Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez (12-09-2023)

Dec 4, 2023
Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#11] Yadong Song (20-8-1, -364) vs. [#18] Chris Gutierrez (20-5-2, +275)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#25BW] Ricky Simon (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 5
2022-09-17: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Marlon Moraes (23-13-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#72BW] Heili Alateng (16-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#12BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (24-11-1) via KO (Knee) in 2:01 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yadong Song -364 74.62%
Elo K170 Yadong Song 1965.20 +108.42 62.14%
Elo Modified Yadong Song 1936.41 +126.63 63.51%
Glicko-1 Yadong Song 1985.53 +146.44 69.91%
WHR Yadong Song 1842.05 +136.13 65.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 224, Chris Gutierrez 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12] Khalil Rountree (12-6-0, -236) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (37-18-0, +188)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #30 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#31LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#16LHW] Ryan Spann (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10LHW] Johnny Walker (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#6LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (18-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -236 66.92%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1904.80 +115.99 62.94%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1848.88 +89.78 59.70%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1923.01 +113.14 65.73%
WHR Anthony Smith 1765.30 +18.37 52.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalil Rountree 119, Anthony Smith 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#30] Allan Nascimento (20-6-0, -255) vs. [*] Su Mudaerji (16-5-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Allan Nascimento (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#129FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-05-14: W vs. [#65FLY] Jake Hadley (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-30: L vs. [#16FLY] Tagir Ulanbekov (15-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Su Mudaerji (2-1-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#29FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:24 of round 2
2021-01-20: W vs. [*] Zarrukh Adashev (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-11-28: W vs. [#123FLY] Malcolm Gordon (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Allan Nascimento -255 68.37%
Elo K170 Allan Nascimento 1648.13 +228.47 73.96%
Elo Modified Allan Nascimento 1698.60 +265.11 76.14%
Glicko-1 Allan Nascimento 1762.65 +323.38 86.55%
WHR Allan Nascimento 1740.02 +345.78 82.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Allan Nascimento 329, Su Mudaerji 511
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#20] Andre Muniz (23-6-0, +178) vs. [#31] Jun Yong Park (17-5-0, -222)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Muniz (1-2-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#16MW] Paul Craig (17-7-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:40 of round 2
2023-02-25: L vs. [#9MW] Brendan Allen (23-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 3
2022-07-02: W vs. [*] Uriah Hall (17-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (3-0-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#72MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#149MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#244MW] Joseph Holmes (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:04 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jun Yong Park -222 65.71%
Elo K170 Jun Yong Park 1843.23 +72.29 58.18%
Elo Modified Jun Yong Park 1815.07 +11.45 51.25%
Glicko-1 Jun Yong Park 1843.96 +17.95 52.58%
WHR Andre Muniz 1763.64 +26.10 52.98%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Muniz 140, Jun Yong Park 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#60] Nasrat Haqparast (15-5-0, -213) vs. [#91] Jamie Mullarkey (17-6-0, +172)

Last 3 Fights: Nasrat Haqparast (2-1-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#369LW] Landon Quinones (7-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#163LW] John Makdessi (18-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#17LW] Bobby Green (31-15-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (2-1-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#163LW] John Makdessi (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#36FW] Muhammadjon Naimov (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-02-11: W vs. [#182LW] Francisco Prado (13-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nasrat Haqparast -213 64.92%
Elo K170 Nasrat Haqparast 1762.92 +126.72 64.08%
Elo Modified Nasrat Haqparast 1744.20 +139.52 64.81%
Glicko-1 Nasrat Haqparast 1759.64 +152.22 70.61%
WHR Nasrat Haqparast 1689.42 +120.06 63.38%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nasrat Haqparast 91, Jamie Mullarkey 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#48] Hyun Sung Park (8-0-0, -477) vs. [#501] Shannon Ross (12-8-0, +342)

Last 3 Fights: Hyun Sung Park (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#184FLY] Seung Guk Choi (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 3
2022-10-23: W vs. [#246FLY] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-06-10: W vs. [#325FLY] Jeremia Siregar (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:56 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Shannon Ross (0-3-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#105FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:17 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#406BW] Kleydson Rodrigues (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2022-08-02: L vs. [#206FLY] Vinicius Salvador (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hyun Sung Park -477 78.51%
Elo K170 Hyun Sung Park 1572.66 +369.76 84.42%
Elo Modified Hyun Sung Park 1600.91 +355.60 82.59%
Glicko-1 Hyun Sung Park 1620.52 +407.83 91.27%
WHR Hyun Sung Park 1584.83 +425.33 87.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyun Sung Park 308, Shannon Ross 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#23] Tatsuro Taira (14-0-0, -449) vs. [#129] Carlos Hernandez (9-2-0, +325)
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#155FLY] Edgar Chairez (10-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#105FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (9-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1
2022-10-15: W vs. [#75FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Hernandez (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#380FLY] Denys Bondar (19-4-0) via TUD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#30FLY] Allan Nascimento (20-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2022-02-26: W vs. [#82FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -449 77.65%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1787.51 +230.48 74.13%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1795.00 +271.24 76.63%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1843.00 +360.71 88.86%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1765.82 +332.45 82.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tatsuro Taira 154, Carlos Hernandez 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#135] Kevin Jousset (9-2-0, -178) vs. [#137] Kenan Song (20-7-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Jousset (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#201WW] Kiefer Crosbie (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1
2023-05-26: W vs. [#536WW] Kitt Campbell (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 3
2023-02-24: W vs. [#367MW] Priscus Fogagnolo (11-2-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kenan Song (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: W vs. [#163WW] Rolando Bedoya (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#11WW] Ian Garry (13-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 3
2021-03-20: L vs. [#35WW] Max Griffin (19-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Jousset -178 61.16%
Elo K170 Kevin Jousset 1569.64 +7.08 50.81%
Elo Modified Kenan Song 1601.78 +15.10 51.65%
Glicko-1 Kenan Song 1614.31 +35.00 55.02%
WHR Kenan Song 1564.15 +72.11 58.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Jousset 91, Kenan Song 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#24] Stephanie Egger (8-4-0, +160) vs. [#26] Luana Santos (6-1-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Stephanie Egger (1-2-0)
2023-04-29: L vs. [#23BW] Irina Alekseeva (5-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:11 of round 1
2022-09-03: W vs. [#17BW] Ailin Perez (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:54 of round 2
2022-08-06: L vs. [#5BW] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Luana Santos (3-0-0)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#116FLY] Juliana Miller (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
2023-03-10: W vs. [#217FLY] Bartira Rodrigues (2-1-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-11-04: W vs. [#230FLY] Waleska Sousa (4-3-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luana Santos -197 63.29%
Elo K170 Luana Santos 1359.98 +67.04 57.60%
Elo Modified Luana Santos 1451.00 +103.15 61.10%
Glicko-1 Luana Santos 1423.79 +94.57 63.28%
WHR Luana Santos 1374.14 +38.23 54.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephanie Egger 224, Luana Santos 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#60] Rayanne Amanda dos Santos (14-6-0, -148) vs. [#95] Talita Alencar (4-0-1, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Rayanne Amanda dos Santos (3-0-0)
2023-05-03: W vs. [#4AW] Jillian DeCoursey (6-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 48-47)
2023-01-18: W vs. [#32AW] Katie Saull (5-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-10-14: W vs. [NA] Vitoria Karolina Cardoso (1-3-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 01:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Talita Alencar (2-0-1)
2023-09-19: D vs. [#61SW] Stephanie Luciano (5-1-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-04-14: W vs. [#246SW] Kelsey Arnesen (2-3-0) via UD ()
2022-07-29: W vs. [NA] Karen Quintero (1-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rayanne Amanda dos Santos -148 56.98%
Elo K170 Rayanne Amanda dos Santos 1386.60 +108.48 62.14%
Elo Modified Rayanne Amanda dos Santos 1415.20 +67.53 57.34%
Glicko-1 Rayanne Amanda dos Santos 1436.72 +154.14 70.83%
WHR Rayanne Amanda dos Santos 1333.77 +129.26 64.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rayanne Amanda dos Santos 220, Talita Alencar 81
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#37] Daniel Marcos (15-0-0) vs. [#154] Carlos Vera (11-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Marcos (3-0-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#38BW] Davey Grant (15-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#366BW] Saimon Oliveira (18-5-0) via KO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 2:18 of round 2
2022-09-13: W vs. [#807FW] Brandon Lewis (6-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Vera (3-0-0)
2022-09-23: W vs. [#556BW] Isaiah Gutierrez (8-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:41 of round 1
2022-04-24: W vs. [#345BW] Kale Moniz (7-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:18 of round 3
2021-12-19: W vs. [#228BW] Peter Caballero (14-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Daniel Marcos 1772.77 +276.99 78.00%
Elo Modified Daniel Marcos 1731.25 +212.88 71.75%
Glicko-1 Daniel Marcos 1743.42 +233.52 79.32%
WHR Daniel Marcos 1675.01 +166.94 68.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Marcos 140, Carlos Vera 442
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#58] Steve Garcia (14-5-0) vs. [#83] Melquizael Costa (20-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#96FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-11-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2022-10-29: W vs. [#124LW] Chase Hooper (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-06-11: L vs. [#301LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (2-1-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#261FW] Austin Lingo (9-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#45LW] Thiago Moises (17-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:05 of round 2
2022-11-18: W vs. [#454WW] Jose Cleiton de Melo Jr. (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Steve Garcia 1648.00 +23.28 52.66%
Elo Modified Steve Garcia 1675.92 +33.17 53.63%
Glicko-1 Steve Garcia 1705.25 +32.89 54.72%
WHR Steve Garcia 1596.23 +16.11 51.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 245, Melquizael Costa 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Yadong Song
Highest Stored DD Rating: Yadong Song
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Khalil Rountree vs. Anthony Smith
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Yadong Song vs. Chris Gutierrez
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2023-12-3

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