Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs Tate (11-20-2021)

Nov 15, 2021
Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Miesha Tate (19-7-0, -116) vs. [#12] Ketlen Vieira (11-2-0, -106)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (1-2-0)
2021-07-17: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 3
2016-11-12: L vs. [#4BW] Raquel Pennington (12-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Vieira (1-2-0)
2021-02-20: L vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#16FLY] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#5BW] Irene Aldana (13-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:51 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miesha Tate -116 51.06%
Elo K170 Miesha Tate 1584.18 +77.60 58.77%
Elo Modified Miesha Tate 1618.29 +104.12 61.20%
Glicko-1 Miesha Tate 1612.40 +132.94 68.25%
WHR Miesha Tate 1652.24 +217.57 72.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miesha Tate 126, Ketlen Vieira 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ketlen Vieira leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#8] Michael Chiesa (18-5-0, +128) vs. [#26] Sean Brady (14-0-0, -155)
Michael Chiesa is the All-Time #49 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#5WW] Vicente Luque (21-7-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1
2021-01-20: W vs. [#9WW] Neil Magny (25-8-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#5LW] Rafael dos Anjos (30-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (3-0-0)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#57WW] Jake Matthews (17-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:28 of round 3
2020-08-29: W vs. [#171WW] Christian Aguilera (14-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:47 of round 2
2020-02-29: W vs. [#70WW] Ismail Naurdiev (21-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Brady -155 58.08%
Elo K170 Michael Chiesa 2054.03 +111.86 62.50%
Elo Modified Michael Chiesa 2013.02 +80.03 58.67%
Glicko-1 Michael Chiesa 2062.39 +81.17 61.47%
WHR Michael Chiesa 1891.85 +16.68 51.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chiesa 105, Sean Brady 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#45] Rani Yahya (27-10-1, -112) vs. [*] Kyung Ho Kang (17-8-0, -110)
Rani Yahya is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rani Yahya (1-1-1)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#166BW] Ray Rodriguez (16-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:09 of round 2
2020-03-14: D vs. [*] Enrique Barzola (17-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-02-09: L vs. [#19BW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kyung Ho Kang (3-0-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [*] Pingyuan Liu (15-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#170BW] Brandon Davis (14-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#352BW] Teruto Ishihara (10-9-3) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rani Yahya -112 50.21%
Elo K170 Rani Yahya 1709.03 +24.75 52.82%
Elo Modified Rani Yahya 1718.74 +93.33 60.07%
Glicko-1 Rani Yahya 1777.89 +145.63 69.81%
WHR Rani Yahya 1650.63 +87.28 59.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rani Yahya 252, Kyung Ho Kang 700
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#8] Taila Santos (18-1-0, -305) vs. [#12] Joanne Wood (15-6-0, +241)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#25FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#31FLY] Gillian Robertson (9-6-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-26)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#52FLY] Molly McCann (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Wood (1-2-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#7FLY] Lauren Murphy (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#18FLY] Jessica Eye (15-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#4FLY] Jennifer Maia (19-7-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Taila Santos -305 71.97%
Elo K170 Taila Santos 1652.81 +152.51 66.75%
Elo Modified Taila Santos 1680.65 +139.73 64.83%
Glicko-1 Taila Santos 1702.37 +179.73 73.78%
WHR Taila Santos 1648.00 +150.63 66.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 56, Joanne Wood 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#63] Adrian Yanez (14-3-0, -251) vs. [#80] Davey Grant (13-5-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (3-0-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#271BW] Randy Costa (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [#137BW] Gustavo Lopez (12-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:27 of round 3
2020-10-31: W vs. [#319FLY] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:46 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: L vs. [#8BW] Marlon Vera (19-7-1) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#75BW] Jonathan Martinez (14-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:03 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#835FW] Martin Day (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Adrian Yanez -251 68.20%
Elo K170 Adrian Yanez 1666.68 +99.78 61.20%
Elo Modified Adrian Yanez 1664.24 +110.07 61.82%
Glicko-1 Adrian Yanez 1725.34 +137.60 68.83%
WHR Adrian Yanez 1603.59 +53.18 56.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adrian Yanez 119, Davey Grant 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#57] Pat Sabatini (15-3-0, -165) vs. [#62] Tucker Lutz (12-1-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Pat Sabatini (3-0-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#142FW] Jamall Emmers (18-6-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:53 of round 1
2021-04-24: W vs. [#173FW] Tristan Connelly (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-12-18: W vs. [#509FW] Jesse Stirn (11-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tucker Lutz (3-0-0)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#96FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-11-17: W vs. [#547LW] Sherrard Blackledge (5-1-0) via UD ()
2020-09-01: W vs. [#440FW] Chase Gibson (10-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Pat Sabatini -165 59.50%
Elo K170 Pat Sabatini 1673.36 +52.38 55.95%
Elo Modified Pat Sabatini 1693.17 +43.19 54.71%
Glicko-1 Pat Sabatini 1764.04 +100.29 64.05%
WHR Pat Sabatini 1680.66 +97.24 60.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pat Sabatini 84, Tucker Lutz 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#141] Rafa Garcia (12-2-0, -102) vs. [#425] Natan Levy (6-0-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (1-2-0)
2021-07-31: L vs. [#79LW] Chris Gruetzemacher (15-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#53LW] Nasrat Haqparast (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-21: W vs. [*] Humberto Bandenay (18-8-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Natan Levy (3-0-0)
2020-11-10: W vs. [#648FW] Shaheen Santana (6-2-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 0:55 of round 3
2020-08-21: W vs. [*] Ben Lugo (5-4-0) via MD ()
2019-06-07: W vs. [NA] Nicholas Badis (1-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Natan Levy -121 52.01%
Elo K170 Rafa Garcia 1504.79 +78.48 58.87%
Elo Modified Rafa Garcia 1530.42 +85.02 59.20%
Glicko-1 Rafa Garcia 1524.09 +143.54 69.56%
WHR Rafa Garcia 1493.64 +187.01 70.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafa Garcia 112, Natan Levy 375
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#30] Konklak Suphisara (6-2-0) vs. [#39] Lupita Godinez (6-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Konklak Suphisara (2-1-0)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#89SW] Sam Hughes (5-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#19SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#14SW] Angela Hill (13-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lupita Godinez (1-2-0)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#42FLY] Luana Carolina (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-10-09: W vs. [#100FLY] Silvana Gomez Juarez (10-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:14 of round 1
2021-04-17: L vs. [#25SW] Jessica Penne (14-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Konklak Suphisara 1375.25 +79.02 58.93%
Elo Modified Lupita Godinez 1375.37 +22.81 52.49%
Glicko-1 Lupita Godinez 1322.48 +8.40 51.21%
WHR Lupita Godinez 1330.48 +41.69 54.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Konklak Suphisara 203, Lupita Godinez 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#134] Terrance McKinney (11-3-0, -111) vs. [#160] Fares Ziam (12-3-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (3-0-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#202LW] Matt Frevola (8-3-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:07 of round 1
2021-06-04: W vs. [#1011LW] Michael Irizarry (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:12 of round 1
2021-04-30: W vs. [#545LW] Luiz Antonio Lobo Gavinho (10-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#318LW] Luigi Vendramini (9-3-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#66LW] Jamie Mullarkey (15-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#119LW] Don Madge (10-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Terrance McKinney -111 50.10%
Elo K170 Fares Ziam 1585.27 +46.73 55.32%
Elo Modified Fares Ziam 1590.55 +26.56 52.90%
Glicko-1 Fares Ziam 1589.48 +4.38 50.63%
WHR Fares Ziam 1533.60 +31.21 53.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Terrance McKinney 161, Fares Ziam 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#138] Cody Durden (11-3-1, -118) vs. [#160] Qileng Aori (18-8-0, -105)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Durden (1-1-1)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#17FLY] Jimmy Flick (16-5-0) via Submission (Flying Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 1
2020-08-01: D vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (17-4-2) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2020-07-18: W vs. [#221BW] John Sweeney (9-3-0) via TKO in 1:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#36FLY] Jeff Molina (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2020-01-03: W vs. [#1114FW] Khizri Abdulaev (6-3-0) via KO in 3:38 of round 2
2019-10-18: W vs. [*] Amirlan Amirov (5-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cody Durden -118 51.38%
Elo K170 Cody Durden 1451.38 +50.98 55.80%
Elo Modified Cody Durden 1469.49 +59.64 56.49%
Glicko-1 Cody Durden 1477.87 +45.00 56.44%
WHR Cody Durden 1425.78 +76.90 58.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Durden 336, Qileng Aori 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#120] Sean Soriano (14-7-0, -270) vs. [#263] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (19-7-0, +220)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Soriano (2-1-0)
2021-05-15: L vs. [#75LW] Christos Giagos (19-9-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2021-03-20: W vs. [#461LW] Noad Lahat (13-5-0) via TKO in 2:01 of round 1
2020-09-18: W vs. [#300FW] Jose Mariscal (10-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#121FW] Joshua Culibao (10-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-26: W vs. [#861FW] Tanzhao Wang (3-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 1
2020-11-27: W vs. [#815LW] Nuerdebieke Bahetihan (20-13-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Soriano -270 70.01%
Elo K170 Sean Soriano 1520.17 +143.55 65.83%
Elo Modified Sean Soriano 1552.35 +180.54 68.79%
Glicko-1 Sean Soriano 1527.57 +134.80 68.48%
WHR Sean Soriano 1463.90 +102.63 61.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Soriano 189, Nuerdanbieke Shayilan 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#23] Luana Pinheiro (9-1-0) vs. [#89] Sam Hughes (5-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (3-0-0)
2021-05-01: W vs. [#22SW] Randa Markos (11-11-1) via Disqualification (Illegal Upkick) in 4:16 of round 1
2020-11-10: W vs. [#105SW] Stephanie Frausto (8-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [*] Helen Harper (4-3-0) via TKO in 3:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (1-2-0)
2021-05-01: L vs. [#30SW] Konklak Suphisara (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#5SW] Tecia Torres (13-5-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-10-16: W vs. [#216FLY] Danielle Hindley (4-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Luana Pinheiro 1449.38 +299.69 79.73%
Elo Modified Luana Pinheiro 1442.06 +252.49 75.13%
Glicko-1 Luana Pinheiro 1486.33 +345.22 87.94%
WHR Luana Pinheiro 1395.31 +253.19 76.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luana Pinheiro 203, Sam Hughes 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Michael Chiesa
Highest Stored DD Rating: Michael Chiesa
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2021-11-14

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