Fight Matrix Program – Bellator: Bader vs. Emelianenko 2 (02-04-2023)

Jan 30, 2023
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Ryan Bader (30-7-0, -251) vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (40-6-0, +184)
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #39 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #4 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (2-1-0)
2022-05-06: W vs. [#18HW+] Cheick Kongo (31-12-2) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-01-29: W vs. [#13HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (11-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#7LHW] Corey Anderson (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (2-1-0)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#27HW+] Tim Johnson (15-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:40 of round 1
2019-12-28: W vs. [*] Quinton Jackson (38-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:44 of round 1
2019-01-26: L vs. [#10HW+] Ryan Bader (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Bader -251 67.00%
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2138.53 +111.24 62.44%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2149.43 +136.95 64.55%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2183.72 +105.27 64.70%
WHR Ryan Bader 1968.74 +132.12 64.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 274, Fedor Emelianenko 469
Previous Match-up Record: Ryan Bader leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#6] Johnny Eblen (12-0-0, -156) vs. [#37] Anatoly Tokov (31-3-0, +126)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Eblen (3-0-0)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#9MW] Gegard Mousasi (49-8-2) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#30MW] John Salter (18-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-12-03: W vs. [#134MW] Collin Huckbody (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anatoly Tokov (3-0-0)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#225MW] Muhammad Abdullah (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:28 of round 1
2021-10-23: W vs. [*] Sharaf Davlatmurodov (19-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-04: W vs. [*] Hracho Darpinyan (17-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Johnny Eblen -156 57.93%
Elo K170 Johnny Eblen 1990.39 +24.07 52.75%
Elo Modified Johnny Eblen 1987.96 +53.67 55.85%
Glicko-1 Johnny Eblen 2053.98 +34.58 54.96%
WHR Johnny Eblen 1926.03 +27.28 53.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Eblen 225, Anatoly Tokov 225
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#59] Sabah Homasi (17-10-0, -158) vs. [#117] Brennan Ward (16-6-0, +128)

Last 3 Fights: Sabah Homasi (2-1-0)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#169WW] Maycon Mendonca (11-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:58 of round 1
2022-01-29: W vs. [#95WW] Jaleel Willis (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:42 of round 1
2021-08-13: L vs. [#39MW] Andrey Koreshkov (26-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Brennan Ward (2-1-0)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#365WW] Kassius Kayne (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#917WW] Brandon Bell (10-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 2
2017-08-25: L vs. [#212MW] Fernando Gonzalez (29-20-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:02 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sabah Homasi -158 58.26%
Elo K170 Sabah Homasi 1760.94 +195.69 70.97%
Elo Modified Sabah Homasi 1760.83 +162.70 67.09%
Glicko-1 Sabah Homasi 1818.45 +187.14 74.60%
WHR Sabah Homasi 1667.82 +75.38 58.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sabah Homasi 225, Brennan Ward 225
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#808] Ethan Hughes (3-0-0, -191) vs. [NA] Yusuf Karakaya (1-0-0, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Ethan Hughes (3-0-0)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#1104WW] Mahmoud Sebie Fawzy (4-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 3
2021-05-15: W vs. [#2019WW] Cris Mims (2-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:40 of round 1
2021-02-27: W vs. [NA] Dennis Maldonado (1-3-0) via KO in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yusuf Karakaya (1-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [NA] Ali Damak (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ethan Hughes -191 63.05%
Elo K170 Ethan Hughes 1227.84 +142.84 65.76%
Elo Modified Ethan Hughes 1360.14 +222.64 72.61%
Glicko-1 Ethan Hughes 1259.98 +164.18 72.02%
WHR Ethan Hughes 1186.24 +114.63 62.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ethan Hughes 449, Yusuf Karakaya 1177
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#88] Diana Avsaragova (5-0-0, -127) vs. [#92] Alejandra Lara (9-6-0, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Diana Avsaragova (3-0-0)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#160FLY] Kyra Batara (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-07-16: W vs. [#153FLY] Gabriella Gulfin (5-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-04-09: W vs. [NA] Tara Graff (1-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alejandra Lara (0-3-0)
2022-06-24: L vs. [#47FLY] Ilara Joanne (11-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-27)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#24FLY] DeAnna Bennett (13-7-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-04-02: L vs. [#25FLY] Kana Watanabe (11-1-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diana Avsaragova -127 52.55%
Elo K170 Diana Avsaragova 1329.49 +246.40 75.51%
Elo Modified Diana Avsaragova 1334.37 +118.60 62.70%
Glicko-1 Diana Avsaragova 1286.05 +77.32 60.95%
WHR Diana Avsaragova 1264.60 +4.43 50.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diana Avsaragova 329, Alejandra Lara 225
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#119] Christopher Gonzalez (7-2-0, -175) vs. [*] Max Rohskopf (7-1-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Christopher Gonzalez (1-2-0)
2022-07-22: L vs. [#22LW] Usman Nurmagomedov (16-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2022-01-29: W vs. [#120LW] Saad Awad (24-14-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 1
2021-07-31: L vs. [#43WW] Goiti Yamauchi (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Max Rohskopf (2-1-0)
2021-10-17: W vs. [#309LW] Jordan Bailey (8-5-0) via UD ()
2021-08-01: W vs. [#539WW] Jefferson Creighton (6-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:21 of round 1
2020-06-20: L vs. [#148LW] Austin Hubbard (15-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Christopher Gonzalez -175 60.92%
Elo K170 Christopher Gonzalez 1523.68 +77.08 58.71%
Elo Modified Christopher Gonzalez 1514.91 +17.77 51.94%
Glicko-1 Christopher Gonzalez 1499.15 +2.66 50.38%
WHR Max Rohskopf 1493.84 +12.13 51.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Christopher Gonzalez 197, Max Rohskopf 475
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#45] Karl Albrektsson (13-4-0, -135) vs. [#85] Grant Neal (7-1-0, +105)

Last 3 Fights: Karl Albrektsson (2-1-0)
2022-09-23: L vs. [#37LHW] Karl Moore (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:36 of round 2
2021-10-16: W vs. [#24LHW] Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-29: W vs. [*] Vladimir Mishchenko (13-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Grant Neal (2-1-0)
2022-04-22: W vs. [#219LHW] Christian Edwards (5-2-0) via UD ()
2021-09-18: L vs. [#32LHW] Alex Polizzi (10-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-05-21: W vs. [*] Tyree Fortune (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karl Albrektsson -135 54.08%
Elo K170 Karl Albrektsson 1646.72 +187.40 70.19%
Elo Modified Karl Albrektsson 1670.54 +103.80 61.17%
Glicko-1 Karl Albrektsson 1640.98 +94.11 63.22%
WHR Karl Albrektsson 1658.92 +208.74 72.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karl Albrektsson 134, Grant Neal 288
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#93] Jornel Lugo (8-1-0, -355) vs. [#418] Jaylon Bates (6-0-0, +272)

Last 3 Fights: Jornel Lugo (2-1-0)
2022-04-22: L vs. [#21BW] Danny Sabatello (13-2-0) via UD ()
2022-02-25: W vs. [#152BW] Brian Moore (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-08-20: W vs. [#211FW] Keith Lee (8-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jaylon Bates (3-0-0)
2022-07-22: W vs. [#1444BW] Mark Coates (10-8-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-02-19: W vs. [#1095BW] Chris Disonell (6-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3
2021-10-16: W vs. [NA] Raphael Montini de Lima (6-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jornel Lugo -355 74.37%
Elo K170 Jornel Lugo 1517.53 +158.71 67.37%
Elo Modified Jornel Lugo 1561.60 +186.40 69.34%
Glicko-1 Jornel Lugo 1521.54 +201.62 76.14%
WHR Jornel Lugo 1489.38 +209.13 72.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jornel Lugo 288, Jaylon Bates 197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#59] Henry Corrales (20-6-0) vs. [#124] Akhmed Magomedov (10-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Henry Corrales (2-1-0)
2022-01-29: W vs. [#410WW] Aiden Lee (11-7-0) via TUD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-16: W vs. [*] Vladyslav Parubchenko (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-05-07: L vs. [#156FW] Johnny Campbell (22-14-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Akhmed Magomedov (3-0-0)
2022-07-22: W vs. [#670FW] Kevin Boehm (9-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:16 of round 1
2021-08-21: W vs. [#392LW] Ilyar Askhanov (13-4-0) via UD ()
2020-11-19: W vs. [#229FW] Abdul Azim Badakhshi (13-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Henry Corrales 1689.82 +58.99 56.70%
Elo Modified Henry Corrales 1684.13 +20.51 52.24%
Glicko-1 Henry Corrales 1675.42 +16.57 52.38%
WHR Akhmed Magomedov 1655.43 +74.65 58.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Corrales 371, Akhmed Magomedov 197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#62] Steve Mowry (10-0-0, +124) vs. [*] Ali Isaev (9-0-0, -153)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Mowry (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-08-12: NC vs. [#13HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (11-2-0)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#120HW+] Rakim Cleveland (22-15-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:28 of round 1
2021-04-16: W vs. [#564HW+] Shaun Asher (13-5-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ali Isaev (3-0-0)
2019-12-31: W vs. [*] Jared Rosholt (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2019-10-31: W vs. [#40HW+] Denis Goltsov (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2019-10-31: W vs. [#87HW+] Kelvin Tiller (12-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ali Isaev -153 57.53%
Elo K170 Ali Isaev 1853.91 +246.06 75.48%
Elo Modified Ali Isaev 1885.09 +206.02 71.13%
Glicko-1 Ali Isaev 1901.56 +213.19 77.33%
WHR Ali Isaev 1779.70 +121.57 63.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Mowry 176, Ali Isaev 1131
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#950] Isaiah Hokit (2-1-0, -597) vs. [*] Peter Ishiguro (2-1-0, +425)

Last 3 Fights: Isaiah Hokit (2-1-0)
2022-11-18: W vs. [#1869FW] Matias Nader (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [NA] Theodore Macuka (0-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2021-06-25: L vs. [#1291WW] Corey Samuels (4-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Peter Ishiguro (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [NA] Elias Anderson (0-2-0) via UD ()
2019-04-27: L vs. [#482BW] Cass Bell (6-2-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 2:59 of round 2
2019-03-16: W vs. [#1350FW] Matt Hampton (2-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Isaiah Hokit -597 81.80%
Elo K170 Isaiah Hokit 1136.61 +52.33 55.95%
Elo Modified Isaiah Hokit 1243.96 +120.61 62.90%
Glicko-1 Isaiah Hokit 1137.52 +68.81 59.78%
WHR Isaiah Hokit 1133.74 +64.16 57.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Isaiah Hokit 78, Peter Ishiguro 1246
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#52] Darrion Caldwell (15-6-0, +125) vs. [#147] Nikita Mikhailov (9-2-0, -155)
Darrion Caldwell is the All-Time #42 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Darrion Caldwell (0-3-0)
2022-01-29: L vs. [#42BW] Enrique Barzola (19-7-2) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:01 of round 3
2021-05-21: L vs. [#26BW] Leandro Higo (21-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-19: L vs. [#8LW] A.J. McKee (20-1-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Mikhailov (2-1-0)
2022-04-22: L vs. [#42BW] Enrique Barzola (19-7-2) via UD ()
2022-01-29: W vs. [#673BW] Blaine Shutt (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 3
2021-10-23: W vs. [#152BW] Brian Moore (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nikita Mikhailov -155 57.76%
Elo K170 Darrion Caldwell 1659.36 +114.86 62.83%
Elo Modified Darrion Caldwell 1728.35 +214.84 71.92%
Glicko-1 Darrion Caldwell 1738.64 +249.04 80.74%
WHR Darrion Caldwell 1627.08 +151.64 66.66%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darrion Caldwell 371, Nikita Mikhailov 288
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#44] Lorenz Larkin (24-7-0, +182) vs. [#48] Mukhamed Berkhamov (15-1-0, -232)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-07-22: NC vs. [#48WW] Mukhamed Berkhamov (15-1-0)
2022-05-06: W vs. [#96MW] Kyle Stewart (15-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2021-05-07: W vs. [#53LHW] Rafael Carvalho (16-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mukhamed Berkhamov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-07-22: NC vs. [#44WW] Lorenz Larkin (24-7-0)
2021-10-16: W vs. [#95WW] Jaleel Willis (16-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2019-08-31: W vs. [#126MW] Ciro Rodrigues (24-12-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mukhamed Berkhamov -232 66.33%
Elo K170 Lorenz Larkin 2014.37 +96.99 60.90%
Elo Modified Lorenz Larkin 1928.36 +13.42 51.47%
Glicko-1 Mukhamed Berkhamov 1976.25 +40.81 55.85%
WHR Mukhamed Berkhamov 1907.37 +90.43 60.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lorenz Larkin 197, Mukhamed Berkhamov 197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#55] Neiman Gracie (11-4-0, -317) vs. [#196] Dante Schiro (9-4-0, +247)

Last 3 Fights: Neiman Gracie (1-2-0)
2022-08-12: L vs. [#43WW] Goiti Yamauchi (28-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 2
2022-02-19: L vs. [#21WW] Logan Storley (14-1-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#221WW] Mark Lemminger (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbow) in 1:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dante Schiro (1-2-0)
2022-09-23: L vs. [#135WW] Luca Poclit (8-1-0) via Technical Submission (Reverse Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:31 of round 2
2022-04-22: W vs. [#897WW] Scotty Hao (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2021-08-20: L vs. [#21WW] Logan Storley (14-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Neiman Gracie -317 72.51%
Elo K170 Neiman Gracie 1630.22 +240.07 74.97%
Elo Modified Neiman Gracie 1647.96 +121.92 63.04%
Glicko-1 Neiman Gracie 1701.27 +151.15 70.48%
WHR Neiman Gracie 1659.16 +184.09 69.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Neiman Gracie 176, Dante Schiro 134
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Johnny Eblen
Highest Stored DD Rating: Johnny Eblen
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Johnny Eblen vs. Anatoly Tokov
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Johnny Eblen vs. Anatoly Tokov
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2023-1-29

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