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Opponent Strength – Who’s got the best?

Posted on July 11, 2008 by Jason

Obviously, opposition strength is an extremely important characteristic in determining who becomes a top-ranked fighter and who holds onto their high ranking in times of bad performances.

Here is the Top 10 list for fighters with the best opposition strength since 1/1/2007.  The ratings were normalized by division and a minimum of 3 fights is required for listing.

1> Dan Henderson (161.8)

2> Forrest Griffin (126.6)

3> Yasuhiro Urushitani (122.7)

4> Jens Pulver (120.8)

5> Quinton Jackson (120.7)

6> Mamoru Yamaguchi (112.1)

7> Wanderlei Silva (108.9)

8> Matt Hughes (105.9)

9> Georges St. Pierre (104.1)

10> Gabriel Gonzaga (102.8)

Tracking the progress of The Ultimate Fighter 2 contestants – Part I

Posted on July 8, 2008 by Oleg

After the inaugural season of ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ reality series became an instant television hit, Spike TV and the Ultimate Fighting Championship quickly rounded up another load of up-and-coming MMA fighters and filmed another season.  The second season of ‘TUF’ featured heavyweights and welterweights, and notably did not feature the usual feud between coaches.  Instead, the coaches were friends, one-time training partners, and both UFC title holders at the time: Rich Franklin and Matt Hughes.  Let’s look at how the careers of the participants turned out since then.  I will examine the heavyweight class first, and the welterweights next week.

All in all, the heavyweight edition of TUF has been a failed experiment.  Of the ten fighters who participated, only two are still fighting in the UFC and both dropped down to 205 lbs, as did Mike Whitehead who has had an impressive win streak outside of the Octagon.   None of the true heavyweights of the group enjoyed great success in MMA since the Season 2 finale.

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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, August 22nd 2026: PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
 [#1 W145] Cristiane Justino [#4 W135] Ketlen Vieira
Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#2 W145] Sara Collins
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 5/16/2026 [UFC]
Last Opponent: [#10 W135] Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Last 5: W L W L W
Thursday, September 10th 2026: Super RIZIN 5: Naniwa No Chou Fukkatsu Matsuri
 [#5 FW] A.J. McKee [#6 FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev
Last Fight Date: 6/27/2026 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#20 FW] Salamat Isbulaev
Last 5: W L W W W
Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#249 FW] Yuta Kubo
Last 5: W W W W W
Thursday, September 10th 2026: Super RIZIN 5: Naniwa No Chou Fukkatsu Matsuri
 [#1 W105] Natalia Kuziutina [#16 W105] Rena Kubota
Last Fight Date: 4/12/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#9 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 12/31/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#2 W105] Seika Izawa
Last 5: W L W W L
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Featured Fighters

[#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev [#178 WW]  Namo Fazil
[#5 WW]  Ian Garry [NR]  Khabib Nurmagomedov
[#29 WW]  Myktybek Orolbai [#2 LW]  Ilia Topuria
[#1 FW]  Alexander Volkanovski [#25 WW]  Neil Magny
[NR]  Jon Jones [#3 WW]  Carlos Prates
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UFC 86 Review

Posted on July 6, 2008 by Oleg

After the UFC lightweight title was on hold for most of the year due to the champion Quinton ‘Rampage’ Jackson and the top contender Forrest Griffin coaching opposite each other on the seventh season of ‘The Ultimate Fighter’, the two finally met in the Octagon at UFC 86. With all the hype on the main event, the rest of the card looked somewhat lackluster in comparison, with Cote-Almeida being the only undercard bout with immediate title implications.

Tyson Griffin vs Marcus Aurelio (155 lbs)

Griffin dominated Aurelio in standup, and avoided danger on the ground, through the entire fight. Aurelio was not able to find an answer for Griffin’s striking, never achieved dominant position, and while he threatened numerous submissions from his always-dangerous guard, none of them came close. Griffin won every round on every judge’s scorecard for a 30-27 unanimous decision.

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MMA Rankings Updated: 7/6/08

Posted on July 6, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Ratings updated with effects from recent shows.  The most notable one being UFC 86.

We have a new king at Light Heavyweight and a new Top 10 entrant at Lightweight!

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UFC 86: How they stack up

Posted on July 1, 2008 by Jason

This is how UFC 86 stacks up.  I will extend a word of caution for anyone looking to wager on Cote, as Almeida’s ranking is still volatile due to the fact he is only one fight off of a long bout of inactivity.  He still needs to once again prove himself against a good opponent and has his chance to do so here.

UFC Light Heavyweight Championship
[#1] Quinton Jackson vs. [#4] Forrest Griffin

Middleweight
[#18] Patrick Cote vs. [#91] Ricardo Almeida

Lightweight
[#21] Joe Stevenson vs. [#60] Gleison Tibau

Welterweight
[#5] Josh Koscheck vs. [#36] Chris Lytle

Lightweight
[#14] Marcus Aurelio vs. [#15] Tyson Griffin

Heavyweight
[#7] Gabriel Gonzaga vs. [NR] Justin McCully

Lightweight
[#108] Jorge Gurgel vs. [#122] Cole Miller

Lightweight
[#121] Melvin Guillard vs. [#159] Dennis Siver

Lightweight
[*] Justin Buchholz vs. [*] Corey Hill

Ranking Note: Gray font represents an approximate ranking. An asterisk represents a fighter who is ranked, but too low for an approximation. These two scenarios will clear up slightly as we move forward. “NR” means the fighter is not ranked, due to inactivity, or due to a rating that is at or below the default starter rating.

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MMA Rankings Updated: 6/29/08

Posted on June 29, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  •  Ranks show the effects from the addition of recent shows and some old ones.
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Ten biggest point-based upsets in MMA history

Posted on June 28, 2008 by Oleg

We’ve compiled a list of the 10 biggest MMA upsets in recent history. The significance of upsets on this list is measured not by the betting odds, but by the difference in the Fightmatrix.com point standing between the two fighters, normalized for weight class differences.

  1. Gabriel Gonzaga W Mirko Filipovic (UFC 70, Apr 21 2007) @ -186.18
  2. Matt Serra W Georges St. Pierre (UFC 69, Apr 7 2007) @ -155.02
  3. Quinton Jackson W Chuck Liddell (UFC 71, May 26 2007) @ -142.45
  4. Mark Hunt W Wanderlei Silva (Pride Shockwave 2004, Dec 31 2004) @ -140.3
  5. Keith Jardine W Chuck Liddell (UFC 76, Sep 22 2007 ) @ -127.90
  6. Mark Coleman W Mauricio Rua (Pride 31, Feb 26 2006) @ -126.49
  7. Cheick Kongo W Mirko Filipovic (UFC 75, Sep 8 2007) @ -114.57
  8. Forrest Griffin W Mauricio Rua (UFC 76, Sep 22 2007) @ -108.48
  9. Eduardo Dantas W Shinichi Kojima (Shooto, Nov 8 2007) @ -103.79
  10. Sokoudjou W Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (Pride 33, Feb 24 2007) @ -98.48

Interesting to note that with exception of 2 fights, this list is all comprised of heavy and light-heavyweights. Also, Mirko Filipovic, Chuck Liddell, and Mauricio Rua were all victims of huge upsets on more than one occasion.

A good bet for our gamblers…

Posted on June 27, 2008 by Jason

Here are the odds we dug up for the Griffin/Aurelio match-up:

Tyson Griffin -350 vs. Marcus Aurelio +250

Translated to an implied chance of winning, these odds suggest Griffin has a 78% chance of prevailing in the bout.

As for the FightMatrix points system, the difference between these two fighters is practically nothing.

Rank Fighter Record Points
14 Marcus Aurelio
Last Fight: 4/2/2008 [UFC]
16-5-0
102
15 Tyson Griffin
Last Fight: 2/2/2008 [UFC]
11-1-0
100

We’re not necessarily declaring Aurelio as the winner, but we know a good bet when we see one.

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The Ultimate Fighter 7 Finale review

Posted on June 22, 2008 by Oleg

Seven seasons old, and still going strong, The Ultimate Fighter has become somewhat of a farm system for the UFC.  This season didn’t produce a very high yield:  of the 32 competitors initially appearing on the cast, only seven were scheduled for a bout in the live finale. (One of those scheduled bouts, Tim Credeur vs Cale Yarborough, did not happen as Credeur was banned from competition by Nevada State Athletic Committee due to taking prescription drug Adderall several days prior to the fight.)  The rest of the card was mostly filled with UFC veterans, many of whom were in a must-win situation.

Dante Rivera vs Matthew Riddle (185 lbs)

TUF back-story: A friendly rivalry between a veteran Rivera and a rookie Riddle culminated with Rivera claiming he will retire should he lose this fight, and Riddle promising to have a retirement plaque ready to present to Dante after the bout.

The fight itself turns out to be pretty boring, with most of the bout taking place clinched against the fence.  Riddle gets a takedown towards the end of every round, and achieves mount on more than one occasion.  Ending each round in dominant position is enough to give Riddle the bout, 29-28 on one judge’s scorecard and 30-27 on the other two.  I don’t understand the UFC’s reasoning behind starting out the televised broadcast with this bout.

The aftermath:  Cooler heads prevail, and the retirement plaque never rears its ugly head.  Nevertheless, Rivera is not a UFC caliber fighter.  Riddle is very raw and green but shows potential.

Fight grade: 2/5

Keep Reading

MMA Rankings Updated: 6/22/08

Posted on June 22, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Minor bugfix affecting movement of those around the starter debut level.  This will cause some fluctuations in lower ranked fighters.
  • Effects from quite a few shows: UFC TUF 7, KOTC Canada, Shooto Disco 5, RAW Combat, SportFight 23, Banner Promotions, etc.
  • Effects from some older shows/bouts added.

This is a pretty big update, affecting just about every division!  A few minor shows were missed because the results were not available when I ran the latest update (Invincible, Phoenix Fight, GCM, FX3)

Top Ten Welterweights outside of UFC

Posted on June 21, 2008 by Oleg

Last week, I examined the top contenders of the UFC’s Welterweight Division. Now, let’s look at the ten highest-ranked welterweights currently competing in other MMA organizations. The first two names on this list, WEC welterweight champion Carlos Condit and his uncrowned Elite XC counterpart Jake Shields, are in a virtual tie – with Condit ahead by mere fractions of a percent due to more recent activity. Both men demonstrated the ability to perform at a very high level, and either could potentialy be ranked in the top five, however with all remaining top ten fighters locked into UFC contracts, Shields and Condit are held back by not being able to fight competitors at or above their level.

The remainder of this list is comprised of veterans who’ve been around the block many times, never quite reaching the top of their weightclass but ready to give any top contender a tough matchup. Several hold championship titles in smaller promotions, and most are familiar faces to American fans, having appeared in the UFC, IFL, and the now defunct BodogFIGHT league. Keep Reading

Fightmatrix.com recognized by NABC

Posted on June 20, 2008 by Oleg

Fightmatrix.com MMA rankings are now officially recognized by the North American Boxing Council (http://nabc.net/) 

A word from the NABC President:

The NABC was the first boxing organization to sanction a MMA title fight when Jessie Chilton defeated Eddie Sanchez at Legends of Fighting 8 in Indianapolis to win the NABC 185lb MMA championship. NABC mixed martial arts championship matches have also been held by California Xtreme Fighting and have been televised on the HDNet cable channel and on Cage Fury Fighting Championships pay per view broadcasts.

The NABC has never charged MMA promoters or fighters for sanctioning title matchs. Our revenue model is based on sponsorships which allows us to bring greater exposure to fighters at no cost to them.

Your creation of an unbiased computerized MMA ratings system which isn’t influenced by promotions or broadcasters is another step to provide exposure to fighters at no cost to them and I’ll help pass the word along that it should be recognized as an official ranking.

Best Regards,
Ed Hutchison
President, NABC

Thanks Mr. Hutchison & NABC!

MMA Rankings Updated: 6/15/08

Posted on June 16, 2008 by Jason

Notable Info

  • Effects from EliteXC, Adrenaline 1, and DREAM 4.

Elite XC ‘Return of the King’ Review

Posted on June 14, 2008 by Oleg

Two weeks after their abysmal CBS debut, Elite XC returned with another card – this one broadcast on Showtime.  The event featured the first defense of the Elite XC’s newly minted 160 lbs title, with champion KJ Noons taking on the challenger Yves Edwards.  Other UFC and Pride FC veterans making an appearance on this card were Murilo ‘Ninja’ Rua, Nick Diaz, and Ron Waterman.  The commentary was provided by Mauro Ranallo and Stephen Quadros, as well as former pro-wrestler Bill Goldberg.

Keep Reading

UFC’s Welterweight Division

Posted on June 13, 2008 by Oleg

In the past week, a major change of guard occurred in the UFC’s storied welterweight division, as the long time former champion Matt Hughes was dismantled and knocked out by Thiago ‘Pitbull’ Alves. With Alves establishing himself as the top contender to the winner of the upcoming title bout between the seemingly unstoppable champion Georges St. Pierre and the challenger Jon Fitch (currently on a record-tying eight win streak in the UFC), it’s a good time to take a step back and look at the current state of the 170 lbs weight class.

Between stars like St. Pierre, veterans such as Hughes & Matt Serra, top contenders like Alves and Fitch, and newcomers such as Dan Hardy & David Baron, UFC has a tight lock on the welterweight division. According to the latest Fightmatrix.com ranking, all of the Top 5, 8 of the Top 10, and 14 of the Top 20 welterweights in the world are currently under UFC contract. The division is so deep that there are over 30 ranked welterweights competing in the UFC today! Here’s a look at the top echelon of the 170 division:

The Champion: [#1] Georges St. Pierre

MMA Record: 16-2 (10-2 UFC)

Last bout: Defeated Matt Serra by TKO at UFC 83

Next bout: A title defense against Jon Fitch at UFC 87

The Canadian superstar has come a long way since earning a decision victory over Karo Parisyan in his Octagon debut. After losing his first title shot to then-champion Matt Hughes, St.Pierre steamrolled his opponents, stopping most in the first or second round. Georges finally received another shot at Hughes, and stopped him in the second round to win his first UFC title. He suffered a setback with an upset loss to Matt Serra in the following bout, but avenged his loss and regained the belt in UFC 83 (the first UFC event held in Canada). St. Pierre will look toward making his first title defense when he takes on Jon Fitch at UFC 87.

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