Fight Matrix Program – UFC 268: Usman vs Covington 2 (11-06-2021)
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (19-1-0, -290) vs. [#3] Colby Covington (16-2-0, +233)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.
Colby Covington is the All-Time #14 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#4WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:02 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#2WW] Gilbert Burns (20-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3
2020-07-11: W vs. [#4WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-15-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#20WW] Tyron Woodley (19-7-1) via TKO (Rib Injury) in 1:19 of round 5
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (19-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
2019-08-03: W vs. [#56WW] Robbie Lawler (29-15-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kamaru Usman | -290 | 71.23% | |
| Elo K170 | Kamaru Usman | 2507.44 | +255.05 | 76.23% |
| Elo Modified | Kamaru Usman | 2442.04 | +251.09 | 75.01% |
| Glicko-1 | Kamaru Usman | 2568.73 | +338.78 | 87.55% |
| WHR | Kamaru Usman | 2296.19 | +269.56 | 77.41% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 196, Colby Covington 413
Previous Match-up Record: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (10-4-0, -120) vs. [#2/#4DD/#5P4P] Weili Zhang (21-2-0, -102)
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #11 ranked Women’s fighter.
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #15 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#5P4P] Weili Zhang (21-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#10P4P] Jessica Andrade (22-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#10P4P] Jessica Andrade (22-9-0) via KO (Slam) in 2:58 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#3P4P] Rose Namajunas (10-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [*] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#10P4P] Jessica Andrade (22-9-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rose Namajunas | -120 | 51.92% | |
| Elo K170 | Rose Namajunas | 1950.32 | +126.46 | 64.05% |
| Elo Modified | Rose Namajunas | 1885.39 | +122.35 | 63.08% |
| Glicko-1 | Rose Namajunas | 1877.92 | +120.15 | 66.63% |
| WHR | Rose Namajunas | 1789.48 | +92.02 | 60.36% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rose Namajunas 196, Weili Zhang 196
Previous Match-up Record: Rose Namajunas leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 4-3
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Lightweight (155)
[#3] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0, -179) vs. [#8] Michael Chandler (22-6-0, +148)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #16 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [*] Khabib Nurmagomedov (29-0-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:34 of round 2
2020-05-09: W vs. [#7LW] Tony Ferguson (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-09-14: W vs. [#57WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (2-1-0)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#2LW/#8DD] Charles Oliveira (31-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 2
2021-01-23: W vs. [#10LW] Dan Hooker (21-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-08-07: W vs. [#61LW] Ben Henderson (28-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Justin Gaethje | -179 | 61.40% | |
| Elo K170 | Justin Gaethje | 2243.25 | +160.78 | 67.58% |
| Elo Modified | Justin Gaethje | 2180.10 | +148.54 | 65.71% |
| Glicko-1 | Justin Gaethje | 2276.49 | +171.79 | 72.89% |
| WHR | Justin Gaethje | 2000.17 | +40.04 | 54.56% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 378, Michael Chandler 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Chandler leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 267: Blachowicz vs Teixeira (10-30-2021)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0, -267) vs. [#3] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0, +216)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #18 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#1MW/#10DD/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (21-1-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#10LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
2020-02-15: W vs. [#5LHW] Corey Anderson (16-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (22-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 3
2020-05-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Anthony Smith (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-09-14: W vs. [#18LHW] Nikita Krylov (27-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jan Blachowicz | -267 | 69.68% | |
| Elo K170 | Jan Blachowicz | 2305.23 | +159.61 | 67.46% |
| Elo Modified | Jan Blachowicz | 2250.40 | +122.21 | 63.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Jan Blachowicz | 2356.09 | +109.04 | 65.20% |
| WHR | Jan Blachowicz | 2077.28 | +36.49 | 54.16% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 238, Glover Teixeira 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Glover Teixeira leads 6-5
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#2] Petr Yan (15-2-0, -242) vs. [#4] Cory Sandhagen (14-3-0, +196)
Petr Yan is the All-Time #14 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #30 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#1BW/#9P4P] Aljamain Sterling (20-3-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Knee) in 4:29 of round 4
2020-07-11: W vs. [#5BW] Jose Aldo (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 5
2019-12-14: W vs. [*] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:43 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2021-07-24: L vs. [#3BW] T.J. Dillashaw (17-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#8BW] Frankie Edgar (24-9-1) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:28 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#12BW] Marlon Moraes (23-9-1) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Petr Yan | -242 | 67.68% | |
| Elo K170 | Petr Yan | 2052.88 | +35.27 | 54.02% |
| Elo Modified | Petr Yan | 2122.85 | +109.61 | 61.77% |
| Glicko-1 | Petr Yan | 2193.20 | +98.98 | 63.87% |
| WHR | Petr Yan | 2063.96 | +172.93 | 68.79% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 238, Cory Sandhagen 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#8] Islam Makhachev (20-1-0, -664) vs. [#10] Dan Hooker (21-10-0, +454)
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#16LW] Thiago Moises (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2021-03-06: W vs. [#28LW] Drew Dober (23-11-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:37 of round 3
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Davi Ramos (10-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (1-2-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#52LW] Nasrat Haqparast (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#7LW] Michael Chandler (22-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-06-27: L vs. [#1LW/#5DD/#10P4P] Dustin Poirier (28-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-46)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Islam Makhachev | -664 | 82.80% | |
| Elo K170 | Islam Makhachev | 2127.36 | +131.38 | 64.57% |
| Elo Modified | Islam Makhachev | 2096.45 | +161.19 | 66.94% |
| Glicko-1 | Islam Makhachev | 2163.79 | +199.11 | 75.88% |
| WHR | Islam Makhachev | 2083.54 | +237.81 | 74.77% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 105, Dan Hooker 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Costa (10-23-2021)
Middleweight (185)
[#6] Marvin Vettori (16-5-1, -122) vs. [#7] Paulo Costa (13-1-0, +101)
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (2-1-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#1MW/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (21-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#12MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#8MW] Jack Hermansson (22-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (2-1-0)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (21-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2
2019-08-17: W vs. [#9LHW] Yoel Romero (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#15MW] Uriah Hall (17-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Marvin Vettori | -122 | 52.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Marvin Vettori | 1995.53 | +14.01 | 51.60% |
| Elo Modified | Marvin Vettori | 1998.81 | +6.38 | 50.70% |
| Glicko-1 | Paulo Costa | 2081.27 | +15.95 | 52.29% |
| WHR | Marvin Vettori | 1928.97 | +20.49 | 52.34% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 133, Paulo Costa 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#20] Grant Dawson (17-1-0, -316) vs. [#84] Ricky Glenn (22-6-1, +245)
Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [#40LW] Leonardo Santos (18-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2020-07-18: W vs. [*] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#70FW] Darrick Minner (26-12-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ricky Glenn (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#215LW] Joaquim Silva (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 1
2018-11-30: L vs. [#96FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-14: W vs. [*] Dennis Bermudez (17-9-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Grant Dawson | -316 | 72.37% | |
| Elo K170 | Grant Dawson | 1957.04 | +218.34 | 73.06% |
| Elo Modified | Grant Dawson | 1931.81 | +257.40 | 75.52% |
| Glicko-1 | Grant Dawson | 1994.10 | +298.05 | 84.76% |
| WHR | Grant Dawson | 1932.01 | +314.20 | 80.78% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 217, Ricky Glenn 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Jessica-Rose Clark (10-6-0, -176) vs. [#33] Joselyne Edwards (10-3-0, +145)
Last 3 Fights: Jessica-Rose Clark (1-2-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#91FLY] Sarah Alpar (9-6-0) via TKO (Punch and Knee) in 4:21 of round 3
2019-11-09: L vs. [#8BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: L vs. [#18FLY] Jessica Eye (15-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Joselyne Edwards (2-1-0)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#9BW] Karol Rosa (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#59BW] Yanan Wu (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-07-03: W vs. [NA] Pamela Gonzalez (2-6-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jessica-Rose Clark | -176 | 60.97% | |
| Elo K170 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 1355.65 | +43.63 | 54.97% |
| Elo Modified | Joselyne Edwards | 1363.99 | +10.47 | 51.15% |
| Glicko-1 | Joselyne Edwards | 1387.16 | +45.41 | 56.50% |
| WHR | Joselyne Edwards | 1350.15 | +68.97 | 57.81% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica-Rose Clark 399, Joselyne Edwards 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica-Rose Clark leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs Dumont (10-16-2021)
Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Norma Dumont (6-1-0, +121) vs. [*] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0, -144)
Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#8FW] Felicia Spencer (8-3-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#54BW] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [#3BW] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#15FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Aspen Ladd | -144 | 56.60% | |
| Elo K170 | Aspen Ladd | 1637.05 | +194.44 | 70.85% |
| Elo Modified | Aspen Ladd | 1673.73 | +242.62 | 74.31% |
| Glicko-1 | Aspen Ladd | 1662.62 | +316.68 | 86.10% |
| WHR | Aspen Ladd | 1658.98 | +305.44 | 80.15% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 147, Aspen Ladd 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#35] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0, -119) vs. [#72] Carlos Felipe (11-1-0, -104)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #20 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (2-1-0)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#81HW+] Chase Sherman (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#18HW+] Tom Aspinall (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [#31HW+] Tanner Boser (20-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Felipe (3-0-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#73HW+] Jake Collier (12-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#156HW+] Justin Tafa (4-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#187HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Andrei Arlovski | -119 | 51.59% | |
| Elo K170 | Andrei Arlovski | 1677.14 | +93.59 | 60.53% |
| Elo Modified | Andrei Arlovski | 1724.59 | +179.98 | 68.74% |
| Glicko-1 | Andrei Arlovski | 1739.58 | +226.36 | 78.63% |
| WHR | Andrei Arlovski | 1667.29 | +212.91 | 72.56% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 182, Carlos Felipe 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#70] Jim Miller (32-16-0, -199) vs. [#199] Erick Gonzalez (14-5-0, +164)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #41 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (1-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#67LW] Joe Solecki (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#35LW] Vinc Pichel (14-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#133LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Erick Gonzalez (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#661LW] Samuel Alvarez (5-4-0) via UD ()
2021-03-19: W vs. [#897LW] Oziel Rodriguez Lopez (4-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:37 of round 3
2019-12-20: L vs. [*] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jim Miller | -199 | 63.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Jim Miller | 1593.48 | +106.60 | 61.94% |
| Elo Modified | Jim Miller | 1595.18 | +110.01 | 61.81% |
| Glicko-1 | Jim Miller | 1639.39 | +130.30 | 67.92% |
| WHR | Jim Miller | 1589.07 | +138.53 | 65.32% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 189, Erick Gonzalez 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Dern (10-09-2021)
Women Strawweight (115)
[#4] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2, +126) vs. [#6] Mackenzie Dern (11-1-0, -154)
Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#14SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-25: L vs. [#3SW/#9DD/#8P4P] Carla Esparza (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (3-0-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#18SW] Nina Nunes (10-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-12-12: W vs. [#11SW] Virna Jandiroba (17-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#36SW] Randa Markos (10-11-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -154 | 57.80% | |
| Elo K170 | Marina Rodriguez | 1721.65 | +27.68 | 53.16% |
| Elo Modified | Marina Rodriguez | 1744.07 | +46.33 | 55.05% |
| Glicko-1 | Marina Rodriguez | 1749.51 | +43.69 | 56.26% |
| WHR | Marina Rodriguez | 1663.51 | +78.48 | 58.87% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 154, Mackenzie Dern 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#44] Randy Brown (13-4-0, -251) vs. [#188] Jared Gooden (18-6-0, +201)
Last 3 Fights: Randy Brown (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#79WW] Alex Oliveira (22-11-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:50 of round 1
2020-08-01: L vs. [#5WW] Vicente Luque (21-7-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:56 of round 2
2019-11-16: W vs. [#86WW] Warlley Alves (14-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:22 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (1-2-0)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#277WW] Niklas Stolze (12-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:08 of round 1
2021-03-27: L vs. [#143WW] Abubakar Nurmagomedov (16-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-11-21: L vs. [#77WW] Alan Jouban (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Randy Brown | -251 | 68.28% | |
| Elo K170 | Randy Brown | 1779.59 | +335.84 | 82.26% |
| Elo Modified | Randy Brown | 1771.77 | +293.80 | 78.35% |
| Glicko-1 | Randy Brown | 1827.27 | +287.32 | 83.94% |
| WHR | Randy Brown | 1740.90 | +318.67 | 81.09% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Randy Brown 168, Jared Gooden 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#6] Matheus Nicolau (16-2-1, -172) vs. [#15] Tim Elliott (17-11-1, +142)
Matheus Nicolau is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Matheus Nicolau (3-0-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#7FLY] Manel Kape (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-30: W vs. [*] Felipe Efrain (14-6-0) via UD ()
2019-05-24: W vs. [#645BW] Alan Gabriel dos Santos (12-6-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 01:18 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#44FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#151FLY] Ryan Benoit (10-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#11FLY] Brandon Royval (12-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Matheus Nicolau | -172 | 60.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Matheus Nicolau | 1765.66 | +118.96 | 63.26% |
| Elo Modified | Matheus Nicolau | 1691.96 | +29.97 | 53.27% |
| Glicko-1 | Matheus Nicolau | 1702.54 | +37.91 | 55.44% |
| WHR | Matheus Nicolau | 1653.93 | +83.95 | 59.47% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matheus Nicolau 210, Tim Elliott 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tim Elliott leads 3-2
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