Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo (12-04-2021)

29 Nov , 2021,
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Jose Aldo (30-7-0, +125) vs. [#6] Rob Font (19-4-0, -152)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #43 ranked Bantamweight and #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Rob Font is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#9BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Vera (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2BW/#10P4P] Petr Yan (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (3-0-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#12BW] Cody Garbrandt (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#13BW] Marlon Moraes (23-9-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#19BW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -152 57.57%
Elo K170 Rob Font 2063.37 +11.89 51.36%
Elo Modified Jose Aldo 2071.91 +44.34 54.84%
Glicko-1 Jose Aldo 2131.09 +66.75 59.49%
WHR Jose Aldo 1953.30 +39.00 54.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 119, Rob Font 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16] Rafael Fiziev (10-1-0, -118) vs. [#22] Brad Riddell (10-1-0, -105)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (3-0-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#19LW] Bobby Green (28-12-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#38LW] Renato Carneiro (15-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [#176LW] Marc Diakiese (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Riddell (3-0-0)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#32LW] Drew Dober (23-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#253LW] Alex da Silva Coelho (21-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [*] Magomed Mustafaev (14-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-82)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -118 51.38%
Elo K170 Rafael Fiziev 1818.66 +41.50 54.73%
Elo Modified Rafael Fiziev 1817.72 +63.59 56.92%
Glicko-1 Rafael Fiziev 1859.62 +101.66 64.23%
WHR Rafael Fiziev 1807.02 +126.94 64.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 119, Brad Riddell 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brad Riddell leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#41] Leonardo Santos (18-4-1, -185) vs. [#59] Clay Guida (36-21-0, +152)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #32 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leonardo Santos (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#27LW] Grant Dawson (17-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2020-07-11: W vs. [#47FW] Roman Bogatov (12-1-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-26)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Stevie Ray (23-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#57LW] Mark O. Madsen (11-0-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#155LW] Michael Johnson (19-17-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#19LW] Bobby Green (28-12-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Leonardo Santos -185 62.06%
Elo K170 Leonardo Santos 1899.20 +339.85 82.53%
Elo Modified Leonardo Santos 1875.51 +236.40 73.78%
Glicko-1 Leonardo Santos 1893.85 +237.96 79.73%
WHR Leonardo Santos 1829.68 +219.80 73.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leonardo Santos 259, Clay Guida 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Clay Guida leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#23] Jamahal Hill (9-1-0, +152) vs. [#25] Jimmy Crute (12-2-0, -183)

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#16LHW] Paul Craig (15-4-1) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:59 of round 1
2020-12-05: W vs. [#53HW+] Ovince St. Preux (25-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2020-05-30: W vs. [#90HW+] Klidson Abreu (15-6-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Crute (2-1-0)
2021-04-24: L vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (36-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-10-17: W vs. [#70LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1
2020-02-22: W vs. [#34LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (18-4-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jimmy Crute -183 61.97%
Elo K170 Jimmy Crute 1702.83 +39.56 54.50%
Elo Modified Jimmy Crute 1727.39 +26.42 52.89%
Glicko-1 Jimmy Crute 1758.99 +36.43 55.22%
WHR Jimmy Crute 1673.45 +66.03 57.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 175, Jimmy Crute 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jimmy Crute leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#24] Brendan Allen (17-4-0) vs. [#41] Chris Curtis (27-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#62MW] Punahele Soriano (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-04-24: W vs. [#69MW] Karl Roberson (9-4-0) via Submission (Ankle Lock) in 4:55 of round 1
2020-11-14: L vs. [#10MW] Sean Strickland (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chris Curtis (3-0-0)
2021-11-06: W vs. [#85MW] Phil Hawes (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2021-07-30: W vs. [#398WW] Kenny Robertson (15-7-0) via UD ()
2021-05-14: W vs. [#239LHW] Jarome Hatch (26-19-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 1:30 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 1876.54 +59.82 56.79%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 1888.10 +49.63 55.41%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 1932.40 +14.90 52.14%
WHR Brendan Allen 1821.59 +38.04 54.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 133, Chris Curtis 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#115] Dusko Todorovic (10-2-0) vs. [#184] Maki Pitolo (13-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Dusko Todorovic (1-2-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#51MW] Gregory Rodrigues (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#62MW] Punahele Soriano (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-10-03: W vs. [#256MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Maki Pitolo (0-3-0)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#40MW] Julian Marquez (9-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2020-08-29: L vs. [#182WW] Impa Kasanganay (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#72LHW] Darren Stewart (12-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Dusko Todorovic 1469.56 +177.26 69.21%
Elo Modified Dusko Todorovic 1529.33 +176.27 68.39%
Glicko-1 Dusko Todorovic 1534.36 +202.84 76.27%
WHR Dusko Todorovic 1505.08 +187.32 70.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dusko Todorovic 182, Maki Pitolo 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#57] Jake Matthews (17-5-0, -193) vs. [#72] Jeremiah Wells (9-2-1, +159)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#8WW] Sean Brady (15-0-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:28 of round 3
2020-09-26: W vs. [#92WW] Diego Sanchez (30-13-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-22: W vs. [*] Emil Meek (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jeremiah Wells (3-0-0)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#84WW] Warlley Alves (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#645WW] Marco Smallman (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:51 of round 2
2019-06-14: W vs. [NA] Mumia Abu Dey-Ali (3-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jake Matthews -193 63.04%
Elo K170 Jake Matthews 1775.51 +155.28 67.03%
Elo Modified Jake Matthews 1765.77 +108.37 61.64%
Glicko-1 Jake Matthews 1785.32 +95.68 63.43%
WHR Jake Matthews 1707.98 +71.72 58.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Matthews 273, Jeremiah Wells 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#7] Manel Kape (16-6-0, -220) vs. [#26] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-5-0, +177)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov is the All-Time #44 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (1-2-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#38FLY] Ode Osbourne (10-4-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2021-03-13: L vs. [#5FLY] Matheus Nicolau (17-2-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-06: L vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (24-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Zhalgas Zhumagulov (1-2-0)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#117FLY] Jerome Rivera (10-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2021-01-23: L vs. [#17FLY] Amir Albazi (14-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#33BW] Raulian Paiva (21-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -220 65.56%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1618.73 +48.09 55.47%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1667.95 +107.79 61.58%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1740.03 +164.13 72.00%
WHR Manel Kape 1710.85 +139.52 65.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 119, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#56] Cheyanne Buys (6-2-0, -190) vs. [#60] Mallory Martin (7-4-0, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Cheyanne Buys (2-1-0)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#97SW] Gloria de Paula (5-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2021-03-20: L vs. [#45SW] Montserrat Ruiz (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2020-08-18: W vs. [#182SW] Hilarie Rose (5-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mallory Martin (1-2-0)
2021-02-13: L vs. [#28SW] Polyana Viana (12-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:18 of round 1
2020-08-29: W vs. [*] Hannah Cifers (10-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:33 of round 2
2019-12-07: L vs. [#13SW] Virna Jandiroba (17-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:16 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cheyanne Buys -190 63.10%
Elo K170 Cheyanne Buys 1295.60 +38.65 54.40%
Elo Modified Cheyanne Buys 1301.38 +18.33 52.00%
Glicko-1 Cheyanne Buys 1278.32 +9.10 51.31%
WHR Mallory Martin 1265.95 +9.63 51.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cheyanne Buys 126, Mallory Martin 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#32] Alonzo Menifield (11-2-0, -172) vs. [#66] William Knight (10-2-0, +142)

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#43LHW] Ed Herman (26-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-03-27: W vs. [#142LHW] Fabio Cherant (7-3-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:11 of round 1
2020-09-05: L vs. [#53HW+] Ovince St. Preux (25-16-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: William Knight (2-1-0)
2021-08-21: W vs. [#142LHW] Fabio Cherant (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 1
2021-04-10: L vs. [#28LHW] Da Un Jung (15-2-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-09-26: W vs. [#135LHW] Aleksa Camur (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alonzo Menifield -172 60.48%
Elo K170 Alonzo Menifield 1669.39 +137.65 65.22%
Elo Modified Alonzo Menifield 1707.60 +135.08 64.37%
Glicko-1 Alonzo Menifield 1738.12 +147.58 70.05%
WHR Alonzo Menifield 1604.34 +88.74 60.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alonzo Menifield 119, William Knight 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#78] Chris Gruetzemacher (15-4-0, -122) vs. [#143] Claudio Puelles (10-3-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gruetzemacher (2-1-0)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#134LW] Rafa Garcia (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-10-31: L vs. [#29LW] Alexander Hernandez (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:46 of round 1
2018-04-07: W vs. [*] Joe Lauzon (28-15-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Claudio Puelles (3-0-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#278LW] Jordan Leavitt (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#1008LW] Marcos Mariano (7-7-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#619LW] Felipe Silva (9-5-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:23 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chris Gruetzemacher -122 52.23%
Elo K170 Claudio Puelles 1675.97 +45.44 55.17%
Elo Modified Claudio Puelles 1691.35 +45.34 54.95%
Glicko-1 Claudio Puelles 1697.92 +57.54 58.21%
WHR Claudio Puelles 1599.29 +74.18 58.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gruetzemacher 126, Claudio Puelles 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, +193) vs. [#61] Azamat Murzakanov (10-0-0, -241)

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#30HW+] Tanner Boser (20-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#37HW+] Andrei Arlovski (32-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Azamat Murzakanov (3-0-0)
2021-08-31: W vs. [#178LHW] Matheus Scheffel (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#120LHW] Mohammad Fakhreddine (14-4-0) via TKO in 3:47 of round 1
2019-11-15: W vs. [#147HW+] Guto Inocente (10-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Azamat Murzakanov -241 67.43%
Elo K170 Azamat Murzakanov 1637.21 +142.38 65.71%
Elo Modified Azamat Murzakanov 1660.52 +94.74 60.22%
Glicko-1 Azamat Murzakanov 1714.94 +158.94 71.40%
WHR Azamat Murzakanov 1810.77 +253.69 76.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Philipe Lins 525, Azamat Murzakanov 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24] Alex Morono (20-7-0, -232) vs. [#117] Mickey Gall (7-3-0, +185)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2021-09-04: W vs. [#88WW] David Zawada (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#56WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 1
2020-12-19: L vs. [#23LW] Anthony Pettis (24-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (2-1-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#376WW] Jordan Williams (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 1
2020-06-27: L vs. [#62WW] Mike Perry (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-03: W vs. [*] Salim Touahri (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Morono -232 66.57%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1811.03 +292.58 79.20%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1822.29 +267.02 76.30%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1887.93 +291.54 84.27%
WHR Alex Morono 1777.94 +254.46 76.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 91, Mickey Gall 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#89] Louis Smolka (17-7-0, -140) vs. [#208] Vince Morales (10-5-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (2-1-0)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#91BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 2
2020-05-30: L vs. [#34BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:03 of round 1
2019-09-14: W vs. [#445FW] Ryan MacDonald (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vince Morales (1-2-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#391BW] Drako Rodriguez (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-05-30: L vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (17-4-2) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 4:27 of round 2
2019-07-13: L vs. [*] Benito Lopez (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Louis Smolka -140 55.63%
Elo K170 Louis Smolka 1565.99 +147.60 66.25%
Elo Modified Louis Smolka 1571.86 +141.55 65.02%
Glicko-1 Louis Smolka 1586.21 +188.64 74.76%
WHR Louis Smolka 1551.94 +181.28 69.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Louis Smolka 364, Vince Morales 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jose Aldo
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jose Aldo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jose Aldo vs. Rob Font
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jose Aldo vs. Rob Font
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2021-11-28