MMA Ranks – Page 9 – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg (03-29-2025)

Posted on March 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#3][#8DD][#3UFC] Brandon Moreno (22-8-2, -201) vs. [#10][#8UFC] Steve Erceg (12-3-0, +166)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#9FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#2FLY][#7DD] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY][#5DD][#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Steve Erceg (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#5FLY] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2024-05-04: L vs. [#1FLY][#5DD][#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#86FLY] Matt Schnell (16-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:26 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Brandon Moreno	-201		63.98%
Elo K170	Brandon Moreno	1982.13	+318.02	86.18%
Elo Modified	Brandon Moreno	2012.46	+349.29	88.19%
Glicko-1	Brandon Moreno	2112.16	+429.12	92.20%
WHR	Brandon Moreno	2020.54	+356.65	88.63%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Moreno 31.3, Steve Erceg 29.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 147, Steve Erceg 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#53][#29UFC] Drew Dober (27-14-0, +104) vs. [#125][#53UFC] Manuel Torres (15-3-0, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (1-2-0)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#24FW] Jean Silva (15-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3
2024-02-03: L vs. [#9LW] Renato Carneiro (20-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#299LW] Ricky Glenn (22-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Manuel Torres (2-1-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#18LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-02-24: W vs. [#126LW] Chris Duncan (13-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#122LW] Nikolas Motta (15-5-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:50 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manuel Torres	-125		53.12%
Elo K170	Drew Dober	1664.32	+10.78	51.55%
Elo Modified	Drew Dober	1663.93	+16.93	52.43%
Glicko-1	Drew Dober	1717.82	+26.81	53.85%
WHR	Drew Dober	1705.58	+20.44	52.94%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Drew Dober 36.4, Manuel Torres 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 259, Manuel Torres 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#17][#15UFC] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0, +268) vs. [#23][#19UFC] Joe Pyfer (13-3-0, -344)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#37WW] Daniel Rodriguez (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#2WW][#10P4P] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2023-04-08: W vs. [#24MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joe Pyfer (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#59MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2024-02-10: L vs. [#19MW] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#109MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Joe Pyfer	-344		74.03%
Elo K170	Kelvin Gastelum	1926.26	+200.23	76.00%
Elo Modified	Kelvin Gastelum	1918.73	+162.04	71.76%
Glicko-1	Kelvin Gastelum	1963.95	+109.73	65.29%
WHR	Kelvin Gastelum	1832.08	+89.87	62.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kelvin Gastelum 33.4, Joe Pyfer 28.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 280, Joe Pyfer 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-23-2025)

Posted on March 23, 2025 by Jason

Biggest Ranking Climbers of Early 2025

Posted on March 20, 2025 by A. J. Riot

The first quarter of 2025 has already delivered seismic shifts in the MMA world, with several fighters making significant leaps in the rankings. Among them, Joaquin Buckley and Umar Nurmagomedov have emerged as standout names, redefining their respective divisions through exceptional performances and strategic career moves. These athletes are not just climbing the rankings—they’re reshaping the competitive world of modern MMA.

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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 20, 2025 by Jason

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady (03-22-2025)

Posted on March 17, 2025 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#2][#7DD][#10P4P][#2UFC] Leon Edwards (22-4-0, +122) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Sean Brady (17-1-0, -146)
Leon Edwards is the All-Time #5 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.
Sean Brady is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#8WW] Colby Covington (17-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Kamaru Usman (20-4-0) via MD (48-46, 48-46, 47-47)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#17MW] Kelvin Gastelum (19-9-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:43 of round 3
2022-10-22: L vs. [#1WW][#6DD][#7P4P] Belal Muhammad (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:47 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Sean Brady	-146		56.84%
Elo K170	Leon Edwards	2392.96	+237.48	79.69%
Elo Modified	Leon Edwards	2324.27	+207.69	76.78%
Glicko-1	Leon Edwards	2374.73	+201.45	76.13%
WHR	Leon Edwards	2105.13	+83.24	61.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Leon Edwards 33.6, Sean Brady 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 238, Sean Brady 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Jan Blachowicz (29-10-1, +199) vs. [#10][#7UFC] Carlos Ulberg (12-1-0, -243)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #10 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (1-1-1)
2023-07-29: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#1LHW][#6P4P] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-05-14: W vs. [#21LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#11LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#23LHW] Alonzo Menifield (16-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2023-09-09: W vs. [#90LHW] Da Woon Jung (15-6-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Carlos Ulberg	-243		67.93%
Elo K170	Jan Blachowicz	2056.71	+103.47	64.47%
Elo Modified	Jan Blachowicz	2123.58	+165.15	72.12%
Glicko-1	Jan Blachowicz	2218.42	+217.42	77.75%
WHR	Jan Blachowicz	2026.68	+94.14	63.23%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jan Blachowicz 42.1, Carlos Ulberg 34.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 602, Carlos Ulberg 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#27][#21UFC] Kevin Holland (26-13-0, +119) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (19-5-1, -143)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#20MW] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:31 of round 1
2024-10-05: L vs. [#9MW] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-01: W vs. [#51MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via Technical Submission (Armbar) in 1:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#105MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:51 of round 1
2022-03-19: W vs. [#430WW] Takashi Sato (16-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gunnar Nelson	-143		56.31%
Elo K170	Gunnar Nelson	1923.36	+191.41	75.06%
Elo Modified	Gunnar Nelson	1945.14	+189.29	74.83%
Glicko-1	Gunnar Nelson	2019.31	+182.81	74.12%
WHR	Gunnar Nelson	1906.38	+141.71	69.33%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kevin Holland 32.4, Gunnar Nelson 36.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 63, Gunnar Nelson 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Holland leads 2-1
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-16-2025)

Posted on March 16, 2025 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze (03-15-2025)

Posted on March 10, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#11][#10UFC] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0, +135) vs. [*] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1, -162)
Marvin Vettori is the All-Time #44 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roman Dolidze (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#27WW] Kevin Holland (26-13-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2024-06-29: W vs. [#15LHW] Anthony Smith (38-21-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#3MW] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Marvin Vettori (1-2-0)
2023-06-17: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 48-46)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#11MW] Roman Dolidze (14-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#7MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via UD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marvin Vettori	-162		59.23%
Elo K170	Marvin Vettori	2009.39	+57.86	58.25%
Elo Modified	Marvin Vettori	1985.59	+20.87	53.00%
Glicko-1	Marvin Vettori	2053.34	+4.01	50.58%
WHR	Roman Dolidze	1907.49	+23.92	53.44%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Roman Dolidze 36.6, Marvin Vettori 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Dolidze 161, Marvin Vettori 637
Previous Match-up Record: Marvin Vettori leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#47][#31UFC] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1, -186) vs. [#54][#36UFC] Chidi Njokuani (24-10-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (1-1-1)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#296WW] Zach Scroggin (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2024-06-01: L vs. [#26WW] Randy Brown (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-11-04: D vs. [#18WW] Rinat Fakhretdinov (25-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Chidi Njokuani (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#87WW] Jared Gooden (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#127WW] Rhys McKee (13-6-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-08-26: L vs. [#48MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (20-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	-186		62.28%
Elo K170	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1844.67	+114.94	65.96%
Elo Modified	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1838.39	+95.93	63.46%
Glicko-1	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1888.49	+118.79	66.46%
WHR	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1808.24	+131.27	68.04%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 38.3, Chidi Njokuani 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 126, Chidi Njokuani 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Diyar Nurgozhay (10-0-0, -346) vs. [#104][#35UFC] Brendson Ribeiro (16-7-0, +270)

Last 3 Fights: Diyar Nurgozhay (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#133LHW] Bartosz Szewczyk (8-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:32 of round 2
2024-05-18: W vs. [#85LHW] Emiliano Sordi (26-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2022-08-21: W vs. [*] Konstantin Andreitsev (19-17-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Brendson Ribeiro (1-2-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#149LHW] Caio Machado (8-4-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#113LHW] Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2024-02-17: L vs. [#45LHW] Mingyang Zhang (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Diyar Nurgozhay	-346		74.16%
Elo K170	Diyar Nurgozhay	1628.60	+185.41	74.41%
Elo Modified	Diyar Nurgozhay	1664.08	+229.62	78.95%
Glicko-1	Diyar Nurgozhay	1692.56	+218.75	77.89%
WHR	Diyar Nurgozhay	1685.27	+213.68	77.38%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diyar Nurgozhay 27.9, Brendson Ribeiro 28.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diyar Nurgozhay 165, Brendson Ribeiro 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-09-2025)

Posted on March 9, 2025 by Jason

This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays

Posted on March 6, 2025 by Jason

The huge Underdog parlay hit last week! Let’s try again!!

Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:

Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.

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How Fighter Rankings Impact Betting Odds in MMA

Posted on March 6, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) has a dynamic and ever-evolving ranking system that plays a crucial role in shaping betting odds. Rankings influence how sportsbooks and bettors assess a fighter’s chances of winning, but they don’t always tell the full story. Understanding the relationship between rankings and betting lines can give bettors an edge when wagering on fights.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev (03-18-2025)

Posted on March 3, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1][#8DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Alex Pereira (12-2-0, -119) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (20-1-1, -102)
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #14 ranked Light Heavyweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #27 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#8LHW] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#2LHW][#10P4P] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#4LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#23LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#13LHW] Johnny Walker (21-9-0)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Alex Pereira	-119		51.83%
Elo K170	Alex Pereira	2301.88	+82.59	61.67%
Elo Modified	Alex Pereira	2263.89	+54.04	57.71%
Glicko-1	Alex Pereira	2399.12	+80.63	61.40%
WHR	Alex Pereira	2171.55	+123.01	67.00%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 154, Magomed Ankalaev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#5][#5UFC] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0, +108) vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0, -128)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 5
2023-07-29: W vs. [#6LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:00 of round 2
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Rafael Fiziev (12-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (1-2-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (24-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (25-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#21WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rafael Fiziev	-128		53.86%
Elo K170	Justin Gaethje	2266.79	+349.47	88.20%
Elo Modified	Justin Gaethje	2211.91	+306.89	85.40%
Glicko-1	Justin Gaethje	2261.68	+296.39	84.63%
WHR	Justin Gaethje	1976.06	+103.38	64.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 329, Rafael Fiziev 532
Previous Match-up Record: Justin Gaethje leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#5][#5UFC] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1, +106) vs. [#10][#10UFC] Iasmin Lucindo (17-5-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Lemos (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#2SW][#4DD][#5P4P] Virna Jandiroba (21-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:48 of round 2
2024-02-17: W vs. [#6SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-19: L vs. [#1SW][#1DD][#1P4P] Weili Zhang (26-3-0) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (3-0-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#11SW] Marina Rodriguez (17-5-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#44SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-08-12: W vs. [#79SW] Polyana Viana (13-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Iasmin Lucindo	-128		53.63%
Elo K170	Amanda Lemos	1706.38	+34.71	54.98%
Elo Modified	Amanda Lemos	1696.13	+75.21	60.66%
Glicko-1	Amanda Lemos	1693.03	+90.69	62.76%
WHR	Amanda Lemos	1605.17	+90.53	62.74%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Lemos 231, Iasmin Lucindo 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (03-02-2025)

Posted on March 2, 2025 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-02-2025)

Posted on March 2, 2025 by Jason

Upset Alert? Fighters the Ranking Systems Disagree On – March 2025

Posted on February 27, 2025 by A. J. Riot

Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is a competitive sport where fighter rankings play an important role in ranking fighter status and future fights. Different systems of rankings, however, yield differing results, leaving some fascinating contradictions in the assessment of fighters. FightMatrix, being one of the leading MMA ranking websites, utilizes a blend of objective criteria along with prediction metrics to come up with fighter standings.

This article will look at fights across multiple weight classes for which there are significant differences between ranking systems like Betting Odds, Elo, and WHR, why these discrepancies occur, and what they can mean for upcoming bouts.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev (03-01-2025)

Posted on February 24, 2025 by Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#10][#8UFC] Manel Kape (20-7-0, -240) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Asu Almabayev (21-2-0, +195)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #31 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#32FLY] Bruno Silva (14-7-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:57 of round 3
2024-07-27: L vs. [#7FLY] Muhammad Mokaev (14-0-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#98FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Asu Almabayev (3-0-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#24FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-15: W vs. [#207FLY] Jose Johnson (17-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#134FLY] C.J. Vergara (12-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Manel Kape	-240		67.55%
Elo K170	Asu Almabayev	1906.15	+92.32	62.98%
Elo Modified	Asu Almabayev	1867.33	+54.36	57.76%
Glicko-1	Manel Kape	1889.32	+0.11	50.02%
WHR	Manel Kape	1810.43	+47.02	56.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 77, Asu Almabayev 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Asu Almabayev leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#100][#51UFC] Cody Brundage (10-6-0, +141) vs. [#238][#70UFC] Julian Marquez (9-5-0, -170)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Brundage (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-07-13: NC vs. [#106MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-7-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#23MW] Bo Nickal (7-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2023-12-02: W vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via KO (Slam and Punches) in 1:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Julian Marquez (0-3-0)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#131MW] Zachary Reese (8-2-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2023-03-04: L vs. [#56MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2022-06-18: L vs. [#24MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Julian Marquez	-170		60.27%
Elo K170	Cody Brundage	1418.18	+93.47	63.14%
Elo Modified	Cody Brundage	1396.06	+4.68	50.67%
Glicko-1	Julian Marquez	1397.10	+20.82	52.99%
WHR	Cody Brundage	1390.71	+60.37	58.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Brundage 231, Julian Marquez 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Brundage leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#31][#21UFC] William Gomis (14-2-0, -218) vs. [#85][#43UFC] Hyder Amil (10-0-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2024-09-28: W vs. [#32FW] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#414BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#242FW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (3-0-0)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#132FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#936FW] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2
2023-08-15: W vs. [#784LW] Emrah Sonmez (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	William Gomis	-218		65.58%
Elo K170	William Gomis	1851.45	+174.98	73.25%
Elo Modified	William Gomis	1722.26	+73.41	60.41%
Glicko-1	William Gomis	1733.70	+67.07	59.53%
WHR	William Gomis	1659.21	+25.17	53.62%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: William Gomis 154, Hyder Amil 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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