MMA Statistics – Page 12

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi (11-02-2024)

Posted on October 28, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#3] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2, -159) vs. [*] Amir Albazi (17-1-0, +131)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Amir Albazi is the All-Time #42 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#4BW/#10P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Amir Albazi (3-0-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#4FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#49FLY] Alessandro Costa (14-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 3
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Francisco Figueiredo (13-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Moreno	-159		58.64%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	1898.72	+6.45	50.93%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	1965.97	+147.38	70.02%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2075.69	+212.19	77.23%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	1986.22	+183.94	74.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 252, Amir Albazi 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-1
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#4] Rose Namajunas (13-6-0, +106) vs. [#5] Erin Blanchfield (12-2-0, -128)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.
Erin Blanchfield is the All-Time #45 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#16FLY] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#12FLY] Amanda Ribas (12-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD/#4P4P] Manon Fiorot (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Erin Blanchfield (2-1-0)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#2FLY/#6DD/#4P4P] Manon Fiorot (12-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#6FLY] Taila Santos (22-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#10FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:37 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Erin Blanchfield	-128		53.63%
Elo K170	Rose Namajunas	1890.84	+90.95	62.80%
Elo Modified	Rose Namajunas	1850.87	+46.65	56.67%
Glicko-1	Rose Namajunas	1839.32	+3.74	50.54%
WHR	Rose Namajunas	1776.05	+55.17	57.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 112, Erin Blanchfield 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#13] Derrick Lewis (28-12-0, +144) vs. [#56] Jhonata Diniz (8-0-0, -174)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #27 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#27HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 3
2023-11-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Jailton Almeida (21-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-45)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#25HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jhonata Diniz (3-0-0)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#73HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#137HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-09-12: W vs. [#100HW+] Eduardo Neves (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jhonata Diniz	-174		60.77%
Elo K170	Derrick Lewis	1844.56	+230.49	79.03%
Elo Modified	Derrick Lewis	1848.44	+178.08	73.59%
Glicko-1	Derrick Lewis	1903.66	+234.52	79.42%
WHR	Derrick Lewis	1773.72	+215.45	77.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 175, Jhonata Diniz 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 24, 2024 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway (10-26-2024)

Posted on October 21, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#9P4P] Ilia Topuria (15-0-0, -259) vs. [#2/#5DD] Max Holloway (26-7-0, +196)
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#3FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#19FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-08-26: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 3
2023-04-15: W vs. [#8FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ilia Topuria	-259		68.10%
Elo K170	Max Holloway	2389.60	+186.18	74.49%
Elo Modified	Max Holloway	2334.27	+172.79	73.00%
Glicko-1	Max Holloway	2442.70	+198.75	75.84%
WHR	Ilia Topuria	2182.45	+12.38	51.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 252, Max Holloway 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#4] Khamzat Chimaev (13-0-0, -221) vs. [#6] Robert Whittaker (26-7-0, +181)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#17MW] Kevin Holland (26-12-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-04-09: W vs. [#10WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#42MW] Ikram Aliskerov (15-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2024-02-17: W vs. [#9MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1MW/#6DD/#3P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Khamzat Chimaev	-221		65.92%
Elo K170	Robert Whittaker	2209.78	+0.38	50.06%
Elo Modified	Robert Whittaker	2190.84	+12.69	51.83%
Glicko-1	Robert Whittaker	2273.79	+18.20	52.62%
WHR	Khamzat Chimaev	2062.13	+3.35	50.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khamzat Chimaev 371, Robert Whittaker 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#18] Lerone Murphy (14-0-1, -206) vs. [#20] Dan Ige (18-8-0, +171)

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#132FW] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#71FW] Gabriel Santos (11-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#6FW] Diego Lopes (26-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:43 of round 1
2023-09-23: L vs. [#19FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Lerone Murphy	-206		64.59%
Elo K170	Lerone Murphy	1980.63	+186.55	74.53%
Elo Modified	Lerone Murphy	1925.45	+152.96	70.69%
Glicko-1	Lerone Murphy	1953.50	+115.21	66.00%
WHR	Lerone Murphy	1879.30	+110.66	65.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lerone Murphy 161, Dan Ige 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 17, 2024 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez (10-19-2024)

Posted on October 15, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#17] Michel Pereira (32-11-0, +125) vs. [#25] Anthony Hernandez (12-2-0, -152)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#80MW] Ihor Potieria (25-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:54 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#41MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-10-14: W vs. [#49MW] Andre Petroski (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#53MW] Roman Kopylov (13-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#48MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (13-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:01 of round 3
2022-09-17: W vs. [#38MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-8-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:53 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Anthony Hernandez	-152		57.57%
Elo K170	Michel Pereira	2007.89	+128.77	67.73%
Elo Modified	Michel Pereira	1975.95	+71.18	60.10%
Glicko-1	Michel Pereira	2046.14	+87.61	62.35%
WHR	Anthony Hernandez	1906.78	+51.07	57.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michel Pereira 168, Anthony Hernandez 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Kyler Phillips (12-2-0, -347) vs. [#16] Rob Font (20-8-0, +268)
Rob Font is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#18BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-12: W vs. [*] Marcelo Rojo (17-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 1:48 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#4BW/#9P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#7BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#56BW] Adrian Yanez (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kyler Phillips	-347		74.07%
Elo K170	Kyler Phillips	1860.64	+28.08	54.03%
Elo Modified	Kyler Phillips	1882.25	+86.67	62.22%
Glicko-1	Kyler Phillips	1954.83	+75.99	60.76%
WHR	Kyler Phillips	1866.25	+145.47	69.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyler Phillips 224, Rob Font 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kyler Phillips leads 1-0
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Flyweight (125)
[#15] Charles Johnson (16-6-0, -223) vs. [#258] Su Mudaerji (16-6-0, +182)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Johnson (3-0-0)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#32FLY] Joshua Van (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#110BW] Jake Hadley (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#79FLY] Azat Maksum (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (1-2-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#22FLY] Tim Elliott (20-13-1) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 1
2022-07-16: L vs. [*] Matt Schnell (16-10-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Charles Johnson	-223		66.06%
Elo K170	Charles Johnson	1727.60	+338.88	87.55%
Elo Modified	Charles Johnson	1731.40	+327.51	86.82%
Glicko-1	Charles Johnson	1798.25	+406.55	91.22%
WHR	Charles Johnson	1634.06	+309.95	85.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Johnson 98, Su Mudaerji 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants (10-19-2024)

Posted on October 14, 2024 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Francis Ngannou (17-3-0, -304) vs. [#10] Renan Ferreira (13-3-0, +227)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #7 ranked Heavyweight and #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-03-27: W vs. [*] Stipe Miocic (20-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:52 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#9HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Renan Ferreira (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#14HW+] Ryan Bader (31-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2023-11-24: W vs. [#11HW+] Denis Goltsov (35-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 2
2023-08-18: W vs. [#77HW+] Maurice Greene (11-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Francis Ngannou	-304		71.10%
Elo K170	Francis Ngannou	2348.99	+414.44	91.58%
Elo Modified	Francis Ngannou	2324.70	+383.08	90.07%
Glicko-1	Francis Ngannou	2461.72	+393.23	90.58%
WHR	Francis Ngannou	2176.44	+203.35	76.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 1001, Renan Ferreira 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (27-2-0, +101) vs. [#2/#7DD/#9P4P] Larissa Pacheco (23-4-0, -127)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#5FW] Cat Zingano (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [#4FW] Arlene Blencowe (16-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#15FW] Sinead Kavanagh (9-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Larissa Pacheco (3-0-0)
2023-11-24: W vs. [#6FW] Marina Mokhnatkina (11-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-18: W vs. [#10FW] Olena Kolesnyk (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:14 of round 1
2023-06-16: W vs. [#25FW] Amber Leibrock (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Larissa Pacheco	-127		52.93%
Elo K170	Cristiane Justino	1963.55	+176.07	73.37%
Elo Modified	Cristiane Justino	1967.15	+155.03	70.94%
Glicko-1	Cristiane Justino	2042.11	+203.17	76.31%
WHR	Cristiane Justino	1987.08	+184.79	74.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 378, Larissa Pacheco 330
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#7] Johnny Eblen (15-0-0, -597) vs. [#14] Fabian Edwards (13-3-0, +391)
Johnny Eblen is the All-Time #35 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Eblen (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#10LHW] Impa Kasanganay (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#14MW] Fabian Edwards (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 3
2023-02-04: W vs. [#31MW] Anatoly Tokov (32-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Fabian Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-03-22: W vs. [#29MW] Aaron Jeffery (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#7MW] Johnny Eblen (15-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 3
2023-05-12: W vs. [*] Gegard Mousasi (49-9-2) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Johnny Eblen	-597		80.78%
Elo K170	Johnny Eblen	2138.82	+253.61	81.15%
Elo Modified	Johnny Eblen	2065.88	+186.25	74.50%
Glicko-1	Johnny Eblen	2146.28	+197.48	75.71%
WHR	Johnny Eblen	2005.68	+207.98	76.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Eblen 238, Fabian Edwards 211
Previous Match-up Record: Johnny Eblen leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 10, 2024 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira (10-12-2024)

Posted on October 7, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0, +174) vs. [#7] Tatsuro Taira (16-0-0, -212)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #36 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#19FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#17FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#161FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#146FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tatsuro Taira	-212		65.05%
Elo K170	Brandon Royval	1975.18	+71.16	60.10%
Elo Modified	Tatsuro Taira	1890.84	+39.41	55.65%
Glicko-1	Tatsuro Taira	1954.71	+56.53	58.07%
WHR	Tatsuro Taira	1868.86	+89.29	62.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 231, Tatsuro Taira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#29] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0, -173) vs. [#30] Brad Tavares (20-9-0, +142)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#71MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#150MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#22MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#27MW] Chris Weidman (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jun Yong Park	-173		60.53%
Elo K170	Jun Yong Park	1741.38	+42.76	56.12%
Elo Modified	Jun Yong Park	1787.40	+70.69	60.03%
Glicko-1	Jun Yong Park	1831.45	+104.68	64.62%
WHR	Jun Yong Park	1741.93	+79.86	61.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 308, Brad Tavares 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#24] Grant Dawson (21-2-1, -403) vs. [*] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#121LW] Joe Solecki (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#25LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#68LW] Damir Ismagulov (26-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#119LW] Clay Guida (38-24-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#286LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#29LW] Drakkar Klose (15-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Grant Dawson	-403		76.44%
Elo K170	Grant Dawson	1980.01	+198.85	75.86%
Elo Modified	Grant Dawson	1946.71	+196.16	75.57%
Glicko-1	Grant Dawson	1987.73	+199.54	75.92%
WHR	Grant Dawson	1852.73	+133.77	68.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 133, Rafa Garcia 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on October 4, 2024 by Jason

We struck out last week, but that was an Underdog play. We have another one of those and an unsurprising “Safe” play this week!

Without further delay…. here are the particulars and bets…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree (10-05-2024)

Posted on September 30, 2024 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#6P4P] Alex Pereira (11-2-0, -516) vs. [#8] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0, +370)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #18 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#16LHW] Anthony Smith (38-20-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#51HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alex Pereira	-516		79.74%
Elo K170	Alex Pereira	2285.08	+383.74	90.11%
Elo Modified	Alex Pereira	2248.01	+376.65	89.73%
Glicko-1	Alex Pereira	2376.35	+462.46	93.48%
WHR	Alex Pereira	2157.07	+356.75	88.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 98, Khalil Rountree 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#2/#8P4P] Raquel Pennington (16-8-0, -183) vs. [*] Julianna Pena (11-5-0, +151)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.
Julianna Pena is the All-Time #31 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (3-0-0)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#16BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: W vs. [#7FW] Aspen Ladd (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Julianna Pena (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Amanda Nunes (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#9FW] Sara McMann (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Raquel Pennington	-183		61.87%
Elo K170	Raquel Pennington	1850.31	+119.69	66.57%
Elo Modified	Raquel Pennington	1788.98	+61.43	58.75%
Glicko-1	Julianna Pena	1773.92	+5.02	50.72%
WHR	Julianna Pena	1759.76	+89.61	62.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 259, Julianna Pena 798
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Julianna Pena leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#7] Jose Aldo (32-8-0, +143) vs. [#24] Mario Bautista (14-2-0, -174)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #26 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#17BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-20: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#4P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#16BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (3-0-0)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#42BW] Ricky Simon (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#82BW] DaMon Blackshear (14-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-11: W vs. [*] Guido Cannetti (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:18 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Mario Bautista	-174		60.67%
Elo K170	Jose Aldo	2100.98	+178.86	73.69%
Elo Modified	Jose Aldo	2092.23	+179.06	73.71%
Glicko-1	Jose Aldo	2145.13	+205.35	76.53%
WHR	Jose Aldo	2015.17	+219.95	78.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 154, Mario Bautista 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Return of… This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on September 26, 2024 by Jason

We ran a series of these articles for about three months earlier in the year, changing the parameters and offerings as we went. Learned quite a bit along the way…

So I thought it’d be interesting to try again, running with the latest parameters and starting with a clean slate.

Without further delay…. here are the particulars and bets…

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis (09-28-2024)

Posted on September 23, 2024 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Renato Carneiro (19-5-1, +218) vs. [#17] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#16LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#53LW] Drew Dober (27-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#40LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#71LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Benoit St. Denis	-272		69.92%
Elo K170	Renato Carneiro	1997.08	+52.63	57.52%
Elo Modified	Renato Carneiro	1984.31	+38.77	55.56%
Glicko-1	Renato Carneiro	2046.80	+33.15	54.76%
WHR	Renato Carneiro	1911.47	+47.84	56.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 168, Benoit St. Denis 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#6] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0, -225) vs. [#11] Brendan Allen (24-5-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#13MW] Roman Dolidze (13-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#23MW] Paul Craig (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-06-24: W vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Nassourdine Imavov	-225		66.04%
Elo K170	Brendan Allen	2130.54	+113.17	65.73%
Elo Modified	Brendan Allen	2063.38	+74.49	60.56%
Glicko-1	Brendan Allen	2136.30	+86.22	62.16%
WHR	Brendan Allen	1948.37	+29.73	54.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 112, Brendan Allen 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#24] Joanderson Brito (17-3-1, -267) vs. [#97] William Gomis (13-2-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#66FW] Jack Shore (17-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#63FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-6-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#156FW] Westin Wilson (17-9-0) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#408BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#332LW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#173FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joanderson Brito	-267		69.55%
Elo K170	Joanderson Brito	1947.55	+229.55	78.94%
Elo Modified	Joanderson Brito	1930.17	+268.04	82.39%
Glicko-1	Joanderson Brito	2009.15	+351.54	88.32%
WHR	Joanderson Brito	1887.20	+292.73	84.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 147, William Gomis 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Role of Statistics in Predicting Fight Outcomes

Posted on September 19, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Unlocking the full potential of combat sports analysis hinges on mastering the core data. Every piece of player history, from their accuracy and volume of strikes to the number of successful takedowns and a fighter’s record of wins and losses, are vital performance indicators that can help you accurately predict the outcome of a game.

Statistical analysis of fighter data can help provide more accurate game predictions. Machine learning models identify patterns among players, making it easier to bet on the best fighters.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 306: O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili (09-07-2024)

Posted on September 9, 2024 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#5DD/#8P4P] Sean OMalley (18-1-0, -119) vs. [#2/#9P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (17-4-0, -102)
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #8 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #14 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#10BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
2022-10-22: W vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#5BW] Petr Yan (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#7BW] Jose Aldo (32-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean OMalley	-119		51.83%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2264.39	+68.02	59.67%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2239.06	+113.15	65.73%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2315.91	+100.11	64.02%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2112.02	+65.87	59.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 189, Merab Dvalishvili 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#2/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1, -115) vs. [#3/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1, -106)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (2-0-1)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#3FLY/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: W vs. [#3FLY/#6P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-10-15: W vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (1-1-1)
2023-09-16: D vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2023-03-04: L vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#4P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-06-11: W vs. [#6FLY] Taila Santos (22-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alexa Grasso	-115		50.96%
Elo K170	Valentina Shevchenko	1891.71	+8.87	51.28%
Elo Modified	Alexa Grasso	1869.75	+7.59	51.09%
Glicko-1	Alexa Grasso	1884.97	+20.41	52.94%
WHR	Alexa Grasso	1828.75	+22.24	53.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 364, Valentina Shevchenko 364
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-1
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#5] Brian Ortega (16-3-0, +150) vs. [#14] Diego Lopes (25-6-0, -182)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#6FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#6FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#3FW/#9DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#20FW] Dan Ige (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#49FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#77FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Diego Lopes	-182		61.73%
Elo K170	Brian Ortega	2101.94	+159.82	71.51%
Elo Modified	Brian Ortega	2058.56	+111.04	65.46%
Glicko-1	Brian Ortega	2118.05	+100.55	64.08%
WHR	Brian Ortega	1969.36	+100.17	64.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 203, Diego Lopes 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady (09-07-2024)

Posted on September 2, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Gilbert Burns (22-7-0, +155) vs. [#9] Sean Brady (16-1-0, -187)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#6WW] Jack Della Maddalena (17-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-05-06: L vs. [#1WW/#4P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#25WW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW/#4P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2021-11-20: W vs. [#28WW] Michael Chiesa (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean Brady	-187		62.42%
Elo K170	Sean Brady	2075.64	+21.15	53.04%
Elo Modified	Sean Brady	2064.65	+47.87	56.84%
Glicko-1	Sean Brady	2104.20	+42.61	56.10%
WHR	Sean Brady	1953.16	+62.81	58.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 182, Sean Brady 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jessica Andrade (26-12-0, +229) vs. [#10] Natalia Silva (17-5-1, -291)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #16 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#8SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-4-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4SW] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Natalia Silva (3-0-0)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12FLY] Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#30FLY] Andrea Lee (13-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#97FLY] Victoria Leonardo (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Head Kick) in 2:58 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Natalia Silva	-291		70.99%
Elo K170	Jessica Andrade	1780.94	+30.15	54.33%
Elo Modified	Natalia Silva	1778.14	+45.95	56.57%
Glicko-1	Natalia Silva	1795.32	+104.40	64.59%
WHR	Natalia Silva	1725.25	+62.80	58.94%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 147, Natalia Silva 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Andrade leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#31] Kyle Nelson (16-5-1, +165) vs. [#37] Steve Garcia (16-5-0, -201)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (3-0-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#82FW] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:00 of round 1
2023-09-16: W vs. [#88FW] Fernando Padilla (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#237FW] Blake Bilder (8-2-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#104FW] Seung Woo Choi (11-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [#78FW] Melquizael Costa (21-7-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:01 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#156FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-12-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Steve Garcia	-201		63.89%
Elo K170	Kyle Nelson	1776.20	+14.56	52.09%
Elo Modified	Steve Garcia	1766.76	+6.67	50.96%
Glicko-1	Steve Garcia	1836.40	+45.06	56.45%
WHR	Steve Garcia	1731.04	+14.89	52.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Nelson 161, Steve Garcia 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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