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Fight Matrix

Federal Lawsuit Threatens to Knock Out UFC’s Historic White House Event

Posted on June 8, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

The Octagon has not even been locked yet, but UFC Freedom 250 already has its first opponent. It is not a heavyweight contender, a late replacement, or an undefeated prospect looking for the biggest win of his life. It is a federal lawsuit, and right now, that may be the most unpredictable fight on the card.

What was supposed to be one of the most dramatic sporting events in American history has turned into a legal and political battle over power, money, public land, and the meaning of patriotism itself.

UFC Freedom 250 was designed to be a spectacle: a full UFC event on the White House South Lawn, staged during America’s 250th birthday celebration, timed with President Donald Trump’s 80th birthday, and wrapped in the kind of flag-waving, stadium-sized production that Dana White and the UFC know how to sell better than almost anyone in sports. But, before fight night arrives, two Virginia residents and the Public Integrity Project are asking a federal court to shut the whole thing down.

Keep Reading

Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

The Drama Unfolds : Sean Strickland’s White House Snub Turns UFC Freedom 250 Into Political Firestorm

Posted on June 4, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

The UFC’s planned White House event was already one of the most unusual spectacles in the history of American sports. Now, before a single fighter has made the walk, the event has become a political controversy involving Sean Strickland, President Donald Trump, Israel, active-duty troops, and a massive UFC structure sitting on the South Lawn.

UFC Freedom 250 is scheduled for June 14th on the White House grounds, as part of the celebration of America’s 250th anniversary. The date also falls on Flag Day and President Trump’s 80th birthday. The event is expected to feature a full Octagon on the South Lawn, a large patriotic lighting structure known as “The Claw,” and a crowd made up of invited guests, UFC insiders, administration invitees, celebrities, and active-duty service members. It is not a public-ticketed event. It has been reported that about 5,000 spectators are expected to attend, with access controlled through the UFC, the Trump administration, or military invitations.

Keep Reading

Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

Conor McGregor’s UFC Return: What Happens If the Irishman Beats Max Holloway?

Posted on June 4, 2026 by A. J. Riot

T-Mobile Arena, the site of Conor McGregor’s Upcoming UFC Return – Source: Unsplash

Five years is a long time in any sport. In the UFC, it can feel like a geological age — titles change hands, rivalries are born and buried, legacies are cemented and questioned. On July 11 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Conor McGregor ends the wait.

UFC 329 puts “The Notorious” back in the Octagon opposite Max Holloway in a welterweight main event nearly 13 years in the making, and it represents the most compelling return the sport has staged since McGregor himself was the new name dismantling the old order. His last appearance ended in a broken leg in the first round of his trilogy with Dustin Poirier in July 2021 — the second consecutive stoppage loss to a man he once dispatched without appearing to break a sweat.

Both men are genuine all-time greats. Both men have unfinished business with the sport’s upper echelon. But should McGregor get his hand raised on fight night, the question becomes: what exactly does this victory unlock? The answer involves three names.

Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#16)

Posted on June 4, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfin (06-06-2026)

Posted on June 1, 2026 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#7][#7UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-5-0, -128) vs. [#16][#13UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (19-1-0, +107)
Belal Muhammad is the All-Time #8 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (1-2-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#5WW] Ian Garry (17-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#8WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#9WW] Leon Edwards (22-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#35WW] Randy Brown (20-8-0) via TKO (Knee) in 1:40 of round 2
2025-07-12: W vs. [#25WW] Stephen Thompson (17-9-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#61WW] Kalinn Williams (16-5-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:58 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Belal Muhammad -128 53.74%
Elo K170 Belal Muhammad 2208.12 +150.81 70.44%
Elo Modified Belal Muhammad 2168.06 +169.49 72.63%
Glicko-1 Belal Muhammad 2195.70 +123.41 67.05%
WHR Belal Muhammad 1940.31 +50.05 57.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Belal Muhammad 37.9, Gabriel Bonfim 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Belal Muhammad 196, Gabriel Bonfim 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#7][#6UFC] Brendan Allen (26-7-0, -228) vs. [#29][#22UFC] Edmen Shahbazyan (16-5-0, +187)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (2-1-0)
2025-10-18: W vs. [#15MW] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-19: W vs. [#35MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#9MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#53MW] Andre Muniz (24-8-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:58 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#95MW] Andre Petroski (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#224WW] Dylan Budka (9-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brendan Allen -228 66.61%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2114.41 +311.72 85.75%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2062.96 +256.87 81.44%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2148.49 +307.96 85.48%
WHR Brendan Allen 1966.67 +270.29 82.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brendan Allen 30.4, Edmen Shahbazyan 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brendan Allen 231, Edmen Shahbazyan 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#27][#19UFC] Fares Ziam (18-4-0, -303) vs. [#119][#56UFC] Tom Nolan (10-1-0, +243)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (3-0-0)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#79LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2025-02-01: W vs. [#120LW] Mike Davis (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#148LW] Matt Frevola (11-6-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (3-0-0)
2025-09-27: W vs. [#362LW] Charlie Campbell (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [#349LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-8-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-08-17: W vs. [*] Alex Reyes (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Fares Ziam -303 72.06%
Elo K170 Fares Ziam 1971.32 +238.57 79.79%
Elo Modified Fares Ziam 1929.39 +205.58 76.56%
Glicko-1 Fares Ziam 1971.67 +213.61 77.38%
WHR Fares Ziam 1877.43 +276.04 83.05%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Fares Ziam 29.2, Tom Nolan 26.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 182, Tom Nolan 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

UFC Fight Night 278 – Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Posted on May 31, 2026 by Vitaliy Vovk

Jun 6, 2026 | UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

[#7 WW | #5 UFC] Belal Muhammad (24-5-0) vs. [#16 WW | #11 UFC] Gabriel Bonfim (19-1-0)

The main event of UFC Fight Night 278 features a compelling welterweight clash between former UFC champion Belal Muhammad and one of the division’s fastest-rising contenders, Gabriel Bonfim.

Muhammad enters the bout as one of the most experienced fighters in the welterweight division. His greatest strengths remain his relentless pace, excellent cardio, strong wrestling, and ability to control opponents over five rounds. However, his recent performances have raised questions about whether he can remain a legitimate title contender after suffering back-to-back defeats.

Bonfim, meanwhile, appears to be entering his prime. The Brazilian has won four consecutive fights, including notable victories over Stephen Thompson and Randy Brown. His skill set combines dangerous Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, explosive striking, and impressive finishing instincts. Younger, faster, and more dynamic, Bonfim presents a difficult challenge for any opponent in the division.

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Conor McGregor’s Comeback Has Everything: Money, Mystery, And Max Holloway

Posted on May 26, 2026 by Andrew Carswell

 Las Vegas, Nevada – Conor McGregor is still the biggest name in mixed martial arts. He is also, somehow, the long shot.

That is what makes his return so fascinating. The most famous fighter in UFC history is coming back to the Octagon on July 11th at UFC 329 in Las Vegas against Max Holloway, a familiar opponent from another era of his career. The matchup is loaded with nostalgia, money, risk, and uncertainty. It is not just McGregor returning after nearly five years away from competition. It is McGregor returning with a new deal, a dangerous opponent, and something he rarely carried during his rise to superstardom: genuine underdog status.

Keep Reading

Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo (05-30-2026)

Posted on May 25, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#7][#7UFC] Yadong Song (22-10-1, -565) vs. [#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1, +410)
Yadong Song is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#2DD][#4P4P][#1BW] Petr Yan (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#23BW] Montel Jackson (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -565 81.24%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 1992.72 +25.09 53.60%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1972.69 +44.81 56.41%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 2018.13 +45.62 56.53%
WHR Yadong Song 1863.96 +37.64 55.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadong Song 28.5, Deiveson Figueiredo 38.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 126, Deiveson Figueiredo 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27][#17UFC] Mingyang Zhang (19-7-0, -250) vs. [#28][#18UFC] Alonzo Menifield (17-6-1, +202)

Last 3 Fights: Mingyang Zhang (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: L vs. [#15LHW] Johnny Walker (22-10-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 2:37 of round 2
2025-04-26: W vs. [#38HW+] Anthony Smith (39-22-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:03 of round 1
2024-11-23: W vs. [#154MW] Osman Diaz (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 2:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2025-11-22: L vs. [#14LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (21-8-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2025-06-14: W vs. [#42LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#72LHW] Julius Walker (7-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mingyang Zhang -250 68.32%
Elo K170 Alonzo Menifield 1702.61 +34.91 55.01%
Elo Modified Alonzo Menifield 1697.03 +21.32 53.06%
Glicko-1 Mingyang Zhang 1731.69 +27.92 54.01%
WHR Mingyang Zhang 1681.68 +22.95 53.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mingyang Zhang 27.8, Alonzo Menifield 38.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mingyang Zhang 280, Alonzo Menifield 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alonzo Menifield leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#4][#4UFC] Sergei Pavlovich (20-3-0, -552) vs. [#21][#13UFC] Tallison Teixeira (9-1-0, +398)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #31 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2025-08-23: W vs. [#8HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-01: W vs. [*] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#3HW+] Alexander Volkov (40-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (2-1-0)
2026-01-31: W vs. [#26HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-07-12: L vs. [#18HW+] Derrick Lewis (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2025-02-08: W vs. [*] Justin Tafa (7-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -552 80.82%
Elo K170 Sergei Pavlovich 2056.67 +455.33 93.22%
Elo Modified Sergei Pavlovich 2046.36 +416.92 91.68%
Glicko-1 Sergei Pavlovich 2110.26 +444.78 92.82%
WHR Sergei Pavlovich 1991.70 +511.85 95.01%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sergei Pavlovich 34.0, Tallison Teixeira 26.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 280, Tallison Teixeira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 2-1
.
Keep Reading

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#15)

Posted on May 21, 2026 by Jason

Two small wins last week!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss.  If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

Keep Reading

UFC Freedom 250

Posted on May 20, 2026 by A. J. Riot

UFC Freedom 250 is slated to go down next month, and with it, some of the most exciting and much-anticipated matchups fans have been clamoring for. Headlining this historic event, which is set to take place on the South Lawn of the White House, lightweight champion Ilia Topuria tries to defend his strap for the first time when he meets interim kingpin Justin Gaethje. Considered by some to be the best fighter in the world, Topuria returns after nearly a year off to showcase his abilities in his first bout of 2026. On the other end of the contest, Gaethje is endeavoring to have undisputed gold wrapped around his waist for the first time after almost ten years in the promotion.

Keep Reading

UFC Fight Night 277 – Song vs. Figueiredo

Posted on May 19, 2026 by Vitaliy Vovk

May 30, 2026 | Galaxy Arena, Macau, China

[#7 FW | #5 UFC] Yadong Song (22-9-1) vs [#9 FW | #7 UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-6-1)

At UFC Fight Night 277, rising Chinese contender Song Yadong faces former UFC flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo in a high-level featherweight clash with major ranking implications.

Song enters the bout as the younger, faster, and more volume-oriented striker. Fighting in China gives him a significant psychological and crowd advantage. Over the last several years, Song has developed into one of the UFC’s most dangerous pressure boxers at lighter weights, combining sharp combinations, strong takedown defense, and improving fight IQ. His ability to maintain pace over five rounds could become a major factor.

Figueiredo remains one of the most explosive and dangerous finishers in MMA. Despite moving up from flyweight, his counter-striking, power, guillotine threat, and veteran experience make him extremely dangerous early. However, durability and speed disadvantages against naturally larger featherweights may become visible as the fight progresses.

Keep Reading

Vitaliy Vovk

MMA Promoter | Event Organizer | Analyst

Founder & President of Real Fight Promotion (RFP) – one of the longest-running and most recognized MMA organizations in Ukraine. Organizer of 100+ MMA events. Contributor, analyst, and Trusted Promoter collaborating with leading global MMA platforms.

https://rfpromo.com/

rfpromo.com/

Rousey, Carano, Ngannou, Diaz: Netflix’s MMA Debut Arrives With Star Power and Swagger

Posted on May 15, 2026 by Andrew Carswell


Inglewood, California – Most Valuable Promotions did not treat its first MMA press conference like a standard fight-week obligation. It treated it like a declaration.

Inside the Intuit Dome on Thursday night in Inglewood, California, MVP gathered 22 fighters, three headline attractions, and enough combat-sports history to make Saturday night feel less like a debut and more like an industry challenge. The message was clear from the opening moments: this is not just another fight card.

It is MVP’s first MMA event, Netflix’s first live MMA broadcast, and a direct attempt to place mixed martial arts in front of one of the largest entertainment audiences in the world. The event will stream globally on Netflix at no additional cost to the platform’s 325 million-plus members, a detail that gives this card a reach few combat sports events can match.

Keep Reading

Andrew Carswell

Andrew Carswell is a combat sports columnist and college writing professor, based in Las Vegas, NV, whose work examines the intersection of fighting, media, business, and culture. His commentary and analysis have been featured in various magazines, newspapers, and media outlets, including Yahoo! News, and USA TODAY. Blending journalistic insight and experience with a fan’s perspective, Carswell writes about the fight game as both a cultural phenomenon and a global business.

Song vs Figueiredo: A Title Shot on the Line in Macau?

Posted on May 14, 2026 by A. J. Riot

The Galaxy Arena in Macau will burst with action on May 30, 2026. UFC returns to China after two years of silence with UFC Fight Night 277: a bout between Song Yadong (#7) and Deiveson Figueiredo (#9). For Song, it’s a way to return to the bantamweight title queue after the loss to O’Malley. Figueiredo, the former two-time Flyweight champion, still aims to prove he’s worthy of the championship belt chase in a new division.

In this post, we’ll try to analyse the upcoming clash between Song and Figueiredo, considering their key stats and fighting style.

Keep Reading

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa Preview

Posted on May 14, 2026 by Jack Latham

An intriguing encounter awaits at the Meta APEX this weekend as ‘Almighty’ Arnold Allen faces off against ‘The Dalmatian’ Melquizael Costa in the featherweight division.

BACKGROUND

After over a year out of the octagon, Arnold Allen returned in January on UFC 324, suffering a close decision loss at the hands of top contender Jean Silva.

He now makes a quick return at the Meta APEX, against the dangerous Melquizael Costa, who has won his last six fights.

Allen has been on the UFC roster since 2015, registering wins against Dan Hooker and Giga Chikadze along the way, making him a danger to anyone in the featherweight division.

A fight against Max Holloway and a close decision loss to Movsar Evloev gave Allen valuable experience that he hoped could take him to the next level.

As for Costa, the Brazilian has caught the attention of UFC fans with his high-pressure, high-volume style, which has led to him knocking out Morgan Charriere and submitting Andre Fili.

The Dalmatian’s most impressive victory came in February, though, as he finished Dan Ige with an eye-catching spinning back kick followed by some ground and pound.

With Allen looking to reignite his status as a featherweight contender, and Costa aiming to increase his winning streak, a great fight awaits.

But only one man can come out on top… Keep Reading

Jack Latham

My name is Jack Latham.

I am 20 years old and am currently studying Sports Journalism at the University of Chester.

I became interested in combat sports, particularly MMA, in the lockdown period and have followed it closely ever since.

I have previously created my own website titled ‘Combat Corner,’ where I produce MMA content.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa (05-16-2026)

Posted on May 11, 2026 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#16][#13UFC] Arnold Allen (20-4-0, -180) vs. [#17][#14UFC] Melquizael Costa (26-7-0, +149)
Arnold Allen is the All-Time #29 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (1-2-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#11FW] Jean Silva (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#35FW] Giga Chikadze (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#2FW] Movsar Evloev (20-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (3-0-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#27FW] Dan Ige (19-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 4:56 of round 1
2025-12-13: W vs. [#66FW] Morgan Charriere (21-12-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:14 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#98FW] Julian Erosa (31-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arnold Allen -180 61.55%
Elo K170 Melquizael Costa 1996.99 +80.28 61.35%
Elo Modified Melquizael Costa 1972.87 +69.24 59.83%
Glicko-1 Melquizael Costa 2034.05 +67.88 59.64%
WHR Arnold Allen 1847.39 +14.19 52.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Arnold Allen 32.3, Melquizael Costa 29.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 112, Melquizael Costa 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Doo Ho Choi (16-4-1, +105) vs. [#62][#34UFC] Daniel Santos (15-2-0, -126)

Last 3 Fights: Doo Ho Choi (2-0-1)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#85FW] Nate Landwehr (18-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:21 of round 3
2024-07-20: W vs. [*] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Submission to Punch) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-02-04: D vs. [#86LW] Kyle Nelson (17-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Santos (3-0-0)
2025-10-04: W vs. [#458LW] Joo Sang Yoo (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2025-05-10: W vs. [#216FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#197BW] Johnny Munoz Jr. (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Santos -126 53.33%
Elo K170 Daniel Santos 1803.57 +30.84 54.43%
Elo Modified Daniel Santos 1800.60 +25.73 53.69%
Glicko-1 Daniel Santos 1847.49 +20.07 52.88%
WHR Daniel Santos 1806.93 +45.04 56.45%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Doo Ho Choi 35.1, Daniel Santos 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Doo Ho Choi 525, Daniel Santos 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#29][#19UFC] Modestas Bukauskas (19-7-0, -138) vs. [#52][#25UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1, +102)

Last 3 Fights: Modestas Bukauskas (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: L vs. [#21LHW] Nikita Krylov (31-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 3
2025-09-06: W vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1) via KO (Elbow) in 5:00 of round 1
2025-05-10: W vs. [#27LHW] Ion Cutelaba (20-11-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#112LHW] Luke Fernandez (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 1
2025-09-27: L vs. [#36LHW] Navajo Stirling (9-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-06-14: NC vs. [*] Paul Craig (17-10-1)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Modestas Bukauskas -138 53.94%
Elo K170 Modestas Bukauskas 1731.69 +135.45 68.56%
Elo Modified Modestas Bukauskas 1731.52 +81.43 61.51%
Glicko-1 Modestas Bukauskas 1748.44 +74.05 60.50%
WHR Modestas Bukauskas 1663.80 +43.06 56.16%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Modestas Bukauskas 32.2, Rodolfo Bellato 30.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Modestas Bukauskas 112, Rodolfo Bellato 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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