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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo (05-03-2025)

Posted on April 28, 2025 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#7][#6UFC] Cory Sandhagen (17-5-0, -462) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-4-1, +340)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2024-08-03: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#13BW] Rob Font (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (18-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#34BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cory Sandhagen -462 78.34%
Elo K170 Cory Sandhagen 2048.73 +12.57 51.81%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2031.40 +16.09 52.31%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2099.14 +23.45 53.37%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1947.32 +40.35 55.78%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cory Sandhagen 33.0, Deiveson Figueiredo 37.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 273, Deiveson Figueiredo 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#20][#17UFC] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0, +221) vs. [#25][#21UFC] Bo Nickal (7-0-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (27-13-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-11-09: W vs. [#54MW] Gerald Meerschaert (37-19-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3
2024-07-27: W vs. [#200LHW] Magomedmurad Khasaev (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bo Nickal (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#33MW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#92MW] Cody Brundage (11-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#323MW] Valentine Woodburn (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bo Nickal -272 70.12%
Elo K170 Reinier de Ridder 1942.11 +242.92 80.19%
Elo Modified Reinier de Ridder 1965.26 +206.16 76.62%
Glicko-1 Reinier de Ridder 2037.99 +310.16 85.64%
WHR Reinier de Ridder 1929.73 +285.60 83.81%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Reinier de Ridder 34.6, Bo Nickal 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Reinier de Ridder 105, Bo Nickal 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#32][#24UFC] Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-8-0, +103) vs. [#35][#26UFC] Daniel Rodriguez (18-5-0, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (1-2-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#71WW] Carlston Harris (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 3
2024-07-13: L vs. [#31WW] Muslim Salikhov (21-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#21WW] Kevin Holland (27-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#53WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#17MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#7WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Rodriguez -125 53.00%
Elo K170 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1790.35 +11.83 51.70%
Elo Modified Santiago Ponzinibbio 1873.46 +139.61 69.08%
Glicko-1 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1943.42 +208.84 76.89%
WHR Santiago Ponzinibbio 1789.97 +170.53 72.74%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Santiago Ponzinibbio 38.6, Daniel Rodriguez 38.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Santiago Ponzinibbio 112, Daniel Rodriguez 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#25][#20UFC] Montel Jackson (14-2-0, -202) vs. [#27][#21UFC] Daniel Marcos (17-0-0, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#29BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#235BW] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#109FW] Julio Arce (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Marcos (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#60BW] Adrian Yanez (17-6-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#50BW] John Castaneda (21-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: NC vs. [#255BW] Qileng Aori (27-12-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Montel Jackson -202 64.02%
Elo K170 Daniel Marcos 1905.07 +26.88 53.86%
Elo Modified Montel Jackson 1885.29 +72.17 60.24%
Glicko-1 Montel Jackson 1954.90 +135.86 68.61%
WHR Montel Jackson 1894.00 +135.41 68.56%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Montel Jackson 33.0, Daniel Marcos 32.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montel Jackson 294, Daniel Marcos 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#81][#41UFC] Serhiy Sidey (11-2-0, -164) vs. [#116][#53UFC] Cameron Smotherman (12-4-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Serhiy Sidey (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#87BW] Garrett Armfield (10-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#201BW] Ramon Taveras (10-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-05: W vs. [#201BW] Ramon Taveras (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cameron Smotherman (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#117BW] Jake Hadley (12-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-27)
2024-07-21: W vs. [NA] Ryan Mondala (4-9-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:16 of round 3
2024-04-21: W vs. [#557BW] Ryan Kuse (8-2-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Serhiy Sidey -164 59.45%
Elo K170 Cameron Smotherman 1567.72 +63.86 59.09%
Elo Modified Serhiy Sidey 1516.89 +13.66 51.96%
Glicko-1 Serhiy Sidey 1530.60 +12.62 51.82%
WHR Serhiy Sidey 1508.81 +118.12 66.37%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Serhiy Sidey 28.8, Cameron Smotherman 27.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Serhiy Sidey 182, Cameron Smotherman 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#91] Mason Jones (15-2-0, -537) vs. [*] Jeremy Stephens (29-21-0, +387)

Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (3-0-0)
2024-07-25: W vs. [#336LW] Michael Pagani (7-2-0) via UD ()
2024-02-23: W vs. [#365LW] Bryce Logan (13-9-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 2:45 of round 2
2023-10-14: W vs. [*] Yann Liasse (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (1-2-0)
2022-11-25: L vs. [*] Natan Schulte (25-5-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:32 of round 2
2022-06-17: W vs. [*] Myles Price (11-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-20: L vs. [#48LW] Clay Collard (25-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mason Jones -537 80.41%
Elo K170 Mason Jones 1718.94 +136.18 68.65%
Elo Modified Mason Jones 1760.69 +211.83 77.20%
Glicko-1 Mason Jones 1789.02 +260.77 81.77%
WHR Mason Jones 1729.14 +253.32 81.13%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mason Jones 30.0, Jeremy Stephens 38.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 282, Jeremy Stephens 890
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#13][#12UFC] Yana Santos (15-8-0, +104) vs. [*] Miesha Tate (20-9-0, -124)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #14 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yana Santos (1-2-0)
2024-08-10: W vs. [#33BW] Chelsea Chandler (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#14BW] Karol Rosa (18-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#10BW] Holly Holm (15-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [*] Julia Avila (9-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:15 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [*] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#8BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Miesha Tate -124 53.03%
Elo K170 Miesha Tate 1527.03 +41.40 55.93%
Elo Modified Yana Santos 1561.53 +11.62 51.67%
Glicko-1 Miesha Tate 1544.44 +15.78 52.27%
WHR Miesha Tate 1512.00 +53.31 57.61%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yana Santos 35.5, Miesha Tate 38.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yana Santos 266, Miesha Tate 518
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#66][#44UFC] Azamat Bekoev (19-3-0, -331) vs. [#104][#51UFC] Ryan Loder (7-1-0, +260)

Last 3 Fights: Azamat Bekoev (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#139MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2024-06-22: W vs. [#175MW] Chauncey Foxworth (20-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:32 of round 2
2023-12-15: W vs. [#141MW] Lucas Fernando (11-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Loder (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#160MW] Robert Valentin (10-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:49 of round 2
2023-08-12: W vs. [#379MW] Lajuan Davis (6-1-0) via UD ()
2023-05-13: W vs. [#655WW] Leon Shahbazyan (9-4-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 1:25 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Azamat Bekoev -331 73.43%
Elo K170 Azamat Bekoev 1761.37 +123.70 67.09%
Elo Modified Azamat Bekoev 1753.99 +65.35 59.29%
Glicko-1 Azamat Bekoev 1772.06 +84.69 61.95%
WHR Azamat Bekoev 1719.41 +126.21 67.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Azamat Bekoev 29.3, Ryan Loder 33.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Azamat Bekoev 105, Ryan Loder 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12][#11UFC] Gillian Robertson (15-8-0, -273) vs. [#14][#13UFC] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2, +219)

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (3-0-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#38SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [*] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#82SW] Polyana Viana (13-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#13SW] Iasmin Lucindo (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#12FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-23: W vs. [*] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-13-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gillian Robertson -273 70.01%
Elo K170 Gillian Robertson 1608.10 +115.76 66.07%
Elo Modified Gillian Robertson 1633.16 +36.11 55.18%
Glicko-1 Gillian Robertson 1636.05 +18.91 52.72%
WHR Marina Rodriguez 1571.78 +20.31 52.92%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gillian Robertson 29.9, Marina Rodriguez 38.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gillian Robertson 175, Marina Rodriguez 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#227][#68UFC] Gaston Bolanos (8-4-0, -169) vs. [#377][#77UFC] Quang Le (8-2-0, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Gaston Bolanos (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#499FW] Cortavious Romious (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#19BW] Marcus McGhee (10-1-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2023-04-15: W vs. [*] Aaron Phillips (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Quang Le (1-2-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#105BW] Long Xiao (26-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-08-10: L vs. [#24BW] Chris Gutierrez (22-6-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-05: W vs. [#841FW] Tial Thang (7-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gaston Bolanos -169 60.12%
Elo K170 Gaston Bolanos 1395.59 +25.62 53.68%
Elo Modified Gaston Bolanos 1426.21 +49.36 57.05%
Glicko-1 Gaston Bolanos 1429.74 +53.24 57.60%
WHR Gaston Bolanos 1404.42 +94.33 63.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gaston Bolanos 32.6, Quang Le 33.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gaston Bolanos 175, Quang Le 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#69][#24UFC] Dontale Mayes (11-9-0, +200) vs. [#101][#29UFC] Thomas Petersen (10-3-0, -251)

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (1-2-0)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#52HW+] Valter Walker (13-1-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:17 of round 1
2024-08-03: L vs. [#30HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#104LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Thomas Petersen (1-2-0)
2025-02-01: L vs. [#30HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-1-0) via TKO (Punch) in 3:12 of round 1
2024-07-20: W vs. [#124HW+] Mohammed Usman (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#132HW+] Jamal Pogues (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Thomas Petersen -251 68.20%
Elo K170 Thomas Petersen 1427.33 +31.69 54.55%
Elo Modified Thomas Petersen 1460.72 +26.03 53.74%
Glicko-1 Dontale Mayes 1439.46 +1.29 50.19%
WHR Thomas Petersen 1424.97 +29.11 54.18%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dontale Mayes 33.3, Thomas Petersen 30.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dontale Mayes 77, Thomas Petersen 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#51][#31UFC] Ivana Petrovic (7-2-0, -256) vs. [*] Juliana Miller (3-3-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Ivana Petrovic (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#33FLY] Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#109FLY] Na Liang (20-8-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:29 of round 3
2023-07-01: L vs. [#19FLY] Luana Carolina (11-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Juliana Miller (1-2-0)
2023-08-12: L vs. [#30BW] Luana Santos (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
2023-03-18: L vs. [#30FLY] Veronica Hardy (9-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-06: W vs. [*] Brogan Walker (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:57 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ivana Petrovic -256 68.75%
Elo K170 Ivana Petrovic 1291.61 +126.58 67.45%
Elo Modified Ivana Petrovic 1431.30 +206.89 76.69%
Glicko-1 Ivana Petrovic 1419.32 +245.21 80.40%
WHR Ivana Petrovic 1403.61 +222.77 78.28%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ivana Petrovic 30.9, Juliana Miller 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ivana Petrovic 182, Juliana Miller 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Stored DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2025-4-27

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