MMA Ranks – Page 64 – Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai (06-05-2021)

Posted on May 31, 2021 by Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (11-2-0, -121) vs. [#17] Augusto Sakai (15-2-1, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2021-02-27: L vs. [#4HW+] Ciryl Gane (8-0-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2020-08-15: W vs. [#9HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2020-05-09: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#3P4P] Francis Ngannou (16-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Augusto Sakai (2-1-0)
2020-09-05: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:26 of round 5
2020-05-30: W vs. [#18HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-4-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	-121		52.01%
Elo K170	Augusto Sakai	1788.95	+3.91	50.45%
Elo Modified	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1809.89	+45.82	55.00%
Glicko-1	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1879.67	+88.58	62.48%
WHR	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1791.77	+73.72	58.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 98, Augusto Sakai 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jairzinho Rozenstruik leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0, -169) vs. [#22] Walt Harris (13-9-0, +139)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#38HW+] Greg Hardy (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:31 of round 2
2020-10-10: W vs. [#24HW+] Ben Rothwell (39-13-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#36LHW] Maxim Grishin (31-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (1-2-0)
2020-10-24: L vs. [#6HW+] Alexander Volkov (33-8-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2
2019-07-20: W vs. [#20HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-15-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marcin Tybura	-169		60.02%
Elo K170	Marcin Tybura	1897.38	+270.39	77.48%
Elo Modified	Marcin Tybura	1906.46	+205.12	71.05%
Glicko-1	Marcin Tybura	1934.68	+185.25	74.39%
WHR	Marcin Tybura	1789.80	+118.18	63.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 168, Walt Harris 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#26] Muslim Salikhov (17-2-0, -259) vs. [#14LW] Francisco Trinaldo (26-7-0, +208)

Last 3 Fights: Muslim Salikhov (3-0-0)
2020-07-11: W vs. [#31WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#91WW] Laureano Staropoli (9-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Nordine Taleb (15-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#83LW] Jai Herbert (10-2-0) via TKO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 3
2020-03-14: W vs. [#64LW] John Makdessi (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#29LW] Bobby Green (27-11-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Muslim Salikhov	-259		68.96%
Elo K170	Francisco Trinaldo	1941.75	+24.38	52.78%
Elo Modified	Francisco Trinaldo	1920.68	+65.35	57.10%
Glicko-1	Francisco Trinaldo	1983.46	+95.07	63.35%
WHR	Francisco Trinaldo	1821.31	+39.02	54.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muslim Salikhov 329, Francisco Trinaldo 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-30-2021)

Posted on May 30, 2021 by Jason

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-23-2021)

Posted on May 23, 2021 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Font vs Garbrandt (05-22-2021)

Posted on May 17, 2021 by Jason

Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Rob Font (18-4-0, -124) vs. [#9] Cody Garbrandt (12-3-0, +100)
Rob Font is the All-Time #45 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Cody Garbrandt is the All-Time #6 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (3-0-0)
2020-12-19: W vs. [#8BW] Marlon Moraes (23-8-1) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:47 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#29FW] Ricky Simon (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#13BW] Sergio Pettis (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Garbrandt (1-2-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#26BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:59 of round 2
2019-03-02: L vs. [#7BW] Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rob Font	-124		52.54%
Elo K170	Rob Font	2003.06	+103.05	61.56%
Elo Modified	Rob Font	1948.96	+62.84	56.83%
Glicko-1	Rob Font	1998.89	+59.80	58.52%
WHR	Rob Font	1886.07	+117.44	63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rob Font 154, Cody Garbrandt 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cody Garbrandt leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -159) vs. [#27] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +129)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2020-12-05: L vs. [#4MW] Marvin Vettori (16-4-1) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#11MW] Kelvin Gastelum (16-7-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-09-28: L vs. [#9MW] Jared Cannonier (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#23MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jack Hermansson	-159		58.43%
Elo K170	Jack Hermansson	1908.02	+137.66	65.22%
Elo Modified	Jack Hermansson	1931.73	+183.36	69.06%
Glicko-1	Jack Hermansson	2013.37	+249.32	80.77%
WHR	Jack Hermansson	1870.17	+234.08	74.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 168, Edmen Shahbazyan 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Carla Esparza (17-6-0, +128) vs. [#6] Xiaonan Yan (13-1-0, -156)
Carla Esparza is the All-Time #39 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carla Esparza (3-0-0)
2020-07-25: W vs. [#4SW/#10P4P] Marina Rodriguez (14-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (18-9-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-09-21: W vs. [#12FLY] Alexa Grasso (13-3-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (3-0-0)
2020-11-07: W vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#46SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Xiaonan Yan	-156		58.14%
Elo K170	Carla Esparza	1791.53	+87.21	59.83%
Elo Modified	Carla Esparza	1702.21	+27.82	53.04%
Glicko-1	Xiaonan Yan	1647.61	+28.55	54.10%
WHR	Xiaonan Yan	1630.58	+36.65	54.18%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carla Esparza 301, Xiaonan Yan 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-16-2021)

Posted on May 16, 2021 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 262: Oliveira vs Chandler (05-15-2021)

Posted on May 10, 2021 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#3] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0, -135) vs. [#6] Michael Chandler (22-5-0, +110)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #28 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2020-12-12: W vs. [#4LW] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-03-14: W vs. [#12LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:28 of round 3
2019-11-16: W vs. [#74LW] Jared Gordon (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (3-0-0)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#8LW] Dan Hooker (20-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-08-07: W vs. [#89WW] Ben Henderson (28-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2019-12-29: W vs. [#50LW] Sidney Outlaw (15-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Charles Oliveira	-135		54.67%
Elo K170	Charles Oliveira	2239.04	+94.08	60.58%
Elo Modified	Charles Oliveira	2198.89	+95.72	60.32%
Glicko-1	Charles Oliveira	2303.34	+134.68	68.47%
WHR	Charles Oliveira	2092.74	+66.46	57.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 154, Michael Chandler 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Charles Oliveira leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#4] Tony Ferguson (25-5-0, +122) vs. [#7] Beneil Dariush (20-4-1, -150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #8 ranked Lightweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (1-2-0)
2020-12-12: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (30-8-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#2LW/#9DD] Justin Gaethje (22-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 5
2019-06-08: W vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (3-0-0)
2021-02-06: W vs. [#14LW] Diego Ferreira (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: W vs. [#38LW] Scott Holtzman (14-5-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 4:38 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#51LW] Drakkar Klose (11-2-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:00 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Beneil Dariush	-150		57.11%
Elo K170	Beneil Dariush	2120.50	+14.65	51.67%
Elo Modified	Tony Ferguson	2065.73	+35.67	53.90%
Glicko-1	Tony Ferguson	2158.68	+80.36	61.36%
WHR	Tony Ferguson	1922.00	+2.59	50.30%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 154, Beneil Dariush 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#10] Jack Hermansson (21-6-0, -173) vs. [#26] Edmen Shahbazyan (11-1-0, +141)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #43 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (2-1-0)
2020-08-01: L vs. [#8MW] Derek Brunson (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 3
2019-11-02: W vs. [#22MW] Brad Tavares (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:27 of round 1
2019-07-06: W vs. [#126MW] Jack Marshman (23-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jack Hermansson	-173		60.43%
Elo K170	Jack Hermansson	1907.99	+137.64	65.22%
Elo Modified	Jack Hermansson	1931.70	+183.35	69.05%
Glicko-1	Jack Hermansson	2013.52	+249.44	80.78%
WHR	Jack Hermansson	1874.77	+237.93	74.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 161, Edmen Shahbazyan 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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The Curious Case of Ranking Anthony Johnson

Posted on May 10, 2021 by Jason

Rarely has a case of determining a fighter’s ranking been as interesting as Anthony Johnson, who recently came back after a 4+ year layoff.

Why? Two main reasons.

Lost his most recent fight prior to his comeback, albeit in a UFC championship match.
Dominantly won his comeback fight (after almost getting finished himself) in Bellator, but against an unheralded opponent.

Prior to his comeback, Anthony Johnson was ranked as the #3 LHW here, with 1,225 points. Currently, he sits at #23, with only 192 points. Some of these lost points remain in a “holding pen” so to speak — with the opportunity for Johnson to earn them back if he proves himself against a worthy opponent, soon.

#3 loses to #1. Takes 4+ years off, returns to beat #82. It’s probably safe to say that he’s somewhere between #3 and #82, but exactly where?

Other Sources

Tapology – Fan-vote driven, they rank Johnson at #23. Hey, sound familiar?
Ranking MMA – #4. Seems foolish, or entirely driven by one of the popular mathematical ranking systems. We’ll get to that in a moment.

Fight Matrix Alternate Systems

WHR – #1 and pretty comfortably. WHR does not punish for inactivity, but the decay of recent opponents can negatively affect a fighter’s rating. However, Johnson hasn’t had any recent opponents prior to his comeback.
Glicko – #4. Inactivity can cause a fighter’s rating to fluctuate more upon return, but Johnson’s inactivity extends way beyond the maximum fluctuation potential.. and he won on his comeback.
Elo – #3 (both). Elo, the most simplistic system performs better than WHR, the most complicated. I think Glicko gets this one the most correct.

Who’s Right?

Ranking fighters that return from inactivity is probably best left to the humans. If Johnson was 41 instead of 37, I’d be tempted to rank him lower, regardless of how his recent fight went, but that’s largely irrelevant, or is it? Seeing Johnson almost get finished himself, also makes me want to rank him lower, but he ended up winning. Ultimately, I think a ranking in the #20 area is a fair position. What do you think?

Current MMA Rankings Updated (05-09-2021)

Posted on May 9, 2021 by Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson (05-08-2021)

Posted on May 3, 2021 by Jason

Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2, -175) vs. [#10] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0, +150)
Michelle Waterson is the All-Time #32 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (1-1-1)
2021-01-23: W vs. [#15SW] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-25: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#9FLY] Cynthia Calvillo (9-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michelle Waterson (1-2-0)
2020-09-12: W vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (13-9-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#4SW/#9P4P] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via SD (30-27, 27-30, 29-28)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#3SW/#7P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-4-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Marina Rodriguez	-175		61.40%
Elo K170	Marina Rodriguez	1654.55	+74.96	58.48%
Elo Modified	Marina Rodriguez	1692.05	+119.79	62.82%
Glicko-1	Marina Rodriguez	1705.01	+165.47	72.16%
WHR	Marina Rodriguez	1635.94	+147.45	66.23%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marina Rodriguez 105, Michelle Waterson 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Marina Rodriguez leads 1-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#24] Ben Rothwell (38-13-0, -111) vs. [#42] Philipe Lins (14-5-0, -112)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (2-1-0)
2020-10-10: L vs. [#11HW+] Marcin Tybura (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2020-05-13: W vs. [#25LHW] Ovince St. Preux (25-15-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-12-07: W vs. [*] Stefan Struve (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Philipe Lins (1-2-0)
2020-06-27: L vs. [#34HW+] Tanner Boser (19-7-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:41 of round 1
2020-05-13: L vs. [#31HW+] Andrei Arlovski (31-20-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-31: W vs. [*] Josh Copeland (18-7-1) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 0:30 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Philipe Lins	-112		50.10%
Elo K170	Ben Rothwell	1706.22	+211.47	72.43%
Elo Modified	Ben Rothwell	1711.40	+145.70	65.43%
Glicko-1	Ben Rothwell	1755.28	+199.51	75.92%
WHR	Ben Rothwell	1638.07	+92.14	60.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 210, Philipe Lins 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (13-9-0, +145) vs. [#15] Amanda Ribas (10-2-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2021-03-13: W vs. [#27SW] Ashley Yoder (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-12: L vs. [#10SW] Michelle Waterson (18-8-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#8SW] Claudia Gadelha (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Ribas (2-1-0)
2021-01-23: L vs. [#6SW] Marina Rodriguez (13-1-2) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 0:54 of round 2
2020-07-11: W vs. [#75FLY] Paige VanZant (8-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:21 of round 1
2020-03-14: W vs. [#35SW] Randa Markos (10-11-1) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-25)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Amanda Ribas	-177		61.01%
Elo K170	Amanda Ribas	1502.41	+34.55	53.94%
Elo Modified	Angela Hill	1567.54	+32.35	53.53%
Glicko-1	Angela Hill	1573.92	+65.20	59.27%
WHR	Amanda Ribas	1533.76	+33.10	53.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 56, Amanda Ribas 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Ribas leads 2-1
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Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (05-02-2021)

Posted on May 2, 2021 by Jason