To acknowledge the tremendous growth of women’s mixed martial arts competition and to make room for future expansions, our women’s rankings now have their own pages for each weight division.
Please visit the ranking pages at their new homes:
Combat Age: Our Latest Creation
Now visible in the fighter ranking “hover overs”, is our initial iteration of a statistic we call combat age.
For years, fans have subjectively argued about which fighters were battle-worn and have attempted to link this to the foreshadowing of the end of a fighter’s prime. With combat age, we are looking to add our objective touch to this.
At it’s most basic level, one can equate “combat age” to “dog years” in that it will mirror the basic human lifecycle. With this new computation, we expect fighters to hit their respective “peak” in the years that your typical adult “peaks” in life, somewhere between 25 and 40. We will expect most fighters to start their descent at some point in their 40s and be far removed from their peak by 60. Please keep in mind, that there will be anomalies, just like in life. These anomalies (for the most part) will be welcome. Anomalies we cannot prevent, are those that basic fight data can’t convey, such as serious career-altering injuries, non-MMA fight careers or a predisposition to not get knocked out (incredibly hard heads).
In this computation, we will be considering:
- Biological age.
- Total fights.
- Total losses.
- Stoppage losses.
- Cumulative fight time.
The included factors, as well as the weighting of said factors are subject to and may very likely change.
For a quick demo of combat age.
| Age | Combat Age | Diff | |
| Forrest Griffin | 33 | 44 | +11 |
| Wanderlei Silva | 36 | 56 | +20 |
| Georges St. Pierre | 31 | 38 | +7 |
| Andrei Arlovski | 34 | 50 | +16 |
| Anderson Silva | 38 | 44 | +6 |
Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)
| Saturday, March 14th 2026: Pancrase - 361 | |||
 [#4 SW] Yuta Miyazawa | [#9 SW] Kanji Funada | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 11/09/2025 [Pancrase] Last Opponent: [#33 SW] Tateo Iino Last 5: W W L W W | Last Fight Date: 4/27/2025 [Pancrase] Last Opponent: [#52 SW] Takafumi Ato Last 5: W W W W W | ||
| Friday, March 6th 2026: RIZIN 52 | |||
| [#5 W105] Saori Oshima | [#11 W105] Keito Oyama | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [#1 W105] Seika Izawa Last 5: W L L W L | Last Fight Date: 11/02/2025 [Rizin Fighting Federation] Last Opponent: [NR] Bo Mi Lee Last 5: L W W W W | ||
| Sunday, March 8th 2026: Deep Osaka Impact 2026 1st Round | |||
| [#7 W105] Moeri Suda | [#10 W105] Namiko Kawabata | ||
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| Last Fight Date: 9/15/2025 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#5 W105] Saori Oshima Last 5: W W W W L | Last Fight Date: 5/25/2025 [DEEP] Last Opponent: [#36 W105] Honoka Shigeta Last 5: L L L W W | ||
Featured Fighters
| [#5 LW] |  Justin Gaethje | [#1 LW] |  Ilia Topuria | |
| [#11 LW] |  Paddy Pimblett | [#2 LW] |  Arman Tsarukyan | |
| [#1 WW] |  Islam Makhachev | [#1 FW] |  Alexander Volkanovski | |
| [NR] |  Conor McGregor | [#7 LW] |  Benoit St. Denis | |
| [#8 LW] |  Dan Hooker | [#1 MW] |  Khamzat Chimaev |
Martial arts betting tips
Be it boxing or Muai Thai, fighting is loved around the world as a way for compete as well as a way for people to let out their aggression in a controlled environment. There have been professional fighters for thousands of years with evidence in every civilisation such as the Roman gladiators. In our modern times there are now televised fights that millions of people watch all around the world. Another aspect of competitive fighting is people placing bets on the fights, this has not changed either apart from how easy it is to place a bet from home while watching the fight. With the Internet you can now find reviews of games and find the best online casino at GamingClub.com, online betting sites are now rated as well and have become more and more popular because of all the information they provide as well as up to date odds on bets.
A type of competitive fighting that has grown more and more mainstream in the same way that wrestling did in the 90’s is MMA or mixed martial arts. This allows people from many different fighting styles such as karate, judo, jiu-jitsu, boxing, kickboxing, wrestling and other techniques to fight against each other. This is a great way to see how many of these ancient martial arts hold up to real fighting as most people who practice them never really have to use them in real life. It is also great for people who just enjoy fighting as a sport as each fight is different from the last. This can make placing a bet on who will come out on top much harder however as there are many more variables to think about. But if you can’t quite pick then you could always put money on how you think the fight will end, for example with a knock out. Either way the fights will always be entertaining to watch and enjoy.
UFC 159 / Odds vs. Ratings (04-27-2013)
This is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds. Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary fighter rating that is focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.
With that said, there are some caveats to using the rating vs. odds comparison straight-up — the “Gotcha” list:
- System inability to project the exact effects of a recent divisional change.
- System inability to project the exact effects of recent inactivity or short-notice.
- Poor matchmaking / limited careers / “changing of the guard”.
- Notable home advantage.
- System inability to project style differences.
- System inability to factor in bad judging or overturned decisions.
But this stuff (especially #5) is pretty much common sense. We try to partially factor in #1-#3 when we compute the ratings, but #5 and #6 is something that the human can factor in, that the system can’t. For the sake of these articles, we’ll attempt to factor in #4 when relevant. Home advantage can have a slight effect, but likely not enough to sway the “I’d bet on” decision.
Experienced gamblers know that it’s not about being right the most, it’s about making the most money. So in the usual table, I’ll add the “I’d bet on” column and analyze the rating/odds gap plus points #1-4 that I listed above. I’ll leave #5 and #6 to the fully subjective analyses — of which I’m sure there will be plenty.
The gotchas aren’t necessarily comprehensive, but I have noted them as I come across them and when they are considered in the decision.
Having said all that, let’s get started:
| Fight | Odds Favorite | Rating Favorite | I’d bet on | “Gotchas” |
| Siler vs. Holobaugh | Siler (-129 / Very Small) | Siler (1.57x / Moderate) | PASS | #1 |
| Head vs. Catone | Head (-157 / Small) | Head (4.98x / Massive) | Head | |
| Garcia vs. McKenzie | Garcia (-175 / Small) | Garcia (1.03x / Pick ‘Em) | McKenzie | |
| Khabilov vs. Medeiros | Khabilov (-308 / Large) | Khabilov (2.24x / Large) | PASS | |
| McMann vs. Gaff | McMann (-702 / Very Large) | McMann (1.78x / Moderate) | PASS | #1, #3 |
| St. Preux vs. Villante | St. Preux (-194 / Moderate) | St. Preux (1.25x / Very Small) | Villante | |
| Caraway vs. Bedford | Bedford (-148 / Small) | Caraway (1.12x / Very Small) | PASS | #2 |
| Miller vs. Healy | Miller (-323 / Large) | Miller (1.05x / Pick ‘Em) | Healy | |
| Davis vs. Magalhaes | Davis (-329 / Large) | Davis (1.87x / Large) | PASS | |
| Nelson vs. Kongo | Nelson (-239 / Moderate) | Nelson (1.32x / Small) | Kongo | |
| Belcher vs. Bisping | Bisping (-171 / Small) | Bisping (1.16x / Very Small) | Belcher | |
| Jones vs. Sonnen | Jones (-909 / Very Large) | Jones (3.68x / Massive) | Jones | #1 |
The PASS suggests that the odds and ratings difference are nearly identical and/or there are too many gotchas, so neither fighter is a good bet.
Favorites to consider: Head, Jones
Underdogs to consider:
- Villante over St. Preux – Villante has been successful since his drop to 205. A small bet may be warranted..
- McKenzie over Garcia – The mere fact that Garcia is involved makes me leery to even make note of this bout. Tread carefully.
- Belcher over Bisping – The fringe contenders at Middleweight are constantly bouncing around due to the congestion and matchmaking. Still, Belcher seems to be an OK bet.
- Healy over Miller – The system continues its somewhat odd Lightweight love affair with Healy, after breaking up with Brian Cobb. Will this love stand the test?
- Kongo over Nelson – Due to the stylistic difference which I do not consider in these posts, another potential bet that is clouded with subjective doubt.
Fightmatrix Program: UFC 159 (04-27-2013)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#5DD] Jon Jones (17-1-0, -866) vs. [#3MW] Chael Sonnen (27-12-1, +599)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #3 ranked Light Heavyweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2012-09-22: W vs. [#2MW] Vitor Belfort (22-10-0) via Submission (Keylock) in 0:54 of round 4
2012-04-21: W vs. [#6LHW] Rashad Evans (22-3-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2011-12-10: W vs. [#2LHW] Lyoto Machida (19-3-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:26 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Chael Sonnen (2-1-0)
2012-07-07: L vs. [#1MW/#1DD] Anderson Silva (33-4-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 1:55 of round 2
2012-01-28: W vs. [#11MW] Michael Bisping (23-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-10-08: W vs. [#18MW] Brian Stann (12-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:51 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 217, Chael Sonnen 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#11] Michael Bisping (23-5-0, -167) vs. [#17] Alan Belcher (18-7-0, +141)
Michael Bisping is the All-Time #19 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Michael Bisping (1-2-0)
2013-01-19: L vs. [#2MW] Vitor Belfort (22-10-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:27 of round 2
2012-09-22: W vs. [#18MW] Brian Stann (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-01-28: L vs. [#3MW] Chael Sonnen (27-12-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Alan Belcher (2-1-0)
2012-12-29: L vs. [#6MW] Yushin Okami (29-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2012-05-05: W vs. [#27MW] Rousimar Palhares (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:18 of round 1
2011-09-17: W vs. [*] Jason MacDonald (25-16-0) via Submission (Punches) in 3:48 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Bisping 98, Alan Belcher 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Bisping leads 3-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#12] Roy Nelson (18-7-0, -233) vs. [#16] Cheick Kongo (18-7-2, +190)
Last 3 Fights: Roy Nelson (2-1-0)
2012-12-15: W vs. [#31HW+] Matt Mitrione (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2012-05-26: W vs. [#63HW+] Dave Herman (21-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2012-02-04: L vs. [#5HW+] Fabricio Werdum (16-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Cheick Kongo (2-1-0)
2012-07-21: W vs. [#27HW+] Shawn Jordan (14-4-0) via UD (30-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-02-26: L vs. [#8HW+] Mark Hunt (9-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2011-10-29: W vs. [#31HW+] Matt Mitrione (6-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-28)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roy Nelson 133, Cheick Kongo 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Keep Reading
Gambling Analysis: UFC 159
It has been about 7 months since we made a bet in the “Gambling Analysis” series, so I thought it was a good time to pull it out of retirement. Although similar to the “Ratings vs. Odds” series, in this post we use the ratings more as a supporting factor rather than a guiding factor.
I am usually against betting on huge favorites, but I don’t think you can go wrong on Jones @ -857 (the current meta-average). He projects at somewhere around -1100 and I can see Sonnen plodding around the octagon, until he gets stopped late in the 2nd with a barrage of strikes. There is a chance that the return to 205 makes Sonnen a better fighter, but I just don’t see him being able to take Jones out.
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For a reference, here are the details for our past picks:
- UFC 128 – Jon Jones vs Mauricio ‘Shogun’ Rua: Jones @ -210
- Predicted Outcome: TKO (Rd 2/3) | Actual: TKO (Rd 3)
- UFC 129 – Georges St. Pierre vs Jake Shields: St. Pierre @ -450
- Predicted Outcome: Wide Unanimous Decision | Actual: Unanimous Decision
- UFC 129 – Lyoto Machida vs Randy Couture: Machida @ -350
- No Outcome Predicted
- UFC 130 – Frank Mir vs Roy Nelson: Mir @ -125
- Predicted Outcome: Split Decision | Actual: Unanimous Decision
- StrikeForce – Chad Griggs vs Valentijn Overeem: Griggs @ -110
- Predicted Outcome: TKO | Actual: TKO
- StrikeForce – Justin Wilcox vs Gesias Calvancante: Wilcox @ +130
- No Contest
- UFC on FX – Jim Miller vs Melvin Guillard: Miller @ -213
- Predicted Outcome: Submission (Rd 2) | Actual: Submission (Rd 1)
- UFC on Fuel TV – Stefan Struve vs Dave Herman: Herman @ -140
- Predicted Outcome: KO/TKO (Rd 1) | Actual: TKO (Rd 2)
- UFC on Fuel TV 2 – Alexander Gustaffson vs Thiago Silva: Gustaffson @ -225
- No Outcome Predicted
- Strikeforce GP Final – Daniel Cormier vs. Josh Barnett: Cormier @ -105
- Predicted Outcome: KO/TKO (Rd 3) | Actual: Unanimous Decision
- UFC 152 – Joseph Benavidez vs. Demetrious Johnson: Benavidez @ -290
- Predicted Outcome: TKO (Rd 3) | Actual: Split Decision Loss
- UFC 159 – Jon Jones vs. Chael Sonnen: Jones @ -857
- Predicted Outcome: TKO (Rd 2) | Actual:
If you had bet $100 on each one of the winners at the odds listed above, you would have made a profit of: $255.95. If you heeded our advice on going “big” for certain match-ups (Machida/Couture), you’d likely have more profit. We’re also doing pretty good on the specific outcome plays, but availability of these are not as prominent as they are in boxing betting, so we don’t count them.
Keep in mind that the above is for “entertainment purposes only”.
UFC on Fox / Odds vs. Ratings (04-20-2013)
This is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds. Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary fighter rating that is focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.
With that said, there are some caveats to using the rating vs. odds comparison straight-up — the “Gotcha” list:
- System inability to project the exact effects of a recent divisional change.
- System inability to project the exact effects of recent inactivity.
- Poor matchmaking / limited careers / “changing of the guard”.
- Notable home advantage.
- System inability to project style differences.
- System inability to factor in bad judging or overturned decisions.
But this stuff (especially #5) is pretty much common sense. We try to partially factor in #1-#3 when we compute the ratings, but #5 and #6 is something that the human can factor in, that the system can’t. For the sake of these articles, we’ll attempt to factor in #4 when relevant. Home advantage can have a slight effect, but likely not enough to sway the “I’d bet on” decision.
Experienced gamblers know that it’s not about being right the most, it’s about making the most money. So in the usual table, I’ll add the “I’d bet on” column and analyze the rating/odds gap plus points #1-4 that I listed above.I’ll leave #5 and #6 to the fully subjective analyses (except for when Leonard Garcia is involved for #6) — of which I’m sure there will be plenty.
The gotchas aren’t necessarily comprehensive, but I have noted them as I come across them and when they are considered in the decision.
Having said all that, let’s get started:
| Fight | Odds Favorite | Rating Favorite | I’d bet on | “Gotchas” |
| Romero Palacio vs. Starks | Romero Palacio (-154 / Small) | Starks (1.90x / Large) | PASS | #2, #3 |
| Bowling vs. Njokuani | Njokuani (-169 / Small) | Njokuani (1.10x / Pick ‘Em) | PASS | #1, #3 |
| Dillashaw vs. Viana | Dillashaw (-382 / Large) | Dillashaw (1.16x / Very Small) | Viana | #3 |
| Masvidal vs. Means | Masvidal (-148 / Small) | Masvidal (1.23x / Very Small) | PASS | |
| Benavidez vs. Uyenoyama | Benavidez (-540 / Very Large) | Benavidez (2.86x / Very Large) | PASS | |
| Jury vs. Nijem | Jury (-284 / Moderate) | Jury (2.11x / Large) | Jury | #3 |
| Mendes vs. Elkins | Mendes (-689 / Very Large) | Mendes (1.05x / Pick ‘Em) | Elkins | |
| Larkin vs. Carmont | Carmont (-145 / Small) | Larkin (1.28x / Small) | PASS | #6 |
| Mein vs. Brown | Mein (-350 / Large) | Mein (1.94x / Large) | PASS | |
| Diaz vs. Thomson | Diaz (-201 / Moderate) | Diaz (1.66x / Moderate) | PASS | |
| Cormier vs. Mir | Cormier (-430 / Large) | Cormier (1.24x / Very Small) | PASS | #3 |
| Henderson vs. Melendez | Henderson (-301 / Large) | Henderson (1.84x / Large) | PASS |
The PASS suggests that the odds and ratings difference are nearly identical and/or there are too many gotchas, so neither fighter is a good bet.
Favorites to consider: Jury
Underdogs to consider:
- Elkins over Mendes: I partially blame this on poor recent matchmaking for Mendes. Two squash matches did nothing for his rating. Even still, At such ridiculous odds, Elkins is worth a bet.
- Viana over Dillashaw: Viana has a real shot at winning this one. An attractive underdog bet.
FightMatrix Program: UFC on Fox (04-20-2013)
Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1/#6DD] Ben Henderson (18-2-0, -281) vs. [#2] Gilbert Melendez (21-2-0, +227)
Ben Henderson is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Gilbert Melendez is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #17 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Ben Henderson (3-0-0)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#6LW] Nate Diaz (16-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-43)
2012-08-11: W vs. [#2FW] Frankie Edgar (15-4-1) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2012-02-26: W vs. [#2FW] Frankie Edgar (15-4-1) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Melendez (3-0-0)
2012-05-19: W vs. [#16LW] Josh Thomson (19-5-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2011-12-17: W vs. [#20LW] Jorge Masvidal (23-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2011-04-09: W vs. [#8FW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (32-7-2) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:14 of round 1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Henderson 133, Gilbert Melendez 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Daniel Cormier (11-0-0, -426) vs. [#7] Frank Mir (16-6-0, +328)
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Frank Mir is the All-Time #8 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (3-0-0)
2013-01-12: W vs. [#139LHW] Dion Staring (28-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
2012-05-19: W vs. [#10HW+] Josh Barnett (32-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2011-09-10: W vs. [#3HW+] Antonio Silva (18-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:56 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Frank Mir (2-1-0)
2012-05-26: L vs. [#2HW+/#7DD] Junior dos Santos (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2011-12-10: W vs. [#9HW+] Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-7-1) via Technical Submission (Kimura) in 3:38 of round 1
2011-05-28: W vs. [#12HW+] Roy Nelson (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Cormier 98, Frank Mir 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#6] Nate Diaz (16-8-0, -201) vs. [#16] Josh Thomson (19-5-0, +166)
Nate Diaz is the All-Time #23 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Nate Diaz (2-1-0)
2012-12-08: L vs. [#1LW/#6DD] Ben Henderson (18-2-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-43)
2012-05-05: W vs. [#11LW] Jim Miller (22-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:09 of round 2
2011-12-30: W vs. [#15LW] Donald Cerrone (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Josh Thomson (1-2-0)
2012-05-19: L vs. [#2LW] Gilbert Melendez (21-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2012-03-03: W vs. [#87LW] K.J. Noons (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2010-12-31: L vs. [#8FW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (32-7-2) via UD ()
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nate Diaz 133, Josh Thomson 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Josh Thomson leads 1-0
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Keep Reading
Fight Outcomes by Year: Bellator
Expanding on our “Fight Outcomes By Year” feature, we compiled the statistics for Bellator MMA:
http://www.fightmatrix.com/mma-records-stats/bellator-fight-outcomes-by-year/
Of course the all MMA fight outcomes by year and UFC fight outcomes by year stats are still available.
We’ll be adding breakdowns for more organizations and by weight class in the future.
UFC TUF 17 Finale [Non-TUF Only] / Odds vs. Ratings (04-13-2013)
This is not an attempt to suggest the rating system is more accurate than gambling odds. Gamblers can analyze each fight individually, while the rating system uses a variety of mathematical routines to supply a primary fighter rating that is focused on ranking recent achievement, with a secondary priority of gauging future expectation.
With that said, there are some caveats to using the rating vs. odds comparison straight-up — the “Gotcha” list:
- System inability to project the exact effects of a recent divisional change.
- System inability to project the exact effects of recent inactivity.
- Poor matchmaking / limited careers / “changing of the guard”.
- Notable home advantage.
- System inability to project style differences.
- System inability to factor in bad judging decisions.
But this stuff (especially #5) is pretty much common sense. We try to partially factor in #1-#3 when we compute the ratings, but #5 and #6 is something that the human can factor in, that the system can’t. For the sake of these articles, we’ll attempt to factor in #4 when relevant. Home advantage can have a slight effect, but likely not enough to sway the “I’d bet on” decision.
Experienced gamblers know that it’s not about being right the most, it’s about making the most money. So in the usual table, I’ll add the “I’d bet on” column and analyze the rating/odds gap plus points #1-4 that I listed above.I’ll leave #5 and #6 to the fully subjective analyses (except for when Leonard Garcia is involved for #6) — of which I’m sure there will be plenty.
The gotchas aren’t necessarily comprehensive, but I have noted them as I come across them and when they are considered in the decision.
Having said all that, let’s get started:
Ratings vs. Odds
| Fight | Odds Favorite | Rating Favorite | I’d bet on | “Gotchas” |
| Lawrence vs. Pineda | Pineda (-117 / Pick ‘Em) | Pineda (2.11x / Large) | Pineda | |
| Sicilia vs. Blanco | Blanco (-160 / Small) | Blanco (1.24x / Very Small) | PASS | #1 |
| Miller vs. Palaszewski | Palaszewski (-170 / Small) | Palaszewski (2.11x / Large) | Palaszewski | |
| Hester vs. Marunde | Hester (-161 / Small) | Marunde (2.02x / Large) | Marunde | |
| Browne vs. Gonzaga | Browne (-258 / Moderate) | Gonzaga (1.34x / Small) | Gonzaga | |
| Tate vs. Zingano | Zingano (-124 / Pick ‘Em) | Tate (1.57x / Moderate) | PASS | #3 |
| Faber vs. Jorgensen | Faber (-464 / Large) | Faber (2.29x / Large) | PASS |
The PASS suggests that the odds and ratings difference are nearly identical and/or there are too many gotchas, so neither fighter is a good bet.
Favorites to consider: Pineda, Palaszewski
Underdogs to consider: Marunde, Gonzaga
New Feature: Fight Outcomes By Year
A couple of years ago, we published a compilation of all UFC fight outcomes by year, from 1993 to 2010.
By popular request, we decided to make this a permanent feature. We created a page for UFC statistics, and another one for all MMA fights in our database. There are also some statistics on fight outcome percentages, and a breakdown of different decision types. So read on:
All MMA Fight Outcomes By Year
Thanks to Underground Forum (UG) members crazychris & D241 for the suggestion!
FightMatrix Program: TUF 17 Finale (04-13-2013)
Bantamweight (135)
[#4] Urijah Faber (27-6-0, -458) vs. [#27] Scott Jorgensen (14-6-0, +354)
Urijah Faber is the All-Time #11 ranked Bantamweight and #10 ranked Absolute fighter.
Scott Jorgensen is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Urijah Faber (2-1-0)
2013-02-23: W vs. [#59BW] Ivan Menjivar (25-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:34 of round 1
2012-07-21: L vs. [#1BW] Renan Barao (30-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2011-11-19: W vs. [*] Brian Bowles (10-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:27 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Scott Jorgensen (1-2-0)
2012-12-08: W vs. [#211BW] John Albert (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2012-06-08: L vs. [#6BW] Eddie Wineland (20-8-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 2
2012-02-04: L vs. [#1BW] Renan Barao (30-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Urijah Faber 49, Scott Jorgensen 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Urijah Faber leads 4-2
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Middleweight (185)
[#152] Uriah Hall (7-2-0, -357) vs. [NA] Kelvin Gastelum (5-0-0, +278)
Last 3 Fights: Uriah Hall (3-0-0)
2012-06-15: W vs. [#509MW] Nodar Kuduxashvili (5-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2012-02-10: W vs. [#661MW] Daniel Akinyemi (3-1-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 3:58 of round 1
2011-04-08: W vs. [#217MW] Aung La Nsang (13-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:37 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (3-0-0)
2012-07-20: W vs. [NA] Mike Ashford (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2012-07-07: W vs. [#778MW] Bill Smallwood (1-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:55 of round 1
2011-10-22: W vs. [NA] Mike Gentile (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uriah Hall 302, Kelvin Gastelum 267
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#2/#10DD] Miesha Tate (13-3-0, -102) vs. [#6] Cat Zingano (7-0-0, -125)
Miesha Tate is the All-Time #10 ranked Women’s fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Miesha Tate (2-1-0)
2012-08-18: W vs. [#17BW] Julie Kedzie (16-11-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:28 of round 3
2012-03-03: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD] Ronda Rousey (7-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:27 of round 1
2011-07-30: W vs. [#1FW/#2DD] Marloes Coenen (21-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:03 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (3-0-0)
2012-10-06: W vs. [#24BW] Raquel Pennington (3-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:32 of round 2
2011-05-14: W vs. [#10FLY] Takayo Hashi (14-4-0) via KO (Slam) in 4:42 of round 3
2010-12-10: W vs. [#22FLY] Carina Damm (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:37 of round 2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Miesha Tate 238, Cat Zingano 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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