Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev (12-10-2022)

Dec 5, 2022
Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#2] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-0, +226) vs. [#6] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-0, -292)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#10LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3
2021-10-30: L vs. [#3LHW] Glover Teixeira (33-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2
2021-03-06: W vs. [#2MW] Israel Adesanya (23-2-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2022-03-12: W vs. [#13LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -292 70.83%
Elo K170 Jan Blachowicz 2220.08 +78.45 58.87%
Elo Modified Jan Blachowicz 2191.26 +50.75 55.53%
Glicko-1 Jan Blachowicz 2298.43 +59.09 58.42%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2038.11 +7.48 50.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 210, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#55] Jared Gordon (19-5-0, +204) vs. [#62] Paddy Pimblett (19-3-0, -258)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#98LW] Leonardo Santos (18-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#12LW] Grant Dawson (19-1-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-10-02: W vs. [#79LW] Joe Solecki (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Paddy Pimblett (3-0-0)
2022-07-23: W vs. [#205LW] Jordan Leavitt (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#210LW] Rodrigo Vargas (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-09-04: W vs. [*] Luigi Vendramini (9-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Paddy Pimblett -258 68.66%
Elo K170 Jared Gordon 1831.54 +62.66 57.11%
Elo Modified Jared Gordon 1799.27 +21.54 52.36%
Glicko-1 Paddy Pimblett 1865.38 +97.78 63.71%
WHR Paddy Pimblett 1812.26 +93.20 60.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 112, Paddy Pimblett 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (180)
[#25WW] Alex Morono (22-7-0, +154) vs. [#40WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-6-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (3-0-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#117WW] Matthew Semelsberger (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#140WW] Mickey Gall (7-5-0) via UD ()
2021-09-04: W vs. [#110WW] David Zawada (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32WW] Michel Pereira (29-11-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#6WW] Geoff Neal (15-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#75WW] Miguel Baeza (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Santiago Ponzinibbio -186 62.28%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1872.69 +90.59 60.20%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1893.96 +3.26 50.36%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1955.72 +21.43 53.08%
WHR Alex Morono 1777.46 +19.41 52.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 133, Santiago Ponzinibbio 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Darren Till (18-4-1, +150) vs. [#21] Dricus Du Plessis (17-2-0, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Till (1-2-0)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 3
2020-07-25: L vs. [#3MW] Robert Whittaker (24-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-11-02: W vs. [*] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#24MW] Brad Tavares (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#135WW] Trevin Giles (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#130MW] Markus Perez (13-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dricus Du Plessis -184 61.82%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 1943.61 +13.08 51.49%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 1939.06 +57.81 56.29%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 1989.57 +79.71 61.27%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 1905.18 +201.16 71.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Till 462, Dricus Du Plessis 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#16] Bryce Mitchell (15-0-0, +116) vs. [#18] Ilia Topuria (12-0-0, -143)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (3-0-0)
2022-03-05: W vs. [#30FW] Edson Barboza (22-11-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#54FW] Andre Fili (22-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#134FW] Charles Rosa (14-8-0) via UD (30-24, 30-25, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2022-03-19: W vs. [#105LW] Jai Herbert (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 2
2021-07-10: W vs. [#50FW] Ryan Hall (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 1
2020-12-05: W vs. [#22FW] Damon Jackson (22-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ilia Topuria -143 55.96%
Elo K170 Bryce Mitchell 1921.14 +58.55 56.65%
Elo Modified Bryce Mitchell 1925.75 +53.42 55.82%
Glicko-1 Ilia Topuria 1944.76 +26.92 53.87%
WHR Ilia Topuria 1897.96 +81.69 59.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryce Mitchell 280, Ilia Topuria 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#55] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-3-0, -308) vs. [#146] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-5-0, +235)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (0-3-0)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#16MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:42 of round 2
2021-05-22: L vs. [#14MW] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dalcha Lungiambula (0-3-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#62MW] Punahele Soriano (9-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-03-12: L vs. [#100MW] Cody Brundage (8-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2021-09-04: L vs. [#70MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Edmen Shahbazyan -308 71.66%
Elo K170 Edmen Shahbazyan 1609.35 +261.00 76.72%
Elo Modified Edmen Shahbazyan 1624.70 +216.19 72.04%
Glicko-1 Edmen Shahbazyan 1651.66 +272.61 82.77%
WHR Edmen Shahbazyan 1528.81 +196.11 71.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edmen Shahbazyan 399, Dalcha Lungiambula 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#42LW] Alexander Hernandez (13-5-0, +137) vs. [#58] Billy Quarantillo (16-4-0, -168)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (1-2-0)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#17LW] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-10-02: W vs. [#339LW] Mike Breeden (10-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:20 of round 1
2021-02-27: L vs. [#26LW] Thiago Moises (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#20FW] Shane Burgos (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#302LW] Gabriel Benitez (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 3
2020-12-12: L vs. [*] Gavin Tucker (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Billy Quarantillo -168 59.77%
Elo K170 Alexander Hernandez 1663.80 +27.74 53.16%
Elo Modified Alexander Hernandez 1662.97 +19.25 52.11%
Glicko-1 Billy Quarantillo 1717.24 +4.37 50.63%
WHR Alexander Hernandez 1630.56 +18.60 52.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 301, Billy Quarantillo 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#133] T.J. Brown (16-9-0, -106) vs. [#177] Erik Silva (9-1-0, -117)

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Brown (2-1-0)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#60FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-15: W vs. [#134FW] Charles Rosa (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#149FW] Kai Kamaka III (9-5-1) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Erik Silva (3-0-0)
2022-08-09: W vs. [#703BW] Anvar Boynazarov (4-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-02-11: W vs. [#609FW] Edgar Garcia Cabello (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:50 of round 1
2021-08-06: W vs. [#632LW] Daniel Vega (12-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Erik Silva -117 51.16%
Elo K170 Erik Silva 1523.18 +109.30 62.23%
Elo Modified Erik Silva 1540.08 +136.42 64.50%
Glicko-1 Erik Silva 1574.62 +184.93 74.36%
WHR Erik Silva 1556.48 +194.46 70.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: T.J. Brown 168, Erik Silva 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (12-4-0, -173) vs. [#14] Chris Daukaus (12-5-0, +141)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2022-06-04: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#29HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (1-2-0)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#7HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1
2021-09-25: W vs. [#93HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:23 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jairzinho Rozenstruik -173 60.43%
Elo K170 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1746.00 +32.62 53.72%
Elo Modified Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1766.83 +37.85 54.13%
Glicko-1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1815.28 +47.19 56.75%
WHR Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1706.88 +60.43 56.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 189, Chris Daukaus 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#23] Chris Curtis (29-9-0, +132) vs. [#39] Joaquin Buckley (15-5-0, -162)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (2-1-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#14MW] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#77MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#18MW] Brendan Allen (20-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 1:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (2-1-0)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#16MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#64MW] Albert Duraev (15-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2022-02-19: W vs. [#78MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -162 58.92%
Elo K170 Chris Curtis 1844.70 +158.24 67.33%
Elo Modified Chris Curtis 1879.38 +212.72 71.73%
Glicko-1 Chris Curtis 1955.68 +226.44 78.64%
WHR Chris Curtis 1792.08 +165.43 68.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Curtis 140, Joaquin Buckley 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#90] Vinicius Salvador (14-4-0) vs. [#309] Daniel Lacerda (12-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Salvador (3-0-0)
2022-08-02: W vs. [#383FLY] Shannon Ross (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [NA] Wallace Vampirinho (0-1-0) via TKO in 2:38 of round 1
2020-12-06: W vs. [#545FW] Tarcizio Gomes Ribeiro (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Lacerda (0-3-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#93FLY] Victor Altamirano (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#99FLY] Francisco Figueiredo (13-5-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:18 of round 1
2021-10-23: L vs. [#27FLY] Jeff Molina (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:46 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Vinicius Salvador 1478.96 +206.98 72.03%
Elo Modified Vinicius Salvador 1481.13 +160.34 66.86%
Glicko-1 Vinicius Salvador 1543.95 +252.34 81.04%
WHR Vinicius Salvador 1486.49 +189.53 70.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vinicius Salvador 130, Daniel Lacerda 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#285] Jay Perrin (10-6-0, +191) vs. [#302] Raul Rosas Jr. (6-0-0, -244)

Last 3 Fights: Jay Perrin (1-2-0)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#187BW] Qileng Aori (25-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-19: L vs. [#48BW] Mario Bautista (11-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-09-17: W vs. [#344BW] Josh Smith (10-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (3-0-0)
2022-09-20: W vs. [#663LW] Mando Gutierrez (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-24: W vs. [NA] Andres Portocarrero Pined (0-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2022-05-27: W vs. [#1050BW] Jose Penaloza Romualdo (2-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -244 67.36%
Elo K170 Raul Rosas Jr. 1385.08 +75.64 58.55%
Elo Modified Raul Rosas Jr. 1436.46 +97.15 60.47%
Glicko-1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1405.94 +35.29 55.06%
WHR Jay Perrin 1379.34 +49.23 55.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jay Perrin 112, Raul Rosas Jr. 81
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#29] Ovince St. Preux (26-16-0, -109) vs. [#131] Antonio Trocoli (13-3-0, -113)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #50 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#44LHW] Mauricio Rua (27-13-1) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#39HW+] Tanner Boser (20-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
2020-12-05: L vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-21: W vs. [#394LHW] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [#394LHW] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-07-09: NC vs. [#253LHW] Kenneth Bergh (9-1-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Antonio Trocoli -113 50.42%
Elo K170 Ovince St. Preux 1626.05 +154.21 66.92%
Elo Modified Ovince St. Preux 1642.88 +137.21 64.58%
Glicko-1 Ovince St. Preux 1649.79 +141.52 69.31%
WHR Ovince St. Preux 1623.30 +145.78 66.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 217, Antonio Trocoli 384
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#319] Cameron Saaiman (6-0-0, -374) vs. [#468] Steven Koslow (6-0-0, +282)

Last 3 Fights: Cameron Saaiman (3-0-0)
2022-08-23: W vs. [#863BW] Josh Wang Kim (5-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:52 of round 3
2022-06-04: W vs. [#800BW] Sindile Manengela (8-8-0) via UD ()
2022-03-05: W vs. [#967BW] Roevan De Beer (5-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Steven Koslow (3-0-0)
2022-07-16: W vs. [#1316BW] James Dunn (5-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2021-11-06: W vs. [NA] Marcelo Willian (1-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2021-03-13: W vs. [*] Anthony Retic (6-8-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cameron Saaiman -374 75.08%
Elo K170 Cameron Saaiman 1368.71 +65.41 57.42%
Elo Modified Cameron Saaiman 1398.41 +43.74 54.77%
Glicko-1 Cameron Saaiman 1421.67 +68.60 59.74%
WHR Steven Koslow 1359.04 +1.82 50.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cameron Saaiman 109, Steven Koslow 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jan Blachowicz
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jan Blachowicz
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2022-12-8

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