Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac (02-04-2023)

Jan 31, 2023
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0, +183) vs. [#19] Sergey Spivak (15-3-0, -235)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #25 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#4HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (17-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1
2022-02-12: L vs. [#6HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#16HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#29HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#60HW+] Greg Hardy (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2021-09-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Tom Aspinall (12-3-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergey Spivak -235 66.49%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 1828.30 +79.80 59.01%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 1841.62 +74.86 58.12%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 1888.97 +87.75 62.37%
WHR Derrick Lewis 1769.92 +67.87 57.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 189, Sergey Spivak 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#35] Da Un Jung (15-3-1, -249) vs. [#44] Devin Clark (13-7-0, +196)

Last 3 Fights: Da Un Jung (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#19LHW] Dustin Jacoby (18-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:13 of round 1
2021-11-13: W vs. [#36LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (11-3-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:04 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#48LHW] William Knight (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#27LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (12-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2022-04-16: W vs. [#48LHW] William Knight (11-4-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:21 of round 3
2021-09-18: L vs. [#42LHW] Ion Cutelaba (16-9-1) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Da Un Jung -249 67.86%
Elo K170 Da Un Jung 1675.13 +115.21 62.86%
Elo Modified Da Un Jung 1695.96 +93.75 60.12%
Glicko-1 Da Un Jung 1732.47 +123.80 67.10%
WHR Da Un Jung 1659.44 +104.34 61.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Da Un Jung 203, Devin Clark 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#12] Marcin Tybura (23-7-0, -143) vs. [#15] Blagoy Ivanov (19-4-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#35HW+] Alexander Romanov (16-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (35-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-06-05: W vs. [*] Walt Harris (13-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Blagoy Ivanov (1-2-0)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#23HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (20-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#29HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-5-1) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#8HW+] Derrick Lewis (26-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcin Tybura -143 55.85%
Elo K170 Marcin Tybura 1914.92 +93.58 60.53%
Elo Modified Blagoy Ivanov 1917.01 +14.45 51.58%
Glicko-1 Blagoy Ivanov 1987.30 +55.55 57.93%
WHR Blagoy Ivanov 1784.21 +9.13 51.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 168, Blagoy Ivanov 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#423] Kyle Nelson (13-5-0, +154) vs. [*] Doo Ho Choi (14-4-0, -192)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (1-2-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#101LW] Jai Herbert (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#26FW] Billy Quarantillo (17-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:07 of round 3
2019-09-21: W vs. [*] Marco Polo Reyes (10-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Doo Ho Choi (0-3-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#44FW] Charles Jourdain (13-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
2018-01-14: L vs. [#57LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-21-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:36 of round 2
2016-12-10: L vs. [#33BW] Cub Swanson (28-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Doo Ho Choi -192 62.54%
Elo K170 Doo Ho Choi 1584.15 +178.44 69.32%
Elo Modified Doo Ho Choi 1599.38 +163.37 67.15%
Glicko-1 Doo Ho Choi 1624.37 +226.44 78.64%
WHR Doo Ho Choi 1451.75 +71.44 58.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Nelson 196, Doo Ho Choi 1141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#260] Yusaku Kinoshita (6-1-0, -330) vs. [#267] Adam Fugitt (8-3-0, +250)

Last 3 Fights: Yusaku Kinoshita (2-1-0)
2022-08-30: W vs. [#817WW] Jose Henrique Souza (5-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 3
2022-04-29: W vs. [#387WW] Akihiro Murayama (23-12-9) via KO (Flying Knee) in 1:48 of round 1
2021-11-28: L vs. [#377WW] Ryuichiro Sumimura (20-7-1) via Disqualification (Fence Grabbing) in 2:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Adam Fugitt (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#63WW] Michael Morales (14-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2022-02-25: W vs. [#332LW] Solomon Renfro (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 1
2019-11-16: W vs. [#689LW] Devon Brock (10-6-0) via TKO in 1:44 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yusaku Kinoshita -330 72.87%
Elo K170 Yusaku Kinoshita 1474.18 +106.33 61.91%
Elo Modified Yusaku Kinoshita 1557.61 +147.55 65.61%
Glicko-1 Yusaku Kinoshita 1524.32 +98.77 63.84%
WHR Yusaku Kinoshita 1455.03 +42.06 54.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yusaku Kinoshita 158, Adam Fugitt 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#189] Jeka Asparido Saragih (13-2-0, -103) vs. [#218] Anshul Jubli (6-0-0, -122)

Last 3 Fights: Jeka Asparido Saragih (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#408LW] Won Bin Ki (15-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:41 of round 1
2022-06-09: W vs. [#757LW] Pawan Maan Singh (7-3-1) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 2:24 of round 3
2022-05-21: W vs. [#891LW] Hatoropan Simbolon (6-5-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:04 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anshul Jubli (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#220LW] Kyung Pyo Kim (11-4-0) via SD ()
2021-09-24: W vs. [*] Mohammad Mahmoudian (2-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in of round 1
2020-12-15: W vs. [#595LW] Srikant Sekhar (7-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anshul Jubli -122 51.99%
Elo K170 Jeka Asparido Saragih 1584.31 +65.82 57.46%
Elo Modified Jeka Asparido Saragih 1608.77 +61.11 56.65%
Glicko-1 Jeka Asparido Saragih 1655.47 +183.00 74.15%
WHR Jeka Asparido Saragih 1567.21 +131.35 64.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeka Asparido Saragih 104, Anshul Jubli 104
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#90] Jeong Yeong Lee (9-1-0, -259) vs. [#98] Zha Yi (21-3-0, +203)

Last 3 Fights: Jeong Yeong Lee (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#278FW] Kai Lu (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2022-06-10: W vs. [#335LW] Xie Bin (9-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:36 of round 1
2019-09-08: W vs. [#346FW] Hae Jin Park (10-2-0) via TKO in 0:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Zha Yi (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#107FW] Koyomi Matsushima (13-6-0) via SD ()
2022-06-09: W vs. [#252LW] Keisuke Sasu (10-2-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:14 of round 1
2021-09-12: W vs. [#556LW] Jingtao Li (7-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:58 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jeong Yeong Lee -259 68.61%
Elo K170 Zha Yi 1667.80 +75.05 58.49%
Elo Modified Zha Yi 1597.87 +12.93 51.41%
Glicko-1 Jeong Yeong Lee 1652.63 +42.78 56.13%
WHR Jeong Yeong Lee 1661.53 +97.67 60.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeong Yeong Lee 104, Zha Yi 104
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#85BW] Rinya Nakamura (6-0-0, -449) vs. [#128BW] Toshiomi Kazama (10-2-0, +324)

Last 3 Fights: Rinya Nakamura (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#250BW] Shohei Nose (9-3-2) via KO (Punches) in 2:21 of round 1
2022-06-10: W vs. [#398BW] Gugun Gusman (9-4-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 3:24 of round 1
2022-04-24: W vs. [#121FLY] Aleandro Caetano (23-8-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Toshiomi Kazama (2-1-0)
2022-06-09: W vs. [#157BW] Keremuaili Maimaitituohet (29-12-0) via UD ()
2022-04-24: L vs. [#279BW] Shoji Saito (5-2-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:06 of round 2
2022-01-23: W vs. [#445BW] Naoki Ueda (9-5-1) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rinya Nakamura -449 77.62%
Elo K170 Rinya Nakamura 1561.26 +86.75 59.78%
Elo Modified Rinya Nakamura 1626.21 +171.72 67.95%
Glicko-1 Rinya Nakamura 1628.73 +156.73 71.14%
WHR Rinya Nakamura 1537.88 +156.13 67.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rinya Nakamura 104, Toshiomi Kazama 240
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#73] Hyun Sung Park (7-0-0, -197) vs. [#102] Seung Guk Choi (6-1-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Hyun Sung Park (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#171FLY] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-06-10: W vs. [#348FLY] Jeremia Siregar (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:56 of round 1
2021-12-30: W vs. [#577FLY] Joo Hwan Kim (6-4-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Seung Guk Choi (3-0-0)
2022-10-23: W vs. [#264FLY] Lun Qiu (16-9-0) via UD ()
2022-06-09: W vs. [#173FLY] Rama Supandhi (8-4-0) via UD ()
2020-02-29: W vs. [#440FLY] Seung Chul Lee (4-1-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 2:32 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hyun Sung Park -197 63.11%
Elo K170 Hyun Sung Park 1499.44 +86.25 59.73%
Elo Modified Hyun Sung Park 1543.59 +118.32 62.67%
Glicko-1 Hyun Sung Park 1551.45 +136.57 68.70%
WHR Hyun Sung Park 1492.57 +67.35 57.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyun Sung Park 104, Seung Guk Choi 104
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#95] Ji Yeon Kim (9-6-2, -273) vs. [#113] Mandy Bohm (7-2-0, +210)

Last 3 Fights: Ji Yeon Kim (0-3-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#27BW] Joselyne Edwards (12-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2022-02-26: L vs. [#32FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#37FLY] Molly McCann (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mandy Bohm (1-2-0)
2022-07-23: L vs. [#59FLY] Victoria Leonardo (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-09-18: L vs. [#51FLY] Ariane Lipski (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-10-01: W vs. [*] Griet Eeckhout (6-4-1) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ji Yeon Kim -273 69.40%
Elo K170 Mandy Bohm 1189.07 +85.14 59.60%
Elo Modified Mandy Bohm 1259.92 +57.83 56.30%
Glicko-1 Mandy Bohm 1222.76 +17.51 52.52%
WHR Ji Yeon Kim 1216.06 +75.94 58.59%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ji Yeon Kim 189, Mandy Bohm 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#46] Jun Yong Park (15-5-0, -209) vs. [#100] Denis Tiuliulin (10-6-0, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#179MW] Joseph Holmes (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#38MW] Eryk Anders (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#40MW] Gregory Rodrigues (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Denis Tiuliulin (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#141MW] Jamie Pickett (13-8-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:52 of round 2
2022-03-26: L vs. [#48MW] Aliaskhab Khizriev (15-0-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:58 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [#118MW] Juscelino Ferreira Caetan (12-3-0) via TKO in 3:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jun Yong Park -209 64.27%
Elo K170 Jun Yong Park 1697.81 +276.82 77.98%
Elo Modified Jun Yong Park 1680.73 +220.92 72.45%
Glicko-1 Jun Yong Park 1667.00 +151.96 70.57%
WHR Jun Yong Park 1637.83 +121.02 63.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 98, Denis Tiuliulin 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#33] Tatsuro Taira (12-0-0, -1254) vs. [#72] Jesus Santos Aguilar (8-1-0, +710)
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #48 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#90FLY] C.J. Vergara (10-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-14: W vs. [#298FLY] Carlos Candelario (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#246FLY] Alfredo Muaiad (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jesus Santos Aguilar (3-0-0)
2022-08-23: W vs. [#231FLY] Erisson Ferreira da Silva (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:56 of round 3
2021-07-23: W vs. [#711BW] Cristian Barraza (8-8-0) via UD ()
2021-05-07: W vs. [*] Jaime Alvarez (8-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -1254 88.23%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1724.00 +183.76 69.84%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1736.63 +184.93 69.20%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1779.47 +191.67 75.09%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1695.62 +182.68 69.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tatsuro Taira 112, Jesus Santos Aguilar 165
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Sergey Spivak
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Sergey Spivak
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Unbelievable [*****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2023-2-2

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