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Fight Matrix

How to Use Fighter Statistics to Make Informed Bets

Posted on June 27, 2024 by A. J. Riot

For those looking to elevate their UFC betting game, diving into fighter statistics can provide the crucial edge needed for informed decision-making. By meticulously analyzing fighters’ performance data, historical records, and training backgrounds, bettors can uncover patterns and trends that are often overlooked. 

Leveraging fighter statistics helps bettors identify key metrics, such as strike accuracy, takedown efficiency, and stamina, which can significantly impact the outcome of a match. Embracing a data-driven approach allows for a more strategic and knowledgeable way to place bets, transforming gut feelings into well-informed wagers backed by solid information, and one best place to get such information is from reading reviews on Gambelino at https://gambelino.com/my. 

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka (06-22-2024)

Posted on June 24, 2024 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (10-2-0, -166) vs. [#4] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1, +138)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #25 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#5LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
2023-07-29: W vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#27LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
2023-11-11: L vs. [#1LHW/#4P4P] Alex Pereira (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:08 of round 2
2022-06-11: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Pereira -166 59.76%
Elo K170 Alex Pereira 2222.62 +94.56 63.28%
Elo Modified Alex Pereira 2187.33 +76.81 60.88%
Glicko-1 Alex Pereira 2300.85 +78.25 61.08%
WHR Alex Pereira 2122.78 +64.07 59.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 77, Jiri Prochazka 77
Previous Match-up Record: Alex Pereira leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#4] Brian Ortega (16-3-0, +120) vs. [#24] Diego Lopes (24-6-0, -145)
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#5FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 0:58 of round 3
2022-07-16: L vs. [#5FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#49FW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-11-11: W vs. [#77FW] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-08-05: W vs. [#330FW] Gavin Tucker (13-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Diego Lopes -145 56.56%
Elo K170 Brian Ortega 2102.06 +255.21 81.29%
Elo Modified Brian Ortega 2058.70 +186.82 74.56%
Glicko-1 Brian Ortega 2118.28 +161.12 71.66%
WHR Brian Ortega 1971.85 +131.61 68.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Ortega 126, Diego Lopes 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0, -145) vs. [#14] Anthony Smith (38-19-0, +119)
Anthony Smith is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#6MW] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#9MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#15MW] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Vitor Petrino (11-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:00 of round 1
2023-12-09: L vs. [#9LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-26: W vs. [#24LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roman Dolidze -145 56.44%
Elo K170 Anthony Smith 1874.62 +131.98 68.13%
Elo Modified Anthony Smith 1858.13 +73.92 60.48%
Glicko-1 Anthony Smith 1898.48 +21.83 53.14%
WHR Roman Dolidze 1792.14 +37.10 55.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 147, Anthony Smith 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Top UFC Records and Record Holders

Posted on June 19, 2024 by A. J. Riot

The world of the UFC is filled with champions and remarkable fighters who have set impressive records. Champions in the UFC are just a tiny part of the roster. For those interested in reliable bookmakers and valuable betting information, check out RG.ORG. Today, we will talk about the top records in the UFC. Let’s go!

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov (06-22-2024)

Posted on June 17, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#5] Robert Whittaker (25-7-0, -132) vs. [#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, +109)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (2-1-0)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#10MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#9MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#143MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#133MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -132 54.31%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2193.81 +395.22 90.68%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2171.37 +335.76 87.36%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2235.78 +325.50 86.69%
WHR Robert Whittaker 1997.91 +119.66 66.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 126, Ikram Aliskerov 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Sergei Pavlovich (18-2-0, -214) vs. [#5] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0, +176)
Sergei Pavlovich is the All-Time #44 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#13HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (3-0-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#13HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-7-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2023-03-11: W vs. [#21HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#11HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sergei Pavlovich -214 65.29%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 2021.69 +19.09 52.75%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 2038.66 +39.48 55.66%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2135.60 +44.88 56.42%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1988.36 +16.28 52.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 224, Alexander Volkov 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Pavlovich leads 4-3
.

Welterweight (170)
[#24] Kelvin Gastelum (18-9-0, -239) vs. [#39] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0, +194)

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#9WW] Sean Brady (16-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-08-21: L vs. [#8MW] Jared Cannonier (17-7-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#10WW] Ian Garry (14-0-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-11-05: L vs. [#19WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:33 of round 3
2022-09-10: W vs. [*] Jingliang Li (19-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kelvin Gastelum -239 67.45%
Elo K170 Kelvin Gastelum 1859.69 +76.95 60.90%
Elo Modified Kelvin Gastelum 1865.16 +110.79 65.42%
Glicko-1 Kelvin Gastelum 1912.01 +127.36 67.55%
WHR Kelvin Gastelum 1767.26 +79.02 61.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 203, Daniel Rodriguez 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 12, 2024 by Jason

Been on a bad streak… but have to (pretend) gamble our way out of it!

Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

Now for the options…

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira (06-15-2024)

Posted on June 10, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#11] Alex Perez (25-8-0, +162) vs. [#23] Tatsuro Taira (15-0-0, -196)
Alex Perez is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (1-2-0)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#17FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:16 of round 2
2024-03-02: L vs. [#8FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (12-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 1:31 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#147FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#142FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#84FLY] Jesus Santos Aguilar (10-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 4:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -196 63.43%
Elo K170 Tatsuro Taira 1822.35 +12.85 51.85%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1821.80 +35.83 55.14%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1874.42 +43.37 56.21%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1786.62 +49.95 57.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Perez 49, Tatsuro Taira 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#48] Ikram Aliskerov (15-1-0, -917) vs. [*] Antonio Trocoli (13-3-0, +581)

Last 3 Fights: Ikram Aliskerov (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#144MW] Warlley Alves (14-8-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#103MW] Phil Hawes (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2022-09-13: W vs. [#134MW] Mario Filipe de Sousa (19-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Trocoli (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2021-11-21: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via SUB in 2:10 of round 1
2021-08-28: W vs. [*] Reslley Menezes (7-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-07-09: NC vs. [*] Kenneth Bergh (9-1-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ikram Aliskerov -917 85.99%
Elo K170 Ikram Aliskerov 1798.61 +326.60 86.76%
Elo Modified Ikram Aliskerov 1835.68 +329.70 86.96%
Glicko-1 Ikram Aliskerov 1910.30 +401.91 91.00%
WHR Ikram Aliskerov 1877.88 +395.78 90.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ikram Aliskerov 238, Antonio Trocoli 937
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#251] Adam Fugitt (9-4-0, -112) vs. [#381] Josh Quinlan (6-2-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Adam Fugitt (1-2-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#82WW] Mike Malott (10-2-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#530WW] Yusaku Kinoshita (6-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:36 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#23WW] Michael Morales (16-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Josh Quinlan (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#180WW] Danny Barlow (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2023-04-29: L vs. [#125WW] Trey Waters (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: W vs. [*] Jason Witt (19-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Adam Fugitt -112 50.43%
Elo K170 Adam Fugitt 1432.45 +149.94 70.33%
Elo Modified Adam Fugitt 1460.37 +114.93 65.96%
Glicko-1 Adam Fugitt 1475.20 +144.52 69.68%
WHR Adam Fugitt 1463.81 +209.24 76.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adam Fugitt 371, Josh Quinlan 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on June 6, 2024 by Jason

The WHR Win % is now age-adjusted, using a formula driven by previous results.

Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

Now for the options…

Keep Reading

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov (06-08-2024)

Posted on June 3, 2024 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#5] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0, +112) vs. [#14] Nassourdine Imavov (13-4-0, -136)
Jared Cannonier is the All-Time #28 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (2-1-0)
2023-06-17: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)
2022-07-02: L vs. [#1MW/#10DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#16MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#21MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)
2023-01-14: L vs. [#3MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nassourdine Imavov -136 54.99%
Elo K170 Jared Cannonier 2208.53 +340.23 87.63%
Elo Modified Jared Cannonier 2134.22 +290.87 84.22%
Glicko-1 Jared Cannonier 2187.74 +309.63 85.60%
WHR Jared Cannonier 1999.77 +191.96 75.12%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Cannonier 357, Nassourdine Imavov 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jared Cannonier leads 1-0
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#24] Dustin Jacoby (19-8-1, -221) vs. [*] Dominick Reyes (12-4-0, +178)
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #45 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Jacoby (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#26LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#40LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-04-15: L vs. [#22LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (13-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (0-3-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#25LHW] Ryan Spann (21-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2021-05-01: L vs. [#4LHW] Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:29 of round 2
2020-09-26: L vs. [#2LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:36 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dustin Jacoby -221 65.68%
Elo K170 Dominick Reyes 1765.14 +97.81 63.71%
Elo Modified Dominick Reyes 1743.59 +27.69 53.98%
Glicko-1 Dustin Jacoby 1791.95 +14.84 52.13%
WHR Dustin Jacoby 1750.04 +123.29 67.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Jacoby 175, Dominick Reyes 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Julian Marquez (9-4-0, -114) vs. [#196] Zachary Reese (6-1-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (1-2-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#39MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#25MW] Gregory Rodrigues (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2021-04-10: W vs. [#127HW+] Sam Alvey (34-18-1) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Zachary Reese (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#97MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2023-08-22: W vs. [#264MW] Eli Aronov (6-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:14 of round 1
2023-03-24: W vs. [#1163MW] Tommie Britton (5-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:52 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julian Marquez -114 50.64%
Elo K170 Julian Marquez 1435.22 +107.37 64.98%
Elo Modified Julian Marquez 1500.00 +147.85 70.08%
Glicko-1 Julian Marquez 1538.00 +189.23 74.82%
WHR Julian Marquez 1485.65 +184.61 74.32%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julian Marquez 462, Zachary Reese 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (06-02-2024)

Posted on June 2, 2024 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on May 29, 2024 by Jason

Bouts considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

  • Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event).  Reduces uncertainty.
  • Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut).  More data makes WHR happy.
  • Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight.  Further reduces uncertainty.
  • Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

 

Now for the options…

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