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FightMatrix Awards: Point-Based Upset of the Year (2011)

Posted on December 21, 2011 by Jason

With upsets of the year, we use pre-bout point totals and also put some exclusions into play — both fighters cannot be suffering from any inactivity penalty and the losing fighter must have a respectable rank — within the top 20. We also do the math two ways; proportional raw point difference and net point difference normalized by division.

Using both equations, the upset of the year was Robert Peralta SD(3) Hiroyuki Takaya

Honorable Mention: Jake Ellenberger KO(1) Jake Shields

Had this taken into account the actual outcome (Split vs. KO), you could certainly argue for these placements to be flip-flopped.

FightMatrix Awards: Women’s Rookie Fighter of the Year (2011)

Posted on December 19, 2011 by Jason

It’s probably no surprise to most, but our women’s rookie fighter of the year for 2011 is Ronda Rousey.

She fulfilled our basic requirements of debuting and fighting three times in the 2011 calendar year.  Furthermore, she has earned the #3 ranking in the 145 division, which may turn into the #2 ranking depending on Baszler who is likely to drop down to 135 or go inactive.  She has also finished all four of her opponents by submission, within a minute.  This was a no-brainer.

As for a follow-up on our 2010 winner, Liz Carmouche, she has not fared so well.  Although fighting against top opposition, she has went 0-2 on the year.

2011 Honorable Mention: Sara McMann

MMA Current Rated Division Population

Posted on December 11, 2011 by Jason
Division Recorded Estimated Percentage
Heavyweight 718 875 8.28%
Light Heavyweight 731 925 8.76%
Middleweight 1203 1550 14.68%
Welterweight 1675 2150 20.36%
Lightweight 1798 2300 21.78%
Featherweight 1234 1520 14.39%
Bantamweight 782 950 9.00%
Flyweight 244 290 2.74%

I just wanted to give everyone a glimpse of how dense some divisions are in comparison to others.  These counts are for fighters above the starter rating and have had a pro fight in the last 450 days that we know about.  The recorded count is what we currently have in the database, while the estimated count factors in data availability to give a more “true” count.  Nevertheless, journeymen with records like 1-7 are likely not going to be included.

Using this info, it’s fair to say that the average fighter weighs in at about 169 pounds — and probably walks around at about 195 :).

It should be interesting to see how this changes with the UFC bringing in Flyweights and also after they have the Featherweight and Bantamweight divisions for another year or two.

* Male fighters only


Fun Stats: Josh Koscheck & Chris Leben

Posted on December 5, 2011 by Oleg

Season 14 of ‘The Ultimate Fighter’ reality series came to a close this past weekend. This was the first season of ‘TUF’ to feature featherweight and bantamweight fighters, and the last season to be aired on Spike TV; future seasons will be broadcast on Fx network as UFC makes a transition to the FOX family of channels.

Over the fourteen seasons, TUF proved to be a formidable tool for building up UFC rosters and creating stars. While winning the TUF tournaments carried certain accolades, a number of other contestants from every season turned their appearance in the Ultimate Fighter house into a successful and lasting career in the UFC.

For example, Season 1 rivals Josh Koscheck and Chris Leben didn’t make it to the finals of the middleweight tournament. Nevertheless, both fighters received a UFC contract (with Koscheck dropping to welterweight following the season finale) and made the best of it, becoming two of the most active fighters in history of the organization.

With 19 bouts in the Octagon a piece, Leben and Koscheck share the #5 slot on the list of fighters with most UFC bouts. For a point of reference, that’s one fight ahead of the UFC veterans George St. Pierre, Rich Franklin, and Frank Mir! The only fighters with more Octagon experience than Koscheck and Leben are Matt Hughes, Tito Ortiz, Randy Couture, BJ Penn, and Chris Lytle. With most of these names either retired or on the verge or retirement, it’s very conceivable that in a couple of years Koscheck and Leben may top the list.

While Leben’s record is on hold as he begins serving a year-long suspension due to testing positive for banned painkillers after his most recent fight, Josh Koscheck’s upcoming bout with Carlos Condit will have him tied with Chris Lytle at 20 UFC appearances each.

Not only is Josh one of the most active UFC fighters in history, he is also one of the winningest: with 14 victories in the Octagon, he shares the #4 slot with Anderson Silva, and is only trailing behind Matt Hughes, George St. Pierre, Randy Couture, Chuck Liddell, and Tito Ortiz. A win over Condit will see Koscheck bypass ‘The Spider’ with 15 wins, only 3 behind Matt Hughes’ record of 18 Octagon victories!

All-Time Rankings: Dan Henderson reaches a milestone

Posted on November 7, 2011 by Jason

Dan Henderson has recently become the first fighter to reach the Top 50 in three divisions: Heavyweight (#46), Light Heavyweight (#8), and Middleweight (#4).  There are 46 fighters (including Dan) who are on two divisional Top 50s.

Norifumi Yamamoto is his closest, active competitor as he is in three Top 55s.  A good streak at Bantamweight would see him join Dan.  However Yamamoto is not in any Top 25 (or 30).  Evan Tanner also shares Yamamoto’s feat, but is in a Top 25 @ Middleweight (#20).

When expanding to Top 60 as the qualifier, Jeremy Horn and Akihiro Gono make the cut.   Expanding to Top 75 adds four more fighters (Vitor Belfort, Jeff Curran, BJ Penn, Anderson Silva).

In case you are unfamiliar with our All-Time Rankings, check them out here.

Stat of the Day: Non-UFC Pro Debut -> UFC

Posted on October 20, 2011 by Jason

MMAJunkie posted an article regarding Dustin Jacoby, who will go from his non-UFC pro debut to a UFC card in 11 months.

The quickest ever was Koji Kitao, who made his UFC debut at UFC 9, just 42 days after his non-UFC pro debut.  Since 2000, the record belongs to Frank Mir, who did so in 111 days.  Since 2010, John Salter just edges out Jacoby, having done so in 290 days.

Of course, this statistic excludes fighters like Matt Mitrione, who had the benefit of “The Ultimate Fighter”.

What a UFC Flyweight Tournament might look like

Posted on October 14, 2011 by Jason

Using the rating system and a relatively unscientific methodology to qualify fighters, this is what a eight-man UFC Flyweight tournament may look like, with two alternate bouts.

To qualify, fighters must fulfill one of the following:

  • At least one true Flyweight bout in the last three years AND at least one bout in the US in the last 18 months OR a scheduled bout in the US on Sherdog.
  • At least two bouts in the US in the last three years, where the fighter weighed in at or below 134.0.  The idea here, is that they either fought a catchweight between Flyweight and Bantamweight, or have no issue making Bantamweight.

I have also excluded Dominick Cruz from consideration, as he is the current champion at Bantamweight.

All ratings were also converted to Flyweight ratings for seeding purposes.

#1/#8 -> [#2 BW] Joseph Benavidez (15-2-0) vs. [#48 BW] Darren Uyenoyama (6-3-0)

#2/#7 -> [#6 BW] Alexis Vila (10-0-0) vs. [#3] Jussier da Silva (10-1-0)

#3/#6 -> [#11 BW] Demetrious Johnson (9-2-0) vs. [#2] Ian McCall (11-2-0)

#4/#5 -> [#15 BW] Takeya Mizugaki (15-6-2) vs. [#22 BW] Eduardo Dantas (11-2-0)

Alt #1 -> [#6] Mamoru Yamaguchi (26-6-3) vs. [#61 BW] Mike Easton (10-1-0)

Alt #2 -> [#7] Josh Rave (22-8-0) vs. [#59 BW] Frank Baca (9-1-0)

 

Apologies if I missed anyone — I absolutely do not have all weigh-in information for all events.  When it boils down to it though, who knows when the UFC will add the division and who really knows who is willing to and CAN move down to 125 pounds?

The really shocking part is how weak the Flyweight division is in comparison to Bantamweight.  Let’s hope that the UFC kicks the division off with at least four fights, or else the Flyweight rankings here will be a fluctuating mess for some time.

 

Stat of the Day: Jimmo/Sokoudjou

Posted on October 8, 2011 by Jason

Last night’s fight between Ryan Jimmo and Sokoudjou was the closest unanimous decision in MMA history (that I know of) which didn’t include an even scorecard — yes, this has happened in Japan.  The scoring used a half-point system that some commissions outside of the USA have already adapted in boxing.

The scores were for Jimmo: 49-48.5, 49-48.5, and 49-48.  For the record, I thought Sokoudjou edged it by about 1.5 points — man, that was weird to type.

 

Lineal Championships: The Man Who Beat The Man

Posted on September 21, 2011 by Jason

In the upcoming week or two, I plan to research all lineal championships from the beginning of MMA up until now, starting with Flyweight.  I wanted to post this announcement in an effort to get any type of brainstorming from our members on how to consider particular types of scenarios.  The challenges are:

  • Inception – Where does the championship start?  Is it different for each weight division?
  • Inactivity – Does a lineal championship “die” when the champion goes inactive or retires?  Does a new fighter pick up the championship?  How is this decided?
  • Weight Divisions – Divisional info isn’t always available and sometimes weight classes change throughout time.  Decisions will be made as to where the upper-limit barriers are.

These decisions and Flyweight.. coming soon.

The Argument for or against Cruiserweight: Revisited

Posted on September 15, 2011 by Jason

On April 1st, I made the initial blog post: Click Here For That

In summary, we started tracking weigh-in weights, and I wanted to see if the heavier fighters won more often than lighter fighters.  Using the same ideals as before, with a much larger data set:

  • In 506 non-draw official fights where both fighters weighed in at different weights, but above 210 (our Light Heavyweight limit), 259 were won by the lighter fighter, and 247 won by the heavier fighter (48.9%).
  • When you allow for mismatches and include matches in which only one fighter had to weigh above 210, the total tally increases to 642 and the gap widens, with the heavier fighter only winning 302 (47.0%).
  • For the record, across the board, the heavier fighter has won 52.4% of the time.

The results are nearly identical as before, though the heavier fighter gained ground in all three statistics.  There are a few possibilities to explain this and it could be a combination: Keep Reading

How dominant is Anderson Silva?

Posted on August 29, 2011 by Jason
  • He is the current #1 in the current Division Dominance rankings and Middleweight rankings.  He has been at the top of the Middleweight division for more than 4 years.  He has been ranked in our division dominance rankings since we started them in February 2008.
  • He is #1 All-Time in our Absolute and Middleweight rankings.
  • When we update our All-Time Rankings in September, he will likely take back the most “dominant period” from GSP.
  • He has won 15 consecutive fights, 14 in the UFC (all-time record).
  • He has the 6th most UFC wins in history.
  • He has 10 UFC title wins (1st all-time) and would have 11 if not for Lutter missing weight.  All 10 were consecutive and this is an active streak.
  • He has never lost by KO or TKO.  He is one of only 13 active fighters with at least 35 fights who can make claim to this.  Only two others can say this and also have at least 30 wins (Mousasi, Gomi).
  • Our rating system projects that he is about 50/50 with Jon Jones in a fight at 205.

As it stands though, he is 36 years old, with GSP right on his heels at age 30.  If Silva fades in a year or two, and GSP stays at the top until his late 30s, GSP may become the eventual #1 all-time fighter.

All Record, Little Substance

Posted on August 26, 2011 by Jason

Today, we look at active (fought in the last 360 days, debuted within the last 4 years), undefeated fighters (with at least 8 wins) who have made the least of their wins (and draws).

All fighters start with a rating of 10, so the following list is sorted in ascending order, by the least amount of points gained from an average fight — no contests excluded.

1. John Teixeira [10-0-1 | #469 Lightweight | +1.46 pts avg]

Leading the way, is a Brazilian Lightweight you’ve probably never heard of.  According to our records, 6 of his 11 opponents have been debuting fighters (one of which is where he recorded his lone draw).  He’s also fought two fighters, twice.  Brazilian record-keeping is notoriously bad, so he might not be getting the fairest shake here.

2. Micheal Kuiper [11-0-0 | #278 Middleweight | +1.75 pts avg]

Ironically, the UFC is currently scouting Kuiper.  Maybe a lack of local talent is the issue with his poor rating ascent.  He has never fought an opponent with a winning record that had more than 2 wins going into their fight.

3. Georgi Stoyanov [8-0-0 | #394 Lightweight | +2.33 pts avg]

Having 8 wins in less than 2 years, you can’t say he’s not active.  Still, in his 8th fight, he fought his first opponent with more than 5 fights (at 5-5-1 no less).

4. Khabib Nurmagomedov [14-0-0 | #179 Welterweight | +2.38 pts avg]

Riding the second-highest active undefeated streak, Nurmagomedov is actually doing a respectable job rising the rankings.  Though, when you’re still fighting 0-2 opponents in your 12th fight and a 1-1 guy in your 13th, it’s time to step up the competition.

5. Salvador Augusto Montano [9-0-0 | #146 Light Heavyweight | +2.52 pts avg]

I can’t dig on Montano too much, as most of his opponents actually have winning records, though Mexico City isn’t an MMA hot spot.  He recently went to Jungle Fight and scored a win.  Hey, I had to round out the list with a 5th guy, and here he is.

Hideo Tokoro – Six Weight Divisions

Posted on July 11, 2011 by Jason

Recently, we uncovered historical data which revealed that Hideo Tokoro competed in a 165lb fight early in his career.  This is a Welterweight fight, and marks Tokoro’s 6th weight division that he has competed in.  He is the only fighter (so far, that we know of) who has competed in more than 5 weight divisions at the professional MMA level.  He needs only to compete at Flyweight and Light Heavyweight to complete the cycle.

Check out our Records & Statistics page to see the full list for this statistic, as well as many others.

Bustamante looking to stretch his “longest career” record.

Posted on June 15, 2011 by Jason

According to Sherdog, Murilo Bustamante, 44, will fight on, making his debut in the Welterweight division against [#70] Yuyi Shirai on July 20th.  Bustamante currently holds the “longest career” record for active (and probably all) fighters, and this next fight will stretch his career length to nearly 20 years.  Bustamante is currently ranked in the Middleweight division (albeit very low) and is also our #7 All-Time Middleweight.

To see more records, check out our MMA Records & Stats page.

FightMatrix 2011 Awards (So far)

Posted on June 14, 2011 by Jason

We’re not quite halfway through the year, but I wanted to post about this in case I forgot.  Just in case you did not know (or forgot), we have an awards page that we will populate after the end of each year that covers a wide array of categories.  For more particulars, please visit that page.

 

Mid-Year Awards

Fighter of the Year (Male): Jon Jones

Fighter of the Year (Female): No qualifiers yet

Rookie of the Year (Male): Mansour Barnaoui

Rookie of the Year (Female): No qualifiers yet

Most Noteworthy Match: Georges St. Pierre UD(5) Jake Shields

Most Lopsided Upset: Robert Peralta SD(3) Hiroyuki Takaya

Most Noteworthy Upset: Antonio Silva TKO(2) Fedor Emelianenko

 

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