Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland (12-17-2022)

Dec 12, 2022
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4] Jared Cannonier (15-6-0, +101) vs. [#11] Sean Strickland (25-4-0, -124)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#2MW] Israel Adesanya (23-2-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)
2022-02-12: W vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (23-8-0) via KO (Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2
2021-08-21: W vs. [*] Kelvin Gastelum (16-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1MW/#9DD/#9P4P] Alex Pereira (7-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#15MW] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)
2021-07-31: W vs. [*] Uriah Hall (17-11-0) via UD (50-44, 49-46, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Strickland -124 52.66%
Elo K170 Jared Cannonier 2076.03 +101.05 61.34%
Elo Modified Jared Cannonier 2040.93 +131.66 64.02%
Glicko-1 Jared Cannonier 2157.52 +267.30 82.32%
WHR Jared Cannonier 1898.16 +9.73 51.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 168, Sean Strickland 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#14] Arman Tsarukyan (18-3-0, -171) vs. [#33] Damir Ismagulov (24-1-0, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#10LW] Mateusz Gamrot (21-2-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#37LW] Joel Alvarez (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#94LW] Christos Giagos (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Damir Ismagulov (3-0-0)
2022-06-18: W vs. [#50LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#95LW] Rafael Alves (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#26LW] Thiago Moises (16-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -171 60.22%
Elo K170 Damir Ismagulov 2018.17 +90.86 60.23%
Elo Modified Damir Ismagulov 1956.49 +26.98 52.95%
Glicko-1 Arman Tsarukyan 1996.25 +23.15 53.33%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 1931.90 +48.08 55.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arman Tsarukyan 175, Damir Ismagulov 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#17] Amir Albazi (15-1-0, -444) vs. [#62] Alessandro Costa (12-2-0, +329)

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (3-0-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#99FLY] Francisco Figueiredo (13-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1
2021-01-23: W vs. [#44FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#74FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alessandro Costa (3-0-0)
2022-10-14: W vs. [#1336BW] Carlos Gomez (6-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:12 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#130FLY] Andres Luna (12-1-0) via SD ()
2021-11-05: W vs. [#448FLY] Enrique Gonzalez (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amir Albazi -444 77.78%
Elo K170 Amir Albazi 1729.56 +108.05 62.10%
Elo Modified Amir Albazi 1735.56 +141.27 64.99%
Glicko-1 Amir Albazi 1786.17 +181.08 73.93%
WHR Amir Albazi 1712.00 +168.85 68.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amir Albazi 119, Alessandro Costa 64
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#28] Julian Erosa (28-9-0, -191) vs. [#40] Alex Caceres (19-13-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (3-0-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#59FW] Hakeem Dawodu (13-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#91FW] Steven Peterson (19-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-04: W vs. [#45FW] Charles Jourdain (13-6-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:56 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2022-03-12: L vs. [#22FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-10-23: W vs. [#97FW] Seung Woo Choi (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 2
2021-02-27: W vs. [#257LW] Kevin Croom (24-15-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Erosa -191 62.41%
Elo K170 Julian Erosa 1833.96 +135.49 65.00%
Elo Modified Julian Erosa 1779.67 +63.37 56.89%
Glicko-1 Julian Erosa 1795.11 +55.12 57.87%
WHR Julian Erosa 1696.96 +31.89 53.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Erosa 98, Alex Caceres 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Caceres leads 3-2
.

Lightweight (155)
[#19] Bobby Green (29-13-1, +132) vs. [#24] Drew Dober (25-11-0, -163)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-1-0)
2022-02-26: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#5P4P] Islam Makhachev (23-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1
2022-02-12: W vs. [#52LW] Nasrat Haqparast (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Al Iaquinta (15-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#95LW] Rafael Alves (20-11-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 1:30 of round 3
2022-03-12: W vs. [#106LW] Terrance McKinney (13-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:17 of round 1
2021-06-12: L vs. [#59LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drew Dober -163 58.98%
Elo K170 Drew Dober 1846.51 +30.95 53.53%
Elo Modified Drew Dober 1825.39 +31.52 53.44%
Glicko-1 Drew Dober 1898.18 +51.57 57.37%
WHR Drew Dober 1830.85 +49.09 55.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 294, Drew Dober 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#33] Michal Oleksiejczuk (19-5-0, -275) vs. [#99] Cody Brundage (8-2-0, +221)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#74MW] Sam Alvey (33-18-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:56 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#20LHW] Dustin Jacoby (18-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#142LHW] Shamil Gamzatov (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (2-1-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#171MW] Tresean Gore (4-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#148MW] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#141MW] Nick Maximov (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michal Oleksiejczuk -275 70.18%
Elo K170 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1688.08 +218.84 73.10%
Elo Modified Michal Oleksiejczuk 1684.34 +157.62 66.60%
Glicko-1 Michal Oleksiejczuk 1725.46 +197.14 75.67%
WHR Michal Oleksiejczuk 1639.72 +204.43 71.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michal Oleksiejczuk 133, Cody Brundage 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#27] Cory McKenna (7-2-0, +152) vs. [#38] Cheyanne Vlismas (7-2-0, -188)

Last 3 Fights: Cory McKenna (2-1-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#116SW] Miranda Granger (7-3-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2022-03-19: L vs. [#44SW] Elise Reed (6-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-14: W vs. [#54SW] Kay Hansen (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Cheyanne Vlismas (2-1-0)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#102SW] Mallory Martin (7-6-0) via UD ()
2021-07-31: W vs. [#90SW] Gloria de Paula (6-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2021-03-20: L vs. [*] Montserrat Ruiz (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cheyanne Vlismas -188 62.19%
Elo K170 Cory McKenna 1412.88 +41.37 54.71%
Elo Modified Cory McKenna 1502.13 +111.77 61.99%
Glicko-1 Cory McKenna 1483.66 +127.39 67.55%
WHR Cory McKenna 1370.79 +69.37 57.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory McKenna 133, Cheyanne Vlismas 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#41] Jake Matthews (18-5-0, -247) vs. [#119] Matthew Semelsberger (10-4-0, +193)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#72WW] Andre Fialho (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2021-03-06: L vs. [#12WW] Sean Brady (15-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:28 of round 3
2020-09-26: W vs. [#109WW] Diego Sanchez (30-14-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Matthew Semelsberger (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#35WW] Alex Morono (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#267WW] A.J. Fletcher (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#1086WW] Martin Sano (4-3-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jake Matthews -247 67.59%
Elo K170 Jake Matthews 1850.35 +291.47 79.11%
Elo Modified Jake Matthews 1838.91 +267.85 76.36%
Glicko-1 Jake Matthews 1881.55 +282.87 83.59%
WHR Jake Matthews 1772.31 +300.84 79.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Matthews 189, Matthew Semelsberger 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#68] Julian Marquez (9-3-0, -167) vs. [#205] Deron Winn (7-3-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (2-1-0)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#26MW] Gregory Rodrigues (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#74MW] Sam Alvey (33-18-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#150MW] Maki Pitolo (15-10-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:17 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Deron Winn (1-2-0)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#72MW] Phil Hawes (12-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:25 of round 2
2020-12-19: W vs. [#270MW] Antonio Arroyo (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#24MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Marquez -167 59.51%
Elo K170 Julian Marquez 1499.36 +77.94 58.81%
Elo Modified Julian Marquez 1565.74 +64.97 57.06%
Glicko-1 Julian Marquez 1613.35 +113.11 65.72%
WHR Julian Marquez 1576.46 +191.98 70.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 182, Deron Winn 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julian Marquez leads 2-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Said Nurmagomedov (16-2-0, -118) vs. [#35] Saidyokub Kakhramonov (10-2-0, -106)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#64BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#32BW] Cody Stamann (20-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1
2020-10-17: W vs. [#561FW] Mark Striegl (18-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Saidyokub Kakhramonov (3-0-0)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#134BW] Ronnie Lawrence (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#106BW] Trevin Jones (14-9-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 3
2021-03-11: W vs. [*] Tycen Lynn (8-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Said Nurmagomedov -118 51.26%
Elo K170 Said Nurmagomedov 1901.83 +223.69 73.53%
Elo Modified Said Nurmagomedov 1885.72 +174.58 68.23%
Glicko-1 Said Nurmagomedov 1934.61 +209.17 76.92%
WHR Said Nurmagomedov 1877.65 +212.34 72.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Said Nurmagomedov 161, Saidyokub Kakhramonov 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#75] Rafa Garcia (14-3-0, -125) vs. [#153] Maheshate Hayisaer (9-1-0, +100)

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#39LW] Drakkar Klose (13-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#171WW] Jesse Ronson (22-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:50 of round 2
2021-11-20: W vs. [#227LW] Natan Levy (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Maheshate Hayisaer (3-0-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#102FW] Steve Garcia (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:14 of round 1
2021-11-02: W vs. [#351LW] Achilles Estremadura (7-1-0) via UD ()
2021-01-14: W vs. [NA] Damu Wu (1-8-0) via KO in 1:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafa Garcia -125 52.63%
Elo K170 Rafa Garcia 1623.97 +115.64 62.91%
Elo Modified Rafa Garcia 1630.05 +139.41 64.80%
Glicko-1 Rafa Garcia 1648.94 +91.79 62.91%
WHR Rafa Garcia 1574.60 +73.70 58.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafa Garcia 140, Maheshate Hayisaer 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#100] Bryan Battle (8-1-0) vs. [#106] Rinat Fakhretdinov (21-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Battle (3-0-0)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#134WW] Takashi Sato (16-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:44 of round 1
2022-02-05: W vs. [#171MW] Tresean Gore (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Gilbert Urbina (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rinat Fakhretdinov (3-0-0)
2022-06-04: W vs. [#364WW] Andreas Michailidis (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-01-15: W vs. [#396MW] Eric Spicely (12-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:55 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#505MW] Jhonny Carlos (11-7-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1685.32 +25.68 52.93%
Elo Modified Rinat Fakhretdinov 1696.16 +16.82 51.84%
Glicko-1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1764.08 +72.87 60.34%
WHR Rinat Fakhretdinov 1760.92 +212.44 72.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Battle 133, Rinat Fakhretdinov 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#7] Manel Kape (17-6-0, -241) vs. [#22] David Dvorak (20-4-0, +189)

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#44FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [#53FLY] Ode Osbourne (11-5-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2021-03-13: L vs. [#5FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-2-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: David Dvorak (2-1-0)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#5FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Juancamilo Ronderos (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 1
2020-09-19: W vs. [#268BW] Jordan Espinosa (15-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -241 67.13%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1691.09 +15.02 51.71%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1721.36 +56.66 56.17%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1797.55 +84.39 61.91%
WHR Manel Kape 1764.33 +93.42 60.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 378, David Dvorak 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#59BW] Sergey Morozov (19-5-0, -244) vs. [#246BW] Journey Newson (11-3-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Morozov (2-1-0)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#68BW] Raulian Paiva (21-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#64BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2021-07-17: W vs. [#387BW] Khalid Taha (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Journey Newson (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#540BW] Fernando Garcia (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-19: L vs. [#580BW] Randy Costa (6-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:41 of round 1
2020-02-08: NC vs. [*] Domingo Pilarte (8-3-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergey Morozov -244 67.36%
Elo K170 Sergey Morozov 1708.99 +270.25 77.47%
Elo Modified Sergey Morozov 1712.08 +252.25 75.10%
Glicko-1 Sergey Morozov 1710.50 +289.28 84.10%
WHR Sergey Morozov 1616.42 +245.91 75.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergey Morozov 175, Journey Newson 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jared Cannonier
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jared Cannonier
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jared Cannonier vs. Sean Strickland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jared Cannonier vs. Sean Strickland
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2022-12-11

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