Event Previews – Page 2

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja II (09-19-2026)

Posted on September 14, 2026 by Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1DD][#2P4P][#1][#1UFC] Joshua Van (17-2-0, -128) vs. [#11P4P][#2][#2UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0, +107)
Joshua Van is the All-Time #11 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #2 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2026-05-09: W vs. [#4FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-2-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:32 of round 5
2025-12-06: W vs. [#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#5FLY] Brandon Royval (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (2-1-0)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#1DD][#2P4P][#1FLY] Joshua Van (17-2-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:26 of round 1
2025-06-28: W vs. [#10FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 3
2024-12-07: W vs. [#44BW] Kai Asakura (23-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joshua Van	-128		53.74%
Elo K170	Joshua Van	2173.26	+88.25	62.43%
Elo Modified	Joshua Van	2111.80	+91.16	62.83%
Glicko-1	Joshua Van	2212.36	+124.26	67.16%
WHR	Joshua Van	1924.17	+13.82	51.99%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joshua Van 24.9, Alexandre Pantoja 36.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joshua Van 133, Alexandre Pantoja 287
Previous Match-up Record: Joshua Van leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0, -333) vs. [#9][#8UFC] Mauricio Ruffy (14-2-0, +259)
Arman Tsarukyan is the All-Time #35 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2025-11-22: W vs. [#20LW] Dan Hooker (24-15-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#10DD][#3LW] Charles Oliveira (37-11-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#17LW] Beneil Dariush (23-8-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Ruffy (2-1-0)
2026-06-14: W vs. [#34LW] Michael Chandler (23-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 4:29 of round 1
2026-01-31: W vs. [#11LW] Rafael Fiziev (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 2
2025-09-06: L vs. [#10LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:56 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Arman Tsarukyan	-333		73.40%
Elo K170	Arman Tsarukyan	2345.61	+362.13	88.94%
Elo Modified	Arman Tsarukyan	2231.06	+271.72	82.69%
Glicko-1	Arman Tsarukyan	2310.73	+254.06	81.19%
WHR	Arman Tsarukyan	2126.37	+184.89	74.35%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Arman Tsarukyan 29.9, Mauricio Ruffy 30.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arman Tsarukyan 301, Mauricio Ruffy 97
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#18][#14UFC] Patricio Freire (37-9-0, +206) vs. [#34][#21UFC] Doo Ho Choi (17-4-1, -260)
Patricio Freire is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Patricio Freire (1-2-0)
2026-04-11: L vs. [#13FW] Aaron Pico (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#34BW] Dan Ige (19-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-04-12: L vs. [*] Yair Rodriguez (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Doo Ho Choi (3-0-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#102FW] Daniel Santos (15-3-0) via NC in 4:29 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#105FW] Nate Landwehr (18-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:21 of round 3
2024-07-20: W vs. [*] Bill Algeo (18-9-0) via TKO (Submission to Punch) in 3:38 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Doo Ho Choi	-260		68.84%
Elo K170	Patricio Freire	1902.53	+37.31	55.35%
Elo Modified	Patricio Freire	1893.75	+35.67	55.11%
Glicko-1	Doo Ho Choi	1927.64	+20.48	52.94%
WHR	Doo Ho Choi	1870.69	+147.63	70.05%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Patricio Freire 39.2, Doo Ho Choi 35.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricio Freire 161, Doo Ho Choi 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Delgado (09-12-2026)

Posted on September 7, 2026 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#9][#7UFC] Jean Silva (17-3-0, -433) vs. [#50][#31UFC] Jose Delgado (12-2-0, +323)

Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#8FW] Arnold Allen (21-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-13: L vs. [#3FW] Diego Lopes (28-8-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Elbow and Punches) in 4:48 of round 2
2025-04-12: W vs. [#17BW] Bryce Mitchell (19-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jose Delgado (2-1-0)
2026-07-18: W vs. [#161FW] Austin Bashi (14-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#73FW] Andre Fili (25-14-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2025-10-25: L vs. [#37FW] Nathaniel Wood (23-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jean Silva	-433		77.45%
Elo K170	Jean Silva	1989.75	+187.43	74.63%
Elo Modified	Jean Silva	1977.91	+232.43	79.21%
Glicko-1	Jean Silva	2042.89	+299.23	84.85%
WHR	Jean Silva	1968.04	+357.10	88.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jean Silva 29.7, Jose Delgado 28.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jean Silva 231, Jose Delgado 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#7][#7UFC] Brandon Moreno (23-10-2, +111) vs. [#25][#18UFC] Joseph Morales (14-2-0, -133)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2026-02-28: L vs. [#8FLY] Loneer Kavanagh (10-2-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2025-12-06: L vs. [#4FLY] Tatsuro Taira (18-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2025-03-29: W vs. [#11FLY] Steve Erceg (14-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Morales (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#127FLY] Matt Schnell (17-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2025-08-16: W vs. [#48FLY] Alibi Idiris (11-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2023-02-03: W vs. [*] Anthony Do (9-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:46 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joseph Morales	-133		54.63%
Elo K170	Joseph Morales	1846.22	+102.29	64.31%
Elo Modified	Joseph Morales	1802.06	+27.99	54.02%
Glicko-1	Joseph Morales	1848.69	+25.41	53.65%
WHR	Joseph Morales	1805.92	+65.60	59.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Moreno 32.7, Joseph Morales 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 196, Joseph Morales 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#97][#50UFC] Marwan Rahiki (9-0-0, +130) vs. [#175][#70UFC] Tommy McMillen (11-0-0, -155)

Last 3 Fights: Marwan Rahiki (3-0-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#998FW] Oliver Schmid (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 1
2026-03-14: W vs. [#171FW] Harry Hardwick (13-5-1) via TKO (Jaw Injury) in 5:00 of round 2
2025-10-14: W vs. [#343FW] Ananias Mulumba (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tommy McMillen (3-0-0)
2026-07-18: W vs. [#492FW] Alberto Montes (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:29 of round 3
2026-04-04: W vs. [#1093FW] Manolo Zecchini (11-5-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:57 of round 1
2025-09-02: W vs. [#116FW] David Mgoyan (9-1-0) via MD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tommy McMillen	-155		58.29%
Elo K170	Marwan Rahiki	1651.88	+15.88	52.28%
Elo Modified	Marwan Rahiki	1679.60	+27.11	53.89%
Glicko-1	Marwan Rahiki	1730.15	+59.17	58.44%
WHR	Tommy McMillen	1635.79	+33.47	54.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marwan Rahiki 24.3, Tommy McMillen 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marwan Rahiki 133, Tommy McMillen 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Month Ahead: September’s MMA Calendar and Betting Odds

Posted on September 1, 2026 by A. J. Riot

Picture Credit

September gives MMA fans and bettors a full month to follow, with a UFC event scheduled for every Saturday. The action moves from Paris to Arizona and Los Angeles before finishing in Las Vegas, with each card presenting a different kind of matchup to assess.

That variety also means there isn’t one formula for evaluating the month. A high-profile UFC debut creates different questions from a late opponent change, while a championship rematch provides evidence that a first-time meeting cannot. Looking beyond records and considering styles, recent performances, and fight circumstances can provide a clearer picture before each event begins.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse (09-05-2026)

Posted on August 31, 2026 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#15][#13UFC] Dan Hooker (24-14-0, +409) vs. [#29] Salahdine Parnasse (23-2-0, -567)
Dan Hooker is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (1-2-0)
2026-01-31: L vs. [#10LW] Benoit St. Denis (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 2
2025-11-22: L vs. [#4LW] Arman Tsarukyan (23-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2024-08-17: W vs. [#13LW] Mateusz Gamrot (26-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Salahdine Parnasse (3-0-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#123LW] Kenneth Cross (17-5-0) via KO in 4:18 of round 1
2026-01-17: W vs. [#127LW] Marcin Held (31-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 2
2025-05-10: W vs. [#172LW] Marian Ziolkowski (26-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Salahdine Parnasse	-567		81.22%
Elo K170	Salahdine Parnasse	2065.29	+74.13	60.51%
Elo Modified	Salahdine Parnasse	2059.77	+167.85	72.44%
Glicko-1	Salahdine Parnasse	2157.17	+251.49	80.97%
WHR	Salahdine Parnasse	2006.89	+258.77	81.60%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dan Hooker 36.5, Salahdine Parnasse 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 217, Salahdine Parnasse 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#46][#27UFC] Fares Ziam (18-5-0, -158) vs. [#82][#43UFC] Axel Sola (12-1-1, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (2-1-0)
2026-06-06: L vs. [#37LW] Tom Nolan (11-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-12-06: W vs. [#109LW] Nazim Sadykhov (11-3-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2025-02-01: W vs. [#163LW] Mike Davis (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Axel Sola (2-1-0)
2026-07-25: W vs. [#190LW] Ismael Bonfim (20-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:44 of round 1
2026-03-21: L vs. [#75LW] Mason Jones (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-09-06: W vs. [#93MW] Rhys McKee (15-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Fares Ziam	-158		58.47%
Elo K170	Fares Ziam	1835.65	+86.79	62.24%
Elo Modified	Fares Ziam	1810.71	+30.66	54.40%
Glicko-1	Fares Ziam	1842.93	+10.87	51.57%
WHR	Fares Ziam	1745.70	+6.12	50.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Fares Ziam 29.4, Axel Sola 28.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fares Ziam 91, Axel Sola 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#12][#12UFC] Michael Page (25-3-0, -177) vs. [#40MW][#27MWUFC] Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (3-0-0)
2026-03-21: W vs. [#55WW] Sam Patterson (15-3-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-08-16: W vs. [#15MW] Jared Cannonier (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#22MW] Sharabutdin Magomedov (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (3-0-0)
2026-06-27: W vs. [#178MW] Andrey Pulyaev (10-5-0) via NC in 3:58 of round 1
2025-05-17: W vs. [#53MW] Dustin Stoltzfus (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#97MW] Eric McConico (11-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Michael Page	-177		61.01%
Elo K170	Michael Page	2146.11	+323.50	86.56%
Elo Modified	Michael Page	2140.53	+305.71	85.32%
Glicko-1	Michael Page	2190.49	+256.90	81.44%
WHR	Michael Page	2034.86	+218.36	77.85%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Michael Page 39.4, Nursulton Ruziboev 32.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 168, Nursulton Ruziboev 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song (08-29-2026)

Posted on August 24, 2026 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#4][#4UFC] Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1-0, -496) vs. [#6][#6UFC] Yadong Song (23-10-1, +374)
Umar Nurmagomedov is the All-Time #31 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Yadong Song is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Umar Nurmagomedov (2-1-0)
2026-01-24: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-25: W vs. [#5BW] Mario Bautista (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#4DD][#9P4P][#2BW] Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-1-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:42 of round 2
2026-01-24: L vs. [#3BW] Sean OMalley (20-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [*] Henry Cejudo (16-6-0) via TUD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Umar Nurmagomedov	-496		79.77%
Elo K170	Umar Nurmagomedov	2243.88	+185.08	74.37%
Elo Modified	Umar Nurmagomedov	2188.14	+147.57	70.05%
Glicko-1	Umar Nurmagomedov	2243.11	+146.48	69.92%
WHR	Umar Nurmagomedov	2137.53	+193.37	75.27%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Umar Nurmagomedov 30.6, Yadong Song 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Umar Nurmagomedov 217, Yadong Song 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Umar Nurmagomedov leads 2-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[*] Xiaonan Yan (19-5-0, -160) vs. [#8][#8UFC] Denise Gomes (12-3-0, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#9P4P][#3SW] Virna Jandiroba (23-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#9SW] Tabatha Ricci (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2P4P][#4DD][#1SW] Weili Zhang (26-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (3-0-0)
2025-11-08: W vs. [#13SW] Tecia Pennington (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#105SW] Elise Reed (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-11-09: W vs. [#66SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-10-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Xiaonan Yan	-160		59.12%
Elo K170	Xiaonan Yan	1754.74	+22.29	53.20%
Elo Modified	Xiaonan Yan	1752.89	+24.23	53.48%
Glicko-1	Denise Gomes	1734.21	+15.44	52.22%
WHR	Denise Gomes	1629.58	+6.11	50.88%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Xiaonan Yan 37.2, Denise Gomes 26.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 504, Denise Gomes 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Xiaonan Yan leads 2-1
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Bantamweight (135)
[#46][#28UFC] Kai Asakura (22-6-0, -429) vs. [#173][#55UFC] Qileng Aori (28-13-0, +332)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Asakura (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: W vs. [#214BW] Cameron Smotherman (12-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 1
2025-08-16: L vs. [#15FLY] Tim Elliott (21-14-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2024-12-07: L vs. [#2FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (30-6-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Qileng Aori (1-2-0)
2026-05-30: L vs. [#86BW] Cody Haddon (9-1-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches) in 2:11 of round 2
2025-10-18: W vs. [#175BW] Cody Gibson (21-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2024-09-14: L vs. [#23BW] Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kai Asakura	-429		77.79%
Elo K170	Kai Asakura	1849.72	+373.73	89.58%
Elo Modified	Kai Asakura	1809.05	+322.26	86.48%
Glicko-1	Kai Asakura	1835.42	+330.52	87.02%
WHR	Kai Asakura	1681.93	+191.42	75.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kai Asakura 32.8, Qileng Aori 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Asakura 91, Qileng Aori 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira (08-22-2026)

Posted on August 18, 2026 by Jason

Women Featherweight (145)
[#1DD][#4P4P][#1] Cristiane Justino (29-2-0) vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (16-5-0)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2025-12-13: W vs. [#2FW] Sara Collins (6-1-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 2:55 of round 3
2024-10-19: W vs. [*] Larissa Pacheco (23-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-10-07: W vs. [*] Cat Zingano (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ketlen Vieira (2-1-0)
2026-05-16: W vs. [#10BW] Jacqueline Cavalcanti (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-11-01: L vs. [#5BW] Norma Dumont (13-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#14BW] Macy Chiasson (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Cristiane Justino	2018.75	+275.58	83.01%
Elo Modified	Cristiane Justino	2022.01	+233.42	79.31%
Glicko-1	Cristiane Justino	2094.58	+314.58	85.95%
WHR	Cristiane Justino	2039.47	+429.02	92.20%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Cristiane Justino 41.1, Ketlen Vieira 35.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 252, Ketlen Vieira 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 3-2
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Lightweight (155)
[#18] Gadzhi Rabadanov (27-6-1) vs. [#269] Tracy Reeder (12-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Gadzhi Rabadanov (2-1-0)
2026-05-02: W vs. [#204LW] Aleksandr Chizov (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2025-08-15: L vs. [#20LW] Alfie Davis (20-7-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-06-20: W vs. [#128LW] Kevin Lee (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tracy Reeder (3-0-0)
2026-04-24: W vs. [#946LW] Chance Beck (11-10-0) via TKO in 1:03 of round 1
2026-02-20: W vs. [#530LW] Marshall Kemp (8-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:06 of round 2
2025-10-10: W vs. [#1554LW] Fred Freeman (8-12-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1973.89	+564.78	96.27%
Elo Modified	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1967.31	+529.37	95.47%
Glicko-1	Gadzhi Rabadanov	2032.45	+576.11	96.50%
WHR	Gadzhi Rabadanov	1912.84	+564.63	96.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gadzhi Rabadanov 112, Tracy Reeder 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#41] Marcirley Alves (15-5-0) vs. [#94] Gustavo Oliveira (13-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marcirley Alves (2-1-0)
2026-05-23: L vs. [#37BW] Naoki Inoue (21-5-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2025-08-15: W vs. [#111BW] Justin Wetzell (12-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2025-06-20: W vs. [#123BW] Jake Hadley (12-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gustavo Oliveira (3-0-0)
2026-05-23: W vs. [#187BW] Baris Adiguzel (10-2-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 1:10 of round 2
2025-12-13: W vs. [#332BW] Movsar Ibragimov (8-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 2
2025-07-05: W vs. [#654BW] Anas Azizoun (6-2-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 3:25 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Elo K170	Marcirley Alves	1770.05	+128.07	67.64%
Elo Modified	Marcirley Alves	1790.28	+114.41	65.89%
Glicko-1	Marcirley Alves	1842.41	+135.18	68.53%
WHR	Gustavo Oliveira	1708.86	+18.34	52.64%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Marcirley Alves 27.0, Gustavo Oliveira 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcirley Alves 91, Gustavo Oliveira 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hernandes vs Rodriguez (08-22-2026)

Posted on August 17, 2026 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#10][#8UFC] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0, -176) vs. [#13][#11UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (19-6-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (2-1-0)
2026-02-21: L vs. [#3P4P][#7DD][#1MW] Sean Strickland (31-7-0) via NC in 2:33 of round 3
2025-08-09: W vs. [#13LHW] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-02-22: W vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (3-0-0)
2026-03-07: W vs. [#23MW] Brunno Ferreira (15-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2025-11-15: W vs. [#24MW] Roman Kopylov (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-06-28: W vs. [#108WW] Jack Hermansson (24-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:21 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Anthony Hernandez	-176		61.26%
Elo K170	Anthony Hernandez	2061.77	+47.85	56.84%
Elo Modified	Anthony Hernandez	2051.56	+27.58	53.96%
Glicko-1	Anthony Hernandez	2111.38	+11.89	51.71%
WHR	Anthony Hernandez	1991.33	+60.71	58.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Anthony Hernandez 32.8, Gregory Rodrigues 34.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Hernandez 182, Gregory Rodrigues 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#12][#10UFC] Serghei Spivac (18-6-0, +143) vs. [#44][#23UFC] Vitor Petrino (14-2-0, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Serghei Spivac (1-2-0)
2026-02-21: W vs. [#19HW+] Ante Delija (26-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#9HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#10HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2026-03-14: W vs. [#108HW+] Steven Asplund (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-10-11: W vs. [#84HW+] Thomas Petersen (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2025-07-12: W vs. [#167LHW] Austen Lane (13-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Vitor Petrino	-171		60.52%
Elo K170	Serghei Spivac	1842.58	+128.17	67.65%
Elo Modified	Serghei Spivac	1859.96	+109.49	65.26%
Glicko-1	Serghei Spivac	1894.51	+133.75	68.35%
WHR	Serghei Spivac	1776.70	+110.89	65.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Serghei Spivac 31.6, Vitor Petrino 29.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Serghei Spivac 182, Vitor Petrino 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#13][#12UFC] Roman Dolidze (15-5-0, +287) vs. [#21][#16UFC] Reinier de Ridder (21-4-0, -367)

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (1-2-0)
2026-03-21: L vs. [#11MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-08-09: L vs. [#10MW] Anthony Hernandez (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 4
2025-03-15: W vs. [#29MW] Marvin Vettori (19-10-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Reinier de Ridder (1-2-0)
2026-03-07: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2025-10-18: L vs. [#7MW] Brendan Allen (27-7-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2025-07-26: W vs. [#8LHW] Robert Whittaker (27-9-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Reinier de Ridder	-367		75.25%
Elo K170	Reinier de Ridder	1915.96	+60.77	58.66%
Elo Modified	Reinier de Ridder	1894.31	+18.84	52.71%
Glicko-1	Roman Dolidze	1949.19	+4.39	50.63%
WHR	Reinier de Ridder	1860.39	+38.22	55.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 38.1, Reinier de Ridder 35.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 154, Reinier de Ridder 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues: What The Betting Says

Posted on August 17, 2026 by A. J. Riot

UFC Fight Night makes its return to Sacramento on August 22, and the promotion has handed the city a main event that carries real title eliminator implications. Anthony Hernandez, the No. 7-ranked middleweight, takes on No. 10-ranked Gregory Rodrigues at Golden 1 Center in what will be the UFC’s first visit to the city since 2019. Both men come into this one with a point to prove.

Hernandez arrives with a 15-3 record that has been built on relentless wrestling and suffocating top pressure, though he’s coming off a setback rather than a win streak. His last outing ended in a TKO defeat at the hands of middleweight champion Sean Strickland, ending an eight-fight winning run that included six finishes. Rodrigues, at 19-6, brings quite the opposite skill set. He’s got heavy hands and a reputation for being one of the division’s most dangerous finishers.

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Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson: Preview

Posted on August 14, 2026 by Heather

[#2 W115] Mackenzie Dern (C) defends her strawweight title against [#5 W115] Gillian Robertson this Saturday, Aug 15, at UFC 330. Here’s the case for Robertson, based on how analysts and Robertson herself have broken down the matchup:

Dern’s Vulnerabilities

Weak takedown defense: one analyst pegs it at just 38%, meaning Robertson doesn’t need elite wrestling to get this fight to the mat.

Inconsistent takedowns of her own – Robertson has pointed out Dern “doesn’t have a great ability to take it to the ground,” saying Dern’s shot is just okay and she relies mainly on a lateral hip throw.

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Heather

Combat Sports & Martial Arts Writer| Partnership Marketing and Digital Strategy Lead (Combat Sports)
I have been an avid viewer of Boxing and MMA for almost three decades. Since 2001, I have enjoyed watching the UFC. I hold an academic background in Gerontology from Madonna University, and spent 25 years working across both clinical and non-clinical healthcare settings. But a lifelong passion for writing and martial arts eventually pulled me toward a new chapter. Today, I write for FightMatrix.com. Additionally, I interview professionals in the Combat Sports sector.

www.fightmatrix.com

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays (2026/#25)

Posted on August 13, 2026 by Jason

Still trying to get out of this hole…

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 7 fights in the prior 7 years, including 1+ loss. If the loss was in their debut, then 2+ losses are required.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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