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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 (06-20-2026)

Posted on June 16, 2026 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#3][#3UFC] Kyoji Horiguchi (36-5-0, +135) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Manel Kape (22-7-0, -163)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Manel Kape is the All-Time #22 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (3-0-0)
2026-02-07: W vs. [#21FLY] Amir Albazi (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#15FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (18-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 3
2024-12-31: W vs. [#113FLY] Nkazimulo Zulu (16-9-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#7FLY] Brandon Royval (17-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#11FLY] Asu Almabayev (23-3-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:16 of round 3
2024-12-14: W vs. [#41FLY] Bruno Silva (15-10-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -163 59.29%
Elo K170 Kyoji Horiguchi 2154.68 +150.19 70.36%
Elo Modified Kyoji Horiguchi 2113.33 +156.13 71.07%
Glicko-1 Kyoji Horiguchi 2173.03 +142.34 69.41%
WHR Kyoji Horiguchi 2041.43 +98.05 63.75%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kyoji Horiguchi 35.7, Manel Kape 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 133, Manel Kape 189
Previous Match-up Record: Kyoji Horiguchi leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#26][#17UFC] Ion Cutelaba (20-11-1, +258) vs. [#36][#22UFC] Navajo Stirling (9-0-0, -331)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#40LHW] Oumar Sy (12-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:24 of round 1
2025-05-10: L vs. [#28LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (20-7-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#125LHW] Ibo Aslan (14-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Navajo Stirling (3-0-0)
2026-03-28: W vs. [#82LHW] Bruno Lopes (14-3-0) via NC in 4:05 of round 2
2025-09-27: W vs. [#51LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#55LHW] Ivan Erslan (15-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Navajo Stirling -331 73.33%
Elo K170 Navajo Stirling 1738.31 +22.51 53.24%
Elo Modified Navajo Stirling 1764.96 +6.16 50.89%
Glicko-1 Ion Cutelaba 1831.65 +26.53 53.81%
WHR Ion Cutelaba 1706.25 +19.13 52.75%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ion Cutelaba 32.5, Navajo Stirling 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ion Cutelaba 98, Navajo Stirling 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#88][#46UFC] Hyder Amil (11-2-0, +131) vs. [#119][#55UFC] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0, -159)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (1-2-0)
2025-11-08: L vs. [#70FW] Jamall Emmers (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-27)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#52FW] Jose Delgado (11-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-03-01: W vs. [#41FW] William Gomis (15-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Christian Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#64FW] Andre Fili (25-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2025-03-29: L vs. [#21FW] Melquizael Costa (26-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#154FW] Austin Bashi (14-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Christian Rodriguez -159 58.64%
Elo K170 Hyder Amil 1562.95 +16.08 52.31%
Elo Modified Christian Rodriguez 1574.23 +60.24 58.58%
Glicko-1 Christian Rodriguez 1582.84 +54.32 57.75%
WHR Christian Rodriguez 1553.45 +65.38 59.30%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Hyder Amil 36.0, Christian Rodriguez 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyder Amil 224, Christian Rodriguez 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[*] Andre Lima (11-0-0, -641) vs. [#114][#44UFC] Kevin Borjas (10-5-0, +448)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Lima (3-0-0)
2025-03-15: W vs. [#254FLY] Daniel Barez (17-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 3
2024-09-07: W vs. [#96FLY] Felipe dos Santos (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#97FLY] Mitch Raposo (11-3-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Borjas (1-2-0)
2026-02-28: L vs. [#39FLY] Imanol Rodriguez (7-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2025-08-23: L vs. [#32FLY] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#117FLY] Ronaldo Rodriguez (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Andre Lima -641 82.57%
Elo K170 Andre Lima 1761.71 +395.90 90.71%
Elo Modified Andre Lima 1687.40 +290.91 84.22%
Glicko-1 Andre Lima 1686.82 +284.08 83.69%
WHR Andre Lima 1584.22 +167.53 72.40%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Andre Lima 27.3, Kevin Borjas 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Lima 462, Kevin Borjas 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#138] Murtazali Magomedov (11-0-0, -295) vs. [*] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3-0, +234)

Last 3 Fights: Murtazali Magomedov (3-0-0)
2025-09-23: W vs. [#492LW] Brahyam Zurcher (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1
2024-12-06: W vs. [#323FW] Claudeci Brito de Sousa (14-7-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 2:30 of round 2
2024-06-23: W vs. [#696FW] Sardor Khudoyberdiev (9-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Melsik Baghdasaryan (1-2-0)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#12FW] Jean Silva (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:15 of round 1
2023-07-15: W vs. [*] Tucker Lutz (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-11: L vs. [*] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Murtazali Magomedov -295 71.38%
Elo K170 Murtazali Magomedov 1645.22 +114.20 65.87%
Elo Modified Murtazali Magomedov 1677.49 +139.98 69.12%
Glicko-1 Murtazali Magomedov 1718.93 +222.71 78.28%
WHR Murtazali Magomedov 1658.78 +229.51 78.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Murtazali Magomedov 26.8, Melsik Baghdasaryan 34.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Murtazali Magomedov 270, Melsik Baghdasaryan 483
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#18BW][#16BWUFC] Vinicius Oliveira (24-4-0, -235) vs. [#64][#35UFC] Andre Fili (25-13-0, +188)

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Oliveira (2-1-0)
2026-02-07: L vs. [#7BW] Mario Bautista (17-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:46 of round 2
2025-07-19: W vs. [#27BW] Kyler Phillips (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#43BW] Said Nurmagomedov (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (1-2-0)
2026-03-14: L vs. [#52FW] Jose Delgado (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-08-09: W vs. [#119FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2025-02-22: L vs. [#21FW] Melquizael Costa (26-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vinicius Oliveira -235 66.89%
Elo K170 Vinicius Oliveira 1914.37 +287.14 83.93%
Elo Modified Vinicius Oliveira 1908.08 +293.52 84.42%
Glicko-1 Vinicius Oliveira 1939.96 +333.09 87.18%
WHR Vinicius Oliveira 1794.90 +222.42 78.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vinicius Oliveira 30.5, Andre Fili 36.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vinicius Oliveira 133, Andre Fili 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#16][#13UFC] Beatriz Mesquita (7-0-0, -604) vs. [#31][#21UFC] Melissa Mullins (7-2-0, +431)

Last 3 Fights: Beatriz Mesquita (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#58BW] Montserrat Rendon (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 1
2025-10-11: W vs. [#74BW] Irina Alekseeva (5-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2025-06-20: W vs. [#97BW] Sierra Lee Dinwoodie (4-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Mullins (1-2-0)
2025-06-21: L vs. [#27BW] Darya Zheleznyakova (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#22BW] Klaudia Sygula (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2024-04-06: L vs. [#21BW] Nora Cornolle (9-4-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Head Kicks) in 3:06 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Beatriz Mesquita -604 82.00%
Elo K170 Beatriz Mesquita 1487.01 +131.26 68.04%
Elo Modified Beatriz Mesquita 1490.80 +64.68 59.20%
Glicko-1 Beatriz Mesquita 1465.39 +83.13 61.74%
WHR Beatriz Mesquita 1389.51 +61.96 58.82%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Beatriz Mesquita 35.2, Melissa Mullins 34.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beatriz Mesquita 98, Melissa Mullins 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#22][#17UFC] Allan Nascimento (22-6-0, -207) vs. [#97][#42UFC] Mitch Raposo (11-3-0, +166)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (3-0-0)
2025-11-01: W vs. [#37FLY] Cody Durden (18-10-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:13 of round 2
2025-05-31: W vs. [#59FLY] Jafel Filho (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#158FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mitch Raposo (1-2-0)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#126FLY] Azat Maksum (15-3-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#32FLY] Su Mudaerji (19-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-06-01: L vs. [*] Andre Lima (11-0-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Allan Nascimento -207 64.20%
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1756.57 +354.92 88.53%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1786.08 +290.05 84.15%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1855.72 +329.17 86.93%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1809.86 +319.37 86.27%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Allan Nascimento 34.8, Mitch Raposo 27.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 231, Mitch Raposo 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Allan Nascimento leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#151][#60UFC] Michael Aswell (11-4-0, -394) vs. [#458BW][#81BWUFC] Gaston Bolanos (8-5-0, +302)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Aswell (1-2-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#62FW] Luke Riley (13-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#219FW] Lucas Almeida (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbow) in 1:42 of round 1
2025-05-31: L vs. [#219LW] Bolaji Oki (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gaston Bolanos (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#292BW] Quang Le (9-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:54 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#648FW] Cortavious Romious (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#24BW] Marcus McGhee (11-2-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:29 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Aswell -394 76.22%
Elo K170 Michael Aswell 1467.40 +164.58 72.06%
Elo Modified Michael Aswell 1503.26 +166.32 72.26%
Glicko-1 Michael Aswell 1523.38 +195.91 75.54%
WHR Michael Aswell 1456.76 +192.23 75.15%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Aswell 25.7, Gaston Bolanos 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Aswell 91, Gaston Bolanos 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#8][#8UFC] Karol Rosa (19-7-0, -134) vs. [#14][#12UFC] Luana Santos (10-2-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Karol Rosa (2-1-0)
2025-08-02: W vs. [#21BW] Nora Cornolle (9-4-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#6BW] Ailin Perez (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-10: W vs. [*] Pannie Kianzad (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Santos (2-1-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#17BW] Melissa Croden (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#85BW] Tainara Lisboa (7-4-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 4:59 of round 2
2024-08-17: L vs. [#18FLY] Casey ONeill (11-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karol Rosa -134 54.59%
Elo K170 Karol Rosa 1553.76 +20.85 53.00%
Elo Modified Luana Santos 1573.13 +14.55 52.09%
Glicko-1 Luana Santos 1579.19 +52.57 57.51%
WHR Karol Rosa 1524.63 +9.20 51.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Karol Rosa 31.4, Luana Santos 26.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karol Rosa 322, Luana Santos 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#103] Levan Chokheli (14-3-0, -318) vs. [#292] Leon Shahbazyan (12-4-0, +252)

Last 3 Fights: Levan Chokheli (2-1-0)
2025-05-24: W vs. [#1060WW] Alexandre Goncalves (15-18-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 2
2024-09-07: L vs. [*] Lorenz Larkin (27-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 1
2023-09-23: W vs. [#90MW] Sabah Homasi (18-12-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 1:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Leon Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2026-03-13: W vs. [#485MW] Robert Hale (14-10-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:34 of round 1
2025-09-26: W vs. [#926LW] Glaucio Eliziario (10-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:43 of round 1
2025-07-17: W vs. [#636MW] Aaron Phillips (9-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Levan Chokheli -318 72.81%
Elo K170 Levan Chokheli 1666.94 +265.74 82.20%
Elo Modified Levan Chokheli 1691.12 +244.33 80.32%
Glicko-1 Levan Chokheli 1710.44 +262.89 81.95%
WHR Levan Chokheli 1611.53 +197.00 75.66%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Levan Chokheli 29.7, Leon Shahbazyan 30.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Levan Chokheli 392, Leon Shahbazyan 99
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Otari Tanzilovi (10-1-0, +117) vs. [#368] Shane Collins (7-0-0, -122)

Last 3 Fights: Otari Tanzilovi (2-1-0)
2025-02-07: W vs. [*] Guillermo Torres (7-2-0) via UD ()
2024-09-10: L vs. [#445BW] Josias Musasa (8-2-0) via SD ()
2023-01-21: W vs. [#503BW] Khikmatillo Abdullaev (10-3-2) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Shane Collins (3-0-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#1238FW] Talon Hammons (6-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:43 of round 1
2026-01-09: W vs. [NA] Tyler Miller (3-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:11 of round 1
2025-10-10: W vs. [#1308FW] Eliab Evangelista (4-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Collins -122 54.38%
Elo K170 Otari Tanzilovi 1477.71 +62.86 58.95%
Elo Modified Otari Tanzilovi 1549.77 +72.93 60.34%
Glicko-1 Otari Tanzilovi 1580.71 +167.57 72.41%
WHR Otari Tanzilovi 1497.16 +167.37 72.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Otari Tanzilovi 28.2, Shane Collins 26.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Otari Tanzilovi 498, Shane Collins 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi
Highest Stored DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2026-6-15

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