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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira (06-15-2024)

Posted on June 10, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#11] Alex Perez (25-8-0, +162) vs. [#23] Tatsuro Taira (15-0-0, -196)
Alex Perez is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (1-2-0)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#17FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:16 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#147FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#142FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#84FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (10-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -196 63.43%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1822.35 +12.85 51.85%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1821.80 +35.83 55.14%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1874.42 +43.37 56.21%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1786.62 +49.95 57.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Perez 49, Tatsuro Taira 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, -917) vs. [*] Antonio Trocoli (13-3-0, +581)

Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#144MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#134MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-21: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-07-09: NC vs. [*] Kenneth Bergh (9-1-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ikram Aliskerov -917 85.99%
Elo K170 Ikram Aliskerov 1798.61 +326.60 86.76%
Elo Modified Ikram Aliskerov 1835.68 +329.70 86.96%
Glicko-1 Ikram Aliskerov 1910.30 +401.91 91.00%
WHR Ikram Aliskerov 1877.88 +395.78 90.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ikram Aliskerov 238, Antonio Trocoli 937
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#251] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0, -112) vs. [#381] Josh Quinlan (6-2-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Adam Fugitt (1-2-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#82WW] Mike Malott (10-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#530WW] Yusaku Kinoshita (6-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:36 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#23WW] Michael Morales (16-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Josh Quinlan (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#180WW] Danny Barlow (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2023-04-29: L vs. [#125WW] Trey Waters (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Jason Witt (19-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Adam Fugitt -112 50.43%
Elo K170 Adam Fugitt 1432.45 +149.94 70.33%
Elo Modified Adam Fugitt 1460.37 +114.93 65.96%
Glicko-1 Adam Fugitt 1475.20 +144.52 69.68%
WHR Adam Fugitt 1463.81 +209.24 76.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adam Fugitt 371, Josh Quinlan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#16] Asu Almabaev (19-2-0, -397) vs. [#136BW] Jose Johnson (17-8-0, +299)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabaev (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#86FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#93FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 2
2022-11-26: W vs. [#2064BW] Kenneth Maningat (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jose Johnson (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#186BW] Chad Anheliger (13-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3
2023-08-12: L vs. [#83BW] DaMon Blackshear (14-6-1) via Submission (Twister) in 3:47 of round 1
2022-08-16: W vs. [#280BW] Jack Cartwright (11-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Asu Almabaev -397 76.11%
Elo K170 Asu Almabaev 1829.38 +265.02 82.14%
Elo Modified Asu Almabaev 1789.75 +215.41 77.56%
Glicko-1 Asu Almabaev 1819.46 +213.15 77.33%
WHR Asu Almabaev 1730.56 +239.57 79.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Asu Almabaev 98, Jose Johnson 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#41] Douglas Silva de Andrade (29-5-0, -116) vs. [#47] Miles Johns (15-2-0, -105)

Last 3 Fights: Douglas Silva de Andrade (2-1-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#68BW] Cody Stamann (21-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: L vs. [#23BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-12: W vs. [*] Sergey Morozov (20-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Miles Johns (3-0-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#77BW] Cody Gibson (19-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#173BW] Dan Argueta (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#67BW] Vince Morales (15-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Douglas Silva de Andrade -116 51.18%
Elo K170 Miles Johns 1772.92 +3.78 50.54%
Elo Modified Douglas Silva de Andrade 1766.54 +1.45 50.21%
Glicko-1 Douglas Silva de Andrade 1807.70 +45.32 56.48%
WHR Douglas Silva de Andrade 1758.77 +42.30 56.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Douglas Silva de Andrade 399, Miles Johns 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#184] Lucas Almeida (14-3-0, +142) vs. [#202] Timothy Cuamba (8-2-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Lucas Almeida (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#57FW] Andre Fili (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 1
2023-06-17: L vs. [#76FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2022-06-04: W vs. [*] Michael Trizano (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Timothy Cuamba (2-1-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#175LW] Bolaji Oki (9-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-02-02: W vs. [#881FW] Michael Stack (7-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2
2023-08-29: W vs. [#211FW] Mateo Alejandro Vogel (9-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Timothy Cuamba -177 60.72%
Elo K170 Lucas Almeida 1535.07 +120.50 66.68%
Elo Modified Lucas Almeida 1551.38 +13.09 51.88%
Glicko-1 Lucas Almeida 1563.96 +47.60 56.81%
WHR Timothy Cuamba 1473.22 +1.46 50.21%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucas Almeida 182, Timothy Cuamba 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#25] Nathan Maness (15-3-0, -414) vs. [#97] Jimmy Flick (17-7-0, +310)

Last 3 Fights: Nathan Maness (1-2-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#174FLY] Mateus Mendonca (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2022-11-05: L vs. [#10FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (16-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2022-06-25: L vs. [#20BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (17-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Flick (1-2-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#190FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-8-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:17 of round 2
2023-06-17: L vs. [#46FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-01-14: L vs. [#27FLY] Charles Johnson (15-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nathan Maness -414 76.75%
Elo K170 Nathan Maness 1683.69 +154.76 70.91%
Elo Modified Nathan Maness 1687.53 +158.11 71.30%
Glicko-1 Nathan Maness 1728.27 +166.59 72.29%
WHR Nathan Maness 1665.34 +191.64 75.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nathan Maness 252, Jimmy Flick 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#73] Gabriella Fernandes (8-3-0, -235) vs. [#169] Carli Judice (3-1-0, +190)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriella Fernandes (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#34FLY] Tereza Bleda (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-25: L vs. [#17FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (10-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2022-09-30: W vs. [*] Karoline Martins Moreira (9-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Carli Judice (2-1-0)
2023-09-26: L vs. [#112FLY] Ernesta Kareckaite (5-1-1) via SD ()
2023-05-27: W vs. [NA] Monica Medina (5-7-0) via TKO in 3:16 of round 1
2023-03-25: W vs. [NA] Tara Graff (1-4-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:36 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriella Fernandes -235 67.04%
Elo K170 Gabriella Fernandes 1316.43 +231.76 79.15%
Elo Modified Gabriella Fernandes 1396.10 +198.76 75.84%
Glicko-1 Gabriella Fernandes 1358.03 +199.34 75.91%
WHR Gabriella Fernandes 1345.59 +232.70 79.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriella Fernandes 364, Carli Judice 263
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#26] Julia Polastri (12-3-0, +186) vs. [#32] Josefine Lindgren Knutsson (7-0-0, -230)

Last 3 Fights: Julia Polastri (3-0-0)
2023-09-12: W vs. [#140SW] Patricia Alujas (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 2
2023-01-28: W vs. [#237SW] Brenda Gottig (7-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:50 of round 1
2022-11-04: W vs. [#61SW] Bianca Sattelmayer (11-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Josefine Lindgren Knutsson (3-0-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#133SW] Marnic Mann (6-3-0) via UD (30-24, 30-25, 30-27)
2023-08-22: W vs. [#132SW] Isis Verbeek (5-2-0) via UD ()
2023-02-25: W vs. [#59FLY] Jacinta Austin (7-2-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josefine Lindgren Knutsson -230 66.59%
Elo K170 Julia Polastri 1549.44 +4.89 50.70%
Elo Modified Josefine Lindgren Knutsson 1589.38 +23.95 53.44%
Glicko-1 Julia Polastri 1593.32 +115.12 65.98%
WHR Julia Polastri 1509.54 +91.44 62.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julia Polastri 277, Josefine Lindgren Knutsson 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#44] Garrett Armfield (10-3-0, -172) vs. [#172] Brady Hiestand (7-2-0, +142)

Last 3 Fights: Garrett Armfield (2-1-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#40BW] Brad Katona (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#317BW] Toshiomi Kazama (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2022-07-09: L vs. [#47FW] David Onama (12-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brady Hiestand (2-1-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#272BW] Batgerel Danaa (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 3
2022-11-19: W vs. [#843FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#562BW] Ricky Turcios (12-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Garrett Armfield -172 60.48%
Elo K170 Garrett Armfield 1591.20 +85.90 62.12%
Elo Modified Garrett Armfield 1569.82 +67.11 59.54%
Glicko-1 Garrett Armfield 1612.92 +83.01 61.72%
WHR Garrett Armfield 1533.43 +97.69 63.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Garrett Armfield 147, Brady Hiestand 420
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#110] Jeka Saragih (14-3-0, -332) vs. [#471] Westin Wilson (16-9-0, +258)

Last 3 Fights: Jeka Saragih (2-1-0)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#209FW] Lucas Alexander (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#264LW] Anshul Jubli (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:44 of round 2
2022-10-23: W vs. [#210LW] Won Bin Ki (18-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Westin Wilson (1-2-0)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#122FW] Jean Silva (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2023-07-01: L vs. [#20FW] Joanderson Brito (17-3-1) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1
2023-03-03: W vs. [*] Fabricio Franco (8-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jeka Saragih -332 73.34%
Elo K170 Jeka Saragih 1566.15 +245.22 80.41%
Elo Modified Jeka Saragih 1593.26 +256.55 81.41%
Glicko-1 Jeka Saragih 1621.13 +284.95 83.76%
WHR Jeka Saragih 1532.57 +269.09 82.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeka Saragih 210, Westin Wilson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#10] Tagir Ulanbekov (16-2-0, -220) vs. [#18] Joshua Van (10-1-0, +179)

Last 3 Fights: Tagir Ulanbekov (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#32FLY] Cody Durden (16-5-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:25 of round 2
2022-11-05: W vs. [#25FLY] Nathan Maness (15-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:11 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#21FLY] Tim Elliott (20-13-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#72FLY] Felipe Bunes (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#137FLY] Kevin Borjas (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#63FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tagir Ulanbekov -220 65.73%
Elo K170 Tagir Ulanbekov 1811.08 +137.60 68.83%
Elo Modified Tagir Ulanbekov 1798.34 +154.98 70.93%
Glicko-1 Tagir Ulanbekov 1833.34 +133.65 68.34%
WHR Tagir Ulanbekov 1813.75 +312.36 85.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tagir Ulanbekov 182, Joshua Van 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joshua Van leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#191LW] Melquizael Costa (20-7-0, -174) vs. [#113] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-11-0, +143)

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#46FW] Steve Garcia (15-5-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:01 of round 2
2023-07-15: W vs. [#269FW] Austin Lingo (9-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#76LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#46FW] Steve Garcia (15-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2022-11-05: W vs. [*] Darrick Minner (26-14-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:07 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#207LW] T.J. Brown (19-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melquizael Costa -174 60.67%
Elo K170 Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 1546.91 +0.40 50.06%
Elo Modified Melquizael Costa 1573.32 +14.10 52.03%
Glicko-1 Melquizael Costa 1583.93 +14.80 52.13%
WHR Melquizael Costa 1508.10 +5.30 50.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melquizael Costa 189, Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Tagir Ulanbekov
Highest Stored DD Rating: Tagir Ulanbekov
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Miles Johns
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Joshua Van
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2024-6-9

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