Fight Matrix

FightMatrix Program: TUF 17 Finale (04-13-2013)

Posted on April 11, 2013 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Urijah Faber (27-6-0, -458) vs. [#27] Scott Jorgensen (14-6-0, +354)
Urijah Faber is the All-Time #11 ranked Bantamweight and #10 ranked Absolute fighter.
Scott Jorgensen is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Urijah Faber (2-1-0)
2013-02-23: W vs. [#59BW] Ivan Menjivar (25-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1
2012-07-21: L vs. [#1BW] Renan Barao (30-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2011-11-19: W vs. [*] Brian Bowles (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Scott Jorgensen (1-2-0)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#211BW] John Albert (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2012-06-08: L vs. [#6BW] Eddie Wineland (20-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 2
2012-02-04: L vs. [#1BW] Renan Barao (30-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Urijah Faber 49, Scott Jorgensen 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Urijah Faber leads 4-2
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Middleweight (185)
[#152] Uriah Hall (7-2-0, -357) vs. [NA] Kelvin Gastelum (5-0-0, +278)

Last 3 Fights: Uriah Hall (3-0-0)
2012-06-15: W vs. [#509MW] Nodar Kuduxashvili (5-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-02-10: W vs. [#661MW] Daniel Akinyemi (3-1-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 3:58 of round 1
2011-04-08: W vs. [#217MW] Aung La Nsang (13-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:37 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (3-0-0)
2012-07-20: W vs. [NA] Mike Ashford (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#778MW] Bill Smallwood (1-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:55 of round 1
2011-10-22: W vs. [NA] Mike Gentile (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uriah Hall 302, Kelvin Gastelum 267
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#10DD] Miesha Tate (13-3-0, -102) vs. [#6] Cat Zingano (7-0-0, -125)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #10 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (2-1-0)
2012-08-18: W vs. [#17BW] Julie Kedzie (16-11-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:28 of round 3
2012-03-03: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD] Ronda Rousey (7-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:27 of round 1
2011-07-30: W vs. [#1FW/#2DD] Marloes Coenen (21-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:03 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (3-0-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#24BW] Raquel Pennington (3-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:32 of round 2
2011-05-14: W vs. [#10FLY] Takayo Hashi (14-4-0) via KO (Slam) in 4:42 of round 3
2010-12-10: W vs. [#22FLY] Carina Damm (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:37 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miesha Tate 238, Cat Zingano 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Ultimate Fighter 17 – Episode 12 Review & Season Recap

Posted on April 10, 2013 by Oleg

In Episode 12, the semi-finals took place. With the score tied between teams at 6 wins each, Team Sonnen took both wins, sending two teammates to face off in the finale as Kevin Gastelum choked out Josh Samman in the first round, and Uriah Hall stopped Dylan Andrews with ground-and-pound in the second.

Final win tally is Team Sonnen 8, Team Jones 6.

A recap of all the season’s fights after the break.
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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Monday, May 4th 2026: Deep 131 Impact: 25th Anniversary

[#2 SW] Sora Sugiyama

[#14 SW] Sukai China

Last Fight Date: 12/14/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#6 SW] Haruo Ochi
Last 5: - - W W W

Last Fight Date: 3/08/2026 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [NR] Musashi Musashi
Last 5: W W W W W

Saturday, April 11th 2026: RIZIN LANDMARK 13 in FUKUOKA

[#24 W115] Natalia Kuziutina (-290)

[#6 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki (+205)

Last Fight Date: 8/16/2025 [Ural Fighting Championship]
Last Opponent: [#77 W115] Rose Conceicao
Last 5: W W W W W

Last Fight Date: 11/23/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#16 W105] Ye Ji Lee
Last 5: W L W L W

Saturday, May 2nd 2026: PFL Sioux Falls: Storley vs. Zendeli

[#13 HW] Renan Ferreira

[#23 HW] Sergey Bilostenniy

Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#5 HW] Vadim Nemkov
Last 5: W W W L L

Last Fight Date: 8/21/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#50 HW] Karl Williams
Last 5: W W W L W

Featured Fighters

[#62 LW]	Esteban Ribovics	[#3 LHW]	Jiri Prochazka
[#85 HW]	Josh Hokit	[#4 LHW]	Carlos Ulberg
[#15 LHW]	Azamat Murzakanov	[#58 FW]	Jose Mauro Delano
[#46 LW]	Chris Duncan	[#43 LHW]	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
[#53 BW]	Ethyn Ewing	[NR]	Cub Swanson

MMA Rankings Updated: 04/07/2013

Posted on April 7, 2013 by Jason

FightMatrix Program: InvictaFC (04-05-2013)

Posted on April 5, 2013 by Jason

Women Atomweight Championship (105)
[#1/#4DD] Jessica Penne (10-1-0, 104.9lb, -526) vs. [#7] Michelle Waterson (10-3-0, 104.7lb, +373)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (3-0-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#6AW] Naho Sugiyama (8-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:20 of round 2
2012-04-28: W vs. [#4AW] Lisa Ellis (15-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 3
2010-11-19: W vs. [#23AW] Amy Davis (3-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (3-0-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#8AW] Lacey Schuckman (8-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-01-21: W vs. [#11AW] Diana Rael (4-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:12 of round 1
2010-04-24: W vs. [NA] Masako Yoshida (16-17-5) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Penne 181, Michelle Waterson 181
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jessica Penne leads 1-0
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#3/#9DD] Barb Honchak (7-2-0, 124.6lb, -132) vs. [#4] Vanessa Porto (15-5-0, 124.8lb, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Barb Honchak (3-0-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#19FLY] Aisling Daly (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-07-28: W vs. [#33FLY] Bethany Marshall (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2011-10-01: W vs. [#25FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (15-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Porto (2-1-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#7FLY] Tara LaRosa (21-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-07-28: L vs. [#10BW] Sarah DAlelio (7-3-0) via Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar) in 3:16 of round 1
2012-03-10: W vs. [NA] Luana Teixeira (1-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:41 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Barb Honchak 181, Vanessa Porto 181
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Barb Honchak leads 1-0
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Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Cristiane Justino (10-1-0, 144.8lb, -2585) vs. [#13] Fiona Muxlow (6-2-0, 143.8lb, +1343)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #7 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2011-12-17: NC vs. [#10FW] Hiroko Yamanaka (12-3-0) via No Decision Overturned by CSAC in 0:16 of round 1
2010-06-26: W vs. [NA] Jan Finney (8-10-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 2:56 of round 2
2010-01-30: W vs. [#1FW/#3DD] Marloes Coenen (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Fiona Muxlow (2-1-0)
2012-12-31: L vs. [#1FW/#3DD] Marloes Coenen (21-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:29 of round 1
2012-10-27: W vs. [NA] Leanne Reid (0-1-0) via UD ()
2011-06-25: W vs. [NA] Deney Hayward (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 475, Fiona Muxlow 95
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 1-0
.
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UFC on FuelTV 9 / Odds vs. Ratings (04-06-2013)

Posted on April 3, 2013 by Jason

This is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds. Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary fighter rating that is focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.

With that said, there are some caveats to using the rating vs. odds comparison straight-up — the “Gotcha” list:

System inability to project the exact effects of a recent divisional change.
System inability to project the exact effects of recent inactivity or short notice scheduling.
Poor matchmaking / limited careers / “changing of the guard”.
Notable home advantage.
System inability to project style differences.
System inability to factor in bad judging decisions.

But this stuff (especially #5) is pretty much common sense. We try to partially factor in #1-#3 when we compute the ratings, but #5 and #6 is something that the human can factor in, that the system can’t. For the sake of these articles, we’ll attempt to factor in #4 when relevant. Home advantage can have a slight effect, but likely not enough to sway the “I’d bet on” decision.

Experienced gamblers know that it’s not about being right the most, it’s about making the most money. So in the usual table, I’ll add the “I’d bet on” column and analyze the rating/odds gap plus points #1-4 that I listed above.I’ll leave #5 and #6 to the fully subjective analyses (except for when Leonard Garcia is involved for #6) — of which I’m sure there will be plenty.

The gotchas aren’t necessarily comprehensive, but I have noted them as I come across them and when they are considered in the decision.

Having said all that, let’s get started:

Ratings vs. Odds

Fight	Odds Favorite	Rating Favorite	I’d bet on	“Gotchas”
Abedi vs. Yousef	Abedi (-139 / Very Small)	Abedi (1.59x / Moderate)	Abedi
Lawlor vs. Kuiper	Lawlor (-184 / Moderate)	Lawlor (1.52x / Moderate)	PASS
Alloway vs. LaFlare	LaFlare (-192 / Moderate)	Alloway (1.41x / Small)	PASS	#3
Brimage vs. McGregor	McGregor (-166 / Small)	McGregor (1.06x / Pick ‘Em)	PASS	#1
Amagov vs. Spang	Amagov (-166 / Small)	Amagov (2.41x / Large)	Amagov
Troeng vs. Cella	Troeng (-239 / Moderate)	Troeng (6.90x / Massive)	PASS	#3, #4
Johnson vs. Madadi	Johnson (-232 / Moderate)	Johnson (1.88x / Large)	PASS	#4
Peralta vs. Corassani	Peralta (-357 / Large)	Peralta (3.55x / Massive)	Peralta	#4
Brandao vs. Garza	Brandao (-212 / Moderate)	Garza (1.44x / Small)	Garza
Pickett vs. Easton	Pickett (-160 / Small)	Pickett (1.43x / Small)	PASS
Mitrione vs. De Fries	Mitrione (-328 / Large)	Mitrione (1.67x / Moderate)	De Fries
Pearson vs. Couture	Pearson (-402 / Large)	Pearson (1.08x / Pick ‘Em)	Couture
Mousasi vs. Latifi	Mousasi (-1190 / Massive)	Mousasi (2.58x / Large)	Latifi	#2, #4

The PASS suggests that the odds and ratings difference are nearly identical and/or there are too many gotchas, so neither fighter is a good bet.

Favorites to consider: Abedi, Amagov, Peralta

Underdogs to consider:

Latifi over Mousasi – A true shot in the dark, but -1190 is ridiculous territory and Latifi is actually a quality opponent.
De Fries over Mitrione – A very small bet, as we think De Fries is a slight bargain.
Couture over Pearson – Couture is a great bargain and although not favored by the ratings, Pearson is no world beater himself.
Garza over Brandao – All things considered, Garza looks like a decent bet here.

The Ultimate Fighter 17, Episode 11 Review

Posted on April 3, 2013 by Oleg

In Episode 11, the remaining quarter-final matchups were again split between the teams:

Team Sonnen’s Uriah Hall knocked out ‘wild card’ Bubba McDaniel with a punch in the opening seconds of the very first round, while Team Jones’ Josh Samman forced a tapout from Jimmy Quinlan late in the first with ground-and-pound from back mount.

Current win tally is Team Sonnen 6, Team Jones 6.

The semi-final matchups are set:

Team Jones		Team Sonnen
Dylan Andrews	vs	Uriah Hall
Josh Samman	vs	Kelvin Gastelum

Quick recap of all the season’s fights after the break.
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FightMatrix Program: UFC on Fuel TV 9 (04-06-2013)

Posted on April 3, 2013 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#11] Gegard Mousasi (33-3-2, -1190) vs. [#33] Ilir Latifi (7-2-0, +664)
Gegard Mousasi is the All-Time #16 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gegard Mousasi (3-0-0)
2013-01-12: W vs. [*] Mike Kyle (19-9-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:09 of round 1
2011-12-17: W vs. [#43LHW] Ovince St. Preux (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-07-16: W vs. [*] Hiroshi Izumi (4-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (3-0-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#141LHW] Jorge Oliveira (5-3-1) via UD ()
2012-05-26: W vs. [#39LHW] Tony Lopez (32-10-0) via UD ()
2012-03-23: W vs. [NA] Denis Bogdanov (0-4-0) via Submission (Keylock) in ? of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gegard Mousasi 84, Ilir Latifi 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gegard Mousasi leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#44] Ross Pearson (14-6-0, -402) vs. [#53] Ryan Couture (6-1-0, +314)

Last 3 Fights: Ross Pearson (2-1-0)
2012-12-15: W vs. [#123LW] George Sotiropoulos (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 3
2012-06-22: L vs. [#6FW] Cub Swanson (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2
2011-12-30: W vs. [*] Junior Assuncao (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Couture (3-0-0)
2013-01-12: W vs. [#56LW] K.J. Noons (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2012-07-14: W vs. [#210LW] Joe Duarte (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2012-03-03: W vs. [#212LW] Conor Heun (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:52 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ross Pearson 112, Ryan Couture 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#34] Matt Mitrione (5-2-0, -328) vs. [#75] Philip De Fries (9-2-0, +261)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Mitrione (1-2-0)
2012-12-15: L vs. [#11HW+] Roy Nelson (18-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2011-10-29: L vs. [#16HW+] Cheick Kongo (18-7-2) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2011-06-26: W vs. [#157HW+] Christian Morecraft (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philip De Fries (1-2-0)
2012-12-29: L vs. [#29HW+] Todd Duffee (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:04 of round 1
2012-08-04: W vs. [#247HW+] Oli Thompson (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 2
2012-02-15: L vs. [#22HW+] Stipe Miocic (9-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Mitrione 112, Philip De Fries 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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MMA Rankings Updated: 3/31/2013

Posted on March 31, 2013 by Jason

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The Ultimate Fighter 17, Episode 10 Review

Posted on March 27, 2013 by Oleg

In Episode 10, two of the quarter-final matchups took place, with each team taking home a win:

Team Jones’ Dylan Andrews stopped Luke Barnatt with strikes in the third (overtime) round, while in the battle of unranked fighters, Team Sonnen’s Kevin Gastelum disposed of Colin Hart in a wild striking exchange in the very first round.

Current win tally is Team Sonnen 5, Team Jones 5.

Here’s who remains:

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MMA Rankings Updated: 3/24/2013

Posted on March 23, 2013 by Jason

Ranking Filters Enhancements

Posted on March 20, 2013 by Oleg

We’ve enhanced our rankings by adding a couple of new filter features:

Team Affiliation
Age Range
And for all you promoters and matchmakers out there, added ‘Not Scheduled’ to the Next Fight filter, to quickly view the ranked fighters with no known scheduled fights.

For example, you can now view all the heavyweights in the American Top Team camp:
http://www.fightmatrix.com/mma-ranks/heavyweight-265-lbs/?TeamFilter=American+Top+Team

Or, all American welterweights who last fought outside of UFC and have no known scheduled bouts:
http://www.fightmatrix.com/mma-ranks/welterweight/?OrgFilter=-1&NatFilter=US&OrgFilter2=0

Or all UFC lightweights under 30:
http://www.fightmatrix.com/mma-ranks/lightweight/?OrgFilter=UFC&AgeToFilter=29

The possibilities & combinations are (nearly) limitless!

http://www.fightmatrix.com/mma-ranks/heavyweight-265-lbs/?TeamFilter=American+Top+Team

The Ultimate Fighter 17, Episode 9 Review

Posted on March 19, 2013 by Oleg

In Episode 9, Team Jones evens the score in the wildcard bout. After winning the first round and losing the second, Kevin Casey failed to answer the bell for the tie-breaking third round. Bubba McDaniel is back in the competition, and the quarter-final matchups are announced:

Team Jones		Team Sonnen
Robert McDaniel	vs	Uriah Hall
Dylan Andrews	vs	Luke Barnatt
Josh Samman	vs	Jimmy Quinlan
Collin Hart	vs	Kelvin Gastelum

Current win tally is Team Sonnen 4, Team Jones 4.

A summary of the season’s fights so far after the break:

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The Uncut Sports Show: UFC 158 Review

Posted on March 19, 2013 by Oleg

The Uncut Sports Show recap of UFC 158.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finalist Mike Ricci, made his return back to lightweight and did not disappoint. He won a unanimous decision over Colin Fletcher by dissecting him, applying pressure, and neutralizing Fletchers leg kicks.

Current MMA Rankings Updated: 3/17/2013

Posted on March 17, 2013 by Jason

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The Uncut Sports Show: The Ultimate Fighter 17 Ep. 8 Recap, Don Frye Thinks Brock Lesnar is a Cheater!

Posted on March 15, 2013 by Oleg

Check out the latest episode of Uncut Sports Show: TUF Episode 8 Recap; Don Frye accuses UFC of fixing some of Brock Lesnar’s fights.