Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs Garbrandt (05-22-2021)
Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Rob Font (18-4-0, -124) vs. [#9] Cody Garbrandt (12-3-0, +100)
Rob Font is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#29FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#13BW] Sergio Pettis (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#26BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-03-02: L vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Rob Font | -124 | 52.54% | |
Elo K170 | Rob Font | 2003.06 | +103.05 | 61.56% |
Elo Modified | Rob Font | 1948.96 | +62.84 | 56.83% |
Glicko-1 | Rob Font | 1998.89 | +59.80 | 58.52% |
WHR | Rob Font | 1886.07 | +117.44 | 63.10% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 154, Cody Garbrandt 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Garbrandt leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -159) vs. [#27] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +129)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#23MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Jack Hermansson | -159 | 58.43% | |
Elo K170 | Jack Hermansson | 1908.02 | +137.66 | 65.22% |
Elo Modified | Jack Hermansson | 1931.73 | +183.36 | 69.06% |
Glicko-1 | Jack Hermansson | 2013.37 | +249.32 | 80.77% |
WHR | Jack Hermansson | 1870.17 | +234.08 | 74.45% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Edmen Shahbazyan 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Carla Esparza (17-6-0, +128) vs. [#6] Xiaonan Yan (13-1-0, -156)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #39 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#4SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#46SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Xiaonan Yan | -156 | 58.14% | |
Elo K170 | Carla Esparza | 1791.53 | +87.21 | 59.83% |
Elo Modified | Carla Esparza | 1702.21 | +27.82 | 53.04% |
Glicko-1 | Xiaonan Yan | 1647.61 | +28.55 | 54.10% |
WHR | Xiaonan Yan | 1630.58 | +36.65 | 54.18% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 301, Xiaonan Yan 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 262: Oliveira vs Chandler (05-15-2021)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#3] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0, -135) vs. [#6] Michael Chandler (22-5-0, +110)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #28 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#4LW] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#12LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:28 of round 3
2019-11-16: W vs. [#74LW] Jared Gordon (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (3-0-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#8LW] Dan Hooker (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-08-07: W vs. [#89WW] Ben Henderson (28-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2019-12-29: W vs. [#50LW] Sidney Outlaw (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Charles Oliveira | -135 | 54.67% | |
Elo K170 | Charles Oliveira | 2239.04 | +94.08 | 60.58% |
Elo Modified | Charles Oliveira | 2198.89 | +95.72 | 60.32% |
Glicko-1 | Charles Oliveira | 2303.34 | +134.68 | 68.47% |
WHR | Charles Oliveira | 2092.74 | +66.46 | 57.53% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 154, Michael Chandler 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Oliveira leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#4] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0, +122) vs. [#7] Beneil Dariush (20-4-1, -150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (1-2-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2LW/#9DD] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-06-08: W vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#14LW] Diego Ferreira (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#38LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 4:38 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#51LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Beneil Dariush | -150 | 57.11% | |
Elo K170 | Beneil Dariush | 2120.50 | +14.65 | 51.67% |
Elo Modified | Tony Ferguson | 2065.73 | +35.67 | 53.90% |
Glicko-1 | Tony Ferguson | 2158.68 | +80.36 | 61.36% |
WHR | Tony Ferguson | 1922.00 | +2.59 | 50.30% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 154, Beneil Dariush 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -173) vs. [#26] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +141)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#22MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Jack Hermansson | -173 | 60.43% | |
Elo K170 | Jack Hermansson | 1907.99 | +137.64 | 65.22% |
Elo Modified | Jack Hermansson | 1931.70 | +183.35 | 69.05% |
Glicko-1 | Jack Hermansson | 2013.52 | +249.44 | 80.78% |
WHR | Jack Hermansson | 1874.77 | +237.93 | 74.78% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 161, Edmen Shahbazyan 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Curious Case of Ranking Anthony Johnson
Rarely has a case of determining a fighter’s ranking been as interesting as Anthony Johnson, who recently came back after a 4+ year layoff.
Why? Two main reasons.
- Lost his most recent fight prior to his comeback, albeit in a UFC championship match.
- Dominantly won his comeback fight (after almost getting finished himself) in Bellator, but against an unheralded opponent.
Prior to his comeback, Anthony Johnson was ranked as the #3 LHW here, with 1,225 points. Currently, he sits at #23, with only 192 points. Some of these lost points remain in a “holding pen” so to speak — with the opportunity for Johnson to earn them back if he proves himself against a worthy opponent, soon.
#3 loses to #1. Takes 4+ years off, returns to beat #82. It’s probably safe to say that he’s somewhere between #3 and #82, but exactly where?
Other Sources
- Tapology – Fan-vote driven, they rank Johnson at #23. Hey, sound familiar?
- Ranking MMA – #4. Seems foolish, or entirely driven by one of the popular mathematical ranking systems. We’ll get to that in a moment.
Fight Matrix Alternate Systems
- WHR – #1 and pretty comfortably. WHR does not punish for inactivity, but the decay of recent opponents can negatively affect a fighter’s rating. However, Johnson hasn’t had any recent opponents prior to his comeback.
- Glicko – #4. Inactivity can cause a fighter’s rating to fluctuate more upon return, but Johnson’s inactivity extends way beyond the maximum fluctuation potential.. and he won on his comeback.
- Elo – #3 (both). Elo, the most simplistic system performs better than WHR, the most complicated. I think Glicko gets this one the most correct.
Who’s Right?
Ranking fighters that return from inactivity is probably best left to the humans. If Johnson was 41 instead of 37, I’d be tempted to rank him lower, regardless of how his recent fight went, but that’s largely irrelevant, or is it? Seeing Johnson almost get finished himself, also makes me want to rank him lower, but he ended up winning. Ultimately, I think a ranking in the #20 area is a fair position. What do you think?
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson (05-08-2021)
Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2, -175) vs. [#10] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0, +150)
Michelle Waterson is the All-Time #32 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-1-1)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-25: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#9FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#3SW/#7P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Marina Rodriguez | -175 | 61.40% | |
Elo K170 | Marina Rodriguez | 1654.55 | +74.96 | 58.48% |
Elo Modified | Marina Rodriguez | 1692.05 | +119.79 | 62.82% |
Glicko-1 | Marina Rodriguez | 1705.01 | +165.47 | 72.16% |
WHR | Marina Rodriguez | 1635.94 | +147.45 | 66.23% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 105, Michelle Waterson 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#24] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0, -111) vs. [#42] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, -112)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#34HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#31HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Philipe Lins | -112 | 50.10% | |
Elo K170 | Ben Rothwell | 1706.22 | +211.47 | 72.43% |
Elo Modified | Ben Rothwell | 1711.40 | +145.70 | 65.43% |
Glicko-1 | Ben Rothwell | 1755.28 | +199.51 | 75.92% |
WHR | Ben Rothwell | 1638.07 | +92.14 | 60.37% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 210, Philipe Lins 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (13-9-0, +145) vs. [#15] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0, -177)
Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#27SW] Ashley Yoder (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#75FLY] Paige VanZant (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:21 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#35SW] Randa Markos (10-11-1) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-25)
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Amanda Ribas | -177 | 61.01% | |
Elo K170 | Amanda Ribas | 1502.41 | +34.55 | 53.94% |
Elo Modified | Angela Hill | 1567.54 | +32.35 | 53.53% |
Glicko-1 | Angela Hill | 1573.92 | +65.20 | 59.27% |
WHR | Amanda Ribas | 1533.76 | +33.10 | 53.77% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 56, Amanda Ribas 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Ribas leads 2-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazcka (05-01-2021)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#7] Dominick Reyes (12-2-0, +118) vs. [#10] Jiri Prochazka (27-3-1, -143)
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (1-2-0)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Jan Blachowicz (28-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2
2020-02-08: L vs. [#2LHW/#5P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#15MW] Chris Weidman (15-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#15LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:49 of round 2
2019-12-31: W vs. [*] C.B. Dollaway (17-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#85HW+] Fabio Maldonado (27-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Jiri Prochazka | -143 | 56.19% | |
Elo K170 | Jiri Prochazka | 2006.71 | +81.37 | 59.19% |
Elo Modified | Jiri Prochazka | 1996.68 | +99.00 | 60.67% |
Glicko-1 | Jiri Prochazka | 2103.47 | +163.93 | 71.98% |
WHR | Jiri Prochazka | 2007.65 | +166.04 | 68.11% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dominick Reyes 217, Jiri Prochazka 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#14] Cub Swanson (27-11-0, +163) vs. [#39] Giga Chikadze (13-2-0, -200)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #19 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (2-1-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#47FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Kron Gracie (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#19FW] Shane Burgos (13-2-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#279FW] James Krause-Simmons (7-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#66FW] Omar Morales (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#110BW] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Giga Chikadze | -200 | 63.68% | |
Elo K170 | Cub Swanson | 1824.74 | +149.92 | 66.48% |
Elo Modified | Cub Swanson | 1869.47 | +248.53 | 74.80% |
Glicko-1 | Cub Swanson | 1902.64 | +246.44 | 80.52% |
WHR | Cub Swanson | 1817.23 | +236.84 | 74.69% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 140, Giga Chikadze 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#32] Dustin Jacoby (14-5-0, +108) vs. [#38] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0, -132)
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (3-0-0)
2021-02-27: W vs. [#36LHW] Maxim Grishin (31-9-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#122LHW] Justin Ledet (9-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:38 of round 1
2020-08-04: W vs. [#127LHW] Ty Flores (7-3-0) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#13LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2020-02-29: L vs. [#13LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (15-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#58LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Ion Cutelaba | -132 | 54.20% | |
Elo K170 | Dustin Jacoby | 1694.24 | +112.68 | 62.59% |
Elo Modified | Dustin Jacoby | 1717.29 | +110.56 | 61.87% |
Glicko-1 | Dustin Jacoby | 1710.60 | +74.96 | 60.62% |
WHR | Dustin Jacoby | 1692.06 | +115.54 | 62.90% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 63, Ion Cutelaba 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal II (04-24-2021)
Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0, -414) vs. [#3] Jorge Masvidal (35-14-0, +313)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #4 ranked Welterweight and #34 ranked Absolute fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #22 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 3
2020-07-11: W vs. [#3WW] Jorge Masvidal (35-14-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1WW/#1DD/#1P4P] Kamaru Usman (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2019-11-02: W vs. [*] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:05 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Kamaru Usman | -414 | 76.88% | |
Elo K170 | Kamaru Usman | 2482.67 | +307.83 | 80.32% |
Elo Modified | Kamaru Usman | 2412.54 | +251.86 | 75.08% |
Glicko-1 | Kamaru Usman | 2517.63 | +232.41 | 79.21% |
WHR | Kamaru Usman | 2265.98 | +230.27 | 74.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 70, Jorge Masvidal 287
Previous Match-up Record: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0, -194) vs. [#2/#5DD/#5P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0, +160)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #15 ranked Women’s fighter.
Rose Namajunas is the All-Time #14 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-03-02: W vs. [#9SW] Tecia Torres (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Rose Namajunas (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#2FLY/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0) via KO (Slam) in 2:58 of round 2
2018-04-07: W vs. [#3SW/#8P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Weili Zhang | -194 | 63.17% | |
Elo K170 | Weili Zhang | 1925.02 | +80.15 | 59.05% |
Elo Modified | Weili Zhang | 1847.91 | +53.39 | 55.82% |
Glicko-1 | Weili Zhang | 1881.59 | +131.21 | 68.03% |
WHR | Weili Zhang | 1794.96 | +120.85 | 63.46% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 413, Rose Namajunas 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rose Namajunas leads 4-3
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0, -418) vs. [#2/#8DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (21-8-0, +315)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-7-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#5FLY] Liz Carmouche (15-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (1-2-0)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#3FLY/#10DD] Katlyn Chookagian (15-4-0) via KO (Punches to the Body) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#5P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Valentina Shevchenko | -418 | 77.00% | |
Elo K170 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1941.72 | +157.10 | 67.21% |
Elo Modified | Valentina Shevchenko | 1941.84 | +124.77 | 63.32% |
Glicko-1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1954.85 | +114.97 | 65.97% |
WHR | Valentina Shevchenko | 1939.97 | +200.06 | 71.38% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 154, Jessica Andrade 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 4-1
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ABC 2: Vettori vs. Holland (2021-04-10)
Middleweight (185)
[#7] Marvin Vettori (15-4-1, -326) vs. [#13] Kevin Holland (21-6-0, +250)
Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#10MW] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#48MW] Karl Roberson (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#62MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via UD (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:45 of round 1
2020-10-31: W vs. [#259MW] Charlie Ontiveros (11-7-0) via TKO (Submission to Slam) in 2:39 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Marvin Vettori | -326 | 72.81% | |
Elo K170 | Marvin Vettori | 1980.25 | +114.21 | 62.75% |
Elo Modified | Marvin Vettori | 1997.93 | +154.71 | 66.31% |
Glicko-1 | Marvin Vettori | 2053.35 | +139.22 | 69.03% |
WHR | Marvin Vettori | 1958.84 | +189.44 | 70.38% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marvin Vettori 126, Kevin Holland 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Arnold Allen (16-1-0, +109) vs. [#18] Sodiq Yusuff (11-1-0, -134)
Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [*] Nik Lentz (30-12-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (3-0-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#27FW] Andre Fili (21-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#60FW] Gabriel Benitez (22-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [*] Sheymon Moraes (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Sodiq Yusuff | -134 | 54.47% | |
Elo K170 | Arnold Allen | 1917.33 | +70.81 | 58.02% |
Elo Modified | Arnold Allen | 1903.97 | +41.16 | 54.49% |
Glicko-1 | Arnold Allen | 1938.37 | +79.23 | 61.21% |
WHR | Arnold Allen | 1883.56 | +243.89 | 75.29% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 441, Sodiq Yusuff 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#38] Aliaskhab Khizriev (13-0-0, -124) vs. [#52] Kyle Daukaus (10-1-0, +100)
Last 3 Fights: Aliaskhab Khizriev (3-0-0)
2020-09-08: W vs. [#128MW] Henrique Shiguemoto (13-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-03-30: W vs. [*] Rousimar Palhares (19-10-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-09-29: W vs. [#28MW] Yasubey Enomoto (21-12-0) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (2-1-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#98MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#33MW] Brendan Allen (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-02-01: W vs. [#177MW] Nolan Norwood (12-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:36 of round 2
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Aliaskhab Khizriev | -124 | 52.54% | |
Elo K170 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 1736.03 | +65.00 | 57.37% |
Elo Modified | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 1758.09 | +40.41 | 54.41% |
Glicko-1 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 1805.45 | +83.73 | 61.82% |
WHR | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 1777.50 | +147.56 | 66.24% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aliaskhab Khizriev 214, Kyle Daukaus 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 256: Bader vs. Machida 2 (2021-04-09)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Lyoto Machida (26-10-0, +233) vs. [#11] Ryan Bader (27-6-0, -304)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #7 ranked Light Heavyweight and #18 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #17 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (1-2-0)
2020-09-11: L vs. [#5LHW] Phil Davis (22-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#3MW/#10P4P] Gegard Mousasi (47-7-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-06-14: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (31-17-1) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 0:22 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2020-08-21: L vs. [#3LHW] Vadim Nemkov (13-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:02 of round 2
2019-09-07: NC vs. [#18HW+] Cheick Kongo (30-11-2)
2019-01-26: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (39-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Ryan Bader | -304 | 71.47% | |
Elo K170 | Ryan Bader | 2133.85 | +226.68 | 73.80% |
Elo Modified | Ryan Bader | 2107.76 | +118.54 | 62.69% |
Glicko-1 | Ryan Bader | 2140.41 | +56.85 | 58.11% |
WHR | Ryan Bader | 1952.72 | +57.17 | 56.49% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 210, Ryan Bader 231
Previous Match-up Record: Lyoto Machida leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-2
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#6] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0, -182) vs. [*] Vanessa Porto (22-8-0, +148)
Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#48BW] DeAnna Bennett (10-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-08-10: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (20-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#12FW] Lucie Pudilova (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Porto (3-0-0)
2019-11-01: W vs. [*] Karina Rodriguez (8-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-02-15: W vs. [#37FLY] Pearl Gonzalez (10-5-0) via TUD (39-37, 40-36, 39-37)
2018-01-13: W vs. [#11FW] Mariana Morais (16-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Liz Carmouche | -182 | 61.54% | |
Elo K170 | Liz Carmouche | 1596.15 | +33.76 | 53.85% |
Elo Modified | Liz Carmouche | 1634.42 | +50.05 | 55.46% |
Glicko-1 | Liz Carmouche | 1630.93 | +49.28 | 57.05% |
WHR | Liz Carmouche | 1595.68 | +49.63 | 55.65% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Liz Carmouche 209, Vanessa Porto 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#30] Jeremy Kennedy (16-2-0, -119) vs. [#48] Adam Borics (16-1-0, -108)
Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Kennedy (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2020-11-19: W vs. [#109FW] Matt Bessette (24-10-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-10-17: NC vs. [#43FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [*] Luis Rafael Laurentino (34-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Adam Borics (2-1-0)
2020-10-29: W vs. [#486LW] Erick Sanchez (9-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-08-07: W vs. [#246LW] Mike Hamel (7-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#16FW] Darrion Caldwell (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:20 of round 1
System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
Betting Odds | Jeremy Kennedy | -119 | 51.13% | |
Elo K170 | Jeremy Kennedy | 1801.92 | +23.26 | 52.65% |
Elo Modified | Jeremy Kennedy | 1822.40 | +83.03 | 58.99% |
Glicko-1 | Jeremy Kennedy | 1861.84 | +137.07 | 68.76% |
WHR | Jeremy Kennedy | 1748.51 | +109.29 | 62.23% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jeremy Kennedy 141, Adam Borics 162
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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