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Fight Matrix
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez (12-09-2023)

Posted on December 4, 2023 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#11] Yadong Song (20-8-1, -364) vs. [#18] Chris Gutierrez (20-5-2, +275)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#25BW] Ricky Simon (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5
2022-09-17: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#72BW] Heili Alateng (16-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -364 74.62%
Elo K170 Yadong Song 1965.20 +108.42 62.14%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1936.41 +126.63 63.51%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 1985.53 +146.44 69.91%
WHR Yadong Song 1842.05 +136.13 65.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 224, Chris Gutierrez 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12] Khalil Rountree (12-6-0, -236) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (37-18-0, +188)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #30 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#16LHW] Ryan Spann (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -236 66.92%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1904.80 +115.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1848.88 +89.78 59.70%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1923.01 +113.14 65.73%
WHR Anthony Smith 1765.30 +18.37 52.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 119, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#30] Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, -255) vs. [*] Su Mudaerji (16-5-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#129FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#65FLY] Jake Hadley (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#16FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#123FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Allan Nascimento -255 68.37%
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1648.13 +228.47 73.96%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1698.60 +265.11 76.14%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1762.65 +323.38 86.55%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1740.02 +345.78 82.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 329, Su Mudaerji 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan (12-02-2023)

Posted on November 27, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#5] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1, +220) vs. [#15] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0, -282)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#111LW] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -282 70.25%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2196.34 +147.43 66.23%
Elo Modified Beneil Dariush 2149.24 +122.66 63.11%
Glicko-1 Beneil Dariush 2173.64 +80.54 61.39%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 2017.67 +2.17 50.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 175, Arman Tsarukyan 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Beneil Dariush leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#12] Bobby Green (31-14-1, +196) vs. [#28] Jalin Turner (13-7-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (20-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-29: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#41LW] Jared Gordon (20-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#82LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jalin Turner -247 67.81%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1987.99 +276.38 77.95%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1945.00 +160.29 66.86%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 2031.98 +149.20 70.24%
WHR Bobby Green 1868.54 +59.88 56.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 56, Jalin Turner 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1, +118) vs. [#11] Rob Font (20-7-0, -144)
Rob Font is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#59BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2004.69 +113.57 62.69%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1963.69 +96.69 60.43%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2029.42 +90.54 62.74%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1876.76 +97.00 60.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 315, Rob Font 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig (11-18-2023)

Posted on November 13, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10] Brendan Allen (22-5-0, -289) vs. [#17] Paul Craig (17-6-1, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#37MW] Bruno Silva (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3
2022-10-01: W vs. [#41LHW] Krzysztof Jotko (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#22MW] Andre Muniz (23-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2
2023-01-21: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -289 70.77%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2060.02 +235.76 74.59%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2066.88 +226.93 72.98%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2141.48 +237.48 79.69%
WHR Brendan Allen 1930.45 +98.55 61.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Paul Craig 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Michael Morales (15-0-0, -263) vs. [#52] Jake Matthews (19-6-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#33WW] Max Griffin (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#226WW] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#114WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#148WW] Darrius Flowers (12-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 2
2022-12-17: L vs. [#67WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#76WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Morales -263 68.98%
Elo K170 Michael Morales 1826.39 +78.16 58.83%
Elo Modified Michael Morales 1826.35 +73.40 57.96%
Glicko-1 Michael Morales 1887.61 +88.90 62.52%
WHR Michael Morales 1798.42 +140.05 65.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Morales 140, Jake Matthews 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#140] Jordan Leavitt (11-2-0, +196) vs. [#240] Chase Hooper (12-3-1, -249)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#332LW] Victor Martinez (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Knees) in 2:33 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#44LW] Paddy Pimblett (20-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:46 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [#173LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chase Hooper (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#556LW] Nick Fiore (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#59FW] Steve Garcia (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-05-21: W vs. [#169FW] Felipe Dias Colares (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chase Hooper -249 67.86%
Elo K170 Jordan Leavitt 1680.43 +224.96 73.65%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1660.58 +156.05 66.45%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1673.48 +144.39 69.66%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1600.17 +105.77 61.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 266, Chase Hooper 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira (11-11-2023)

Posted on November 6, 2023 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1] Alex Pereira (8-2-0, -144) vs. [*] Jiri Prochazka (29-3-1, +119)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #24 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5
2021-05-01: W vs. [#24LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (19-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -144 56.38%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2199.88 +157.24 67.22%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 2166.26 +150.40 65.89%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2308.96 +242.64 80.17%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 2146.51 +162.22 67.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 105, Jiri Prochazka 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0, -106) vs. [#7] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0, -116)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#10HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-07-30: W vs. [#13HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tom Aspinall (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-8-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: L vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:15 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#4HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tom Aspinall -116 51.06%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 2123.87 +158.88 67.39%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 2107.56 +144.90 65.35%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2218.63 +191.51 75.07%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 2054.35 +129.48 64.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 203, Tom Aspinall 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 1-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Mackenzie Dern (13-3-0, -200) vs. [#8] Jessica Andrade (24-12-0, +162)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#10SW] Angela Hill (16-13-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)
2022-10-01: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via MD (48-47, 48-47, 47-47)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Tecia Torres (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (0-3-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-05-06: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1
2023-02-18: L vs. [#4FLY/#10DD/#6P4P] Erin Blanchfield (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -200 63.59%
Elo K170 Mackenzie Dern 1668.75 +52.63 55.98%
Elo Modified Mackenzie Dern 1685.20 +49.40 55.39%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1693.06 +103.43 64.46%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1652.99 +35.31 54.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 175, Jessica Andrade 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis (11-04-2023)

Posted on October 30, 2023 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#10] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0, -488) vs. [#11] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0, +352)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jailton Almeida (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#108HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2
2022-09-10: W vs. [#138LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (1-2-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#23HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (21-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#8HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jailton Almeida -488 78.95%
Elo K170 Jailton Almeida 1914.35 +85.22 59.61%
Elo Modified Jailton Almeida 1933.26 +103.81 61.17%
Glicko-1 Jailton Almeida 2020.43 +144.43 69.67%
WHR Jailton Almeida 1888.44 +133.23 64.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jailton Almeida 175, Derrick Lewis 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#31] Nicolas Dalby (22-5-1, +384) vs. [#68] Gabriel Bonfim (15-0-0, -537)

Last 3 Fights: Nicolas Dalby (3-0-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#43WW] Muslim Salikhov (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#143MW] Warlley Alves (14-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-23: W vs. [*] Claudio Silva (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#117WW] Trevin Giles (16-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:13 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159WW] Mounir Lazzez (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-09-06: W vs. [#172WW] Trey Waters (8-1-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 4:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Bonfim -537 80.31%
Elo K170 Nicolas Dalby 1902.94 +112.85 62.61%
Elo Modified Nicolas Dalby 1860.66 +53.02 55.78%
Glicko-1 Nicolas Dalby 1883.37 +20.32 52.92%
WHR Gabriel Bonfim 1883.13 +147.29 66.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nicolas Dalby 140, Gabriel Bonfim 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#21] Rodrigo Nascimento (11-1-0, -192) vs. [#53] Dontale Mayes (10-6-0, +155)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#22HW+] Ilir Latifi (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#62LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-07-17: W vs. [*] Alan Baudot (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#71HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-02-25: L vs. [#31HW+] Augusto Sakai (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Hamdy Abdelwahab (6-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodrigo Nascimento -192 62.63%
Elo K170 Rodrigo Nascimento 1708.31 +236.40 74.65%
Elo Modified Rodrigo Nascimento 1667.58 +124.89 63.34%
Glicko-1 Rodrigo Nascimento 1652.43 +79.00 61.18%
WHR Rodrigo Nascimento 1629.37 +140.72 65.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Nascimento 168, Dontale Mayes 154
Previous Match-up Record: Rodrigo Nascimento leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (10-22-2023)

Posted on October 22, 2023 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Islam Makhachev’s second win over Alexander Volkanovski put him in rare ratings air.
    • His post-fight Elo/Glicko ratings are the 2nd highest in MMA history, only beaten by Kamaru Usman’s ratings after his second victory over Colby Covington.
    • His Fight Matrix “standard” rating is also the 2nd highest ever, just behind Israel Adesanya’s after his second fight with Alex Pereira.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 294 (10-21-2023)

Posted on October 16, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#1DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0, -260) vs. [#4/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0, +208)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #14 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #7 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#4LW/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#2LW/#6DD] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 2
2022-02-26: W vs. [#13LW] Bobby Green (31-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#2FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#1FW] Max Holloway (25-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -260 68.98%
Elo K170 Islam Makhachev 2455.71 +65.06 57.38%
Elo Modified Islam Makhachev 2390.30 +64.15 56.97%
Glicko-1 Islam Makhachev 2498.59 +65.68 59.34%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2358.00 +86.02 59.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 252, Alexander Volkanovski 105
Previous Match-up Record: Islam Makhachev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#2WW/#9P4P] Kamaru Usman (20-3-0, +225) vs. [#7] Khamzat Chimaev (12-0-0, -283)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #11 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (1-2-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#1P4P] Leon Edwards (21-3-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#1P4P] Leon Edwards (21-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 4:04 of round 5
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Colby Covington (17-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#11WW] Kevin Holland (25-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#39WW] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khamzat Chimaev -283 70.60%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2305.20 +231.30 74.21%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2282.87 +196.37 70.26%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2382.80 +192.31 75.16%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2141.97 +94.38 60.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 217, Khamzat Chimaev 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1, -361) vs. [#9] Johnny Walker (21-7-0, +273)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-1)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-07-30: W vs. [#13LHW] Anthony Smith (37-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2022-03-12: W vs. [#12LHW] Thiago Santos (22-11-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Anthony Smith (37-18-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#17MW] Paul Craig (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-09-10: W vs. [#26LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -361 74.49%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 2160.52 +228.44 73.95%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 2151.75 +219.08 72.29%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 2253.08 +234.40 79.40%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 2037.57 +138.18 65.28%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 315, Johnny Walker 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Magomed Ankalaev leads 7-3
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Yusuff (10-14-2023)

Posted on October 9, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#20] Edson Barboza (23-11-0, +135) vs. [#27] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0, -164)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#29FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#11FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#9FW] Giga Chikadze (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#267FW] Don Shainis (15-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#28FW] Alex Caceres (21-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#5FW] Arnold Allen (19-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sodiq Yusuff -164 59.34%
Elo K170 Sodiq Yusuff 1880.83 +63.97 57.25%
Elo Modified Sodiq Yusuff 1891.05 +54.90 55.98%
Glicko-1 Sodiq Yusuff 1907.61 +18.38 52.64%
WHR Sodiq Yusuff 1788.59 +3.42 50.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 182, Sodiq Yusuff 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jennifer Maia (21-9-1, -150) vs. [#17] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0, +122)
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#19FLY] Casey ONeill (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#36FLY] Maryna Moroz (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#3FLY/#7DD/#5P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#15FLY] Amanda Ribas (11-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#18FLY] Andrea Lee (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jennifer Maia -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Jennifer Maia 1699.69 +224.17 73.58%
Elo Modified Jennifer Maia 1701.38 +179.55 68.70%
Glicko-1 Jennifer Maia 1687.62 +179.46 73.75%
WHR Jennifer Maia 1588.14 +110.58 62.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jennifer Maia 210, Viviane Araujo 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jennifer Maia leads 4-2
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#13] Jonathan Martinez (18-4-0, -111) vs. [#57] Adrian Yanez (16-4-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#22BW] Said Nurmagomedov (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#37FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#112BW] Vince Morales (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#10BW] Rob Font (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [*] Tony Kelley (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-11-20: W vs. [#37BW] Davey Grant (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -111 50.10%
Elo K170 Jonathan Martinez 1958.75 +259.83 76.62%
Elo Modified Jonathan Martinez 1942.85 +291.33 78.17%
Glicko-1 Jonathan Martinez 1980.85 +285.55 83.80%
WHR Jonathan Martinez 1821.41 +216.79 72.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 217, Adrian Yanez 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Adrian Yanez leads 2-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 300 (10-07-2023)

Posted on October 3, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#19] Usman Nurmagomedov (17-0-0, -1346) vs. [#32] Brent Primus (12-3-0, +643)

Last 3 Fights: Usman Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [*] Ben Henderson (30-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-11-18: W vs. [#25LW] Patricky Freire (25-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-07-22: W vs. [#135LW] Christopher Gonzalez (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brent Primus (2-1-0)
2023-05-12: W vs. [#67LW] Mansour Barnaoui (20-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-06-24: L vs. [#17LW] Alexandr Shabliy (23-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2021-10-16: W vs. [*] Ben Henderson (30-12-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Usman Nurmagomedov -1346 87.36%
Elo K170 Usman Nurmagomedov 1916.92 +38.41 54.38%
Elo Modified Usman Nurmagomedov 1908.77 +19.23 52.10%
Glicko-1 Usman Nurmagomedov 1978.37 +38.94 55.58%
WHR Usman Nurmagomedov 1902.24 +85.35 59.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Usman Nurmagomedov 211, Brent Primus 148
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Cristiane Justino (26-2-0, -546) vs. [#5] Cat Zingano (14-4-0, +350)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Cat Zingano is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#8FW] Arlene Blencowe (15-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#12FW] Sinead Kavanagh (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2021-05-21: W vs. [*] Leslie Smith (12-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (3-0-0)
2023-03-31: W vs. [#15FW] Leah McCourt (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#22FW] Pam Sorenson (9-6-0) via UD (29-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-04-09: W vs. [NA] Olivia Parker (4-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cristiane Justino -546 79.18%
Elo K170 Cristiane Justino 1946.37 +380.37 85.04%
Elo Modified Cristiane Justino 1946.69 +328.65 80.83%
Glicko-1 Cristiane Justino 2013.60 +407.14 91.24%
WHR Cristiane Justino 1945.06 +361.32 83.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 532, Cat Zingano 190
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cat Zingano leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Ryan Bader (31-7-0, -186) vs. [#12] Linton Vassell (23-8-0, +139)
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (40-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2022-05-06: W vs. [*] Cheick Kongo (31-12-2) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-01-29: W vs. [#16HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Linton Vassell (3-0-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#16HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (12-3-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:03 of round 1
2022-04-15: W vs. [#28HW+] Tim Johnson (16-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2021-11-12: W vs. [#39HW+] Tyrell Fortune (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Bader -186 60.84%
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2197.20 +205.47 71.89%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2197.86 +230.04 73.24%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2257.24 +237.61 79.70%
WHR Ryan Bader 2025.44 +101.19 61.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 245, Linton Vassell 211
Previous Match-up Record: Ryan Bader leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green (10-07-2023)

Posted on October 2, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#14] Grant Dawson (20-1-1, -396) vs. [#15] Bobby Green (30-14-1, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#54LW] Mark O. Madsen (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 3
2022-04-30: W vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#51LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#27LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -396 75.82%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 2086.64 +233.58 74.40%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 2032.86 +206.76 71.20%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 2098.90 +206.02 76.60%
WHR Grant Dawson 1976.29 +216.11 72.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 98, Bobby Green 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#31] Joseph Pyfer (11-2-0, -412) vs. [#72] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-5-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [#499MW] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#211MW] Osman Diaz (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#152MW] Claudio Ribeiro (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-02-19: L vs. [#43WW] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#134MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -412 76.52%
Elo K170 Joseph Pyfer 1605.00 +51.48 55.85%
Elo Modified Abdul Razak Alhassan 1617.49 +0.31 50.03%
Glicko-1 Joseph Pyfer 1693.71 +9.20 51.32%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1620.63 +23.05 52.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Pyfer 182, Abdul Razak Alhassan 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Alex Morono (23-8-0, +159) vs. [#43] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (33-15-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:09 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#30WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#69WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#77WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2
2022-09-03: L vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -197 63.20%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1826.35 +107.10 61.99%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1866.43 +160.51 66.88%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1932.49 +159.24 71.43%
WHR Alex Morono 1754.85 +114.87 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 147, Joaquin Buckley 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Stat of the Day: Loss Streaks after Win Streaks

Posted on October 1, 2023 by Jason

After recently realizing that Tony Ferguson had won 12 straight fights, and then lost 6 straight… I started to think, has something like this ever happened before in Pro MMA?  And then I started to wonder if anything WORSE than this had happened?

Though, it is tough to grade “worse” in this case.  If a fighter wins 15 straight, then loses 6, that’s probably worse.  But what if they won 8, then lost 8, is that worse?  You get my point.

Here are some good finds…

  • Kevin Asplund has a mighty impressive case, winning 15 straight, then dropping 5, then winning 1, then dropping 5 more in a row.
  • Allan Zuniga may actually beat Tony, if you count his fight in TUF 22.  His career is especially weird, where he starts out at 13-0, loses the TUF fight, then loses 5 pro fights and has not fought since.
  • Mitsuhisa Sunabe has an active streak to watch.  He won 16 in a row before his current 4 fight losing streak.
  • How about Johnnie Roades?  This guy won 6 straight, then lost 11 in a row!

 

Did I miss anyone?  Let me know in the comments!

Note: Draws and no contests were ignored.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot (09-23-2023)

Posted on September 18, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#7] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0, -146) vs. [#11] Mateusz Gamrot (22-2-0, +117)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#3LW] Justin Gaethje (25-4-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#19WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2021-12-04: W vs. [#74LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:20 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#28LW] Jalin Turner (13-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#5LW] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#13LW] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -146 56.29%
Elo K170 Mateusz Gamrot 2080.59 +103.45 61.60%
Elo Modified Mateusz Gamrot 2023.94 +53.79 55.86%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Gamrot 2066.72 +8.13 51.17%
WHR Mateusz Gamrot 1978.82 +12.03 51.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 189, Mateusz Gamrot 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#11] Dan Ige (17-6-0, +131) vs. [#30] Bryce Mitchell (15-1-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#47FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#43FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2
2022-06-04: L vs. [#13FW] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#4FW] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#19FW] Edson Barboza (23-11-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#58FW] Andre Fili (22-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryce Mitchell -161 58.76%
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1943.22 +121.59 63.54%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1887.08 +66.79 57.26%
Glicko-1 Dan Ige 1940.62 +113.28 65.75%
WHR Bryce Mitchell 1780.65 +5.52 50.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 105, Bryce Mitchell 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2, -312) vs. [#37] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-11-0, +235)
Michelle Waterson-Gomez is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#6SW] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-11-05: L vs. [#8SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
2022-03-05: W vs. [#3SW] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (0-3-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#17SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#8SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2021-05-08: L vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marina Rodriguez -312 71.72%
Elo K170 Marina Rodriguez 1603.41 +228.45 73.96%
Elo Modified Marina Rodriguez 1595.79 +155.11 66.35%
Glicko-1 Marina Rodriguez 1569.11 +135.07 68.52%
WHR Marina Rodriguez 1556.11 +148.01 66.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 140, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 168
Previous Match-up Record: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 (09-16-2023)

Posted on September 11, 2023 by Jason

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-0, +143) vs. [#2/#5DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-0, -175)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#2FLY/#5DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-10-15: W vs. [#16FLY] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#22FLY] Joanne Wood (16-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-06-11: W vs. [#8FLY] Taila Santos (19-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#13FLY] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:00 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -175 60.73%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1896.04 +17.27 51.97%
Elo Modified Alexa Grasso 1872.50 +13.55 51.48%
Glicko-1 Alexa Grasso 1893.34 +36.88 55.29%
WHR Alexa Grasso 1826.87 +31.26 53.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 196, Valentina Shevchenko 196
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#7] Kevin Holland (25-9-0, -114) vs. [#21] Jack Della Maddalena (15-2-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#26WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
2023-04-08: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3
2022-12-03: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#89WW] Bassil Hafez (8-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#34WW] Randy Brown (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-11-19: W vs. [#96WW] Danny Roberts (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -114 50.42%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1995.99 +53.67 56.10%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1994.71 +132.24 64.08%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 2067.29 +162.30 71.79%
WHR Kevin Holland 1853.11 +67.55 57.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 49, Jack Della Maddalena 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#276] Raul Rosas Jr. (7-1-0, -565) vs. [#463] Terrence Mitchell (15-3-0, +373)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#147BW] Christian Rodriguez (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#500FW] Jay Perrin (11-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:44 of round 1
2022-09-20: W vs. [#591FW] Mando Gutierrez (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Terrence Mitchell (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#125BW] Cameron Saaiman (9-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2023-04-28: W vs. [#1229BW] Christian Alexander (1-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#2405FW] Skyler Schlosser (4-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -565 80.07%
Elo K170 Terrence Mitchell 1385.92 +23.26 52.65%
Elo Modified Raul Rosas Jr. 1408.75 +38.06 54.16%
Glicko-1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1411.69 +13.75 51.98%
WHR Raul Rosas Jr. 1380.51 +21.30 52.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raul Rosas Jr. 161, Terrence Mitchell 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland (09-09-2023)

Posted on September 4, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0, -606) vs. [#8] Sean Strickland (27-5-0, +417)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#59MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-5-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -606 81.61%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2253.11 +236.14 74.63%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2239.36 +232.60 73.46%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2286.67 +217.10 77.72%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2106.25 +155.67 67.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Sean Strickland 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 2-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0, -204) vs. [#8] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0, +166)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#18HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#6HW+] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3
2022-02-12: W vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkov -204 64.09%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 1975.43 +170.75 68.57%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 1995.43 +163.30 67.15%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2079.41 +199.98 75.97%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1937.97 +200.93 71.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 182, Tai Tuivasa 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#7] Manel Kape (18-6-0, -381) vs. [#133] Felipe dos Santos (8-0-0, +280)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#32FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#70FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [#55FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-6-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felipe dos Santos (3-0-0)
2022-11-04: W vs. [#310FLY] Hugo Paiva (6-2-0) via UD ()
2022-05-29: W vs. [#521BW] Rafael Montouro Ribeiro (7-3-0) via SD ()
2022-03-06: W vs. [#87FLY] Marcos Degli (9-4-0) via Submission in 0:33 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -381 75.05%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1772.48 +296.09 79.46%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1786.23 +308.51 79.42%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1859.08 +398.22 90.83%
WHR Manel Kape 1791.15 +296.98 79.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 266, Felipe dos Santos 309
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Korean Zombie (08-26-2023)

Posted on August 21, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2] Max Holloway (24-7-0, -829) vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0, +522)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chan Sung Jung is the All-Time #22 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#5FW] Arnold Allen (19-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (15-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (1-2-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 4
2021-06-19: W vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#8FW] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -829 84.73%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2251.02 +261.18 76.73%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2221.35 +267.34 76.32%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2304.21 +327.37 86.81%
WHR Max Holloway 2112.96 +299.21 79.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 133, Chan Sung Jung 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-4
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#14] Ryan Spann (21-8-0, -151) vs. [#16] Anthony Smith (36-18-0, +123)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#9LHW] Nikita Krylov (30-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:38 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#25LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#28LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#14LHW] Ryan Spann (21-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Spann -151 57.29%
Elo K170 Ryan Spann 1830.17 +13.92 51.59%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1824.77 +7.39 50.81%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1921.70 +36.11 55.18%
WHR Anthony Smith 1771.60 +38.06 54.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 168, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Smith leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#18] Alex Caceres (21-13-0, +186) vs. [*] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0, -237)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#55FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#102FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2022-03-12: L vs. [#22FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: L vs. [#7FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#19FW] Edson Barboza (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3
2021-05-01: W vs. [#32FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Giga Chikadze -237 66.79%
Elo K170 Alex Caceres 1877.02 +46.52 55.29%
Elo Modified Alex Caceres 1870.24 +54.97 55.99%
Glicko-1 Alex Caceres 1908.47 +39.80 55.70%
WHR Alex Caceres 1764.82 +65.01 57.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 84, Giga Chikadze 588
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Caceres leads 1-0
.
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