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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Yusuff (10-14-2023)

Posted on October 9, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#20] Edson Barboza (23-11-0, +135) vs. [#27] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0, -164)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#29FW] Billy Quarantillo (18-5-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-03-05: L vs. [#11FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-08-28: L vs. [#9FW] Giga Chikadze (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (2-1-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#267FW] Don Shainis (15-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [#28FW] Alex Caceres (21-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-04-10: L vs. [#5FW] Arnold Allen (19-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sodiq Yusuff -164 59.34%
Elo K170 Sodiq Yusuff 1880.83 +63.97 57.25%
Elo Modified Sodiq Yusuff 1891.05 +54.90 55.98%
Glicko-1 Sodiq Yusuff 1907.61 +18.38 52.64%
WHR Sodiq Yusuff 1788.59 +3.42 50.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 182, Sodiq Yusuff 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#9] Jennifer Maia (21-9-1, -150) vs. [#17] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0, +122)
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#19FLY] Casey ONeill (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-11-19: W vs. [#36FLY] Maryna Moroz (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-03-26: L vs. [#3FLY/#7DD/#5P4P] Manon Fiorot (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#15FLY] Amanda Ribas (11-4-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-05-14: W vs. [#18FLY] Andrea Lee (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jennifer Maia -150 57.11%
Elo K170 Jennifer Maia 1699.69 +224.17 73.58%
Elo Modified Jennifer Maia 1701.38 +179.55 68.70%
Glicko-1 Jennifer Maia 1687.62 +179.46 73.75%
WHR Jennifer Maia 1588.14 +110.58 62.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jennifer Maia 210, Viviane Araujo 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jennifer Maia leads 4-2
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#13] Jonathan Martinez (18-4-0, -111) vs. [#57] Adrian Yanez (16-4-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (3-0-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#22BW] Said Nurmagomedov (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: W vs. [#37FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#112BW] Vince Morales (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Adrian Yanez (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#10BW] Rob Font (20-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-06-18: W vs. [*] Tony Kelley (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 1
2021-11-20: W vs. [#37BW] Davey Grant (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Martinez -111 50.10%
Elo K170 Jonathan Martinez 1958.75 +259.83 76.62%
Elo Modified Jonathan Martinez 1942.85 +291.33 78.17%
Glicko-1 Jonathan Martinez 1980.85 +285.55 83.80%
WHR Jonathan Martinez 1821.41 +216.79 72.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Martinez 217, Adrian Yanez 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Adrian Yanez leads 2-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 300 (10-07-2023)

Posted on October 3, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#19] Usman Nurmagomedov (17-0-0, -1346) vs. [#32] Brent Primus (12-3-0, +643)

Last 3 Fights: Usman Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [*] Ben Henderson (30-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1
2022-11-18: W vs. [#25LW] Patricky Freire (25-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2022-07-22: W vs. [#135LW] Christopher Gonzalez (8-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brent Primus (2-1-0)
2023-05-12: W vs. [#67LW] Mansour Barnaoui (20-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-06-24: L vs. [#17LW] Alexandr Shabliy (23-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 2
2021-10-16: W vs. [*] Ben Henderson (30-12-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Usman Nurmagomedov -1346 87.36%
Elo K170 Usman Nurmagomedov 1916.92 +38.41 54.38%
Elo Modified Usman Nurmagomedov 1908.77 +19.23 52.10%
Glicko-1 Usman Nurmagomedov 1978.37 +38.94 55.58%
WHR Usman Nurmagomedov 1902.24 +85.35 59.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Usman Nurmagomedov 211, Brent Primus 148
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Cristiane Justino (26-2-0, -546) vs. [#5] Cat Zingano (14-4-0, +350)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Cat Zingano is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2022-04-23: W vs. [#8FW] Arlene Blencowe (15-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2021-11-12: W vs. [#12FW] Sinead Kavanagh (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2021-05-21: W vs. [*] Leslie Smith (12-9-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 5

Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (3-0-0)
2023-03-31: W vs. [#15FW] Leah McCourt (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-24: W vs. [#22FW] Pam Sorenson (9-6-0) via UD (29-26, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-04-09: W vs. [NA] Olivia Parker (4-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:56 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cristiane Justino -546 79.18%
Elo K170 Cristiane Justino 1946.37 +380.37 85.04%
Elo Modified Cristiane Justino 1946.69 +328.65 80.83%
Glicko-1 Cristiane Justino 2013.60 +407.14 91.24%
WHR Cristiane Justino 1945.06 +361.32 83.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 532, Cat Zingano 190
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cat Zingano leads 1-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Ryan Bader (31-7-0, -186) vs. [#12] Linton Vassell (23-8-0, +139)
Ryan Bader is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [*] Fedor Emelianenko (40-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2022-05-06: W vs. [*] Cheick Kongo (31-12-2) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2022-01-29: W vs. [#16HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Linton Vassell (3-0-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#16HW+] Valentin Moldavsky (12-3-0) via KO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:03 of round 1
2022-04-15: W vs. [#28HW+] Tim Johnson (16-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2021-11-12: W vs. [#39HW+] Tyrell Fortune (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Bader -186 60.84%
Elo K170 Ryan Bader 2197.20 +205.47 71.89%
Elo Modified Ryan Bader 2197.86 +230.04 73.24%
Glicko-1 Ryan Bader 2257.24 +237.61 79.70%
WHR Ryan Bader 2025.44 +101.19 61.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 245, Linton Vassell 211
Previous Match-up Record: Ryan Bader leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ryan Bader leads 4-1
.
Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green (10-07-2023)

Posted on October 2, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#14] Grant Dawson (20-1-1, -396) vs. [#15] Bobby Green (30-14-1, +293)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#52LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#54LW] Mark O. Madsen (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 3
2022-04-30: W vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#51LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#68LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#27LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -396 75.82%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 2086.64 +233.58 74.40%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 2032.86 +206.76 71.20%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 2098.90 +206.02 76.60%
WHR Grant Dawson 1976.29 +216.11 72.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 98, Bobby Green 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#31] Joseph Pyfer (11-2-0, -412) vs. [#72] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-5-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#48MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [#499MW] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#211MW] Osman Diaz (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#152MW] Claudio Ribeiro (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-02-19: L vs. [#43WW] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#134MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -412 76.52%
Elo K170 Joseph Pyfer 1605.00 +51.48 55.85%
Elo Modified Abdul Razak Alhassan 1617.49 +0.31 50.03%
Glicko-1 Joseph Pyfer 1693.71 +9.20 51.32%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1620.63 +23.05 52.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Pyfer 182, Abdul Razak Alhassan 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Alex Morono (23-8-0, +159) vs. [#43] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (2-1-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#37WW] Tim Means (33-15-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:09 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#30WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:29 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#69WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Joaquin Buckley (1-2-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [#77WW] Andre Fialho (16-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 4:15 of round 2
2022-12-10: L vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 2
2022-09-03: L vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquin Buckley -197 63.20%
Elo K170 Alex Morono 1826.35 +107.10 61.99%
Elo Modified Alex Morono 1866.43 +160.51 66.88%
Glicko-1 Alex Morono 1932.49 +159.24 71.43%
WHR Alex Morono 1754.85 +114.87 62.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 147, Joaquin Buckley 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
Keep Reading

Stat of the Day: Loss Streaks after Win Streaks

Posted on October 1, 2023 by Jason

After recently realizing that Tony Ferguson had won 12 straight fights, and then lost 6 straight… I started to think, has something like this ever happened before in Pro MMA?  And then I started to wonder if anything WORSE than this had happened?

Though, it is tough to grade “worse” in this case.  If a fighter wins 15 straight, then loses 6, that’s probably worse.  But what if they won 8, then lost 8, is that worse?  You get my point.

Here are some good finds…

  • Kevin Asplund has a mighty impressive case, winning 15 straight, then dropping 5, then winning 1, then dropping 5 more in a row.
  • Allan Zuniga may actually beat Tony, if you count his fight in TUF 22.  His career is especially weird, where he starts out at 13-0, loses the TUF fight, then loses 5 pro fights and has not fought since.
  • Mitsuhisa Sunabe has an active streak to watch.  He won 16 in a row before his current 4 fight losing streak.
  • How about Johnnie Roades?  This guy won 6 straight, then lost 11 in a row!

 

Did I miss anyone?  Let me know in the comments!

Note: Draws and no contests were ignored.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot (09-23-2023)

Posted on September 18, 2023 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#7] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0, -146) vs. [#11] Mateusz Gamrot (22-2-0, +117)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#3LW] Justin Gaethje (25-4-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#19WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-15-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2021-12-04: W vs. [#74LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:20 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#28LW] Jalin Turner (13-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#5LW] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#13LW] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -146 56.29%
Elo K170 Mateusz Gamrot 2080.59 +103.45 61.60%
Elo Modified Mateusz Gamrot 2023.94 +53.79 55.86%
Glicko-1 Mateusz Gamrot 2066.72 +8.13 51.17%
WHR Mateusz Gamrot 1978.82 +12.03 51.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 189, Mateusz Gamrot 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#11] Dan Ige (17-6-0, +131) vs. [#30] Bryce Mitchell (15-1-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#47FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#43FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2
2022-06-04: L vs. [#13FW] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (2-1-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#4FW] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-05: W vs. [#19FW] Edson Barboza (23-11-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-10-31: W vs. [#58FW] Andre Fili (22-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryce Mitchell -161 58.76%
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1943.22 +121.59 63.54%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1887.08 +66.79 57.26%
Glicko-1 Dan Ige 1940.62 +113.28 65.75%
WHR Bryce Mitchell 1780.65 +5.52 50.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 105, Bryce Mitchell 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2, -312) vs. [#37] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-11-0, +235)
Michelle Waterson-Gomez is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#6SW] Virna Jandiroba (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-11-05: L vs. [#8SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
2022-03-05: W vs. [#3SW] Xiaonan Yan (18-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (0-3-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#17SW] Luana Pinheiro (11-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#8SW] Amanda Lemos (13-3-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2021-05-08: L vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marina Rodriguez -312 71.72%
Elo K170 Marina Rodriguez 1603.41 +228.45 73.96%
Elo Modified Marina Rodriguez 1595.79 +155.11 66.35%
Glicko-1 Marina Rodriguez 1569.11 +135.07 68.52%
WHR Marina Rodriguez 1556.11 +148.01 66.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 140, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 168
Previous Match-up Record: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 (09-16-2023)

Posted on September 11, 2023 by Jason

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-0, +143) vs. [#2/#5DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-0, -175)
Alexa Grasso is the All-Time #33 ranked Women’s fighter.
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexa Grasso (3-0-0)
2023-03-04: W vs. [#2FLY/#5DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (23-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-10-15: W vs. [#16FLY] Viviane Araujo (11-5-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-03-26: W vs. [#22FLY] Joanne Wood (16-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#2P4P] Alexa Grasso (16-3-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:34 of round 4
2022-06-11: W vs. [#8FLY] Taila Santos (19-3-0) via SD (49-46, 48-47, 47-48)
2021-09-25: W vs. [#13FLY] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:00 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Valentina Shevchenko -175 60.73%
Elo K170 Valentina Shevchenko 1896.04 +17.27 51.97%
Elo Modified Alexa Grasso 1872.50 +13.55 51.48%
Glicko-1 Alexa Grasso 1893.34 +36.88 55.29%
WHR Alexa Grasso 1826.87 +31.26 53.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexa Grasso 196, Valentina Shevchenko 196
Previous Match-up Record: Alexa Grasso leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#7] Kevin Holland (25-9-0, -114) vs. [#21] Jack Della Maddalena (15-2-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#26WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
2023-04-08: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3
2022-12-03: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Jack Della Maddalena (3-0-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#89WW] Bassil Hafez (8-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#34WW] Randy Brown (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
2022-11-19: W vs. [#96WW] Danny Roberts (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Holland -114 50.42%
Elo K170 Kevin Holland 1995.99 +53.67 56.10%
Elo Modified Kevin Holland 1994.71 +132.24 64.08%
Glicko-1 Kevin Holland 2067.29 +162.30 71.79%
WHR Kevin Holland 1853.11 +67.55 57.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 49, Jack Della Maddalena 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#276] Raul Rosas Jr. (7-1-0, -565) vs. [#463] Terrence Mitchell (15-3-0, +373)

Last 3 Fights: Raul Rosas Jr. (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#147BW] Christian Rodriguez (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#500FW] Jay Perrin (11-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:44 of round 1
2022-09-20: W vs. [#591FW] Mando Gutierrez (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Terrence Mitchell (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#125BW] Cameron Saaiman (9-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 1
2023-04-28: W vs. [#1229BW] Christian Alexander (1-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 1
2023-02-25: W vs. [#2405FW] Skyler Schlosser (4-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Raul Rosas Jr. -565 80.07%
Elo K170 Terrence Mitchell 1385.92 +23.26 52.65%
Elo Modified Raul Rosas Jr. 1408.75 +38.06 54.16%
Glicko-1 Raul Rosas Jr. 1411.69 +13.75 51.98%
WHR Raul Rosas Jr. 1380.51 +21.30 52.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raul Rosas Jr. 161, Terrence Mitchell 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland (09-09-2023)

Posted on September 4, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0, -606) vs. [#8] Sean Strickland (27-5-0, +417)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#59MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-5-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -606 81.61%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2253.11 +236.14 74.63%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2239.36 +232.60 73.46%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2286.67 +217.10 77.72%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2106.25 +155.67 67.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Sean Strickland 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 2-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0, -204) vs. [#8] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0, +166)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#18HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#6HW+] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3
2022-02-12: W vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkov -204 64.09%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 1975.43 +170.75 68.57%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 1995.43 +163.30 67.15%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2079.41 +199.98 75.97%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1937.97 +200.93 71.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 182, Tai Tuivasa 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#7] Manel Kape (18-6-0, -381) vs. [#133] Felipe dos Santos (8-0-0, +280)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#32FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#70FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [#55FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-6-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felipe dos Santos (3-0-0)
2022-11-04: W vs. [#310FLY] Hugo Paiva (6-2-0) via UD ()
2022-05-29: W vs. [#521BW] Rafael Montouro Ribeiro (7-3-0) via SD ()
2022-03-06: W vs. [#87FLY] Marcos Degli (9-4-0) via Submission in 0:33 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -381 75.05%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1772.48 +296.09 79.46%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1786.23 +308.51 79.42%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1859.08 +398.22 90.83%
WHR Manel Kape 1791.15 +296.98 79.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 266, Felipe dos Santos 309
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Korean Zombie (08-26-2023)

Posted on August 21, 2023 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#2] Max Holloway (24-7-0, -829) vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-7-0, +522)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #9 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chan Sung Jung is the All-Time #22 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#5FW] Arnold Allen (19-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2021-11-13: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (15-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (1-2-0)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#2P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 4
2021-06-19: W vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2020-10-17: L vs. [#8FW] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Max Holloway -829 84.73%
Elo K170 Max Holloway 2251.02 +261.18 76.73%
Elo Modified Max Holloway 2221.35 +267.34 76.32%
Glicko-1 Max Holloway 2304.21 +327.37 86.81%
WHR Max Holloway 2112.96 +299.21 79.69%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 133, Chan Sung Jung 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-4
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#14] Ryan Spann (21-8-0, -151) vs. [#16] Anthony Smith (36-18-0, +123)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Spann (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#9LHW] Nikita Krylov (30-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:38 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#25LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#28LHW] Ion Cutelaba (17-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2
2021-09-18: W vs. [#14LHW] Ryan Spann (21-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ryan Spann -151 57.29%
Elo K170 Ryan Spann 1830.17 +13.92 51.59%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1824.77 +7.39 50.81%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1921.70 +36.11 55.18%
WHR Anthony Smith 1771.60 +38.06 54.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Spann 168, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: Anthony Smith leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#18] Alex Caceres (21-13-0, +186) vs. [*] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0, -237)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#55FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#102FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:04 of round 1
2022-03-12: L vs. [#22FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (2-1-0)
2022-01-15: L vs. [#7FW] Calvin Kattar (23-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2021-08-28: W vs. [#19FW] Edson Barboza (23-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 3
2021-05-01: W vs. [#32FW] Cub Swanson (29-13-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Giga Chikadze -237 66.79%
Elo K170 Alex Caceres 1877.02 +46.52 55.29%
Elo Modified Alex Caceres 1870.24 +54.97 55.99%
Glicko-1 Alex Caceres 1908.47 +39.80 55.70%
WHR Alex Caceres 1764.82 +65.01 57.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 84, Giga Chikadze 588
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Caceres leads 1-0
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 292: Sterling vs. O’Malley (08-19-2023)

Posted on August 14, 2023 by Jason

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#8DD/#4P4P] Aljamain Sterling (23-3-0, -271) vs. [#5] Sean OMalley (16-1-0, +210)
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #3 ranked Bantamweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Sean OMalley is the All-Time #47 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (3-0-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#4BW] Henry Cejudo (16-3-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2022-10-22: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 2
2022-04-09: W vs. [#7BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2022-10-22: W vs. [#7BW] Petr Yan (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: NC vs. [#9BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-7-0)
2021-12-11: W vs. [#74BW] Raulian Paiva (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aljamain Sterling -271 69.36%
Elo K170 Aljamain Sterling 2421.37 +456.30 88.94%
Elo Modified Aljamain Sterling 2238.19 +332.51 81.08%
Glicko-1 Aljamain Sterling 2299.89 +330.10 86.99%
WHR Aljamain Sterling 2071.10 +249.05 75.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aljamain Sterling 105, Sean OMalley 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Aljamain Sterling leads 2-1
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Weili Zhang (23-3-0, -335) vs. [#8] Amanda Lemos (13-2-1, +252)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#2SW/#3DD/#5P4P] Carla Esparza (19-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 2:28 of round 2
2021-11-06: L vs. [*] Rose Namajunas (11-5-0) via SD (47-48, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (2-1-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#9SW] Marina Rodriguez (16-3-2) via TKO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 3
2022-07-16: W vs. [#25SW] Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2022-04-23: L vs. [#7SW] Jessica Andrade (24-12-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -335 73.05%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 1950.32 +141.33 65.60%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1906.17 +127.08 63.56%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 1938.25 +144.01 69.61%
WHR Weili Zhang 1824.92 +170.62 68.56%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 280, Amanda Lemos 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Weili Zhang leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#8] Marlon Vera (21-8-1, -190) vs. [#9] Pedro Munhoz (20-7-0, +156)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #41 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Pedro Munhoz is the All-Time #28 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#3BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#14BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:17 of round 4
2022-04-30: W vs. [#11BW] Rob Font (20-7-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#17BW] Chris Gutierrez (19-5-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-02: NC vs. [#5BW] Sean OMalley (16-1-0)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#14BW] Dominick Cruz (24-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marlon Vera -190 62.65%
Elo K170 Marlon Vera 2007.59 +84.88 59.57%
Elo Modified Marlon Vera 2033.27 +118.05 62.64%
Glicko-1 Marlon Vera 2115.58 +158.82 71.39%
WHR Marlon Vera 1920.56 +89.23 60.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 147, Pedro Munhoz 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marlon Vera leads 3-1
.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos (08-12-2023)

Posted on August 7, 2023 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Vicente Luque (21-9-1, +105) vs. [#16] Rafael dos Anjos (32-14-0, -129)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #44 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #28 ranked Welterweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#9WW] Geoff Neal (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2022-04-16: L vs. [#3WW/#10P4P] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#24WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#78MW] Bryan Barberena (18-11-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:20 of round 2
2022-07-09: L vs. [#7LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2022-03-05: W vs. [#22LW] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael dos Anjos -129 53.59%
Elo K170 Rafael dos Anjos 1990.24 +21.03 52.40%
Elo Modified Rafael dos Anjos 1948.85 +6.68 50.73%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 1992.87 +6.28 50.90%
WHR Rafael dos Anjos 1890.04 +49.95 55.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 371, Rafael dos Anjos 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 2-1
.

Featherweight (145)
[#38] Cub Swanson (28-13-0, +197) vs. [#63] Hakeem Dawodu (13-3-1, -245)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#13BW] Jonathan Martinez (18-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#65FW] Darren Elkins (27-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2021-05-01: L vs. [*] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (1-2-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#98FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#78FW] Michael Trizano (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#11FW] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hakeem Dawodu -245 67.83%
Elo K170 Hakeem Dawodu 1725.57 +22.34 52.55%
Elo Modified Cub Swanson 1720.20 +58.98 56.42%
Glicko-1 Cub Swanson 1745.94 +92.19 62.96%
WHR Cub Swanson 1662.72 +80.30 59.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 301, Hakeem Dawodu 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-6-0, +165) vs. [#19] Khalil Rountree (11-6-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (0-3-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-03-26: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#26LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#130LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2
2021-09-04: W vs. [#44LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:30 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -208 64.14%
Elo K170 Khalil Rountree 1724.86 +88.66 59.99%
Elo Modified Khalil Rountree 1691.92 +46.97 55.12%
Glicko-1 Khalil Rountree 1722.77 +39.99 55.73%
WHR Khalil Rountree 1689.95 +126.73 64.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Daukaus 245, Khalil Rountree 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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