HW+] Sergey Spivak (14-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2021-02-20: W vs. [#34HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-20-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tom Aspinall	-134		54.59%
Elo K170	Curtis Blaydes	2095.25	+199.82	71.36%
Elo Modified	Curtis Blaydes	2077.66	+167.75	67.58%
Glicko-1	Curtis Blaydes	2161.78	+200.63	76.04%
WHR	Curtis Blaydes	1952.40	+17.51	52.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 119, Tom Aspinall 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#13] Jack Hermansson (22-7-0, -103) vs. [#25] Chris Curtis (29-8-0, -119)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#12MW] Sean Strickland (25-4-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#30MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#5MW] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (3-0-0)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#73MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#29MW] Brendan Allen (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 1:58 of round 2
2021-11-06: W vs. [#66MW] Phil Hawes (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Chris Curtis	-119		51.71%
Elo K170	Chris Curtis	1937.91	+33.25	53.79%
Elo Modified	Jack Hermansson	1979.87	+29.30	53.20%
Glicko-1	Jack Hermansson	2042.43	+16.00	52.30%
WHR	Jack Hermansson	1854.11	+0.82	50.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Chris Curtis 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#76] Paddy Pimblett (18-3-0, -257) vs. [#168] Jordan Leavitt (10-1-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#203LW] Rodrigo Vargas (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [#340LW] Luigi Vendramini (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Davide Martinez (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#172LW] Trey Ogden (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#607LW] Matt Sayles (8-4-0) via Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2021-06-05: L vs. [#38LW] Claudio Puelles (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Paddy Pimblett	-257		68.77%
Elo K170	Paddy Pimblett	1692.72	+36.24	54.13%
Elo Modified	Paddy Pimblett	1736.53	+99.20	60.69%
Glicko-1	Paddy Pimblett	1813.27	+183.02	74.15%
WHR	Paddy Pimblett	1748.76	+175.36	69.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paddy Pimblett 126, Jordan Leavitt 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 3: Ortega vs. Rodriguez (07-16-2022)

Posted on July 11, 2022 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#5] Brian Ortega (15-2-0, -164) vs. [#10] Yair Rodriguez (13-3-0, +137)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (25-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#9FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (23-7-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-13: L vs. [#2FW] Max Holloway (23-7-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#47LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-20-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-21: NC vs. [#47LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-20-0)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brian Ortega	-164		59.55%
Elo K170	Brian Ortega	2115.85	+202.56	71.61%
Elo Modified	Brian Ortega	2057.47	+180.72	68.81%
Glicko-1	Brian Ortega	2127.23	+189.58	74.86%
WHR	Brian Ortega	1976.90	+179.72	69.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 294, Yair Rodriguez 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brian Ortega leads 2-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Amanda Lemos (11-2-1, -437) vs. [#11] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0, +332)
Michelle Waterson is the All-Time #46 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (2-1-0)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#2FLY/#9DD/#8P4P] Jessica Andrade (23-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 1
2021-12-18: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-12-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#47SW] Montserrat Ruiz (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (1-2-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#4SW/#10DD] Marina Rodriguez (16-1-2) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Carla Esparza (19-6-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Amanda Lemos	-437		77.85%
Elo K170	Amanda Lemos	1628.87	+115.95	62.94%
Elo Modified	Amanda Lemos	1618.19	+97.53	60.51%
Glicko-1	Amanda Lemos	1600.28	+102.20	64.30%
WHR	Amanda Lemos	1541.74	+70.82	58.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 84, Michelle Waterson 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#26] Muslim Salikhov (18-2-0, -184) vs. [#41] Jingliang Li (18-7-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#33WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#51WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (23-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#114WW] Laureano Staropoli (10-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (1-2-0)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#3WW] Khamzat Chimaev (11-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2021-01-16: W vs. [#46WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:25 of round 1
2020-03-07: L vs. [#15WW] Neil Magny (26-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Muslim Salikhov	-184		62.20%
Elo K170	Muslim Salikhov	2009.57	+191.17	70.55%
Elo Modified	Muslim Salikhov	1948.32	+120.45	62.89%
Glicko-1	Muslim Salikhov	1990.22	+96.46	63.54%
WHR	Muslim Salikhov	1874.82	+93.89	60.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 406, Jingliang Li 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Muslim Salikhov leads 2-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev (07-09-2022)

Posted on July 4, 2022 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#6] Rafael dos Anjos (31-13-0, +170) vs. [#12] Rafael Fiziev (11-1-0, -210)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #29 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#21LW] Renato Carneiro (16-5-1) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)
2020-11-14: W vs. [*] Paul Felder (17-6-0) via SD (50-45, 50-45, 47-48)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#12WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (3-0-0)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#55LW] Brad Riddell (10-3-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2021-08-07: W vs. [#19LW] Bobby Green (29-13-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#21LW] Renato Carneiro (16-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rafael Fiziev	-210		64.64%
Elo K170	Rafael dos Anjos	2054.44	+163.19	67.82%
Elo Modified	Rafael dos Anjos	1993.11	+113.30	62.15%
Glicko-1	Rafael dos Anjos	2022.58	+94.98	63.34%
WHR	Rafael dos Anjos	1950.71	+91.74	60.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 126, Rafael Fiziev 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#58] Armen Petrosyan (7-1-0, +142) vs. [#81] Caio Borralho (11-1-0, -174)

Last 3 Fights: Armen Petrosyan (3-0-0)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#42MW] Gregory Rodrigues (12-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-10-19: W vs. [#296LHW] Kaloyan Kolev (11-1-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2021-07-25: W vs. [#521LHW] Alexander Zemlyakov (1-1-0) via TKO in 0:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#134MW] Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (13-1-0) via TUD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-10-19: W vs. [#194LHW] Jesse Murray (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1
2021-09-28: W vs. [#82MW] Aaron Jeffery (12-3-0) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Caio Borralho	-174		60.58%
Elo K170	Caio Borralho	1707.40	+112.87	62.61%
Elo Modified	Caio Borralho	1723.37	+99.82	60.75%
Glicko-1	Caio Borralho	1739.96	+167.92	72.44%
WHR	Caio Borralho	1716.89	+223.11	73.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Armen Petrosyan 133, Caio Borralho 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#24] Said Nurmagomedov (15-2-0, -248) vs. [#51] Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-4-0, +197)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#35BW] Cody Stamann (20-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1
2020-10-17: W vs. [#527FW] Mark Striegl (18-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1
2019-12-21: L vs. [#47BW] Raoni Barcelos (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Douglas Silva de Andrade (2-1-0)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#57BW] Sergey Morozov (19-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2021-10-02: W vs. [#386BW] Gaetano Pirrello (15-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:04 of round 1
2021-01-20: L vs. [#43FW] Lerone Murphy (11-0-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Said Nurmagomedov	-248		67.91%
Elo K170	Said Nurmagomedov	1849.81	+141.61	65.63%
Elo Modified	Said Nurmagomedov	1832.89	+114.24	62.25%
Glicko-1	Said Nurmagomedov	1884.58	+117.89	66.34%
WHR	Said Nurmagomedov	1824.84	+54.53	56.20%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Said Nurmagomedov 168, Douglas Silva de Andrade 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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What to Expect from Usman vs. Edwards 2 at UFC 278

Posted on June 27, 2022 by A. J. Riot

The UFC is heading to Salt Lake City in August, where the main event will decide who will take the title of welterweight champion. Announced during UFC 275, fans will be treated to a rematch between champion Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards.

The two first met back in December 2015, when Usman scored a comprehensive victory through a unanimous decision. Since then, both fighters have been on a tear: Usman has the second-longest win streak in UFC history with 15, while Edwards is unbeaten in his last ten bouts, not losing since his fight with the man he faces at UFC 278. In the classic tale of the unstoppable force meeting the immovable object, something has to give when these two titans of the sport meet.

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Upcoming UFC Events

Posted on June 22, 2022 by A. J. Riot

The fighters will be deep in training for July’s events

There is never a drop in the excitement levels when it comes to UFC. Whether it is Jiri Prozchaka beating the reigning champion to take the Light Heavyweight title in Singapore at UFC 275. Or Nate Diaz protesting against his contract and calling out Jake Paul. Life is never dull when it comes to this organization.

The events are coming up thick and fast too. There are big shows on a number of major broadcasters across the world, as well as the best UFC main events to look forward to in the next few months. There will be plenty of UFC bets being placed on these bouts – and this is what July has in store.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot (06-25-2022)

Posted on June 20, 2022 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#8] Mateusz Gamrot (20-1-0) vs. [#13] Arman Tsarukyan (18-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (3-0-0)
2021-12-18: W vs. [#17LW] Diego Ferreira (17-5-0) via TKO (Submission to Knee to the Body) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-07-17: W vs. [#46LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-20-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:05 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#60LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#37LW] Joel Alvarez (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#83LW] Christos Giagos (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2021-01-23: W vs. [#164LW] Matt Frevola (9-3-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Mateusz Gamrot	2037.91	+33.32	53.80%
Elo Modified	Mateusz Gamrot	2069.99	+80.31	58.70%
Glicko-1	Mateusz Gamrot	2159.47	+106.54	64.87%
WHR	Mateusz Gamrot	2101.65	+155.69	67.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mateusz Gamrot 189, Arman Tsarukyan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#13] Neil Magny (26-8-0) vs. [#32] Shavkat Rakhmonov (15-0-0)
Neil Magny is the All-Time #35 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Neil Magny (2-1-0)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#31WW] Max Griffin (18-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#24WW] Geoff Neal (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-01-20: L vs. [#12WW] Michael Chiesa (18-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Shavkat Rakhmonov (3-0-0)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#90WW] Carlston Harris (17-5-0) via KO (Spinning Hook Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2021-06-26: W vs. [#143WW] Michel Prazeres (26-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 2
2020-10-24: W vs. [#99WW] Alex Oliveira (22-13-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:40 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Neil Magny	2112.20	+126.04	64.01%
Elo Modified	Neil Magny	2052.54	+76.06	58.25%
Glicko-1	Neil Magny	2068.98	+0.03	50.01%
WHR	Shavkat Rakhmonov	2040.12	+172.95	68.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neil Magny 91, Shavkat Rakhmonov 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#172] Josh Parisian (14-5-0) vs. [#278] Alan Baudot (8-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (1-2-0)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#86HW+] Dontale Mayes (9-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:26 of round 3
2021-06-19: W vs. [#181HW+] Roque Martinez (15-8-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#88HW+] Parker Porter (12-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alan Baudot (0-3-0)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#88HW+] Parker Porter (12-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: L vs. [#94HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 2
2020-10-10: L vs. [#8HW+] Tom Aspinall (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:35 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Josh Parisian	1313.45	+85.97	59.69%
Elo Modified	Josh Parisian	1344.22	+87.46	59.46%
Glicko-1	Josh Parisian	1321.48	+96.77	63.58%
WHR	Josh Parisian	1304.13	+46.70	55.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Parisian 189, Alan Baudot 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett (06-18-2022)

Posted on June 13, 2022 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#6] Calvin Kattar (23-5-0, -228) vs. [#7] Josh Emmett (17-2-0, +185)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Josh Emmett is the All-Time #32 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#12FW] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#2FW/#9DD] Max Holloway (23-6-0) via UD (50-43, 50-43, 50-42)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#16FW] Dan Ige (15-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (3-0-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#16FW] Dan Ige (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#23FW] Shane Burgos (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [*] Mirsad Bektic (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Calvin Kattar	-228		66.45%
Elo K170	Josh Emmett	2068.22	+42.57	54.85%
Elo Modified	Josh Emmett	2019.00	+33.82	53.69%
Glicko-1	Josh Emmett	2078.33	+24.07	53.46%
WHR	Calvin Kattar	1901.58	+24.36	52.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 154, Josh Emmett 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Calvin Kattar leads 4-3
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Lightweight (155)
[#35] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0, -175) vs. [*] Joe Lauzon (28-15-0, +144)
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #19 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#25WW] Alex Morono (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-09-19: NC vs. [#54WW] Niko Price (15-5-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#24LW] Anthony Pettis (25-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Lauzon (1-2-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#75FW] Jonathan Pearce (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1
2018-04-07: L vs. [#125LW] Chris Gruetzemacher (15-5-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-11-11: L vs. [#57LW] Clay Guida (37-22-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Donald Cerrone	-175		60.82%
Elo K170	Donald Cerrone	1711.79	+148.25	66.31%
Elo Modified	Donald Cerrone	1703.77	+125.24	63.37%
Glicko-1	Donald Cerrone	1731.08	+123.65	67.08%
WHR	Donald Cerrone	1653.94	+70.83	58.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 406, Joe Lauzon 974
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donald Cerrone leads 6-3
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Welterweight (170)
[#18] Kevin Holland (22-7-0, -229) vs. [#30] Tim Means (32-12-1, +183)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#81WW] Alex Oliveira (22-12-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 0:38 of round 2
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#55MW] Kyle Daukaus (11-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (18-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (3-0-0)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#53WW] Nicolas Dalby (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#73WW] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#115WW] Laureano Staropoli (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Holland	-229		66.32%
Elo K170	Kevin Holland	1836.23	+6.13	50.70%
Elo Modified	Tim Means	1841.58	+28.12	53.07%
Glicko-1	Kevin Holland	1903.85	+22.24	53.20%
WHR	Kevin Holland	1760.97	+47.91	55.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 105, Tim Means 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka (06-11-2022)

Posted on June 6, 2022 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#8P4P] Glover Teixeira (33-7-0, +166) vs. [#6] Jiri Prochazka (28-3-1, -202)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #13 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (22-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2020-05-13: W vs. [#12LHW] Anthony Smith (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#10LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-3-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#16LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-12-31: W vs. [*] C.B. Dollaway (17-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jiri Prochazka	-202		64.02%
Elo K170	Glover Teixeira	2267.17	+195.71	70.97%
Elo Modified	Glover Teixeira	2231.98	+180.19	68.76%
Glicko-1	Glover Teixeira	2368.01	+202.49	76.24%
WHR	Glover Teixeira	2135.40	+64.77	57.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 224, Jiri Prochazka 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#1P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (22-3-0, -729) vs. [#5] Taila Santos (19-1-0, +488)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#8FLY] Lauren Murphy (15-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:00 of round 4
2021-04-24: W vs. [#3SW/#6DD/#8P4P] Jessica Andrade (23-9-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:19 of round 2
2020-11-21: W vs. [#7FLY] Jennifer Maia (19-9-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (3-0-0)
2021-11-20: W vs. [#21FLY] Joanne Wood (15-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1
2021-09-25: W vs. [*] Roxanne Modafferi (25-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#29FLY] Gillian Robertson (10-7-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-26)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Valentina Shevchenko	-729		83.79%
Elo K170	Valentina Shevchenko	2017.17	+314.15	80.77%
Elo Modified	Valentina Shevchenko	2023.87	+295.02	78.44%
Glicko-1	Valentina Shevchenko	2048.52	+289.40	84.10%
WHR	Valentina Shevchenko	2014.81	+309.44	80.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 259, Taila Santos 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#4] Weili Zhang (21-3-0, -173) vs. [*] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0, +143)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #15 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (1-2-0)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [*] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1-2-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#4SW] Weili Zhang (21-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#12SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#1P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (22-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Weili Zhang	-173		60.62%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	1768.78	+96.68	60.86%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	1778.77	+55.55	56.05%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	1775.00	+37.82	55.42%
WHR	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1713.95	+17.52	52.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 217, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 826
Previous Match-up Record: Weili Zhang leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
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