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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira (10-12-2024)

Posted on October 7, 2024 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#7DD] Brandon Royval (16-7-0, +174) vs. [#7] Tatsuro Taira (16-0-0, -212)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #18 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Tatsuro Taira is the All-Time #36 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (21-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#2P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (28-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#19FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-4-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuro Taira (3-0-0)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#17FLY] Alex Perez (25-9-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#161FLY] Carlos Hernandez (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#146FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tatsuro Taira -212 65.05%
Elo K170 Brandon Royval 1975.18 +71.16 60.10%
Elo Modified Tatsuro Taira 1890.84 +39.41 55.65%
Glicko-1 Tatsuro Taira 1954.71 +56.53 58.07%
WHR Tatsuro Taira 1868.86 +89.29 62.57%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 231, Tatsuro Taira 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#29] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0, -173) vs. [#30] Brad Tavares (20-9-0, +142)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#24MW] Andre Muniz (24-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#71MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#150MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#22MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [#27MW] Chris Weidman (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via TKO (Knee and Punch) in 3:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jun Yong Park -173 60.53%
Elo K170 Jun Yong Park 1741.38 +42.76 56.12%
Elo Modified Jun Yong Park 1787.40 +70.69 60.03%
Glicko-1 Jun Yong Park 1831.45 +104.68 64.62%
WHR Jun Yong Park 1741.93 +79.86 61.29%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 308, Brad Tavares 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#24] Grant Dawson (21-2-1, -403) vs. [*] Rafa Garcia (16-3-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#121LW] Joe Solecki (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#25LW] Bobby Green (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2023-07-01: W vs. [#68LW] Damir Ismagulov (26-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#119LW] Clay Guida (38-24-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#286LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#29LW] Drakkar Klose (15-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Grant Dawson -403 76.44%
Elo K170 Grant Dawson 1980.01 +198.85 75.86%
Elo Modified Grant Dawson 1946.71 +196.16 75.57%
Glicko-1 Grant Dawson 1987.73 +199.54 75.92%
WHR Grant Dawson 1852.73 +133.77 68.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 133, Rafa Garcia 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#41] Julia Polastri (12-4-0, -144) vs. [#63] Cory McKenna (8-3-0, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Julia Polastri (2-1-0)
2024-06-15: L vs. [#17SW] Josefine Lindgren Knutsso (8-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-12: W vs. [#135SW] Patricia Alujas (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 2
2023-01-28: W vs. [#232SW] Brenda Gottig (7-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cory McKenna (2-1-0)
2024-03-16: L vs. [#16SW] Jaqueline Amorim (9-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 1
2022-12-17: W vs. [*] Cheyanne Vlismas (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-06: W vs. [*] Miranda Granger (7-3-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:03 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Julia Polastri -144 56.38%
Elo K170 Julia Polastri 1463.34 +85.07 62.00%
Elo Modified Julia Polastri 1493.05 +42.02 56.02%
Glicko-1 Julia Polastri 1488.84 +74.41 60.55%
WHR Julia Polastri 1440.65 +128.81 67.73%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julia Polastri 119, Cory McKenna 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#58] Alex Morono (24-10-0, +166) vs. [#70] Daniel Rodriguez (17-5-0, -203)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: L vs. [#51WW] Niko Price (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#53WW] Court McGee (22-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#9WW] Joaquin Buckley (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Rodriguez (0-3-0)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#25WW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#8WW] Ian Garry (15-0-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2022-11-05: L vs. [#26WW] Neil Magny (29-12-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:33 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Rodriguez -203 64.05%
Elo K170 Daniel Rodriguez 1716.33 +96.06 63.48%
Elo Modified Daniel Rodriguez 1700.70 +35.60 55.11%
Glicko-1 Daniel Rodriguez 1732.49 +33.50 54.81%
WHR Daniel Rodriguez 1629.28 +13.58 51.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 133, Daniel Rodriguez 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#76] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-6-0, -154) vs. [#109] Josh Fremd (11-6-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Abdul Razak Alhassan (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#91MW] Cody Brundage (10-6-0)
2023-10-07: L vs. [#21MW] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#154MW] Claudio Ribeiro (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Josh Fremd (1-2-0)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#49MW] Andre Petroski (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#52MW] Roman Kopylov (13-3-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:44 of round 2
2023-08-12: W vs. [#198MW] Jamie Pickett (13-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Abdul Razak Alhassan -154 57.91%
Elo K170 Abdul Razak Alhassan 1480.79 +96.70 63.57%
Elo Modified Abdul Razak Alhassan 1539.72 +118.25 66.39%
Glicko-1 Abdul Razak Alhassan 1590.36 +177.29 73.51%
WHR Abdul Razak Alhassan 1567.21 +133.43 68.31%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Abdul Razak Alhassan 91, Josh Fremd 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#72] Jared Gooden (23-9-0, +149) vs. [#77] Chidi Njokuani (23-10-0, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Gooden (2-1-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#148WW] Wellington Turman (18-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-03-11: L vs. [#62WW] Carlston Harris (19-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Demarques Jackson (13-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (1-2-0)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#129WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#42MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2023-03-25: L vs. [#71MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chidi Njokuani -184 61.73%
Elo K170 Chidi Njokuani 1648.00 +14.16 52.04%
Elo Modified Chidi Njokuani 1650.21 +2.72 50.39%
Glicko-1 Jared Gooden 1708.08 +22.05 53.17%
WHR Chidi Njokuani 1623.81 +33.99 54.88%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gooden 315, Chidi Njokuani 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Chidi Njokuani leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (125)
[#52] Ramazonbek Temirov (15-2-1) vs. [#92] C.J. Vergara (12-5-1)

Last 3 Fights: Ramazonbek Temirov (3-0-0)
2023-09-24: W vs. [#408FLY] Takaki Soya (12-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#430FLY] Yuta Hamamoto (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2022-11-25: W vs. [#663BW] Kayck Alencar (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: C.J. Vergara (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#14FLY] Asu Almabaev (20-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#483BW] Vinicius Salvador (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#504FLY] Daniel Lacerda (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ramazonbek Temirov 1638.73 +116.95 66.22%
Elo Modified Ramazonbek Temirov 1645.50 +124.80 67.23%
Glicko-1 Ramazonbek Temirov 1703.23 +171.06 72.80%
WHR Ramazonbek Temirov 1589.00 +146.26 69.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ramazonbek Temirov 384, C.J. Vergara 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#65] Jonathan Pearce (14-6-0, -138) vs. [#81] Pat Sabatini (18-5-0, +114)

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Pearce (1-2-0)
2024-04-27: L vs. [#49FW] David Onama (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#30FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2
2022-12-03: W vs. [#61FW] Darren Elkins (28-11-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Pat Sabatini (1-2-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#6FW] Diego Lopes (26-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#139FW] Lucas Almeida (15-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2022-09-17: L vs. [#81LW] Damon Jackson (23-7-1) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 1:09 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jonathan Pearce -138 55.37%
Elo K170 Pat Sabatini 1664.91 +69.06 59.81%
Elo Modified Pat Sabatini 1687.10 +66.29 59.42%
Glicko-1 Pat Sabatini 1743.92 +80.72 61.41%
WHR Pat Sabatini 1658.89 +23.77 53.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jonathan Pearce 168, Pat Sabatini 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#51] Niko Price (16-7-0, +221) vs. [#140] Themba Gorimbo (13-4-0, -279)

Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (1-2-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#58WW] Alex Morono (24-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [*] Robbie Lawler (30-16-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
2022-12-03: L vs. [#57WW] Philip Rowe (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Themba Gorimbo (3-0-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#441WW] Ramiz Brahimaj (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-03: W vs. [#867WW] Pete Rodriguez (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2023-05-20: W vs. [*] Takashi Sato (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Themba Gorimbo -279 70.26%
Elo K170 Niko Price 1668.82 +88.09 62.41%
Elo Modified Niko Price 1686.89 +67.56 59.60%
Glicko-1 Niko Price 1693.32 +76.83 60.88%
WHR Niko Price 1557.16 +39.47 55.65%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Niko Price 133, Themba Gorimbo 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Chris Barnett (23-8-0, +284) vs. [#118] Junior Tafa (5-3-0, -374)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Barnett (2-1-0)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#104HW+] Jake Collier (14-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2022-04-16: L vs. [#64HW+] Martin Buday (14-2-0) via TUD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Gian Villante (17-14-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Junior Tafa (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#75HW+] Valter Walker (12-1-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:52 of round 1
2024-02-17: L vs. [#24HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (22-9-1) via TKO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 1:14 of round 2
2023-08-26: W vs. [#130HW+] Parker Porter (13-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:24 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Junior Tafa -374 75.18%
Elo K170 Chris Barnett 1500.14 +177.83 73.57%
Elo Modified Chris Barnett 1525.92 +147.73 70.07%
Glicko-1 Chris Barnett 1546.56 +220.13 78.03%
WHR Chris Barnett 1446.93 +132.04 68.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Barnett 763, Junior Tafa 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#165] Dan Argueta (9-3-0, +149) vs. [#229] Cody Haddon (7-1-0, -181)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Argueta (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2024-04-06: L vs. [#64BW] Jean Matsumoto (15-0-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2023-09-23: L vs. [#30BW] Miles Johns (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-06-17: NC vs. [*] Ronnie Lawrence (9-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Haddon (3-0-0)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#771BW] Billy Brand (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:09 of round 1
2024-03-02: W vs. [#681BW] Paul Loga (10-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2023-08-18: W vs. [#1013BW] Raja Shippen (19-13-1) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 1:00 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cody Haddon -181 61.59%
Elo K170 Cody Haddon 1493.11 +33.82 54.85%
Elo Modified Cody Haddon 1500.02 +29.01 54.17%
Glicko-1 Cody Haddon 1550.18 +106.31 64.84%
WHR Cody Haddon 1519.71 +100.40 64.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Argueta 189, Cody Haddon 53
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#35] Lucas Rocha (17-1-0, +142) vs. [*] Clayton Carpenter (7-0-0, -173)

Last 3 Fights: Lucas Rocha (3-0-0)
2023-10-10: W vs. [#88FLY] Davi Bittencourt (18-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:18 of round 2
2023-05-27: W vs. [#175FLY] Matheus da Silva Severino (12-4-0) via UD ()
2022-08-02: W vs. [#307FLY] Eduardo Castro (12-6-0) via TKO in 0:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Clayton Carpenter (3-0-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Juancamilo Ronderos (4-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:13 of round 1
2022-08-09: W vs. [#146FLY] Edgar Chairez (11-6-0) via UD ()
2021-12-03: W vs. [#341FLY] Rodney Kealohi (7-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Clayton Carpenter -173 60.53%
Elo K170 Lucas Rocha 1688.28 +195.09 75.45%
Elo Modified Lucas Rocha 1688.75 +138.40 68.93%
Glicko-1 Lucas Rocha 1756.53 +248.85 80.73%
WHR Lucas Rocha 1682.93 +212.10 77.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lucas Rocha 368, Clayton Carpenter 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Brandon Royval
Highest Stored DD Rating: Brandon Royval
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Brandon Royval vs. Tatsuro Taira
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Brandon Royval vs. Tatsuro Taira
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2024-10-6

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