Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan (12-02-2023)

Nov 27, 2023
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#5] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1, +220) vs. [#15] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0, -282)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #38 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#111LW] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3
2022-12-17: W vs. [#55LW] Damir Ismagulov (24-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via UD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Arman Tsarukyan -282 70.25%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2196.34 +147.43 66.23%
Elo Modified Beneil Dariush 2149.24 +122.66 63.11%
Glicko-1 Beneil Dariush 2173.64 +80.54 61.39%
WHR Arman Tsarukyan 2017.67 +2.17 50.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Beneil Dariush 175, Arman Tsarukyan 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Beneil Dariush leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#12] Bobby Green (31-14-1, +196) vs. [#28] Jalin Turner (13-7-0, -247)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#25LW] Grant Dawson (20-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-29: W vs. [#54LW] Tony Ferguson (25-9-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#41LW] Jared Gordon (20-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#14LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#6LW] Mateusz Gamrot (23-2-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-07-02: W vs. [#82LW] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:45 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jalin Turner -247 67.81%
Elo K170 Bobby Green 1987.99 +276.38 77.95%
Elo Modified Bobby Green 1945.00 +160.29 66.86%
Glicko-1 Bobby Green 2031.98 +149.20 70.24%
WHR Bobby Green 1868.54 +59.88 56.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Green 56, Jalin Turner 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#3FLY] Deiveson Figueiredo (21-3-1, +118) vs. [#11] Rob Font (20-7-0, -144)
Rob Font is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-01-22: W vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#2FLY/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2023-08-05: L vs. [#4BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#59BW] Adrian Yanez (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-04-30: L vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-8-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rob Font -144 56.26%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2004.69 +113.57 62.69%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 1963.69 +96.69 60.43%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2029.42 +90.54 62.74%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1876.76 +97.00 60.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 315, Rob Font 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#10MW] Kelvin Gastelum (18-8-0, +110) vs. [#17] Sean Brady (15-1-0, -134)

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#20MW] Chris Curtis (30-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#4MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2021-04-17: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#3WW] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2021-11-20: W vs. [#28WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-03-06: W vs. [#57WW] Jake Matthews (19-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:28 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean Brady -134 54.59%
Elo K170 Sean Brady 2011.92 +88.62 59.98%
Elo Modified Sean Brady 1984.31 +53.66 55.84%
Glicko-1 Sean Brady 2008.80 +1.49 50.21%
WHR Kelvin Gastelum 1842.83 +3.18 50.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 238, Sean Brady 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#97] Punahele Soriano (9-3-0, -269) vs. [#148] Dustin Stoltzfus (14-5-0, +209)

Last 3 Fights: Punahele Soriano (1-2-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#52MW] Roman Kopylov (12-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 3:19 of round 2
2022-07-16: W vs. [#181MW] Dalcha Lungiambula (11-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-02-05: L vs. [#176MW] Nick Maximov (8-2-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (1-2-0)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#68MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-6-1) via TKO (Front Kick and Punches) in 0:19 of round 1
2022-07-16: W vs. [*] Dwight Grant (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-18: L vs. [#55MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Punahele Soriano -269 69.25%
Elo K170 Punahele Soriano 1486.74 +10.78 51.23%
Elo Modified Punahele Soriano 1559.61 +52.03 55.67%
Glicko-1 Punahele Soriano 1592.62 +95.28 63.38%
WHR Punahele Soriano 1517.00 +93.39 60.51%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Punahele Soriano 322, Dustin Stoltzfus 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#76] Clay Guida (38-23-0, +245) vs. [#111] Joaquim Silva (12-4-0, -321)
Clay Guida is the All-Time #33 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Clay Guida (1-2-0)
2023-04-15: L vs. [#39LW] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [*] Scott Holtzman (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-23: L vs. [#61LW] Claudio Puelles (12-4-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Joaquim Silva (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#15LW] Arman Tsarukyan (20-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 3
2022-10-01: W vs. [#114MW] Jesse Ronson (27-12-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:08 of round 2
2021-06-19: L vs. [#121LW] Ricky Glenn (22-8-2) via KO (Punches) in 0:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joaquim Silva -321 72.45%
Elo K170 Clay Guida 1639.30 +36.08 54.11%
Elo Modified Clay Guida 1633.00 +50.26 55.48%
Glicko-1 Clay Guida 1652.00 +75.18 60.65%
WHR Joaquim Silva 1617.43 +43.00 54.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Clay Guida 231, Joaquim Silva 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Miesha Tate (19-9-0, +132) vs. [*] Julia Avila (9-2-0, -162)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #14 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#12FLY] Lauren Murphy (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#3BW] Ketlen Vieira (14-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2021-07-17: W vs. [*] Marion Reneau (9-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:53 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Julia Avila (2-1-0)
2021-06-26: W vs. [#28FLY] Julija Stoliarenko (11-7-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:19 of round 3
2020-09-12: L vs. [*] Sijara Eubanks (7-7-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#121FLY] Gina Mazany (8-6-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 0:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julia Avila -162 58.92%
Elo K170 Julia Avila 1455.13 +17.16 51.96%
Elo Modified Julia Avila 1502.83 +58.13 56.33%
Glicko-1 Julia Avila 1493.53 +57.49 58.20%
WHR Julia Avila 1478.21 +34.48 53.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miesha Tate 504, Julia Avila 889
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#99] Cody Brundage (9-5-0, +201) vs. [#180] Zachary Reese (6-0-0, -256)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#111MW] Jacob Malkoun (7-3-0) via Disqualification (Illegal Elbow) in 4:15 of round 1
2023-06-24: L vs. [#136MW] Sedriques Dumas (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-04-29: L vs. [#71MW] Rodolfo Vieira (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Zachary Reese (3-0-0)
2023-08-22: W vs. [#270MW] Eli Aronov (6-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:14 of round 1
2023-03-24: W vs. [#1183MW] Tommie Britton (5-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:52 of round 1
2023-02-05: W vs. [#446WW] Aaron Phillips (8-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Zachary Reese -256 68.40%
Elo K170 Cody Brundage 1427.81 +19.97 52.28%
Elo Modified Zachary Reese 1454.95 +117.87 62.62%
Glicko-1 Zachary Reese 1457.35 +121.99 66.87%
WHR Zachary Reese 1404.76 +79.25 58.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 70, Zachary Reese 102
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[*] Drakkar Klose (13-2-1, -135) vs. [#72] Joe Solecki (13-3-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Drakkar Klose (2-1-0)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#39LW] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#549WW] Brandon Jenkins (16-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2
2020-03-07: L vs. [#5LW] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joe Solecki (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: W vs. [#350LW] Carl Deaton (17-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:55 of round 2
2022-06-04: W vs. [#256LW] Alex da Silva Coelho (23-5-0) via MD (28-28, 28-27, 29-27)
2021-10-02: L vs. [#41LW] Jared Gordon (20-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Drakkar Klose -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Drakkar Klose 1844.90 +119.37 63.31%
Elo Modified Drakkar Klose 1825.52 +83.22 59.01%
Glicko-1 Drakkar Klose 1845.88 +79.18 61.20%
WHR Drakkar Klose 1766.03 +93.06 60.47%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drakkar Klose 490, Joe Solecki 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#59] Steve Garcia (14-5-0, +186) vs. [#83] Melquizael Costa (20-6-0, -233)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#95FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-11-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2022-10-29: W vs. [#124LW] Chase Hooper (13-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2022-06-11: L vs. [#300LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (2-1-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#260FW] Austin Lingo (9-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#45LW] Thiago Moises (17-7-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:05 of round 2
2022-11-18: W vs. [#452WW] Jose Cleiton de Melo Jr. (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melquizael Costa -233 66.67%
Elo K170 Steve Garcia 1647.97 +23.27 52.66%
Elo Modified Steve Garcia 1675.92 +33.21 53.63%
Glicko-1 Steve Garcia 1705.18 +32.84 54.71%
WHR Steve Garcia 1596.26 +16.07 51.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steve Garcia 238, Melquizael Costa 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#70] Ihor Potieria (24-4-0, +323) vs. [#93] Rodolfo Bellato (11-2-0, -443)

Last 3 Fights: Ihor Potieria (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#33LHW] Carlos Ulberg (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#79LHW] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 3:33 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (3-0-0)
2023-10-03: W vs. [#192LHW] Murtaza Talha Ali (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2023-05-27: W vs. [#158LHW] Acacio dos Santos (15-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#567HW+] Mateus Messaros Inacio (13-12-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:37 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Bellato -443 77.53%
Elo K170 Rodolfo Bellato 1559.78 +38.91 54.43%
Elo Modified Rodolfo Bellato 1595.82 +61.86 56.73%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Bellato 1612.89 +54.48 57.78%
WHR Rodolfo Bellato 1578.46 +89.17 60.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ihor Potieria 203, Rodolfo Bellato 60
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#100] Wellington Turman (18-7-0, -196) vs. [#102] Jared Gooden (22-9-0, +159)

Last 3 Fights: Wellington Turman (1-2-0)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#33WW] Randy Brown (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#54MW] Andre Petroski (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-26: W vs. [#83LHW] Misha Cirkunov (15-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#43WW] Carlston Harris (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#369WW] Demarques Jackson (13-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 2
2022-10-15: W vs. [#335MW] Douglas Usher (13-6-0) via TKO (Injury) in 4:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Wellington Turman -196 63.16%
Elo K170 Jared Gooden 1560.96 +48.93 55.56%
Elo Modified Jared Gooden 1602.64 +79.71 58.64%
Glicko-1 Jared Gooden 1642.81 +117.29 66.26%
WHR Jared Gooden 1531.51 +70.70 58.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Wellington Turman 161, Jared Gooden 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#30] Jamey-Lyn Horth (6-0-0, -114) vs. [#50] Veronica Hardy (7-4-1, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Jamey-Lyn Horth (3-0-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#39BW] Hailey Cowan (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-10: W vs. [#35BW] Mayra Cantuaria Rodrigues (10-5-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 3
2020-02-08: W vs. [NA] Jade Masson-Wong (3-2-0) via KO (Kick to the Body) in 2:31 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Veronica Hardy (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#115FLY] Juliana Miller (3-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-03-14: L vs. [*] Bea Malecki (4-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#51SW] Polyana Viana (13-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamey-Lyn Horth -114 50.64%
Elo K170 Jamey-Lyn Horth 1481.25 +229.34 74.04%
Elo Modified Jamey-Lyn Horth 1544.86 +252.39 75.11%
Glicko-1 Jamey-Lyn Horth 1497.79 +237.66 79.71%
WHR Jamey-Lyn Horth 1451.41 +157.48 67.25%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamey-Lyn Horth 217, Veronica Hardy 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Beneil Dariush
Highest Stored DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Sean Brady
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Rob Font
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2023-11-26

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