This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Both parlays still in the green!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot (10-11-2025)
Lightweight (155)
[#4][#4UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-11-0, +103) vs. [#8][#7UFC] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0, -125)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #7 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Mateusz Gamrot is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (1-2-0)
2025-06-28: L vs. [#3P4P][#2LW] Ilia Topuria (17-0-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#25LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [*] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Mateusz Gamrot (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#43LW] Ludovit Klein (23-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (24-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-03-09: W vs. [#34WW] Rafael dos Anjos (32-17-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mateusz Gamrot | -125 | 53.00% | |
| Elo K170 | Charles Oliveira | 2227.10 | +126.49 | 67.44% |
| Elo Modified | Charles Oliveira | 2236.28 | +133.72 | 68.35% |
| Glicko-1 | Charles Oliveira | 2306.84 | +142.21 | 69.40% |
| WHR | Charles Oliveira | 2123.44 | +85.57 | 62.07% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Charles Oliveira 36.0, Mateusz Gamrot 34.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 105, Mateusz Gamrot 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#9][#9UFC] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1, +227) vs. [#19][#18UFC] Montel Jackson (15-2-0, -283)
Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (1-2-0)
2025-05-03: L vs. [#5BW] Cory Sandhagen (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-11-23: L vs. [#3BW] Petr Yan (19-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2024-08-03: W vs. [#11BW] Marlon Vera (24-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#44BW] Daniel Marcos (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#45BW] DaMon Blackshear (17-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:18 of round 1
2023-04-22: W vs. [*] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Montel Jackson | -283 | 70.72% | |
| Elo K170 | Montel Jackson | 1969.71 | +15.47 | 52.22% |
| Elo Modified | Deiveson Figueiredo | 1965.31 | +33.55 | 54.81% |
| Glicko-1 | Montel Jackson | 2002.60 | +5.10 | 50.73% |
| WHR | Montel Jackson | 1963.94 | +109.03 | 65.19% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Deiveson Figueiredo 37.8, Montel Jackson 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 161, Montel Jackson 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#24][#21UFC] Vicente Luque (23-11-1, +375) vs. [#21LW][#14LWUFC] Joel Alvarez (22-3-0, -526)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #42 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2025-06-07: L vs. [#22WW] Kevin Holland (28-14-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:03 of round 2
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 0:52 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#7WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 2:48 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#105LW] Elves Brener (16-6-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:36 of round 3
2023-07-22: W vs. [#81LW] Marc Diakiese (18-8-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:26 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Joel Alvarez | -526 | 79.96% | |
| Elo K170 | Joel Alvarez | 1973.41 | +122.34 | 66.91% |
| Elo Modified | Joel Alvarez | 1963.34 | +94.48 | 63.27% |
| Glicko-1 | Joel Alvarez | 2060.11 | +167.67 | 72.42% |
| WHR | Joel Alvarez | 2000.06 | +261.11 | 81.81% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vicente Luque 33.9, Joel Alvarez 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 126, Joel Alvarez 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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North America – Prospect Watch: October 2025
Criteria
- Fighters have a nationality belonging to a country in North America.
- Never fought in a “big league” organization.
- This is a manually managed list, which currently contains 37 organizations (some defunct).
- Wins+(Draws*0.5) / Losses+(Draws*0.5) >= 5
- Fighters must have at least 5 times as many wins as losses, with draws adding a half-point each to both sides of the equation.
- Minimum of 5 wins.
- Fought in the last 450 days.
- Less than 30 years old.
- We do not have birth dates for all fighters.
- Fighters are ranked by their cumulative rank positions of R (standard rating), P4P rating, DD rating, WHR rating, and the above equation.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 (10-04-2025)
Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#6P4P][#1][#1UFC] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1, -249) vs. [#14P4P][#2][#2UFC] Alex Pereira (12-3-0, +202)
Magomed Ankalaev is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Alex Pereira is the All-Time #13 ranked Light Heavyweight and #50 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#25LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#14LHW] Johnny Walker (22-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#6P4P][#1LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (21-1-1) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2024-10-05: W vs. [#7LHW] Khalil Rountree (14-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2024-06-29: W vs. [#3LHW] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Magomed Ankalaev | -249 | 68.30% | |
| Elo K170 | Magomed Ankalaev | 2324.17 | +127.08 | 67.51% |
| Elo Modified | Magomed Ankalaev | 2299.36 | +124.87 | 67.24% |
| Glicko-1 | Magomed Ankalaev | 2415.79 | +113.87 | 65.82% |
| WHR | Magomed Ankalaev | 2116.82 | +19.09 | 52.75% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Magomed Ankalaev 33.3, Alex Pereira 38.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 210, Alex Pereira 210
Previous Match-up Record: Magomed Ankalaev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alex Pereira leads 1-0
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1P4P][#2DD][#1][#1UFC] Merab Dvalishvili (20-4-0, -374) vs. [#5][#5UFC] Cory Sandhagen (18-5-0, +286)
Merab Dvalishvili is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cory Sandhagen is the All-Time #15 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via Submission (North-South Choke) in 4:42 of round 3
2025-01-18: W vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#2BW] Sean OMalley (18-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (2-1-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 4:08 of round 2
2024-08-03: L vs. [#4BW] Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#15BW] Rob Font (22-9-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Merab Dvalishvili | -374 | 75.27% | |
| Elo K170 | Merab Dvalishvili | 2406.93 | +276.27 | 83.06% |
| Elo Modified | Merab Dvalishvili | 2358.08 | +276.70 | 83.10% |
| Glicko-1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 2457.47 | +287.63 | 83.96% |
| WHR | Merab Dvalishvili | 2199.33 | +207.14 | 76.72% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Merab Dvalishvili 34.7, Cory Sandhagen 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Merab Dvalishvili 119, Cory Sandhagen 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Merab Dvalishvili leads 3-1
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15P4P][#3][#3UFC] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1, -176) vs. [#7][#6UFC] Khalil Rountree (14-7-0, +144)
Jiri Prochazka is the All-Time #24 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Khalil Rountree is the All-Time #47 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Jiri Prochazka (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 3
2024-06-29: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:13 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:17 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2025-06-21: W vs. [#8LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jiri Prochazka | -176 | 60.87% | |
| Elo K170 | Jiri Prochazka | 2133.48 | +153.71 | 70.78% |
| Elo Modified | Jiri Prochazka | 2114.95 | +165.95 | 72.22% |
| Glicko-1 | Jiri Prochazka | 2227.22 | +239.20 | 79.85% |
| WHR | Jiri Prochazka | 2008.75 | +161.16 | 71.66% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jiri Prochazka 32.9, Khalil Rountree 35.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jiri Prochazka 259, Khalil Rountree 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes (09-27-2025)
Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5][#4UFC] Carlos Ulberg (13-1-0, -251) vs. [#9][#8UFC] Dominick Reyes (15-4-0, +204)
Carlos Ulberg is the All-Time #44 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Dominick Reyes is the All-Time #36 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2025-03-22: W vs. [#6LHW] Jan Blachowicz (29-11-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#13LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (20-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: W vs. [#21LHW] Alonzo Menifield (17-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#22LHW] Nikita Krylov (30-11-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:24 of round 1
2024-12-07: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2024-06-08: W vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (21-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Carlos Ulberg | -251 | 68.49% | |
| Elo K170 | Carlos Ulberg | 2063.01 | +58.20 | 58.30% |
| Elo Modified | Carlos Ulberg | 2085.35 | +106.19 | 64.82% |
| Glicko-1 | Carlos Ulberg | 2133.25 | +61.06 | 58.70% |
| WHR | Carlos Ulberg | 2002.34 | +84.02 | 61.86% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Carlos Ulberg 34.8, Dominick Reyes 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Ulberg 189, Dominick Reyes 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Carlos Ulberg leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#166][#60UFC] Jack Jenkins (13-4-0, -284) vs. [#329][#73UFC] Ramon Taveras (10-3-0, +229)
Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (1-2-0)
2025-02-08: L vs. [#57FW] Gabriel Santos (12-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 3
2024-08-17: W vs. [#531FW] Herbert Burns (11-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:48 of round 3
2023-09-09: L vs. [#33FW] Jose Mariscal (18-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 3:19 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ramon Taveras (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: L vs. [#32BW] Davey Grant (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-01-20: W vs. [#62BW] Serhiy Sidey (12-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-10: W vs. [#547FW] Cortavious Romious (9-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:29 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jack Jenkins | -284 | 70.87% | |
| Elo K170 | Jack Jenkins | 1562.22 | +120.73 | 66.71% |
| Elo Modified | Jack Jenkins | 1576.13 | +130.95 | 68.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Jack Jenkins | 1574.08 | +128.49 | 67.69% |
| WHR | Jack Jenkins | 1538.84 | +166.52 | 72.28% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jack Jenkins 32.5, Ramon Taveras 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Jenkins 231, Ramon Taveras 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34][#21UFC] Jimmy Crute (13-4-2, -185) vs. [#48][#25UFC] Ivan Erslan (14-5-0, +152)
Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Crute (1-1-1)
2025-07-19: W vs. [#52LHW] Marcin Prachnio (17-9-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:42 of round 1
2025-02-08: D vs. [#47LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-08: L vs. [#21LHW] Alonzo Menifield (17-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Ivan Erslan (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: L vs. [#42LHW] Navajo Stirling (7-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#29LHW] Ion Cutelaba (19-11-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Bogdan Gnidko (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:54 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jimmy Crute | -185 | 62.06% | |
| Elo K170 | Jimmy Crute | 1631.29 | +200.33 | 76.01% |
| Elo Modified | Jimmy Crute | 1677.09 | +156.50 | 71.11% |
| Glicko-1 | Jimmy Crute | 1696.32 | +120.18 | 66.64% |
| WHR | Jimmy Crute | 1638.32 | +94.13 | 63.22% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jimmy Crute 29.5, Ivan Erslan 33.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimmy Crute 70, Ivan Erslan 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva (09-13-2025)
Featherweight (145)
[#5][#5UFC] Diego Lopes (26-7-0, +224) vs. [#16][#11UFC] Jean Silva (16-2-0, -279)
Diego Lopes is the All-Time #49 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Diego Lopes (2-1-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#6DD][#1FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2024-09-14: W vs. [#8FW] Brian Ortega (16-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#19FW] Dan Ige (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Jean Silva (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#16BW] Bryce Mitchell (18-3-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:52 of round 2
2025-02-22: W vs. [#283FW] Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#78LW] Drew Dober (27-15-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:28 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jean Silva | -279 | 70.46% | |
| Elo K170 | Diego Lopes | 2006.94 | +75.00 | 60.63% |
| Elo Modified | Diego Lopes | 1991.72 | +55.63 | 57.94% |
| Glicko-1 | Diego Lopes | 2058.65 | +46.30 | 56.63% |
| WHR | Jean Silva | 1964.33 | +35.44 | 55.08% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Diego Lopes 30.7, Jean Silva 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Lopes 154, Jean Silva 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#14][#13UFC] Rob Font (22-8-0, -183) vs. [#91][#48UFC] David Martinez (12-1-0, +151)
Rob Font is the All-Time #34 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (2-1-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#28BW] Jean Matsumoto (17-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#21BW] Kyler Phillips (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#9BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (24-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: David Martinez (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#774BW] Saimon Oliveira (18-6-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 4:38 of round 1
2024-10-01: W vs. [#237BW] Xavier Franklin (6-1-0) via UD ()
2023-05-28: W vs. [#550FW] Jose Zarauz (26-11-1) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 4:17 of round 4
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rob Font | -183 | 61.87% | |
| Elo K170 | Rob Font | 1995.61 | +324.28 | 86.61% |
| Elo Modified | Rob Font | 1910.01 | +196.45 | 75.60% |
| Glicko-1 | Rob Font | 1965.07 | +206.80 | 76.68% |
| WHR | Rob Font | 1777.37 | +72.27 | 60.25% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rob Font 38.2, David Martinez 27.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 203, David Martinez 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#36][#20UFC] Jared Gordon (21-7-0, -268) vs. [#75][#40UFC] Rafa Garcia (17-4-0, +218)
Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (2-1-0)
2025-05-17: W vs. [#67LW] Thiago Moises (19-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 1
2024-06-22: L vs. [#40LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-11-11: W vs. [*] Mark O. Madsen (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Rafa Garcia (2-1-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#306LW] Vinc Pichel (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#15LW] Grant Dawson (23-2-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 1:42 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#148LW] Clay Guida (38-25-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jared Gordon | -268 | 69.84% | |
| Elo K170 | Jared Gordon | 1846.67 | +37.21 | 55.33% |
| Elo Modified | Jared Gordon | 1852.88 | +70.86 | 60.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Jared Gordon | 1905.48 | +104.30 | 64.57% |
| WHR | Jared Gordon | 1839.09 | +134.35 | 68.43% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jared Gordon 37.0, Rafa Garcia 31.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Gordon 119, Rafa Garcia 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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This Week’s WHR Bets/Parlays
Both parlays still in the green!
Fights considered must satisfy all of the criteria below:
- Both fighters must be active (fought in 360 days prior to event). Reduces uncertainty.
- Both fighters must have at least 5 fights, with at least 1 draw or 1 loss (excluding debut). More data makes WHR happy.
- Both fighters must be rated in the same division as the fight. Further reduces uncertainty.
- Must have odds from at least three bookmakers.
Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho (09-06-2025)
Middleweight (185)
[#4][#4UFC] Nassourdine Imavov (16-4-0, +107) vs. [#7][#7UFC] Caio Borralho (17-1-0, -129)
Nassourdine Imavov is the All-Time #41 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (3-0-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#5MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 2
2024-09-28: W vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (25-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#16MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
Last 3 Fights: Caio Borralho (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#16MW] Jared Cannonier (18-9-0) via UD (49-46, 48-46, 49-45)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#34LHW] Paul Craig (17-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-04: W vs. [#29MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (28-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Caio Borralho | -129 | 53.83% | |
| Elo K170 | Nassourdine Imavov | 2200.63 | +104.36 | 64.58% |
| Elo Modified | Nassourdine Imavov | 2158.26 | +83.89 | 61.84% |
| Glicko-1 | Nassourdine Imavov | 2224.47 | +108.34 | 65.10% |
| WHR | Nassourdine Imavov | 2038.88 | +2.77 | 50.40% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nassourdine Imavov 30.5, Caio Borralho 32.6
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 217, Caio Borralho 378
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#23][#15UFC] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0, +165) vs. [#34][#19UFC] Mauricio Ruffy (12-1-0, -202)
Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (1-2-0)
2025-05-10: W vs. [#213LW] Kyle Prepolec (18-9-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:35 of round 2
2024-09-28: L vs. [#13LW] Renato Carneiro (20-7-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-03-09: L vs. [*] Dustin Poirier (30-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Mauricio Ruffy (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#46LW] Bobby Green (32-17-1) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 2:07 of round 1
2024-11-16: W vs. [#239WW] James Llontop (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [*] Jamie Mullarkey (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mauricio Ruffy | -202 | 63.93% | |
| Elo K170 | Benoit St. Denis | 1896.72 | +79.88 | 61.30% |
| Elo Modified | Benoit St. Denis | 1901.16 | +91.71 | 62.90% |
| Glicko-1 | Benoit St. Denis | 1972.61 | +83.80 | 61.83% |
| WHR | Mauricio Ruffy | 1837.85 | +42.39 | 56.07% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Benoit St. Denis 29.7, Mauricio Ruffy 29.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Benoit St. Denis 119, Mauricio Ruffy 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#72][#38UFC] Mason Jones (16-2-0, -157) vs. [#182][#72UFC] Bolaji Oki (10-2-0, +130)
Last 3 Fights: Mason Jones (3-0-0)
2025-05-03: W vs. [#280LW] Jeremy Stephens (29-22-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-25: W vs. [#137WW] Michael Pagani (8-2-0) via UD ()
2024-02-23: W vs. [#386LW] Bryce Logan (13-9-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 2:45 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Bolaji Oki (2-1-0)
2025-05-31: W vs. [#443LW] Michael Aswell (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#47LW] Chris Duncan (14-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [#209FW] Timothy Cuamba (9-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mason Jones | -157 | 58.42% | |
| Elo K170 | Mason Jones | 1772.30 | +189.77 | 74.88% |
| Elo Modified | Mason Jones | 1796.08 | +207.87 | 76.79% |
| Glicko-1 | Mason Jones | 1817.61 | +263.45 | 82.00% |
| WHR | Mason Jones | 1774.90 | +256.35 | 81.39% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Mason Jones 30.3, Bolaji Oki 29.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mason Jones 126, Bolaji Oki 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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