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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues (02-15-2025)

Posted on February 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#9UFC] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0, +152) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0, -184)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #24 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2023-06-17: W vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#68MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#41MW] Brad Tavares (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#160MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gregory Rodrigues	-184		62.01%
Elo K170	Jared Cannonier	1959.16	+106.65	64.88%
Elo Modified	Jared Cannonier	1924.11	+33.41	54.79%
Glicko-1	Jared Cannonier	1961.48	+15.14	52.18%
WHR	Jared Cannonier	1865.10	+51.89	57.41%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 175, Gregory Rodrigues 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#16][#12UFC] Calvin Kattar (23-8-0, +313) vs. [#29][#19UFC] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1, -417)
Calvin Kattar is the All-Time #38 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (0-3-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4FW] Aljamain Sterling (24-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-10-29: L vs. [#7FW] Arnold Allen (20-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 0:08 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Youssef Zalal (3-0-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#73FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#183FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#55FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Youssef Zalal	-417		76.91%
Elo K170	Calvin Kattar	1874.77	+91.45	62.87%
Elo Modified	Calvin Kattar	1863.66	+74.96	60.62%
Glicko-1	Calvin Kattar	1913.70	+39.14	55.61%
WHR	Youssef Zalal	1773.62	+19.24	52.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 308, Youssef Zalal 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#68][#35UFC] Ismael Bonfim (20-4-0, -148) vs. [*] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Ismael Bonfim (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#298LW] Vinc Pichel (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-3-0) via SUB in 4:48 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2023-11-11: D vs. [#213LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#159LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-02-18: W vs. [#212WW] Evan Elder (9-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Ismael Bonfim	-148		56.87%
Elo K170	Ismael Bonfim	1858.94	+287.23	83.93%
Elo Modified	Ismael Bonfim	1850.07	+246.48	80.52%
Glicko-1	Ismael Bonfim	1894.65	+260.64	81.77%
WHR	Ismael Bonfim	1823.27	+239.80	79.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismael Bonfim 287, Nazim Sadykhov 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on February 6, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Posted on February 3, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dricus Du Plessis	-206		64.42%
Elo K170	Dricus Du Plessis	2342.57	+202.95	76.28%
Elo Modified	Dricus Du Plessis	2265.23	+161.48	71.70%
Glicko-1	Dricus Du Plessis	2353.76	+176.08	73.37%
WHR	Dricus Du Plessis	2149.81	+110.57	65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Weili Zhang	-116		51.18%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	2044.50	+194.83	75.43%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	1998.60	+143.52	69.56%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	2019.82	+144.34	69.65%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1911.21	+34.12	54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tallison Teixeira	-154		57.91%
Elo K170	Justin Tafa	1439.06	+32.89	54.72%
Elo Modified	Justin Tafa	1521.83	+89.07	62.54%
Glicko-1	Justin Tafa	1535.44	+83.04	61.73%
WHR	Justin Tafa	1434.77	+27.93	54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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UFC Fight Night 250: A Defining Moment for Fighters, the Middleweight Division, and the Future of MMA

Posted on January 31, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed martial arts has always been a sport of unpredictability. Legends rise and fall, new stars emerge from the shadows, and the dynamics of divisions shift with every event. UFC Fight Night 250, scheduled for February 1, 2025, at the anb Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, is no exception. This event is not just another fight night; it carries the weight of history, potential career resurgences, and the possible rise of future champions. With Israel Adesanya making his return against a hungry contender in Nassourdine Imavov, this main event has the potential to alter the course of the UFC middleweight division.

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Henry Cejudo vs Song Yadong: Triple C to Get Back on Track?

Posted on January 29, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Two top-tier bantamweights Henry Cejudo and Song Yadong will step into the Octagon in the main event of UFC Fight Night 252, at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle on Saturday, February 22.

Fans are eagerly anticipating what promises to be an exciting matchup, with the best sports betting sites gearing up to provide competitive odds for the bout.

Following back-to-back losses against Aljamain Sterling and Merab Dvalishvili, Cejudo will be looking to restore his winning reputation. Before those defeats, Triple C was on a six-fight win streak taking out some big names such as Dominick Cruz, Marlon Moraes, TJ Dillashaw and Demetrious Johnson.

Meanwhile, Song is also focused on getting back to his best after losing to Petr Yan at UFC 299. Before that, Kung Fu Kid was on a two-fight win streak following victories over Ricky Simon and Chris Gutierrez.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Adesanya vs Imavov (02-01-2025)

Posted on January 27, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#3][#3UFC] Israel Adesanya (24-4-0, -172) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (15-4-0, +142)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #12 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#1 MW/#5DD/#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2023-09-09: L vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1 LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#11 MW] Brendan Allen (24-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10 MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#12 MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Israel Adesanya	-172		60.48%
Elo K170	Nassourdine Imavov	2129.10	+55.48	57.92%
Elo Modified	Nassourdine Imavov	2067.77	+8.80	51.27%
Glicko-1	Nassourdine Imavov	2142.97	+48.45	56.93%
WHR	Israel Adesanya	2001.24	+32.55	54.67%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 168, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#16 WW][#12UFC WW] Michael Page (22-3-0, +157) vs. [#20][#17UFC] Sharabutdin Magomedov (15-0-0, -190)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#8 WW] Ian Garry (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#27 MW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#50 WW] Goiti Yamauchi (29-7-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#83 MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfists) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#47 MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#427 MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-5-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sharabutdin Magomedov	-190		62.74%
Elo K170	Michael Page	1975.46	+48.71	56.96%
Elo Modified	Michael Page	1965.28	+29.17	54.19%
Glicko-1	Michael Page	2034.18	+37.47	55.37%
WHR	Sharabutdin Magomedov	1928.16	+31.50	54.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 217, Sharabutdin Magomedov 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (18-3-0, -304) vs. [#12][#9UFC] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5-0, +239)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #45 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (1-2-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#5 HW+] Alexander Volkov (38-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2 HW+/#9P4P] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#6 HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#16 HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#32 HW+] Shamil Gaziev (13-1-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8 HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sergei Pavlovich	-304		71.83%
Elo K170	Sergei Pavlovich	1922.30	+39.40	55.65%
Elo Modified	Sergei Pavlovich	1930.58	+93.97	63.20%
Glicko-1	Sergei Pavlovich	2022.14	+150.13	70.35%
WHR	Sergei Pavlovich	1914.43	+131.64	68.09%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (01-26-2025)

Posted on January 26, 2025 by Jason

PFL: Road to Dubai Championship Series – A Visual Preview

Posted on January 23, 2025 by Oleg

PFL: Road to Dubai Championship Series will take place January 25, 2025, at Coca-Cola Arena in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

The event can be viewed in US on MAX starting at 11:00 AM EST.

Main Event: (C) [#3PFL] [#14 LW] Usman Nurmagomedov vs [#1 PFL] [#10 LW] Paul Hughes for the PFL Lightweight Championship

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UFC 311: A Visual Preview

Posted on January 17, 2025 by Oleg

UFC 311 takes place on Saturday, January 18th at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California, US. The main card broadcast begins at 10 PM EST live on ESPN+ Pay-Per-View. Prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 8 PM EST, and the early prelims start at 6 PM EST on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card

Main Event: UFC Lightweight Championship (155)

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 311: Makhachev vs Tsarukyan 2 (01-18-2025)

Posted on January 13, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#2DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (26-1-0, -412) vs. [#2] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0, +309)
Islam Makhachev is the All-Time #3 ranked Lightweight and #23 ranked Absolute fighter.
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #42 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:42 of round 5
2023-10-21: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-02-11: W vs. [#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#13LW] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#85LW] Joaquim Silva (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Islam Makhachev	-412		76.69%
Elo K170	Islam Makhachev	2556.76	+254.43	81.22%
Elo Modified	Islam Makhachev	2486.06	+287.50	83.96%
Glicko-1	Islam Makhachev	2615.44	+351.80	88.34%
WHR	Islam Makhachev	2401.98	+275.75	83.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 231, Arman Tsarukyan 280
Previous Match-up Record: Islam Makhachev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Merab Dvalishvili (18-4-0, +260) vs. [#4] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-0-0, -339)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #10 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#8BW] Henry Cejudo (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#6BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#92BW] Bekzat Almakhan (12-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#44BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-339		73.54%
Elo K170	Merab Dvalishvili	2333.07	+201.36	76.12%
Elo Modified	Merab Dvalishvili	2307.32	+202.31	76.22%
Glicko-1	Merab Dvalishvili	2373.25	+200.67	76.05%
WHR	Merab Dvalishvili	2142.63	+89.04	62.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 126, Umar Nurmagomedov 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#3] Jiri Prochazka (30-5-1, -109) vs. [#4] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0, -112)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#36HW+] Thiago Santos (22-13-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:31 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jamahal Hill	-112		50.32%
Elo K170	Jiri Prochazka	2065.68	+71.39	60.13%
Elo Modified	Jiri Prochazka	2049.92	+56.56	58.07%
Glicko-1	Jiri Prochazka	2147.96	+78.90	61.16%
WHR	Jiri Prochazka	1995.35	+112.11	65.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jiri Prochazka 203, Jamahal Hill 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 (01-11-2025)

Posted on January 6, 2025 by Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Amanda Ribas (13-5-0, -195) vs. [#7] Mackenzie Dern (14-5-0, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#6FLY] Rose Namajunas (13-7-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#31SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-4-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
2023-06-24: L vs. [#7FLY] Maycee Barber (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (1-2-0)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#13SW] Lupita Godinez (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#4SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#12FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Amanda Ribas	-195		63.30%
Elo K170	Mackenzie Dern	1628.42	+27.49	53.95%
Elo Modified	Mackenzie Dern	1629.33	+16.22	52.33%
Glicko-1	Mackenzie Dern	1607.13	+6.86	50.99%
WHR	Amanda Ribas	1609.18	+45.71	56.54%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Ribas 294, Mackenzie Dern 161
Previous Match-up Record: Amanda Ribas leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#59] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-8-0, -138) vs. [#65] Carlston Harris (19-6-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#37WW] Muslim Salikhov (21-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#18MW] Kevin Holland (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3
2022-12-10: W vs. [#54WW] Alex Morono (24-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlston Harris (2-1-0)
2024-05-18: L vs. [#35WW] Kalinn Williams (15-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-08-05: W vs. [#63WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-4-1) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#88WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Santiago Ponzinibbio	-138		55.48%
Elo K170	Carlston Harris	1769.20	+84.12	61.87%
Elo Modified	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1801.41	+25.02	53.59%
Glicko-1	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1859.60	+55.66	57.94%
WHR	Carlston Harris	1772.13	+59.72	58.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 182, Carlston Harris 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlston Harris leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#73] Cesar Almeida (6-1-0, -261) vs. [#84] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-6-0, +210)

Last 3 Fights: Cesar Almeida (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#88MW] Ihor Potieria (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#59MW] Roman Kopylov (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#176MW] Dylan Budka (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#96MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#22MW] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#149MW] Claudio Ribeiro (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cesar Almeida	-261		69.14%
Elo K170	Cesar Almeida	1529.56	+48.53	56.94%
Elo Modified	Cesar Almeida	1614.28	+58.79	58.38%
Glicko-1	Cesar Almeida	1640.38	+49.78	57.12%
WHR	Cesar Almeida	1692.21	+122.12	66.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cesar Almeida 98, Abdul Razak Alhassan 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – RIZIN 49: Decade (12-31-2024)

Posted on December 25, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#11] Chihiro Suzuki (13-4-0, +123) vs. [#41] Kleber Koike Erbst (34-7-1, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Chihiro Suzuki (3-0-0)
2024-04-29: W vs. [#63FW] Masanori Kanehara (29-13-5) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1
2023-11-04: W vs. [#47FW] Vugar Karamov (20-5-0) via KO (Upkick and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2023-07-30: W vs. [#10FW] Patricio Freire (36-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kleber Koike Erbst (2-1-0)
2024-06-09: W vs. [#76FW] Juan Archuleta (29-7-0) via Submission (Inverted Heel Hook) in 2:25 of round 1
2023-12-31: W vs. [#380FW] Yutaka Saito (21-9-2) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:22 of round 3
2023-09-24: L vs. [#63FW] Masanori Kanehara (29-13-5) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kleber Koike Erbst	-171		58.45%
Elo K170	Kleber Koike Erbst	1953.67	+19.74	52.84%
Elo Modified	Kleber Koike Erbst	1916.85	+21.12	53.04%
Glicko-1	Kleber Koike Erbst	2013.58	+7.41	51.07%
WHR	Kleber Koike Erbst	1872.13	+65.83	59.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chihiro Suzuki 246, Kleber Koike Erbst 205
Previous Match-up Record: Kleber Koike Erbst leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Chihiro Suzuki leads 3-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#27] Roberto Satoshi de Souza (17-3-0, -134) vs. [#47FW] Vugar Karamov (20-5-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Roberto Satoshi de Souza (2-1-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#69LW] Luiz Gustavo (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#334LW] Keita Nakamura (36-12-2) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 1:43 of round 1
2023-07-29: L vs. [#51LW] Patricky Freire (25-14-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:49 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Vugar Karamov (2-1-0)
2024-11-17: W vs. [#230FW] Kazumasa Majima (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:28 of round 1
2023-11-04: L vs. [#11FW] Chihiro Suzuki (13-4-0) via KO (Upkick and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2023-07-30: W vs. [#218FW] Mikuru Asakura (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:41 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Roberto Satoshi de Souza	-134		53.26%
Elo K170	Roberto Satoshi de Souza	1954.67	+156.49	71.11%
Elo Modified	Roberto Satoshi de Souza	1935.91	+125.74	67.34%
Glicko-1	Roberto Satoshi de Souza	2019.18	+171.75	72.88%
WHR	Roberto Satoshi de Souza	1836.83	+98.48	63.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roberto Satoshi de Souza 93, Vugar Karamov 44
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#4] Kyoji Horiguchi (33-5-0, -463) vs. [#81] Nkazimulo Zulu (16-6-1, +292)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #19 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-09: W vs. [#14BW] Sergio Pettis (23-7-0) via UD ()
2023-12-31: W vs. [#75FLY] Makoto Takahashi (18-3-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-07-29: NC vs. [#75FLY] Makoto Takahashi (18-3-1)

Last 3 Fights: Nkazimulo Zulu (3-0-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#205FLY] Jo Arai (15-13-2) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2024-03-07: W vs. [#472FLY] Gift Walker (5-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 3
2023-07-13: W vs. [#2063BW] Musa Sethwape (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:15 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kyoji Horiguchi	-463		76.32%
Elo K170	Kyoji Horiguchi	2086.35	+571.33	96.40%
Elo Modified	Kyoji Horiguchi	2061.48	+541.38	95.76%
Glicko-1	Kyoji Horiguchi	2100.02	+542.22	95.78%
WHR	Kyoji Horiguchi	2003.91	+483.87	94.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 205, Nkazimulo Zulu 93
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley (12-14-2024)

Posted on December 9, 2024 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#5] Colby Covington (17-4-0, +212) vs. [#9] Joaquin Buckley (20-6-0, -264)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#2WW/#10P4P] Leon Edwards (22-4-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-05: W vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (35-17-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2021-11-06: L vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#19WW] Stephen Thompson (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:17 of round 3
2024-05-11: W vs. [#80WW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-9-2) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#18WW] Vicente Luque (23-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joaquin Buckley	-264		69.35%
Elo K170	Colby Covington	2244.12	+162.96	71.87%
Elo Modified	Colby Covington	2179.50	+135.34	68.55%
Glicko-1	Colby Covington	2244.79	+92.60	63.02%
WHR	Colby Covington	1960.38	+28.86	54.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 364, Joaquin Buckley 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#40] Cub Swanson (30-14-0, +132) vs. [#44] Billy Quarantillo (18-6-0, -159)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #20 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#39FW] Andre Fili (24-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-12: W vs. [*] Hakeem Dawodu (13-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#21BW] Jonathan Martinez (19-6-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Billy Quarantillo (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#25FW] Youssef Zalal (16-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 2
2023-08-05: W vs. [*] Damon Jackson (23-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#37FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Billy Quarantillo	-159		58.75%
Elo K170	Cub Swanson	1678.39	+57.33	58.18%
Elo Modified	Cub Swanson	1726.26	+89.49	62.60%
Glicko-1	Cub Swanson	1764.50	+100.94	64.13%
WHR	Cub Swanson	1655.95	+52.07	57.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 168, Billy Quarantillo 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#13] Manel Kape (19-7-0, -302) vs. [#21] Bruno Silva (14-6-2, +239)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #34 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#38FLY] Cody Durden (17-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#202BW] Tyson Nam (23-14-1) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2021-05-22: W vs. [*] Victor Rodriguez (5-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-302		71.80%
Elo K170	Manel Kape	1739.07	+45.52	56.51%
Elo Modified	Manel Kape	1748.75	+64.63	59.20%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1810.78	+61.47	58.75%
WHR	Manel Kape	1735.25	+34.18	54.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 140, Bruno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Manel Kape leads 1-0
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Caged Steel 38 – Night of Champions

Posted on December 7, 2024 by Oleg

Do not to miss Caged Steel 38 – Night of Champions! You can stream the fights here starting at 11 AM EST. Be sure to enter the promo code fightmatrix when purchasing the PPV. This will be an exciting fight card of professional and amateur MMA and caged boxing.

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on December 5, 2024 by Jason

In the green so far….

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

“The Underdog” bet/parlay

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