Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukas (12-18-2021)

Dec 13, 2021
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Derrick Lewis (25-8-0, +115) vs. [#14] Chris Daukaus (12-3-0, -139)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#3HW+] Ciryl Gane (10-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 3
2021-02-20: W vs. [#5HW+] Curtis Blaydes (15-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:26 of round 2
2020-08-08: W vs. [#22HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (3-0-0)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#34HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-02-20: W vs. [#22HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2020-10-10: W vs. [#108HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (9-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chris Daukaus -139 55.56%
Elo K170 Derrick Lewis 2058.72 +299.05 79.67%
Elo Modified Derrick Lewis 2028.28 +266.29 76.24%
Glicko-1 Derrick Lewis 2108.59 +262.60 81.93%
WHR Derrick Lewis 1912.77 +161.97 67.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 133, Chris Daukaus 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#7] Stephen Thompson (16-5-1, -233) vs. [#13] Belal Muhammad (19-3-0, +188)
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #14 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (2-1-0)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#3WW] Gilbert Burns (20-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#24WW] Geoff Neal (14-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#5WW] Vicente Luque (21-7-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-06-12: W vs. [#22WW] Demian Maia (28-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-03-13: NC vs. [#6WW] Leon Edwards (19-3-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#111WW] Dhiego Lima (15-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Stephen Thompson -233 66.83%
Elo K170 Belal Muhammad 2097.91 +87.34 59.84%
Elo Modified Belal Muhammad 2046.07 +59.77 56.50%
Glicko-1 Belal Muhammad 2088.33 +37.72 55.41%
WHR Stephen Thompson 1931.14 +9.51 51.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephen Thompson 161, Belal Muhammad 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Stephen Thompson leads 2-0
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Amanda Lemos (10-1-1, -372) vs. [#14] Angela Hill (13-10-0, +285)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (3-0-0)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#45SW] Montserrat Ruiz (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2021-03-06: W vs. [#31SW] Livinha Souza (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1
2020-08-22: W vs. [*] Mizuki Inoue (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#5SW] Tecia Torres (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#34SW] Ashley Yoder (8-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#8SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Amanda Lemos -372 75.21%
Elo K170 Amanda Lemos 1658.51 +257.16 76.40%
Elo Modified Amanda Lemos 1675.15 +185.77 69.28%
Glicko-1 Amanda Lemos 1691.43 +196.90 75.65%
WHR Amanda Lemos 1629.65 +187.38 70.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 154, Angela Hill 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Ricky Simon (19-3-0, -280) vs. [*] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0, +224)
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #22 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (3-0-0)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#47BW] Brian Kelleher (23-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-20: W vs. [#321BW] Gaetano Pirrello (15-7-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:00 of round 2
2020-05-13: W vs. [#38BW] Ray Borg (14-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (0-3-0)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#9FLY] Cody Garbrandt (12-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-08-17: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#13BW] Marlon Moraes (23-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ricky Simon -280 70.48%
Elo K170 Ricky Simon 1863.49 +106.02 61.88%
Elo Modified Ricky Simon 1820.25 +79.89 58.65%
Glicko-1 Ricky Simon 1828.56 +87.47 62.33%
WHR Ricky Simon 1744.81 +123.77 63.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Simon 308, Raphael Assuncao 560
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raphael Assuncao leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#11] Diego Ferreira (17-4-0, +160) vs. [#15] Mateusz Gamrot (19-1-0, -194)
Diego Ferreira is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Ferreira (1-2-0)
2021-05-08: L vs. [#9LW] Gregor Gillespie (14-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:51 of round 2
2021-02-06: L vs. [#4LW] Beneil Dariush (21-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#22LW] Anthony Pettis (24-12-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2021-07-17: W vs. [#77LW] Jeremy Stephens (28-19-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:05 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#44LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2020-10-17: L vs. [#34LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mateusz Gamrot -194 63.17%
Elo K170 Mateusz Gamrot 1979.13 +108.91 62.19%
Elo Modified Mateusz Gamrot 2014.15 +97.63 60.53%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Gamrot 2095.06 +151.18 70.48%
WHR Mateusz Gamrot 2048.20 +164.86 67.99%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Ferreira 224, Mateusz Gamrot 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#25] Cub Swanson (27-12-0, -207) vs. [#26] Darren Elkins (26-9-0, +169)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (2-1-0)
2021-05-01: L vs. [#9FW] Giga Chikadze (14-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2020-12-12: W vs. [#54FW] Daniel Pineda (27-14-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Kron Gracie (5-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (2-1-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#76FW] Darrick Minner (26-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 2
2020-11-07: W vs. [#264FW] Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (13-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 3
2020-05-16: L vs. [#46FW] Nate Landwehr (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cub Swanson -207 64.46%
Elo K170 Darren Elkins 1747.22 +44.81 55.10%
Elo Modified Darren Elkins 1738.70 +10.82 51.18%
Glicko-1 Darren Elkins 1810.96 +57.67 58.22%
WHR Darren Elkins 1707.24 +7.72 50.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 231, Darren Elkins 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cub Swanson leads 3-0
.

Middleweight (185)
[#24] Gerald Meerschaert (33-14-0, -230) vs. [#145] Dustin Stoltzfus (13-3-0, +185)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (2-1-0)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#49MW] Makhmud Muradov (25-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 2
2021-04-17: W vs. [#62MW] Bartosz Fabinski (15-5-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:00 of round 1
2020-09-19: L vs. [#16WW] Khamzat Chimaev (10-0-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (1-2-0)
2021-07-17: L vs. [#73MW] Rodolfo Vieira (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 3
2020-11-21: L vs. [#85MW] Kyle Daukaus (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-08-11: W vs. [*] Joseph Pyfer (7-2-0) via TKO (Elbow Injury) in 4:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gerald Meerschaert -230 66.51%
Elo K170 Gerald Meerschaert 1764.28 +338.14 82.42%
Elo Modified Gerald Meerschaert 1800.18 +333.29 81.14%
Glicko-1 Gerald Meerschaert 1896.13 +421.35 91.88%
WHR Gerald Meerschaert 1748.28 +351.79 83.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 112, Dustin Stoltzfus 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#27] Raoni Barcelos (16-2-0, -332) vs. [#51] Victor Henry (21-5-0, +257)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (2-1-0)
2021-06-26: L vs. [#22BW] Timur Valiev (18-3-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#169BW] Khalid Taha (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#59BW] Said Nurmagomedov (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Henry (2-1-0)
2021-10-30: W vs. [#234BW] Albert Morales (10-8-1) via SUB in 1:46 of round 2
2020-11-07: L vs. [#25BW] Denis Lavrentyev (12-2-0) via UD ()
2020-02-21: W vs. [#199FW] Masanori Kanehara (26-12-5) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raoni Barcelos -332 73.28%
Elo K170 Raoni Barcelos 1814.96 +12.20 51.39%
Elo Modified Raoni Barcelos 1848.49 +35.89 53.92%
Glicko-1 Raoni Barcelos 1911.76 +51.10 57.30%
WHR Raoni Barcelos 1836.37 +71.86 58.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 175, Victor Henry 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#161] Justin Tafa (4-3-0, -336) vs. [#182] Harry Hunsucker (7-4-0, +260)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-2-0)
2021-05-22: L vs. [#86HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-01-16: L vs. [#74HW+] Carlos Felipe (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#141HW+] Juan Adams (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Harry Hunsucker (1-2-0)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#17HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:49 of round 1
2021-02-27: W vs. [#518HW+] Cory Moon (4-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2020-11-04: L vs. [#86HW+] Jared Vanderaa (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Justin Tafa -336 73.50%
Elo K170 Harry Hunsucker 1230.79 +54.04 56.14%
Elo Modified Justin Tafa 1313.55 +68.20 57.41%
Glicko-1 Justin Tafa 1300.81 +32.73 54.70%
WHR Justin Tafa 1253.29 +8.50 50.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 210, Harry Hunsucker 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#16] Sijara Eubanks (7-6-0, -165) vs. [#36] Melissa Gatto (7-0-2, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Sijara Eubanks (1-2-0)
2021-07-24: W vs. [#85FLY] Elise Reed (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2020-12-19: L vs. [#8BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#7BW] Ketlen Vieira (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Gatto (2-0-1)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#75FLY] Victoria Leonardo (8-4-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-09-29: W vs. [#10BW] Karol Rosa (15-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-07-07: D vs. [#49BW] Sidy Rocha (12-8-2) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sijara Eubanks -165 59.60%
Elo K170 Sijara Eubanks 1440.20 +1.45 50.17%
Elo Modified Sijara Eubanks 1489.82 +21.01 52.30%
Glicko-1 Melissa Gatto 1489.85 +43.39 56.21%
WHR Sijara Eubanks 1477.47 +34.08 53.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sijara Eubanks 147, Melissa Gatto 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#72] Charles Jourdain (11-4-1, -205) vs. [#244] Andre Ewell (17-8-0, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Jourdain (1-1-1)
2021-09-04: L vs. [#39FW] Julian Erosa (26-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:56 of round 3
2021-03-13: W vs. [#326BW] Marcelo Rojo (16-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 3
2020-10-03: D vs. [#122FW] Joshua Culibao (10-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Andre Ewell (1-2-0)
2021-07-24: L vs. [#62BW] Julio Arce (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 2
2021-02-13: L vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (17-4-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2020-09-19: W vs. [*] Irwin Rivera (10-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charles Jourdain -205 64.30%
Elo K170 Charles Jourdain 1515.09 +18.84 52.15%
Elo Modified Charles Jourdain 1560.96 +110.16 61.83%
Glicko-1 Charles Jourdain 1602.10 +168.77 72.54%
WHR Charles Jourdain 1516.82 +152.10 66.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Jourdain 105, Andre Ewell 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#5BW] Raquel Pennington (12-8-0, -188) vs. [#11BW] Macy Chiasson (7-1-0, +155)
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #41 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (2-1-0)
2021-09-18: W vs. [#8BW] Pannie Kianzad (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-06-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-1-0)
2021-03-20: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#58BW] Shanna Young (7-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raquel Pennington -188 62.46%
Elo K170 Raquel Pennington 1645.68 +126.82 64.09%
Elo Modified Raquel Pennington 1627.66 +4.58 50.50%
Glicko-1 Raquel Pennington 1598.63 +43.68 56.25%
WHR Raquel Pennington 1592.86 +96.74 60.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 91, Macy Chiasson 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#105] Dontale Mayes (8-4-0, -201) vs. [#127] Josh Parisian (14-4-0, +167)

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2020-11-14: W vs. [#158HW+] Roque Martinez (15-8-2) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#108HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (9-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2019-10-26: L vs. [#3HW+] Ciryl Gane (10-0-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (2-1-0)
2021-06-19: W vs. [#158HW+] Roque Martinez (15-8-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#69HW+] Parker Porter (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2020-08-18: W vs. [#246HW+] Chad Johnson (6-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:43 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dontale Mayes -201 64.06%
Elo K170 Dontale Mayes 1413.31 +22.23 52.54%
Elo Modified Dontale Mayes 1489.79 +108.11 61.61%
Glicko-1 Dontale Mayes 1464.23 +61.06 58.70%
WHR Dontale Mayes 1459.74 +103.30 61.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dontale Mayes 399, Josh Parisian 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#276] Jordan Leavitt (8-1-0, -119) vs. [*] Matt Sayles (8-3-0, -104)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Leavitt (2-1-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#82LW] Claudio Puelles (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-12-05: W vs. [*] Matt Wiman (16-10-0) via KO (Slam) in 0:22 of round 1
2020-08-04: W vs. [*] Jose Flores (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Matt Sayles (1-2-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#32FW] Bryce Mitchell (14-0-0) via Submission (Twister) in 4:20 of round 1
2019-05-04: W vs. [*] Kyle Nelson (13-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 3
2018-08-04: L vs. [#133FW] Sheymon Moraes (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jordan Leavitt -119 51.59%
Elo K170 Jordan Leavitt 1500.08 +37.05 54.22%
Elo Modified Jordan Leavitt 1561.13 +65.66 57.14%
Glicko-1 Jordan Leavitt 1552.42 +83.44 61.78%
WHR Jordan Leavitt 1499.21 +34.90 53.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Leavitt 196, Matt Sayles 742
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Derrick Lewis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Derrick Lewis vs. Chris Daukaus
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Stephen Thompson vs. Belal Muhammad
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2021-12-16

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