Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs Dumont (10-16-2021)

Oct 11, 2021
Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Norma Dumont (6-1-0, +121) vs. [*] Aspen Ladd (9-1-0, -144)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#8FW] Felicia Spencer (8-3-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#54BW] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (11-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aspen Ladd (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 3
2019-07-13: L vs. [#3BW] Germaine de Randamie (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#15FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aspen Ladd -144 56.60%
Elo K170 Aspen Ladd 1637.05 +194.44 70.85%
Elo Modified Aspen Ladd 1673.73 +242.62 74.31%
Glicko-1 Aspen Ladd 1662.62 +316.68 86.10%
WHR Aspen Ladd 1658.98 +305.44 80.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 147, Aspen Ladd 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#35] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0, -119) vs. [#72] Carlos Felipe (11-1-0, -104)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #20 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (2-1-0)
2021-04-17: W vs. [#81HW+] Chase Sherman (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#18HW+] Tom Aspinall (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:09 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [#31HW+] Tanner Boser (20-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Felipe (3-0-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#73HW+] Jake Collier (12-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#156HW+] Justin Tafa (4-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#187HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andrei Arlovski -119 51.59%
Elo K170 Andrei Arlovski 1677.14 +93.59 60.53%
Elo Modified Andrei Arlovski 1724.59 +179.98 68.74%
Glicko-1 Andrei Arlovski 1739.58 +226.36 78.63%
WHR Andrei Arlovski 1667.29 +212.91 72.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 182, Carlos Felipe 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#70] Jim Miller (32-16-0, -199) vs. [#199] Erick Gonzalez (14-5-0, +164)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #41 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (1-2-0)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#67LW] Joe Solecki (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#35LW] Vinc Pichel (14-2-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#133LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Erick Gonzalez (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#661LW] Samuel Alvarez (5-4-0) via UD ()
2021-03-19: W vs. [#897LW] Oziel Rodriguez Lopez (4-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:37 of round 3
2019-12-20: L vs. [*] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jim Miller -199 63.73%
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1593.48 +106.60 61.94%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1595.18 +110.01 61.81%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1639.39 +130.30 67.92%
WHR Jim Miller 1589.07 +138.53 65.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 189, Erick Gonzalez 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#21] Manon Fiorot (7-1-0, -201) vs. [#34] Mayra Bueno Silva (7-1-1, +165)

Last 3 Fights: Manon Fiorot (3-0-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#123SW] Tabatha Ricci (5-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [#73FLY] Victoria Leonardo (8-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:08 of round 2
2020-11-27: W vs. [#112FLY] Gabriela Campos (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (1-1-1)
2021-02-27: D vs. [#23FLY] Montana De La Rosa (11-6-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-09-19: W vs. [#83FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:29 of round 1
2020-03-14: L vs. [*] Maryna Moroz (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manon Fiorot -201 63.89%
Elo K170 Manon Fiorot 1501.98 +84.51 59.53%
Elo Modified Manon Fiorot 1557.47 +122.67 63.11%
Glicko-1 Manon Fiorot 1568.97 +154.37 70.86%
WHR Manon Fiorot 1487.44 +60.30 56.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manon Fiorot 133, Mayra Bueno Silva 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#38] Julian Marquez (9-2-0, -206) vs. [#105] Jordan Wright (12-1-0, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (2-1-0)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#90MW] Sam Alvey (33-16-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2
2021-02-13: W vs. [#171MW] Maki Pitolo (13-8-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2018-07-06: L vs. [#83MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Wright (2-1-0)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#236MW] Jamie Pickett (11-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2020-11-21: L vs. [#84MW] Joaquin Buckley (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2020-08-22: W vs. [#128LHW] Isaac Villanueva (18-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Marquez -206 64.34%
Elo K170 Julian Marquez 1582.65 +84.29 59.51%
Elo Modified Julian Marquez 1634.02 +107.54 61.56%
Glicko-1 Julian Marquez 1702.89 +119.56 66.56%
WHR Julian Marquez 1679.35 +145.23 66.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 189, Jordan Wright 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#32] Bruno Silva (20-6-0, -139) vs. [#64] Andrew Sanchez (11-6-0, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (3-0-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#50MW] Wellington Turman (17-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-11-02: W vs. [#45MW] Artem Frolov (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 4
2018-06-01: W vs. [#28MW] Alexander Shlemenko (61-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Andrew Sanchez (1-2-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#46MW] Makhmud Muradov (25-7-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:59 of round 3
2020-08-08: W vs. [#50MW] Wellington Turman (17-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-10-12: L vs. [#6MW] Marvin Vettori (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bruno Silva -139 55.44%
Elo K170 Bruno Silva 1831.67 +188.46 70.29%
Elo Modified Bruno Silva 1849.56 +166.63 67.47%
Glicko-1 Bruno Silva 1947.92 +255.52 81.32%
WHR Bruno Silva 1850.41 +262.48 76.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruno Silva 119, Andrew Sanchez 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#40] Ramazan Emeev (20-4-0, -234) vs. [*] Danny Roberts (17-5-0, +188)

Last 3 Fights: Ramazan Emeev (2-1-0)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#90WW] David Zawada (17-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#279WW] Niklas Stolze (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-11-09: L vs. [*] Anthony Rocco Martin (17-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Danny Roberts (1-2-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#355WW] Zelim Imadaev (8-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:54 of round 2
2019-05-18: L vs. [#47WW] Michel Pereira (27-11-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2019-03-16: L vs. [#93WW] Claudio Silva (14-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:37 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ramazan Emeev -234 66.86%
Elo K170 Ramazan Emeev 1941.39 +365.60 84.16%
Elo Modified Ramazan Emeev 1881.38 +291.63 78.19%
Glicko-1 Ramazan Emeev 1920.32 +314.79 85.96%
WHR Ramazan Emeev 1779.14 +234.61 74.49%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ramazan Emeev 273, Danny Roberts 707
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#15] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) vs. [#58] Luana Carolina (7-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Sijara Eubanks (1-2-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#84FLY] Elise Reed (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2020-12-19: L vs. [#8BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#12BW] Ketlen Vieira (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Carolina (2-1-0)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#65FLY] Poliana Botelho (8-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#31FLY] Ariane Lipski (14-7-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-05-11: W vs. [#40FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (10-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Sijara Eubanks 1440.20 +8.88 51.02%
Elo Modified Sijara Eubanks 1489.82 +69.62 57.56%
Glicko-1 Sijara Eubanks 1446.46 +78.56 61.12%
WHR Sijara Eubanks 1474.74 +161.08 67.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sijara Eubanks 84, Luana Carolina 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#51] Nate Landwehr (14-4-0, +228) vs. [#112] Ludovit Klein (17-3-0, -286)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (1-2-0)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#36FW] Julian Erosa (26-9-0) via TKO (Flying Knee) in 0:56 of round 1
2020-05-16: W vs. [#23FW] Darren Elkins (26-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#55FW] Herbert Burns (11-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ludovit Klein (2-1-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#78FW] Michael Trizano (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#220FW] Shane Young (13-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:16 of round 1
2020-02-15: W vs. [*] Lukasz Sajewski (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ludovit Klein -286 70.84%
Elo K170 Nate Landwehr 1641.10 +10.79 51.23%
Elo Modified Nate Landwehr 1658.62 +32.79 53.58%
Glicko-1 Ludovit Klein 1669.54 +15.31 52.20%
WHR Nate Landwehr 1589.08 +21.56 52.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Landwehr 238, Ludovit Klein 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#87] Brandon Davis (14-8-0, +162) vs. [#194] Danaa Batgerel (9-2-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Davis (3-0-0)
2021-08-14: W vs. [#365BW] Josh Huber (24-12-0) via TKO in 1:31 of round 1
2021-03-20: W vs. [#742FW] Rey Trujillo (25-31-0) via UD ()
2020-11-21: W vs. [#896BW] Jonathan Eiland (4-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Danaa Batgerel (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#480BW] Kevin Natividad (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#420BW] Guido Cannetti (8-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 1
2019-08-31: L vs. [#155BW] Heili Alateng (14-8-2) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Danaa Batgerel -197 63.47%
Elo K170 Danaa Batgerel 1461.78 +7.83 50.90%
Elo Modified Brandon Davis 1536.21 +58.19 56.33%
Glicko-1 Brandon Davis 1579.07 +93.89 63.19%
WHR Brandon Davis 1516.92 +36.36 54.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Davis 63, Danaa Batgerel 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#29] Ariane Carnelossi (13-2-0, -179) vs. [*] Istela Nunes (6-1-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Ariane Carnelossi (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#67SW] Na Liang (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 2
2019-09-21: L vs. [#13SW] Angela Hill (13-10-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 3
2019-05-24: W vs. [#32BW] Ketlen Souza (11-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 03:53 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Istela Nunes (2-1-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [*] Gina Iniong (9-4-0) via UD ()
2017-05-26: L vs. [*] Angela Lee (10-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 2:18 of round 2
2016-08-13: W vs. [#83SW] Mei Yamaguchi (21-13-1) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ariane Carnelossi -179 61.40%
Elo K170 Ariane Carnelossi 1442.40 +70.71 58.01%
Elo Modified Ariane Carnelossi 1458.14 +65.35 57.10%
Glicko-1 Ariane Carnelossi 1478.85 +149.40 70.26%
WHR Ariane Carnelossi 1485.55 +184.34 69.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ariane Carnelossi 175, Istela Nunes 1197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Ramazan Emeev
Highest Stored DD Rating: Norma Dumont
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Ramazan Emeev vs. Danny Roberts
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Norma Dumont vs. Aspen Ladd
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2021-10-10

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