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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program: UFC 189 (07-11-2015)

Posted on July 6, 2015 by Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#4] Chad Mendes (17-2-0, +129) vs. [#6] Conor McGregor (17-2-0, -153)
Chad Mendes is the All-Time #6 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Chad Mendes (2-1-0)
2015-04-04: W vs. [#8FW] Ricardo Lamas (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2014-10-25: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#3P4P] Jose Aldo (25-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2013-12-14: W vs. [#15FW] Nik Lentz (25-7-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Conor McGregor (3-0-0)
2015-01-18: W vs. [#31FW] Dennis Siver (22-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2014-09-27: W vs. [#24LW] Dustin Poirier (18-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:46 of round 1
2014-07-19: W vs. [#41FW] Diego Brandao (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chad Mendes 98, Conor McGregor 174
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#9DD/#8P4P] Robbie Lawler (25-10-0, +156) vs. [#3/#10P4P] Rory MacDonald (18-2-0, -186)
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Rory MacDonald is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (3-0-0)
2014-12-06: W vs. [#2WW/#9P4P] Johny Hendricks (17-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 49-46)
2014-07-26: W vs. [#11WW] Matt Brown (19-13-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2014-05-24: W vs. [#15WW] Jake Ellenberger (30-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:06 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rory MacDonald (3-0-0)
2014-10-04: W vs. [#19WW] Tarec Saffiedine (15-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 3
2014-06-14: W vs. [#4WW] Tyron Woodley (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-02-22: W vs. [#8WW] Demian Maia (20-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robbie Lawler 217, Rory MacDonald 280
Previous Match-up Record: Robbie Lawler leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#14] Dennis Bermudez (14-4-0, -208) vs. [#17] Jeremy Stephens (23-11-0, +171)

Last 3 Fights: Dennis Bermudez (2-1-0)
2014-11-15: L vs. [#8FW] Ricardo Lamas (15-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:18 of round 1
2014-07-26: W vs. [#10FW] Clay Guida (32-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 2
2014-03-15: W vs. [#142FW] Jim Hettes (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 2:57 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Jeremy Stephens (1-2-0)
2014-12-12: L vs. [#7FW] Charles Oliveira (20-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2014-06-28: L vs. [#9FW] Cub Swanson (21-7-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2014-01-25: W vs. [#24FW] Darren Elkins (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dennis Bermudez 238, Jeremy Stephens 211
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (07-05-2015)

Posted on July 5, 2015 by Jason

Things You Might Otherwise Miss

Our Recently Active page is good for these obscure tidbits, but just to name a few..

  • We assessed our semi-annual population adjustment for the Japanese.  This explains many of the seemingly unexplained rating drops for fighters that don’t leave Japan.  Only men were adjusted as we just don’t have enough data for women.
  • We also updated our All-Time MMA Rankings too.  This is the 2nd week in a row that I’ve mentioned Miguel Torres, because in this update, he finally lost his #1 Bantamweight position as the current populous is simply catching up.
  • Speaking of Japan, a strange fight took place in Pancrase.  Our #1 Strawweight Mitsuhisa Sunabe faced off against then-ranked #401 Lightweight Takafumi Ito in an “open weight” bout.  What’s even stranger is that the 5’8″ Sunabe, weighed in at 121.7lb, which is only about 2-2.5 pounds above what he normally weighs in at.  Ito weighed in at 159.6lb, but the 37.9 pound weight advantage did not help him, as Sunabe tapped him out in the 3rd round.

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, August 22nd 2026: Professional Fighters League PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs. Vieira
 [#1 W145] Cristiane Justino [#4 W135] Ketlen Vieira
Last Fight Date: 12/13/2025 [PFL]
Last Opponent: [#2 W145] Sara Collins
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 5/16/2026 [UFC]
Last Opponent: [#10 W135] Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Last 5: W L W L W
Saturday, July 18th 2026: RIZIN LANDMARK 15 in HIROSHIMA
 [#3 W105] Si Woo Park [#7 W105] Moeri Suda
Last Fight Date: 11/23/2025 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#34 W105] Saki Kitamura
Last 5: W W W L W
Last Fight Date: 3/07/2026 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#16 W105] Namiko Kawabata
Last 5: W W W L W
Saturday, July 18th 2026: RIZIN LANDMARK 15 in HIROSHIMA
 [#5 W105] Saori Oshima [#13 W105] Ye Ji Lee
Last Fight Date: 3/07/2026 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#11 W105] Keito Oyama
Last 5: L L W L W
Last Fight Date: 5/24/2026 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [#32 W105] Eru Takebayashi
Last 5: W L W L W
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Featured Fighters

[#77 BW]  Aleksandre Topuria [#2 MW]  Khamzat Chimaev
[NR]  Conor McGregor [#1 WW]  Islam Makhachev
[#25 MW]  Sharabutdin Magomedov [#1 LW]  Justin Gaethje
[NR]  Dustin Poirier [#41 LHW]  Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
[#2 LW]  Ilia Topuria [#26 MW]  Brunno Ferreira
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-28-2015)

Posted on June 28, 2015 by Jason

Things You Might Otherwise Miss

Our Recently Active page is good for these obscure tidbits, but just to name a few..

  • Miguel Torres fought and lost to unheralded Kleber Koike Erbst, who was rated comfortably ahead of Torres before the fight.  Torres was scheduled to fight Will Chope in a semi-final bout of a Featherweight tournament, but when Chope missed weight, Torres refused to take the fight and instead was moved into the finals.  This gives our All-Time #1 #2 Bantamweight his 9th loss and certainly enough motivation to call it quits.  How the mighty have fallen….
  • Former UFC fighter, 40 year old Kalib Starnes fought and lost on Saturday.  Loss #10 for him.  On the same card, Rodney Wallace, one of the best fighters ever to go winless in 3 or more UFC fights, won.
  • Celine Haga, again becomes the ranked fighter with (arguably) the worst record as she re-enters the Atomweight rankings.  Though her career record is 7-13, she is 6-2 in her last eight fights with one of those losses being a split decision.
  • Anyone notice Luis Rafael Laurentino and his 30-0-0 record?
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Bang for Your Buck: UFC Fight Night 70

Posted on June 25, 2015 by Oleg

UFC Fight Night 70: Machida vs Romero was originally supposed to take place in Brazil, as the finale of ‘The Ultimate Fighter Brazil’ Season 4.  For reasons unknown to me, the event was moved to US some weeks back, and a number of Brazilian fighters scheduled to fight were not able to secure their travel visas in time.   This really played havoc on the fight card – besides losing the ‘TUF’ finalists, the scheduled co-main event between Rick Story and Eric Silva has also been postponed, among with some other changes to the line up.  Fortunately, the main event of Lyoto Machida vs Yoel Romero remained intact, saving the card from being a total dud.

Main Card (Fox Sports 1)

Main Event: [#4 MW] Lyoto Machida  vs  [#9 MW] Yoel Romero

Worth: $20

Why: This is a great fight, with significant implications for both opponents as well as the divisional picture.  The 38-year-old former Olympian, Yoel ‘Soldier of God’ Romero rose quickly through the middleweight rankings after his UFC debut.  He has won all five of his UFC bouts, most recent being a somewhat controversial TKO victory over Tim Kennedy.  Besides his world-class wrestling credentials, Romero has very fluid striking and immense stopping power and generally prefers to keep the fight standing, which resulted in all but one of his wins ending in a T/KO.  Romero was twice slated to face off with Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza, but the fight fell through both times due to injuries.  He now takes on a very different breed of beast in Lyoto Machida, and a win here will put him very close to a shot at the title.

Former UFC light heavyweight champion Lyoto Machida, though a year younger than his opponent, has had a much longer MMA career, and the wear and tear of it may be starting to take a toll on his body. Though he’s been fairly successful since dropping down to 185 lbs, Machida is 6-6 overall since suffering the first loss of his career in a rematch for the 205 lbs with Mauricio ‘Shogun’ Rua.  In his latest fight, Machida was absolutely decimated by Luke Rockhold; I was very surprised by how one-side the fight was, considering that Lyoto went the distance with the champion Chris Weidman, and was even somewhat competitive against former light heavyweight champ Jon Jones.  Perhaps he just had an off night, or a bad weight cut, or was suffering from an undisclosed injury.  Or maybe Rockhold is just that good.  However there’s always the possibility that Machida is nearing the end of his run as an elite fighter.  This is the quickest turn-around between fights in Lyoto’s UFC career – he is obviously in a rush to put the Rockhold loss behind him and get back on the winning track.

Stylistically, this is a interesting bout.  Romero’s striking based game plan and often porous defense could leave him susceptible to counter strikes, which are Machida’s bread and butter.  Yoel tends to be a slow starter and we’ve seen him get rocked early in several fights, only to be saved by his concrete chin and deep gas tank.  Machida has a clear advantage in striking technique, whereas Romero  has significantly greater power in his hands.  Romero has a wrestling advantage, but mainly uses the threat of takedowns to keep his opponents guessing and as an opportunity to land a fight-ending blow.  When he does score a takedown, he rarely keeps his opponent on the mat for an extended period of time, so I don’t expect the ground game to play a significant role in this fight.  I tend to avoid making predictions, but I’ll go out on a limb here and pick Romero by a late TKO, propelling him into the Top 5 and keeping his win streak alive.

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Conor McGregor: Most Similar Career Arcs

Posted on June 24, 2015 by Jason

Since the Conor McGregor hype train is still screaming down the tracks, I thought I’d take a look at fighters with the most similar career arcs.

The methodology:

  • I used data from the Generated Historical Rankings which are recorded in quarterly snapshots.
  • I took Conor’s ranking data from his 5th appearance until current.
  • I ensured that fighters only qualified if they had at least the same amount of appearances.
  • I took the absolute value of the difference between his ranking in each appearance to other fighters’ ranking in that same appearance.  The lower the overall average, the closer the career arc.

 

Most Similar: Kyoji Horiguchi
Record At 17th Appearance: 13-1-0

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Machida/Romero (06-27-2015)

Posted on June 22, 2015 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#4] Lyoto Machida (22-6-0, 186.0lb, -187) vs. [#9] Yoel Romero (9-1-0, 186.0lb, +158)
Lyoto Machida is the All-Time #13 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Lyoto Machida (1-2-0)
2015-04-18: L vs. [#2MW] Luke Rockhold (14-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:31 of round 2
2014-12-20: W vs. [#15MW] C.B. Dollaway (15-7-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:02 of round 1
2014-07-05: L vs. [#1MW/#1DD/#2P4P] Chris Weidman (13-0-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Yoel Romero (3-0-0)
2014-09-27: W vs. [#13MW] Tim Kennedy (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2014-04-19: W vs. [#27MW] Brad Tavares (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-01-15: W vs. [#21MW] Derek Brunson (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:23 of round 3

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lyoto Machida 70, Yoel Romero 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#26] Lorenz Larkin (15-4-0, 170.5lb, -219) vs. [#36] Santiago Ponzinibbio (20-2-0, 170.5lb, +180)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (1-2-0)
2015-01-18: W vs. [#54WW] John Howard (22-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:17 of round 1
2014-08-30: L vs. [#21MW] Derek Brunson (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-05-10: L vs. [#17MW] Costas Philippou (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Santiago Ponzinibbio (2-1-0)
2015-02-22: W vs. [#96WW] Sean Strickland (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-09-13: W vs. [#245WW] Wendell de Oliveira Marqu (24-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1
2013-11-09: L vs. [#25WW] Ryan LaFlare (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lorenz Larkin 160, Santiago Ponzinibbio 125
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#55] Eddie Gordon (7-3-0, 184.5lb, +158) vs. [#104LHW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (4-1-0, 185.0lb, -188)

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Gordon (1-2-0)
2015-04-18: L vs. [#53MW] Chris Dempsey (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2014-12-06: L vs. [#30MW] Josh Samman (11-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:08 of round 2
2014-07-06: W vs. [#152WW] Dhiego Lima (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Antonio Carlos Jr. (2-1-0)
2014-12-20: L vs. [#44LHW] Patrick Cummins (7-2-0) via UD ()
2014-05-31: W vs. [#103MW] Vitor Miranda (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-10-26: W vs. [NA] Edinaldo Novaes (2-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:16 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eddie Gordon 70, Antonio Carlos Jr. 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-21-2015)

Posted on June 21, 2015 by Jason

Bang for Your Buck: UFC Fight Night 69

Posted on June 18, 2015 by Oleg

It’s been a very busy month for UFC, and so far the fights have delivered.  Fight Night 67 had a mix of exciting and boring fights, 68 was outstanding from start to finish, and last weekend’s UFC 188 Pay-Per-View, despite a very weak line-up for a PPV card, had a few fun fights in addition to the amazing main event.  Looks like all this momentum may come to a screeching halt with UFC Fight Night 69: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne.

This is the third Fight Pass exclusive event this year, and the first ever Fight Pass event to feature a title fight.  This historical event will take place in Berlin, Germany and the live broadcast will start at noon (Eastern Time) in US.  Despite featuring a title fight, this is undoubtedly the worst card that the UFC has put on this year so far, even by Fight Pass standards.   In fact it may very well be the weakest UFC card ever, or at least in the Zuffa era. So this write up is going to be quite short, as there are only 2 fights on this card that I’m even moderately interested in.  Beyond the main event and the co-main, there are very few recognizable names or meaningful fights.  Of course all the fights could turn out to be barn-burners, but based on the matchups alone, there’s nothing I would pay to watch besides the two top billed bouts.

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Fight Matrix Program: Bellator 138 (06-19-2015)

Posted on June 17, 2015 by Jason

Heavyweight (232)
[*] Kimbo Slice (4-2-0, 232.0lb, -285) vs. [*] Ken Shamrock (28-15-2, 204.4lb, +227)
Ken Shamrock is the All-Time #16 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kimbo Slice (1-2-0)
2010-05-08: L vs. [#16HW+] Matt Mitrione (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:24 of round 2
2009-12-05: W vs. [#78LHW] Houston Alexander (16-11-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2008-10-04: L vs. [*] Seth Petruzelli (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ken Shamrock (1-2-0)
2010-11-25: L vs. [*] Mike Bourke (10-16-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1
2010-10-16: W vs. [NA] Johnathan Ivey (31-54-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-07-18: L vs. [*] Pedro Rizzo (19-11-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks and Punches) in 3:33 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kimbo Slice 1868, Ken Shamrock 1667
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#4] Patricio Freire (23-2-0, 145.2lb, -281) vs. [#9] Daniel Weichel (35-8-0, 144.5lb, +227)
Patricio Freire is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Patricio Freire (3-0-0)
2015-01-16: W vs. [#13FW] Daniel Straus (22-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 4
2014-09-05: W vs. [#11FW] Pat Curran (20-7-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2013-11-15: W vs. [#39FW] Justin Wilcox (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Weichel (3-0-0)
2015-02-13: W vs. [#11FW] Pat Curran (20-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2014-05-09: W vs. [#35FW] Desmond Green (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:07 of round 2
2014-03-28: W vs. [#56FW] Matt Bessette (15-6-0) via UD ()

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricio Freire 154, Daniel Weichel 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#23] Michael Chandler (12-3-0, 155.6lb, -560) vs. [#115] Derek Campos (15-4-0, 152.5lb, +405)
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #21 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (0-3-0)
2014-11-15: L vs. [#5LW] Will Brooks (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 4
2014-05-17: L vs. [#5LW] Will Brooks (16-1-0) via SD (48-46, 48-47, 47-48)
2013-11-02: L vs. [#8LW] Eddie Alvarez (26-4-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Derek Campos (2-1-0)
2014-09-26: W vs. [#329FW] Estevan Payan (15-8-0) via TKO (Punch) in 0:31 of round 1
2014-04-18: L vs. [#53LW] Patricky Freire (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:52 of round 2
2014-03-21: W vs. [#286LW] Tim Welch (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chandler 216, Derek Campos 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Chandler leads 1-0
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Average Time In Between Fights

Posted on June 16, 2015 by Jason

Some quick stats….

For Fighters Ever: 203.2 days
For Fighters Since 1/1/2010: 222.2 days
For Fighters With Consec. Fights in UFC: 170.9 days
For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in UFC: 177.0 days
For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in UFC and at least 1 being a Title Fight: 206.0 days
For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in UFC and both being a Title Fight: 201.7 days
For Fighters Between Their 1st and 2nd Pro Fights: 295.9 days
For Fighters Between Their 2nd and 3rd Pro Fights: 233.2 days
For Fighters Between Their 3rd and 4th Pro Fights: 208.7 days
For Fighters Between Their 4th and 5th Pro Fights: 196.9 days
For Fighters Between Their 5th and 6th Pro Fights: 186.8 days
For Fighters Between Their 9th and 10th Pro Fights: 165.0 days
For Fighters Between Their 19th and 20th Pro Fights: 143.4 days
For Fighters Between Their 29th and 30th Pro Fights: 145.6 days
For Fighters Between Their 39th and 40th Pro Fights: 119.0 days

Some more…

For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in the United States: 219.6 days
For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in Japan: 193.7 days
For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in Brazil: 228.3 days
For Fighters Since 2010 With Consec. Fights in Russia: 204.8 days

 

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk/Penne (06-20-2015)

Posted on June 15, 2015 by Jason

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#2/#6DD/#6P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (9-0-0, 114.0lb, -760) vs. [#8] Jessica Penne (12-2-0, 114.0lb, +526)

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (3-0-0)
2015-03-14: W vs. [#4SW] Carla Esparza (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2014-12-13: W vs. [#5SW] Claudia Gadelha (12-1-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2014-07-26: W vs. [#15SW] Juliana de Lima Carneiro (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (2-1-0)
2014-12-12: W vs. [#12SW] Randa Markos (5-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2013-07-13: W vs. [#32AW] Nicdali Rivera-Calanoc (8-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:57 of round 1
2013-04-05: L vs. [#3AW] Michelle Waterson (12-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:31 of round 4

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanna Jedrzejczyk 98, Jessica Penne 190
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#26] Dennis Siver (22-10-0, 145.0lb, -176) vs. [#38] Tatsuya Kawajiri (33-8-2, 146.0lb, +149)

Last 3 Fights: Dennis Siver (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2015-01-18: L vs. [#6FW] Conor McGregor (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2014-10-04: W vs. [#119FW] Charles Rosa (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2013-12-28: NC vs. [#10BW] Manny Gamburyan (14-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tatsuya Kawajiri (2-1-0)
2014-04-11: L vs. [#12FW] Clay Guida (32-15-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-01-04: W vs. [#311FW] Sean Soriano (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:50 of round 2
2012-12-31: W vs. [#330FW] Michihiro Omigawa (14-14-1) via UD ()

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dennis Siver 153, Tatsuya Kawajiri 435
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#92] Steven Kennedy (22-6-0, 170.0lb, +223) vs. [#161] Peter Sobotta (14-4-1, 171.0lb, -274)

Last 3 Fights: Steven Kennedy (3-0-0)
2015-03-14: W vs. [#482WW] Callan Potter (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:15 of round 1
2014-12-06: W vs. [#679MW] Ran Weathers (17-18-0) via UD ()
2014-05-31: W vs. [#1596WW] Dominic McConnell (7-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in ? of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Peter Sobotta (3-0-0)
2014-05-31: W vs. [#175WW] Pawel Pawlak (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2012-11-10: W vs. [#323LW] Tamirlan Dadaev (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:10 of round 1
2012-11-10: W vs. [NA] Mustafa Asmaoui (1-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:36 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steven Kennedy 98, Peter Sobotta 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.
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All-Time Rankings Updated (06-15-2015)

Posted on June 15, 2015 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (06-14-2015)

Posted on June 14, 2015 by Jason

Bang for Your Buck: UFC 188

Posted on June 10, 2015 by Oleg

Last week, UFC delivered a great event in Fight Night 68.  With almost every fight on the card ending with a spectacular finish, this is a tough act to follow.  Especially when it’s followed by a very weak Pay-Per-View that, save for the headliner, would be much better suited for a free Fight Night or even a Fight Pass event.

Main Card (Pay-Per-View)

Main Event: (C) [NR] Cain Velasquez vs (IC) [#1 HW] Fabricio Werdum for undisputed UFC Heavyweight Championship.

Worth: $25

Why: Almost six months and countless UFC events into the year, this is only the second fight to receive my maximum single fight valuation of $25 (the first was Jon Jones vs Daniel Cormier at UFC 182).   The reigning UFC heavyweight champion Cain Velasquez will fight for the first time in nearly two years, and this will be his first fight since 2010 against an opponent not named Junior dos Santos or Antonio Silva.  This time he will be facing Fabricio Werdum, who has been on a tear: 5-0 in his current UFC stint, and capturing the interim title that UFC created due to Cain’s extended absence in his most recent fight with Mark Hunt.

This is a great title unification fight between #4 and #5 ranked heavyweights of all time.  And the winner is likely to further climb the all time ranking, besides cementing his #1 spot on the current rankings.  Fabricio Werdum has shown amazing improvement in his recent career, and I won’t be surprised to see him defeat Velasquez, especially since ring rust is a very likely factor (last time Velasquez returned to action after an extended layoff, he was knocked out in the first round by dos Santos).  On the other hand, Werdum is a notorious slow starter who tends to absorb some punishment early on, but weathers the storm and takes over later in the fight when his opponent gets tired.  This could be very bad news against a fighter like Velasquez, who goes all out from the opening bell to the end of the last round, and has the cardio to keep the same insane pace in a five round fight.

But I have no horse in this race – there are great matchups in store for the man who walks away with the unified title.  If Cain retains, he will most likely face Stipe Miocic next, with Andrei Arlovski and Ben Rothwell as viable backup options.  If Werdum overcomes, he will probably get an opportunity to avenge the only stoppage loss of his career against JDS.  The heavyweight division is becoming very fun to watch after years of stagnation, even if there is not a single fighter in the Top 10 under 30 and most of the contenders are familiar faces.  Great fight… and it’s all downhill from here.

 

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Fight Matrix Program: UFC 188 (06-13-2015)

Posted on June 9, 2015 by Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[*] Cain Velasquez (13-1-0, -460) vs. [#1/#10DD/#7P4P] Fabricio Werdum (19-5-1, +357)
Cain Velasquez is the All-Time #4 ranked Heavyweight and #17 ranked Absolute fighter.
Fabricio Werdum is the All-Time #5 ranked Heavyweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cain Velasquez (3-0-0)
2013-10-19: W vs. [#2HW+] Junior dos Santos (17-3-0) via TKO (Slam and Punch) in 3:09 of round 5
2013-05-25: W vs. [#10HW+] Antonio Silva (18-7-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
2012-12-29: W vs. [#2HW+] Junior dos Santos (17-3-0) via UD (50-45, 50-44, 50-43)

Last 3 Fights: Fabricio Werdum (3-0-0)
2014-11-15: W vs. [#8HW+] Mark Hunt (10-10-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:27 of round 2
2014-04-19: W vs. [#6HW+] Travis Browne (17-3-1) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2013-06-08: W vs. [#28HW+] Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-9-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:41 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cain Velasquez 602, Fabricio Werdum 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cain Velasquez leads 5-2
.

Lightweight (155)
[#7] Gilbert Melendez (22-4-0, -177) vs. [#12] Eddie Alvarez (25-4-0, +147)
Gilbert Melendez is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #22 ranked Absolute fighter.
Eddie Alvarez is the All-Time #11 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Melendez (1-2-0)
2014-12-06: L vs. [#3LW] Anthony Pettis (18-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:53 of round 2
2013-10-19: W vs. [#25LW] Diego Sanchez (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2013-04-20: L vs. [#4LW] Ben Henderson (22-5-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Eddie Alvarez (2-1-0)
2014-09-27: L vs. [#2LW] Donald Cerrone (28-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2013-11-02: W vs. [#23LW] Michael Chandler (12-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 47-48)
2012-10-12: W vs. [#52LW] Patricky Freire (13-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:54 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Melendez 189, Eddie Alvarez 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gilbert Melendez leads 3-2
.

Middleweight (185)
[#13] Kelvin Gastelum (10-1-0, -409) vs. [#32] Nate Marquardt (33-14-2, +310)
Nate Marquardt is the All-Time #3 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2015-01-31: L vs. [#4WW] Tyron Woodley (15-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2014-11-15: W vs. [#15WW] Jake Ellenberger (30-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:46 of round 1
2014-06-28: W vs. [#39WW] Nicholas Musoke (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Marquardt (1-2-0)
2015-01-03: L vs. [#27MW] Brad Tavares (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2014-06-28: W vs. [#137MW] James Te Huna (16-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:34 of round 1
2013-10-19: L vs. [#5WW] Hector Lombard (34-4-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 133, Nate Marquardt 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.
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