Fight Matrix Program – UFC 268: Holloway vs Rodriguez (11-13-2021)

Nov 8, 2021
Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2/#6DD] Max Holloway (22-6-0, -543) vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0, +389)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (1-2-0)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#7FW] Calvin Kattar (22-5-0) via UD (50-43, 50-43, 50-42)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#1FW/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (23-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (23-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#75LW] Jeremy Stephens (28-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-21: NC vs. [#75LW] Jeremy Stephens (28-19-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#6FW] Chan Sung Jung (17-6-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -543 80.50%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2188.25 +240.62 75.01%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2192.62 +291.11 78.15%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2292.37 +337.12 87.44%
WHR Max Holloway 2113.05 +308.13 80.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 301, Yair Rodriguez 757
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 3-2
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#27] Ben Rothwell (39-13-0, -160) vs. [#44] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (18-7-1, +132)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #50 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: W vs. [#77HW+] Chris Barnett (22-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:07 of round 2
2020-10-10: L vs. [#12HW+] Marcin Tybura (22-7-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#32LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-16-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (2-1-0)
2021-05-08: W vs. [#62HW+] Maurice Greene (9-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-11-07: L vs. [#38HW+] Alexander Romanov (15-0-0) via Technical Submission (Forearm Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-02-22: W vs. [*] Ben Sosoli (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ben Rothwell -160 58.81%
Elo K170 Ben Rothwell 1737.57 +155.58 67.06%
Elo Modified Ben Rothwell 1738.73 +117.22 62.55%
Glicko-1 Ben Rothwell 1793.74 +160.23 71.55%
WHR Ben Rothwell 1668.45 +102.83 61.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 175, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ben Rothwell leads 2-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#32] Ovince St. Preux (25-16-0, +123) vs. [*] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, -149)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #46 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#32HW+] Tanner Boser (20-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
2020-12-05: L vs. [#23LHW] Jamahal Hill (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2020-09-05: W vs. [#33LHW] Alonzo Menifield (11-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#32HW+] Tanner Boser (20-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#37HW+] Andrei Arlovski (32-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Philipe Lins -149 57.16%
Elo K170 Philipe Lins 1494.83 +3.05 50.35%
Elo Modified Ovince St. Preux 1595.18 +29.42 53.21%
Glicko-1 Ovince St. Preux 1620.97 +65.08 59.26%
WHR Ovince St. Preux 1589.62 +28.83 53.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 140, Philipe Lins 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#7] Felicia Spencer (8-3-0, -323) vs. [*] Leah Letson (5-1-0, +244)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (1-2-0)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#4FW] Norma Dumont (7-1-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (21-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2020-02-29: W vs. [*] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Leah Letson (3-0-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#34BW] Julija Stoliarenko (9-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-01-14: W vs. [#65BW] Elizabeth Phillips (7-8-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1
2016-07-30: W vs. [NA] Sarah Payant (3-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Felicia Spencer -323 72.42%
Elo K170 Felicia Spencer 1387.20 +93.23 60.49%
Elo Modified Felicia Spencer 1477.73 +170.20 67.81%
Glicko-1 Felicia Spencer 1504.35 +244.50 80.33%
WHR Felicia Spencer 1499.17 +214.87 72.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Felicia Spencer 175, Leah Letson 1079
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Yadong Song (17-5-1, -157) vs. [#46] Julio Arce (17-4-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#34BW] Casey Kenney (16-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2021-03-06: L vs. [#35BW] Kyler Phillips (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Vera (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Julio Arce (2-1-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#239FW] Andre Ewell (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 2
2019-11-02: L vs. [#59FW] Hakeem Dawodu (12-2-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#36FW] Julian Erosa (26-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:49 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -157 58.31%
Elo K170 Yadong Song 1795.41 +131.87 64.62%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1757.60 +18.57 52.03%
Glicko-1 Julio Arce 1780.75 +9.48 51.36%
WHR Julio Arce 1716.59 +27.66 53.15%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 98, Julio Arce 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#57] Roman Dolidze (9-1-0, +194) vs. [#86] Kyle Daukaus (10-2-0, -246)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#165MW] Laureano Staropoli (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#46MW] Trevin Giles (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-05: W vs. [#89LHW] John Allan (14-7-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Daukaus (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2021-10-02: NC vs. [#11MW] Kevin Holland (21-7-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#85MW] Phil Hawes (11-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 30-26)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#144MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kyle Daukaus -246 67.64%
Elo K170 Roman Dolidze 1597.40 +29.50 53.36%
Elo Modified Kyle Daukaus 1620.05 +20.35 52.22%
Glicko-1 Kyle Daukaus 1627.39 +17.01 52.45%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1548.42 +12.89 51.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Kyle Daukaus 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#137] Sean Woodson (8-1-0, -271) vs. [#470] Collin Anglin (8-2-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Woodson (2-1-0)
2021-06-05: W vs. [#188FW] Youssef Zalal (10-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#36FW] Julian Erosa (26-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:44 of round 3
2019-10-18: W vs. [#154FW] Kyle Bochniak (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Collin Anglin (2-1-0)
2021-07-31: L vs. [#129FW] Melsik Baghdasaryan (7-1-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:50 of round 2
2020-09-15: W vs. [#527FW] Muhammadjon Naimov (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-01-29: W vs. [*] William Frost (1-2-0) via TKO in 1:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Woodson -271 69.63%
Elo K170 Sean Woodson 1483.40 +186.63 70.11%
Elo Modified Sean Woodson 1492.65 +175.90 68.35%
Glicko-1 Sean Woodson 1448.66 +142.97 69.49%
WHR Sean Woodson 1450.66 +199.23 71.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Woodson 161, Collin Anglin 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#38] Cortney Casey (9-9-0, -206) vs. [#102] Liana Jojua (8-4-0, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: L vs. [#30FLY] J.J. Aldrich (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#31FLY] Gillian Robertson (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:36 of round 3
2020-05-16: W vs. [#88FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Liana Jojua (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#21FLY] Miranda Maverick (9-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2020-07-15: W vs. [#76SW] Diana Belbita (14-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:47 of round 1
2019-09-07: L vs. [#40BW] Sarah Moras (6-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cortney Casey -206 64.34%
Elo K170 Cortney Casey 1249.96 +8.23 50.94%
Elo Modified Cortney Casey 1377.38 +115.66 62.39%
Glicko-1 Cortney Casey 1362.01 +125.98 67.38%
WHR Cortney Casey 1339.41 +106.55 61.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cortney Casey 245, Liana Jojua 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#17] Thiago Moises (15-5-0, -217) vs. [#82] Joel Alvarez (18-2-0, +175)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (2-1-0)
2021-07-17: L vs. [#6LW] Islam Makhachev (21-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2021-02-27: W vs. [#28LW] Alexander Hernandez (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#20LW] Bobby Green (28-12-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2020-10-24: W vs. [#163LW] Alexander Yakovlev (25-11-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:00 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [*] Joseph Duffy (16-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:25 of round 1
2019-06-01: W vs. [#283MW] Danilo Belluardo (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:22 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Thiago Moises -217 65.30%
Elo K170 Thiago Moises 1851.09 +87.34 59.84%
Elo Modified Thiago Moises 1842.11 +70.16 57.62%
Glicko-1 Joel Alvarez 1866.83 +2.58 50.37%
WHR Thiago Moises 1771.77 +18.03 52.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Moises 119, Joel Alvarez 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#37] Da Un Jung (14-2-1, -139) vs. [#50] Kennedy Nzechukwu (9-1-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Da Un Jung (2-0-1)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#69LHW] William Knight (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2020-10-24: D vs. [#90MW] Sam Alvey (33-16-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-12-21: W vs. [#111LHW] Mike Rodriguez (11-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (3-0-0)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#87LHW] Danilo Marques (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 3
2021-03-06: W vs. [#176LHW] Carlos Ulberg (3-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 2
2019-08-03: W vs. [#61HW+] Darko Stosic (16-4-0) via UD (29-26, 28-27, 28-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Da Un Jung -139 55.56%
Elo K170 Da Un Jung 1675.13 +103.58 61.61%
Elo Modified Da Un Jung 1689.08 +56.18 56.12%
Glicko-1 Da Un Jung 1748.20 +141.70 69.33%
WHR Da Un Jung 1644.45 +50.72 55.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Da Un Jung 217, Kennedy Nzechukwu 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#50] Miguel Baeza (10-1-0, -144) vs. [#62] Kalinn Williams (12-2-0, +118)

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (2-1-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#28WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (28-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#88WW] Takashi Sato (16-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:28 of round 2
2020-05-16: W vs. [#58WW] Matt Brown (23-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#140WW] Matthew Semelsberger (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-12-19: L vs. [#49WW] Michel Pereira (27-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-14: W vs. [#68MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (11-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miguel Baeza -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Miguel Baeza 1719.43 +49.96 55.68%
Elo Modified Miguel Baeza 1688.59 +14.02 51.53%
Glicko-1 Miguel Baeza 1742.82 +29.21 54.19%
WHR Miguel Baeza 1662.31 +53.46 56.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miguel Baeza 161, Kalinn Williams 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#10] Cynthia Calvillo (9-3-1, -105) vs. [#14] Andrea Lee (12-5-0, -118)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (1-2-0)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FLY/#7DD/#10P4P] Jessica Andrade (22-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 1
2020-11-21: L vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#18FLY] Jessica Eye (15-10-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Andrea Lee (1-2-0)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#33FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (9-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:52 of round 2
2020-09-12: L vs. [#25FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-19-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#6FLY] Lauren Murphy (15-5-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andrea Lee -118 51.38%
Elo K170 Cynthia Calvillo 1542.20 +135.73 65.02%
Elo Modified Cynthia Calvillo 1566.84 +88.29 59.55%
Glicko-1 Cynthia Calvillo 1547.33 +29.94 54.30%
WHR Cynthia Calvillo 1486.64 +13.46 51.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cynthia Calvillo 49, Andrea Lee 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cynthia Calvillo leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#108] Rafael Alves (19-10-0, +121) vs. [*] Marc Diakiese (14-4-0, -151)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Alves (2-1-0)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#40LW] Damir Ismagulov (23-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-08-25: W vs. [#124FW] Alejandro Flores Garcia (20-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:55 of round 2
2019-04-26: W vs. [#149LW] Felipe Douglas (17-5-0) via TKO in 2:18 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marc Diakiese (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: L vs. [#16LW] Rafael Fiziev (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#29FW] Lando Vannata (12-5-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Joseph Duffy (16-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marc Diakiese -151 57.07%
Elo K170 Rafael Alves 1699.65 +210.37 72.33%
Elo Modified Rafael Alves 1692.73 +150.03 65.85%
Glicko-1 Rafael Alves 1734.67 +162.08 71.77%
WHR Rafael Alves 1678.96 +59.93 56.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Alves 175, Marc Diakiese 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Stored DD Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Max Holloway vs. Yair Rodriguez
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Max Holloway vs. Yair Rodriguez
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2021-11-7

Leave A Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Before asking where a specific fighter is ranked or why they aren't ranked:


- We update the rankings once per week, usually on Sunday or Monday.

- Fighters who have not fought in 450 days or more ARE NOT RANKED UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES.

- Use the "Fighter Search" option in the upper-right of the page. The fighter may be ranked in a different division.

- Most of the divisions have multiple pages beyond this one. See the clickable ranges above and below the ranking table.

Furthermore, we do not maintain the "next fight" data. This is gathered from Sherdog. Any issues regarding this data should be forwarded to them.