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Fight Matrix

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 20, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs Cejudo (02-22-2025)

Posted on February 17, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#8][#7UFC] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0, +215) vs. [#13][#12UFC] Yadong Song (21-9-1, -268)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight and #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#1BW][#4DD][#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (19-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2020-05-09: W vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#24BW] Chris Gutierrez (21-6-2) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -268 69.64%
Elo K170 Henry Cejudo 2117.01 +208.33 76.84%
Elo Modified Henry Cejudo 2108.85 +197.73 75.73%
Glicko-1 Henry Cejudo 2187.57 +227.06 78.70%
WHR Henry Cejudo 1987.79 +131.57 68.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 371, Yadong Song 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Brendan Allen (24-6-0, +227) vs. [#19][#16UFC] Anthony Hernandez (13-2-0, -286)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#29MW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#31MW] Michel Pereira (32-12-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:22 of round 5
2024-02-17: W vs. [#20MW] Roman Kopylov (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#54MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Anthony Hernandez -286 70.78%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2018.80 +24.55 53.53%
Elo Modified Anthony Hernandez 1982.98 +13.50 51.94%
Glicko-1 Anthony Hernandez 2074.70 +37.34 55.35%
WHR Anthony Hernandez 2000.39 +106.00 64.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 147, Anthony Hernandez 126
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Hernandez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brendan Allen leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (140)
[#12BW][#11UFCBW] Rob Font (21-8-0, +136) vs. [#37BW][#27UFCBW] Jean Matsumoto (16-0-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#16BW] Kyler Phillips (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#7BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Matsumoto (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#45BW] Brad Katona (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#206BW] Dan Argueta (9-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#224BW] Kasey Tanner (8-1-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jean Matsumoto -169 59.72%
Elo K170 Rob Font 1924.76 +58.03 58.28%
Elo Modified Rob Font 1907.33 +36.16 55.18%
Glicko-1 Rob Font 1975.48 +93.38 63.12%
WHR Rob Font 1785.24 +10.63 51.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 126, Jean Matsumoto 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 13, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues (02-15-2025)

Posted on February 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0, +152) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0, -184)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#68MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gregory Rodrigues -184 62.01%
Elo K170 Jared Cannonier 1959.16 +106.65 64.88%
Elo Modified Jared Cannonier 1924.11 +33.41 54.79%
Glicko-1 Jared Cannonier 1961.48 +15.14 52.18%
WHR Jared Cannonier 1865.10 +51.89 57.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 175, Gregory Rodrigues 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#16][#12UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-8-0, +313) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1, -417)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#73FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#183FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#55FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Youssef Zalal -417 76.91%
Elo K170 Calvin Kattar 1874.77 +91.45 62.87%
Elo Modified Calvin Kattar 1863.66 +74.96 60.62%
Glicko-1 Calvin Kattar 1913.70 +39.14 55.61%
WHR Youssef Zalal 1773.62 +19.24 52.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 308, Youssef Zalal 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#68][#35UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-4-0, -148) vs. [*] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#298LW] Vinc Pichel (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#213LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#212WW] Evan Elder (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ismael Bonfim -148 56.87%
Elo K170 Ismael Bonfim 1858.94 +287.23 83.93%
Elo Modified Ismael Bonfim 1850.07 +246.48 80.52%
Glicko-1 Ismael Bonfim 1894.65 +260.64 81.77%
WHR Ismael Bonfim 1823.27 +239.80 79.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 287, Nazim Sadykhov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 6, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Top 6 Fighters with the Most Consecutive UFC Title Defenses

Posted on February 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Credit

Consecutive UFC title defenses are a true mark of greatness in mixed martial arts. Only a handful of champions have managed to hold onto their titles while defeating the best fighters in the world, time and time again.

These athletes not only reach the summit of their division but then fend off a constant stream of hungry contenders eager to dethrone them. Their consistent dominance also makes them key figures in the world of UFC betting BetUS, where fans follow the odds closely when these champions step into the Octagon.  Let’s explore the top UFC champions who achieved this remarkable feat, showcasing their dominance and resilience in the Octagon.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Posted on February 3, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dricus Du Plessis -206 64.42%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2342.57 +202.95 76.28%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2265.23 +161.48 71.70%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2353.76 +176.08 73.37%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2149.81 +110.57 65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -116 51.18%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 2044.50 +194.83 75.43%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1998.60 +143.52 69.56%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 2019.82 +144.34 69.65%
WHR Weili Zhang 1911.21 +34.12 54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tallison Teixeira -154 57.91%
Elo K170 Justin Tafa 1439.06 +32.89 54.72%
Elo Modified Justin Tafa 1521.83 +89.07 62.54%
Glicko-1 Justin Tafa 1535.44 +83.04 61.73%
WHR Justin Tafa 1434.77 +27.93 54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 30, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Adesanya vs Imavov (02-01-2025)

Posted on January 27, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#3][#3UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-4-0, -172) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (15-4-0, +142)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#1 MW/#5DD/#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1 LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#11 MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10 MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12 MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -172 60.48%
Elo K170 Nassourdine Imavov 2129.10 +55.48 57.92%
Elo Modified Nassourdine Imavov 2067.77 +8.80 51.27%
Glicko-1 Nassourdine Imavov 2142.97 +48.45 56.93%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2001.24 +32.55 54.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 168, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#16 WW][#12UFC WW] Michael Page (22-3-0, +157) vs. [#20][#17UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0, -190)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8 WW] Ian Garry (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27 MW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#50 WW] Goiti Yamauchi (29-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#83 MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47 MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#427 MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -190 62.74%
Elo K170 Michael Page 1975.46 +48.71 56.96%
Elo Modified Michael Page 1965.28 +29.17 54.19%
Glicko-1 Michael Page 2034.18 +37.47 55.37%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1928.16 +31.50 54.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sharabutdin Magomedov 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0, -304) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0, +239)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#5 HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2 HW+/#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#6 HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#16 HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#32 HW+] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8 HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -304 71.83%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 1922.30 +39.40 55.65%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 1930.58 +93.97 63.20%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2022.14 +150.13 70.35%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 1914.43 +131.64 68.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (01-26-2025)

Posted on January 26, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 23, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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All-Time Greatest Lightweight Through History

Posted on January 16, 2025 by Jason

Just in time for UFC 311….  #1 is surprising, but this is entirely about longevity at or near the top of the division.

    • This is entirely different than our All-Time Rankings, and much more simplistic.  Fewer edge cases are handled here.
    • Quarterly ranking data gathered from Generated Historical Rankings.
    • 10 points awarded for #1 rank, #2 – 6pts, #3 – 4pts, #4 – 3pts, #5 – 2pts, #6 – 1.5pts, reducing 0.25 pt each rank to #10 (0.5 pt).
    • Weak divisional depth penalty applied where necessary (early days of division).
    • Fighter gets no points for the quarter if they did not win, draw, or have close loss (SD,MD) in the division in the previous 450 days.
    • Date format (lower right) is year_month.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 16, 2025 by Jason

Not a great start to 2025.  Let’s try again…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Makhachev vs Tsarukyan 2 (01-18-2025)

Posted on January 13, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#2DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (26-1-0, -412) vs. [#2] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0, +309)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #3 ranked Lightweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#13LW] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#85LW] Joaquim Silva (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Islam Makhachev -412 76.69%
Elo K170 Islam Makhachev 2556.76 +254.43 81.22%
Elo Modified Islam Makhachev 2486.06 +287.50 83.96%
Glicko-1 Islam Makhachev 2615.44 +351.80 88.34%
WHR Islam Makhachev 2401.98 +275.75 83.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 231, Arman Tsarukyan 280
Previous Match-up Record: Islam Makhachev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0, +260) vs. [#4] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-0-0, -339)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#8BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#92BW] Bekzat Almakhan (12-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Umar Nurmagomedov -339 73.54%
Elo K170 Merab Dvalishvili 2333.07 +201.36 76.12%
Elo Modified Merab Dvalishvili 2307.32 +202.31 76.22%
Glicko-1 Merab Dvalishvili 2373.25 +200.67 76.05%
WHR Merab Dvalishvili 2142.63 +89.04 62.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 126, Umar Nurmagomedov 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1, -109) vs. [#4] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0, -112)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#36HW+] Thiago Santos (22-13-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:31 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamahal Hill -112 50.32%
Elo K170 Jiri Prochazka 2065.68 +71.39 60.13%
Elo Modified Jiri Prochazka 2049.92 +56.56 58.07%
Glicko-1 Jiri Prochazka 2147.96 +78.90 61.16%
WHR Jiri Prochazka 1995.35 +112.11 65.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jiri Prochazka 203, Jamahal Hill 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on January 9, 2025 by Jason

And we’re back….  I’m going to wipe the slate clean again, but at the end of the last run in 2024, we were in the green for both Underdog and Safe picks.

To be clear, the goal in the Underdog parlay is to beat the odds, not necessarily to turn a profit.  The goal in the Safe parlay is not only to beat the odds, but also to make a profit.

Though one of our last parlays got marred by a bad weight miss, we’re going to continue with the same rules, but I’m thinking of making the bet amount variable in the future…

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