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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov (08-03-2024)

Posted on July 29, 2024 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0, +213) vs. [#20] Umar Nurmagomedov (17-0-0, -266)
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#14BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#6BW] Marlon Vera (24-9-1) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#10BW] Yadong Song (21-9-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#87BW] Bekzat Almakhan (12-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#48BW] Raoni Barcelos (18-5-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punch) in 4:40 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#20FLY] Nathan Maness (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Umar Nurmagomedov -266 69.46%
Elo K170 Cory Sandhagen 2170.16 +160.75 71.61%
Elo Modified Cory Sandhagen 2096.99 +88.05 62.41%
Glicko-1 Cory Sandhagen 2171.29 +99.80 63.98%
WHR Umar Nurmagomedov 1979.87 +7.73 51.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cory Sandhagen 364, Umar Nurmagomedov 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#25] Sharabutdin Magomedov (13-0-0, -255) vs. [#45] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-8-0, +207)

Last 3 Fights: Sharabutdin Magomedov (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#330MW] Antonio Trocoli (13-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 3
2023-10-21: W vs. [#40MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-11: W vs. [NA] Kushal Vyas (10-16-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#16MW] Kevin Holland (26-11-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1
2024-03-09: L vs. [#18MW] Michel Pereira (32-11-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:01 of round 1
2023-08-26: W vs. [#71WW] Chidi Njokuani (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sharabutdin Magomedov -255 68.80%
Elo K170 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1864.62 +212.71 77.29%
Elo Modified Sharabutdin Magomedov 1870.19 +196.45 75.60%
Glicko-1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1937.06 +241.12 80.03%
WHR Sharabutdin Magomedov 1887.43 +267.00 82.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sharabutdin Magomedov 42, Michal Oleksiejczuk 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Marlon Vera (24-9-1, +139) vs. [#9] Deiveson Figueiredo (23-3-1, -168)
Marlon Vera is the All-Time #33 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#1BW/#4DD/#7P4P] Sean OMalley (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#16BW] Pedro Munhoz (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#3BW] Cory Sandhagen (17-4-0) via SD (50-45, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#28BW] Cody Garbrandt (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:02 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#14BW] Rob Font (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -168 59.97%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2092.10 +92.52 63.01%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2054.09 +52.27 57.46%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2130.44 +57.72 58.23%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1968.28 +79.81 61.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 147, Deiveson Figueiredo 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Deiveson Figueiredo leads 2-1
.

Welterweight (170)
[#42] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0, -478) vs. [#96LW] Tony Ferguson (25-10-0, +352)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #48 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (0-3-0)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#16MW] Kevin Holland (26-11-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:39 of round 1
2021-11-20: L vs. [#9WW] Sean Brady (16-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#17WW] Vicente Luque (22-10-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#15LW] Paddy Pimblett (22-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#27LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:54 of round 3
2022-09-10: L vs. [*] Nate Diaz (21-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:52 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Michael Chiesa -478 78.89%
Elo K170 Michael Chiesa 1847.31 +154.60 70.89%
Elo Modified Michael Chiesa 1835.80 +154.10 70.83%
Glicko-1 Michael Chiesa 1879.68 +160.64 71.60%
WHR Michael Chiesa 1701.71 +122.72 66.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chiesa 371, Tony Ferguson 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 3-2
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Mackenzie Dern (13-5-0, -123) vs. [#10] Lupita Godinez (12-4-0, +101)

Last 3 Fights: Mackenzie Dern (1-2-0)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#5SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#8FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2023-05-20: W vs. [#8SW] Angela Hill (17-13-0) via UD (49-44, 49-44, 49-43)

Last 3 Fights: Lupita Godinez (2-1-0)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#7P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-11: W vs. [#12SW] Tabatha Ricci (10-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#54SW] Elise Reed (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Mackenzie Dern -123 52.57%
Elo K170 Lupita Godinez 1591.78 +64.25 59.14%
Elo Modified Lupita Godinez 1550.25 +17.46 52.51%
Glicko-1 Mackenzie Dern 1532.93 +2.62 50.38%
WHR Mackenzie Dern 1530.79 +27.09 53.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mackenzie Dern 168, Lupita Godinez 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Mackenzie Dern leads 2-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#45] Joel Alvarez (20-3-0, -138) vs. [#75] Elves Brener (16-4-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#124LW] Marc Diakiese (17-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2
2022-02-26: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 2
2021-11-13: W vs. [#77LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Elves Brener (2-1-0)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#39LW] Myktybek Orolbai (13-1-2) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#194LW] Kaynan Kruschewsky (15-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:01 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#125LW] Guram Kutateladze (12-4-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joel Alvarez -138 55.48%
Elo K170 Joel Alvarez 1829.95 +196.75 75.63%
Elo Modified Joel Alvarez 1834.52 +202.91 76.28%
Glicko-1 Joel Alvarez 1917.46 +200.45 76.02%
WHR Joel Alvarez 1858.09 +195.51 75.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joel Alvarez 378, Elves Brener 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Azamat Murzakanov (13-0-0, -197) vs. [#25] Alonzo Menifield (15-4-1, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Azamat Murzakanov (3-0-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#26LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#48LHW] Devin Clark (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 3
2022-03-12: W vs. [#260MW] Tafon Nchukwi (6-4-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:44 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Alonzo Menifield (2-1-0)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#19LHW] Carlos Ulberg (11-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2023-12-16: W vs. [#26LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#43LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Azamat Murzakanov -197 63.47%
Elo K170 Azamat Murzakanov 1841.21 +123.99 67.12%
Elo Modified Azamat Murzakanov 1875.38 +129.13 67.77%
Glicko-1 Azamat Murzakanov 1930.68 +154.23 70.84%
WHR Azamat Murzakanov 1914.58 +259.97 81.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Azamat Murzakanov 476, Alonzo Menifield 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Azamat Murzakanov leads 2-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#172] Kaue Fernandes (8-2-0, -351) vs. [#465] Mohammad Yahya (12-4-0, +269)

Last 3 Fights: Kaue Fernandes (2-1-0)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#124LW] Marc Diakiese (17-7-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#164WW] Felipe Douglas (22-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:45 of round 1
2022-09-30: W vs. [*] Jose Arly Carvalho (6-1-0) via KO (Body Kick) in 1:28 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mohammad Yahya (2-1-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#223LW] Trevor Peek (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-26: W vs. [#366LW] Souhil Tahiri (7-4-1) via UD ()
2022-03-27: W vs. [#1055LW] Mohamed El Jaghdal (9-10-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:01 of round 5

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kaue Fernandes -351 74.17%
Elo K170 Kaue Fernandes 1502.89 +128.46 67.69%
Elo Modified Kaue Fernandes 1614.55 +204.15 76.41%
Glicko-1 Kaue Fernandes 1634.87 +210.21 77.03%
WHR Kaue Fernandes 1629.28 +262.33 81.91%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kaue Fernandes 273, Mohammad Yahya 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#33] Shamil Gaziev (12-1-0, -263) vs. [#54] Dontale Mayes (11-7-0, +209)

Last 3 Fights: Shamil Gaziev (2-1-0)
2024-03-02: L vs. [#11HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (14-5-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 4
2023-12-16: W vs. [#64HW+] Martin Buday (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2
2023-09-19: W vs. [#235HW+] Greg Velasco (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (2-1-0)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#126HW+] Caio Machado (8-3-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#24HW+] Rodrigo Nascimento (12-2-0) via UD ()
2023-06-03: W vs. [#80HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-24-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shamil Gaziev -263 69.12%
Elo K170 Shamil Gaziev 1665.02 +145.99 69.86%
Elo Modified Shamil Gaziev 1677.80 +123.05 67.00%
Glicko-1 Shamil Gaziev 1697.92 +124.49 67.19%
WHR Shamil Gaziev 1661.22 +168.65 72.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shamil Gaziev 154, Dontale Mayes 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#125] Guram Kutateladze (12-4-0, -240) vs. [#199] Jordan Vucenic (13-2-0, +196)

Last 3 Fights: Guram Kutateladze (1-2-0)
2023-07-01: L vs. [#75LW] Elves Brener (16-4-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2022-06-18: L vs. [#73LW] Damir Ismagulov (25-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-10-17: W vs. [#7LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Vucenic (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#653LW] Adrian Kepa (12-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:22 of round 1
2024-03-30: W vs. [#578FW] Simone DAnna (10-5-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:53 of round 2
2023-07-21: W vs. [#536BW] Brice Picaud (14-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Guram Kutateladze -240 67.63%
Elo K170 Jordan Vucenic 1649.62 +33.75 54.84%
Elo Modified Guram Kutateladze 1659.90 +45.23 56.47%
Glicko-1 Jordan Vucenic 1662.53 +10.36 51.49%
WHR Jordan Vucenic 1648.08 +74.89 60.61%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Guram Kutateladze 399, Jordan Vucenic 14
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#22] Victoria Dudakova (8-0-0, -179) vs. [#51] Sam Hughes (8-6-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Victoria Dudakova (3-0-0)
2023-10-21: W vs. [#100SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#163SW] Istela Nunes (6-5-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:34 of round 1
2022-08-30: W vs. [#24SW] Maria Silva (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Hughes (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#26SW] Yazmin Jauregui (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#29SW] Jaqueline Amorim (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#49SW] Piera Rodriguez (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Victoria Dudakova -179 61.40%
Elo K170 Victoria Dudakova 1529.77 +187.47 74.63%
Elo Modified Victoria Dudakova 1581.23 +232.43 79.21%
Glicko-1 Victoria Dudakova 1558.38 +231.74 79.15%
WHR Victoria Dudakova 1450.63 +197.04 75.66%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victoria Dudakova 287, Sam Hughes 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#145] Jai Herbert (12-5-1, -167) vs. [#173WW] Rolando Bedoya (14-3-0, +138)

Last 3 Fights: Jai Herbert (1-1-1)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#83LW] Fares Ziam (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-18: D vs. [#44LW] Ludovit Klein (22-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-07-23: W vs. [#30FW] Kyle Nelson (16-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rolando Bedoya (1-2-0)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#172WW] Kenan Song (20-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-06: L vs. [#34WW] Kalinn Williams (15-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2022-03-10: W vs. [*] Pablo Dhorta (10-2-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:26 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jai Herbert -167 59.81%
Elo K170 Jai Herbert 1564.11 +138.70 68.97%
Elo Modified Jai Herbert 1575.50 +70.55 60.02%
Glicko-1 Jai Herbert 1567.87 +19.69 52.83%
WHR Jai Herbert 1604.24 +73.24 60.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jai Herbert 378, Rolando Bedoya 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#127] Sedriques Dumas (10-2-0, -216) vs. [#145] Denis Tiuliulin (10-9-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (2-1-0)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#72WW] Nursulton Ruziboev (34-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
2023-10-21: W vs. [#298MW] Abu Azaitar (14-3-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#93MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Denis Tiuliulin (0-3-0)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#77MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:24 of round 2
2023-08-19: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:43 of round 1
2023-02-04: L vs. [#30MW] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sedriques Dumas -216 65.35%
Elo K170 Sedriques Dumas 1514.09 +193.40 75.27%
Elo Modified Sedriques Dumas 1536.03 +167.93 72.45%
Glicko-1 Sedriques Dumas 1537.54 +175.65 73.32%
WHR Sedriques Dumas 1467.48 +106.56 64.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sedriques Dumas 126, Denis Tiuliulin 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Stored DD Rating: Cory Sandhagen
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Marlon Vera vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Marlon Vera vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2024-7-28

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