Fight Matrix Program – UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno (2020-12-12)
Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (20-1-0, 124.5lb, -331) vs. [#2] Brandon Moreno (18-5-1, 124.5lb, +256)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #13 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#5FLY] Alex Perez (24-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2020-07-18: W vs. [#3FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#3FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (3-0-0)
2020-11-21: W vs. [#11FLY] Brandon Royval (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#27FLY] Kai Kara France (21-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Deiveson Figueiredo | -331 | 73.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2155.11 | +229.31 | 74.03% |
| Elo Modified | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2115.64 | +229.78 | 73.22% |
| Glicko-1 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2204.26 | +268.41 | 82.42% |
| WHR | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2003.79 | +212.99 | 72.57% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 21, Brandon Moreno 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#3] Tony Ferguson (25-4-0, 155.0lb, -167) vs. [#5] Charles Oliveira (29-8-0, 154.5lb, +138)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #40 ranked Absolute fighter.
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #36 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1LW/#8DD] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-06-08: W vs. [#21WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#13WW] Anthony Pettis (23-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#10LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:28 of round 3
2019-11-16: W vs. [#59FW] Jared Gordon (16-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2019-05-18: W vs. [#54FW] Nik Lentz (30-11-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tony Ferguson | -167 | 59.81% | |
| Elo K170 | Tony Ferguson | 2207.90 | +71.11 | 58.05% |
| Elo Modified | Tony Ferguson | 2172.66 | +65.87 | 57.16% |
| Glicko-1 | Tony Ferguson | 2242.13 | +22.45 | 53.23% |
| WHR | Tony Ferguson | 2025.32 | +6.44 | 50.74% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 217, Charles Oliveira 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 3-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#13] Virna Jandiroba (16-1-0, 115.0lb, +157) vs. [#18] Mackenzie Dern (9-1-0, 115.0lb, -191)
Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#48SW] Felice Herrig (14-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:44 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#38SW] Mallory Martin (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:16 of round 2
2019-04-27: L vs. [#4SW] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (2-1-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#27SW] Randa Markos (10-10-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:44 of round 1
2020-05-30: W vs. [#80SW] Hannah Cifers (10-7-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:36 of round 1
2019-10-12: L vs. [#10SW] Amanda Ribas (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mackenzie Dern | -191 | 62.78% | |
| Elo K170 | Virna Jandiroba | 1620.34 | +102.35 | 61.48% |
| Elo Modified | Virna Jandiroba | 1619.26 | +79.25 | 58.59% |
| Glicko-1 | Virna Jandiroba | 1647.38 | +127.43 | 67.56% |
| WHR | Virna Jandiroba | 1567.42 | +107.65 | 62.05% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 119, Mackenzie Dern 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori (2020-12-05)
Middleweight (185)
[#4] Jack Hermansson (21-5-0) vs. [#22] Marvin Vettori (14-4-1)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #42 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (2-1-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#10MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-6-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
2019-04-27: W vs. [#9MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (3-0-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#49MW] Karl Roberson (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#46MW] Andrew Sanchez (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-13: W vs. [*] Cezar Ferreira (13-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Jack Hermansson | 2032.91 | +177.75 | 69.26% |
| Elo Modified | Jack Hermansson | 2041.13 | +152.75 | 66.12% |
| Glicko-1 | Jack Hermansson | 2131.19 | +195.94 | 75.55% |
| WHR | Jack Hermansson | 1935.76 | +45.09 | 55.13% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 140, Marvin Vettori 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Ovince St. Preux (25-14-0, +147) vs. [#33] Jamahal Hill (8-0-0, -177)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: W vs. [#64LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 2
2020-05-13: L vs. [#26HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#52LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (3-0-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#44LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:51 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#102LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-23: W vs. [*] Alexander Poppeck (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:29 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jamahal Hill | -177 | 61.21% | |
| Elo K170 | Ovince St. Preux | 1704.03 | +70.27 | 57.96% |
| Elo Modified | Ovince St. Preux | 1777.82 | +123.17 | 63.16% |
| Glicko-1 | Ovince St. Preux | 1865.52 | +176.44 | 73.41% |
| WHR | Ovince St. Preux | 1747.99 | +175.61 | 69.05% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 91, Jamahal Hill 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#19] Taila Santos (16-1-0, -215) vs. [#34] Montana De La Rosa (10-6-0, +174)
Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: W vs. [#33FLY] Molly McCann (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#62FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-11: W vs. [*] Estefani Almeida (8-2-0) via UD ()
Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (1-2-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#10FLY] Viviane Araujo (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#62FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-22: L vs. [#22FLY] Andrea Lee (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Taila Santos | -215 | 65.15% | |
| Elo K170 | Taila Santos | 1513.09 | +184.25 | 69.89% |
| Elo Modified | Taila Santos | 1557.92 | +210.21 | 71.51% |
| Glicko-1 | Taila Santos | 1599.35 | +266.37 | 82.25% |
| WHR | Taila Santos | 1518.89 | +252.41 | 76.01% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 143, Montana De La Rosa 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Montana De La Rosa leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis (2020-11-28)
Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0, -334) vs. [#4] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0, +259)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #33 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #29 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#7HW+] Alexander Volkov (32-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#8HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-09-07: W vs. [#22HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (3-0-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2
2020-02-08: W vs. [#42HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#17HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Curtis Blaydes | -334 | 73.42% | |
| Elo K170 | Curtis Blaydes | 2113.49 | +15.74 | 51.80% |
| Elo Modified | Curtis Blaydes | 2101.48 | +61.24 | 56.66% |
| Glicko-1 | Curtis Blaydes | 2189.51 | +68.81 | 59.78% |
| WHR | Curtis Blaydes | 2021.03 | +114.89 | 62.83% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 161, Derrick Lewis 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 5-4
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15] Anthony Smith (33-16-0, -119) vs. [#42] Devin Clark (12-4-0, -105)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (1-2-0)
2020-08-29: L vs. [#12LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (13-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-05-13: L vs. [#4LHW] Glover Teixeira (32-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-06-01: W vs. [#19LHW] Alexander Gustafsson (18-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#64LHW] Alonzo Menifield (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#210MW] Dequan Townsend (22-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#27LHW] Ryan Spann (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Anthony Smith | -119 | 51.47% | |
| Elo K170 | Anthony Smith | 1827.66 | +140.26 | 65.49% |
| Elo Modified | Anthony Smith | 1845.49 | +142.93 | 65.15% |
| Glicko-1 | Anthony Smith | 1921.91 | +220.14 | 78.03% |
| WHR | Anthony Smith | 1786.59 | +211.83 | 72.47% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 91, Devin Clark 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#92] Josh Parisian (13-3-0, -215) vs. [#178] Parker Porter (9-6-0, +174)
Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (3-0-0)
2020-08-18: W vs. [#222HW+] Chad Johnson (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:43 of round 1
2020-01-29: W vs. [#378MW] Marcus Maulding (8-11-0) via TKO in 3:57 of round 1
2019-12-14: W vs. [#452HW+] Matunga Djikasa (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Parker Porter (2-1-0)
2020-08-15: L vs. [#74HW+] Chris Daukaus (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [#209HW+] Dirlei Broenstrup (16-8-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2019-05-31: W vs. [*] Kevin Ray Sears (8-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:29 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Josh Parisian | -215 | 65.15% | |
| Elo K170 | Josh Parisian | 1442.09 | +197.81 | 71.17% |
| Elo Modified | Josh Parisian | 1457.67 | +137.86 | 64.65% |
| Glicko-1 | Josh Parisian | 1514.71 | +199.29 | 75.90% |
| WHR | Josh Parisian | 1399.85 | +106.77 | 61.96% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Parisian 102, Parker Porter 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Perez (2020-11-21)
Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Deiveson Figueiredo (19-1-0, -306) vs. [#4] Alex Perez (24-5-0, +241)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #8 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alex Perez is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2020-02-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [#27FLY] Tim Elliott (16-11-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#8FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#32FLY] Jordan Espinosa (15-8-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:33 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#189BW] Mark De La Rosa (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Deiveson Figueiredo | -306 | 71.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2120.37 | +236.24 | 74.64% |
| Elo Modified | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2080.48 | +213.05 | 71.76% |
| Glicko-1 | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2167.01 | +275.51 | 83.00% |
| WHR | Deiveson Figueiredo | 1962.32 | +211.11 | 72.40% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 126, Alex Perez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Deiveson Figueiredo leads 2-1
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0, -1569) vs. [#4] Jennifer Maia (18-6-1, +860)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#6FLY] Liz Carmouche (14-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#9FLY] Jessica Eye (15-8-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: W vs. [#16FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 1
2019-11-02: L vs. [#3FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (14-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#12FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (25-17-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Valentina Shevchenko | -1569 | 90.02% | |
| Elo K170 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1908.70 | +247.43 | 75.59% |
| Elo Modified | Valentina Shevchenko | 1914.24 | +265.70 | 76.19% |
| Glicko-1 | Valentina Shevchenko | 1931.58 | +285.00 | 83.76% |
| WHR | Valentina Shevchenko | 1913.37 | +326.67 | 81.65% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 287, Jennifer Maia 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#27] Mike Perry (14-6-0, -153) vs. [#61] Tim Means (30-12-1, +127)
Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: W vs. [#151WW] Mickey Gall (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#16WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2019-08-10: L vs. [#12WW] Vicente Luque (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (2-1-0)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#93WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#44WW] Daniel Rodriguez (13-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-12-07: W vs. [#89WW] Thiago Alves (23-15-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mike Perry | -153 | 57.85% | |
| Elo K170 | Mike Perry | 1737.38 | +96.22 | 60.82% |
| Elo Modified | Mike Perry | 1763.09 | +87.32 | 59.44% |
| Glicko-1 | Mike Perry | 1814.22 | +106.02 | 64.80% |
| WHR | Mike Perry | 1665.05 | +37.37 | 54.26% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 147, Tim Means 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mike Perry leads 1-0
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Felder/dos Anjos – Split Decision?!
50-45, 50-45, 47-48
The odd decision of Felder/dos Anjos surfaced some questions on how to handle split decisions where there is one super obvious outlier. Do you respect that all judges have an equal say? Do you take the one in the middle (median)? Something else?
Let’s take a look at the effects of Felder’s rating in the various systems — dos Anjos switched divisions, while Felder remained at 155, which makes him a better subject for this within the standard system.
| System | Win Weights | Pre-Fight | Post-Fight | Diff |
| Fight Matrix “Standard” | 72 (90,97) | 427 | 427 | = |
| ELO “K170” | 100 (100,100) | 1909 | 1828 | -81 |
| ELO “Modified” | 67 (100,100) | 1929 | 1894 | -35 |
| Glicko-1 | 55 (91,91) | 1985 | 1967 | -18 |
| WHR | 69 (88,99) | 1839 | 1819 | -20 |
The win weights list three weights (the “power” of a win out of 100) for:
- The actual fight.
- The fight if it were scored 49-46 x3 UD (average).
- The fight if it were scored 50-45 x3 UD (majority & median).
In all systems but the standard, Felder lost points. OK, if we are to get technical, Felder lost 0.0051 points in the standard system, but that had nothing to do with the fight itself. The standard and the WHR systems were the least affected by this egregious error.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Felder (2020-11-14)
Lightweight (155)
[#10WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) vs. [#11] Paul Felder (17-5-0)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Paul Felder is the All-Time #44 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#9WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-20: L vs. [*] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#9LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2020-02-22: L vs. [#6LW] Dan Hooker (20-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#10FW] Edson Barboza (21-9-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#122WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Rafael dos Anjos | 1923.27 | +14.23 | 51.63% |
| Elo Modified | Paul Felder | 1943.93 | +41.74 | 54.56% |
| Glicko-1 | Paul Felder | 1984.52 | +34.31 | 54.92% |
| WHR | Rafael dos Anjos | 1875.00 | +36.14 | 54.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 294, Paul Felder 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#61] Kalinn Williams (10-1-0, +186) vs. [#127] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-2-0, -231)
Last 3 Fights: Kalinn Williams (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#72WW] Alex Morono (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 1
2019-11-27: W vs. [#363WW] Jeremie Holloway (10-4-0) via UD ()
2019-10-26: W vs. [#648MW] Bo Yan (8-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (2-1-0)
2020-07-15: L vs. [#108WW] Mounir Lazzez (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#36WW] Niko Price (14-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#58WW] Sabah Homasi (15-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:47 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Abdul Razak Alhassan | -231 | 66.61% | |
| Elo K170 | Kalinn Williams | 1647.41 | +73.57 | 58.33% |
| Elo Modified | Kalinn Williams | 1649.39 | +14.76 | 51.62% |
| Glicko-1 | Abdul Razak Alhassan | 1675.28 | +2.01 | 50.29% |
| WHR | Abdul Razak Alhassan | 1634.50 | +121.77 | 63.56% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kalinn Williams 280, Abdul Razak Alhassan 122
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[*] Julian Marquez (7-2-0, -295) vs. [#230] Saparbek Safarov (9-3-0, +234)
Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (2-1-0)
2018-07-06: L vs. [#97MW] Alessio Di Chirico (12-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#55MW] Darren Stewart (12-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:42 of round 2
2017-08-01: W vs. [#145MW] Phil Hawes (9-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:20 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Saparbek Safarov (1-2-0)
2020-03-07: L vs. [#58MW] Rodolfo Vieira (7-0-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:58 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Nicolae Negumereanu (9-1-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-26)
2018-02-10: L vs. [*] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:54 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Julian Marquez | -295 | 71.38% | |
| Elo K170 | Julian Marquez | 1416.04 | +10.16 | 51.16% |
| Elo Modified | Julian Marquez | 1511.21 | +41.19 | 54.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Julian Marquez | 1549.30 | +117.14 | 66.25% |
| WHR | Julian Marquez | 1526.17 | +137.85 | 65.24% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 862, Saparbek Safarov 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira (2020-10-31)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0, +177) vs. [*] Thiago Santos (21-7-0, -219)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#14LHW] Anthony Smith (33-16-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:04 of round 5
2019-09-14: W vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#39LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#1LHW/#6DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (27-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [*] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Thiago Santos | -219 | 65.53% | |
| Elo K170 | Glover Teixeira | 2069.52 | +38.31 | 54.37% |
| Elo Modified | Thiago Santos | 2087.11 | +47.36 | 55.16% |
| Glicko-1 | Thiago Santos | 2208.58 | +75.97 | 60.76% |
| WHR | Thiago Santos | 2009.17 | +62.92 | 57.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Glover Teixeira 178, Thiago Santos 490
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#27] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0, +206) vs. [#36] Tanner Boser (19-6-1, -258)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #19 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (2-1-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#48HW+] Philipe Lins (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#5HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-07-20: W vs. [#26HW+] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#83HW+] Raphael Pessoa (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
2020-06-27: W vs. [#48HW+] Philipe Lins (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2019-12-21: L vs. [#46HW+] Ciryl Gane (6-0-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tanner Boser | -258 | 68.80% | |
| Elo K170 | Andrei Arlovski | 1655.25 | +22.64 | 52.58% |
| Elo Modified | Andrei Arlovski | 1708.53 | +7.98 | 50.87% |
| Glicko-1 | Andrei Arlovski | 1745.95 | +18.47 | 52.66% |
| WHR | Andrei Arlovski | 1696.15 | +89.79 | 60.11% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 178, Tanner Boser 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#16] Raoni Barcelos (15-1-0) vs. [#83] Khalid Taha (14-2-0)
Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#39BW] Said Nurmagomedov (14-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#274BW] Carlos Huachin (11-5-3) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:49 of round 2
2018-11-30: W vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (15-4-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Khalid Taha (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#117FLY] Bruno Silva (10-6-2) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:00 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#544LW] Boston Salmon (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1
2018-07-22: L vs. [#145FW] Nad Narimani (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Raoni Barcelos | 1920.02 | +297.73 | 79.58% |
| Elo Modified | Raoni Barcelos | 1909.53 | +277.03 | 77.08% |
| Glicko-1 | Raoni Barcelos | 1961.00 | +304.70 | 85.24% |
| WHR | Raoni Barcelos | 1866.81 | +313.13 | 80.70% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 322, Khalid Taha 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Hall (2020-10-31)
Middleweight (185)
[#15] Uriah Hall (15-9-0, -222) vs. [*] Anderson Silva (34-10-0, +179)
Anderson Silva is the All-Time #1 ranked Middleweight and #4 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Uriah Hall (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#22MW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#108MW] Bevon Lewis (7-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:32 of round 3
2018-07-07: L vs. [#5MW] Paulo Costa (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Anderson Silva (1-2-0)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:47 of round 1
2019-02-09: L vs. [#1MW/#6DD/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (20-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#11MW] Derek Brunson (21-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Uriah Hall | -222 | 65.79% | |
| Elo K170 | Uriah Hall | 1825.30 | +63.21 | 57.17% |
| Elo Modified | Uriah Hall | 1822.38 | +34.84 | 53.81% |
| Glicko-1 | Uriah Hall | 1845.76 | +37.04 | 55.31% |
| WHR | Uriah Hall | 1760.78 | +16.18 | 51.85% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uriah Hall 413, Anderson Silva 539
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anderson Silva leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#26] Andre Fili (21-7-0, +138) vs. [#58] Bryce Mitchell (13-0-0, -167)
Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#65FW] Charles Jourdain (10-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-01-18: L vs. [#21FW] Sodiq Yusuff (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-13: W vs. [*] Sheymon Moraes (11-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:07 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (3-0-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#101LW] Charles Rosa (13-4-0) via UD (30-24, 30-25, 30-25)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#195FW] Matt Sayles (8-3-0) via Submission (Twister) in 4:20 of round 1
2019-03-23: W vs. [#177FW] Bobby Moffett (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bryce Mitchell | -167 | 59.81% | |
| Elo K170 | Andre Fili | 1790.70 | +40.78 | 54.64% |
| Elo Modified | Bryce Mitchell | 1762.16 | +22.88 | 52.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Andre Fili | 1757.46 | +5.41 | 50.78% |
| WHR | Bryce Mitchell | 1682.05 | +58.41 | 56.63% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Fili 140, Bryce Mitchell 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#37] Kevin Holland (19-5-0) vs. [#40] Makhmud Muradov (24-6-0)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (3-0-0)
2020-09-19: W vs. [#53MW] Darren Stewart (12-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#80MW] Joaquin Buckley (11-3-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 3
2020-05-16: W vs. [#122MW] Anthony Hernandez (7-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 1:39 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Makhmud Muradov (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#99MW] Trevor Smith (15-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:09 of round 3
2019-09-28: W vs. [#93MW] Alessio Di Chirico (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#326MW] Wendell de Oliveira Marqu (31-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:56 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Makhmud Muradov | 1813.34 | +6.22 | 50.71% |
| Elo Modified | Makhmud Muradov | 1825.83 | +69.70 | 57.57% |
| Glicko-1 | Makhmud Muradov | 1894.71 | +120.34 | 66.66% |
| WHR | Makhmud Muradov | 1717.92 | +35.78 | 54.08% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 42, Makhmud Muradov 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Khabib vs. Gaethje (2020-10-24)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#3DD/#6P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (28-0-0, -335) vs. [#2/#6DD/#8P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0, +260)
Khabib Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #2 ranked Lightweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #16 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Khabib Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#3LW] Dustin Poirier (26-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2018-10-06: W vs. [#10WW] Conor McGregor (22-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4
2018-04-07: W vs. [#14LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)
Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (3-0-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#4LW] Tony Ferguson (25-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-09-14: W vs. [#24WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#10FW] Edson Barboza (21-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Khabib Nurmagomedov | -335 | 73.48% | |
| Elo K170 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2424.56 | +125.88 | 63.99% |
| Elo Modified | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2355.97 | +125.33 | 63.38% |
| Glicko-1 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2450.23 | +98.16 | 63.76% |
| WHR | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2342.23 | +257.16 | 76.40% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khabib Nurmagomedov 413, Justin Gaethje 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Khabib Nurmagomedov leads 3-2
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Middleweight (185)
[#2] Robert Whittaker (21-5-0, -107) vs. [#7] Jared Cannonier (13-4-0, -116)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-3-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#5P4P] Israel Adesanya (20-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 2
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6MW] Yoel Romero (13-5-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (3-0-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#3MW] Jack Hermansson (21-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
2019-05-11: W vs. [*] Anderson Silva (34-10-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-11-03: W vs. [#27MW] David Branch (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jared Cannonier | -116 | 50.95% | |
| Elo K170 | Robert Whittaker | 2254.15 | +337.51 | 82.37% |
| Elo Modified | Robert Whittaker | 2182.03 | +279.40 | 77.26% |
| Glicko-1 | Robert Whittaker | 2239.90 | +208.78 | 76.89% |
| WHR | Robert Whittaker | 1971.69 | +88.78 | 60.00% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 91, Jared Cannonier 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Alexander Volkov (31-8-0, -165) vs. [#19] Walt Harris (13-8-0, +136)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #40 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (1-2-0)
2020-06-20: L vs. [#3HW+] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0) via UD (48-47, 48-46, 49-46)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#80HW+] Greg Hardy (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#4HW+] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#6HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2019-07-20: W vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-14-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-05-04: W vs. [#38HW+] Sergey Spivak (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Alexander Volkov | -165 | 59.50% | |
| Elo K170 | Alexander Volkov | 1896.67 | +236.07 | 74.62% |
| Elo Modified | Alexander Volkov | 1919.77 | +196.98 | 70.31% |
| Glicko-1 | Alexander Volkov | 1988.19 | +187.71 | 74.66% |
| WHR | Alexander Volkov | 1826.62 | +146.53 | 66.14% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 126, Walt Harris 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Volkov leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Korean Zombie (2020-10-17)
Featherweight (145)
[#4] Chan Sung Jung (16-5-0, -190) vs. [*] Brian Ortega (14-1-0, +158)
Chan Sung Jung is the All-Time #29 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #16 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Chan Sung Jung (2-1-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#5BW] Frankie Edgar (24-8-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2019-06-22: W vs. [#25LW] Renato Carneiro (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2018-11-10: L vs. [#12FW] Yair Rodriguez (13-2-0) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 5
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Max Holloway (21-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2018-03-03: W vs. [#5BW] Frankie Edgar (24-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#21FW] Cub Swanson (26-11-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Chan Sung Jung | -190 | 62.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Brian Ortega | 2100.99 | +133.68 | 64.81% |
| Elo Modified | Brian Ortega | 2046.71 | +99.02 | 60.67% |
| Glicko-1 | Brian Ortega | 2121.33 | +124.82 | 67.23% |
| WHR | Brian Ortega | 1958.40 | +42.46 | 54.83% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chan Sung Jung 301, Brian Ortega 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#48] Ciryl Gane (6-0-0) vs. [#59] Ante Delija (17-3-0)
Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2019-12-21: W vs. [#36HW+] Tanner Boser (19-6-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#148HW+] Dontale Mayes (7-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3
2019-08-10: W vs. [#85HW+] Raphael Pessoa (10-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Ante Delija (3-0-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#78HW+] Oli Thompson (21-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2019-06-06: W vs. [#138HW+] Carl Seumanutafa (12-11-0) via UD ()
2018-05-06: W vs. [*] Ricardo Prasel (10-2-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Ante Delija | 1634.09 | +5.18 | 50.59% |
| Elo Modified | Ciryl Gane | 1734.15 | +85.51 | 59.25% |
| Glicko-1 | Ciryl Gane | 1691.03 | +5.06 | 50.73% |
| WHR | Ante Delija | 1657.42 | +21.03 | 52.40% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ciryl Gane 301, Ante Delija 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#4SW/#8DD/#10P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-8-0, -143) vs. [#2/#8P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (14-3-0, +118)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #20 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (1-2-0)
2020-07-11: L vs. [#2SW/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-31: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Weili Zhang (21-1-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:42 of round 1
2019-05-11: W vs. [#2SW/#4P4P] Rose Namajunas (9-4-0) via KO (Slam) in 2:58 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2020-05-30: W vs. [#21FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (8-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2020-02-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:03 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#3FLY] Jennifer Maia (18-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jessica Andrade | -143 | 56.19% | |
| Elo K170 | Katlyn Chookagian | 1700.67 | +1.60 | 50.18% |
| Elo Modified | Jessica Andrade | 1745.72 | +28.05 | 53.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Jessica Andrade | 1759.23 | +51.35 | 57.34% |
| WHR | Jessica Andrade | 1644.23 | +13.01 | 51.49% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 98, Katlyn Chookagian 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Katlyn Chookagian leads 2-1
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 249: Cyborg vs. Blencowe (2020-10-15)
Women Featherweight (145)
[#2/#4DD/#5P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) vs. [#5] Arlene Blencowe (13-7-0)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#3FW] Julia Budd (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 4
2019-07-27: W vs. [#6FW] Felicia Spencer (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1FW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (20-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Arlene Blencowe (3-0-0)
2019-11-08: W vs. [#9FW] Leslie Smith (12-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-07-12: W vs. [#16FW] Amanda Bell (7-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#48FW] Amber Leibrock (3-4-0) via TKO (Slam and Punches) in 1:23 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Cristiane Justino | 1881.38 | +326.54 | 81.63% |
| Elo Modified | Cristiane Justino | 1874.18 | +290.54 | 78.11% |
| Glicko-1 | Cristiane Justino | 1932.81 | +350.87 | 88.28% |
| WHR | Cristiane Justino | 1937.92 | +386.88 | 85.41% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 264, Arlene Blencowe 342
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 5-2
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Lightweight (155)
[#20] Patricky Freire (23-9-0) vs. [#154WW] Jaleel Willis (13-2-0)
Patricky Freire is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Patricky Freire (2-1-0)
2019-12-31: L vs. [#12LW] Tofiq Musayev (18-3-0) via UD ()
2019-12-31: W vs. [#78LW] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Sa (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Soccer Kick) in 0:28 of round 1
2019-10-12: W vs. [#131LW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (37-14-2) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jaleel Willis (3-0-0)
2020-08-21: W vs. [#234WW] Vinicius de Jesus (9-3-0) via UD ()
2020-03-07: W vs. [NA] James Horne (3-4-0) via UD ()
2019-09-28: W vs. [#887WW] James Warfield (23-16-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Patricky Freire | 1900.02 | +294.42 | 79.33% |
| Elo Modified | Patricky Freire | 1868.16 | +228.42 | 73.10% |
| Glicko-1 | Patricky Freire | 1934.59 | +314.13 | 85.92% |
| WHR | Patricky Freire | 1812.14 | +313.37 | 80.72% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricky Freire 289, Jaleel Willis 55
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#29] Leandro Higo (19-5-0) vs. [#74] Ricky Bandejas (13-4-0)
Last 3 Fights: Leandro Higo (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#77BW] Shawn Bunch (9-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:34 of round 2
2018-09-29: L vs. [#92FW] Aaron Pico (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:19 of round 1
2018-03-02: L vs. [#14FW] Darrion Caldwell (15-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:36 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Ricky Bandejas (2-1-0)
2020-07-24: L vs. [#27BW] Sergio Pettis (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#139BW] Frans Mlambo (9-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:25 of round 2
2019-08-24: W vs. [#553BW] Ahmet Kayretli (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Leandro Higo | 1643.56 | +98.69 | 61.08% |
| Elo Modified | Leandro Higo | 1687.81 | +102.58 | 61.04% |
| Glicko-1 | Leandro Higo | 1698.36 | +111.74 | 65.55% |
| WHR | Leandro Higo | 1565.45 | +2.52 | 50.29% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leandro Higo 383, Ricky Bandejas 83
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen (2020-10-10)
Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1, +111) vs. [#10] Cory Sandhagen (12-2-0, -136)
Marlon Moraes is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Marlon Moraes (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#5BW] Jose Aldo (28-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-06-08: L vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2019-02-02: W vs. [#25BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:28 of round 1
2019-08-17: W vs. [#25BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#28FW] John Lineker (32-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Cory Sandhagen | -136 | 54.87% | |
| Elo K170 | Marlon Moraes | 2161.65 | +262.85 | 76.87% |
| Elo Modified | Marlon Moraes | 2067.79 | +225.07 | 72.81% |
| Glicko-1 | Marlon Moraes | 2111.68 | +241.90 | 80.10% |
| WHR | Marlon Moraes | 1937.07 | +210.61 | 72.36% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Moraes 301, Cory Sandhagen 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marlon Moraes leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#18] Edson Barboza (20-9-0, -256) vs. [#45] Makwan Amirkhani (16-4-0, +206)
Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (0-3-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#10FW] Dan Ige (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#8P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Makwan Amirkhani (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#175FW] Danny Henry (12-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2019-11-02: L vs. [#19FW] Shane Burgos (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 3
2019-06-01: W vs. [#150FW] Chris Fishgold (18-4-1) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Edson Barboza | -256 | 68.75% | |
| Elo K170 | Edson Barboza | 1774.93 | +43.31 | 54.93% |
| Elo Modified | Edson Barboza | 1859.82 | +131.36 | 63.99% |
| Glicko-1 | Edson Barboza | 1917.99 | +153.90 | 70.81% |
| WHR | Edson Barboza | 1794.13 | +148.90 | 66.38% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 147, Makwan Amirkhani 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#17] Marcin Tybura (19-6-0, +145) vs. [#25] Ben Rothwell (38-12-0, -174)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#29LHW] Maxim Grishin (30-8-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#38HW+] Sergey Spivak (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#15HW+] Augusto Sakai (15-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#35HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#27HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Ben Rothwell | -174 | 60.87% | |
| Elo K170 | Ben Rothwell | 1794.30 | +14.09 | 51.61% |
| Elo Modified | Marcin Tybura | 1791.19 | +22.62 | 52.47% |
| Glicko-1 | Ben Rothwell | 1836.16 | +28.87 | 54.14% |
| WHR | Ben Rothwell | 1719.24 | +11.80 | 51.35% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 91, Ben Rothwell 150
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marcin Tybura leads 2-1
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How’s the Covid Fight Curve?
A follow-up to Pro Bouts: 2019 vs 2020…..
Things are definitely on the upswing… and recent weeks in 2020 are at a bit of a disadvantage because fight results are still coming in, though turnaround times on fight results has been much better in 2020, probably due to the limited quantity.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley (2020-09-19)
Welterweight (170)
[#4] Colby Covington (15-2-0, -347) vs. [#5] Tyron Woodley (19-5-1, +268)
Colby Covington is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Tyron Woodley is the All-Time #3 ranked Welterweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Colby Covington (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1WW/#3DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (17-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
2019-08-03: W vs. [#37WW] Robbie Lawler (28-15-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Tyron Woodley (1-2-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#3WW] Gilbert Burns (19-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-44)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1WW/#3DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (17-1-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#9MW] Darren Till (18-3-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Colby Covington | -347 | 74.07% | |
| Elo K170 | Colby Covington | 2177.71 | +42.61 | 54.85% |
| Elo Modified | Colby Covington | 2124.19 | +48.50 | 55.29% |
| Glicko-1 | Tyron Woodley | 2171.37 | +28.05 | 54.03% |
| WHR | Colby Covington | 1953.34 | +55.59 | 56.32% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Covington 280, Tyron Woodley 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#24] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0, +135) vs. [#52] Niko Price (14-4-0, -164)
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #43 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (0-3-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#16WW] Anthony Pettis (23-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-01-18: L vs. [*] Conor McGregor (22-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2019-09-14: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (1-2-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#15WW] Vicente Luque (19-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage in 3:37 of round 3
2019-10-12: W vs. [#117WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Upkick) in 1:44 of round 1
2019-07-27: L vs. [#18WW] Geoff Neal (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Niko Price | -164 | 59.34% | |
| Elo K170 | Donald Cerrone | 1840.36 | +152.23 | 66.72% |
| Elo Modified | Donald Cerrone | 1813.55 | +115.76 | 62.41% |
| Glicko-1 | Donald Cerrone | 1868.25 | +138.24 | 68.91% |
| WHR | Donald Cerrone | 1793.39 | +108.28 | 62.12% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 133, Niko Price 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#38] Gerald Meerschaert (31-13-0, +400) vs. [#70] Khamzat Chimaev (8-0-0, -554)
Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: L vs. [#16MW] Ian Heinisch (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#78MW] Deron Winn (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 3
2019-10-12: L vs. [#31MW] Eryk Anders (13-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Khamzat Chimaev (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#228WW] Rhys McKee (10-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:09 of round 1
2020-07-15: W vs. [#168MW] John Phillips (22-10-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:12 of round 2
2019-10-04: W vs. [#304MW] Mzwandile Hlongwa (4-2-0) via SUB in of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Khamzat Chimaev | -554 | 80.89% | |
| Elo K170 | Khamzat Chimaev | 1658.47 | +92.58 | 60.42% |
| Elo Modified | Khamzat Chimaev | 1720.24 | +42.30 | 54.62% |
| Glicko-1 | Khamzat Chimaev | 1751.04 | +8.38 | 51.21% |
| WHR | Khamzat Chimaev | 1669.49 | +6.06 | 50.69% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 105, Khamzat Chimaev 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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