Can The Eagle Soar To A Title At UFC 223?

“UFC Undisputed 2010” by Peiyu Liu (CC BY-NC 2.0)
When Khabib “The Eagle” Nurmagomedov takes on Tony Ferguson at UFC 223, their de facto world lightweight title fight will be between two fighters with one combined loss in UFC. With so much on the line, can Nurmagomedov keep his perfect record intact and earn a first UFC championship? Or will Tony Ferguson cash in and turn his interim championship into a real championship?
This fight between Nurmagomedov and Ferguson will be a battle of contrasting styles, thanks to Ferguson’s history of wins via submission and Khabib’s history of winning by knockout or decision. The Russian tends to control fights, waiting for his opponent to wear down to allow him to land the ideal combination to score a finish. If that opportunity doesn’t present itself, he is more than content to win by decision. Ferguson, meanwhile, takes the fight straight to his opponent, getting them out of their comfort zones to score submission wins.
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UFC: Seven under 30
Did you think based on the title that this article would be about seven hot UFC prospects under 30 years of age? Nope. I am talking about the seven fighters with 27 or more UFC fights to their name – guys who are within three fights of reaching the record of 30 official bouts in the UFC Octagon. So who will be the first to achieve this record? Here’s the list of candidates, in the order of probability (in my opinion of course).
But first, a few notes:
- While for most purposes we ignore No Contests (i.e. treat them as if the fight never happened), for the purpose of this record they are considered as valid fights. Once the Octagon doors close and the referee signals the start of action, it’s a fight – no matter if it’s eventually ruled a No Contest. This gives a one-up to Jim Miller and Gleison Tibau (questionably – more on that later).
- ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ house fights – generally termed “pro-exhibition bouts” are not counted. If they were included, TUF alumni Diego Sanchez and Michael Bisping would have three and two additional fights each, respectively.
- Though Tito Ortiz and Frank Mir both have 27 UFC bouts, they are not included in this list as the probability of either fighting in the UFC again – let alone three more times – is infinitesimally small.
- The ‘Average Fights Per Year’ calculation does not include any fights which took place in 2018. The year of fighter’s UFC debut is included in the calculation only if the fighter fought two or more times in their first calendar year; any fights in other promotions in the same year but prior to the fighter’s UFC debut are not inocluded.
That said, here’s our magnificent seven:
[#7 MW] Michael Bisping
Age: 38
UFC Fights: 29
UFC Debut: Jun 24, 2006
Current Streak: L-2
Average Fights Per Year: 2.41
While the current record holder for most fights in the UFC will never be in consideration for one of the ‘GOATs’, he is guaranteed a future spot in the UFC Hall of Fame, and his accomplishments in this sport cannot be denied. For most of his UFC career, ‘The Count’ scrapped with the elite fighters in his weight class, but was never quite able to cross that threshold himself – he was good but not great, and seemingly always lost the fights that mattered the most. After a period between 2012 and 2014 where Bisping alternated wins and losses, he has had a late career resurgence, winning five straight in a streak that included capturing and defending the middleweight title, as well as scoring a decision victory over the former 185 lbs king Anderson Silva, and avenging two of his three stoppage losses at the time.
A victory over Georges St. Pierre would have been the crowning feather in Bisping’s countly headgear. Alas it was not meant to be, as Bisping was chocked unconscious in the third round, losing the middleweight title which GSP then promptly relinquished. Motivated by the loss, Bisping decided to get back in the cage as soon as possible, taking on the rising prospect Kelvin Gastelum a mere three weeks after the GSP fight. This proved to be disastrous for The Count, who suffered a brutal knockout loss in the very first round. It might have been the perfect opportunity for him to retire, but not many athletes can admit that it’s time to walk away from the sport they love – especially coming off a bad loss. Bisping has mulled retirement since then, but all signs point to him fighting at least one more time. More than a few middleweights threw their name in the hat to play the role of Michael’s final opponent, and it seems that Luke Rockhold trilogy is the matchup that interests Bisping the most. Should this fight happen some time in the near future, Bisping will almost certainly become the first UFC fighter to step into the Octagon for the 30th time.

Project Spearhead, the newest “Fighter Association/Union” to pop up, shows a clear plan to better fighters
So here’s a bit of the the backstory, at the 2017 UFC Athlete Retreat the UFC had brought out special guest speakers to give their own little “Ted Talks”. One of those guests was Kobe Bryant of the Los Angeles Lakers, and one of the UFC athletes to attend was Leslie Smith (currently 2 fight win streak since fighting Cris Cyborg, exploded ear, 5 FOTN bonuses – 4 in Invicta – 1 in UFC). And Leslie Smith asked him about Unions.
What They Are Fighting For whether or not they unionize:
“The UFC can choose to either pay into our needs and respect us as employees with a say in all decisions affecting us.”
or
“Treat us like the independent contractors that we are being called and lighten up with the USADA supervision, uniforms and restrictions.”
“We need to have either the autonomy of being independent contractors like the UFC claims we are or we need to get benefits and a seat at the table as employees since the UFC treats us like employees.” – http://www.projectspearhead.com/
All this can be found on their website neatly under the “Why Associations” tab.
Next, is the process, which is also concisely explained and outlined on the website for Smith’s fellow fighters.
Fight Matrix Program: UFC 222 (03-03-2018)
Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#2P4P] Cristiane Justino (19-1-0, -1663) vs. [#14BW] Yana Kunitskaya (10-3-0, +927)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #2 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2017-12-30: W vs. [#4FW] Holly Holm (11-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#5BW] Tonya Evinger (19-6-0) via TKO in 1:56 of round 3
2016-09-24: W vs. [#18BW] Lina Lansberg (7-3-0) via TKO in 2:29 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Yana Kunitskaya (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2017-08-31: W vs. [#28BW] Raquel Paaluhi (6-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-03-25: L vs. [#5BW] Tonya Evinger (19-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 2
2016-11-18: NC vs. [#5BW] Tonya Evinger (19-6-0)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 63, Yana Kunitskaya 184
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cristiane Justino leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#3] Frankie Edgar (22-5-1, -174) vs. [#5] Brian Ortega (13-0-0, +145)
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #10 ranked Featherweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #34 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (2-1-0)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#35FW] Yair Rodriguez (10-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2016-11-12: W vs. [#4FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-14-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#2FW] Jose Aldo (26-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#13FW] Cub Swanson (25-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#16FW] Renato Carneiro (11-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3
2016-06-04: W vs. [#25LW] Clay Guida (34-17-0) via TKO in 4:40 of round 3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frankie Edgar 294, Brian Ortega 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#47] Andre Soukhamthath (12-5-0, -129) vs. [#79] Sean OMalley (9-0-0, +105)
Last 3 Fights: Andre Soukhamthath (1-2-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#73BW] Luke Sanders (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2017-08-05: L vs. [#20BW] Alejandro Perez (19-6-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-04: L vs. [#129BW] Albert Morales (6-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#132BW] Terrion Ware (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-18: W vs. [#348BW] Alfred Khashakyan (8-4-0) via TKO in 4:14 of round 1
2017-05-05: W vs. [#552BW] David Nuzzo (9-2-0) via KO (Wheel Kick) in 2:15 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Soukhamthath 84, Sean OMalley 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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FightMatrix Program: UFC on FOX 28 (02-24-2018)
Featherweight (145)
[#5] Josh Emmett (13-1-0, +134) vs. [#8] Jeremy Stephens (27-14-0, -162)
Jeremy Stephens is the All-Time #21 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#9FW] Ricardo Lamas (18-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:33 of round 1
2017-10-21: W vs. [#161FW] Felipe Arantes (18-9-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-25)
2017-04-08: L vs. [#63LW] Desmond Green (20-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (2-1-0)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#34FW] Doo Ho Choi (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:36 of round 2
2017-09-09: W vs. [#42FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-7-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2017-04-15: L vs. [#16FW] Renato Carneiro (11-1-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 70, Jeremy Stephens 41
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#3/#6DD/#6P4P] Jessica Andrade (17-6-0, -308) vs. [#9] Tecia Torres (10-1-0, +243)
Jessica Andrade is the All-Time #44 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jessica Andrade (2-1-0)
2017-09-22: W vs. [#5SW] Claudia Gadelha (15-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#4P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (14-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-45)
2017-02-04: W vs. [#16SW] Angela Hill (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#27SW] Michelle Waterson (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#37SW] Juliana Lima (9-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:53 of round 2
2017-02-04: W vs. [#69FLY] Bec Rawlings (7-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jessica Andrade 155, Tecia Torres 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Ovince St. Preux (22-10-0, -121) vs. [#12] Ilir Latifi (13-5-0, -103)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #41 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (3-0-0)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#19LHW] Corey Anderson (9-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:25 of round 3
2017-09-22: W vs. [#54WW] Yushin Okami (34-11-0) via Technical Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 1:50 of round 1
2017-04-22: W vs. [#47LHW] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (15-5-1) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:11 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (2-1-0)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#29LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-09-03: L vs. [#3LHW] Ryan Bader (24-5-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:06 of round 2
2016-03-05: W vs. [#30LHW] Gian Villante (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 112, Ilir Latifi 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 126: Cerrone/Medeiros (02-18-2018)
Welterweight (170)
[#14] Yancy Medeiros (15-4-0, +127) vs. [#16] Donald Cerrone (32-10-0, -154)
Last 3 Fights: Yancy Medeiros (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#18WW] Alex Oliveira (17-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#84WW] Erick Silva (19-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 2
2016-09-10: W vs. [*] Sean Spencer (12-6-0) via SUB in 0:49 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (0-3-0)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#11WW] Darren Till (16-0-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1
2017-07-29: L vs. [#5WW] Robbie Lawler (28-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-01-28: L vs. [#7WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yancy Medeiros 78, Donald Cerrone 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Donald Cerrone leads 3-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Derrick Lewis (18-5-0, +121) vs. [#17] Marcin Tybura (16-3-0, -146)
Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (2-1-0)
2017-06-10: L vs. [#7HW+] Mark Hunt (13-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 4
2017-02-19: W vs. [#18HW+] Travis Browne (18-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:12 of round 2
2016-12-09: W vs. [#34HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (2-1-0)
2017-11-18: L vs. [#2HW+] Fabricio Werdum (23-7-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#20HW+] Andrei Arlovski (26-15-0) via UD (29-28, 28-27, 29-27)
2017-03-04: W vs. [#128HW+] Luis Henrique Barbosa de (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:46 of round 3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 253, Marcin Tybura 92
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#17] Francisco Trinaldo (22-5-0, +187) vs. [#20] James Vick (12-1-0, -233)
Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (2-1-0)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#25LW] Jim Miller (28-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-11: L vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (16-3-0) via SUB in 3:12 of round 2
2016-09-24: W vs. [#9LW] Paul Felder (15-3-0) via TKO in 2:25 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: James Vick (3-0-0)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#72LW] Joseph Duffy (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-05-13: W vs. [#135LW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 1
2017-02-04: W vs. [#118LW] Abel Trujillo (14-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:49 of round 3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francisco Trinaldo 113, James Vick 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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